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Giovanni Ricco

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

RePEc Biblio mentions

As found on the RePEc Biblio, the curated bibliography of Economics:
  1. Ricco, Giovanni & Ellahie, Atif, 2012. "Government Spending Reloaded: Fundamentalness and Heterogeneity in Fiscal SVARs," MPRA Paper 42105, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Mentioned in:

    1. > Econometrics > Time Series Models > VAR Models > Bayesian Vector autoregressions (BVARs)

Working papers

  1. Riccardo Degasperi & Seokki Simon Hong & Giovanni Ricco, 2024. "The global transmission of U.S. monetary policy," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1466, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.

    Cited by:

    1. Beck, Roland & Berganza, Juan Carlos & Brüggemann, Axel & Cezar, Rafael & Eijking, Carlijn & Eller, Markus & Fuentes, Alberto & Alves, Joel Graça & Kreitz, Lilian & Marsilli, Clement & Moder, Isabella, 2023. "Recent advances in the literature on capital flow management," Occasional Paper Series 317, European Central Bank.
    2. Maurice Obstfeld & Haonan Zhou, 2023. "The Global Dollar Cycle," NBER Working Papers 31004, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Lastauskas, Povilas & Nguyen, Anh Dinh Minh, 2021. "Global impacts of US monetary policy uncertainty shocks," Working Paper Series 2513, European Central Bank.
    4. Christophe Blot & Caroline Bozou & Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert, 2021. "Are all Central Bank Asset Purchases the Same? Different Rationales, Different Effects," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03554141, HAL.
    5. Müller, Gernot & Georgiadis, Georgios & Schumann, Ben, 2021. "Global Risk and the Dollar," CEPR Discussion Papers 16245, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    6. Christoph Lauper & Giacomo Mangiante, 2021. "Monetary policy shocks and inflation inequality," Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Département d'économie 21.02a, Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, Département d’économie.
    7. Pei-Fen, Chen & Mei-Ping, Chen & Min-Syu, Lin & Chingnun, Lee, 2025. "Cross-border transmission effect of China's monetary policy on the exchange rate of Asia-Pacific economies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    8. Zhang, Mi & Sensoy, Ahmet & Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Cheng, Feiyang, 2025. "Can bilateral RMB swap reduce monetary policy spillovers from the United States to China?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    9. Breitenlechner, Max & Georgiadis, Georgios & Schumann, Ben, 2022. "What goes around comes around: How large are spillbacks from US monetary policy?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 45-60.
    10. Beckmann, Joscha & Davidson, Sharada Nia & Koop, Gary & Schüssler, Rainer, 2023. "Cross-country uncertainty spillovers: Evidence from international survey data," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    11. Qi, Tong & Ying, Jiezhou, 2025. "U.S. monetary policy and portfolio spillover effects: The role of global production network," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    12. Akinci, Ozge & Benigno, Gianluca & Pelin, Serra & Turek, Jon, 2023. "The Dollar's Imperial Circle," CEPR Discussion Papers 18511, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    13. Dong, Xiao & Yu, Mingzhe, 2024. "Time-varying effects of macro shocks on cross-border capital flows in China's bond market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PC).
    14. Luchelle Soobyah & Mulalo Mamburu & Nicola Viegi, 2023. "Is South Africa falling into a fiscal dominant regime," Working Papers 11046, South African Reserve Bank.
    15. Bekaert, Geert & Hoerova, Marie & Xu, Nancy R., 2023. "Risk, monetary policy and asset prices in a global world," Working Paper Series 2879, European Central Bank.
    16. Santiago Camara, 2021. "Spillovers of US Interest Rates: Monetary Policy & Information Effects," Papers 2111.08631, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2023.
    17. Mistak, Jakub & Ozkan, F. Gulcin, 2024. "Asymmetric monetary policy spillovers: the role of supply chains, credit networks and fear of floating," Working Paper Series 2995, European Central Bank.
    18. Alain Kabundi & Tumisang Loate & Nicola Viegi, 2020. "Spillovers of the Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy from the US to South Africa," Working Papers 202033, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    19. Juvenal, Luciana & Petrella, Ivan, 2024. "Unveiling the dance of commodity prices and the global financial cycle," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    20. Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel, 2023. "Soft or strong: the art of monetary tightening," Working Papers hal-03954545, HAL.
    21. Gökhan Ider & Alexander Kriwoluzky & Frederik Kurcz & Ben Schumann, 2024. "Friend, Not Foe - Energy Prices and European Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2089, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    22. Camehl, Annika & von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2023. "What explains international interest rate co-movement?," IWH Discussion Papers 3/2023, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), revised 2023.
    23. Alisdair McKay & Christian K. Wolf, 2023. "What Can Time‐Series Regressions Tell Us About Policy Counterfactuals?," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 91(5), pages 1695-1725, September.
    24. Yildirim, Zekeriya, 2022. "Global financial risk, the risk-taking channel, and monetary policy in emerging markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    25. Arrigoni, Simone & Bobasu, Alina & Venditti, Fabrizio, 2021. "The simpler, the better: Measuring financial conditions for monetary policy and financial stability," EIB Working Papers 2021/10, European Investment Bank (EIB).
    26. Dées, Stéphane & Galesi, Alessandro, 2021. "The Global Financial Cycle and US monetary policy in an interconnected world," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    27. Marc Burri & Daniel Kaufmann, 2024. "Measuring multiple monetary policy shocks based on heteroscedasticity," IRENE Working Papers 24-03, IRENE Institute of Economic Research.
    28. Licheng Zhang & Shengtao Luo, 2025. "Time-varying return correlations and spillovers between bitcoin and traditional assets: the impact of COVID-19 and US monetary policy," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1-28, June.
    29. Jarociński, Marek, 2022. "Central bank information effects and transatlantic spillovers," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    30. Feng, Ling & Pei, Tingting & Zhou, Zhiguang, 2024. "The impact of U.S. monetary policy on Chinese firms’ innovation," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 1097-1111.
    31. Gökhan Ider & Alexander Kriwoluzky & Frederik Kurcz & Ben Schumann, 2023. "The Energy-Price Channel of (European) Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2033, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    32. James Cloyne & Patrick Hürtgen & Alan M. Taylor, 2022. "Global Monetary and Financial Spillovers: Evidence from a New Measure of Bundesbank Policy Shocks," NBER Working Papers 30485, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    33. Mélina London & Maëva Silvestrini, 2023. "US Monetary Policy Spillovers to Emerging Markets: the Trade Credit Channel," Working papers 915, Banque de France.
    34. Zhang, Wen, 2022. "China’s government spending and global inflation dynamics: The role of the oil price channel," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    35. Georgiadis, Georgios & Jarociński, Marek, 2023. "Global spillovers from multi-dimensional US monetary policy," Working Paper Series 2881, European Central Bank.
    36. Dario Caldara & Francesco Ferrante & Matteo Iacoviello & Andrea Prestipino & Albert Queraltó, 2023. "The International Spillovers of Synchronous Monetary Tightening," International Finance Discussion Papers 1384, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    37. Juvenal, Luciana & Petrella, Ivan, 2024. "Reprint of “Unveiling the dance of commodity prices and the global financial cycle”," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    38. Georgios Georgiadis & Gernot J. Müller & Ben Schumann, 2023. "Dollar Trinity and the Global Financial Cycle," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2058, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    39. Rujin, Svetlana, 2024. "Labor market institutions and technology-induced labor adjustment along the extensive and intensive margins," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    40. Ambrogio Cesa Bianchi & Andrej Sokol, 2017. "Financial shocks, credit spreads and the international credit channel," Bank of England working papers 693, Bank of England.
    41. Santiago Camara, 2021. "US Spillovers of US Monetary Policy: Information effects & Financial Flows," Papers 2108.01026, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
    42. Lastauskas, Povilas & Nguyen, Anh Dinh Minh, 2024. "Spillover effects of US monetary policy on emerging markets amidst uncertainty," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    43. Maciej Stefański, 2021. "Macroeconomic Effects of Quantitative Easing Using Mid-sized Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," KAE Working Papers 2021-068, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
    44. Corbo, Vesna & Di Casola, Paola, 2022. "Drivers of consumer prices and exchange rates in small open economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    45. Chen, Hongyi & Tillmann, Peter, 2025. "Monetary policy spillovers: Is this time different?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    46. Tobias Adrian & Gaston Gelos & Nora Lamersdorf & Emanuel Moench, 2024. "The asymmetric and persistent effects of Fed policy on global bond yields," BIS Working Papers 1195, Bank for International Settlements.
    47. Beutel, Johannes & Emter, Lorenz & Metiu, Norbert & Prieto, Esteban & Schüler, Yves, 2025. "The global financial cycle and macroeconomic tail risks," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    48. Camara, Santiago, 2025. "Spillovers of US interest rates: Monetary policy & information effects," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    49. Karau, Sören, 2023. "Monetary policy and Bitcoin," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    50. Santiago Camara & Maximo Sangiacomo, 2022. "Borrowing Constraints in Emerging Markets," Papers 2211.10864, arXiv.org.

  2. Leonardo Nogueira Ferreira & Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2023. "Bayesian Local Projections," Working Papers Series 581, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.

