Report NEP-MAC-2015-12-28

This is the archive for NEP-MAC, a report on new working papers in the area of Macroeconomics. Soumitra K Mallick issued this report. It is usually issued weekly.

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Other reports in NEP-MAC

The following items were announced in this report:

• Olivier Blanchard & Eugenio Cerutti & Lawrence Summers, 2015. "Inflation and Activity – Two Explorations and their Monetary Policy Implications," NBER Working Papers 21726, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Ryan Banerjee & Michael B. Devereux & Giovanni Lombardo, 2015. "Self-Oriented Monetary Policy, Global Financial Markets and Excess Volatility of International Capital Flows," NBER Working Papers 21737, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Guillaume Rocheteau & Pierre-Olivier Weill & Tsz-Nga Wong, 2015. "Working through the Distribution: Money in the Short and Long Run," NBER Working Papers 21779, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Sydney C. Ludvigson & Sai Ma & Serena Ng, 2015. "Uncertainty and Business Cycles: Exogenous Impulse or Endogenous Response?," NBER Working Papers 21803, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Michael T. Belongia & Peter N. Ireland, 2015. "Money and Output: Friedman and Schwartz Revisited," NBER Working Papers 21796, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Michael B. Devereux & Eric R. Young & Changhua Yu, 2015. "A New Dilemma: Capital Controls and Monetary Policy in Sudden Stop Economies," NBER Working Papers 21791, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Matteo Cacciatore & Romain Duval & Giuseppe Fiori & Fabio Ghironi, 2015. "Short-Term Pain for Long-Term Gain: Market Deregulation and Monetary Policy in Small Open Economies," NBER Working Papers 21784, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Evelyne Dourille-Feer, 2015. "Can the magic of Abenomics succeed?," Working Papers 2015-24, CEPII research center.
• Liudas Giraitis & George Kapetanios & Konstantinos Theodoridis & Tony Yates, 2015. "Estimating Time-Varying DSGE Models Using Minimum Distance Methods," Working Papers 768, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
• Michele Fratianni & Federico Giri, 2015. "The Tale of Two Great Crises," Mo.Fi.R. Working Papers 117, Money and Finance Research group (Mo.Fi.R.) - Univ. Politecnica Marche - Dept. Economic and Social Sciences.
• Eric T. Swanson, 2015. "Measuring the Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy on Asset Prices," NBER Working Papers 21816, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• David Berger & Joseph Vavra, 2015. "Dynamics of the U.S. Price Distribution," NBER Working Papers 21732, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Francesco Nucci & Marianna Riggi, 2015. "Labour force participation, wage rigidities, and inflation," DSS Empirical Economics and Econometrics Working Papers Series 2015/1, Centre for Empirical Economics and Econometrics, Department of Statistics, "Sapienza" University of Rome.
• Michael D. Bordo & Pierre L. Siklos, 2015. "Central bank Credibility Before and After the Crisis," NBER Working Papers 21710, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Ahmet Benlialper & Hasan Cömert, 2015. "Global Constraints on Central Banking: The Case of Turkey," ERC Working Papers 1512, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Dec 2015.
• Nikolaos Antonakakis & Rangan Gupta & Aviral K. Tiwari, 2015. "The Time-Varying Correlation between Output and Prices in the United States over 1800 to 2014," Working Papers 201584, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
• Alessia Paccagnini, 2016. "The Macroeconomic Determinants of the US Term-Structure During The Great Moderation," Open Access publications 10197/7324, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
• Engelbert Stockhammer, 2015. "Wage-led versus profit-led demand: What have we learned? A Kalecki-Minsky view," Working Papers PKWP1512, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES).
