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Carola Conces Binder

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Working papers

  1. Carola Binder & Cody Couture & Abhiprerna Smit, 2025. "Partisan Trust in the Federal Reserve," Working Papers 172, Economics Department, William & Mary.

    Cited by:

    1. Farhart, Christina E. & Struby, Ethan, 2026. "Inflation expectations and political polarization: Evidence from the cooperative election study," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).

  2. Carola Binder & Pascal Frank & Jane M. Ryngaert, 2025. "The Causal Effect of News on Inflation Expectations," NBER Working Papers 34088, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Benjamin Born & Nora Lamersdorf & Jana-Lynn Schuster & Sascha Steffen, 2025. "From Tweets to Transactions: High-Frequency Inflation Expectations, Consumption, and Stock Returns," CESifo Working Paper Series 12361, CESifo.

  3. Carola Binder, 2025. "Central Banks as Educators," NBER Working Papers 34002, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Pietro Saggese & Michael Sigmund & Burkhard Raunig & Esther Segalla & Bernhard Haslhofer & Christos A. Makridis, 2026. "Stablecoins under Stress in a National Economy: Transaction-Level Evidence from Austrian Crypto-Asset Service Providers," CESifo Working Paper Series 12823, CESifo.
    2. David-Jan Jansen, 2025. "What should we say, when we talk about financial stability with the public?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 25-070/IV, Tinbergen Institute.

  4. Binder, Carola & Campbell, Jeffrey & Ryngaert, Jane M., 2024. "Consumer Inflation Expectations: Daily Dynamics," CEPR Discussion Papers 19011, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Di Pace, Federico & Mangiante, Giacomo & Masolo, Riccardo M., 2025. "Do firm expectations respond to monetary policy announcements?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    2. Coleman, Winnie & Nautz, Dieter, 2025. "Asymmetric inflation target credibility," Discussion Papers 2025/1, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    3. Binder, Carola Conces & Kamdar, Rupal & Ryngaert, Jane M., 2024. "Partisan expectations and COVID-era inflation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(S).
    4. Andrew B. Martinez, 2025. "How do Macroeconomic Expectations React to Extreme Weather Shocks?," Working Papers 2025-001, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research.
    5. Adewale Rafiu Aregbeshola & Ibrahim Ayoade Adekunle, 2025. "Episode of Foreign Direct Investment Reversal—The Role of Macroeconomic Fundamentals in Sub-Saharan Africa," Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 1-25, December.
    6. Timo Wochner & Lukas Hack & Niklas Potrafke, 2026. "Expert Inflation Preferences and the Evaluation of Monetary Policy," CESifo Working Paper Series 12850, CESifo.
    7. Fiorella De Fiore & Marco Jacopo Lombardi & Albert Pierres Tejada, 2024. "Fiscal stimulus plans and households' expectations," BIS Working Papers 1238, Bank for International Settlements.

  5. Carola Binder & Rupal Kamdar & Jane M. Ryngaert, 2024. "Partisan Expectations and COVID-Era Inflation," NBER Working Papers 32650, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Iorgulescu, Elissa-Ana-Maria & Kuntara Pukthuanthong & Quinn, William, 2026. "150 years of U.S. inflation expectations," QUCEH Working Paper Series 26-06, Queen's University Belfast, Queen's University Centre for Economic History.
    2. Simon, Pedro, 2026. "Partisan differences among independents: Evidence from household economic expectations," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    3. Ray C. Fair, 2024. "Inflation expectations, price equations, and Fed effects," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 59(4), pages 211-219, October.
    4. Couture, Cody & Owen, Ann L., 2025. "Social media advertising and macroeconomic expectations: Evidence from Meta," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
    5. Ghosh, Arkadev & Mitra, Aruni & Mukherji, Ronit, 2025. "Consumer Sentiment and Identity Politics: Evidence from India," MPRA Paper 124881, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. DiGiuseppe, Matthew & Garriga, Ana Carolina & Kern, Andreas, 2025. "Partisan Bias in Inflation Expectations," MPRA Paper 124391, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Giampiero M. Gallo & Demetrio Lacava & Edoardo Otranto, 2026. "Electoral Polls and Economic Uncertainty: an Analysis of the Last Two U.S. Presidential Elections," Papers 2601.21534, arXiv.org.
    8. Pei Kuang & Michael Weber & Shihan Xie, 2025. "Central Bank Communication with the Polarized Public," CESifo Working Paper Series 11708, CESifo.
    9. Farhart, Christina E. & Struby, Ethan, 2026. "Inflation expectations and political polarization: Evidence from the cooperative election study," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    10. Binder, Carola Conces & Campbell, Jeffrey R. & Ryngaert, Jane M., 2024. "Consumer inflation expectations: Daily dynamics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(S).
    11. Guo, Junjie & Tang, Li & Xie, Shihan & Yin, Penghui, 2025. "Navigating fiscal fog: Household expectations in an uncertain fiscal environment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    12. David Borukhson & Jonas Fegert & Philipp Lorenz-Spreen, 2026. "Diverging associations of traditional versus social media with government trust," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 13(1), pages 1-16, December.
    13. Çekin, Semih Emre & Polattimur, Hamza, 2025. "Televised inflation: Measuring TV news coverage and its effect on household expectations," ZEW Discussion Papers 25-051, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    14. Dovern, Jonas & Glas, Alexander, 2025. "Uncertainty and rounding in expectation surveys," Discussion Papers 22/2025, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    15. Siye Bae & Sangyup Choi & Sang-Hyun Kim & Myunghwan Andrew Lee & Myungkyu Shim, 2025. "Can We Anchor Macroeconomic Expectations Across Party Lines? Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," Working papers 2025rwp-255, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.

  6. Carola Conces Binder & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2023. "Central Bank Forecasting: A Survey," Staff Working Papers 23-18, Bank of Canada.

    Cited by:

    1. Hoffmann, Mathias & Mönch, Emanuel & Pavlova, Lora & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2025. "A KISS for central bank communication in times of high inflation," Discussion Papers 12/2025, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    2. Nason, Guy P. & Palasciano, Henry Antonio, 2026. "Forecasting UK consumer price inflation with RaGNAR: Random generalised network autoregressive processes," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 181-202.
    3. Shovon Sengupta & Tanujit Chakraborty & Sunny Kumar Singh, 2024. "Forecasting CPI inflation under economic policy and geopolitical uncertainties," Post-Print hal-05056934, HAL.
    4. Fadda, Pietro & Hanifi, Rayane & Istrefi, Klodiana & Penalver, Adrian, 2025. "Central bank communication of uncertainty," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    5. Shafiq Ur Rehman & Sajjad Nawaz Khan & Waseem Subhani & Iftikhar Mehboob & Muhammad Noman Yaseen & Asad Qayoom, 2023. "Impact of Distributed Ledger Technology (DLT) and Fintech Investment on Central Bank Policy and Monetary Policy Effectiveness," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 12(3), pages 202-210.
    6. Sengupta, Shovon & Chakraborty, Tanujit & Singh, Sunny Kumar, 2025. "Forecasting CPI inflation under economic policy and geopolitical uncertainties," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 41(3), pages 953-981.
    7. Christian Conrad & Zeno Enders & Gernot Müller, 2025. "Inflation Forecast Targeting Revisited," CESifo Working Paper Series 12006, CESifo.
    8. Muhammed Bulutay, 2024. "Better than Perceived? Correcting Misperceptions about Central Bank Inflation Forecasts," Berlin School of Economics Discussion Papers 0034, Berlin School of Economics.
    9. Nikolaos Giannellis & Stephen G. Hall & Georgios P. Kouretas & George S. Tavlas, 2024. "Forecasting in turbulent times," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(4), pages 819-826, July.
    10. Kotłowski, Jacek, 2025. "The role of central bank forecasts in uncertain times," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    11. Eunkyu Seong & Seojeong Lee, 2026. "Are the Bank of Korea's Inflation Forecasts Biased Toward the Target?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 45(3), pages 1092-1109, April.
    12. Eleni Argiri & Stephen G. Hall & Angeliki Momtsia & Daphne Marina Papadopoulou & Ifigeneia Skotida & George S. Tavlas & Yongli Wang, 2024. "An evaluation of the inflation forecasting performance of the European Central Bank, the Federal Reserve, and the Bank of England," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(4), pages 932-947, July.
    13. Goldstein, Nathan, 2025. "The attention of the Fed," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    14. Zhang, Yifan & Wang, Xinyue & Zhang, Xinwen & Zhu, Dandan, 2026. "Policy uncertainty and optimal provision of public information," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    15. Langfeng Zhou & Huaguan Li, 2026. "Leveraging Structural Insights: Enhancing Inflation Forecasting With Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium‐Informed Long Short‐Term Memory Models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 45(6), pages 3011-3029, September.

  7. Carola Binder & Pei Kuang & Li Tang, 2023. "Central Bank Communication and House Price Expectations," NBER Working Papers 31232, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Jean-Charles Bricongne & Baptiste Meunier & Raquel Caldeira, 2024. "Should Central Banks Care About Text Mining? A Literature Review," Working papers 950, Banque de France.
    2. Chen, Heng & Li, Xu & Pei, Guangyu & Xin, Qian, 2024. "Heterogeneous overreaction in expectation formation: Evidence and theory," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 218(C).
    3. Kuang, Pei & Luca, Davide & Wei, Zhiwu & Yao, Yao, 2023. "Great or grim? Disagreement about Brexit, economic expectations and household spending," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 119200, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    4. Fatih Kansoy & Joel Mundy, 2025. "Central Bank Communication with Public: Bank of England and Twitter (X)," Papers 2506.02559, arXiv.org.
    5. Ash, Elliott & Mikosch, Heiner & Perakis, Alexis & Sarferaz, Samad, 2026. "Seeing and hearing is believing: The role of audiovisual communication in shaping inflation expectations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    6. Yu, Zhen & Liu, Wei & Yang, Fuyu, 2023. "A central bankers’ sentiment index of global financial cycle," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    7. Guo, Junjie & Tang, Li & Xie, Shihan & Yin, Penghui, 2025. "Navigating fiscal fog: Household expectations in an uncertain fiscal environment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    8. Pei Kuang & Li Tang & Renbin Zhang & Tongbin Zhang, 2025. "Are survey stock price forecasts anchored by fundamental forecasts? A long-run perspective," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 79(2), pages 657-685, March.
    9. Alexopoulos, Michelle & Han, Xinfen & Kryvtsov, Oleksiy & Zhang, Xu, 2024. "More than words: Fed Chairs’ communication during congressional testimonies," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).

  8. Carola Binder & Wesley Janson & Randal J. Verbrugge, 2019. "Thinking Outside the Box: Do SPF Respondents Have Anchored Inflation Expectations?," Working Papers 19-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

    Cited by:

    1. Garcia, Juan Angel & Gimeno, Ricardo, 2024. "Navigating high inflation: A joint analysis of inflation dynamics and long-term inflation expectations in Latin America," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 5(4).
    2. Cole, Stephen J. & Milani, Fabio, 2021. "Heterogeneity in individual expectations, sentiment, and constant-gain learning," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 627-650.

Articles

  1. Binder, Carola & Ozturk, Ezgi & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2025. "The effects of inflation uncertainty on firms and the macroeconomy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Comunale, Mariarosaria & Nguyen, Anh Dinh Minh, 2025. "A comprehensive MacroEconomic uncertainty measure for the euro area and its implications to COVID-19," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    2. Beckmann, Joscha & Brunne, Jennifer & Heinrich, Timo, 2026. "Inflation expectations and cognitive uncertainty," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    3. Jesús Eduardo López-Mares & Juan Manuel Ocegueda-Hernández & Rogelio Varela-Llamas, 2025. "Monetary Policy Adjustments in Mexico During COVID-19: Fear of Floating and Macroeconomic Volatility," Economies, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-15, March.
    4. Enriquez-Perales, Sarela & García-Gómez, Conrado Diego & Díez-Esteban, José María, 2026. "Climate vulnerability and market volatility: Evidence from European firms," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).

  2. Carola Binder, 2025. "The rise of inflation targeting," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 91(4), pages 1229-1246, April.

    Cited by:

    1. Bryan P. Cutsinger & William J. Luther, 2025. "Symposium introduction: Reviewing the Federal Reserve's framework," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 91(4), pages 1213-1228, April.

  3. Binder, Carola Conces & Campbell, Jeffrey R. & Ryngaert, Jane M., 2024. "Consumer inflation expectations: Daily dynamics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(S).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Binder, Carola Conces & Kamdar, Rupal & Ryngaert, Jane M., 2024. "Partisan expectations and COVID-era inflation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(S).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. Carola Conces Binder & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2024. "Central bank forecasting: A survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(2), pages 342-364, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  6. Baerg, Nicole & Binder, Carola, 2024. "Automated Detection Of Emotion In Central Bank Communication: A Warning," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 269, pages 82-91, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Klose, Jens & Barry, Mamdou-Lamine & Bruns, Brenton Joey & Kandemir, Sinem & Smirnov, Victor & Tillmann, Peter, 2025. "The Emotions of Monetary Policy," VfS Annual Conference 2025 (Cologne): Revival of Industrial Policy 325365, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.

  7. Carola Binder & Wesley Janson & Randal Verbrugge, 2023. "Out of Bounds: Do SPF Respondents Have Anchored Inflation Expectations?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(2-3), pages 559-576, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Ehrmann, Michael, 2024. "Trust in central banks," Working Paper Series 3006, European Central Bank.
    2. Jonas D. M. Fisher, Jonas D. & Melosi, Leonardo & Sebastian Rast, Sebastian, 2025. "Long-Run Inflation Expectations," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1551, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    3. Jonas D. M. Fisher & Leonardo Melosi & Sebastian Rast, 2025. "Long-Run Inflation Expectations," Working Paper Series WP 2025-03, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    4. Ulrike Malmendier & Stefan Nagel, 2026. "Seemingly Anchored Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 12750, CESifo.
    5. Jonas Dovern & Alexander Glas & Geoff Kenny, 2024. "Testing for differences in survey‐based density expectations: A compositional data approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 1104-1122, September.
    6. Richard Ashley & Randal Verbrugge, 2025. "The intermittent Phillips curve: Finding a stable (but persistence‐dependent) Phillips curve model specification," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 63(3), pages 926-944, July.
    7. Alexander Cline & Robert W. Rich, 2026. "How Anchored Are Short-Run Inflation Expectations Today? A Look at What Consumers and Forecasters Are Telling Us," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2026(01), pages 1-14, February.
    8. Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert L., 2026. "Uncertainty shocks and inflation: The role of credibility and expectation anchoring," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    9. Czudaj, Robert L., 2023. "Anchoring of Inflation Expectations and the Role of Monetary Policy and Cost-Push Factors," MPRA Paper 119029, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Verbrugge, Randal & Zaman, Saeed, 2023. "The hard road to a soft landing: Evidence from a (modestly) nonlinear structural model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).

  8. An, Zidong & Binder, Carola & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2023. "Gas price expectations of Chinese households," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Ma, Ruiguang & Sun, Jiayin & Hong, Qiaozhang & Qiu, Ningxin, 2026. "Energy independence and economic resilience," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    2. Alberini, Anna & Ščasný, Milan & Czajkowski, Mikolaj & Bigano, Andrea, 2023. "Volatile energy markets, consumers and energy price expectations," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    3. Ingar Haaland & Christopher Roth & Stefanie Stantcheva & Johannes Wohlfart, 2025. "Understanding Economic Behavior Using Open-Ended Survey Data," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 362, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    4. Shiu‐Sheng Chen & Tzu‐Yu Lin, 2025. "Predicting UK House Prices Through Stocks Tied to the Housing Market," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(8), pages 2478-2493, December.
    5. Yunhao Yao & Zishan Li & Xiaoxing Zhou & Merle Parmak, 2023. "Yachting Tourism Consumption Potential and Its Influencing Factors: Considering 12 Coastal Cities in China as Examples," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(16), pages 1-16, August.
    6. Xuewen Liu & Pengfei Wang & Sichuang Xu, 2024. "Asset‐Market Sentiments And Business Cycle Fluctuations," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 65(4), pages 1795-1819, November.
    7. Dzung Bui & Bernd Hayo, 2025. "Inflation Expectations of the General Public under Supply Constraints: Evidence from a Survey Experiment," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202520, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    8. Qian, Wei, 2025. "House price expectations and household spending— A survey-based experiment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    9. Li, Cheng & Zeng, Huifang & Mo, Haozhong, 2026. "Sentiment and the Chinese stock return: The case of the Russia-Ukraine conflict," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).