    Cited by:

    1. Viktoriia Bannikova & Sofya Kolesnik, 2025. "Assessing the predictability of market interest rate changes on Central Bank of Russia press release days," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 77, pages 25-45.
    2. Marco Bernardini & Annalisa De Nicola, 2020. "The market stabilization role of central bank asset purchases: high-frequency evidence from the COVID-19 crisis," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1310, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    3. Inoue, Atsushi & Jordà , Òscar & Kuersteiner, Guido, 2024. "Inference for Local Projections," CEPR Discussion Papers 19379, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. S. Borağan Aruoba & Thomas Drechsel, 2024. "The Long and Variable Lags of Monetary Policy: Evidence from Disaggregated Price Indices," NBER Working Papers 32623, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Dake Li & Mikkel Plagborg-Møller & Christian K. Wolf, 2021. "Local Projections vs. VARs: Lessons From Thousands of DGPs," Working Papers 2021-55, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    6. Ho, Paul & Lubik, Thomas A. & Matthes, Christian, 2024. "Averaging impulse responses using prediction pools," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    7. Le, Anh H., 2025. "Climate change and Carbon policy: A story of optimal green macroprudential and capital flow management," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    8. NAKAJIMA, Jouchi, 2025. "Time-varying Local Projections with Stochastic Volatility," Discussion Paper Series 761, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    9. Tomás Opazo, 2023. "The Heterogeneous Effect of Monetary Policy Shocks: Evidence for US Households," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 992, Central Bank of Chile.

  3. Forni, Mario & Gambetti, Luca & Ricco, Giovanni, 2023. "External Instrument SVAR Analysis for Noninvertible Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 17886, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Leonardo Nogueira Ferreira & Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2023. "Bayesian Local Projections," Working Papers Series 581, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    2. Davide Brignone & Alessandro Franconi & Marco Mazzali, 2023. "Robust Impulse Responses using External Instruments: the Role of Information," Papers 2307.06145, arXiv.org.
    3. Odendahl, Florens & Pagliari, Maria Sole & Penalver, Adrian & Rossi, Barbara & Sestieri, Giulia, 2024. "Euro area monetary policy effects. Does the shape of the yield curve matter?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(S).
    4. Luca Eduardo Fierro & Mario Martinoli, 2024. "An Empirical Inquiry into the Distributional Consequences of Energy Price Shocks," LEM Papers Series 2024/30, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    5. Rünstler, Gerhard, 2024. "The macroeconomic impact of euro area labor market reforms: evidence from a narrative panel VAR," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    6. Forni, Mario & Gambetti, Luca & Maffei-Faccioli, Nicolò & Sala, Luca, 2024. "The effects of monetary policy on macroeconomic risk," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).

  4. Silvia Miranda Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2022. "Identification with external instruments in structural VARs," Bank of England working papers 973, Bank of England.

    Cited by:

    1. Goodhead, Robert & Kolb, Benedikt, 2018. "Monetary policy communication shocks and the macroeconomy," Discussion Papers 46/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    2. Banerjee, Joshua J., 2024. "Inflationary oil shocks, fiscal policy, and debt dynamics: New evidence from oil-importing OECD economies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    3. Alsalman, Zeina & Herrera, Ana María & Rangaraju, Sandeep Kumar, 2023. "Oil news shocks and the U.S. stock market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    4. Fabrizio Ferriani & Andrea Gazzani & Filippo Natoli, 2025. "The macroeconomic effects of a greener technology mix," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1482, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    5. Brent Bundick & Trenton Herriford & Andrew Lee Smith, 2022. "The Term Structure of Monetary Policy Uncertainty," Research Working Paper RWP 2022-02, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    6. Eric T. Swanson, 2024. "The Macroeconomic Effects of the Federal Reserve’s Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(3), pages 1152-1184, September.
    7. Dake Li & Mikkel Plagborg-Møller & Christian K. Wolf, 2021. "Local Projections vs. VARs: Lessons From Thousands of DGPs," Working Papers 2021-55, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    8. Luca Eduardo Fierro & Mario Martinoli, 2024. "An Empirical Inquiry into the Distributional Consequences of Energy Price Shocks," LEM Papers Series 2024/30, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    9. Sofia Velasco, 2025. "Let the Tree Decide: FABART A Non-Parametric Factor Model," Papers 2506.11551, arXiv.org.
    10. Jiang, Shifu, 2024. "The effect of monetary policies on inflation: A fiscal perspective," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    11. Karau, Sören, 2024. "Relative monetary policy and exchange rates," Discussion Papers 40/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    12. Georgiadis, Georgios & Jarociński, Marek, 2023. "Global spillovers from multi-dimensional US monetary policy," Working Paper Series 2881, European Central Bank.
    13. Carlos Alba & Julio A. Carrillo & Raúl Ibarra, 2024. "Information Effects of US Monetary Policy Announcements on Emerging Economies: Evidence from Mexico," Working Papers 2024-14, Banco de México.
    14. Piergiorgio Alessandri & Andrea Gazzani & Alejandro Vicondoa, 2023. "Are the Effects of Uncertainty Shocks Big or Small?," Working Papers 244, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
    15. Maximilian Boeck & Thomas O. Zörner, 2024. "The Impact of Credit Market Sentiment Shocks," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(7), pages 1645-1673, October.
    16. Endong Wang, 2024. "Structural counterfactual analysis in macroeconomics: theory and inference," Papers 2409.09577, arXiv.org.
    17. Longaric, Pablo Anaya & Cera, Katharina & Georgiadis, Georgios & Kaufmann, Christoph, 2025. "Investment funds and euro disaster risk," Working Paper Series 3029, European Central Bank.
    18. Peter Ajonghakoh Foabeh & Vesarach Aumeboonsuke, 2024. "Resilience of Developing Economies to External Shocks: Empirical Evidence from CEMAC Countries," Journal of Sustainable Development, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 17(3), pages 1-81, May.

  5. Thomas Hasenzagl & Filippo Pellegrino & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2022. "Monitoring the Economy in Real Time: Trends and Gaps in Real Activity and Prices," Papers 2201.05556, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2023.

    Cited by:

    1. Matteo Barigozzi & Filippo Pellegrino, 2023. "Multidimensional dynamic factor models," Papers 2301.12499, arXiv.org.

  6. Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco & Matthieu Tarbé, 2021. "Monetary-Fiscal Crosswinds in the European Monetary Union," BIS Working Papers 940, Bank for International Settlements.

    Cited by:

    1. Kloosterman, Roben & Bonam, Dennis & van der Veer, Koen, 2024. "The effects of monetary policy across fiscal regimes," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    2. Michele Andreolli & Hélène Rey, 2023. "The Fiscal Consequences of Missing an Inflation Target," NBER Working Papers 30819, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Roben Kloosterman & Dennis Bonam & Koen van der Veer, 2022. "The effects of monetary policy across fiscal regimes," Working Papers 755, DNB.
    4. Lukas Berend & Jan Pruser, 2025. "Large structural VARs with multiple linear shock and impact inequality restrictions," Papers 2505.19244, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2025.
    5. Bouabdallah, Othman & Jacquinot, Pascal & Patella, Valeria, 2023. "Monetary/fiscal policy regimes in post-war Europe," Working Paper Series 2871, European Central Bank.
    6. Serena Ionta & António Afonso & José Alves, 2025. "Monetary policy surprises and fiscal sustainability: the case of the Euro Area," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1-20, June.
    7. António Afonso & José Alves & Serena Ionta, 2023. "The effects of monetary policy surprises and fiscal sustainability regimes in the Euro Area," Working Papers REM 2023/0281, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    8. Rant, Vasja & Puc, Anja & Čok, Mitja & Verbič, Miroslav, 2024. "Macroeconomic impacts of monetary and fiscal policy in the euro area in times of shifting policies: A SVAR approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).

  7. Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco & Thomas Hasenzagl, 2020. "Financial Variables as Predictors of Real Growth Vulnerability," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03403077, HAL.

    Cited by:

    1. Aaron J. Amburgey & Michael W. McCracken, 2023. "On the real‐time predictive content of financial condition indices for growth," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(2), pages 137-163, March.
    2. Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Marcellino Massimiliano, 2020. "Nowcasting Tail Risks to Economic Activity with Many Indicators," Working Papers 20-13R2, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 22 Sep 2020.
    3. Delle Monache, Davide & De Polis, Andrea & Petrella, Ivan, 2021. "Modeling and forecasting macroeconomic downside risk," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1324, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    4. Helena Chuliá & Ignacio Garrón & Jorge M. Uribe, 2022. ""Daily Growth at Risk: financial or real drivers? The answer is not always the same"," IREA Working Papers 202208, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Jun 2022.
    5. David Kohns & Tibor Szendrei, 2021. "Decoupling Shrinkage and Selection for the Bayesian Quantile Regression," Papers 2107.08498, arXiv.org.
    6. Martin Iseringhausen, 2021. "A time-varying skewness model for Growth-at-Risk," Working Papers 49, European Stability Mechanism.
    7. Tony Chernis & Patrick J. Coe & Shaun P. Vahey, 2023. "Reassessing the dependence between economic growth and financial conditions since 1973," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(2), pages 260-267, March.
    8. Marcellino, Massimiliano & Clark, Todd & Carriero, Andrea, 2021. "Nowcasting Tail Risk to Economic Activity at a Weekly Frequency," CEPR Discussion Papers 16496, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    9. Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera & Vladimir Rodriguez-Caballero & Esther Ruiz, 2023. "Expecting the unexpected: Stressed scenarios for economic growth," Working Papers 202314, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
    10. Thomas Hasenzagl & Filippo Pellegrino & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2022. "Monitoring the Economy in Real Time: Trends and Gaps in Real Activity and Prices," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03573080, HAL.
    11. Chavleishvili, Sulkhan & Fahr, Stephan & Kremer, Manfred & Manganelli, Simone & Schwaab, Bernd, 2021. "A risk management perspective on macroprudential policy," Working Paper Series 2556, European Central Bank.
    12. James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2022. "Constructing Density Forecasts from Quantile Regressions: Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics," Working Papers 22-12R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 11 Apr 2023.
    13. Graziano Moramarco, 2021. "Financial-cycle ratios and medium-term predictions of GDP: Evidence from the United States," Papers 2111.00822, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    14. Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera & Vladimir Rodriguez-Caballero & Esther Ruiz, 2021. "Expecting the unexpected: economic growth under stress," Working Papers 202106, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
    15. Helena Chuliá & Ignacio Garrón & Jorge M. Uribe, 2021. ""Vulnerable Funding in the Global Economy"," IREA Working Papers 202106, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Mar 2021.
    16. Figueres, Juan Manuel & Jarociński, Marek, 2020. "Vulnerable growth in the euro area: Measuring the financial conditions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    17. Arrigoni, Simone & Bobasu, Alina & Venditti, Fabrizio, 2021. "The simpler, the better: Measuring financial conditions for monetary policy and financial stability," EIB Working Papers 2021/10, European Investment Bank (EIB).
    18. Clark, Todd & Huber, Florian & Koop, Gary & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Pfarrhofer, Michael, 2023. "Investigating Growth-at-Risk Using a Multicountry Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model," CEPR Discussion Papers 18549, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    19. Behera, Harendra & Gunadi, Iman & Rath, Badri Narayan, 2023. "COVID-19 uncertainty, financial markets and monetary policy effects in case of two emerging Asian countries," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 173-189.
    20. Deng, Chuang & Wu, Jian, 2023. "Macroeconomic downside risk and the effect of monetary policy," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    21. Corradi, Valentina & Fosten, Jack & Gutknecht, Daniel, 2024. "Reprint of: Out-of-sample tests for conditional quantile coverage: An application to Growth-at-Risk," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 244(2).
    22. Sui, Jianli & Lv, Wenqiang & Gao, Xiang & Koedijk, Kees G., 2024. "China’s GDP-at-Risk: Real-Time Monitoring, Risk Tracing, and Macroeconomic Policy Effects," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    23. Todd E. Clark & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & Massimiliano Marcellino & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2023. "Tail Forecasting With Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 64(3), pages 979-1022, August.
    24. Corradi, Valentina & Fosten, Jack & Gutknecht, Daniel, 2023. "Out-of-sample tests for conditional quantile coverage an application to Growth-at-Risk," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(2).
    25. Diego Chicana & Rafael Nivin, 2021. "Evaluating Growth-at-Risk as a tool for monitoring macro-financial risks in the Peruvian economy," IHEID Working Papers 07-2021, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    26. Lang, Jan Hannes & Rusnák, Marek & Greiwe, Moritz, 2023. "Medium-term growth-at-risk in the euro area," Working Paper Series 2808, European Central Bank.
    27. Simone Arrigoni & Alina Bobasu & Fabrizio Venditti, 2022. "Measuring Financial Conditions using Equal Weights Combination," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 70(4), pages 668-697, December.

  8. Paolo Andreini & Cosimo Izzo & Giovanni Ricco, 2020. "Deep Dynamic Factor Models," Papers 2007.11887, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.

    Cited by:

    1. Philippe Goulet Coulombe, 2022. "A Neural Phillips Curve and a Deep Output Gap," Working Papers 22-01, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management.
    2. Trent Spears & Stefan Zohren & Stephen Roberts, 2023. "On statistical arbitrage under a conditional factor model of equity returns," Papers 2309.02205, arXiv.org.
    3. Fernández-Avilés, Gema & Mattera, Raffaele & Scepi, Germana, 2024. "Factor-Augmented Autoregressive Neural Network to forecast NOx in the city of Madrid," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).

  9. Reichlin, Lucrezia & Ricco, Giovanni & Hasenzagl, Thomas, 2020. "Financial Variables as Predictors of Real Growth Vulnerability," CEPR Discussion Papers 14322, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Aaron J. Amburgey & Michael W. McCracken, 2023. "On the real‐time predictive content of financial condition indices for growth," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(2), pages 137-163, March.
    2. Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Marcellino Massimiliano, 2020. "Nowcasting Tail Risks to Economic Activity with Many Indicators," Working Papers 20-13R2, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 22 Sep 2020.
    3. Delle Monache, Davide & De Polis, Andrea & Petrella, Ivan, 2021. "Modeling and forecasting macroeconomic downside risk," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1324, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    4. Helena Chuliá & Ignacio Garrón & Jorge M. Uribe, 2022. ""Daily Growth at Risk: financial or real drivers? The answer is not always the same"," IREA Working Papers 202208, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Jun 2022.
    5. David Kohns & Tibor Szendrei, 2021. "Decoupling Shrinkage and Selection for the Bayesian Quantile Regression," Papers 2107.08498, arXiv.org.
    6. Martin Iseringhausen, 2021. "A time-varying skewness model for Growth-at-Risk," Working Papers 49, European Stability Mechanism.
    7. Tony Chernis & Patrick J. Coe & Shaun P. Vahey, 2023. "Reassessing the dependence between economic growth and financial conditions since 1973," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(2), pages 260-267, March.
    8. Marcellino, Massimiliano & Clark, Todd & Carriero, Andrea, 2021. "Nowcasting Tail Risk to Economic Activity at a Weekly Frequency," CEPR Discussion Papers 16496, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    9. Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera & Vladimir Rodriguez-Caballero & Esther Ruiz, 2023. "Expecting the unexpected: Stressed scenarios for economic growth," Working Papers 202314, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
    10. Thomas Hasenzagl & Filippo Pellegrino & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2022. "Monitoring the Economy in Real Time: Trends and Gaps in Real Activity and Prices," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03573080, HAL.
    11. Chavleishvili, Sulkhan & Fahr, Stephan & Kremer, Manfred & Manganelli, Simone & Schwaab, Bernd, 2021. "A risk management perspective on macroprudential policy," Working Paper Series 2556, European Central Bank.
    12. James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2022. "Constructing Density Forecasts from Quantile Regressions: Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics," Working Papers 22-12R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 11 Apr 2023.
    13. Graziano Moramarco, 2021. "Financial-cycle ratios and medium-term predictions of GDP: Evidence from the United States," Papers 2111.00822, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    14. Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera & Vladimir Rodriguez-Caballero & Esther Ruiz, 2021. "Expecting the unexpected: economic growth under stress," Working Papers 202106, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
    15. Helena Chuliá & Ignacio Garrón & Jorge M. Uribe, 2021. ""Vulnerable Funding in the Global Economy"," IREA Working Papers 202106, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Mar 2021.
    16. Figueres, Juan Manuel & Jarociński, Marek, 2020. "Vulnerable growth in the euro area: Measuring the financial conditions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    17. Arrigoni, Simone & Bobasu, Alina & Venditti, Fabrizio, 2021. "The simpler, the better: Measuring financial conditions for monetary policy and financial stability," EIB Working Papers 2021/10, European Investment Bank (EIB).
    18. Clark, Todd & Huber, Florian & Koop, Gary & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Pfarrhofer, Michael, 2023. "Investigating Growth-at-Risk Using a Multicountry Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model," CEPR Discussion Papers 18549, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    19. Behera, Harendra & Gunadi, Iman & Rath, Badri Narayan, 2023. "COVID-19 uncertainty, financial markets and monetary policy effects in case of two emerging Asian countries," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 173-189.
    20. Deng, Chuang & Wu, Jian, 2023. "Macroeconomic downside risk and the effect of monetary policy," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    21. Corradi, Valentina & Fosten, Jack & Gutknecht, Daniel, 2024. "Reprint of: Out-of-sample tests for conditional quantile coverage: An application to Growth-at-Risk," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 244(2).
    22. Sui, Jianli & Lv, Wenqiang & Gao, Xiang & Koedijk, Kees G., 2024. "China’s GDP-at-Risk: Real-Time Monitoring, Risk Tracing, and Macroeconomic Policy Effects," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    23. Todd E. Clark & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & Massimiliano Marcellino & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2023. "Tail Forecasting With Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 64(3), pages 979-1022, August.
    24. Corradi, Valentina & Fosten, Jack & Gutknecht, Daniel, 2023. "Out-of-sample tests for conditional quantile coverage an application to Growth-at-Risk," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(2).
    25. Diego Chicana & Rafael Nivin, 2021. "Evaluating Growth-at-Risk as a tool for monitoring macro-financial risks in the Peruvian economy," IHEID Working Papers 07-2021, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    26. Lang, Jan Hannes & Rusnák, Marek & Greiwe, Moritz, 2023. "Medium-term growth-at-risk in the euro area," Working Paper Series 2808, European Central Bank.
    27. Simone Arrigoni & Alina Bobasu & Fabrizio Venditti, 2022. "Measuring Financial Conditions using Equal Weights Combination," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 70(4), pages 668-697, December.

