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Citations for "Foreword to "Cyclical Analysis of Time Series: Selected Procedures and Computer Programs""

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  1. Hans-Martin Krolzig & Michael P. Clements, 2001. "Modelling Business Cycle Features Using Switching Regime Models," Economics Series Working Papers 58, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
  2. Christian Gillitzer & Jonathan Kearns & Anthony Richards, 2005. "The Australian Business Cycle: A Coincident Indicator Approach," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia rdp2005-07, Reserve Bank of Australia.
  3. Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2013. "When Credit Bites Back," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(s2), pages 3-28, December.
  4. Cunado, J. & Gil-Alana, L.A. & Gracia, Fernando Perez de, 2010. "Mean reversion in stock market prices: New evidence based on bull and bear markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 24(2), pages 113-122, June.
  5. Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara, 2011. "Identification of Slowdowns and Accelerations for the Euro Area Economy," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 73(3), pages 335-364, 06.
  6. Kauko, Karlo, 2010. "The feasibility of through-the-cycle ratings," Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland 14/2010, Bank of Finland.
  7. Benoît Bellone, 2006. "Une lecture probabiliste du cycle d’affaires américain," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, Programme National Persée, vol. 172(1), pages 63-81.
  8. Candelon, Bertrand & Piplack, Jan & Straetmans, Stefan, 2008. "On measuring synchronization of bulls and bears: The case of East Asia," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 32(6), pages 1022-1035, June.
  9. David Norman & Thomas Walker, 2004. "Co-movement of Australian State Business Cycles," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia rdp2004-09, Reserve Bank of Australia.
  10. Hans-Martin Krolzig & Juan Toro, 2001. "Classical and Modern Business Cycle Measurement: The European Case," Economics Series Working Papers 60, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
  11. Canova, Fabio & Ciccarelli, Matteo & Ortega, Eva, 2004. "Similarities and convergence in G-7 cycles," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank 0312, European Central Bank.
  12. Riccardo De Bonis & Andrea Silvestrini, 2013. "The Italian financial cycle: 1861-2011," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area 936, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  13. Pami Dua & Anirvan Banerji, 2007. "Predicting Indian Business Cycles-- Leading Indices for External and Domestic Sectors," Working papers, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics 156, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics.
  14. Marcel M, 1990. "Labour market indicators: leading indicators for employment forecasting in developing countries," ILO Working Papers, International Labour Organization 278801, International Labour Organization.
  15. Woodward, George & Marisetty, Vijaya B., 2005. "Introducing non-linear dynamics to the two-regime market model: Evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 45(4-5), pages 559-581, September.
  16. Bruno, Giancarlo & Otranto, Edoardo, 2008. "Models to date the business cycle: The Italian case," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 25(5), pages 899-911, September.
  17. Maria Gadea & Ana Gómez-Loscos & Antonio Montañés, 2012. "Cycles inside cycles: Spanish regional aggregation," SERIEs, Spanish Economic Association, Spanish Economic Association, vol. 3(4), pages 423-456, December.
  18. Alfonso Mendoza Velázquez & Peter N. Smith, 2013. "Equity Returns and the Business Cycle: the Role of Supply and Demand Shocks," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 81, pages 100-124, 09.
  19. Hong, Kiseok, 2010. "Fiscal Policy Issues in Korea after the Current Crisis," ADBI Working Papers, Asian Development Bank Institute 225, Asian Development Bank Institute.
  20. Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Interactions between Eurozone and US Booms and Busts: A Bayesian Panel Markov-switching VAR Model," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-142/III, Tinbergen Institute.
  21. Esteban Perez Caldentey & Matias Vernengo, 2013. "Wage and Profit-led Growth: The Limits to Neo-Kaleckian Models and a Kaldorian Proposal," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_775, Levy Economics Institute.
  22. Christopher Bajada, 2003. "Business Cycle Properties of the Legitimate and Underground Economy in Australia," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 79(247), pages 397-411, December.
  23. Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2013. "Sovereigns versus Banks: Credit, Crises, and Consequences," CESifo Working Paper Series 4431, CESifo Group Munich.
  24. Adrian Pagan, 2005. "Some Econometric Analysis Of Constructed Binary Time Series," CAMA Working Papers 2005-07, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  25. Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2011. "When credit bites back: leverage, business cycles, and crises," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco 2011-27, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  26. Natalia T. Tamirisa & Prakash Loungani & Herman O. Stekler, 2011. "Information Rigidity in Growth Forecasts," IMF Working Papers 11/125, International Monetary Fund.