• Julian Kozlowski & Laura Veldkamp & Venky Venkateswaran, 2015. "The Tail that Wags the Economy: Beliefs and Persistent Stagnation," NBER Working Papers 21719, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Mikhail Golosov & Guido Menzio, 2015. "Agency Business Cycles," NBER Working Papers 21743, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Benjamin M. Friedman, 2015. "Work and Consumption in an Era of Unbalanced Technological Advance," NBER Working Papers 21713, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Saten Kumar & Hassan Afrouzi & Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2015. "Inflation Targeting Does Not Anchor Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Firms in New Zealand," NBER Working Papers 21814, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Rangan Gupta & Eric Olson & Mark E. Wohar, 2015. "Forecasting Key US Macroeconomic Variables with a Factor-Augmented Qual VAR," Working Papers 201585, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
• Herrenbrueck, Lucas & Geromichalos, Athanasios, 2015. "A Tractable Model of Indirect Asset Liquidity," MPRA Paper 68521, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Hélène Rey, 2015. "US Monetary Policy and the Global Financial Cycle," NBER Working Papers 21722, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Liliana Varela, 2015. "Sector Heterogeneity and Credit Market Imperfections in Emerging Markets," Working Papers 2015-350-29, Department of Economics, University of Houston.
• Jonathan Eaton & Samuel S. Kortum & Brent Neiman, 2015. "Obstfeld and Rogoff's International Macro Puzzles: A Quantitative Assessment," NBER Working Papers 21774, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Jan Tore Klovland, 2015. "Measuring trends and cycles in industrial production in Norway 1896-1948," Working Paper 2015/18, Norges Bank.
• Paolo Brunori & Flaviana Palmisano & Vito Peragine, 2015. "Inequality of Opportunity in Sub-Saharan Africa," SERIES 08-2015, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza - Università degli Studi di Bari "Aldo Moro", revised Dec 2015.
• Dudin, Mikhail & Sekerin, Vladimir & Smirnova, Olga & Frolova, Evgenia & Sepiashvili, Ekaterina, 2014. "State Anti-Crisis Management of Banking Sector: Looking for Optimization Ways and Contemporary Development Trends," Working Papers dudnov, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
• Eric M. Leeper, 2015. "Fiscal Analysis is Darned Hard," NBER Working Papers 21822, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise & John W. Muteba Mwamba, 2015. "Predicting South African Equity Premium using Domestic and Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Indices: Evidence from a Bayesian Graphical Model," Working Papers 201596, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
• Ana Beatriz Galvão & Liudas Giraitis & George Kapetanios & Katerina Petrova, 2015. "A Time Varying DSGE Model with Financial Frictions," Working Papers 769, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
• Tatsuro Senga, 2015. "A New Look at Uncertainty Shocks: Imperfect Information and Misallocation," Working Papers 763, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
• Mariacristina De Nardi & Giulio Fella & Fang Yang, 2015. "Piketty's Book and Macro Models of Wealth Inequality," NBER Working Papers 21730, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Vasco Cúrdia & Michael Woodford, 2015. "Credit Frictions and Optimal Monetary Policy," NBER Working Papers 21820, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Simplice Asongu & Vanessa Tchamyou, 2015. "Mobile Phones in Conflicts of Financial Intermediation," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute. 15/050, African Governance and Development Institute..
• Leo Krippner, 2015. "A comment on Wu and Xia (2015), and the case for two-factor Shadow Short Rates," CAMA Working Papers 2015-48, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
• Catherine Mathieu & Henri Sterdyniak, 2015. "Should we still use the concept of potential growth ?," Sciences Po publications 2015-30, Sciences Po.
• Stephen Hansen & Michael McMahon, 2015. "Shocking Language: Understanding the macroeconomic effects of central bank communication," Discussion Papers 1537, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
• Bonner, Clemens, 2015. "Preferential Regulatory Treatment and Banks' Demand for Government Bonds," Discussion Paper 2015-056, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
• Alberto Alesina & Andrea Passalacqua, 2015. "The Political Economy of Government Debt," NBER Working Papers 21821, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Chu, Angus C. & Cozzi, Guido & Furukawa, Yuichi, 2015. "Unions, Innovation and Cross-Country Wage Inequality," MPRA Paper 68447, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Claudiu T. Albulescu & Aviral Kumar Twari & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Time-Frequency Relationship between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty for the U.S.: Evidence from Historical Data," Working Papers 201591, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
• Ahlborn, Markus & Schweickert, Rainer, 2015. "Public debt and economic growth: Economic systems matter," PFH Forschungspapiere/Research Papers 2015/02, PFH Private University of Applied Sciences, Göttingen.