  10. Ricco, Giovanni & ,, 2019. "Identification with External Instruments in Structural VARs under Partial Invertibility," CEPR Discussion Papers 13853, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Piergiorgio Alessandri & Andrea Gazzani & Alejandro Vicondoa, 2021. "The Real Effects of Financial Uncertainty Shocks: A Daily Identification Approach," Documentos de Trabajo 559, Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile..
    2. Ettmeier, Stephanie & Kriwoluzky, Alexander, 2019. "Same, but different? Testing monetary policy shock measures," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 184.
    3. Luchelle Soobyah & Nicola Viegi, 2022. "CanNationalTreasurydocontractionarymonetarypolicy," Working Papers 11031, South African Reserve Bank.
    4. Adam Brzezinski & Yao Chen & Nuno Palma & Felix Ward, 2019. "The vagaries of the sea: evidence on the real effects of money from maritime disasters in the Spanish Empire," Working Papers 0170, European Historical Economics Society (EHES).
    5. Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Hacıoglu Hoke, Sinem, 2018. "When creativity strikes: news shocks and business cycle fluctuations," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 90381, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    6. Sinem Hacioglu Hoke, 2019. "Macroeconomic effects of political risk shocks," Bank of England working papers 841, Bank of England.
    7. Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Hacıoğlu Hoke, Sinem & Bluwstein, Kristina, 2020. "Patents, News, and Business Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 15062, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    8. Mikkel Plagborg-Møller & Christian K. Wolf, 2020. "Local Projections and VARs Estimate the Same Impulse Responses," Working Papers 2020-16, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    9. Dake Li & Mikkel Plagborg-Møller & Christian K. Wolf, 2021. "Local Projections vs. VARs: Lessons From Thousands of DGPs," Working Papers 2021-55, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    10. Andrea Gazzani & Alejandro Vicondoa, 2020. "Bridge Proxy-SVAR: estimating the macroeconomic effects of shocks identified at high-frequency," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1274, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    11. Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens, 2022. "Dynamic Identification Using System Projections on Instrumental Variables," Working Papers 2204, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 03 Jul 2024.
    12. Diego R. Känzig, 2021. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Oil Supply News: Evidence from OPEC Announcements," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 111(4), pages 1092-1125, April.
    13. Martínez-Hernández, Catalina, 2020. "Disentangling the effects of multidimensional monetary policy on inflation and inflation expectations in the euro area," Discussion Papers 2020/18, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    14. Laumer, Sebastian & Violaris, Andreas-Entony, 2024. "Unconventional monetary policy and policy foresight," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    15. Leonardo N. Ferreira, 2020. "Forward Guidance Matters: Disentangling Monetary Policy Shocks," Working Papers 912, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    16. Herwartz, Helmut & Rohloff, Hannes & Wang, Shu, 2022. "Proxy SVAR identification of monetary policy shocks - Monte Carlo evidence and insights for the US," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    17. Andrea Giovanni Gazzani & Alejandro Vicondoa, 2019. "Proxy-SVAR as a Bridge for Identification with Higher Frequency Data," 2019 Meeting Papers 855, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    18. James Cloyne & Patrick Hürtgen & Alan M. Taylor, 2022. "Global Monetary and Financial Spillovers: Evidence from a New Measure of Bundesbank Policy Shocks," NBER Working Papers 30485, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    19. Fabio Canova & Filippo Ferroni, 2020. "Mind the gap! Stylized Dynamic Facts and Structural Models," Working Paper Series WP-2020-29, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    20. Piergiorgio Alessandri & Andrea Gazzani & Alejandro Vicondoa, 2023. "Are the Effects of Uncertainty Shocks Big or Small?," Working Papers 244, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
    21. Peter Ajonghakoh Foabeh & Vesarach Aumeboonsuke, 2024. "Resilience of Developing Economies to External Shocks: Empirical Evidence from CEMAC Countries," Journal of Sustainable Development, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 17(3), pages 1-81, May.
    22. Mirela Miescu & Haroon Mumtaz, 2019. "Proxy structural vector autoregressions, informational sufficiency and the role of monetary policy," Working Papers 280730188, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.

  11. Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the euro area crisis: this time was different," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03403269, HAL.

    Cited by:

    1. Walid Mansour & Hechem Ajmi & Karima Saci, 2022. "Regulatory policies in the global Islamic banking sector in the outbreak of COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 23(3), pages 265-287, September.
    2. Ekaterina Pirozhkova & Nicola Viegi, 2023. "Changing the inflation target in emerging markets: the reward of reducing risk," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(3), pages 1453-1457.
    3. Shifu Jiang, 2022. "Optimal Credit, Monetary, and Fiscal Policy under Occasional Financial Frictions and the Zero Lower Bound," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 18(1), pages 151-197, March.
    4. Stoupos, Nikolaos & Kiohos, Apostolos, 2022. "Euro area stock markets integration: Empirical evidence after the end of 2010 debt crisis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    5. Antonio M. Conti & Andrea Nobili & Federico M. Signoretti, 2025. "Bank Capital Requirements, Lending Supply, and Economic Activity: A Scenario Analysis Perspective," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(3), pages 1132-1164, April.
    6. Ingrid-Mihaela Dragotă & Andreea Curmei-Semenescu & Raluca Moscu, 2020. "CEO Diversity, Political Influences, and CEO Turnover in Unstable Environments: The Romanian Case," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-22, March.
    7. Petar Sorić & Ivana Lolić & Marija Logarušić, 2022. "Economic Sentiment and Aggregate Activity: A Tale of Two European Cycles," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(2), pages 445-462, March.
    8. Jollès, Maya & Meyermans, Eric & Vašíček, Bořek, 2023. "Determinants of macroeconomic resilience in the euro area: An empirical assessment of national policy levers," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(3).
    9. Meier, Samira & Rodriguez Gonzalez, Miguel & Kunze, Frederik, 2021. "The global financial crisis, the EMU sovereign debt crisis and international financial regulation: lessons from a systematic literature review," International Review of Law and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).

  12. Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2019. "Identification with External Instruments in Structural VARs under Partial Invertibility," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1213, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Luchelle Soobyah & Nicola Viegi, 2022. "CanNationalTreasurydocontractionarymonetarypolicy," Working Papers 11031, South African Reserve Bank.
    2. Mikkel Plagborg-Møller & Christian K. Wolf, 2020. "Local Projections and VARs Estimate the Same Impulse Responses," Working Papers 2020-16, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    3. Dake Li & Mikkel Plagborg-Møller & Christian K. Wolf, 2021. "Local Projections vs. VARs: Lessons From Thousands of DGPs," Working Papers 2021-55, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    4. Martínez-Hernández, Catalina, 2020. "Disentangling the effects of multidimensional monetary policy on inflation and inflation expectations in the euro area," Discussion Papers 2020/18, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    5. Laumer, Sebastian & Violaris, Andreas-Entony, 2024. "Unconventional monetary policy and policy foresight," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    6. Leonardo N. Ferreira, 2020. "Forward Guidance Matters: Disentangling Monetary Policy Shocks," Working Papers 912, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    7. Herwartz, Helmut & Rohloff, Hannes & Wang, Shu, 2022. "Proxy SVAR identification of monetary policy shocks - Monte Carlo evidence and insights for the US," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    8. James Cloyne & Patrick Hürtgen & Alan M. Taylor, 2022. "Global Monetary and Financial Spillovers: Evidence from a New Measure of Bundesbank Policy Shocks," NBER Working Papers 30485, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Fabio Canova & Filippo Ferroni, 2020. "Mind the gap! Stylized Dynamic Facts and Structural Models," Working Paper Series WP-2020-29, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    10. Peter Ajonghakoh Foabeh & Vesarach Aumeboonsuke, 2024. "Resilience of Developing Economies to External Shocks: Empirical Evidence from CEMAC Countries," Journal of Sustainable Development, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 17(3), pages 1-81, May.
    11. Mirela Miescu & Haroon Mumtaz, 2019. "Proxy structural vector autoregressions, informational sufficiency and the role of monetary policy," Working Papers 280730188, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.

  13. Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the euro area crisis: this time was different," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03403269, HAL.

    Cited by:

    1. Walid Mansour & Hechem Ajmi & Karima Saci, 2022. "Regulatory policies in the global Islamic banking sector in the outbreak of COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 23(3), pages 265-287, September.
    2. Ekaterina Pirozhkova & Nicola Viegi, 2023. "Changing the inflation target in emerging markets: the reward of reducing risk," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(3), pages 1453-1457.
    3. Shifu Jiang, 2022. "Optimal Credit, Monetary, and Fiscal Policy under Occasional Financial Frictions and the Zero Lower Bound," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 18(1), pages 151-197, March.
    4. Stoupos, Nikolaos & Kiohos, Apostolos, 2022. "Euro area stock markets integration: Empirical evidence after the end of 2010 debt crisis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    5. Antonio M. Conti & Andrea Nobili & Federico M. Signoretti, 2025. "Bank Capital Requirements, Lending Supply, and Economic Activity: A Scenario Analysis Perspective," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(3), pages 1132-1164, April.
    6. Ingrid-Mihaela Dragotă & Andreea Curmei-Semenescu & Raluca Moscu, 2020. "CEO Diversity, Political Influences, and CEO Turnover in Unstable Environments: The Romanian Case," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-22, March.
    7. Petar Sorić & Ivana Lolić & Marija Logarušić, 2022. "Economic Sentiment and Aggregate Activity: A Tale of Two European Cycles," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(2), pages 445-462, March.
    8. Jollès, Maya & Meyermans, Eric & Vašíček, Bořek, 2023. "Determinants of macroeconomic resilience in the euro area: An empirical assessment of national policy levers," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(3).
    9. Meier, Samira & Rodriguez Gonzalez, Miguel & Kunze, Frederik, 2021. "The global financial crisis, the EMU sovereign debt crisis and international financial regulation: lessons from a systematic literature review," International Review of Law and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).

