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Estimation and Inference of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects Using Random Forests

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Cited by:

  1. Guido W. Imbens, 2020. "Potential Outcome and Directed Acyclic Graph Approaches to Causality: Relevance for Empirical Practice in Economics," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 58(4), pages 1129-1179, December.
  2. Blumenstock, Joshua & Bjorkegren, Dan & Knight, Samsun, 2022. "(Machine) Learning What Policies Value," CEPR Discussion Papers 17364, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  3. Jiabei Yang & Issa J. Dahabreh & Jon A. Steingrimsson, 2022. "Causal interaction trees: Finding subgroups with heterogeneous treatment effects in observational data," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 78(2), pages 624-635, June.
  4. Riccardo Di Francesco, 2022. "Aggregation Trees," CEIS Research Paper 546, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 20 Nov 2023.
  5. Kyle Colangelo & Ying-Ying Lee, 2019. "Double debiased machine learning nonparametric inference with continuous treatments," CeMMAP working papers CWP54/19, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  6. Steven F. Lehrer & Tian Xie, 2022. "The Bigger Picture: Combining Econometrics with Analytics Improves Forecasts of Movie Success," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(1), pages 189-210, January.
  7. Holtrop, Niels & Wieringa, Jaap E., 2023. "Timing customer reactivation initiatives," International Journal of Research in Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 570-589.
  8. Stephen Coussens & Jann Spiess, 2021. "Improving Inference from Simple Instruments through Compliance Estimation," Papers 2108.03726, arXiv.org.
  9. Jau-er Chen & Chen-Wei Hsiang, 2019. "Causal Random Forests Model Using Instrumental Variable Quantile Regression," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-22, December.
  10. Habimana, Dominique & Haughton, Jonathan & Nkurunziza, Joseph & Haughton, Dominique Marie-Annick, 2021. "Measuring the impact of unconditional cash transfers on consumption and poverty in Rwanda," World Development Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
  11. Denis Fougère & Nicolas Jacquemet, 2019. "Causal Inference and Impact Evaluation," Economie et Statistique / Economics and Statistics, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (INSEE), issue 510-511-5, pages 181-200.
  12. Hashibul Hassan & Asad Islam & Abu Siddique & Liang Choon Wang, 2021. "Telementoring and homeschooling during school closures: A randomized experiment in rural Bangladesh," Munich Papers in Political Economy 13, Munich School of Politics and Public Policy and the School of Management at the Technical University of Munich.
  13. Jikai Jin & Vasilis Syrgkanis, 2024. "Structure-agnostic Optimality of Doubly Robust Learning for Treatment Effect Estimation," Papers 2402.14264, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.
  14. Lechner, Michael, 2018. "Modified Causal Forests for Estimating Heterogeneous Causal Effects," IZA Discussion Papers 12040, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  15. Diogo G. C. Britto & Paolo Pinotti & Breno Sampaio, 2022. "The Effect of Job Loss and Unemployment Insurance on Crime in Brazil," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 90(4), pages 1393-1423, July.
  16. Akash Malhotra, 2021. "A hybrid econometric–machine learning approach for relative importance analysis: prioritizing food policy," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 11(3), pages 549-581, September.
  17. Daniele Guariso, 2018. "Terrorist Attacks and Immigration Rhetoric: A Natural Experiment on British MPs," Working Paper Series 1218, Department of Economics, University of Sussex Business School.
  18. William Arbour, 2021. "Can Recidivism be Prevented from Behind Bars? Evidence from a Behavioral Program," Working Papers tecipa-683, University of Toronto, Department of Economics.
  19. Michela Bia & Martin Huber & Luk'av{s} Laff'ers, 2020. "Double machine learning for sample selection models," Papers 2012.00745, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2021.
  20. Alexandre Belloni & Victor Chernozhukov & Denis Chetverikov & Christian Hansen & Kengo Kato, 2018. "High-dimensional econometrics and regularized GMM," CeMMAP working papers CWP35/18, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  21. Dimitris Bertsimas & Agni Orfanoudaki & Rory B. Weiner, 2020. "Personalized treatment for coronary artery disease patients: a machine learning approach," Health Care Management Science, Springer, vol. 23(4), pages 482-506, December.
