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Mehmet Balcilar

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First Name:Mehmet
Middle Name:
Last Name:Balcilar
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pba722
http://www.mbalcilar.net
Famagusta, Northern Cyprus
http://economics.emu.edu.tr/

: 90 (392) 630-1291
90 (392) 365-1017

RePEc:edi:deemuty (more details at EDIRC)
Pretoria, South Africa
http://www.up.ac.za/economics

: (+2712) 420 2413
(+2712) 362-5207
PRETORIA, 0002
RePEc:edi:decupza (more details at EDIRC)
Paris, France
http://www.ipag.fr/

: 33 1 53 63 36 00

184 Boulevard Saint-Germain, 75006 Paris
RePEc:edi:ipagpfr (more details at EDIRC)
Cairo, Egypt
http://www.erf.org.eg/

: 202-3370810
202-3616042
21 Al-Sad Al Aaly St. Dokki, Giza
RePEc:edi:erfaceg (more details at EDIRC)

This author is featured on the following reading lists, publication compilations or Wikipedia entries:

  1. Economic Growth and Change of African Countries
  2. Turkish Economists
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  1. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Do Sustainable Stocks Offer Diversification Benefits for Conventional Portfolios? An Empirical Analysis of Risk Spillovers and Dynamic Correlations," Working Papers 201609, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  2. Mehmet Balcilar & Matteo Bonato & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Geopolitical Risks and Stock Market Dynamics of the BRICS," Working Papers 201648, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  3. Mehmet Balcilar & Matteo Bonato & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "The Effect of Investor Sentiment on Gold Market Dynamics," Working Papers 201638, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  4. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Mark Wohar, 2016. "Terror Attacks and Stock-Market Fluctuations: Evidence Based on a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test for the G7 Countries," Working Papers 201608, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  5. Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2016. "Can Volume Predict Bitcoin Returns and Volatility? A Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Working Papers 201662, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  6. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2016. "Components of Economic Policy Uncertainty and Predictability of US Stock Returns and Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantile Approach," Working Papers 201639, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  7. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in South Africa under Inflation Targeting: Evidence from a Time-Varying Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201653, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  8. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer & Talat Ulussever, 2016. "Does speculation in the oil market drive investor herding in net exporting nations?," Working Papers 15-29, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
  9. Kola Akinsomi & Mehmet Balcilar & Rıza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "The Effect of Gold Market Speculation on REIT Returns in South Africa: A Behavioral Perspective," Working Papers 201643, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  10. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Periodically Collapsing Bubbles in the South African Stock Market," Working Papers 201624, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  11. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Mark Wohar, 2016. "Do Terror Attacks Affect the Dollar-Pound Exchange Rate? A Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Analysis," Working Papers 201615, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  12. Mehmet Balcilar & Esin Cakan & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Does U.S. News Impact Asian Emerging Markets? Evidence from Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201631, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  13. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Reneé van Eyden, 2016. "Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in the Euro Area: The Role of US Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201620, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  14. Mehmet Balcilar & İsmail H. Genç & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "The Links between Crude Oil Prices and GCC Stock Markets: Evidence from Time-Varying Granger Causality Tests," Working Papers 201644, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  15. Qunzhi Zhang & Didier Sornette & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Zeynel A. Ozdemir & Hakan Yetkiner, 2016. "LPPLS Bubble Indicators over Two Centuries of the S&P 500 Index," Working Papers 201606, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  16. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Kevin Kotze, 2016. "Forecasting South African Macroeconomic Variables with a Markov-Switching Small Open-Economy Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model," Working Papers 201603, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  17. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2015. "The Predictability of cay and cayMS for Stock and Housing Returns: A Nonparametric Causality in Quantile Test," Working Papers 201577, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  18. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise & John W. Muteba Mwamba, 2015. "Predicting South African Equity Premium using Domestic and Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Indices: Evidence from a Bayesian Graphical Model," Working Papers 201596, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  19. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2015. "The South African Economic Response to Monetary Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201551, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  20. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2015. "Common Cycles and Common Trends in the Stock and Oil markets: Evidence from More than 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201572, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  21. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei & Mark Wohar, 2015. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Predict Exchange Rate Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201599, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  22. Mehmet Balcilar & Nico Katzke & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Identifying Periods of US Housing Market Explosivity," Working Papers 201544, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  23. Franz Ruch & Mehmet Balcilar & Mampho P. Modise & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Forecasting Core Inflation: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 201543, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  24. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2015. "On Exchange-Rate Movements and Gold-Price Fluctuations: Evidence for Gold-Producing Countries from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201598, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  25. Mehmet Balcilar & Nico Katzke & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Do Precious Metal Prices Help in Forecasting South African Inflation?," Working Papers 03/2015, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
  26. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "International Stock Return Predictability: Is the Role of U.S. Time-Varying?," Working Papers 201524, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  27. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden & Kirsten Thompson & Anandamayee Majumdar, 2015. "Comparing the Forecasting Ability of Financial Conditions Indices: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 201517, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  28. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Mawuli Segnon, 2015. "The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Predicting U.S. Recessions: A Mixed-Frequency Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Approach," Working Papers 201558, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  29. Mehmet Balcilar & Stelios Bekiros & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "The Role of News-Based Uncertainty Indices in Predicting Oil Markets: A Hybrid Nonparametric Quantile Causality Method," Working Papers 201522, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  30. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Won Joong Kim & Clement Kyei, 2015. "The Role of Domestic and Global Economic Policy Uncertainties in Predicting Stock Returns and their Volatility for Hong Kong, Malaysia and South Korea: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quant," Working Papers 201586, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  31. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2015. "Does Uncertainty Move the Gold Price? New Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201592, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  32. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Omid Ranjbar, 2015. "Characterising the South African Business Cycle: Is GDP Difference-Stationary or Trend-Stationary in a Markov-Switching Setup?," Working Papers 201529, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  33. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Duc K. Nguyen & Mark E. Wohar, 2015. "Causal Effects of the United States and Japan on Pacific-Rim Stock Markets: Nonparametric Quantile Causality Approach," Working Papers 201595, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  34. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2015. "South African Stock Returns Predictability using Domestic and Global Economic Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Working Papers 201570, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  35. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2015. "Predicting Stock Returns and Volatility with Investor Sentiment Indices: A Reconsideration using a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201575, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  36. Luis A.Gil-Alana & Shinhye Chang & Mehmet Balcilar & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Persistence in Precious Metal Prices: A Fractional Integration Approach with Structural Breaks," Working Papers 201458, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  37. Adnen Ben Nasr & Mehmet Balcilar & Ahdi N. Ajmi & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Reneé van Eyden, 2014. "Causality between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty in South Africa: Evidence from a Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201453, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  38. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2014. "The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Forecasting US Inflation Using a VARFIMA Model," Working Papers 201460, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  39. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2014. "The Growth-Inflation Nexus for the US over 1801-2013: A Semiparametric Approach," Working Papers 201447, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  40. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2014. "Risk Spillovers across the Energy and Carbon Markets and Hedging Strategies for Carbon Risk," Working Papers 15-10, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