  14. Paul Hubert & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Imperfect information in macroeconomics," Post-Print hal-03458122, HAL.

    Cited by:

    1. Alistair Macaulay, 2022. "Heterogeneous Information, Subjective Model Beliefs, and the Time-Varying Transmission of Shocks," CESifo Working Paper Series 9733, CESifo.

  15. Silvia Miranda Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Bayesian vector autoregressions," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03458277, HAL.

    Cited by:

    1. Lenza, Michele & Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Nowcasting with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 15854, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Ilir Miteza & Altin Tanku & Ilir Vika, 2023. "Is the floating exchange rate a shock absorber in Albania? Evidence from SVAR models," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 1297-1326, April.
    3. Lawson, Jeremy & Watt, Abigail & Martinez, Carolina & Fu, Rong, 2019. "Chinese Financial Conditions and their Spillovers to the Global Economy and Markets," CEPR Discussion Papers 14065, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. Karau, Sören, 2021. "Monetary policy and Bitcoin," Discussion Papers 41/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    5. Ahmed Ibrahim & Rasha Kashef & Menglu Li & Esteban Valencia & Eric Huang, 2020. "Bitcoin Network Mechanics: Forecasting the BTC Closing Price Using Vector Auto-Regression Models Based on Endogenous and Exogenous Feature Variables," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-21, August.
    6. Gholami, M. & Barbaresi, A. & Torreggiani, D. & Tassinari, P., 2020. "Upscaling of spatial energy planning, phases, methods, and techniques: A systematic review through meta-analysis," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    7. Uquillas, Adriana & Tonato, Ronny, 2022. "Inter-portfolio credit risk contagion including macroeconomic and financial factors: A case study for Ecuador," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 299-320.
    8. Kunovac, Davor & Palenzuela, Diego Rodriguez & Sun, Yiqiao, 2022. "A new optimum currency area index for the euro area," Working Paper Series 2730, European Central Bank.
    9. Demiessie, Habtamu, 2020. "COVID-19 Pandemic Uncertainty Shock Impact on Macroeconomic Stability in Ethiopia," MPRA Paper 102625, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 31 Aug 2020.
    10. Karau, Sören, 2023. "Monetary policy and Bitcoin," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    11. Albert, Juan-Francisco & Peñalver, Antonio & Perez-Bernabeu, Alberto, 2020. "The effects of monetary policy on income and wealth inequality in the U.S. Exploring different channels," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 88-106.
    12. Battulga Gankhuu, 2024. "EM Estimation of Conditional Matrix Variate $t$ Distributions," Papers 2406.10837, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.

  16. Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Bayesian vector autoregressions," Bank of England working papers 756, Bank of England.

    Cited by:

    1. Lenza, Michele & Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Nowcasting with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 15854, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Ilir Miteza & Altin Tanku & Ilir Vika, 2023. "Is the floating exchange rate a shock absorber in Albania? Evidence from SVAR models," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 1297-1326, April.
    3. Lawson, Jeremy & Watt, Abigail & Martinez, Carolina & Fu, Rong, 2019. "Chinese Financial Conditions and their Spillovers to the Global Economy and Markets," CEPR Discussion Papers 14065, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. Karau, Sören, 2021. "Monetary policy and Bitcoin," Discussion Papers 41/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    5. Ahmed Ibrahim & Rasha Kashef & Menglu Li & Esteban Valencia & Eric Huang, 2020. "Bitcoin Network Mechanics: Forecasting the BTC Closing Price Using Vector Auto-Regression Models Based on Endogenous and Exogenous Feature Variables," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-21, August.
    6. Gholami, M. & Barbaresi, A. & Torreggiani, D. & Tassinari, P., 2020. "Upscaling of spatial energy planning, phases, methods, and techniques: A systematic review through meta-analysis," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    7. Uquillas, Adriana & Tonato, Ronny, 2022. "Inter-portfolio credit risk contagion including macroeconomic and financial factors: A case study for Ecuador," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 299-320.
    8. Kunovac, Davor & Palenzuela, Diego Rodriguez & Sun, Yiqiao, 2022. "A new optimum currency area index for the euro area," Working Paper Series 2730, European Central Bank.
    9. Demiessie, Habtamu, 2020. "COVID-19 Pandemic Uncertainty Shock Impact on Macroeconomic Stability in Ethiopia," MPRA Paper 102625, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 31 Aug 2020.
    10. Karau, Sören, 2023. "Monetary policy and Bitcoin," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    11. Albert, Juan-Francisco & Peñalver, Antonio & Perez-Bernabeu, Alberto, 2020. "The effects of monetary policy on income and wealth inequality in the U.S. Exploring different channels," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 88-106.
    12. Battulga Gankhuu, 2024. "EM Estimation of Conditional Matrix Variate $t$ Distributions," Papers 2406.10837, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.

  17. Reichlin, Lucrezia & Caruso, Alberto & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018. "Financial and Fiscal Interaction in the Euro Area Crisis: This Time was Different," CEPR Discussion Papers 13016, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Walid Mansour & Hechem Ajmi & Karima Saci, 2022. "Regulatory policies in the global Islamic banking sector in the outbreak of COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 23(3), pages 265-287, September.
    2. Ekaterina Pirozhkova & Nicola Viegi, 2023. "Changing the inflation target in emerging markets: the reward of reducing risk," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(3), pages 1453-1457.
    3. Shifu Jiang, 2022. "Optimal Credit, Monetary, and Fiscal Policy under Occasional Financial Frictions and the Zero Lower Bound," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 18(1), pages 151-197, March.
    4. Stoupos, Nikolaos & Kiohos, Apostolos, 2022. "Euro area stock markets integration: Empirical evidence after the end of 2010 debt crisis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    5. Antonio M. Conti & Andrea Nobili & Federico M. Signoretti, 2025. "Bank Capital Requirements, Lending Supply, and Economic Activity: A Scenario Analysis Perspective," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(3), pages 1132-1164, April.
    6. Ingrid-Mihaela Dragotă & Andreea Curmei-Semenescu & Raluca Moscu, 2020. "CEO Diversity, Political Influences, and CEO Turnover in Unstable Environments: The Romanian Case," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-22, March.
    7. Petar Sorić & Ivana Lolić & Marija Logarušić, 2022. "Economic Sentiment and Aggregate Activity: A Tale of Two European Cycles," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(2), pages 445-462, March.
    8. Jollès, Maya & Meyermans, Eric & Vašíček, Bořek, 2023. "Determinants of macroeconomic resilience in the euro area: An empirical assessment of national policy levers," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(3).
    9. Meier, Samira & Rodriguez Gonzalez, Miguel & Kunze, Frederik, 2021. "The global financial crisis, the EMU sovereign debt crisis and international financial regulation: lessons from a systematic literature review," International Review of Law and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).