  9. Gwangmin Kim & Carola Binder, 2023. "Learning-through-Survey in Inflation Expectations," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 15(2), pages 254-278, April.

    Cited by:

    1. Benjamin Born & Zeno Enders & Manuel Menkhoff & Gernot J. Müller & Knut Niemann, 2023. "Firm Expectations and News: Micro v Macro," ifo Working Paper Series 400, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    2. Mitchell, James & Shiroff, Taylor & Braitsch, Hana, 2026. "Practice makes perfect: Learning effects with household point and density forecasts of inflation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 315-329.
    3. Anahit Matinyan & Ardash Kilejian & Gevorg Minasyan & Aleksandr Shirkhanyan, 2025. "The Role of Information in Shaping Inflation Expectations and Perceptions: A Survey Experiment," Working Papers WP-2025-02, Central Bank of Armenia.
    4. Łyziak, Tomasz & Pedersen, Michael & Stanisławska, Ewa, 2025. "Consumer inflation expectations and local price changes: Learning from experience," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    5. Hibbert, Ann Marie & Yang, Shanxiang, 2026. "Racial differences in expected stock market performance and stock ownership," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    6. Jonas Dovern & Alexander Glas & Geoff Kenny, 2024. "Testing for differences in survey‐based density expectations: A compositional data approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 1104-1122, September.
    7. Wehrhöfer, Nils, 2023. "Energy prices and inflation expectations: Evidence from households and firms," Discussion Papers 28/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    8. Fiorella De Fiore & Alexis Maurin & Andrej Mijakovic & Damiano Sandri, 2024. "Monetary policy in the news: communication pass-through and inflation expectations," BIS Working Papers 1231, Bank for International Settlements.
    9. Philip Schnattinger & Prachi Srivastava, 2025. "Household Inflation Uncertainty and Wage Growth Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 12216, CESifo.
    10. Couture, Cody & Owen, Ann L., 2025. "Social media advertising and macroeconomic expectations: Evidence from Meta," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
    11. Erwan Gautier & Frédérique Savignac & Olivier Coibion, 2025. "Firms’ Inflation and Wage Expectations during the Inflation Surge," Working papers 995, Banque de France.
    12. Coleman, Winnie, 2026. "Mind the gap: Gender differences in inflation expectations," Discussion Papers 2026/21, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    13. DiGiuseppe, Matthew & Garriga, Ana Carolina & Kern, Andreas, 2025. "Partisan Bias in Inflation Expectations," MPRA Paper 124391, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Christoph K. Becker & Peter Duersch & Thomas A. Eife, 2026. "Measuring inflation expectations: How the response scale shapes density forecasts," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 17(3), pages 895-937, July.
    15. Pavlova, Lora, 2024. "Framing effects in consumer expectations surveys," ZEW Discussion Papers 24-036, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    16. Comerford, David A., 2025. "Cognitive reflection, arithmetic ability and financial literacy independently predict both inflation expectations and forecast accuracy," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 41(2), pages 517-531.
    17. Becker, Christoph Karl & Duersch, Peter & Eife, Thomas & Glas, Alexander, 2025. "Personalizing probabilistic survey scales," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    18. Coleman, Winnie & Nautz, Dieter, 2025. "Asymmetric inflation target credibility," Discussion Papers 2025/1, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    19. Jo, Yoon Joo & Klopack, Ben, 2025. "Fueling expectations: The causal impact of gas prices on Inflation Expectations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    20. Harold Glenn A. Valera & Cymon Kayle Lubangco & Mark J. Holmes, 2026. "Does repeated cross-section data help explain consumer inflation expectations revisions?," Working Papers in Economics 26/03, University of Waikato.
    21. Stanisławska, Ewa & Paloviita, Maritta, 2024. "Heterogeneous responsiveness of consumers’ medium-term inflation expectations," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    22. Binder, Carola Conces & Campbell, Jeffrey R. & Ryngaert, Jane M., 2024. "Consumer inflation expectations: Daily dynamics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(S).
    23. Piccolo, Jessica & Russo, Alessia & Granziera, Eleonora & Castelnuovo, Efrem, 2026. "Households' macroeconomic beliefs: The role of education," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 9/2026, Bank of Finland.
    24. Weber, Michael & Candia, Bernardo & Afrouzi, Hassan & Ropele, Tiziano & Lluberas, Rodrigo & Frache, Serafin & Meyer, Brent & Kumar, Saten & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Coibion, Oliv, 2024. "Tell me something I don’t already know: learning in low and high-inflation settings," Working Paper Series 2914, European Central Bank.
    25. Philip Bunn & Nicholas Bloom & Alice Crundwell & Sami Khan & Craig Menzies & Paul Mizen & Molly Sculthorpe & Krishan Shah & Gregory Thwaites & Ivan Yotzov, 2024. "The Decision Maker Panel: a user’s guide," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 1096, Bank of England.
    26. Hack, Lukas & Rostam-Afschar, Davud, 2025. "Which Macroeconomic News Matters for Price-Setting?," IZA Discussion Papers 17935, IZA Network @ LISER.
    27. van der Cruijsen, Carin & de Haan, Jakob & van Rooij, Maarten, 2025. "The association of high perceived inflation with trust in national politics and central banks✰," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    28. Becker, Christoph & Dürsch, Peter & Eife, Thomas A. & Glas, Alexander, 2023. "Households' probabilistic inflation expectations in high-inflation regimes," ZEW Discussion Papers 23-072, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    29. Oliver Pfauti, 2023. "The Inflation Attention Threshold and Inflation Surges," Papers 2308.09480, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
    30. Olena Kostyshyna & Isabelle Salle & Hung Truong, 2026. "Heterogeneity in the Formation of Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Micro Data," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 26-036/VI, Tinbergen Institute.
    31. Meyer, Brent H. & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2025. "Unit cost expectations: Firms’ perspectives on inflation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    32. Michail, Nektarios A. & Louca, Kyriaki G., 2025. "Inflation expectations and house prices in the euro area," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 383-391.
    33. Pavlova, Lora, 2025. "Framing effects in consumer expectations surveys," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    34. Dräger, Lena & Lamla, Michael J. & Pfajfar, Damjan, 2024. "How to limit the spillover from an inflation surge to inflation expectations?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    35. Elyas Fermand & Camelia M. Kuhnen & Geng Li & Itzhak Ben-David, 2024. "Extrapolative Uncertainty and Household Economic Behavior," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(8), pages 5607-5625, August.
    36. Brent Meyer & Xuguang Sheng, 2024. "Unit Cost Expectations and Uncertainty: Firms' Perspectives on Inflation," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2021-12b, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    37. Jonathan Adams & Philip Barrett, 2024. "Shocks to Inflation Expectations," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 54, October.
    38. Klaus Gründler & Michael Lamla & Niklas Potrafke & Timo Wochner, 2026. "Experts as Intermediaries," CESifo Working Paper Series 12492, CESifo.
    39. Pedro Gonzalez-Fernandez & Ciril Bosch-Rosa & Thomas Meissner, 2024. "Direct Elicitation of Parametric Belief Distributions: An application to inflation expectations," Berlin School of Economics Discussion Papers 0048, Berlin School of Economics.
    40. Kieren, Pascal & König-Kersting, Christian & Schmidt, Robert & Trautmann, Stefan & Heinicke, Franziska, 2025. "First-order and higher-order inflation expectations: Evidence about Households and Firms," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    41. Philippe Andrade & Alexander Dietrich & John Leer & Jenny Tang & Egon Zakrajšek, 2026. "The Future in Today’s Prices: Evidence from a Survey of U.S. Firms," Working Papers 26-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    42. Dario Bonciani & Riccardo M. Masolo & Silvia Sarpietro, 2026. "How Food Prices Shape Inflation Expectations and the Monetary Policy Response," Working Papers in Public Economics 274, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Rome.
    43. Hayo, Bernd & Méon, Pierre-Guillaume, 2024. "Preaching to the agnostic: Inflation reporting can increase trust in the central bank but only among people with weak priors," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    44. Jain, Monica & Kostyshyna, Olena & Zhang, Xu, 2024. "How do people view wage and price inflation?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    45. Erwan Gautier & Jérémi Montornès, 2025. "Measuring Households' Inflation Expectations in the Euro Area: The Effect of Panel Conditioning," Working papers 1007, Banque de France.
    46. Damjan Pfajfar & Fabian Winkler, 2025. "Households' Preferences Over Inflation and Monetary Policy Tradeoffs," Working Papers 25-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    47. Jain, Monica & Kostyshyna, Olena & Zhang, Xu, 2025. "Expectations of inflation, wages and spending: Evidence from a consumer survey," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    48. Daria Minina & Gabriele Galati & Richhild Moessner & Maarten van Rooij, 2024. "The effect of information on consumer inflation expectations," Working Papers 810, DNB.
    49. Anastasiou, Dimitris & Ftiti, Zied & Louhichi, Waël & Rizos, Anastasios & Stratopoulou, Artemis, 2025. "The influence of oil investors' sentiment on inflation dynamics and uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).

  10. Binder, Carola Conces, 2022. "Time-of-day and day-of-week variations in Amazon Mechanical Turk survey responses," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Coleman, Winnie & Nautz, Dieter, 2025. "Asymmetric inflation target credibility," Discussion Papers 2025/1, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.

  11. Carola Binder & Rupal Kamdar, 2022. "Expected and Realized Inflation in Historical Perspective," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 36(3), pages 131-156, Summer.

    Cited by:

    1. Iorgulescu, Elissa-Ana-Maria & Kuntara Pukthuanthong & Quinn, William, 2026. "150 years of U.S. inflation expectations," QUCEH Working Paper Series 26-06, Queen's University Belfast, Queen's University Centre for Economic History.
    2. Etienne Briand & Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2024. "Inflation, Attention and Expectations," Working Papers 24-05, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Dec 2024.
    3. Rodriguez, Harold & Colombo, Jefferson, 2025. "Is bitcoin an inflation hedge?," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    4. Fischer, Marcel & Jankowski, Natascha, 2025. "Life cycle consumption and portfolio choice under real interest rate risk," arqus Discussion Papers in Quantitative Tax Research 291, arqus - Arbeitskreis Quantitative Steuerlehre.
    5. Stefano Fasani & Valeria Patella & Giuseppe Pagano Giorgianni & Lorenza Rossi, 2025. "Belief Distortions and Disagreement about Inflation," Working Papers 423478673, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
    6. Thierno Thioune & Dieudonné Mignamissi & Séraphin Brice Minkoé Bikoula, 2025. "The Non-linear effect of Inflation on Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: Does Democracy Matter?," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 16(1), pages 5548-5571, March.
    7. Kukk, Merike & Toczynski, Jan & Basten, Christoph, 2025. "Beyond the headline: How personal exposure to inflation shapes the financial choices of households," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    8. DiGiuseppe, Matthew & Garriga, Ana Carolina & Kern, Andreas, 2025. "Partisan Bias in Inflation Expectations," MPRA Paper 124391, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Zheng, Tingguo & Gong, Lu & Ye, Shiqi, 2023. "Global energy market connectedness and inflation at risk," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    10. Dieudonné Mignamissi & Séraphin Brice Minkoé Bikoula & Thierno Thioune, 2023. "Inflation and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: The Role of Institutions," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 21(4), pages 847-871, December.
    11. Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2022. "The demand and supply of information about inflation," CIRANO Working Papers 2022s-27, CIRANO.
    12. Vedanta Dhamija & Ricardo Nunes & Roshni Tara, 2026. "House price expectations and inflation expectations: evidence from survey data," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 1169, Bank of England.
    13. Li, Jiao & Li, Jialong & Li, Xue & Li, Xinyu, 2026. "The impact of inflation expectations on household debt decisions: Evidence from China," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    14. Binder, Carola Conces & Campbell, Jeffrey R. & Ryngaert, Jane M., 2024. "Consumer inflation expectations: Daily dynamics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(S).
    15. Vedanta Dhamija & Ricardo Nunes & Roshni Tara, 2025. "House Price Expectations and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Survey Data," Economics Series Working Papers 1069, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    16. Patricia Toledo & Roberto Duncan, 2024. "Forecasting food price inflation during global crises," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(4), pages 1087-1113, July.
    17. Skufi, Lorena & Papavangjeli, Meri & Geršl, Adam, 2025. "Migration, remittances, and wage-inflation spillovers: The case of Albania," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 49(4).
    18. Binder, Carola Conces & Kamdar, Rupal & Ryngaert, Jane M., 2024. "Partisan expectations and COVID-era inflation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(S).
    19. Oliver Pfauti, 2023. "The Inflation Attention Threshold and Inflation Surges," Papers 2308.09480, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
    20. Mark Setterfield, 2022. "Inflation and distribution during the post-COVID recovery: a Kaleckian approach," Working Papers 2209, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics.
    21. Bernardino, Tiago & Gabriel, Ricardo Duque & Quelhas, João & Silva-Pereira, Márcia, 2025. "The full, persistent, and symmetric pass-through of a temporary VAT cut," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    22. Angelico, Cristina & Di Giacomo, Federica, 2026. "Heterogeneous inflation expectations and forecast errors across the income distribution: The role of memory," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    23. Irina-Stefana Cibotariu, 2023. "24. Comparative Econometric Insights Into The Influence Of Inflation On Economic Growth In Romania And European Union," European Journal of Accounting, Finance & Business, "Stefan cel Mare" University of Suceava, Romania - Faculty of Economics and Public Administration, West University of Timisoara, Romania - Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 11(2), pages 194-201, June.
    24. Janet Hua Jiang & Rupal Kamdar & Kelin Lu & Daniela Puzzello, 2024. "How Do Households Respond to Expected Inflation? An Investigation of Transmission Mechanisms," Staff Working Papers 24-44, Bank of Canada.
    25. Refk Selmi, 2025. "Changes in Inflation Expectations and Firm Performance during Recent Global Economic Shocks," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 26(2), pages 731-764, November.
    26. Guido Macas-Acosta & Genesis Macas-Lituma & Arnaldo Vergara-Romero, 2022. "The Internal and External Factors That Determined Private Investment in Ecuador 2007–2020," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-11, October.
    27. Claudio Borio & Marco Jacopo Lombardi & James Yetman & Egon Zakrajsek, 2023. "The two-regime view of inflation," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 133, November.
    28. Stefano Fasani & Giuseppe Pagano Giorgianni & Valeria Patella & Lorenza Rossi, 2025. "Belief Distortions and Uncertainty About Inflation," CESifo Working Paper Series 12209, CESifo.

  12. Carola Conces Binder & Gillian Brunet, 2022. "Inflation expectations and consumption: Evidence from 1951," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 60(2), pages 954-974, April.

    Cited by:

    1. Okan Akarsu & Emrehan Aktuğ & Huzeyfe Torun, 2025. "Inflation Expectations and Firms' Decisions in High Inflation: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," CESifo Working Paper Series 12210, CESifo.
    2. An, Zidong & Binder, Carola & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2023. "Gas price expectations of Chinese households," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    3. Joshua K. Hausman, 2023. "I Am Still Worried About Inflation," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 319-322, January.
    4. Yanqin Zhang & Xueli Zhang & Manzhi Liu, 2023. "A Study on the Factors Influencing Household Consumption from a Money Demand Perspective: Evidence from Chinese Urban Residents," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-18, December.
    5. Mineyama, Tomohide & Tokuoka, Kiichi, 2025. "Investigating how inflation expectations affect precautionary wealth," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    6. Andrade, Philippe & Gautier, Erwan & Mengus, Eric, 2023. "What matters in households’ inflation expectations?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 50-68.
    7. Binder, Carola Conces & Kamdar, Rupal & Ryngaert, Jane M., 2024. "Partisan expectations and COVID-era inflation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(S).
    8. Carola Binder & Rupal Kamdar, 2022. "Expected and Realized Inflation in Historical Perspective," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 36(3), pages 131-156, Summer.
    9. Janet Hua Jiang & Rupal Kamdar & Kelin Lu & Daniela Puzzello, 2024. "How Do Households Respond to Expected Inflation? An Investigation of Transmission Mechanisms," Staff Working Papers 24-44, Bank of Canada.
    10. Akarsu, Okan & Aktuğ, Emrehan & Aldan, Altan & Seven, Ünal, 2026. "A quasi-experiment in monetary policy: The impact of unexpected easing on inflation expectations and firm behavior," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).