  27. Bec, F. & Bessec, M., 2012. "Inventory Investment Dynamics and Recoveries: A Comparison of Manufacturing and Retail Trade Sectors," Working papers, Banque de France 400, Banque de France.
  28. Sensier, Marianne & Artis, Michael & Osborn, Denise R. & Birchenhall, Chris, 2004. "Domestic and international influences on business cycle regimes in Europe," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 343-357.
  29. Igan, Deniz & Kabundi, Alain & Nadal De Simone, Francisco & Pinheiro, Marcelo & Tamirisa, Natalia, 2011. "Housing, credit, and real activity cycles: Characteristics and comovement," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 210-231, September.
  30. Castro, Vítor, 2010. "The duration of economic expansions and recessions: More than duration dependence," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 347-365, March.
  31. Hong, Kiseok & Lee, Jong-Wha & Tang, Hsiao Chink, 2009. "Crises in Asia: Historical Perspectives and Implications," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 152, Asian Development Bank.
  32. Kole, H.J.W.G. & van Dijk, D.J.C., 2013. "How to Identify and Forecast Bull and Bear Markets?," ERIM Report Series Research in Management, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasm ERS-2013-016-F&A, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam.
  33. Chris Birchenhall & Marianne Sensier, 2000. "Predicting UK Business Cycle Regimes," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers, Econometric Society 0953, Econometric Society.
  34. C. John McDermott & Paul Cashin & Alasdair Scott, 1999. "Booms and Slumps in World Commodity Prices," IMF Working Papers 99/155, International Monetary Fund.
  35. Stijn Claessens & M. Ayhan Kose & International Monetary Fund & Marco E. Terrones & International Monetary Fund, 2011. "Recessions and Financial Disruptions in Emerging Markets: A Bird’s Eye View," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, Central Bank of Chile, in: Luis Felipe Céspedes & Roberto Chang & Diego Saravia (ed.), Monetary Policy under Financial Turbulence, edition 1, volume 16, chapter 4, pages 059-104 Central Bank of Chile.
  36. Brockman, Paul & Liebenberg, Ivonne & Schutte, Maria, 2010. "Comovement, information production, and the business cycle," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 97(1), pages 107-129, July.
  37. Engel, J. & Haugh, D. & Pagan, A., 2005. "Some methods for assessing the need for non-linear models in business cycle analysis," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 651-662.
  38. Harding, Don, 2008. "Detecting and forecasting business cycle turning points," MPRA Paper 33583, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  39. Claessens, Stijn & Kose, Ayhan & Terrones, Marco E, 2011. "How Do Business and Financial Cycles Interact?," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 8396, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  40. Christian Aßmann & Jens Boysen-Hogrefe & Nils Jannsen, 2013. "Costs Of Housing Crises: International Evidence," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 65(4), pages 299-313, October.
  41. Gadea Rivas, Maria Dolores & Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel, 2012. "The failure to predict the Great Recession. The failure of academic economics? A view focusing on the role of credit," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 9269, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  42. Layton, Allan P., 1998. "A further test of the influence of leading indicators on the probability of US business cycle phase shifts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 63-70, March.
  43. Roberts, Mark C., 2009. "Duration and characteristics of metal price cycles," Resources Policy, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 87-102, September.
  44. Esteban Pérez Caldentey & Daniel Titelman & Pablo Carvallo, 2013. "Weak Expansions: A Distinctive Feature of the Business Cycle in Latin America and the Caribbean," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_749, Levy Economics Institute.
  45. Zarnowitz, Victor & Ozyildirim, Ataman, 2006. "Time series decomposition and measurement of business cycles, trends and growth cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 53(7), pages 1717-1739, October.
  46. Agnello, Luca & Nerlich, Carolin, 2012. "On the severity of economic downturns: Lessons from cross-country evidence," Economics Letters, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 117(1), pages 149-155.
  47. Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W., 2014. "Estimating turning points using large data sets," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 178(P2), pages 368-381.
  48. Stefano Magrini & Margherita Gerolimetto & Hasan Engin Duran, 2011. "Understanding the lead/lag structure among regional business cycles," Working Papers 2011_06, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
  49. Marcelle, Chauvet & Jeremy, Piger, 2010. "Employment and the business cycle," MPRA Paper 34103, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  50. Fahr Staphen & Abbritti Mirko, 2011. "Macroeconomic implications of downward wage rigidities," wp.comunite, Department of Communication, University of Teramo 0088, Department of Communication, University of Teramo.