  18. Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2017. "The Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks," Economic Research Papers 269310, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Snezana Eminidou & Marios Zachariadis, 2019. "Firms’ Expectations and Monetary Policy Shocks in the Eurozone," University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics 02-2019, University of Cyprus Department of Economics.
    2. Fergus Cumming & Paul Hubert, 2019. "The role of households' borrowing constraints in the transmission of monetary policy," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03403257, HAL.
    3. Paul Hubert & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Imperfect information in macroeconomics," Post-Print hal-03458122, HAL.
    4. Romero, José Vicente & Vargas, Hernando & Cardozo, Pamela & Murcia, Andrés, 2021. "How foreign participation in the Colombian local public debt market has influenced domestic financial conditions," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 2(4).
    5. Frederic Boissay & Fabrice Collard & Cristina Manea & Adam Shapiro, 2023. "Monetary tightening, inflation drivers and financial stress," BIS Working Papers 1155, Bank for International Settlements.
    6. Alessandri, Piergiorgio & Jordà , Òscar & Venditti, Fabrizio, 2023. "Decomposing the monetary policy multiplier," CEPR Discussion Papers 18166, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    7. De Simone, Francisco Nadal, 2024. "The transmission of U.S. monetary policy to small open economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    8. Reinelt, Timo & Meier, Matthias, 2020. "Monetary policy, markup dispersion, and aggregate TFP," Working Paper Series 2427, European Central Bank.
    9. Camelia Minoiu & Andrés Schneider & Min Wei, 2025. "Why Does the Yield Curve Predict GDP Growth? The Role of Banks," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2025-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    10. Dedola, Luca & Georgiadis, Georgios & Gräb, Johannes & Mehl, Arnaud, 2018. "Does a big bazooka matter? Central bank balance-sheet policies and exchange rates," Working Paper Series 2197, European Central Bank.
    11. Federico Di Pace & Christoph Gortz, 2021. "Monetary Policy, Sectoral Comovement and the Credit Channel," Discussion Papers 21-07, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    12. Leonardo Melosi & Hiroshi Morita & Anna Rogantini Picco & Francesco Zanetti, 2024. "The Signaling Effects of Fiscal Announcements," Discussion Papers 2436, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    13. Masahiro Tanaka, 2020. "Bayesian Inference of Local Projections with Roughness Penalty Priors," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 55(2), pages 629-651, February.
    14. Luisa Corrado & Daniela Fantozzi & Simona Giglioli, 2022. "Real-time inequalities and policies during the pandemic in the US," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1396, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    15. Goodhead, Robert & Kolb, Benedikt, 2018. "Monetary policy communication shocks and the macroeconomy," Discussion Papers 46/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    16. Braun, Robin & Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Saha, Tuli, 2023. "Measuring Monetary Policy in the UK: the UK Monetary Policy Event-Study Database," CEPR Discussion Papers 18595, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    17. Ayhan Kose & Jongrim Ha & Dohan Kim & Prasad,Eswar S., 2024. "Resolving Puzzles of Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Markets," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10974, The World Bank.
    18. Andersson, Fredrik N. G. & Kilman, Josefin, 2021. "A Study of the Romer and Romer Monetary Policy Shocks Using Revised Data," Working Papers 2021:19, Lund University, Department of Economics.
    19. Koeniger, Winfried & Ramelet, Marc-Antoine, 2018. "Home ownership and monetary policy transmission," CFS Working Paper Series 615, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    20. Wenting Liao & Jun Ma & Chengsi Zhang, 2023. "Identifying exchange rate effects and spillovers of US monetary policy shocks in the presence of time‐varying instrument relevance," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(7), pages 989-1006, November.
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  19. Hasenzagl, Thomas & Pellegrino, Filippo & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2017. "A Model of the Fed’s View on Inflation," Economic Research Papers 269087, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Hahn, Elke & Zekaite, Zivile & de Bondt, Gabe, 2018. "ALICE: A new inflation monitoring tool," Working Paper Series 2175, European Central Bank.
    2. Salisu, Afees A. & Adediran, Idris A. & Oloko, Tirimisiyu O. & Ohemeng, William, 2020. "The heterogeneous behaviour of the inflation hedging property of cocoa," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    3. Michael McLeay & Silvana Tenreyro, 2018. "Optimal Inflation and the Identification of the Phillips Curve," Discussion Papers 1815, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    4. Mohammad Asif & Vishal Sharma & Vinay Joshi Chandniwala & Parvez Alam Khan & Syed Mohd Muneeb, 2023. "Modelling the Dynamic Linkage Amidst Energy Prices and Twin Deficit in India: Empirical Investigation within Linear and Nonlinear Framework," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-23, March.
    5. Ivan Mendieta-Muñoz, 2024. "Time-varying investment dynamics in the USA," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Utah 2024_01, University of Utah, Department of Economics.
    6. Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018. "Global trends in interest rates," Staff Reports 866, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    7. Raïsa Basselier & David de Antonio Liedo & Jana Jonckheere & Geert Langenus, 2018. "Can inflation expectations in business or consumer surveys improve inflation forecasts?," Working Paper Research 348, National Bank of Belgium.
    8. Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2022. "Oil prices, gasoline prices, and inflation expectations," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 867-881, August.
    9. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Hauber, Philipp & Kooths, Stefan & Mösle, Saskia & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2018. "Weltkonjunktur im Herbst 2018 - Stärker differenzierte Weltkonjunktur: Gegenwind für die Schwellenländer [World Economy Autumn 2018 - Less even growth in the world economy with significant downside," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 45, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    10. James McNeil & Gregor W. Smith, 2023. "The All‐Gap Phillips Curve," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(2), pages 269-282, April.
    11. Kristin Forbes, 2019. "Has globalization changed the inflation process?," BIS Working Papers 791, Bank for International Settlements.

  20. Ellahie, Atif & Ricco, Giovanni, 2017. "Government Purchases Reloaded : Informational Insufficiency and Heterogeneity in Fiscal VARs," Economic Research Papers 269308, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Beau Soederhuizen & Rutger Teulings & Rob Luginbuhl, 2023. "Estimating the impact of the financial cycle on fiscal policy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(6), pages 2669-2709, December.
    2. Joshua C. C. Chan & Xuewen Yu, 2022. "Fast and Accurate Variational Inference for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Papers 2206.08438, arXiv.org.
    3. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Stephen M. Miller & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "U.S. Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices: The Role of Partisan Conflict," Working Papers 201742, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Joshua C. C. Chan, 2024. "BVARs and stochastic volatility," Chapters, in: Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvão (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Macroeconomic Forecasting, chapter 3, pages 43-67, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    5. Guido Ascari & Peder Beck-Friis & Anna Florio & Alessandro Gobbi, 2021. "Fiscal foresight and the effects of government spending: It’s all in the monetary-fiscal mix," Discussion Papers 2112, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    6. Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018. "Bayesian vector autoregressions," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 87393, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    7. Joshua Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Xuewen Yu, 2022. "Large Bayesian VARs with Factor Stochastic Volatility: Identification, Order Invariance and Structural Analysis," Papers 2207.03988, arXiv.org.
    8. Gianluca Cubadda & Stefano Grassi & Barbara Guardabascio, 2024. "The Time-Varying Multivariate Autoregressive Index Model," CEIS Research Paper 571, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 10 Jan 2024.
    9. Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay Lim, 2019. "What Do We Know About the Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy? A Brief Survey of the Literature on Fiscal Multipliers," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 52(1), pages 78-93, March.
    10. Latifi, Albina & Naboka-Krell, Viktoriia & Tillmann, Peter & Winker, Peter, 2024. "Fiscal policy in the Bundestag: Textual analysis and macroeconomic effects," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    11. Bonam, Dennis & De Haan, Jakob & Soederhuizen, Beau, 2022. "The Effects Of Fiscal Policy At The Effective Lower Bound," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(1), pages 149-185, January.
    12. Francesco Simone Lucidi, 2021. "The Misalignment of Fiscal Multipliers in Italian Regions," Working Papers in Public Economics 204, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Roma.
    13. Lee, Eun Kyung & Park, Kwangyong, 2021. "Identifying government spending shocks and multipliers in Korea," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    14. Lenza, Michele & Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Nowcasting with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 15854, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    15. Hervé Alexandre & François Guillemin & Catherine Refait-Alexandre, 2015. "Downgrades of sovereign credit ratings and impact on banks CDS spread: does disclosure by banks improve stability?," Post-Print hal-01622782, HAL.
    16. Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2020. "125 Years of Time-Varying Effects of Fiscal Policy on Financial Markets," Working papers 2020-12, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    17. Laumer, Sebastian & Violaris, Andreas-Entony, 2024. "Unconventional monetary policy and policy foresight," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    18. Korobilis, Dimitris, 2018. "Machine Learning Macroeconometrics A Primer," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 22666, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
    19. Ayobami E. Ilori & Juan Paez-Farrell & Christoph Thoenissen, 2020. "Fiscal Policy Shocks and International Spillovers," CAMA Working Papers 2020-95, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    20. Thomas Gemert & Lenard Lieb & Tania Treibich, 2022. "Local fiscal multipliers of different government spending categories," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(5), pages 2551-2575, November.
    21. Laumer, Sebastian, 2020. "Government spending and heterogeneous consumption dynamics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    22. Kanazawa, Nobuyuki, 2021. "Public investment multipliers: Evidence from stock returns of the road pavement industry in Japan," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    23. Romano, Simone, 2018. "Fiscal foresight: Do expectations have cross-border effects?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 71-82.
    24. Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Miller, Stephen, 2020. "125 ​Years of time-varying effects of fiscal policy on financial markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 303-320.
    25. Byung Ho Lee & Kwangyong Park, 2023. "External Information and Fiscal Multipliers," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 39, pages 347-379.
    26. Joshua Chan & Christian Matthes & Xuewen Yu, 2025. "Large Structural VARs with Multiple Sign and Ranking Restrictions," Papers 2503.20668, arXiv.org.
    27. Yong, Chen & Dingming, Liu, 2019. "How does government spending news affect interest rates? Evidence from the United States," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    28. Fu, Bowen, 2023. "Measuring the trend real interest rate in a data-rich environment," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    29. NAM, Deokwoo & LI, Xiaole, 2024. "The Stimulative Effects of Anticipated Government Spending Expansions : Evidence from Survey Forecasts," Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, Hitotsubashi University, vol. 65(1), pages 1-31, June.
    30. Takumah, Wisdom, 2023. "Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices in a Dynamic Factor Model with Cointegrated Factors," MPRA Paper 117897, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 10 Jul 2023.