  13. Carola Binder & Tucker S. Mcelroy & Xuguang S. Sheng, 2022. "The Term Structure of Uncertainty: New Evidence from Survey Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(1), pages 39-71, February.

    Cited by:

    1. An, Zidong & Sheng, Xuguang Simon & Zheng, Xinye, 2023. "What is the role of perceived oil price shocks in inflation expectations?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    2. Alessandro Barbera & Dora Xia & Sonya Zhu, 2023. "The term structure of inflation forecasts disagreement and monetary policy transmission," BIS Working Papers 1114, Bank for International Settlements.
    3. Agata Kliber & Magdalena Szyszko & Mariusz Próchniak & Aleksandra Rutkowska, 2023. "Impact of uncertainty on inflation forecast errors in Central and Eastern European countries," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 13(3), pages 535-574, December.
    4. Cahen-Fourot, Louison & Campiglio, Emanuele & Daumas, Louis & Miess, Michael Gregor & Yardley, Andrew, 2023. "Stranding ahoy? Heterogeneous transition beliefs and capital investment choices," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 216(C), pages 535-567.
    5. Binder, Carola & Ozturk, Ezgi & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2025. "The effects of inflation uncertainty on firms and the macroeconomy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    6. Bettarelli, Luca & Furceri, Davide & Pisano, Loredana, 2026. "How economic and policy uncertainty shapes the stringency of climate change policies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    7. ETHAN M.L. McCLURE & VITALIIA YAREMKO & OLIVIER COIBION & YURIY GORODNICHENKO, 2025. "The Macroeconomic Expectations of U.S. Managers," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 57(4), pages 683-716, June.
    8. Alistair Macaulay & James Moberly, 2026. "Heterogeneity in Imperfect Inflation Expectations: Theory and Evidence from a Novel Survey," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 58(4), pages 969-994, June.

  14. Carola Binder & Christos Makridis, 2022. "Stuck in the Seventies: Gas Prices and Consumer Sentiment," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(2), pages 293-305, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Morão, Hugo, 2025. "Fuel price surges and rising inflation expectations in the Euro Area," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
    2. Magud, Nicolás E. & Pienknagura, Samuel, 2025. "Inflated concerns: Exposure to past inflationary episodes and preferences for price stability," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    3. Peter Lihn Jørgensen & Kevin J. Lansing, 2026. "From Volcker to the Pandemic Era: History Dependent Anchoring of Short-Run Expected Inflation," Working Paper Series 2026-08, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    4. Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2022. "The impact of rising oil prices on U.S. inflation and inflation expectations in 2020–23," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    5. Dietrich, Alexander M., 2023. "Consumption categories, household attention, and inflation expectations: Implications for optimal monetary policy," University of Tübingen Working Papers in Business and Economics 157, University of Tuebingen, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, School of Business and Economics.
    6. Vatsa, Puneet & Pino, Gabriel, 2024. "Do petrol prices affect inflation and inflation expectations? Evidence from New Zealand," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    7. Hajdini, Ina & Knotek, Edward S. & Leer, John & Pedemonte, Mathieu & Rich, Robert & Schoenle, Raphael, 2024. "Indirect consumer inflation expectations: Theory and evidence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(S).
    8. Michael Reiter & Christian Kimmich & Elisabeth Laa & Daniel Schmidtner & Adrian Wende & Klaus Weyerstraß, 2024. "Auswirkungen von Energiepreisen auf Österreichs Exportwirtschaft," FIW Research Reports series y:2024:m:05, FIW.
    9. Jo, Yoon Joo & Klopack, Ben, 2025. "Fueling expectations: The causal impact of gas prices on Inflation Expectations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    10. Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2020. "Oil prices, gasoline prices and inflation expectations: A new model and new facts," CFS Working Paper Series 645, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    11. Binder, Carola Conces & Campbell, Jeffrey R. & Ryngaert, Jane M., 2024. "Consumer inflation expectations: Daily dynamics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(S).
    12. Camacho, Maximo & Caro, Angela & Peña, Daniel, 2023. "What drives industrial energy prices?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    13. Carola Binder, 2020. "Coronavirus Fears and Macroeconomic Expectations," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(4), pages 721-730, October.
    14. Aidala, Felix & Armantier, Olivier & Koşar, Gizem & Somerville, Jason & Topa, Giorgio & van der Klaauw, Wilbert, 2024. "Gasoline price changes and consumer inflation expectations: Experimental evidence," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 220(C), pages 66-80.
    15. Shaoyi Lu & Taoufik Bouraoui, 2024. "Factors impacting consumer confidence: Evidence from China," Post-Print hal-04818095, HAL.
    16. Link, Sebastian & Peichl, Andreas & Roth, Christopher & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2024. "Attention to the Macroeconomy," VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges 302360, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    17. Anastasiou, Dimitris & Ftiti, Zied & Louhichi, Waël & Tsouknidis, Dimitris, 2023. "Household deposits and consumer sentiment expectations: Evidence from Eurozone," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    18. Erik Kole & Liesbeth Noordegraaf-Eelens & Bas Vringer, 2025. "Cognitive biases in consumer sentiment: the peak-end rule and herding," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 69(4), pages 2141-2211, October.
    19. Stephen Miller & Gary A. Wagner & Alicia Plemmons, 2025. "Employment effects of minimum wage indexing: Establishment evidence from Oregon restaurants," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 63(3), pages 681-714, July.
    20. Carola Binder & Rupal Kamdar, 2022. "Expected and Realized Inflation in Historical Perspective," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 36(3), pages 131-156, Summer.
    21. Kuang, Pei & Luca, Davide & Wei, Zhiwu, 2026. "Ballots, budgets and bricks: Brexit and the polarisation of individual economic behaviours," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 138681, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    22. Jonathan Adams & Philip Barrett, 2024. "Shocks to Inflation Expectations," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 54, October.
    23. Pei Kuang & Li Tang & Renbin Zhang & Tongbin Zhang, 2025. "Are survey stock price forecasts anchored by fundamental forecasts? A long-run perspective," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 79(2), pages 657-685, March.
    24. Daniel Berkowitz & Andrew J. Boslett & Jason P. Brown & Jeremy G. Weber, 2025. "Borrowing Based on Great Expectations: Evidence from the Origins of Fracking," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 71(12), pages 9955-9975, December.
    25. Priya, Pragati & Sharma, Chandan, 2024. "On transmission channels of energy prices and monetary policy shocks to household consumption: Evidence from India," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    26. Kuang, Pei & Luca, Davide & Wei, Zhiwu, 2026. "Ballots, budgets and bricks: Brexit and the polarisation of individual economic behaviours," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    27. Makridis, Christos A., 2022. "The social transmission of economic sentiment on consumption," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).

  15. Binder, Carola Conces, 2021. "Household expectations and the release of macroeconomic statistics," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Claus, Edda & Nguyen, Viet Hoang, 2026. "Heart strings and purse strings: The impact of affect on consumer spending," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    2. Hack, Lukas & Rostam-Afschar, Davud, 2025. "Which Macroeconomic News Matters for Price-Setting?," IZA Discussion Papers 17935, IZA Network @ LISER.
    3. Ivan Yotzov & Nicholas Bloom & Philip Bunn & Paul Mizen & Gregory Thwaites, 2024. "The Speed of Firm Response to Inflation," Discussion Papers 2425, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    4. Carola Binder & Rupal Kamdar, 2022. "Expected and Realized Inflation in Historical Perspective," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 36(3), pages 131-156, Summer.
    5. Binder, Carola Conces, 2022. "Time-of-day and day-of-week variations in Amazon Mechanical Turk survey responses," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    6. Angelico, Cristina & Di Giacomo, Federica, 2026. "Heterogeneous inflation expectations and forecast errors across the income distribution: The role of memory," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    7. Thomas L. Hogan, 2025. "The failure of forward guidance: Lessons from the pandemic recovery," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 91(4), pages 1265-1286, April.

  16. Carola Conces Binder, 2021. "Central Bank Communication and Disagreement about the Natural Rate Hypothesis," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(2), pages 81-123, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Carola Conces Binder & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2023. "Central Bank Forecasting: A Survey," Staff Working Papers 23-18, Bank of Canada.
    2. An, Zidong & Zheng, Xinye, 2023. "Diligent forecasters can make accurate predictions despite disagreeing with the consensus," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    3. Natsuki Arai & Shian Chang, 2025. "Dispersion of FOMC Policymakers: Evidence from Individual Economic Projections with Identities," Working Papers 2025-003, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research.
    4. Philipp F. M. Baumann & Enzo Rossi & Alexander Volkmann, 2021. "What drives inflation and how? Evidence from additive mixed models selected by cAIC," Working Papers 2021-12, Swiss National Bank.
    5. Arai, Natsuki, 2023. "The FOMC’s new individual economic projections and macroeconomic theories," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    6. Francesco Salsano, 2022. "Monetary policy when the objectives of central bankers are imperfectly observable," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 69(4), pages 396-415, September.
    7. Thomas L. Hogan, 2022. "The calculus of dissent: Bias and diversity in FOMC projections," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 191(1), pages 105-135, April.

  17. Carola Conces Binder, 2021. "Political Pressure on Central Banks," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(4), pages 715-744, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Ehrmann, Michael, 2024. "Trust in central banks," Working Paper Series 3006, European Central Bank.
    2. Bianchi, Francesco & Gómez-Cram, Roberto & Kind, Thilo & Kung, Howard, 2023. "Threats to central bank independence: High-frequency identification with twitter," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 37-54.
    3. Fraccaroli, Nicolò & Giovannini, Alessandro & Jamet, Jean-François & Persson, Eric, 2022. "Ideology and monetary policy. The role of political parties’ stances in the European Central Bank’s parliamentary hearings," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    4. Perera-Tallo, Fernando, 2026. "The role of the central bank in managing expectations, backing up public debt, and controlling public deficits," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    5. Oriola, Hugo, 2023. "Political monetary cycles: An empirical study," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    6. Masciandaro, Donato & Russo, Riccardo, 2024. "Monetary and macroprudential policies: How to Be green? A political-economy approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    7. Eydam, Ulrich & Leupold, Florian, 2024. "What is it good for? On the inflationary effects of military conflicts," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    8. Yin, Hua-Tang & Chang, Chun-Ping & Anugrah, Donni Fajar & Gunadi, Iman, 2023. "Gender equality and central bank independence," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 661-672.
    9. Garriga, Ana Carolina & Rodriguez, Cesar M., 2025. "Balancing Act or Policy Pitfall? The Effects of Central Bank Dual Mandates," MPRA Paper 125925, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Fraccaroli, Nicolò & Giovannini, Alessandro & Jamet, Jean-Francois & Persson, Eric, 2022. "Ideology and monetary policy: the role of political parties’ stances in the ECB’s parliamentary hearings," Working Paper Series 2655, European Central Bank.
    11. Hugo Oriola & Matthieu Picault, 2025. "Political central bank coverage," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 203(3), pages 573-647, June.
    12. Rieder, Kilian, 2022. "Monetary policy decision-making by committee: Why, when and how it can work," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    13. Justin Svec & Daniel L. Tortorice, 2022. "Asserting Independence: Optimal Monetary Policy When the Central Bank and Political Authority Disagree," Working Papers 2201, College of the Holy Cross, Department of Economics.
    14. Liu, Yifan & Popova, Ivilina, 2023. "Threats to central bank independence and exchange rate volatility: High-frequency identification with Trump’s Fed tweets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    15. Sonan Memon, 2022. "Inflation in Pakistan: High-Frequency Estimation and Forecasting," PIDE-Working Papers 2022:12, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics.
    16. Garriga, Ana Carolina, 2025. "A Gender Gap in Attitudes Towards Monetary Policy? The Case of Satisfaction with the Bank of England," MPRA Paper 126113, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Sophia Kazinnik & Tara M. Sinclair, 2025. "FOMC In Silico: A Multi-Agent System for Monetary Policy Decision Modeling," Working Papers 2025-005, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research.
    18. Czech National Bank, 2022. "Monetary and fiscal policy interactions in the wake of the pandemic: the case of the Czech Republic," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), The monetary-fiscal policy nexus in the wake of the pandemic, volume 122, pages 115-128, Bank for International Settlements.
    19. Eijffinger, Sylvester & de Haan, Jakob, 2026. "Central bank independence and accountability," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    20. Hugo Oriola & Matthieu Picault, 2023. "Opportunistic Political Central Bank Coverage: Does media coverage of ECB's Monetary Policy Impacts German Political Parties' Popularity?," EconomiX Working Papers 2023-30, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    21. Luis I. Jácome & Samuel Pienknagura, 2026. "Central Bank Independence and Inflation in Latin America—Through the Lens of History," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 58(1), pages 261-292, February.
    22. Giancarlo Giorgetti, 2025. "Public Debt and the Euro: Rules and Economic Policies," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 25256, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    23. Mirzaei, Ali & Pasiouras, Fotios & Samet, Anis, 2021. "State ownership, macroprudential policies, and bank lending," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    24. Jung, Alexander & Romelli, Davide & Farvaque, Etienne, 2025. "Do central bank reforms lead to more monetary discipline?," Working Paper Series 3049, European Central Bank.
    25. Bertsch, Christoph & Hull, Isaiah & Lumsdaine, Robin L. & Zhang, Xin, 2024. "Four Facts about International Central Bank Communication," Working Paper Series 432, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    26. Castrén, Olli & Russo, Riccardo, 2026. "Environmental risks and bank capital measures: A theoretical approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    27. Eijffinger, Sylvester C. W. & de Haan, Jakob, 2026. "Central bank independence: An update," IMFS Working Paper Series 229, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    28. Jácome, Luis I. & Pienknagura, Samuel, 2025. "Central bank independence and inflation tail risks—Evidence from emerging markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    29. Davide Romelli, 2024. "Trends in central bank independence: a de-jure perspective," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 24217, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    30. Angelos Athanasopoulos & Donato Masciandaro & Davide Romelli, 2025. "Long run inflation: persistence and central bank independence," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 25237, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    31. Binder, Carola Conces & Kamdar, Rupal & Ryngaert, Jane M., 2024. "Partisan expectations and COVID-era inflation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(S).
    32. Vollmer Uwe, 2024. "Greening Central Bank Policies: Euro Area vs Non-Euro Area EU Member States," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Paradigm, vol. 59(4), pages 236-242.
    33. Choi, Byoungho, 2026. "Central bank independence and stock price crash risk," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    34. Schmidt, Sebastian, 2024. "Monetary-fiscal policy interactions when price stability occasionally takes a back seat," Working Paper Series 2889, European Central Bank.
    35. Matteo Bonetti & Dirk Broeders & Damiaan Chen & Daniel Dimitrov, 2024. "Central Bank Capital and Shareholder Relationship," Working Papers 809, DNB.
    36. Garriga, Ana Carolina & Rodriguez, Cesar M., 2023. "Central bank independence and inflation volatility in developing countries," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1320-1341.
    37. Etienne Lepers, 2025. "Macroprudential Governance and Capacity to Remove the Punch Bowl," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 73(4), pages 1398-1428, December.
    38. Angelos Athanasopoulos & Donato Masciandaro & Davide Romelli, 2026. "The long‐run disinflationary effects of central bank independence," Trinity Economics Papers tep2026, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics.
    39. Benjamín García & Arsenios Skaperdas, 2024. "Central Bank Independence at Low Interest Rates," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 1003, Central Bank of Chile.
    40. Carmignani, Fabrizio, 2025. "The partisanship of a central banker," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    41. Carola Binder, 2025. "The rise of inflation targeting," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 91(4), pages 1229-1246, April.
    42. Angino, Siria & Secola, Stefania, 2022. "Instinctive versus reflective trust in the European Central Bank," Working Paper Series 2660, European Central Bank.
    43. Hyunwoo Kim, 2023. "Monetary technocracy and democratic accountability: how central bank independence conditions economic voting," Review of International Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 939-964, May.
    44. Alexopoulos, Michelle & Han, Xinfen & Kryvtsov, Oleksiy & Zhang, Xu, 2024. "More than words: Fed Chairs’ communication during congressional testimonies," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    45. Osvald Vasicek & Natalie Uhrova & Lenka Dimitriou Janickova & Tomas Wroblowsky & Boris Navratil, 2023. "Central Bank Independence: Where Do We Stand?," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-15, April.
    46. Jos Manuel Gonz Lez-P Ramo, 2024. "In Defense of Central Bank Independence against its Enthusiasts," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 250(3), pages 109-128, September.
    47. Donato Masciandaro, 2026. "Monetary Policy and Taylor Reaction Functions: Business Cycles, Central Bank Governance and Central Bankers’ Preferences," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 26270, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.