  41. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2014. "Regime Switching Model of US Crude Oil and Stock Market Prices: 1859 to 2013," Working Papers 201429, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  42. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Ghassen El Montasser & Rangan Gupta & Nangamso C. Manjezi, 2014. "Can Debt Ceiling and Government Shutdown Predict US Real Stock Returns? A Boot-strap Rolling-Window Approach," Working Papers 201426, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  43. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2014. "Is the Rand Really Decoupled from Economic Fundamentals?," Working Papers 201439, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  44. Furkan Emirmahmutoglu & Mehmet Balcilar & Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Tsangyao Chang & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Causal relationship between asset prices and output in the US: Evidence from state-level panel Granger causality test," Working Papers 201411, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  45. Mehmet Balcilar & Kirsten Thompson & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden, 2014. "Testing the Asymmetric Effects of Financial Conditions in South Africa: A Nonlinear Vector Autoregression Approach," Working Papers 201414, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  46. Mehmet Balcilar & Shinhye Chang & Rangan Gupta & Vanessa Kasongo & Clement Kyei, 2014. "The Relationship between Oil and Agricultural Commodity Prices: A Quantile Causality Approach," Working Papers 201468, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  47. Vassilios Babalos & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Revisiting Herding Behavior in REITs: A Regime-Switching Approach," Working Papers 201448, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  48. Mehmet Balcilar & Charl Jooste & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Rangan Gupta & Vassilios Babalos, 2014. "Are there Long-Run Diversification Gains from the Dow Jones Islamic Finance Index?," Working Papers 201433, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  49. Mario du Preez & Mehmet Balcilar & Aarifah Razak & Steven F. Koch & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "House Values and Proximity to a Landfill: A Quantile Regression Framework," Working Papers 201442, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  50. Mehmet Balcilar & Josine Uwilingiye & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Dynamic Relationship between Oil Price and Inflation in South Africa," Working Papers 201430, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  51. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller & Mehmet Balcilar, 2014. "Forecasting US Real Private Residential Fixed Investment Using a Large Number of Predictors," Working papers 2014-10, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
  52. Vassilios Babalos & Mehmet Balcilar & Tumisang B. Loate & Shingie Chisoro, 2014. "Did Baltic stock markets offer diversification benefits during the recent financial turmoil? Novel evidence from a nonparametric causality in quantiles test," Working Papers 201471, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  53. Patrick T. kanda & Mehmet Balcilar & Pejman Bahramian & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Forecasting South African Inflation Using Non-Linear Models: A Weighted Loss-Based Evaluation," Working Papers 201416, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  54. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2014. "Analysing South Africa's Inflation Persistence Using an ARFIMA Model with Markov-Switching Fractional Differencing Parameter," Working Papers 201440, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  55. Mehmet Balcilar & Reneé van Eyden & Josine Uwilingiye & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "The impact of oil price on South African GDP growth: A Bayesian Markov Switching-VAR analysis," Working Papers 201470, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  56. Janneke Dlamini & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2013. "Revisiting the Causality between Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth in South Africa: A Bootstrap Rolling-Window Approach," Working Papers 201330, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  57. Goodness C. Aye & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar, 2013. "Forecasting the US Real Private Residential Fixed Investment Using Large Number of Predictors," Working Papers 201348, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  58. Ahdi N. Ajmi & Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Causality between Exports and Economic Growth in South Africa: Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear Tests," Working Papers 201339, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  59. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Adel Bosch & Rangan Gupta & Francois Stofberg, 2013. "The out-of-sample forecasting performance of non-linear models of real exchange rate behaviour: The case of the South African Rand," Working Papers 201304, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  60. Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Time-Varying Causality between Research Output and Economic Growth in the US," Working Papers 201350, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  61. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Adel Bosch & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Housing and the Business Cycle in South Africa," Working Papers 201323, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  62. Tsangyao Chang & Xiao-lin Li & Stephen M. Miller & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "The Co-Movement and Causality between the U.S. Real Estate and Stock Markets in the Time and Frequency Domains," Working Papers 201365, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  63. Wendy Nyakabawo & Stephen M. Miller & Mehmet Balcilar & Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Temporal Causality between House Prices and Output in the U.S.: A Bootstrap Rolling-Window Approach," Working papers 2013-14, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