  51. Boriss Siliverstovs, 2011. "Dating Business Cycles in a Historical Perspective: Evidence for Switzerland," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich 11-284, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
  52. Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Interactions between eurozone and US booms and busts: A Bayesian panel Markov-switching VAR model," Working Papers 2013:17, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
  53. Laurent Ferrara & Olivier Darné & Marie Adanero-Donderis, 2009. "Un indicateur probabiliste du cycle d’accélération pour l’économie française," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, Programme National Persée, vol. 189(3), pages 95-114.
  54. Federico Bassetti & Roberto Casarin & Fabrizio Leisen, 2013. "Beta-Product Dependent Pitman-Yor Processes for Bayesian Inference," Working Papers 2013:13, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
  55. Yongsung Chang & Sunoong Hwang, 2011. "Asymmetric Phase Shifts in the U.S. Industrial Production Cycles," RCER Working Papers 564, University of Rochester - Center for Economic Research (RCER).
  56. Fukuda, Kosei, 2012. "Illustrating extraordinary shocks causing trend breaks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 1045-1052.
  57. Tan, Hao & Mathews, John A., 2010. "Identification and analysis of industry cycles," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 63(5), pages 454-462, May.
  58. Balázs Égert, 2010. "Fiscal Policy Reaction to the Cycle in the OECD: Pro- or Counter-cyclical?," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 763, OECD Publishing.
  59. Fabio Busetti & Michele Caivano, 2013. "The trend-cycle decomposition of output and the Phillips curve: Bayesian estimates for Italy," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area 941, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  60. repec:dgr:uvatin:2011123 is not listed on IDEAS
  61. Bertrand Candelon & Norbert Metiu & Stefan Straetmans, 2014. "Disentangling economic recessions and depressions," Working Papers, Department of Research, Ipag Business School 2014-328, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
  62. Mai Shibata, 2012. "Identifying Bull and Bear Markets in Japan," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 99-117, May.
  63. Travis Berge & Òscar Jordà, 2013. "A chronology of turning points in economic activity: Spain, 1850–2011," SERIEs, Spanish Economic Association, Spanish Economic Association, vol. 4(1), pages 1-34, March.
  64. Yan, Wu & Powell, John G. & Shi, Jing & Xu, Wei, 2007. "Chinese stock market cyclical regimes: 1991-2006," Economics Letters, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 97(3), pages 235-239, December.
  65. L.A. Gil-Alana, 2005. "Fractional Cyclical Structures & Business Cycles in the Specification of the US Real Output," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1-2), pages 99-126.
  66. John C Bluedorn & Jörg Decressin & Marco Terrones, 2013. "Do Asset Price Drops Foreshadow Recessions?," IMF Working Papers 13/203, International Monetary Fund.
  67. Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 2009. "An Econometric Analysis of Some Models for Constructed Binary Time Series," NCER Working Paper Series, National Centre for Econometric Research 39, National Centre for Econometric Research, revised 02 Jul 2009.
  68. Barnichon, Regis, 2012. "Vacancy posting, job separation and unemployment fluctuations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 315-330.
  69. Gagea Mariana, 2012. "The Contribution Of Business Confidence Indicators In Short-Term Forecasting Of Economic Development," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1(1), pages 617-623, July.
  70. Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Ravazzolo, Francesco & van Dijk, Herman K., 2012. "Combination schemes for turning point predictions," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 52(4), pages 402-412.
  71. McKay, Alisdair & Reis, Ricardo, 2006. "The Brevity and Violence of Contractions and Expansions," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 5756, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  72. Vítor Castro, 2010. "The duration of business cycle expansions and contractions: Are there change-points in duration dependence?," NIPE Working Papers, NIPE - Universidade do Minho 24/2010, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
  73. Kiseok Hong, 2010. "Fiscal Policy Issues in Korea after the Current Crisis," Macroeconomics Working Papers 22754, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
  74. repec:hal:journl:halshs-00185372 is not listed on IDEAS
  75. Marco Terrones & M. Ayhan Kose & Stijn Claessens, 2008. "What Happens During Recessions, Crunches, and Busts?," IMF Working Papers 08/274, International Monetary Fund.
  76. Julián R. Siri & José P. Dapena, 2014. "Comparación entre algoritmo de ciclos y modelos de regime-switching, con aplicación a estrategias de inversión en derivados (opciones de venta)," CEMA Working Papers: Serie Documentos de Trabajo., Universidad del CEMA 540, Universidad del CEMA.