  22. Daniel Goller, 2023. "Analysing a built-in advantage in asymmetric darts contests using causal machine learning," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 325(1), pages 649-679, June.
  23. Kyle Colangelo & Ying-Ying Lee, 2020. "Double Debiased Machine Learning Nonparametric Inference with Continuous Treatments," Papers 2004.03036, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
  24. Sandro Heiniger & Winfried Koeniger & Michael Lechner, 2022. "The Heterogeneous Response of Real Estate Asset Prices to a Global Shock," CESifo Working Paper Series 10083, CESifo.
  25. Henning Hermes & Philipp Lergetporer & Fabian Mierisch & Guido Schwerdt & Simon Wiederhold, 2024. "Does Information about Inequality and Discrimination in Early Child Care Affect Policy Preferences?," CESifo Working Paper Series 10925, CESifo.
  26. Chunrong Ai & Oliver Linton & Kaiji Motegi & Zheng Zhang, 2021. "A unified framework for efficient estimation of general treatment models," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 12(3), pages 779-816, July.
  27. Youmi Suk & Jee-Seon Kim & Hyunseung Kang, 2021. "Hybridizing Machine Learning Methods and Finite Mixture Models for Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects in Latent Classes," Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, , vol. 46(3), pages 323-347, June.
  28. Zhang, Han, 2021. "How Using Machine Learning Classification as a Variable in Regression Leads to Attenuation Bias and What to Do About It," SocArXiv 453jk, Center for Open Science.
  29. Yiyan Huang & Cheuk Hang Leung & Siyi Wang & Yijun Li & Qi Wu, 2024. "Unveiling the Potential of Robustness in Evaluating Causal Inference Models," Papers 2402.18392, arXiv.org.
  30. Augustine Denteh & Helge Liebert, 2022. "Who Increases Emergency Department Use? New Insights from the Oregon Health Insurance Experiment," Working Papers 2201, Tulane University, Department of Economics.
  31. Evan T.R. Rosenman & Guillaume Basse & Art B. Owen & Mike Baiocchi, 2023. "Combining observational and experimental datasets using shrinkage estimators," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 79(4), pages 2961-2973, December.
  32. Guihua Wang & Jun Li & Wallace J. Hopp, 2022. "An Instrumental Variable Forest Approach for Detecting Heterogeneous Treatment Effects in Observational Studies," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(5), pages 3399-3418, May.
  33. Marianne Bertrand & Bruno Crépon & Alicia Marguerie & Patrick Premand, 2021. "Do Workfare Programs Live Up to Their Promises? Experimental Evidence from Cote D’Ivoire," NBER Working Papers 28664, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  34. Lundberg, Ian & Brand, Jennie E. & Jeon, Nanum, 2022. "Researcher reasoning meets computational capacity: Machine learning for social science," SocArXiv s5zc8, Center for Open Science.
  35. Hong Pan & Hanxun Zhou, 2020. "Study on convolutional neural network and its application in data mining and sales forecasting for E-commerce," Electronic Commerce Research, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 297-320, June.
  36. Uguccioni, James, 2022. "The long-run effects of parental unemployment in childhood," CLEF Working Paper Series 45, Canadian Labour Economics Forum (CLEF), University of Waterloo.
  37. Sasaki, Yuya & Ura, Takuya, 2023. "Estimation and inference for policy relevant treatment effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 234(2), pages 394-450.
  38. Nicolaj N. Mühlbach, 2020. "Tree-based Synthetic Control Methods: Consequences of moving the US Embassy," CREATES Research Papers 2020-04, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  39. Costanza Naguib, 2023. "Is the Impact of Opening the Borders Heterogeneous?," Diskussionsschriften dp2312, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft.
  40. Kyle Colangelo & Ying-Ying Lee, 2019. "Double debiased machine learning nonparametric inference with continuous treatments," CeMMAP working papers CWP72/19, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  41. Anthony Strittmatter, 2018. "What Is the Value Added by Using Causal Machine Learning Methods in a Welfare Experiment Evaluation?," Papers 1812.06533, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2021.