  64. Xiao-lin Li & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Tsangyao Chang, 2013. "The Causal Relationship between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Returns in China and India: Evidence from a Bootstrap Rolling-Window Approach," Working Papers 201345, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  65. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar, 2013. "Forecasting Aggregate Retail Sales: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 201312, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  66. Janneke Dlamini & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2013. "Revisiting the Causal Relationship between Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in South Africa: Evidence from a Bootstrap Rolling Window Approach," Working Papers 201341, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  67. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Kevin Kotze, 2013. "Forecasting South African Macroeconomic Data with a Nonlinear DSGE Model," Working Papers 201313, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  68. Ahdi N. Ajmi & Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Ghassen El Montasser & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Causality between US Economic Policy and Equity Market Uncertainties: Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear Tests," Working Papers 201358, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  69. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & John P. Dunne & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden, 2013. "Military Expenditure, Economic Growth and Structural Instability: A Case Study of South Africa," Working Papers 201344, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  70. Mehmet Balcilar & Renee van Eyden & Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Time-Varying Linkages between Tourism Receipts and Economic Growth in South Africa," Working Papers 201363, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  71. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2013. "Housing and the Great Depression," Working Papers 201308, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  72. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2012. "Was the Recent Downturn in US GDP Predictable?," Working Papers 201230, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  73. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2012. "The Out-of-Sample Forecasting Performance of Non-Linear Models of Regional Housing Prices in the US," Working papers 2012-12, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
  74. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Stephen M. Miller & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2012. "Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices: The South African Experience," Working papers 2012-27, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
  75. Ozdemir, Zeynel / A. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Tansel, Aysit, 2012. "Are Labor Force Participation Rates Really Non-Stationary? Evidence from Three OECD Countries," MPRA Paper 40572, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  76. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Nicholas Kilimani & Amandine Nakumuryango & Siobhan Redford, 2012. "Predicting BRICS Stock Returns Using ARFIMA Models," Working Papers 201235, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  77. Beatrice D. Simo - Kengne & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Monique Reid & Goodness C. Aye, 2012. "Is the relationship between monetary policy and house prices asymmetric in South Africa? Evidence from a Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive mode," Working Papers 14/2012, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
  78. Aysit Tansel & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir & Mehmet Balcilar, 2011. "International Labour Force Participation Rates by Gender: Unit Root or Structural Breaks?," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1130, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
  79. Mehmet Balcilar & Abebe D. Beyene & Rangan Gupta & Monaheng Seleteng, 2011. ""Ripple" Effects in South African House Prices," Working Papers 201102, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  80. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2011. "Long- and Short-Run Relationships between House and Stock Prices in South Africa: A Nonparametric Approach," Working Papers 201136, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  81. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2010. "Forecasting Nevada Gross Gaming Revenue and Taxable Sales Using Coincident and Leading Employment Indexes," Working papers 2010-21, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
  82. Balcilar, Mehmet & Bagzibagli, Kemal, 2010. "Sources of Macroeconomic Fluctuations in MENA Countries," MPRA Paper 44351, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  83. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Zahra Shah, 2010. "An In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Empirical Investigation of the Nonlinearity in House Prices of South Africa," Working Papers 201008, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  1. Zhang, Qunzhi & Sornette, Didier & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Yetkiner, Hakan, 2016. "LPPLS bubble indicators over two centuries of the S&P 500 index," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 458(C), pages 126-139.
  2. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Jooste, Charl & Ranjbar, Omid, 2016. "Characterising the south african business cycle: is GDP difference-stationary or trend-stationary in a Markov-switching setup? - Il ciclo economico del Sud Africa: il PIL è stazion ario alle differenz," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio di Genova, vol. 69(1), pages 32-43.
  3. Mehmet Balcilar & Shinhye Chang & Rangan Gupta & Vanessa Kasongo & Clement Kyei, 2016. "The relationship between oil and agricultural commodity prices in South Africa: A quantile causality approach," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 50(3), pages 93-107.
  4. Mehmet Balcilar & Shinhye Chang & Rangan Gupta & Vanessa Kasongo & Clement Kyei, 2016. "The relationship between oil and agricultural commodity prices in south africa: a quantile causality approach," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 50(2), pages 137-152.
  5. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Predict Exchange Rate Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 27(2), pages 229-250, April.