  77. Viv B. Hall & John McDermott, 2014. "Recessions and Recoveries in New Zealand's Post-Second World War Business Cycles," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2014/02, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
  78. Michael D. Bordo & Joseph G. Haubrich, 2009. "Credit crises, money, and contractions: A historical view," Working Paper 0908, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
  79. Layton, Allan P., 1996. "Dating and predicting phase changes in the U.S. business cycle," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 417-428, September.
  80. Selim Elekdag & Yiqun Wu, 2013. "Rapid Credit Growth in Emerging Markets: Boon or Boom-Bust?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 49(5), pages 45-62, September.
  81. Klaus Wohlrabe, 2011. "Konstruktion von Indikatoren zur Analyse der wirtschaftlichen Aktivität in den Dienstleistungsbereichen," ifo Forschungsberichte, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 55, 9.
  82. Michel Bordo & John Lando-Lane, 2013. "Does Expansionary Monetary Policy Cause Asset Price Booms? Some Historical and Empirical Evidence," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile 710, Central Bank of Chile.
  83. Adrian Pagan, 2013. "Patterns and Their Uses," NCER Working Paper Series, National Centre for Econometric Research 96, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  84. Duo Qin, 2010. "Econometric Studies of Business Cycles in the History of Econometrics," Working Papers, Queen Mary, University of London, School of Economics and Finance 669, Queen Mary, University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
  85. Pami Dua & Anirvan Banerji, 2001. "A Leading Index for the Indian Economy," Working papers, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics 90, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics.
  86. repec:hal:journl:halshs-00185373 is not listed on IDEAS
  87. Selim Elekdag & Yiqun Wu, 2011. "Rapid Credit Growth," IMF Working Papers 11/241, International Monetary Fund.
  88. Monica Billio & Massimiliano Caporin & Guido Cazzavillan, 2007. "Dating EU15 Monthly Business Cycle Jointly Using GDP and IPI," Working Papers 2007_19, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
  89. Alexander Erler & Christian Drescher & Damir Križanac, 2013. "The Fed’s TRAP," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer, Springer, vol. 37(1), pages 136-149, January.
  90. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2010. "Indicators for Dating Business Cycles: Cross-History Selection and Comparisons," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, American Economic Association, vol. 100(2), pages 16-19, May.
  91. Monica Billio & Jacques Anas & Laurent Ferrara & Marco Lo Duca, 2007. "A turning point chronology for the Euro-zone," Working Papers 2007_33, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
  92. Mathias Drehmann & Claudio Borio & Kostas Tsatsaronis, 2012. "Characterising the financial cycle: don't lose sight of the medium term!," BIS Working Papers 380, Bank for International Settlements.
  93. Mathilde Aubry & Jean Bonnet & Patricia Renou-Maissant, 2013. "Cycle économique et comportement entrepreneurial sur données régionales françaises," Economics Working Paper Archive (University of Rennes 1 & University of Caen), Center for Research in Economics and Management (CREM), University of Rennes 1, University of Caen and CNRS 201332, Center for Research in Economics and Management (CREM), University of Rennes 1, University of Caen and CNRS.
  94. Bertrand Candelon & Jameel Ahmed & Stefan Straetmans, 2014. "Predicting and Capitalizing on Stock Market Bears in the U.S," Working Papers, Department of Research, Ipag Business School 2014-409, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
  95. Morley James & Piger Jeremy & Tien Pao-Lin, 2013. "Reproducing business cycle features: are nonlinear dynamics a proxy for multivariate information?," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, De Gruyter, vol. 17(5), pages 483-498, December.
  96. Parker, Randall E. & Rothman, Philip, 1996. "Further evidence on the stabilization of postwar economic fluctuations," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 289-298.
  97. Kannan, Prakash, 2012. "Credit conditions and recoveries from financial crises," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 930-947.
  98. Favilukis, Jack & Lin, Xiaoji, 2012. "Long Run Productivity Risk and Aggregate Investment," Working Paper Series, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics 2012-14, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics.
  99. Gonzalez, Liliana & Powell, John G. & Shi, Jing & Wilson, Antony, 2005. "Two centuries of bull and bear market cycles," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 14(4), pages 469-486.
  100. Bracke, Philippe, 2013. "How long do housing cycles last? A duration analysis for 19 OECD countries," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 213-230.