  42. Christian Gische & Manuel C. Voelkle, 2022. "Beyond the Mean: A Flexible Framework for Studying Causal Effects Using Linear Models," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 87(3), pages 868-901, September.
  43. Manuel Hermosilla, 2021. "Rushed Innovation: Evidence from Drug Licensing," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(1), pages 257-278, January.
  44. Shi, Chengchun & Wan, Runzhe & Song, Ge & Luo, Shikai & Zhu, Hongtu & Song, Rui, 2023. "A multiagent reinforcement learning framework for off-policy evaluation in two-sided markets," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 117174, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  45. Huber, Martin & Meier, Jonas & Wallimann, Hannes, 2022. "Business analytics meets artificial intelligence: Assessing the demand effects of discounts on Swiss train tickets," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 22-39.
  46. Edward McFowland III & Sriram Somanchi & Daniel B. Neill, 2018. "Efficient Discovery of Heterogeneous Quantile Treatment Effects in Randomized Experiments via Anomalous Pattern Detection," Papers 1803.09159, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
  47. Miguel Godinho de Matos & Pedro Ferreira & Michael D. Smith, 2018. "The Effect of Subscription Video-on-Demand on Piracy: Evidence from a Household-Level Randomized Experiment," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 64(12), pages 5610-5630, December.
  48. Federico Zincenko, 2023. "Nonparametric estimation of conditional densities by generalized random forests," Papers 2309.13251, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
  49. Aysegül Kayaoglu & Ghassan Baliki & Tilman Brück & Melodie Al Daccache & Dorothee Weiffen, 2023. "How to conduct impact evaluations in humanitarian and conflict settings," HiCN Working Papers 387, Households in Conflict Network.
  50. Jonathan M.V. Davis & Sara B. Heller, 2020. "Rethinking the Benefits of Youth Employment Programs: The Heterogeneous Effects of Summer Jobs," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(4), pages 664-677, October.
  51. Pons Rotger, Gabriel & Rosholm, Michael, 2020. "The Role of Beliefs in Long Sickness Absence: Experimental Evidence from a Psychological Intervention," IZA Discussion Papers 13582, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  52. Carlos Fernández-Loría & Foster Provost & Jesse Anderton & Benjamin Carterette & Praveen Chandar, 2023. "A Comparison of Methods for Treatment Assignment with an Application to Playlist Generation," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 34(2), pages 786-803, June.
  53. Zhexiao Lin & Fang Han, 2022. "On regression-adjusted imputation estimators of the average treatment effect," Papers 2212.05424, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2023.
  54. Axenbeck, Janna & Berner, Anne & Kneib, Thomas, 2022. "What drives the relationship between digitalization and industrial energy demand? Exploring firm-level heterogeneity," ZEW Discussion Papers 22-059, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
  55. O'Neill, E. & Weeks, M., 2018. "Causal Tree Estimation of Heterogeneous Household Response to Time-Of-Use Electricity Pricing Schemes," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1865, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  56. Seojeong Lee & Youngki Shin, 2018. "Optimal Estimation with Complete Subsets of Instruments," Department of Economics Working Papers 2018-15, McMaster University.
  57. Isaiah Hull & Anna Grodecka-Messi, 2022. "Measuring the Impact of Taxes and Public Services on Property Values: A Double Machine Learning Approach," Papers 2203.14751, arXiv.org.
  58. Shonosuke Sugasawa & Hisashi Noma, 2021. "Efficient screening of predictive biomarkers for individual treatment selection," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 77(1), pages 249-257, March.
  59. Jeremy Bertomeu, 2020. "Machine learning improves accounting: discussion, implementation and research opportunities," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 25(3), pages 1135-1155, September.
  60. Miguel Godinho de Matos & Idris Adjerid, 2022. "Consumer Consent and Firm Targeting After GDPR: The Case of a Large Telecom Provider," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(5), pages 3330-3378, May.
  61. Michael C Knaus & Michael Lechner & Anthony Strittmatter, 2021. "Machine learning estimation of heterogeneous causal effects: Empirical Monte Carlo evidence," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 24(1), pages 134-161.
