IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2308.00202.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Randomization Inference of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects under Network Interference

Author

Listed:
  • Julius Owusu

Abstract

We design randomization tests of heterogeneous treatment effects when units interact on a single connected network. Our modeling strategy allows network interference into the potential outcomes framework using the concept of exposure mapping. We consider several null hypotheses representing different notions of homogeneous treatment effects. However, these hypotheses are not sharp due to nuisance parameters and multiple potential outcomes. To address the issue of multiple potential outcomes, we propose a conditional randomization method that expands on existing procedures. Our conditioning approach permits the use of treatment assignment as a conditioning variable, widening the range of application of the randomization method of inference. In addition, we propose techniques that overcome the nuisance parameter issue. We show that our resulting testing methods based on the conditioning procedure and the strategies for handling nuisance parameters are asymptotically valid. We demonstrate the testing methods using a network data set and also present the findings of a Monte Carlo study.

Suggested Citation

  • Julius Owusu, 2023. "Randomization Inference of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects under Network Interference," Papers 2308.00202, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2308.00202
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2308.00202
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Richard K. Crump & V. Joseph Hotz & Guido W. Imbens & Oscar A. Mitnik, 2008. "Nonparametric Tests for Treatment Effect Heterogeneity," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 90(3), pages 389-405, August.
    2. Tadao Hoshino & Takahide Yanagi, 2023. "Randomization Test for the Specification of Interference Structure," Papers 2301.05580, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
    3. Stefan Wager & Susan Athey, 2018. "Estimation and Inference of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects using Random Forests," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 113(523), pages 1228-1242, July.
    4. Charles F. Manski, 2013. "Identification of treatment response with social interactions," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 16(1), pages 1-23, February.
    5. G W Basse & A Feller & P Toulis, 2019. "Randomization tests of causal effects under interference," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 106(2), pages 487-494.
    6. Jing Cai & Alain De Janvry & Elisabeth Sadoulet, 2015. "Social Networks and the Decision to Insure," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, vol. 7(2), pages 81-108, April.
    7. Susan Athey & Dean Eckles & Guido W. Imbens, 2018. "Exact p-Values for Network Interference," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 113(521), pages 230-240, January.
    8. Peng Ding & Avi Feller & Luke Miratrix, 2016. "Randomization inference for treatment effect variation," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 78(3), pages 655-671, June.
    9. Sarah Baird & J. Aislinn Bohren & Craig McIntosh & Berk Özler, 2018. "Optimal Design of Experiments in the Presence of Interference," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 100(5), pages 844-860, December.
    10. Michael P. Leung, 2020. "Treatment and Spillover Effects Under Network Interference," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(2), pages 368-380, May.
    11. Lan Liu & Michael G. Hudgens, 2014. "Large Sample Randomization Inference of Causal Effects in the Presence of Interference," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 109(505), pages 288-301, March.
    12. Chung, EunYi & Olivares, Mauricio, 2021. "Permutation test for heterogeneous treatment effects with a nuisance parameter," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(2), pages 148-174.
    13. Seungjin Han & Julius Owusu & Youngki Shin, 2022. "Statistical Treatment Rules under Social Interaction," Papers 2209.09077, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2022.
    14. Imbens,Guido W. & Rubin,Donald B., 2015. "Causal Inference for Statistics, Social, and Biomedical Sciences," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521885881.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Davide Viviano, 2019. "Policy Targeting under Network Interference," Papers 1906.10258, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.
    2. Denis Fougère & Nicolas Jacquemet, 2020. "Policy Evaluation Using Causal Inference Methods," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03455978, HAL.
    3. Nathan Kallus, 2023. "Treatment Effect Risk: Bounds and Inference," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(8), pages 4579-4590, August.
    4. Chabé-Ferret, Sylvain & Reynaud, Arnaud & Tène, Eva, 2021. "Water Quality, Policy Diffusion Effects and Farmers’ Behavior," TSE Working Papers 21-1229, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    5. Zhaonan Qu & Ruoxuan Xiong & Jizhou Liu & Guido Imbens, 2021. "Efficient Treatment Effect Estimation in Observational Studies under Heterogeneous Partial Interference," Papers 2107.12420, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2022.
    6. Tadao Hoshino & Takahide Yanagi, 2023. "Randomization Test for the Specification of Interference Structure," Papers 2301.05580, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
    7. Stefan Wager & Kuang Xu, 2021. "Experimenting in Equilibrium," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(11), pages 6694-6715, November.
    8. Davide Viviano & Jess Rudder, 2020. "Policy design in experiments with unknown interference," Papers 2011.08174, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
    9. Evan Munro & Stefan Wager & Kuang Xu, 2021. "Treatment Effects in Market Equilibrium," Papers 2109.11647, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2023.
    10. Davide Viviano, 2020. "Experimental Design under Network Interference," Papers 2003.08421, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2022.
    11. Ariel Boyarsky & Hongseok Namkoong & Jean Pouget-Abadie, 2023. "Modeling Interference Using Experiment Roll-out," Papers 2305.10728, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
    12. Ganesh Karapakula, 2023. "Stable Probability Weighting: Large-Sample and Finite-Sample Estimation and Inference Methods for Heterogeneous Causal Effects of Multivalued Treatments Under Limited Overlap," Papers 2301.05703, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2023.
    13. Nathan Kallus, 2022. "Treatment Effect Risk: Bounds and Inference," Papers 2201.05893, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2022.
    14. Michael P. Leung, 2022. "Causal Inference Under Approximate Neighborhood Interference," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 90(1), pages 267-293, January.
    15. Hannah Li & Geng Zhao & Ramesh Johari & Gabriel Y. Weintraub, 2021. "Interference, Bias, and Variance in Two-Sided Marketplace Experimentation: Guidance for Platforms," Papers 2104.12222, arXiv.org.
    16. Davide Viviano & Lihua Lei & Guido Imbens & Brian Karrer & Okke Schrijvers & Liang Shi, 2023. "Causal clustering: design of cluster experiments under network interference," Papers 2310.14983, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    17. Tadao Hoshino & Takahide Yanagi, 2021. "Causal Inference with Noncompliance and Unknown Interference," Papers 2108.07455, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
    18. Michael P. Leung, 2020. "Treatment and Spillover Effects Under Network Interference," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(2), pages 368-380, May.
    19. Stefan Wager & Kuang Xu, 2019. "Experimenting in Equilibrium," Papers 1903.02124, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2020.
    20. Ramesh Johari & Hannah Li & Inessa Liskovich & Gabriel Weintraub, 2020. "Experimental Design in Two-Sided Platforms: An Analysis of Bias," Papers 2002.05670, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2021.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2308.00202. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.