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Partisan differences among independents: Evidence from household economic expectations

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  • Simon, Pedro

Abstract

I document that self-declared politically Independent households with partisan leanings change economic expectations in ways that resemble weak partisans. Republican leaners align more with weak Republicans, while Democratic leaners are similar to weak Democrats in their macroeconomic beliefs. This insight has important implications for survey design and for how researchers categorize political affiliation in economic analyses. Classifying leaners as neutral Independents can distort estimates of partisan differences.

Suggested Citation

  • Simon, Pedro, 2026. "Partisan differences among independents: Evidence from household economic expectations," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:267:y:2026:i:c:s0165176526003125
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2026.113116
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
    • E7 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macro-Based Behavioral Economics

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