  18. Carola Binder, 2021. "Presidential antagonism and central bank credibility," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(2), pages 244-263, July.

    Cited by:

    1. Ehrmann, Michael, 2024. "Trust in central banks," Working Paper Series 3006, European Central Bank.
    2. Ehrmann, Michael & Wabitsch, Alena, 2022. "Central bank communication with non-experts – A road to nowhere?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 69-85.
    3. An, Zidong & Binder, Carola & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2023. "Gas price expectations of Chinese households," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    4. Travis Adams & Andrea Ajello & Diego Silva & Francisco Vazquez-Grande, 2023. "More than Words: Twitter Chatter and Financial Market Sentiment," Papers 2305.16164, arXiv.org.
    5. Donato Masciandaro & Oana Peia & Davide Romelli, 2022. "Central Bank Communication and Social Media: From Silence to Twitter," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 22187, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    6. Eijffinger, Sylvester & de Haan, Jakob, 2026. "Central bank independence and accountability," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    7. Andrea Ajello & Diego Silva & Travis Adams & Francisco Vazquez-Grande, 2023. "More than Words: Twitter Chatter and Financial Market Sentiment," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-034, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    8. Svec, Justin & Tortorice, Daniel L., 2025. "Asserting independence: Optimal monetary policy when the central bank and political authority disagree," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    9. J. Daniel Aromí & Martín Llada, 2024. "Are professional forecasters inattentive to public discussions about inflation? The case of Argentina," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(7), pages 2572-2587, November.
    10. Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Jakob de Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2022. "Central Bank Communication with the General Public: Promise or False Hope?," NBER Working Papers 30277, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Binder, Carola Conces, 2022. "Time-of-day and day-of-week variations in Amazon Mechanical Turk survey responses," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    12. Binder, Carola Conces, 2021. "Household expectations and the release of macroeconomic statistics," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    13. Yang, YeHa & Son, Woojin & Woo, JongRoul, 2026. "Shifting behavior, shaping grids: Appliance-level insights for targeted residential demand response," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    14. Ludolph, Melina & Nghiem, Giang & Tonzer, Lena, 2026. "Facts or feelings? The role of relatable narratives in shaping inflation expectations," IWH Discussion Papers 10/2026, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    15. de Haan, Jakob & Hoogduin, Lex, 2024. "ECB communication policies: An overview and comparison with the Federal Reserve," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).

  19. Carola Binder, 2020. "Coronavirus Fears and Macroeconomic Expectations," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(4), pages 721-730, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Christopher Roth & Sonja Settele & Johannes Wohlfart, 2020. "Risk Exposure and Acquisition of Macroeconomic Information," CESifo Working Paper Series 8634, CESifo.
    2. An, Zidong & Liu, Dingqian & Wu, Yuzheng, 2021. "Expectation formation following pandemic events," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    3. Haaland, Ingar & Roth, Christopher & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2020. "Designing Information Provision Experiments," CAGE Online Working Paper Series 484, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE).
    4. Dzung Bui & Lena Dräger & Bernd Hayo & Giang Nghiem, 2021. "Consumer Sentiment during the Covid-19 Pandemic: The Role of Others' Beliefs," CESifo Working Paper Series 9010, CESifo.
    5. Miescu, Mirela & Rossi, Raffaele, 2021. "COVID-19-induced shocks and uncertainty," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    6. Fisayo Fagbemi & Tolulope T. Osinubi & Olufemi S. Olatunde, 2022. "COVID-19 and Unemployment: Showcasing Sub-Saharan African Experience," Jindal Journal of Business Research, , vol. 11(1), pages 24-33, June.
    7. Panu Poutvaara & Madhinee Valeyatheepillay, 2020. "Covid-19 Pandemic: Challenges and a Way Forward," EconPol Policy Reports 30, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    8. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2020. "Does Policy Communication during COVID-19 Work?," IZA Discussion Papers 13355, IZA Network @ LISER.
    9. Guven, Cahit & Sotirakopoulos, Panagiotis & Ulker, Aydogan, 2020. "Short-term Labour Market Effects of COVID-19 and the Associated National Lockdown in Australia: Evidence from Longitudinal Labour Force Survey," GLO Discussion Paper Series 635, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    10. Lena Dräger & Michael J. Lamla, 2024. "Consumers' macroeconomic expectations," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(2), pages 427-451, April.
    11. Mihai Ioan Mutascu & Scott W. Hegerty, 2024. "Expected inflation and interest-rate dynamics in the COVID era: evidence from the time–frequency domain," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 51(2), pages 559-582, May.
    12. Chopdar, Prasanta Kr & Paul, Justin & Prodanova, Jana, 2022. "Mobile shoppers’ response to Covid-19 phobia, pessimism and smartphone addiction: Does social influence matter?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    13. Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Paolo D'Imperio & Francesco Felici, 2021. "The fiscal response to the Italian COVID-19 crisis: A counterfactual analysis," Working Papers in Public Economics 216, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Rome.
    14. Bentzen, Jeanet Sinding, 2021. "In crisis, we pray: Religiosity and the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 192(C), pages 541-583.
    15. Hürtgen, Patrick, 2020. "Fiscal sustainability duringthe COVID-19 pandemic," Discussion Papers 35/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    16. Jonathan Benchimol & Makram El-Shagi & Yossi Saadon, 2022. "Do expert experience and characteristics affect inflation forecasts?," Post-Print emse-04624966, HAL.
    17. Alex Rees-Jones & John D'Attoma & Amedeo Piolatto & Luca Salvadori, 2020. "COVID-19 Changed Tastes for Safety-Net Programs," NBER Working Papers 27865, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. Coibion, O & Gorodnichenko, Y & Weber, M, 2022. "Does Policy Communication during COVID Work?," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt0zp1944k, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
    19. An, Zidong & Binder, Carola & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2023. "Gas price expectations of Chinese households," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    20. Stanisławska, Ewa & Paloviita, Maritta, 2021. "Medium- vs. short-term consumer inflation expectations: Evidence from a new euro area survey," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 10/2021, Bank of Finland.
    21. Beniamino Callegari & Christophe Feder, 2022. "The long-term economic effects of pandemics: toward an evolutionary approach [Epidemics and trust: the case of the Spanish flu]," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 31(3), pages 715-735.
    22. Cato, Misina & Schmidt, Tobias, 2023. "Households' expectations and regional COVID-19 dynamics," Discussion Papers 02/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    23. Dräger, Lena & Bui, Dzung & Nghiem, Giang & Hayo, Bernd, 2021. "Consumer Sentiment During the COVID-19 Pandemic," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242375, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    24. Zeng, Hongjun & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Wu, Ran & Ahmed, Abdullahi D., 2024. "Asymmetric dependency among US national financial conditions and clean energy markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    25. Voloshchenko-Holda Lada & Niedziółka Paweł, 2024. "Central bank communication in unconventional times: Some evidence from a textual analysis of the National Bank of Poland communication during the COVID-crisis," Economics and Business Review, Paradigm, vol. 10(1), pages 101-124, April.
    26. Hai-Anh H. Dang & Long T. Giang & Minh N. N. Do, 2021. "Building on Vietnam’s Recent COVID-19 Success: A Job-Focused Analysis of Individual Assessments on Their Finance and the Economy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(19), pages 1-21, September.
    27. Geghetsik Afunts & Misina Cato & Tobias Schmidt, 2023. "Inflation Expectations in the Wake of the War in Ukraine," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp745, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    28. Brodeur, Abel & Gray, David M. & Islam, Anik & Bhuiyan, Suraiya Jabeen, 2020. "A Literature Review of the Economics of COVID-19," IZA Discussion Papers 13411, IZA Network @ LISER.
    29. Coibion, Olivier & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Kenny, Geoff & Weber, Michael, 2021. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending," IZA Discussion Papers 14213, IZA Network @ LISER.
    30. Zoller-Rydzek, Benedikt & Keller, Florian, 2020. "COVID-19: Guaranteed Loans and Zombie Firms," MPRA Paper 100897, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    31. Volodymyr Martyniuk & Tomasz Wolowiec & Elena Mieszajkina, 2021. "Planning and Forecasting Customs Revenues to the State Budget: A Case Study of Ukraine," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(Special 1), pages 648-665.
    32. Dzung Bui & Lena Draeger & Bernd Hayo & Giang NghiemŸ, 2021. "The Effects of Fiscal Policy on Households during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from Emerging Economies," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202120, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    33. Hamza Umer, 2023. "Stability of pro-sociality and trust amid the Covid-19: panel data from the Netherlands," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 50(1), pages 255-287, February.
    34. Kuang, Pei & Luca, Davide & Wei, Zhiwu & Yao, Yao, 2023. "Great or grim? Disagreement about Brexit, economic expectations and household spending," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 119200, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    35. Nautz, Dieter, 2025. "Inflation target credibility and the Taylor rule," Discussion Papers 2025/9, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    36. Meyer, Brent H. & Prescott, Brian & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2022. "The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on business expectations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 529-544.
    37. He, Ke & Wang, Yujie & Zhang, Junbiao & Wang, Qingbin, 2022. "Out of the shadows: Impact of SARS experience on Chinese netizens' willingness to donate for COVID-19 pandemic prevention and control," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    38. Michael Weber & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2023. "The Expected, Perceived, and Realized Inflation of US Households Before and During the COVID19 Pandemic," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 71(1), pages 326-368, March.
    39. Nathan Goldstein & Ohad Raveh, 2024. "Looking up the sky: unidentified aerial phenomena and macroeconomic attention," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-25, December.
    40. Oscar Claveria & Petar Sorić, 2023. "Labour market uncertainty after the irruption of COVID-19," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(4), pages 1897-1945, April.
    41. Beckmann, Joscha & Brunne, Jennifer & Heinrich, Timo, 2026. "Inflation expectations and cognitive uncertainty," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    42. Masagus M. Ridhwan & Jahen F. Rezki & Asep Suryahadi & Arief Ramayandi & Affandi Ismail, 2024. "The Impact of COVID-19 Lockdowns on Household Income, Consumption and Expectations: Evidence from High-frequency Data in Indonesia," Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 60(1), pages 67-94, January.
    43. Gutierrez, Emilio & Rubli, Adrian & Tavares, Tiago, 2022. "Information and behavioral responses during a pandemic: Evidence from delays in Covid-19 death reports," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    44. Balcaen, Pieter & Buts, Caroline & Bois, Cind Du & Tkacheva, Olesya, 2023. "The effect of disinformation about COVID-19 on consumer confidence: Insights from a survey experiment," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    45. Jane M. Ryngaert, 2023. "Balance of Risks and the Anchoring of Consumer Expectations," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-18, January.
    46. Chee-Hong Law & Kim Huat Goh, 2024. "A systematic literature review of the implications of media on inflation expectations," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 311-340, May.
    47. Peter A.G. van Bergeijk, 2021. "Pandemic Economics," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 20401.
    48. Patrick Bareinz & Fabian Koenings, 2021. "Framing of Economic News and Policy Support During a Pandemic: Evidence from an Information Experiment," Jena Economics Research Papers 2021-004, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
    49. Roy Cerqueti & Valerio Ficcadenti, 2024. "Anxiety about the pandemic and trust in financial markets," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 72(4), pages 1277-1328, April.
    50. Vito Polito & Yunyi Zhang, 2021. "Tackling Large Outliers in Macroeconomic Data with Vector Artificial Neural Network Autoregression," CESifo Working Paper Series 9395, CESifo.
    51. Alfaro, Laura & Faia, Ester & Lamersdorf, Nora & Saidi, Farzad, 2020. "Social Interactions in Pandemics: Fear, Altruism, and Reciprocity," CEPR Discussion Papers 14716, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    52. Bui, Dzung & Dräger, Lena & Hayo, Bernd & Nghiem, Giang, 2022. "The effects of fiscal policy on households during the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from Thailand and Vietnam," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    53. Ambrocio, Gene & Hasan, Iftekhar, 2022. "Belief polarization and Covid-19," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 10/2022, Bank of Finland.
    54. Alexander M. Dietrich & Keith Kuester & Gernot J. Müller & Raphael S. Schoenle, 2020. "News and uncertainty about COVID-19: Survey evidence and short-run economic impact," ECONtribute Policy Brief Series 004, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    55. Winnie Coleman & Dieter Nautz, 2023. "Inflation Expectations, Inflation Target Credibility, and the COVID‐19 Pandemic: Evidence from Germany," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(7), pages 1937-1953, October.
    56. Juan A. & Francisco Lagos & Ana I. Moro-Egido, 2022. "Job Insecurity during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Spain," ThE Papers 22/10, Department of Economic Theory and Economic History of the University of Granada..
    57. Katharina Allinger & Fabio Rumler, 2025. "Inflation Expectations in Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe: The Role of Sentiment and Experiences," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 67(2), pages 426-451, June.
    58. Xu, Yingying & Lien, Donald, 2022. "Assessing the impact of COVID-19 on price Co-movements in China," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    59. Coleman, Winnie & Nautz, Dieter, 2025. "Asymmetric inflation target credibility," Discussion Papers 2025/1, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    60. Wen Fan & Yue Qian, 2023. "State Contexts, Job Insecurity, and Subjective Well-being in the Time of COVID-19," Journal of Happiness Studies, Springer, vol. 24(6), pages 2039-2059, August.
    61. Olivier Armantier & Gizem Koşar & Rachel Pomerantz & Daphne Skandalis & Kyle Smith & Giorgio Topa & Wilbert Van der Klaauw, 2020. "How Economic Crises Affect Inflation Beliefs: Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic," Staff Reports 949, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    62. Keyang Li & Yu Qin & Jing Wu & Jubo Yan, 2023. "Perceived economic prospects during the early stage of COVID‐19 breakout," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 41(4), pages 696-713, October.
    63. Gearhart, Richard & Michieka, Nyakundi & Anders, Anne, 2023. "The effectiveness of COVID deaths to COVID policies: A robust conditional approach," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 376-394.
    64. Bejaoui, Azza & Mgadmi, Nidhal & Moussa, Wajdi, 2022. "On the relationship between Bitcoin and other assets during the outbreak of coronavirus: Evidence from fractional cointegration analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
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    66. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2025. "The cost of the COVID-19 crisis: Lockdowns, macroeconomic expectations, and consumer spending," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    67. Brodeur, Abel & Cook, Nikolai & Wright, Taylor, 2020. "On the Effects of COVID-19 Safer-At-Home Policies on Social Distancing, Car Crashes and Pollution," IZA Discussion Papers 13255, IZA Network @ LISER.
    68. Simionescu, Mihaela & Raišienė, Agota Giedrė, 2021. "A bridge between sentiment indicators: What does Google Trends tell us about COVID-19 pandemic and employment expectations in the EU new member states?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    69. Michael J. Lamla & Dmitri V. Vinogradov, 2021. "Is the Word of a Gentleman as Good as His Tweet? Policy communications of the Bank of England," Working Paper Series in Economics 403, University of Lüneburg, Institute of Economics.
    70. Gopalakrishnan, Balagopal & Lim, Jamus Jerome & Mohapatra, Sanket, 2024. "Pandemic panic? Effects of health system capacity on firm confidence during COVID-19," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    71. Bíró, Anikó & Branyiczki, Réka, 2022. "Várakozások és viselkedések a koronavírus-járvány idején [Expectations and behavior during the coronavirus pandemic]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(11), pages 1324-1344.
    72. Katarina Valaskova & Pavol Durana & Peter Adamko, 2021. "Changes in Consumers’ Purchase Patterns as a Consequence of the COVID-19 Pandemic," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(15), pages 1-17, July.
    73. Katharina Allinger & Fabio Rumler, 2023. "Inflation Expectations in CESEE: The Role of Sentiment and Experiences (Katharina Allinger, Fabio Rumler)," Working Papers 247, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
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    76. Alessandro Belmonte & Harry Pickard, 2024. "Safe at Last? Late Effects of a Mass Immunization Campaign on Households' Economic Insecurity," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 70(2), pages 466-497, June.
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    82. Francesco D'Acunto & Ulrike M. Malmendier & Michael Weber, 2022. "What Do the Data Tell Us about Inflation Expectations?," CESifo Working Paper Series 9602, CESifo.
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    99. Xin Wei, 2020. "Dynamic Expectations Formation and U.S. Monetary Policy Regime Change," CAEPR Working Papers 2020-007, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
    100. Jun Hyung Kim & Jin-Hwan Kim & Jong Jae Lee & Deok Hyun Jang & Won Mo Jang, 2024. "Association Between COVID-19 Risk Perceptions and Economic Expectations During the Pandemic in South Korea," SAGE Open, , vol. 14(4), pages 21582440241, November.
    101. Binder, Carola Conces, 2022. "Time-of-day and day-of-week variations in Amazon Mechanical Turk survey responses," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    102. Kuang, Pei & Luca, Davide & Wei, Zhiwu, 2026. "Ballots, budgets and bricks: Brexit and the polarisation of individual economic behaviours," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 138681, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    103. Aissa Djedaiet & Hicham Ayad, "undated". "The double whammy of COVID-19 and oil price collapse: Spillover effects on inflation and exchange rates," Review of Socio - Economic Perspectives 202206, Reviewsep.
    104. Long Hai Vo & Kirsten Martinus & Brett Smith, 2023. "A Demand Systems Approach to Understanding Medium‐Term Post‐Pandemic Consumption Trends," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 42(2), pages 183-199, June.
    105. Bernardo Candia & Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2020. "Communication and the Beliefs of Economic Agents," NBER Working Papers 27800, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    106. Ambrocio, Gene & Juselius, Mikael, 2020. "Dealing with the costs of the COVID-19 pandemic – what are the fiscal options?," BoF Economics Review 2/2020, Bank of Finland.
    107. Ghouse, Ghulam & Bhatti, Muhammad Ishaq & Aslam, Aribah & Ahmad, Nawaz, 2023. "Asymmetric spillover effects of Covid-19 on the performance of the Islamic finance industry: A wave analysis and forecasting," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    108. Lena Dräger & Klaus Gründler & Niklas Potrafke, 2025. "Peer Effects in Macroeconomic Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 11892, CESifo.
    109. Amos Z. B. Flomo & Elissaios Papyrakis & Natascha Wagner, 2023. "Evaluating the economic effects of the Ebola virus disease in Liberia: A synthetic control approach," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(6), pages 1478-1504, August.
    110. Horvath, Akos & Kay, Benjamin & Wix, Carlo, 2023. "The COVID-19 shock and consumer credit: Evidence from credit card data," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    111. Kyriakos C. Neanidis & Maria Paola Rana, 2021. "Crime in the Era of COVID-19: Evidence from England," Economics Discussion Paper Series 2103, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    112. Binder, Carola Conces, 2021. "Household expectations and the release of macroeconomic statistics," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    113. David Finck & Peter Tillmann, 2020. "Pandemic Shocks and Household Spending," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202036, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    114. Yang, Jie & Bao, Mengqi & Chen, Siqi, 2025. "“A retreat to safety”: Why COVID-19 make firms more risk-averse?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    115. Mario J. Crucini & Oscar O'Flaherty, 2020. "Stay-at-Home Orders in a Fiscal Union," NBER Working Papers 28182, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    116. Todd Potts & Jennifer Roy, 2025. "The heterogeneous impact of uncertainty shocks on labour market outcomes for men and women," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(50), pages 8327-8345, October.
    117. Hosoya, Kei, 2023. "Impact of infectious disease pandemics on individual lifetime consumption: An endogenous time preference approach," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    118. Metiu, Norbert & Stockerl, Valentin, 2024. "What moves households' expectations during a crisis? Evidence from a randomized information experiment," Discussion Papers 42/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    119. K. Peren Arin & Juan A. & Francisco Lagos & Ana I. Moro-Egido & Marcel Thum, 2022. "Exploring the Hidden Impact of the Covid-19 Pandemic. The Role of Urbanization," ThE Papers 22/02, Department of Economic Theory and Economic History of the University of Granada..
    120. Runjing Lu & Yanying Sheng, 2020. "From Fear to Hate: How the Covid-19 Pandemic Sparks Racial Animus in the United States," Papers 2007.01448, arXiv.org.
    121. Roy Cerqueti & Valerio Ficcadenti, 2020. "Anxiety for the pandemic and trust in financial markets," Papers 2008.01649, arXiv.org.
    122. Chandan Sethi & Bibhuti Ranjan Mishra, 2025. "Is inflation targeting effective? Lessons from global financial crisis and COVID‐19 pandemic," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(3), pages 2327-2348, July.
    123. Ludolph, Melina & Nghiem, Giang & Tonzer, Lena, 2026. "Facts or feelings? The role of relatable narratives in shaping inflation expectations," IWH Discussion Papers 10/2026, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    124. Pitabas Mohanty & Supriti Mishra, 2021. "Assessing the impact of COVID-19 on the valuation of Indian companies using a financial model," International Journal of Emerging Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 18(9), pages 2133-2151, August.
    125. Antoine Cornevin, 2025. "Geopolitical Risks and Economic Expectations: The Role of Trade Linkages," IHEID Working Papers 11-2025, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    126. G. Bakam Fotso & E. I. Edoun & A. Pradhan & N. Sukdeo, 2022. "A framework for economic performance recovery in South Africa during the Corona Virus Disease 2019 (Covid-19) pandemic," Technium Social Sciences Journal, Technium Science, vol. 27(1), pages 401-422, January.
    127. Jianwei Huang & Mei-Po Kwan, 2022. "Examining the Influence of Housing Conditions and Daily Greenspace Exposure on People’s Perceived COVID-19 Risk and Distress," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(14), pages 1-19, July.
    128. Crowley, Frank & Doran, Justin & Ryan, Geraldine, 2020. "The impact of Covid-19 restrictions on workers: Who is most exposed?," SRERC Working Paper Series SRERCWP2020-3, University College Cork (UCC), Spatial and Regional Economic Research Centre (SRERC).
    129. Dylong, Patrick & Koenings, Fabian, 2023. "Framing of economic news and policy support during a pandemic: Evidence from a survey experiment," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    130. Coleman, Winnie & Nautz, Dieter, 2023. "Inflation target credibility in times of high inflation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    131. Ritwik Banerjee & Priyama Majumdar, 2023. "Exponential growth bias in the prediction of COVID‐19 spread and economic expectation," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 90(358), pages 653-689, April.
    132. Zhuoyue Zhu & Hongming Xie, 2022. "What Do We Know and What Do We Need to Know about COVID-19’s Implications on Business Economics? From Bibliometric Analysis to a Conceptual Framework," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-16, May.
    133. Feng, Gen-Fu & Yang, Hao-Chang & Gong, Qiang & Chang, Chun-Ping, 2021. "What is the exchange rate volatility response to COVID-19 and government interventions?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 705-719.
    134. Pawel Dec & Piotr Masiukiewicz, 2021. "Survival of Enterprises versus Sustainable Development," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1), pages 763-775.
    135. Kuang, Pei & Luca, Davide & Wei, Zhiwu, 2025. "Ballots, Budgets and Bricks: Brexit and the Polarisation of Individual Economic Behaviours," MPRA Paper 125104, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    136. Ambrocio, Gene, 2021. "Euro area business confidence and Covid-19," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 4/2021, Bank of Finland.
    137. Kuang, Pei & Luca, Davide & Wei, Zhiwu, 2026. "Ballots, budgets and bricks: Brexit and the polarisation of individual economic behaviours," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    138. Melanie Koch & Thomas Scheiber, 2022. "Mitigating the impact of the pandemic on personal finances in CESEE: descriptive evidence for 2020," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q2/22, pages 63-96.
    139. D'Acunto, Francesco & Fuster, Andreas & Weber, Michael, 2021. "Diverse Policy Committees Can Reach Underrepresented Groups," LawFin Working Paper Series 21, Goethe University, Center for Advanced Studies on the Foundations of Law and Finance (LawFin).
    140. Shachat, Jason & Walker, Matthew J. & Wei, Lijia, 2021. "How the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic impacted pro-social behaviour and individual preferences: Experimental evidence from China," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 480-494.
    141. Edward Cartwright & Yiting Guo & Lijia Wei & Lian Xue, 2023. "Medical occupation preference under the influence of the COVID‐19 pandemic: The role of risk and altruistic preferences," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(10), pages 2390-2407, October.
    142. David Finck & Peter Tillmann, 2022. "Pandemic Shocks and Household Spending," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(2), pages 273-299, April.
    143. Lucia Svabova & Eva Nahalkova Tesarova & Marek Durica & Lenka Strakova, 2021. "Evaluation of the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on the development of the unemployment rate in Slovakia: counterfactual before-after comparison," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 16(2), pages 261-284, June.
    144. Rafkin, Charlie & Shreekumar, Advik & Vautrey, Pierre-Luc, 2021. "When guidance changes: Government stances and public beliefs," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    145. Bui, Dzung & Dräger, Lena & Hayo, Bernd & Nghiem, Giang, 2023. "Macroeconomic expectations and consumer sentiment during the COVID-19 pandemic: The role of others’ beliefs," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    146. Makridis, Christos A., 2022. "The social transmission of economic sentiment on consumption," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    147. van der Wielen, Wouter & Barrios, Salvador, 2021. "Economic sentiment during the COVID pandemic: Evidence from search behaviour in the EU," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    148. Coleman, Winnie & Nautz, Dieter, 2022. "Inflation Expectations, Inflation Target Credibility and the COVID-19 Pandemic: New Evidence from Germany," VfS Annual Conference 2022 (Basel): Big Data in Economics 264094, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    149. Aftab Hossain & Juliana Abdul Wahab & Md. Saidur Rahman Khan, 2022. "A Computer-Based Text Analysis of Al Jazeera, BBC, and CNN News Shares on Facebook: Framing Analysis on Covid-19 Issues," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(1), pages 21582440211, January.