• Ana Beatriz Galvão & Liudas Giraitis & George Kapetanios & Katerina Petrova, 2015. "A Bayesian Local Likelihood Method for Modelling Parameter Time Variation in DSGE Models," Working Papers 770, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
• Farley Grubb, 2015. "Common Currency versus Currency Union: The U.S. Continental Dollar and Denominational Structure, 1775-1776," NBER Working Papers 21728, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Rudolf Alvise Lennkh & Florian Walch, 2015. "Collateral Damage? Micro-Simulation of Transaction Cost Shocks on the Value of Central Bank Collateral," Working Papers 6, European Stability Mechanism.
• Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2014. "Bayesian forecasting with small and medium scale factor-augmented vector autoregressive DSGE models," Open Access publications 10197/7322, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
• Dr. Thomas Nellen, 2015. "Collateralised liquidity, two-part tariff and settlement coordination," Working Papers 2015-13, Swiss National Bank.
• Carola Frydman & Dimitris Papanikolaou, 2015. "In Search of Ideas: Technological Innovation and Executive Pay Inequality," NBER Working Papers 21795, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Jed Armstrong, 2015. "The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s output gap indicator suite and its real-time properties," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series AN2015/08, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
• Lorenz Kueng, 2015. "Explaining Consumption Excess Sensitivity with Near-Rationality: Evidence from Large Predetermined Payments," NBER Working Papers 21772, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Feige, Edgar L., 2015. "Reflections on the meaning and measurement of Unobserved Economies: What do we really know about the “Shadow Economy”?," MPRA Paper 68466, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Mario Tonveronachi, 2015. "The ECB, the Single Financial Market, and a Revision of the Euro Area Fiscal Rules," Economics Public Policy Brief Archive ppb_140, Levy Economics Institute.
• Hansen, Stephen & McMahon, Michael, 2015. "Shocking language: Understanding the macroeconomic effects of central bank communication," CAGE Online Working Paper Series 258, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE).
• Forsfält, Tomas & Glans, Erik, 2015. "IOR – NIER’s Input-Output Model of the Swedish Economy," Working Papers 141, National Institute of Economic Research.
• Pooyan Amir Ahmadi & Harald Uhlig, 2015. "Sign Restrictions in Bayesian FaVARs with an Application to Monetary Policy Shocks," NBER Working Papers 21738, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Andrés Camilo ÁLVAREZ-ESPINOSA & Daniel Alejandro ORDOÑEZ & Alejandro NIETO & William WILLS & German ROMERO & Silvia Liliana CALDERÓN, 2015. "Compromiso de Reducción de Emisiones de Gases de Efecto Invernadero: Consecuencias económicas," Archivos de Economía 14157, Departamento Nacional de Planeación.
• Pablo D. Fajgelbaum & Eduardo Morales & Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato & Owen M. Zidar, 2015. "State Taxes and Spatial Misallocation," NBER Working Papers 21760, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• George J. Hall & Thomas J. Sargent, 2015. "A History of U.S. Debt Limits," NBER Working Papers 21799, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Tolga Omay & Rangan Gupta & Giovanni Bonaccolto, 2015. "The US Real GNP is Trend-Stationary After All," Working Papers 201581, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
• Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2015. "Does Uncertainty Move the Gold Price? New Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201592, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
• Rasmus Lentz & Nicolas Roys, 2015. "Training and Search On the Job," NBER Working Papers 21702, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Markus P.A. Schneider & Stephen Kinsella & Antoine Godin, 2015. "Redistribution in the Age of Austerity: Evidence from Europe, 2006-13," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_856, Levy Economics Institute.