  6. Beatrice Simo-Kengne & Stephen Miller & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar, 2016. "Evolution of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the US: the Role of Asset Returns," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 226-243, April.
  7. Xiao-lin Li & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Tsangyao Chang, 2016. "The Causal Relationship Between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Returns in China and India: Evidence from a Bootstrap Rolling Window Approach," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(3), pages 674-689, March.
  8. Aye, Goodness C. & Balcilar, Mehmet & El Montasser, Ghassen & Gupta, Rangan & Manjez, Nangamso C., 2016. "Can debt ceiling and government shutdown predict us real stock returns? A bootstrap rolling window approach. - Gli effetti sui rendimenti azionari reali negli USA del tetto del debito pubblico e del b," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio di Genova, vol. 69(1), pages 11-31.
  9. Balcılar, Mehmet & Demirer, Rıza & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2016. "Risk spillovers across the energy and carbon markets and hedging strategies for carbon risk," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 159-172.
  10. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2016. "Analyzing South Africa’s inflation persistence using an ARFIMA model with Markov-switching fractional differencing parameter," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 50(1), pages 47-57, January-M.
  11. Balcilar, Mehmet & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Asaba, Nwin-Anefo Fru, 2015. "A regime-dependent assessment of the information transmission dynamics between oil prices, precious metal prices and exchange rates," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 72-89.
  12. Mehmet Balcilar & Charl Jooste & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Rangan Gupta & Vassilios Babalos, 2015. "Are there long-run diversification gains from the Dow Jones Islamic finance index?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(12), pages 945-950, August.
  13. Balcılar, Mehmet & Demirer, Rıza & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2015. "Global risk exposures and industry diversification with Shariah-compliant equity sectors," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 35(PB), pages 499-520.
  14. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gungor, Hasan & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2015. "The time-varying causality between spot and futures crude oil prices: A regime switching approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 51-71.
  15. Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Ghassen El Montasser & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Causality between US economic policy and equity market uncertainties: Evidence from linear and nonlinear tests," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 0, pages 225-246, November.
  16. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Miller, Stephen M., 2015. "Regime switching model of US crude oil and stock market prices: 1859 to 2013," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 317-327.
  17. Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Chang, Shinhye & Balcilar, Mehmet & Aye, Goodness C. & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "Persistence of precious metal prices: A fractional integration approach with structural breaks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 57-64.
  18. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2015. "Was the recent downturn in US real GDP predictable?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(28), pages 2985-3007, June.
  19. Soodabeh Sarafrazi & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Mehmet Balcilar, 2015. "Interactions between real economic and financial sides of the US economy in a regime-switching environment," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(60), pages 6493-6518, December.
  20. Aye, Goodness C. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee, 2015. "Forecasting aggregate retail sales: The case of South Africa," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 66-79.
  21. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Kotzé, Kevin, 2015. "Forecasting macroeconomic data for an emerging market with a nonlinear DSGE model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 215-228.
  22. Ahdi N. Ajmi & Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Causality between exports and economic growth in South Africa: evidence from linear and nonlinear tests," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 49(2), pages 163-181, April-Jun.
  23. Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir & Esin Cakan, 2015. "Structural Breaks, Long Memory, or Unit Roots in Stock Prices: Evidence from Emerging Markets," International Econometric Review (IER), Econometric Research Association, vol. 7(1), pages 13-33, April.
  24. Li, Xiao-Lin & Chang, Tsangyao & Miller, Stephen M. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "The co-movement and causality between the U.S. housing and stock markets in the time and frequency domains," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 220-233.
  25. Nasr, Adnen Ben & Balcilar, Mehmet & Ajmi, Ahdi N. & Aye, Goodness C. & Gupta, Rangan & van Eyden, Reneé, 2015. "Causality between inflation and inflation uncertainty in South Africa: Evidence from a Markov-switching vector autoregressive model," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 46-68.
