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Statistical inference of optimal allocations I: Regularities and their implications

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  • Feng, Kai
  • Hong, Han
  • Nekipelov, Denis

Abstract

In this paper, we develop a functional differentiability approach for solving statistical optimal allocation problems. We derive Hadamard differentiability of the value functions through analyzing the properties of the sorting operator using tools from geometric measure theory. Building on our Hadamard differentiability results, we apply the functional delta method to obtain the asymptotic properties of the value function process for the binary constrained optimal allocation problem and the plug-in ROC curve estimator. Moreover, the convexity of the optimal allocation value functions facilitates demonstrating the degeneracy of first order derivatives with respect to the policy. We then present a double / debiased estimator for the value functions. Importantly, the conditions that validate Hadamard differentiability justify the margin assumption from the statistical classification literature for the fast convergence rate of plug-in methods.

Suggested Citation

  • Feng, Kai & Hong, Han & Nekipelov, Denis, 2026. "Statistical inference of optimal allocations I: Regularities and their implications," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 254(PB).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:254:y:2026:i:pb:s0304407626000382
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2026.106217
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    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C38 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Classification Methdos; Cluster Analysis; Principal Components; Factor Analysis
    • C44 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Operations Research; Statistical Decision Theory

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