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How do Humans Interact with Algorithms? Experimental Evidence from Health Insurance

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  • M. Kate Bundorf
  • Maria Polyakova
  • Ming Tai-Seale

Abstract

Algorithms are increasingly available to help consumers make purchasing decisions. How does algorithmic advice affect human decisions and what types of consumers are likely to use such advice? We use data from a randomized controlled trial of algorithmic advice in the context of prescription drug insurance to examine these questions. We propose that algorithmic recommendations can affect decision-making by influencing consumer beliefs about either product features (learning) or how to value those features (interpretation). We use data from the trial to estimate the importance of each mechanism. We find evidence that algorithms influence choices through both channels. Further, we document substantial selection into the use of algorithmic expert advice. Consumers who we predict would have responded more to algorithmic advice were less likely to demand it. Our results raise concerns regarding the ability of algorithmic advice to alter consumer preferences as well as the distributional implications of greater access to algorithmic advice.

Suggested Citation

  • M. Kate Bundorf & Maria Polyakova & Ming Tai-Seale, 2019. "How do Humans Interact with Algorithms? Experimental Evidence from Health Insurance," NBER Working Papers 25976, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:25976
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    Cited by:

    1. Laura Abrardi & Carlo Cambini & Laura Rondi, 2022. "Artificial intelligence, firms and consumer behavior: A survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(4), pages 969-991, September.
    2. M. Kate Bundorf & Maria Polyakova, 2023. "Comment on Chapters 1 and 3: Artificial Intelligence and Decision Making in Health Care: Prediction or Preferences?," NBER Chapters, in: The Economics of Artificial Intelligence: Health Care Challenges, pages 144-147, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Michael Geruso & Timothy J. Layton & Grace McCormack & Mark Shepard, 2023. "The Two-Margin Problem in Insurance Markets," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 105(2), pages 237-257, March.
    4. Chugunova, Marina & Sele, Daniela, 2022. "We and It: An interdisciplinary review of the experimental evidence on how humans interact with machines," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    5. Yusuke Narita & Kohei Yata, 2021. "Algorithm is Experiment: Machine Learning, Market Design, and Policy Eligibility Rules," Working Papers 2021-022, Human Capital and Economic Opportunity Working Group.
    6. Narita, Yusuke & Yata, Kohei, 2022. "Algorithm is Experiment: Machine Learning, Market Design, and Policy Eligibility Rules," CEI Working Paper Series 2021-05, Center for Economic Institutions, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    7. Narita, Yusuke & Yata, Kohei, 2022. "Algorithm is Experiment: Machine Learning, Market Design, and Policy Eligibility Rules," Discussion Paper Series 730, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D1 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior
    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
    • D8 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
    • D9 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics
    • D90 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - General
    • D91 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making
    • G22 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Insurance; Insurance Companies; Actuarial Studies
    • H51 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Government Expenditures and Health
    • I13 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health Insurance, Public and Private

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