• Janet L. Yellen, 2015. "The Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy: a speech at the Economic Club of Washington, Washington, D.C., December 2, 2015," Speech 884, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
• Olivier CARDI & Romain RESTOUT, 2015. "Fiscal Shocks in a Two-Sector Open Economy with Endogenous Markups," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2299, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
• George Kudrna & Chung Tran, 2015. "Budget Repair Measures: Tough Choices for Australia's Future," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics 2015-628, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
• Ryan A. Decker & John Haltiwanger & Ron S. Jarmin & Javier Miranda, 2015. "Where Has All The Skewness Gone? The Decline In High-Growth (Young) Firms In The U.S," NBER Working Papers 21776, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Farhidi, Faraz, 2015. "Side Effects of War on the US Economy," MPRA Paper 68476, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Agust n S. B n trix & Philip R. Lane, 2015. "Financial Cycles and Fiscal Cycles," Trinity Economics Papers tep0815, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics.
• Omar Licandro, 2015. "Firm Dynamics in the Neoclassical Growth Model," Discussion Papers 2015/17, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
• Jorge Duran & Omar Licandro, 2015. "Is the output growth rate in NIPA a welfare measure?," Discussion Papers 2015/18, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
• Guido Matías Cortés & Manuel Hidalgo-Pérez, 2015. "Changes in the Return to Skills and the Variance of Unobserved Ability," Working Papers 15.15, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Economics.
• Mario Tonveronachi, 2015. "Completing the Single Financial Market and New Fiscal Rules for the Euro Area," Economics One-Pager Archive op_51, Levy Economics Institute.
• Danne, Christian, 2015. "VARsignR: Estimating VARs using sign restrictions in R," MPRA Paper 68429, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Won Joong Kim & Clement Kyei, 2015. "The Role of Domestic and Global Economic Policy Uncertainties in Predicting Stock Returns and their Volatility for Hong Kong, Malaysia and South Korea: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quant," Working Papers 201586, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
• Simplice Asongu, 2015. "Addressing a Root Cause of Sub Saharan Africa’s Poverty Tragedy: Horizons for post-2015 Common Capital Flight Policies," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute. 15/048, African Governance and Development Institute..
• Farley Grubb, 2015. "Colonial Virginia’s Paper Money Regime, 1755-1774: a Forensic Accounting Reconstruction of the Data," NBER Working Papers 21785, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Meldrum, Andrew & Roberts-Sklar, Matt, 2015. "Long-run priors for term structure models," Bank of England working papers 575, Bank of England.
• Sang Yoon (Tim) Lee & Yongseok Shin & Donghoon Lee, 2015. "The Option Value of Human Capital: Higher Education and Wage Inequality," NBER Working Papers 21724, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Darrell Duffie & Lei Qiao & Yeneng Sun, 2015. "Dynamic Directed Random Matching," NBER Working Papers 21731, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Alan L. Gustman & Thomas L. Steinmeier & Nahid Tabatabai, 2015. "Declining Wealth and Work Among Male Veterans in the Health and Retirement Study," NBER Working Papers 21736, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Francesco Sergi, 2015. "Robert Lucas and the Twist of Modeling Methodology. On some Econometric Methods and Problems in New Classical Macroeconomics," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-01244393, HAL.
• Jess Benhabib & Alberto Bisin & Mi Luo, 2015. "Wealth Distribution and Social Mobility in the US: A Quantitative Approach," NBER Working Papers 21721, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Liudas Giraitis & George Kapetanios & Tony Yates, 2015. "Inference on Multivariate Heteroscedastic Time Varying Random Coefficient Models," Working Papers 767, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
• Jeanete Dias & Micaela Antunes, 2015. "Applying Thirlwall’s Law to the Portuguese economy: a sectoral analysis," GEMF Working Papers 2015-20, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
• Kaminska, Iryna & Roberts-Sklar, Matt, 2015. "A global factor in variance risk premia and local bond pricing," Bank of England working papers 576, Bank of England.
• Francesco Trebbi & Kairong Xiao, 2015. "Regulation and Market Liquidity," NBER Working Papers 21739, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Carmen M. Reinhart & Christoph Trebesch, 2015. "The International Monetary Fund: 70 Years of Reinvention," NBER Working Papers 21805, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Jürgen Bierbaumer-Polly & Werner Hölzl, 2016. "Business Cycle Dynamics and Firm Heterogeneity. Evidence for Austria Using Survey Data," WIFO Working Papers 504, WIFO.