  20. Binder, Carola Conces, 2020. "Long-run inflation expectations in the shrinking upper tail," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).

    Cited by:

    1. An, Zidong & Zheng, Xinye, 2023. "Diligent forecasters can make accurate predictions despite disagreeing with the consensus," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    2. Meyer, Brent H. & Prescott, Brian & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2022. "The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on business expectations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 529-544.
    3. Abildgren, Kim & Kuchler, Andreas, 2021. "Revisiting the inflation perception conundrum," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    4. Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2020. "Oil prices, gasoline prices and inflation expectations: A new model and new facts," CFS Working Paper Series 645, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    5. Stefano Neri & Guido Bulligan & Sara Cecchetti & Francesco Corsello & Andrea Papetti & Marianna Riggi & Concetta Rondinelli & Alex Tagliabracci, 2022. "On the anchoring of inflation expectations in the euro area," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 712, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    6. Reiche, Lovisa & Meyler, Aidan, 2022. "Making sense of consumer inflation expectations: the role of uncertainty," Working Paper Series 2642, European Central Bank.
    7. Daria Minina & Gabriele Galati & Richhild Moessner & Maarten van Rooij, 2024. "The effect of information on consumer inflation expectations," Working Papers 810, DNB.

  21. Carola Conces Binder, 2019. "Redistribution and the Individualism–Collectivism Dimension of Culture," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 142(3), pages 1175-1192, April.

    Cited by:

    1. Osei-Tutu, Francis & Weill, Laurent, 2023. "Individualism reduces borrower discouragement," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 370-385.
    2. Santos, Daniel V. & Afonso, Oscar & Vasconcelos, Paulo B., 2025. "Individualism, innovation, and inequality: Exploring the nexus," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 49(1).
    3. Binder, Carola, 2019. "Inequality and the inflation tax," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-1.
    4. Jason Richwine, 2025. "Cultural Preference for Redistribution in the United States: An Epidemiological Approach," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 53(3), pages 231-244, September.
    5. Mevlut Tatliyer & Nurullah Gur, 2022. "Individualism and Working Hours: Macro-Level Evidence," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 159(2), pages 733-755, January.
    6. Zhao, Shuai & Hou, Linke, 2025. "Climbing the social ladder: Clans and intergenerational mobility in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 94(PC).
    7. Vinicius V. Zanchi & Philipp Ehrl & Daniel T. G. N. Maciel, 2021. "Direct and Indirect Effects of Individualism and Institutions on Homicides," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 153(3), pages 1167-1195, February.
    8. Fredriksson, Per G. & Gupta, Satyendra Kumar, 2020. "Irrigation and Culture: Gender Roles and Women’s Rights," GLO Discussion Paper Series 681, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    9. Nabamita Dutta & Lisa Giddings & Russell S. Sobel, 2022. "Does Trust Always Help Gender Role Attitudes? The Role of Individualism and Collectivism," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 159(1), pages 379-408, January.
    10. Hoyong Jung & Youngjae Hwang, 2024. "Property rights and shadow economies: A global perspective," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 44(4), pages 1481-1491.

  22. Binder, Carola Conces, 2019. "Comment on “Central Bank announcements: Big news for little people?” by Michael Lamla and Dmitri Vinogradov," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 39-44.

    Cited by:

    1. Chee-Hong Law & Kim Huat Goh, 2024. "A systematic literature review of the implications of media on inflation expectations," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 311-340, May.

  23. Binder, Carola, 2019. "Inequality and the inflation tax," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-1.

    Cited by:

    1. Herradi, Mehdi El & Leroy, Aurélien, 2022. "The rich, poor, and middle class: Banking crises and income distribution," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    2. Mehdi El Herradi & Jakob Haan & Aurélien Leroy, 2023. "Inflation and the Income Share of the Rich: Evidence for 14 OECD Countries," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 69(1), pages 170-194, March.
    3. Nordvik, Frode Martin, 2022. "Inflation news and the poor: The role of ethnic heterogeneity," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    4. Fahim Al Marhubi, 2021. "Economic Complexity and Inflation: An Empirical Analysis," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 49(3), pages 259-271, September.
    5. Jan-Egbert Sturm & Cristina Bodea & Jakob de Haan & Raymond Hicks, 2025. "Central bank independence, income inequality and poverty: What do the data say?," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 23(1), pages 227-246, March.
    6. Mehdi el Herradi & Jakob de Haan & Aurélien Leroy, 2020. "Inflation and the Income Share of the Rich: Evidence for 12 OECD Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series 8203, CESifo.
    7. Kim, Dong-Hyeon & Lin, Shu-Chin & Liu, Peiyao & Liu, Jiaqi, 2025. "Financial development and the nexus between inflation and wealth inequality," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    8. Mahmut Zeki Akarsu & Orkideh Gharehgozli, 2024. "Inequality and inflation relationship in middle-income countries," Journal of Computational Social Science, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 995-1018, April.
    9. Kim, Dong-Hyeon & Lin, Shu-Chin, 2023. "Income inequality, inflation and financial development," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 468-487.
    10. Frost, Jon & Gambacorta, Leonardo & Gambacorta, Romina, 2022. "On the nexus between wealth inequality, financial development and financial technology," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 429-451.
    11. Balima, Hippolyte & Minea, Alexandru & Vinturis, Cezara, 2026. "Inflation targeting and income inequality," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    12. Sintos, Andreas, 2023. "Does inflation worsen income inequality? A meta-analysis," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(4).
    13. Stojanovikj, Martin, 2022. "Can inflation targeting reduce price information asymmetry and alleviate corruptive behavior? Evidence from developing countries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(3).
    14. Carola Conces Binder, 2021. "Political Pressure on Central Banks," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(4), pages 715-744, June.
    15. Bulat Mukhamediyev & Sayat Zhamanbayev & Aliya Mukhamediyeva, 2024. "Central Bank Independence and Oil Prices Impact on Macroeconomic Indicators," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, vol. 14(3), pages 9-17, May.
    16. Mihaela Simionescu, 2026. "Inflation and income/wealth inequality in the European Union," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 25(1), pages 77-116, January.
    17. Behrouz Sadeghi Amroabadi & Seyed Amin Mansouri & Mohammad Ali Ahmadi, 2024. "Investigating The Factors Affecting The Income Distribution On The Afghan Economy With Emphasis On Taxes," Journal of Academic Research in Economics, Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Accounting and Financial Management Constanta, vol. 16(2 (July)), pages 312-332.
    18. Kim, Dong-Hyeon & Lin, Shu-Chin, 2024. "Inflation and wealth inequality," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 893-907.