  62. Patrick Dylong & Silke Übelmesser, 2024. "Vorbehalte gegenüber Zuwanderung: Die Rolle von Kontakten und Informationen," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 31(01), pages 17-23, February.
  63. Cordier, J.; & Salvi, I.; & Steinbeck, V.; & Geissler, A.; & Vogel, J.;, 2023. "Is rapid recovery always the best recovery? - Developing a machine learning approach for optimal assignment rules under capacity constraints for knee replacement patients," Health, Econometrics and Data Group (HEDG) Working Papers 23/08, HEDG, c/o Department of Economics, University of York.
  64. Christian Stetter & Philipp Mennig & Johannes Sauer, 2022. "Using Machine Learning to Identify Heterogeneous Impacts of Agri-Environment Schemes in the EU: A Case Study," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 49(4), pages 723-759.
  65. Niwen Zhou & Xu Guo & Lixing Zhu, 2022. "The role of propensity score structure in asymptotic efficiency of estimated conditional quantile treatment effect," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 49(2), pages 718-743, June.
  66. Jan-Emmanuel De Neve & Clément Imbert & Johannes Spinnewijn & Teodora Tsankova & Maarten Luts, 2021. "How to Improve Tax Compliance? Evidence from Population-Wide Experiments in Belgium," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 129(5), pages 1425-1463.
  67. Carlana, Michela & La Ferrara, Eliana, 2021. "Apart but Connected: Online Tutoring and Student Outcomes during the COVID-19 Pandemic," IZA Discussion Papers 14094, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  68. Laura Giuliano, 2022. "A Comment on: “Goals and Gaps: Educational Careers of Immigrant Children” by Michela Carlana, Eliana La Ferrara, Paolo Pinotti," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 90(1), pages 39-42, January.
  69. Hang Miao & Kui Zhao & Zhun Wang & Linbo Jiang & Quanhui Jia & Yanming Fang & Quan Yu, 2020. "Intelligent Credit Limit Management in Consumer Loans Based on Causal Inference," Papers 2007.05188, arXiv.org.
  70. Kevin Blattler & Hannes Wallimann & Widar von Arx, 2024. "Free public transport to the destination: A causal analysis of tourists' travel mode choice," Papers 2401.14945, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
  71. Harsh Parikh & Carlos Varjao & Louise Xu & Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen, 2022. "Validating Causal Inference Methods," Papers 2202.04208, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2022.
  72. Cevat Giray Aksoy & Antonio Cabrales & Mathias Dolls & Ruben Durante & Lisa Windsteiger, 2021. "Calamities, Common Interests, Shared Identity: What Shapes Altruism and Reciprocity?," EconPol Working Paper 64, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
  73. Mattos, Enlinson & Bressan, Rafael, 2022. "Nontariff barriers, trading companies and customs duties evasion," Textos para discussão 560, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
  74. Ruoxuan Xiong & Allison Koenecke & Michael Powell & Zhu Shen & Joshua T. Vogelstein & Susan Athey, 2021. "Federated Causal Inference in Heterogeneous Observational Data," Papers 2107.11732, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2023.
  75. Haaland, Ingar & Roth, Christopher, 2020. "Labor market concerns and support for immigration," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
  76. A. Stefano Caria & Grant Gordon & Maximilian Kasy & Simon Quinn & Soha Shami & Alexander Teytelboym, 2020. "An Adaptive Targeted Field Experiment: Job Search Assistance for Refugees in Jordan," CSAE Working Paper Series 2020-20, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
  77. Boyuan Zhang, 2022. "Incorporating Prior Knowledge of Latent Group Structure in Panel Data Models," Papers 2211.16714, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
  78. Ahrens, Achim & Hansen, Christian B. & Schaffer, Mark E & Wiemann, Thomas, 2024. "Model Averaging and Double Machine Learning," IZA Discussion Papers 16714, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  79. Grodecka, Anna & Hull, Isaiah, 2019. "The Impact of Local Taxes and Public Services on Property Values," Working Paper Series 374, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
  80. Yigit Aydede & Jan Ditzen, 2022. "Identifying the regional drivers of influenza-like illness in Nova Scotia with dominance analysis," Papers 2212.06684, arXiv.org.