  26. Balcılar, Mehmet & Demirer, Rıza & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2015. "Regional and global spillovers and diversification opportunities in the GCC equity sectors," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 160-187.
  27. Janneke Dlamini & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2015. "Revisiting the causality between electricity consumption and economic growth in South Africa: a bootstrap rolling-window approach," International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 8(2), pages 169-190.
  28. Nyakabawo, Wendy & Miller, Stephen M. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Das, Sonali & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "Temporal causality between house prices and output in the US: A bootstrap rolling-window approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 55-73.
  29. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & John P. Dunne & Rangan Gupta & Reneé van Eyden, 2014. "Military expenditure, economic growth and structural instability: a case study of South Africa," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(6), pages 619-633, December.
  30. Mehmet BALCILAR & Harun BAL & Nese ALGAN & Mehmet DEMIRAL, 2014. "Turkiye’nin Ihracat Performansi: Ihracat Hacminin Temel Belirleyicilerinin Incelenmesi (1995-2012)," Ege Academic Review, Ege University Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 14(3), pages 451-462.
  31. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Stephen M. Miller & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2014. "Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices," Public Finance Review, SAGE Publishing, vol. 42(4), pages 511-531, July.
  32. Balcilar, Mehmet & Kutan, Ali M., 2014. "EuroConference 2013 Symposium: International Conference on Business, Economics and Finance," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 469-469.
  33. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Nicholas Kilimani & Amandine Nakumuryango & Siobhan Redford, 2014. "Predicting BRICS stock returns using ARFIMA models," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(17), pages 1159-1166, September.
  34. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer, 2014. "The Effect of Global Shocks and Volatility on Herd Behavior in Borsa Istanbul," BIFEC Book of Abstracts & Proceedings, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 1(2), pages 142-172, March.
  35. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2014. "Housing and the Great Depression," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(24), pages 2966-2981, August.
  36. Balcilar, Mehmet & Demirer, Rıza & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2014. "What drives herding in oil-rich, developing stock markets? Relative roles of own volatility and global factors," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 418-440.
  37. Aye, Goodness C. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Bosch, Adél & Gupta, Rangan, 2014. "Housing and the business cycle in South Africa," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 471-491.
  38. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Yetkiner, Hakan, 2014. "Are there really bubbles in oil prices?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 416(C), pages 631-638.
  39. Mehmet Balcilar & Reneé van Eyden & Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Time-varying linkages between tourism receipts and economic growth in South Africa," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(36), pages 4381-4398, December.
  40. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin, 2013. "The causal nexus between oil prices and equity market in the U.S.: A regime switching model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 271-282.
  41. Simo-Kengne, Beatrice D. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Reid, Monique & Aye, Goodness C., 2013. "Is the relationship between monetary policy and house prices asymmetric across bull and bear markets in South Africa? Evidence from a Markov-switching vector autoregressive model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 161-171.
  42. Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Ozdemir, 2013. "The export-output growth nexus in Japan: a bootstrap rolling window approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 44(2), pages 639-660, April.
  43. Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2013. "Asymmetric and Time-Varying Causality between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty in G-7 Countries," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 60(1), pages 1-42, 02.
  44. Balcilar, Mehmet & Demirer, Rıza & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2013. "Investor herds and regime-switching: Evidence from Gulf Arab stock markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 295-321.
  45. Mehmet Balcilar & Abebe Beyene & Rangan Gupta & Monaheng Seleteng, 2013. "‘Ripple’ Effects in South African House Prices," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 50(5), pages 876-894, April.
  46. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Adél Bosch & Rangan Gupta & Francois Stofberg, 2013. "The out-of-sample forecasting performance of non-linear models of real exchange rate behaviour: The case of the South African Rand," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 10(1), pages 121-148, April.
  47. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen Miller, 2013. "Forecasting Nevada gross gaming revenue and taxable sales using coincident and leading employment indexes," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 44(2), pages 387-417, April.