  21. Cimadomo, Jacopo & Callegari, Giovanni & Ricco, Giovanni, 2016. "Signals from the government: policy disagreement and the transmission of fiscal shocks," Working Paper Series 1964, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Choi, Sangyup & Shin, Junhyeok & Yoo, Seung Yong, 2022. "Are government spending shocks inflationary at the zero lower bound? New evidence from daily data," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    2. Dennis Wesselbaum, 2019. "Expectation shocks and fiscal rules," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 357-377, April.
    3. Paul Hubert & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Imperfect information in macroeconomics," Post-Print hal-03458122, HAL.
    4. Leonardo Melosi & Hiroshi Morita & Anna Rogantini Picco & Francesco Zanetti, 2024. "The Signaling Effects of Fiscal Announcements," Discussion Papers 2436, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    5. Laurent Ferrara & Luca Metelli & Filippo Natoli & Daniele Siena, 2020. "Questioning the puzzle: Fiscal policy, exchange rate and inflation," Working papers 752, Banque de France.
    6. Jan Philipp Fritsche & Mathias Klein & Malte Rieth, 2020. "Government Spending Multipliers in (Un)certain Times," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1901, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    7. Karamysheva, Madina, 2022. "How do fiscal adjustments work? An empirical investigation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    8. Fabio Bertolotti & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2019. "Tax shocks with high and low uncertainty," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(6), pages 972-993, September.
    9. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Stephen M. Miller & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "U.S. Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices: The Role of Partisan Conflict," Working Papers 201742, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Hantzsche, Arno, 2022. "Fiscal uncertainty and sovereign credit risk," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    11. Giovanni Pellegrino, 2020. "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in the US: A Journey into Non-Linear Territory," Economics Working Papers 2020-05, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    12. Guido Ascari & Peder Beck-Friis & Anna Florio & Alessandro Gobbi, 2021. "Fiscal foresight and the effects of government spending: It’s all in the monetary-fiscal mix," Discussion Papers 2112, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    13. Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018. "Bayesian vector autoregressions," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 87393, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    14. Carlos Mauro Cárdenas Cardona & Juan Camilo Galvis Ciro, 2020. "La comunicación fiscal y sus efectos sobre los retornos de los títulos públicos: una aproximación empírica para el caso colombiano," Ensayos de Economía 18309, Universidad Nacional de Colombia Sede Medellín.
    15. Silvia Miranda Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Identification with external instruments in structural VARs under partial invertibility," Working Papers hal-03475454, HAL.
    16. Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay Lim, 2019. "What Do We Know About the Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy? A Brief Survey of the Literature on Fiscal Multipliers," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 52(1), pages 78-93, March.
    17. Goemans, Pascal, 2020. "Government Spending in Uncertain and Slack Times: Historical Evidence for Larger Fiscal Multipliers," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224642, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    18. Jerow, Sam & Wolff, Jonathan, 2022. "Fiscal policy and uncertainty," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    19. Sebastian Laumer & Collin Philipps, 2024. "Does the Government Spending Multiplier Depend on the Business Cycle?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(8), pages 2001-2022, December.
    20. Lien, Donald & Sun, Yuchen & Zhang, Chengsi, 2021. "Uncertainty, confidence, and monetary policy in China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 1347-1358.
    21. Latifi, Albina & Naboka-Krell, Viktoriia & Tillmann, Peter & Winker, Peter, 2024. "Fiscal policy in the Bundestag: Textual analysis and macroeconomic effects," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    22. Juan Camilo Galvis-Ciro & Juan Camilo Anzoátegui-Zapata & Cristina Isabel Ramos-Barroso, 2022. "The Effect of Communication and Credibility on Fiscal Disagreement: Empirical Evidence from Colombia," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 18(3), pages 215-238, November.
    23. Ansgar Belke & Pascal Goemans, 2021. "Uncertainty and nonlinear macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy in the US: a SEIVAR-based analysis," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 49(4), pages 623-646, May.
    24. Goemans, Pascal & Belke, Ansgar, 2019. "Uncertainty and non-linear macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy in the US: A SEIVAR-based analysis," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203538, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    25. Ferrara, Laurent & Metelli, Luca & Natoli, Filippo & Siena, Daniele, 2021. "Questioning the puzzle: Fiscal policy, real exchange rate and inflation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    26. Pascal Goemans, 2022. "Historical evidence for larger government spending multipliers in uncertain times than in slumps," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 60(3), pages 1164-1185, July.
    27. Daniela Fantozzi & Alessio Muscarnera, 2021. "A News-based Policy Index for Italy: Expectations and Fiscal Policy," CEIS Research Paper 509, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 11 Mar 2021.
    28. Guo, Junjie & Han, Zhao, 2025. "Time-varying government spending foresight," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    29. Kim, Wongi, 2019. "Government spending policy uncertainty and economic activity: US time series evidence," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-1.
    30. Goemans, Pascal, 2023. "The impact of public consumption and investment in the euro area during periods of high and normal uncertainty," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    31. Pascal Goemans & Robinson Kruse‐Becher, 2025. "Time‐Varying US Government Spending Anticipation in Real Time," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(3), pages 867-880, April.
    32. Montes, Gabriel Caldas & Nicolay, Rodolfo Tomás da Fonseca & Acar, Tatiana, 2019. "Do fiscal communication and clarity of fiscal announcements affect public debt uncertainty? Evidence from Brazil," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 38-60.
    33. Lin, Jianhao & Mei, Ziwei & Chen, Liangyuan & Zhu, Chuanqi, 2023. "Is the People's Bank of China consistent in words and deeds?," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    34. Antonecchia, Gianluca, 2023. "Heterogeneous expectations, forecast accuracy and firms’ credit demand," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    35. Aaron J. Amburgey, 2025. "How Election Shocks Impact Markets: Evidence from Sectoral Stock Prices," Papers 2504.02731, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2025.
    36. Vania Esady, 2022. "Real and nominal effects of monetary shocks under time-varying disagreement," Bank of England working papers 1007, Bank of England.
    37. Amélie BARBIER-GAUCHARD & Thierry BETTI & Théo METZ, 2023. "Fiscal multipliers, public debt anchor and government credibility in a behavioural macroeconomic model," Working Papers of BETA 2023-14, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    38. Joep Lustenhouwer & Kostas Mavromatis, 2025. "The Effects of Fiscal Policy When Planning Horizons are Finite," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 57(2-3), pages 549-582, March.
    39. End, Nicolas, 2023. "Big Brother is also being watched: Measuring fiscal credibility," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    40. Kang, Jihye & Kim, Soyoung, 2022. "Government spending news and surprise shocks: It’s the timing and persistence," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    41. Szymańska, Agata, 2018. "Wpływ polityki fiskalnej na PKB w krajach Unii Europejskiej spoza strefy euro," Gospodarka Narodowa-The Polish Journal of Economics, Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie / SGH Warsaw School of Economics, vol. 2018(3), September.
    42. Goodness C. Aye, 2019. "Fiscal Policy Uncertainty and Economic Activity in South Africa: An Asymmetric Analysis," Working Papers 201922, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    43. Montes, Gabriel Caldas & Luna, Paulo Henrique, 2018. "Discretionary fiscal policy and disagreement in expectations about fiscal variables empirical evidence from Brazil," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 100-116.
    44. Jørgensen, Peter L. & Ravn, Søren H., 2022. "The inflation response to government spending shocks: A fiscal price puzzle?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    45. Amelie Barbier-Gauchard & Thierry Betti & Theo Metz, 2023. "Fiscal multipliers, public debt anchor and government credibility in a behavioural macroeconomic model," Working Papers 2023.10, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
    46. Asif Tariq & Aadil Amin & Masroor Ahmad, 2024. "Deciphering the non-linear nexus between government size and inflation in MENA countries: an application of dynamic-panel threshold model," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 13(1), pages 1-20, December.
    47. Tosapol Apaitan & Pongsak Luangaram & Pym Manopimoke, 2022. "Uncertainty in an emerging market economy: evidence from Thailand," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(3), pages 933-989, March.
    48. Diego Silveira Pacheco de Oliveira & Gabriel Caldas Montes, 2020. "Sovereign credit news and disagreement in expectations about the exchange rate: evidence from Brazil," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 48(3), pages 660-698, August.
    49. Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay Lim & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2018. "Macroeconomic Policies in a Low Interest Rate Environment: Back to Keynes?," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 51(1), pages 70-86, March.
    50. Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2019. "Identification with External Instruments in Structural VARs under Partial Invertibility," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1213, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    51. Yangyang Fan & Liangdong Lu & Jia Xu & Fenge Wang & Fei Wang, 2022. "Air Pollution Control and Public Health Risk Perception: Evidence from the Perspectives of Signal and Implementation Effects," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(5), pages 1-15, March.
    52. Gabriel Caldas Montes & Paulo Henrique Lourenço Luna, 2022. "Do fiscal opacity, fiscal impulse, and fiscal credibility affect disagreement about economic growth forecasts? Empirical evidence from Brazil considering the period of political instability and presid," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(4), pages 2356-2393, November.
    53. NAM, Deokwoo & LI, Xiaole, 2024. "The Stimulative Effects of Anticipated Government Spending Expansions : Evidence from Survey Forecasts," Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, Hitotsubashi University, vol. 65(1), pages 1-31, June.
    54. Ko, Dong Gyun, 2025. "Did the American Rescue Plan cause inflation? A synthetic control approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).