  81. Michael C. Knaus & Michael Lechner & Anthony Strittmatter, 2022. "Heterogeneous Employment Effects of Job Search Programs: A Machine Learning Approach," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 57(2), pages 597-636.
  82. Victor Chernozhukov & Mert Demirer & Esther Duflo & Iv'an Fern'andez-Val, 2017. "Fisher-Schultz Lecture: Generic Machine Learning Inference on Heterogenous Treatment Effects in Randomized Experiments, with an Application to Immunization in India," Papers 1712.04802, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
  83. Ruyi Ge & Zhiqiang (Eric) Zheng & Xuan Tian & Li Liao, 2021. "Human–Robot Interaction: When Investors Adjust the Usage of Robo-Advisors in Peer-to-Peer Lending," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 32(3), pages 774-785, September.
  84. Thomas Lindner & Jonas Puck & Alain Verbeke, 2022. "Beyond addressing multicollinearity: Robust quantitative analysis and machine learning in international business research," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 53(7), pages 1307-1314, September.
  85. Ilias Chronopoulos & Katerina Chrysikou & George Kapetanios & James Mitchell & Aristeidis Raftapostolos, 2023. "Deep Neural Network Estimation in Panel Data Models," Working Papers 23-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
  86. Engel, Christoph, 2020. "Estimating heterogeneous reactions to experimental treatments," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 124-147.
  87. Stephen Jarvis & Olivier Deschenes & Akshaya Jha, 2022. "The Private and External Costs of Germany’s Nuclear Phase-Out," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 20(3), pages 1311-1346.
  88. Lai Xinglin, 2021. "Modelling hetegeneous treatment effects by quantitle local polynomial decision tree and forest," Papers 2111.15320, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2022.
  89. Youmi Suk, 2024. "A Within-Group Approach to Ensemble Machine Learning Methods for Causal Inference in Multilevel Studies," Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, , vol. 49(1), pages 61-91, February.
  90. Nikolaos Ignatiadis & Wolfgang Huber, 2021. "Covariate powered cross‐weighted multiple testing," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 83(4), pages 720-751, September.
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  92. Athey, Susan & Imbens, Guido W., 2019. "Machine Learning Methods Economists Should Know About," Research Papers 3776, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business.
  93. Pedro Forquesato, 2022. "Who Benefits from Political Connections in Brazilian Municipalities," Papers 2204.09450, arXiv.org.
  94. Victor Chernozhukov & Mert Demirer & Esther Duflo & Ivan Fernandez-Val, 2017. "Generic machine learning inference on heterogenous treatment effects in randomized experiments," CeMMAP working papers 61/17, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  95. Eliaz, Kfir & Spiegler, Ran, 2022. "On incentive-compatible estimators," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 204-220.
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  125. Marco Letta & Pierluigi Montalbano & Adriana Paolantonio, 2024. "Climate Immobility Traps: A Household-Level Test," Papers 2403.09470, arXiv.org.
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  128. Miruna Oprescu & Vasilis Syrgkanis & Zhiwei Steven Wu, 2018. "Orthogonal Random Forest for Causal Inference," Papers 1806.03467, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2019.
  129. Sarah Friedrich & Gerd Antes & Sigrid Behr & Harald Binder & Werner Brannath & Florian Dumpert & Katja Ickstadt & Hans A. Kestler & Johannes Lederer & Heinz Leitgöb & Markus Pauly & Ansgar Steland & A, 2022. "Is there a role for statistics in artificial intelligence?," Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, Springer;German Classification Society - Gesellschaft für Klassifikation (GfKl);Japanese Classification Society (JCS);Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society (CLADAG);International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS), vol. 16(4), pages 823-846, December.
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  131. Cevat Giray Aksoy & Christopher S. Carpenter & Ralph De Haas & Mathias Dolls & Lisa Windsteiger, 2023. "Reducing Sexual Orientation Discrimination: Experimental Evidence from Basic Information Treatments," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 35-59, January.
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