  48. Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir & Mehmet Balcilar & Aysit Tansel, 2013. "International Labour Force Participation Rates By Gender: Unit Root Or Structural Breaks?," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 65, pages s142-s164, 05.
  49. Ismail H. Genc & Mehmet Balcilar, 2012. "Effectiveness of Inflation Targeting in Turkey," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 48(S5), pages 35-47, November.
  50. Senay Acikgoz & Mehmet Balcilar & Bedriye Saracoglu, 2012. "Openness and financial development: time series evidence for Turkey," International Journal of Banking, Accounting and Finance, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 4(2), pages 172-201.
  51. Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir & Esin Cakan, 2011. "On the nonlinear causality between inflation and inflation uncertainty in the G3 countries," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 0, pages 269-296, November.
  52. Arslanturk, Yalcin & Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin, 2011. "Time-varying linkages between tourism receipts and economic growth in a small open economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(1-2), pages 664-671, January.
  53. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Shah, Zahra B., 2011. "An in-sample and out-of-sample empirical investigation of the nonlinearity in house prices of South Africa," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 891-899, May.
  54. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Arslanturk, Yalcin, 2010. "Economic growth and energy consumption causal nexus viewed through a bootstrap rolling window," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(6), pages 1398-1410, November.
  55. Ertugrul Deliktas & Mehmet Balcilar, 2005. "A Comparative Analysis of Productivity Growth, Catch-Up, and Convergence in Transition Economies," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 41(1), pages 6-28, January.
  56. Mehmet Balcilar, 2004. "Persistence in Inflation: Does Aggregation Cause Long Memory?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 40(5), pages 25-56, September.
  57. Mehmet Balcilar, 2003. "Multifractality of the Istanbul and Moscow Stock Market Returns," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 39(2), pages 5-46, March.
NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 118 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (47) 2012-08-23 2012-11-03 2012-12-15 2013-03-16 2013-04-27 2014-04-18 2014-05-04 2014-06-14 2014-08-25 2014-08-28 2014-09-29 2014-11-01 2014-11-07 2014-11-22 2014-12-29 2015-03-05 2015-03-22 2015-03-27 2015-04-02 2015-06-05 2015-06-27 2015-07-25 2015-08-30 2015-08-30 2015-08-30 2015-08-30 2015-08-30 2015-08-30 2015-09-05 2015-09-05 2015-09-05 2015-09-05 2015-09-11 2015-09-11 2015-09-11 2015-09-11 2015-10-10 2015-12-28 2015-12-28 2015-12-28 2016-01-03 2016-01-29 2016-04-04 2016-04-09 2016-04-09 2016-04-16 2016-07-09. Author is listed
  2. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (38) 2010-03-28 2010-08-06 2010-08-14 2012-09-09 2012-09-22 2012-11-03 2012-12-15 2013-02-03 2013-02-03 2013-03-09 2013-03-16 2013-04-27 2013-04-27 2013-09-06 2014-05-04 2014-06-14 2014-11-22 2015-03-05 2015-03-27 2015-04-02 2015-05-02 2015-06-27 2015-08-30 2015-08-30 2015-08-30 2015-08-30 2015-08-30 2015-09-05 2015-09-05 2015-09-11 2015-09-18 2015-09-26 2015-10-25 2015-10-25 2015-12-28 2015-12-28 2016-04-09 2016-04-16. Author is listed