  24. Carola Binder & Alex Rodrigue, 2018. "Household Informedness and Long‐Run Inflation Expectations: Experimental Evidence," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 85(2), pages 580-598, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Goldfayn-Frank, Olga & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2018. "How do consumers adapt to a new environment in their economic forecasting? Evidence from the German reunification," IMFS Working Paper Series 129, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    2. Hoffmann, Mathias & Mönch, Emanuel & Pavlova, Lora & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2025. "A KISS for central bank communication in times of high inflation," Discussion Papers 12/2025, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    3. Anahit Matinyan & Ardash Kilejian & Gevorg Minasyan & Aleksandr Shirkhanyan, 2025. "The Role of Information in Shaping Inflation Expectations and Perceptions: A Survey Experiment," Working Papers WP-2025-02, Central Bank of Armenia.
    4. Treu, Johannes & Hartwig, Johannes, 2023. "Perceived Inflation in Germany in 2022," MPRA Paper 118403, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Tiziano Ropele, 2018. "Inflation Expectations and Firm Decisions: New Causal Evidence," NBER Working Papers 25412, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Joris Wauters & Zivile Zekaite & Garo Garabedian, 2024. "Owner-occupied housing costs, policy communication, and inflation expectations," French Stata Users' Group Meetings 2024 11, Stata Users Group.
    7. An, Zidong & Binder, Carola & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2023. "Gas price expectations of Chinese households," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    8. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2019. "Monetary Policy Communications and their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 7464, CESifo.
    9. Bottone, Marco & Tagliabracci, Alex & Zevi, Giordano, 2022. "Inflation expectations and the ECB’s perceived inflation objective: Novel evidence from firm-level data," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(S), pages 15-34.
    10. Cars Hommes & Julien Pinter & Isabelle Salle, 2023. "What People Believe About Monetary Finance and What We Can(’t) Do About It: Evidence from a Large-Scale, Multi-Country Survey Experiment," Staff Working Papers 23-36, Bank of Canada.
    11. Niu, Xiaoxiao & Harvey, Nigel, 2022. "Context effects in inflation surveys: The influence of additional information and prior questions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 988-1004.
    12. Binder, Carola Conces, 2018. "Inflation expectations and the price at the pump," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 1-18.
    13. Ješić, Milutin & Manner, Hans, 2026. "Determinants of the ECB’s success to reach its inflation target," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 48(4).
    14. D'Acunto, Francesco & Hoang, Daniel & Paloviita, Maritta & Weber, Michael, 2020. "Effective policy communication: Targets versus instruments," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 17/2020, Bank of Finland.
    15. Abildgren, Kim & Kuchler, Andreas, 2021. "Revisiting the inflation perception conundrum," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    16. Yongchen Zhao, 2022. "Uncertainty and disagreement of inflation expectations: Evidence from household‐level qualitative survey responses," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(4), pages 810-828, July.
    17. Beckmann, Joscha & Brunne, Jennifer & Heinrich, Timo, 2026. "Inflation expectations and cognitive uncertainty," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    18. Brouwer, Nils & De Haan, Jakob, 2026. "The impact of public knowledge about central bank independence on trust and inflation expectations," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    19. Donato Masciandaro & Oana Peia & Davide Romelli, 2022. "Central Bank Communication and Social Media: From Silence to Twitter," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 22187, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    20. Goldfayn-Frank, Olga & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2020. "Expectation formation in a new environment: Evidence from the German reunification," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 301-320.
    21. Patrick Bareinz & Fabian Koenings, 2021. "Framing of Economic News and Policy Support During a Pandemic: Evidence from an Information Experiment," Jena Economics Research Papers 2021-004, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
    22. Olivier Coibion & Dimitris Georgarakos & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2020. "Forward Guidance and Household Expectations," NBER Working Papers 26778, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    23. Binder, Carola Conces, 2019. "Comment on “Central Bank announcements: Big news for little people?” by Michael Lamla and Dmitri Vinogradov," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 39-44.
    24. Philipp Poyntner & Sofie R. Waltl, 2026. "The Connection Between Monetary Policy and Housing Prices: Public Perception and Expert Communication," Papers 2601.08957, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2026.
    25. Piccolo, Jessica & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2025. "Homeownership and Attention to Inflation: Evidence from Information Treatments," IZA Discussion Papers 17770, IZA Network @ LISER.
    26. Hwang, In Do & Lustenberger, Thomas & Rossi, Enzo, 2021. "Does communication influence executives’ opinion of central bank policy?☆," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    27. Martin Caruso Bloeck & Miguel Mello & Jorge Ponce, 2022. "News of disinflation and firms' expectations: new causal evidence," Documentos de trabajo 2022003, Banco Central del Uruguay.
    28. Ehrmann, Michael & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kenny, Geoff, 2023. "Credibility gains from communicating with the public: evidence from the ECB’s new monetary policy strategy," Working Paper Series 2785, European Central Bank.
    29. Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2018. "How Do Expectations About the Macroeconomy Affect Personal Expectations and Behavior?," CESifo Working Paper Series 7154, CESifo.
    30. Dräger, Lena & Gründler, Klaus & Potrafke, Niklas, 2025. "Political shocks and inflation expectations: Evidence from the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    31. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Kumar, Saten & Pedemonte, Mathieu, 2020. "Inflation expectations as a policy tool?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    32. Istrefi, Klodiana, 2019. "Comment on: Enhancing central bank communications using simple and relatable information," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 16-20.
    33. Lamla, Michael J. & Vinogradov, Dmitri V., 2019. "Central bank announcements: Big news for little people?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 21-38.
    34. Dräger, Lena & Dalloul, Ami & Nghiem, Giang, 2024. "Anchoring Household's Inflation Expectations when Inflation is High," VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges 302397, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    35. Guido Bulligan & Paolo Farroni, 2026. "Explaining the recent dynamics of the saving rate in the euro area: evidence from the Consumer Expectations Survey," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 1046, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    36. Bao, Te & Dai, Yun & Duffy, John, 2025. "Least squares learning? Evidence from the laboratory," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    37. Cars Hommes & Isabelle Salle & Julien Pinter, 2026. "Fiscal Beliefs & Narratives," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 26-031/VI, Tinbergen Institute.
    38. Edward S. Knotek & James Mitchell & Mathieu Pedemonte & Taylor Shiroff, 2024. "The Effects of Interest Rate Increases on Consumers' Inflation Expectations: The Roles of Informedness and Compliance," Working Papers 24-01R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 05 Jun 2025.
    39. Rumler, Fabio & Valderrama, María Teresa, 2020. "Inflation literacy and inflation expectations: Evidence from Austrian household survey data," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 8-23.
    40. Binder, Carola Conces & Kamdar, Rupal & Ryngaert, Jane M., 2024. "Partisan expectations and COVID-era inflation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(S).
    41. Beutel, Johannes & Metiu, Norbert & Stockerl, Valentin, 2021. "Toothless tiger with claws? Financial stability communication, expectations, and risk-taking," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 53-69.
    42. Ehrmann, Michael & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kenny, Geoff, 2025. "Credibility gains from central bank communication with the public," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    43. Bernd Hayo & Pierre-Guillaume Méon, 2022. "Preaching to the agnostic: Inflation reporting can increase trust in the central bank but only among people with weak priors," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202245, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    44. Kerim Peren Arin & Juan A. Lacomba & Francisco Lagos & Ana I. Moro-Egido & Marcel Thum, 2021. "Socio-Economic Attitudes in the Era of Social Distancing and Lockdowns," CESifo Working Paper Series 8845, CESifo.
    45. Lustenhouwer, Joep & Salle, Isabelle, 2025. "Learning to be rational in the presence of news: A lab investigation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    46. Binder, Carola Conces, 2022. "Time-of-day and day-of-week variations in Amazon Mechanical Turk survey responses," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    47. Brouwer, Nils & de Haan, Jakob, 2022. "The impact of providing information about the ECB’s instruments on inflation expectations and trust in the ECB: Experimental evidence," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    48. Bernardo Candia & Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2020. "Communication and the Beliefs of Economic Agents," NBER Working Papers 27800, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    49. Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Jakob de Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2022. "Central Bank Communication with the General Public: Promise or False Hope?," Working Papers 2022-5, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    50. Viral V. Acharya & Matteo Crosignani & Tim Eisert & Christian Eufinger, 2023. "How Do Supply Shocks to Inflation Generalize? Evidence from the Pandemic Era in Europe," NBER Working Papers 31790, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    51. Lena Dräger & Klaus Gründler & Niklas Potrafke, 2025. "Peer Effects in Macroeconomic Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 11892, CESifo.
    52. Binder, Carola Conces, 2021. "Household expectations and the release of macroeconomic statistics," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    53. Andrew Haldane & Alistair Macaulay & Michael McMahon, 2020. "The 3 E’s of central bank communication with the public," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 847, Bank of England.
    54. Metiu, Norbert & Stockerl, Valentin, 2024. "What moves households' expectations during a crisis? Evidence from a randomized information experiment," Discussion Papers 42/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    55. Ludolph, Melina & Nghiem, Giang & Tonzer, Lena, 2026. "Facts or feelings? The role of relatable narratives in shaping inflation expectations," IWH Discussion Papers 10/2026, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    56. Dylong, Patrick & Koenings, Fabian, 2023. "Framing of economic news and policy support during a pandemic: Evidence from a survey experiment," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    57. Peter Andre & Carlo Pizzinelli & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2019. "Subjective Models of the Macroeconomy: Evidence from Experts and Representative Samples," CESifo Working Paper Series 7850, CESifo.
    58. Helena Antonie Baier & Philipp Lergetporer & Thomas Rittmannsberger, 2025. "Firms’ expectations about skill shortages," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 65(2), pages 1095-1112, August.
    59. Haldane, Andrew & Macaulay, Alistair & McMahon, Michael, 2020. "The 3 E’s of Central Bank Communication with the Public," CEPR Discussion Papers 14265, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    60. Qian, Wei, 2025. "House price expectations and household spending— A survey-based experiment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    61. Lange, Kai-Robin & Reccius, Matthias & Schmidt, Tobias & Müller, Henrik & Roos, Michael W. M. & Jentsch, Carsten, 2022. "Towards extracting collective economic narratives from texts," Ruhr Economic Papers 963, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    62. Bottone, Marco & Tagliabracci, Alex & Zevi, Giordano, 2021. "What do Italian households know about the ECB’s target?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    63. D'Acunto, Francesco & Fuster, Andreas & Weber, Michael, 2021. "Diverse Policy Committees Can Reach Underrepresented Groups," LawFin Working Paper Series 21, Goethe University, Center for Advanced Studies on the Foundations of Law and Finance (LawFin).

  25. Carola Binder, 2018. "Interest Rate Prominence In Consumer Decision‐Making," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 56(2), pages 875-894, April.

    Cited by:

    1. Hamid Baghestani & Ajalavat Viriyavipart, 2019. "Do factors influencing consumer home-buying attitudes explain output growth?," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 46(5), pages 1104-1115, August.
    2. Carola Conces Binder & Gillian Brunet, 2022. "Inflation expectations and consumption: Evidence from 1951," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 60(2), pages 954-974, April.
    3. Huijian Han & Zhiming Li & Zongwei Li, 2023. "Using Machine Learning Methods to Predict Consumer Confidence from Search Engine Data," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-12, February.
    4. Hamid Baghestani & Sehar Fatima, 2021. "Growth in US Durables Spending: Assessing the Impact of Consumer Ability and Willingness to Buy," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(1), pages 55-69, April.

  26. Binder, Carola Conces & Wetzel, Samantha, 2018. "The FOMC versus the staff, revisited: When do policymakers add value?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 72-75.

    Cited by:

    1. Carola Conces Binder & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2023. "Central Bank Forecasting: A Survey," Staff Working Papers 23-18, Bank of Canada.
    2. Ilias Filippou & James Mitchell & My T. Nguyen, 2023. "The FOMC versus the Staff: Do Policymakers Add Value in Their Tales?," Working Papers 23-20, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    3. Carola Conces Binder, 2021. "Central Bank Communication and Disagreement about the Natural Rate Hypothesis," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(2), pages 81-123, June.
    4. Thomas L. Hogan, 2022. "The calculus of dissent: Bias and diversity in FOMC projections," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 191(1), pages 105-135, April.
    5. Bespalova, Olga, 2020. "GDP forecasts: Informational asymmetry of the SPF and FOMC minutes," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1531-1540.

  27. Binder, Carola Conces, 2018. "Inflation expectations and the price at the pump," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 1-18.

    Cited by:

    1. Constantin Bürgi & Prachi Srivastava & Karl Whelan, 2026. "Expectations for Gasoline Prices and Inflation: Evidence from Households," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 58(2), pages 619-630, March.
    2. Zhao, Yongchen, 2019. "Updates to household inflation expectations: Signal or noise?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 95-98.
    3. Yoosoon Chang & Ana María Herrera & Elena Pesavento, 2023. "Oil prices uncertainty, endogenous regime switching, and inflation anchoring," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(6), pages 820-839, September.
    4. Morão, Hugo, 2025. "Fuel price surges and rising inflation expectations in the Euro Area," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
    5. Ahmed, M. Iqbal & Faheem, Adeel & Farah, Quazi Fidia, 2026. "Do gasoline price expectations affect household readiness to spend at the ZLB? Evidence from Michigan survey data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    6. Turco, Enrico & Bazzana, Davide & Rizzati, Massimiliano & Ciola, Emanuele & Vergalli, Sergio, 2023. "Energy price shocks and stabilization policies in the MATRIX model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    7. Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2020. "Oil Prices, Gasoline Prices and Inflation Expectations: A New Model and New Facts," CESifo Working Paper Series 8516, CESifo.
    8. An, Zidong & Binder, Carola & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2023. "Gas price expectations of Chinese households," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    9. Eleonora Granziera & Vegard H. Larsen & Greta Meggiorini & Leonardo Melosi, 2025. "Speaking Of Inflation: The Influence Of Fed Speeches On Expectations," Working Papers No 07/2025, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    10. Grzegorz Przekota & Anna Szczepańska-Przekota, 2022. "Pro-Inflationary Impact of the Oil Market—A Study for Poland," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-19, April.
    11. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2019. "Monetary Policy Communications and their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 7464, CESifo.
    12. Christian Gillitzer & Nalini Prasad & Tim Robinson, 2021. "Political Attitudes and Inflation Expectations: Evidence and Implications," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(4), pages 605-634, June.
    13. Wehrhöfer, Nils, 2023. "Energy prices and inflation expectations: Evidence from households and firms," Discussion Papers 28/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    14. Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2022. "The impact of rising oil prices on U.S. inflation and inflation expectations in 2020–23," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    15. Philip Schnattinger & Prachi Srivastava, 2025. "Household Inflation Uncertainty and Wage Growth Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 12216, CESifo.
    16. An, Zidong & Sheng, Xuguang Simon & Zheng, Xinye, 2023. "What is the role of perceived oil price shocks in inflation expectations?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    17. Dietrich, Alexander M., 2023. "Consumption categories, household attention, and inflation expectations: Implications for optimal monetary policy," University of Tübingen Working Papers in Business and Economics 157, University of Tuebingen, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, School of Business and Economics.
    18. Boeck, Maximilian & Zörner, Thomas O., 2025. "Natural gas prices, inflation expectations, and the pass-through to euro area inflation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    19. Vatsa, Puneet & Pino, Gabriel, 2024. "Do petrol prices affect inflation and inflation expectations? Evidence from New Zealand," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    20. Carola Binder & Tucker S. Mcelroy & Xuguang S. Sheng, 2022. "The Term Structure of Uncertainty: New Evidence from Survey Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(1), pages 39-71, February.
    21. Abildgren, Kim & Kuchler, Andreas, 2021. "Revisiting the inflation perception conundrum," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    22. Coleman, Winnie, 2026. "Mind the gap: Gender differences in inflation expectations," Discussion Papers 2026/21, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    23. Vatsa, Puneet & Pino, Gabriel & Clements, Adam, 2025. "Gasoline prices, gasoline price expectations, and inflation expectations in the United States," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    24. Tersoo Shimonkabir Shitile & Nuruddeen Usman, 2020. "Disaggregated Inflation and Asymmetric Oil Price Pass-Through in Nigeria," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, vol. 10(1), pages 255-264.
    25. Zheng, Tingguo & Gong, Lu & Ye, Shiqi, 2023. "Global energy market connectedness and inflation at risk," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    26. Geiger, Martin & Scharler, Johann, 2019. "How do consumers assess the macroeconomic effects of oil price fluctuations? Evidence from U.S. survey data," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    27. Travis J. Berge, 2017. "Understanding Survey Based Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-046, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    28. Jo, Yoon Joo & Klopack, Ben, 2025. "Fueling expectations: The causal impact of gas prices on Inflation Expectations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    29. Cho, Dooyeon & Jung, Jaehun, 2025. "Machine learning goes beyond: Time-varying monetary policy and oil price pass-through to inflation expectations," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    30. Binder, Carola Conces, 2020. "Long-run inflation expectations in the shrinking upper tail," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    31. Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2022. "Oil prices, gasoline prices, and inflation expectations," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 867-881, August.
    32. Francesco D’Acunto & Ulrike Malmendier & Juan Ospina & Michael Weber, 2019. "Exposure to Daily Price Changes and Inflation Expectations," NBER Working Papers 26237, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    33. Tadeusz Kufel & Grzegorz Rządkowski, 2025. "Wavelet Analysis of the Similarity in the Inflation Index (HICP) Dynamics for Electricity, Gas, and Other Fuels in Poland and Selected European Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(17), pages 1-23, August.
    34. Enrico Turco & Davide Bazzana & Massimiliano Rizzati & Emanuele Ciola & Sergio Vergalli, 2022. "Energy price shocks and stabilization policies in a multi-agent macroeconomic model for the Euro Area," Working Papers 2022.25, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    35. Gunda‐Alexandra Detmers & Sui‐Jade Ho & Özer Karagedikli, 2022. "Understanding Consumer Inflation Expectations during the COVID‐19 Pandemic," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 55(1), pages 141-154, March.
    36. Ameet Kumar Banerjee & Ahmet Sensoy & John W. Goodell & H. K. Pradhan, 2026. "Exchange Rate Pass‐Through, Inflation, and Energy Prices: The Role of Central Bank Intervention and Liquidity Conditions," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 26(1), March.
    37. Jung, Alexander & Mongelli, Francesco Paolo, 2025. "Central bank communication with non-experts: insights from a randomized field experiment," Working Paper Series 3103, European Central Bank.
    38. Martin Geiger & Johann Scharler, 2018. "How do consumers interpret the macroeconomic effects of oil price fluctuations? Evidence from U.S. survey data," Working Papers 2018-13, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck.
    39. Aidala, Felix & Armantier, Olivier & Koşar, Gizem & Somerville, Jason & Topa, Giorgio & van der Klaauw, Wilbert, 2024. "Gasoline price changes and consumer inflation expectations: Experimental evidence," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 220(C), pages 66-80.
    40. Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2025. "Gasoline Price Expectations as a Transmission Channel for Gasoline Price Shocks," CESifo Working Paper Series 11924, CESifo.
    41. Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2023. "Oil Price Shocks and Inflation," Working Papers 2312, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    42. Hugh Montag, 2026. "On the Welfare Costs of Perceptions Biases," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 58(1), pages 209-235, February.
    43. İhsan Erozan & Adil Erozan, 2025. "An examination of the effects of inflation on a pull-based production system," Operations Management Research, Springer, vol. 18(4), pages 1208-1225, December.
    44. Katrien Smuts & Pierre Siklos, 2026. "Pass-through and bias in South Africa's household inflation expectations," ERSA Working Paper Series 213, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    45. Ewa Stanisławska, 2019. "Consumers’ Perception of Inflation in Inflationary and Deflationary Environment," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 15(1), pages 41-71, April.
    46. Binder, Carola Conces & Kamdar, Rupal & Ryngaert, Jane M., 2024. "Partisan expectations and COVID-era inflation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(S).
    47. Felix Kapfhammer, 2023. "The Economic Consequences of Effective Carbon Taxes," Working Papers No 01/2023, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    48. Michail, Nektarios A. & Louca, Kyriaki G., 2025. "Inflation expectations and house prices in the euro area," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 383-391.
    49. Angelico, Cristina & Di Giacomo, Federica, 2026. "Heterogeneous inflation expectations and forecast errors across the income distribution: The role of memory," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    50. Tomasz Łyziak & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2023. "Disagreement in Consumer Inflation Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(8), pages 2215-2241, December.
    51. Yilmazkuday, Hakan, 2021. "Oil price pass-through into consumer prices: Evidence from U.S. weekly data," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    52. Puneet Vatsa & Gabriel Pino, 2025. "Petrol Prices, Food Prices, and Inflation Perceptions in New Zealand—Evidence From a Threshold Analysis," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 64(2), pages 170-178, June.
    53. Hahn, Volker & Marenčák, Michal, 2025. "Inflation Perceptions and Monetary Policy," VfS Annual Conference 2025 (Cologne): Revival of Industrial Policy 325361, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    54. Lin, Xiang & Li, Xiaoying, 2025. "A study on anchoring Swedish inflation expectations in times of turbulence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    55. Binder, Carola Conces, 2021. "Household expectations and the release of macroeconomic statistics," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    56. Ondrej Kusenda & Michal Marencak, 2025. "Attention to food prices and the upward bias in inflation expectations," Working and Discussion Papers WP 9/2025, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    57. Szyszko, Magdalena & Kliber, Agata, 2025. "The asymmetric impact of fuel and oil prices on inflation and inflation expectations in emerging economies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    58. Elías Albagli & Francesco Grigoli & Emiliano Luttini, 2025. "Inflation Expectations and the Supply Chain," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 73(3), pages 819-850, September.
    59. Junichi Kikuchi & Yoshiyuki Nakazono, 2023. "The Formation of Inflation Expectations: Microdata Evidence from Japan," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(6), pages 1609-1632, September.
    60. Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2024. "Functional Oil Price Expectations Shocks and Inflation," CESifo Working Paper Series 10998, CESifo.
    61. Yiqun Gloria Chen, 2019. "Inflation, Inflation Expectations, and the Phillips Curve: Working Paper 2019-07," Working Papers 55501, Congressional Budget Office.
    62. Koundouros, Andreas & Nautz, Dieter, 2026. "Inflation misperceptions of consumers," Discussion Papers 2026/18, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    63. Patrick Hirsch & Lars P. Feld & Ekkehard A. Köhler, 2023. "Breaking Monetary Policy News: The Role of Mass Media Coverage of ECB Announcements for Public Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 10285, CESifo.
    64. Zhao, Yongchen, 2023. "Internal consistency of household inflation expectations: Point forecasts vs. density forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1713-1735.
    65. Dash, Pradyumna & Rohit, Abhishek Kumar & Devaguptapu, Adviti, 2020. "Assessing the (de-)anchoring of households’ long-term inflation expectations in the US," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    66. Karolina Tura-Gawron & Maria Siranova & Karol Fisikowski, 2018. "ARE CONSUMER INFLATION EXPECTATIONS AN INTERNATIONAL PHENOMENON? Results of spatial panel regressions models," GUT FME Working Paper Series A 50, Faculty of Management and Economics, Gdansk University of Technology.
    67. Nikoleta Anesti & Vania Esady & Matthew Naylor, 2024. "Food prices matter most: Sensitive household inflation expectations," Discussion Papers 2434, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).

  28. Binder Carola Conces, 2017. "Economic policy uncertainty and household inflation uncertainty," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(2), pages 1-20, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Hoffmann, Mathias & Mönch, Emanuel & Pavlova, Lora & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2025. "A KISS for central bank communication in times of high inflation," Discussion Papers 12/2025, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    2. Philip Schnattinger & Prachi Srivastava, 2025. "Household Inflation Uncertainty and Wage Growth Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 12216, CESifo.
    3. Binder, Carola C., 2017. "Measuring uncertainty based on rounding: New method and application to inflation expectations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 1-12.
    4. Агамбаева Саида // Agambayeva Saida & Конурбаева Наталья // Konurbayeva Natalya, 2022. "Финансовая грамотность и инфляционные ожидания домашних хозяйств // Financial literacy and inflation expectations of households," Working Papers #2022-7, National Bank of Kazakhstan.
    5. Dongliang Cai & Tong Zhang & Kefei Han & Jingqi Liang, 2022. "Economic Policy Uncertainty Shocks and Chinese Stock Market Volatility: An Empirical Analysis with SVAR," Complexity, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2022(1).
    6. Taniya Ghosh & Yadavindu Ajit, 2023. "Central bank transparency, the role of institutions and inflation persistence," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2023-012, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    7. Itzhak Ben-David & Elyas Fermand & Camelia M. Kuhnen & Geng Li, 2018. "Expectations Uncertainty and Household Economic Behavior," NBER Working Papers 25336, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Feng, Gen-Fu & Zheng, Mingbo, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and renewable energy innovation: International evidence," Innovation and Green Development, Elsevier, vol. 1(2).
    9. Elyas Fermand & Camelia M. Kuhnen & Geng Li & Itzhak Ben-David, 2024. "Extrapolative Uncertainty and Household Economic Behavior," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(8), pages 5607-5625, August.
    10. Zheng, Shilong & Dong, Qi & Lin, Yunshi, 2026. "Policy uncertainty effects under different ownership structures: An asymmetric analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    11. Ren, Yi-Shuai & Klein, Tony & Jiang, Yong & Ma, Chao-Qun & Yang, Xiao-Guang, 2024. "Dynamic spillovers among global oil shocks, economic policy uncertainty, and inflation expectation uncertainty under extreme shocks," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).

  29. Carola Binder, 2017. "Federal Reserve Communication and the Media," Journal of Media Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(4), pages 191-214, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Ehrmann, Michael & Wabitsch, Alena, 2022. "Central bank communication with non-experts – A road to nowhere?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 69-85.
    2. Jung, Alexander & Kühl, Patrick, 2021. "Can central bank communication help to stabilise inflation expectations?," Working Paper Series 2547, European Central Bank.
    3. Binder, Carola Conces, 2019. "Comment on “Central Bank announcements: Big news for little people?” by Michael Lamla and Dmitri Vinogradov," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 39-44.
    4. Ferrara, Federico Maria & Angino, Siria, 2022. "Does clarity make central banks more engaging? Lessons from ECB communications," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    5. Koop, Christel & Scotto di Vettimo, Michele, 2023. "How do the media scrutinise central banking? Evidence from the Bank of England," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    6. Michael McMahon, 2024. "Lessons for Monetary Policy Communication: Communication, Getting Through and Expectation Formation," RBA Annual Conference Papers acp2024-01, Reserve Bank of Australia, revised May 2025.
    7. Binder, Carola Conces & Campbell, Jeffrey R. & Ryngaert, Jane M., 2024. "Consumer inflation expectations: Daily dynamics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(S).
    8. Lamla, Michael J. & Vinogradov, Dmitri V., 2019. "Central bank announcements: Big news for little people?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 21-38.
    9. Carola Conces Binder, 2021. "Political Pressure on Central Banks," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(4), pages 715-744, June.
    10. Binder, Carola Conces & Kamdar, Rupal & Ryngaert, Jane M., 2024. "Partisan expectations and COVID-era inflation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(S).
    11. Saskia Ter Ellen & Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2022. "Narrative Monetary Policy Surprises and the Media," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(5), pages 1525-1549, August.
    12. Daniel J. Lewis & Christos Makridis & Karel Mertens, 2019. "Do Monetary Policy Announcements Shift Household Expectations?," Staff Reports 897, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    13. Binder, Carola Conces, 2022. "Time-of-day and day-of-week variations in Amazon Mechanical Turk survey responses," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    14. Vivian Chu & Tatjana Dahlhaus & Christopher Hajzler & Pierre-Yves Yanni, 2023. "Digitalization: Implications for Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers 2023-18, Bank of Canada.
    15. Patrick Hirsch & Lars P. Feld & Ekkehard A. Köhler, 2023. "Breaking Monetary Policy News: The Role of Mass Media Coverage of ECB Announcements for Public Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 10285, CESifo.
    16. Angino, Siria & Robitu, Robert, 2023. "One question at a time! A text mining analysis of the ECB Q&A session," Working Paper Series 2852, European Central Bank.

  30. Binder, Carola, 2017. "Fed speak on main street: Central bank communication and household expectations," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 238-251.

    Cited by:

    1. Marmora, Paul, 2022. "Does monetary policy fuel bitcoin demand? Event-study evidence from emerging markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    2. Kučerová, Zuzana & Pakši, Daniel & Koňařík, Vojtěch, 2024. "Macroeconomic fundamentals and attention: What drives european consumers’ inflation expectations?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 48(1).
    3. Ray C. Fair, 2024. "Inflation Expectations, Price Equations, and Fed Effects," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2401, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    4. Moreno-Pérez, Carlos & Minozzo, Marco, 2026. "Monetary policy uncertainty in Mexico: An unsupervised approach," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    5. Beutel, Johannes & Metiu, Norbert & Stockerl, Valentin, 2021. "Toothless tiger with claws? Financial stability communication, expectations, and risk-taking," Discussion Papers 05/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    6. Ehrmann, Michael & Wabitsch, Alena, 2022. "Central bank communication with non-experts – A road to nowhere?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 69-85.
    7. Kalpana, R. & Dash, Pradyumna, 2025. "Households’ inflation perceptions, expectations, and the monetary policy in India," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    8. Okan Akarsu & Emrehan Aktuğ & Huzeyfe Torun, 2025. "Inflation Expectations and Firms' Decisions in High Inflation: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," CESifo Working Paper Series 12210, CESifo.
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    Cited by:

    1. Sandor Axelrod & David E. Lebow & Ekaterina V. Peneva, 2018. "Perceptions and Expectations of Inflation by U.S. Households," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-073, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    2. Khaw, Mel Win & Stevens, Luminita & Woodford, Michael, 2017. "Discrete adjustment to a changing environment: Experimental evidence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 88-103.
    3. Goldfayn-Frank, Olga & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2018. "How do consumers adapt to a new environment in their economic forecasting? Evidence from the German reunification," IMFS Working Paper Series 129, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    4. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2021. "Fiscal Policy and Households' Inflation Expectations: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," CESifo Working Paper Series 8905, CESifo.
    5. Kučerová, Zuzana & Pakši, Daniel & Koňařík, Vojtěch, 2024. "Macroeconomic fundamentals and attention: What drives european consumers’ inflation expectations?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 48(1).
    6. An, Zidong & Liu, Dingqian & Wu, Yuzheng, 2021. "Expectation formation following pandemic events," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    7. Mitchell, James & Shiroff, Taylor & Braitsch, Hana, 2026. "Practice makes perfect: Learning effects with household point and density forecasts of inflation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 315-329.
    8. Cars Hommes & Stefanie J. Huber & Daria Minina & Isabelle Salle, 2024. "Learning in a Complex World Insights from an OLG Lab Experiment," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 283, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    9. Melissa Boyle & Justin Svec, 2022. "The Roundness of Antiquity Valuations from Auction Houses and Sales," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 48(4), pages 602-630, October.
    10. Hajdini, Ina & Knotek, Edward S & Leer, John & Pedemonte, Mathieu & Rich, Robert & Schoenle, Raphael, 2025. "Low Pass-Through from Inflation Expectations to Income Growth Expectations: Why People Dislike Inflation," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 13937, Inter-American Development Bank.
    11. Jan Behringer & Lena Dräger & Sebastian Dullien & Sebastian Gechert, 2024. "News and Views on Public Finances: A Survey Experiment," CESifo Working Paper Series 10891, CESifo.
    12. Ayrton Amaral & Anis Foresto & Pabalelo Mosoma, 2026. "An assessment of the anchoring of inflation expectations in South Africa," Working Papers 11106, South African Reserve Bank.
    13. Peter Backé & Elisabeth Beckmann, 2020. "What drives people’s expectations of euro adoption? – Evidence from the OeNB Euro Survey on selected CESEE countries," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q4/20, pages 57-79.
    14. Francesco D’Acunto & Daniel Hoang & Maritta Paloviita & Michael Weber, 2019. "IQ, Expectations, and Choice," NBER Working Papers 25496, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2018. "“A geometric approach to proxy economic uncertainty by a metric of disagreement among qualitative expectations”," AQR Working Papers 201803, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised Jun 2018.
    16. Giuseppe Pagano Giorgianni, 2025. "Gas supply shocks, uncertainty and price setting: evidence from Italian firms," Papers 2510.03792, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2026.
    17. Medina, J.P. & Mello, Miguel & Ponce, Jorge, 2024. "Heterogeneous inflation expectations: A call for customized monetary policy communication?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    18. Zhu, Xinxin & Jiao, Peiran & Zong, Jichuan, 2024. "Beliefs and the equity home bias," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    19. Anthony Brassil & Yahdullah Haidari & Jonathan Hambur & Gulnara Nolan & Callum Ryan, 2024. "How Do Households Form Inflation and Wage Expectations?," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2024-07, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    20. Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kim, Kwang Hwan & Coibion, Olivier & Shim, Myungkyu & Lee, Myunghwan Andrew & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Kenny, Geoff & Han, Seowoo & Weber, Michael, 2025. "How Costly Are Business Cycle Volatility and Inflation? A Vox Populi Approach," IZA Discussion Papers 17675, IZA Network @ LISER.
    21. Philippe Andrade & Erwan Gautier & Eric Mengus, 2021. "What Matters in Households' Inflation Expectations?," CESifo Working Paper Series 9005, CESifo.
    22. Okan Akarsu & Emrehan Aktuğ & Huzeyfe Torun, 2025. "Inflation Expectations and Firms' Decisions in High Inflation: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," CESifo Working Paper Series 12210, CESifo.
    23. Jonas Dovern & Alexander Glas & Geoff Kenny, 2024. "Testing for differences in survey‐based density expectations: A compositional data approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 1104-1122, September.
    24. Binder, Carola, 2017. "Consumer forecast revisions: Is information really so sticky?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 112-115.
    25. Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
      • Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
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    1. Zhao, Yongchen, 2019. "Updates to household inflation expectations: Signal or noise?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 95-98.
    2. An, Zidong & Liu, Dingqian & Wu, Yuzheng, 2021. "Expectation formation following pandemic events," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    3. Constantin Bürgi, 2020. "Consumer Inflation Expectations and Household Weights," Working Papers 2020-002, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research.
    4. Zidong An & Salem Abo‐Zaid & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2023. "Inattention and the impact of monetary policy," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(4), pages 623-643, June.
    5. Carola Binder & Wesley Janson & Randal J. Verbrugge, 2019. "Thinking Outside the Box: Do SPF Respondents Have Anchored Inflation Expectations?," Working Papers 19-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    6. Kajal Lahiri & Yongchen Zhao, 2020. "The Nordhaus Test with Many Zeros," Working Papers 2020-05, Towson University, Department of Economics, revised Jun 2020.
    7. Tucker S. McElroy & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2026. "An Instrumental Variables Approach to Testing Forecast Efficiency," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 77-87, January.
    8. Lewis, Daniel & Makridis, Christos & Mertens, Karel, 2020. "Do Monetary Policy Announcements Shift Household Expectations?," CEPR Discussion Papers 14360, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    9. Juan Camilo Anzoátegui-Zapata & Juan Camilo Galvis-Ciro, 2020. "Disagreements in Consumer Inflation Expectations: Empirical Evidence for a Latin American Economy," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 16(2), pages 99-122, November.
    10. Tsiaplias, Sarantis, 2020. "Time-Varying Consumer Disagreement and Future Inflation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    11. Juan Camilo Anzoategui Zapata & Juan Camilo Galvis Ciro, 2024. "Efectos de las noticias digitales en el GAP de expectativas de inflación: primeras evidencias para una economía emergente," Revista Finanzas y Politica Economica, Universidad Católica de Colombia, vol. 16(2), pages 441-467.

  33. Binder, Carola Conces, 2016. "Estimation of historical inflation expectations," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-31.

    Cited by:

    1. Jason Lennard & Finn Meinecke & Solomos Solomou, 2023. "Measuring inflation expectations in interwar Britain," Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 76(3), pages 844-870, August.
    2. Martin Ellison & Sang Seok Lee & Kevin Hjortshøj O'Rourke, 2020. "The Ends of 27 Big Depressions," NBER Working Papers 27586, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Chibane, Messaoud & Kuhanathan, Ano, 2025. "Examining the impact of natural gas price volatility on Euro zone inflation expectations," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    4. Reis, Ricardo, 2022. "Losing the inflation anchor," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 112462, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    5. John Landon-Lane, 2022. "The Role of Sentiment in the U.S. Economy: 1920 to 1934," Departmental Working Papers 202201, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
    6. Bobinaite Viktorija & Zuters Jānis, 2016. "Modelling Electricity Price Expectations in a Day-Ahead Market: A Case of Latvia," Economics and Business, Paradigm, vol. 29(1), pages 12-26, August.
    7. Mathy, Gabriel & Stekler, Herman, 2017. "Expectations and forecasting during the Great Depression: Real-time evidence from the business press," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 1-15.
    8. Djokoto, Justice G. & Agyeiwaa-Afrane, Akua & Badu-Prah, Charlotte & Gidiglo, Ferguson K. & Srofenyoh, Francis Y. & Agyei-Henaku, Kofi Aaron A-O., 2025. "Application of the estimation of multiple effect size to frontier efficiency meta-regression of agriculture in Ghana," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(1).
    9. Jalil, Andrew J. & Rua, Gisela, 2016. "Inflation expectations and recovery in spring 1933," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 26-50.
    10. Xu, Kun & Cheng, Jian-hua & Xu, Wenli, 2016. "通胀及通胀预期冲击的动态特征分析 [Study on Dynamics of Inflation and Inflation Expectation Shocks in China]," MPRA Paper 71977, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Kevin Hjortshøj O’Rourke & Sang Seok Lee & Martin Ellison, 2020. "The Ends of 30 Big Depressions," Working Papers 20200035, New York University Abu Dhabi, Department of Social Science, revised May 2020.
    12. Daniel, Volker & ter Steege, Lucas, 2018. "Inflation Expectations and the Recovery from the Great Depression in Germany," Working Papers 6, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
    13. Reghezza, Alessio & Seghezza, Elena & Thornton, John, 2020. "Expectations in an open economy hyperinflation: Evidence from Germany 1921–23," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    14. Carola Conces Binder & Gillian Brunet, 2022. "Inflation expectations and consumption: Evidence from 1951," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 60(2), pages 954-974, April.
    15. Ali Kabiri & Harold James & John Landon‐Lane & David Tuckett & Rickard Nyman, 2023. "The role of sentiment in the US economy: 1920 to 1934," Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 76(1), pages 3-30, February.
    16. Jason Lennard, 2020. "Uncertainty and the Great Slump," Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 73(3), pages 844-867, August.
    17. Gabriel Mathy & Herman O. Stekler, 2017. "Was the Deflation of the Depression Anticipated? An Inference Using Real-time Data," Working Papers 2017-004, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research.
    18. Chibane, Messaoud & Kuhanathan, Ano, 2023. "Is the fed failing to re-anchor expectations? An analysis of jumps in inflation swaps," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PB).

  34. Carola Binder & Randal J. Verbrugge, 2016. "Digging into the Downward Trend in Consumer Inflation Expectations," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, issue September.

    Cited by:

    1. Binder, Carola C., 2017. "Measuring uncertainty based on rounding: New method and application to inflation expectations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 1-12.
    2. Carola Binder & Wesley Janson & Randal J. Verbrugge, 2019. "Thinking Outside the Box: Do SPF Respondents Have Anchored Inflation Expectations?," Working Papers 19-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    3. Jeffrey Schafer, 2022. "Inflation Expectations and Their Formation: Working Paper 2022-03," Working Papers 57398, Congressional Budget Office.
    4. Binder, Carola Conces, 2019. "Comment on “Central Bank announcements: Big news for little people?” by Michael Lamla and Dmitri Vinogradov," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 39-44.
    5. Binder, Carola Conces, 2020. "Long-run inflation expectations in the shrinking upper tail," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    6. Andrew B. Martinez, 2020. "Extracting Information from Different Expectations," Working Papers 2020-008, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research.
    7. Yiqun Gloria Chen, 2019. "Inflation, Inflation Expectations, and the Phillips Curve: Working Paper 2019-07," Working Papers 55501, Congressional Budget Office.

  35. Binder, Carola Conces, 2015. "Whose expectations augment the Phillips curve?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 35-38.

    Cited by:

    1. Mitchell, James & Shiroff, Taylor & Braitsch, Hana, 2026. "Practice makes perfect: Learning effects with household point and density forecasts of inflation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 315-329.
    2. Christopher Loewald & Rudi Steinbach & Jeffrey Rakgalakane, 2025. "Less risk and more reward revising South Africas inflation target," Working Papers 11079, South African Reserve Bank.
    3. Binder, Carola, 2017. "Fed speak on main street: Central bank communication and household expectations," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 238-251.
    4. Oscar Claveria, 2018. "“A new metric of consensus for Likert scales”," IREA Working Papers 201821, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Oct 2018.
    5. Francesca Rondina, 2018. "Estimating unobservable inflation expectations in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Working Papers 1804E, University of Ottawa, Department of Economics.
    6. Medina, J.P. & Mello, Miguel & Ponce, Jorge, 2024. "Heterogeneous inflation expectations: A call for customized monetary policy communication?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    7. Monique Reid & Pierre Siklos, 2024. "Firm level expectations and macroeconomic conditions underpinnings and disagreement," Working Papers 11058, South African Reserve Bank.
    8. Reid, Monique & Siklos, Pierre & Guetterman, Timothy & Du Plessis, Stan, 2021. "The role of financial journalists in the expectations channel of the monetary transmission mechanism," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    9. Carola Binder & Wesley Janson & Randal J. Verbrugge, 2019. "Thinking Outside the Box: Do SPF Respondents Have Anchored Inflation Expectations?," Working Papers 19-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    10. Arioli, Rodolfo & Bates, Colm & Dieden, Heinz Christian & Duca, Ioana & Friz, Roberta & Gayer, Christian & Kenny, Geoff & Meyler, Aidan & Pavlova, Iskra, 2017. "EU consumers’ quantitative inflation perceptions and expectations: an evaluation," Occasional Paper Series 186, European Central Bank.
    11. Reid, Monique & Siklos, Pierre & Plessis, Stan Du, 2021. "What drives household inflation expectations in South Africa? Demographics and anchoring under inflation targeting," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 45(3).
    12. Binder, Carola Conces, 2020. "Long-run inflation expectations in the shrinking upper tail," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    13. Oscar Claveria, 2021. "Forecasting with Business and Consumer Survey Data," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(1), pages 1-22, February.
    14. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Mauricio Ulate, 2019. "Is Inflation Just Around the Corner? The Phillips Curve and Global Inflationary Pressures," NBER Working Papers 25511, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Monique Reid & Pierre Siklos, 2021. "The Bureau for Economic Research's inflation expectations surveys: Know your data," Working Papers 10/2021, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
    16. James Mitchell & Saeed Zaman, 2023. "The Distributional Predictive Content of Measures of Inflation Expectations," Working Papers 23-31, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    17. Monique Reid & Dieter von Fintel & Anis Foresto, 2024. "From deliberate sample to representative sample pilot study for the BER inflation expectations survey," Working Papers 11068, South African Reserve Bank.
    18. Binder, Carola Conces, 2016. "Estimation of historical inflation expectations," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-31.
    19. Carola Conces Binder & Gillian Brunet, 2022. "Inflation expectations and consumption: Evidence from 1951," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 60(2), pages 954-974, April.
    20. Meyer, Brent H. & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2025. "Unit cost expectations: Firms’ perspectives on inflation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    21. Concetta Rondinelli & Roberta Zizza, 2020. "Spend today or spend tomorrow? The role of inflation expectations in consumer behaviour," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1276, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    22. Ricardo Sousa & James Yetman, 2016. "Inflation expectations and monetary policy," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Inflation mechanisms, expectations and monetary policy, volume 89, pages 41-67, Bank for International Settlements.
    23. Roland Meeks & Francesca Monti, 2019. "Heterogeneous beliefs and the Phillips curve," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 807, Bank of England.
    24. Philippe Goulet Coulombe, 2022. "A Neural Phillips Curve and a Deep Output Gap," Working Papers 22-01, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management.
    25. Brent Meyer & Xuguang Sheng, 2024. "Unit Cost Expectations and Uncertainty: Firms' Perspectives on Inflation," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2021-12b, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    26. Carola Binder, 2021. "Presidential antagonism and central bank credibility," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(2), pages 244-263, July.
    27. Stefano Neri & Guido Bulligan & Sara Cecchetti & Francesco Corsello & Andrea Papetti & Marianna Riggi & Concetta Rondinelli & Alex Tagliabracci, 2022. "On the anchoring of inflation expectations in the euro area," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 712, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    28. Sara Cecchetti & Davide Fantino & Alessandro Notarpietro & Marianna Riggi & Alex Tagliabracci & Andrea Tiseno & Roberta Zizza, 2021. "Inflation expectations in the euro area: indicators, analyses and models used at Banca d’Italia," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 612, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    29. Carola Binder & Alex Rodrigue, 2018. "Household Informedness and Long‐Run Inflation Expectations: Experimental Evidence," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 85(2), pages 580-598, October.
    30. Berge, Travis J., 2018. "Understanding survey-based inflation expectations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 788-801.
    31. Dash, Pradyumna & Rohit, Abhishek Kumar & Devaguptapu, Adviti, 2020. "Assessing the (de-)anchoring of households’ long-term inflation expectations in the US," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    32. Monique B Reid & Pierre L Siklos, 2021. "How firms and experts view the Phillips curve evidence from individual and aggregate data from South Africa," Working Papers 11003, South African Reserve Bank.

Chapters

  1. Carola Conces Binder & Rupal Kamdar & Jane M. Ryngaert, 2024. "Partisan Expectations and COVID-Era Inflation," NBER Chapters, in: Inflation in the COVID Era and Beyond, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of chapters recorded.

Books

  1. Itai Agur & Carola Binder & Cristina Bodea & Claudio Borio & Italo Colantone & Ana Carolina Garriga & Federico Favaretto & Stefan Gerlach & Ernest Gnan & Ryszard Kokoszczynski & Masaaki Higashijima & , 2020. "Populism, Economic Policies and Central Banking," SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum, number 2020/1 edited by Ernest Gnan and Donato Masciandaro, January-J.

    Cited by:

    1. Alessandro Ferrari & Valerio Nispi Landi, 2022. "Toward a green economy: the role of central bank's asset purchases," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1358, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    2. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Nasir, Muhammad Ali, 2022. "Central bank digital currencies: An agenda for future research," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    3. Donato Masciandaro, 2026. "Monetary Policy and Taylor Reaction Functions: Business Cycles, Central Bank Governance and Central Bankers’ Preferences," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 26270, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.

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