  22. Alberto Caruso & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2015. "The Legacy Debt and the Joint Path of Public Deficit and Debt in the Euro Area," European Economy - Discussion Papers 010, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.

    Cited by:

    1. Michael W. McCracken & Joseph McGillicuddy, 2017. "An Empirical Investigation of Direct and Iterated Multistep Conditional Forecasts," Working Papers 2017-40, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    2. De Luca, Roberto & Di Mauro, Marco & Falzarano, Angelo & Naddeo, Adele, 2017. "The effect of the behavior of an average consumer on the public debt dynamics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 482(C), pages 357-361.

  23. Ricco, Giovanni, 2015. "A new identification of fiscal shocks based on the information flow," Working Paper Series 1813, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Dennis Wesselbaum, 2019. "Expectation shocks and fiscal rules," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 357-377, April.
    2. Paul Hubert & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Imperfect information in macroeconomics," Post-Print hal-03458122, HAL.
    3. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Valentina Colombo & Gabriela Nodari, 2015. "Estimating Fiscal Multipliers: News From A Non‐linear World," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 0(584), pages 746-776, May.
    4. Forni, Mario & Gambetti, Luca, 2016. "Government spending shocks in open economy VARs," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 68-84.
    5. Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2016. "Central Bank Sentiment and Policy Expectations," Working Papers hal-03459227, HAL.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Stephen M. Miller & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "U.S. Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices: The Role of Partisan Conflict," Working Papers 201742, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Luchelle Soobyah & Nicola Viegi, 2022. "CanNationalTreasurydocontractionarymonetarypolicy," Working Papers 11031, South African Reserve Bank.
    8. Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2017. "The transmission of monetary policy shocks," Bank of England working papers 657, Bank of England.
    9. Guido Ascari & Peder Beck-Friis & Anna Florio & Alessandro Gobbi, 2021. "Fiscal foresight and the effects of government spending: It’s all in the monetary-fiscal mix," Discussion Papers 2112, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    10. Emilio Colombo & Davide Furceri & Pietro Pizzuto & Patrizio Tirelli, 2022. "Fiscal Multipliers and Informality," IMF Working Papers 2022/082, International Monetary Fund.
    11. Christophe Blot & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2017. "Does monetary policy generate asset price bubbles ?," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2017-05, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    12. Carlos Mauro Cárdenas Cardona & Juan Camilo Galvis Ciro, 2020. "La comunicación fiscal y sus efectos sobre los retornos de los títulos públicos: una aproximación empírica para el caso colombiano," Ensayos de Economía 18309, Universidad Nacional de Colombia Sede Medellín.
    13. Christophe Blot & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2018. "Monetary Policy and Asset Price Bubbles," Working Papers hal-04141787, HAL.
    14. Ricco, Giovanni & Callegari, Giovanni & Cimadomo, Jacopo, 2016. "Signals from the government: Policy disagreement and the transmission of fiscal shocks," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 107-118.
    15. Kenza Benhima & Céline Poilly, 2017. "Do Misperceptions about Demand Matter? Theory and Evidence," Working Papers halshs-01518467, HAL.
    16. Luisa Corrado & Edgar Silgado-Gómez, 2018. "Assessing the Effects of Fiscal Policy News under Imperfect Information: Evidence from Aggregate and Individual Data," CEIS Research Paper 447, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 06 Nov 2018.
    17. Jonathan J Adams & Philip Barrett, 2023. "Identifying News Shocks from Forecasts," Working Papers 001010, University of Florida, Department of Economics.
    18. Ciccarelli, Matteo & García, Juan Angel & Montes-Galdón, Carlos, 2017. "Unconventional monetary policy and the anchoring of inflation expectations," Working Paper Series 1995, European Central Bank.
    19. Ellahie, Atif & Ricco, Giovanni, 2017. "Government Purchases Reloaded : Informational Insufficiency and Heterogeneity in Fiscal VARs," Economic Research Papers 269308, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
    20. Davide Furceri & Ms. Aleksandra Zdzienicka, 2018. "Twin Deficits in Developing Economies," IMF Working Papers 2018/170, International Monetary Fund.
    21. Benhima, Kenza & Poilly, Céline, 2021. "Does demand noise matter? Identification and implications," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 278-295.
    22. Ricco, Giovanni & Callegari, Giovanni & Cimadomo, Jacopo, 2014. "Signals from the Government: Policy Uncertainty and the Transmission of Fiscal Shocks," MPRA Paper 56136, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    23. Davide Furceri & Jun Ge & Mr. Prakash Loungani & Mr. Giovanni Melina, 2018. "The Distributional Effects of Government Spending Shocks in Developing Economies," IMF Working Papers 2018/057, International Monetary Fund.
    24. Colombo, Emilio & Furceri, Davide & Pizzuto, Pietro & Tirelli, Patrizio, 2024. "Public expenditure multipliers and informality," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).

  24. Ricco, Giovanni & Callegari, Giovanni & Cimadomo, Jacopo, 2014. "Signals from the Government: Policy Uncertainty and the Transmission of Fiscal Shocks," MPRA Paper 56136, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Dennis Wesselbaum, 2019. "Expectation shocks and fiscal rules," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 357-377, April.
    2. Silvia Delrio, 2016. "Estimating the effects of global uncertainty in open economies," Working Papers 2016:19, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".

  25. Ricco, Giovanni & Ellahie, Atif, 2012. "Government Spending Reloaded: Fundamentalness and Heterogeneity in Fiscal SVARs," MPRA Paper 42105, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Forni, Mario & Gambetti, Luca, 2016. "Government spending shocks in open economy VARs," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 68-84.
    2. Ricco, Giovanni, 2015. "A new identification of fiscal shocks based on the information flow," Working Paper Series 1813, European Central Bank.
    3. Ayobami E. Ilori & Juan Paez-Farrell & Christoph Thoenissen, 2020. "Fiscal Policy Shocks and International Spillovers," CAMA Working Papers 2020-95, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.

Articles

  1. Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2023. "Identification with External Instruments in Structural VARs," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 1-19.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Reichlin, Lucrezia & Ricco, Giovanni & Tarbé, Matthieu, 2023. "Monetary–fiscal crosswinds in the European Monetary Union," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Thomas Hasenzagl & Filippo Pellegrino & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2022. "A Model of the Fed's View on Inflation," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(4), pages 686-704, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2021. "The Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 13(3), pages 74-107, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. Mikkel Plagborg-Moller & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco & Thomas Hasenzagl, 2020. "When Is Growth at Risk?," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 51(1 (Spring), pages 167-229.

    Cited by:

    1. Xu, Qifa & Xu, Mengnan & Jiang, Cuixia & Fu, Weizhong, 2023. "Mixed-frequency Growth-at-Risk with the MIDAS-QR method: Evidence from China," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(4).
    2. Botelho, Vasco & Foroni, Claudia & Renzetti, Andrea, 2024. "Labour at risk," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    3. Helena Chuliá & Ignacio Garrón & Jorge M. Uribe, 2022. ""Daily Growth at Risk: financial or real drivers? The answer is not always the same"," IREA Working Papers 202208, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Jun 2022.
    4. Fabio Busetti & Michele Caivano & Davide Delle Monache & Claudia Pacella, 2020. "The time-varying risk of Italian GDP," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1288, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    5. Zheng, Tingguo & Gong, Lu & Ye, Shiqi, 2023. "Global energy market connectedness and inflation at risk," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    6. Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Working Papers No 06/2023, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    7. Martin Iseringhausen, 2021. "A time-varying skewness model for Growth-at-Risk," Working Papers 49, European Stability Mechanism.
    8. Marcellino, Massimiliano & Clark, Todd & Carriero, Andrea, 2021. "Nowcasting Tail Risk to Economic Activity at a Weekly Frequency," CEPR Discussion Papers 16496, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    9. Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera & Vladimir Rodriguez-Caballero & Esther Ruiz, 2023. "Expecting the unexpected: Stressed scenarios for economic growth," Working Papers 202314, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
    10. Ana Beatriz Galvão & Michael Owyang, 2022. "Forecasting low‐frequency macroeconomic events with high‐frequency data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(7), pages 1314-1333, November.
    11. Suarez, Javier, 2021. "Growth-at-risk and macroprudential policy design JEL Classification: G01, G20, G28," ESRB Occasional Paper Series 19, European Systemic Risk Board.
    12. Tobias Adrian & Hongqi Chen & Max-Sebastian Dov`i & Ji Hyung Lee, 2025. "Machine-learning Growth at Risk," Papers 2506.00572, arXiv.org.
    13. Helena Chuliá & Ignacio Garrón & Jorge M. Uribe, 2021. ""Vulnerable Funding in the Global Economy"," IREA Working Papers 202106, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Mar 2021.
    14. Moffo, Ahmadou Mustapha Fonton, 2024. "A machine learning approach in stress testing US bank holding companies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PC).
    15. Corradi, Valentina & Fosten, Jack & Gutknecht, Daniel, 2024. "Reprint of: Out-of-sample tests for conditional quantile coverage: An application to Growth-at-Risk," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 244(2).
    16. Sui, Jianli & Lv, Wenqiang & Gao, Xiang & Koedijk, Kees G., 2024. "China’s GDP-at-Risk: Real-Time Monitoring, Risk Tracing, and Macroeconomic Policy Effects," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
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