  3. NEP-URE: Urban & Real Estate Economics (28) 2010-03-28 2011-02-19 2012-07-14 2012-08-23 2012-09-09 2012-09-22 2012-09-22 2012-09-30 2013-02-03 2013-04-27 2013-04-27 2013-04-27 2013-06-04 2013-07-15 2013-09-06 2014-04-11 2014-06-14 2014-09-08 2015-03-22 2015-06-27 2015-07-25 2015-09-05 2015-09-11 2015-09-11 2015-09-18 2015-09-26 2015-10-25 2016-03-06. Author is listed
  4. NEP-AFR: Africa (23) 2010-03-28 2011-02-19 2012-01-10 2012-07-14 2012-08-23 2012-09-22 2012-09-30 2013-02-03 2013-02-03 2013-03-09 2013-04-27 2013-06-04 2013-08-05 2013-08-31 2013-11-16 2014-04-18 2014-05-04 2014-11-17 2014-12-29 2015-03-05 2015-03-27 2015-08-30 2016-04-16. Author is listed
  5. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (14) 2012-07-14 2012-08-23 2013-02-03 2014-05-04 2014-11-22 2015-03-27 2015-06-27 2015-07-25 2015-08-30 2015-08-30 2015-08-30 2015-09-05 2016-04-04 2016-07-09. Author is listed
  6. NEP-CBA: Central Banking (13) 2014-05-04 2014-08-28 2014-08-28 2014-09-29 2014-11-22 2015-03-27 2015-06-27 2015-07-25 2015-08-30 2015-08-30 2015-08-30 2016-04-04 2016-07-09. Author is listed
  7. NEP-GER: German Papers (12) 2014-04-11 2014-09-29 2015-08-30 2015-08-30 2015-08-30 2015-08-30 2015-08-30 2015-08-30 2015-08-30 2015-08-30 2015-08-30 2015-08-30. Author is listed
  8. NEP-ORE: Operations Research (10) 2010-08-06 2015-07-25 2015-08-30 2015-09-05 2015-09-05 2015-10-25 2016-01-29 2016-04-09 2016-04-16 2016-05-21. Author is listed
  9. NEP-ENE: Energy Economics (9) 2014-11-01 2014-11-17 2014-12-29 2015-05-02 2015-08-30 2015-09-05 2016-03-06 2016-04-09 2016-06-25. Author is listed
  10. NEP-LAB: Labour Economics (7) 2011-11-14 2011-12-13 2012-01-25 2012-08-23 2012-08-23 2012-09-30 2012-11-17. Author is listed
  11. NEP-FMK: Financial Markets (5) 2013-11-16 2015-03-22 2015-08-30 2015-10-25 2016-04-16. Author is listed
  12. NEP-CIS: Confederation of Independent States (3) 2011-02-19 2013-02-03 2016-07-02
  13. NEP-DGE: Dynamic General Equilibrium (3) 2013-03-16 2015-07-25 2016-01-29
  14. NEP-FDG: Financial Development & Growth (3) 2013-08-05 2014-04-18 2014-09-29
  15. NEP-HIS: Business, Economic & Financial History (3) 2013-02-03 2013-04-27 2014-11-01
  16. NEP-PBE: Public Economics (3) 2012-09-22 2013-04-27 2015-09-11
  17. NEP-ARA: MENA - Middle East & North Africa (2) 2016-04-09 2016-06-25
  18. NEP-CMP: Computational Economics (2) 2010-08-06 2010-08-14
  19. NEP-GRO: Economic Growth (2) 2014-09-29 2015-08-30
  20. NEP-RMG: Risk Management (2) 2015-08-30 2016-06-14
  21. NEP-SEA: South East Asia (2) 2015-12-28 2016-04-30
  22. NEP-AGR: Agricultural Economics (1) 2014-11-17
  23. NEP-EDU: Education (1) 2013-08-31
  24. NEP-EEC: European Economics (1) 2016-04-04
  25. NEP-ENV: Environmental Economics (1) 2015-08-30
  26. NEP-ETS: Econometric Time Series (1) 2014-01-10
  27. NEP-LMA: Labor Markets - Supply, Demand, & Wages (1) 2011-11-14
  28. NEP-MFD: Microfinance (1) 2015-03-05
  29. NEP-MST: Market Microstructure (1) 2016-06-14
  30. NEP-NET: Network Economics (1) 2016-06-25
  31. NEP-PAY: Payment Systems & Financial Technology (1) 2016-08-21
  32. NEP-TUR: Tourism Economics (1) 2013-11-16
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