  101. Adrian Pagan & Don Harding, 2011. "Econometric Analysis and Prediction of Recurrent Events," NCER Working Paper Series, National Centre for Econometric Research 75, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  102. Layton, Allan P. & Katsuura, Masaki, 2001. "Comparison of regime switching, probit and logit models in dating and forecasting US business cycles," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 403-417.
  103. Jansen, Dennis W. & Tsai, Chun-Li, 2010. "Monetary policy and stock returns: Financing constraints and asymmetries in bull and bear markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 17(5), pages 981-990, December.
  104. Lahiri, Kajal & Yao, Vincent Wenxiong, 2006. "Economic indicators for the US transportation sector," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 40(10), pages 872-887, December.
  105. Harding, Don & Pagan, Adrian, 2002. "Dissecting the cycle: a methodological investigation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 365-381, March.
  106. Francis Bismans & Reynald Majetti, 2013. "Forecasting recessions using financial variables: the French case," Empirical Economics, Springer, Springer, vol. 44(2), pages 419-433, April.
  107. Joao Victor Issler & Hilton Notini & Claudia Rodrigues & Ana Flávia Soares, 2013. "Constructing coincident indices of economic activity for the Latin American economy," Revista Brasileira de Economia, FGV/EPGE Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil), vol. 67(1), pages 67-96, April.
  108. Juergen Bierbaumer-Polly, 2012. "Regional and Sectoral Business Cycles - Key Features for the Austrian economy," EcoMod2012 4074, EcoMod.
  109. Knut Are Aastveit & Anne Sofie Jore & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2014. "Forecasting recessions in real time," Working Paper, Norges Bank 2014/02, Norges Bank.
  110. Pami Dua & Anirvan Banerji, 2011. "Predicting Recessions and Slowdowns: A Robust Approach," Working Papers id:4391, eSocialSciences.
  111. Juliana Dutra Araujo & Grace Bin Li & Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro & Luis-Felipe Zanna, 2013. "Current Account Norms in Natural Resource Rich and Capital Scarce Economies," IMF Working Papers 13/80, International Monetary Fund.
  112. Souleymane DIARRA, 2012. "Effets des Chocs de Produits de Base sur la Mobilisation des Recettes Publiques dans les Pays d'Afrique Sub-saharienne," Working Papers halshs-00658482, HAL.
  113. Camacho, Maximo & Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel & Sáiz Matute, Lorena, 2005. "Are European Business Cycles Close Enough to be Just One?," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 4824, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  114. Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Oskamp, Frank & Scheide, Joachim, 2007. "Deutsche Konjunktur: Aufschwungskräfte behalten die Oberhand," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) 4095, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  115. Harun Alp & Yusuf Soner Baskaya & Mustafa Kilinc & Canan Yuksel, 2011. "Turkiye Icin Hodrick-Prescott Filtresi Duzgunlestirme Parametresi Tahmini," CBT Research Notes in Economics, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey 1103, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  116. Fatma Pinar Erdem & Erdal Ozmen, 2014. "Exchange Rate Regimes and Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation," ERC Working Papers, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University 1404, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Jun 2014.
  117. Harding, Don & Pagan, Adrian, 2006. "Synchronization of cycles," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 59-79, May.
  118. Simkins, Scott, 1995. "Forecasting with vector autoregressive (VAR) models subject to business cycle restrictions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 569-583, December.
  119. Rachel Male, 2010. "Developing Country Business Cycles: Characterising the Cycle," Working Papers, Queen Mary, University of London, School of Economics and Finance 663, Queen Mary, University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
  120. Frédérique BEC & Songlin ZENG, 2013. "Do Stock Returns Rebound After Bear Markets? An Empirical Analysis From Five OECD Countries," THEMA Working Papers 2013-21, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
  121. Martti Randveer & Lenno Uusküla & Liina Kulu, 2012. "The impact of private debt on economic growth," Bank of Estonia Working Papers, Bank of Estonia wp2011-10, Bank of Estonia, revised 05 Jan 2012.
  122. Katja Rietzler & Sabine Stephan, 2012. "Monthly recession predictions in real time: A density forecast approach for German industrial production," IMK Working Paper 94-2012, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
  123. Roberta Distante & Ivan Petrella & Emiliano Santoro, 2013. "Asymmetry Reversals and the Business Cycle," Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei 2013.54, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
  124. Bjarni G. Einarsson & Gudjón Emilsson & Svava J. Haraldsdóttir & Thórarinn G. Pétursson & Rósa B. Sveinsdóttir, 2013. "On our own? The Icelandic business cycle in an international context," Economics, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland wp63, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
  125. Jürgen Bierbaumer-Polly, 2012. "Regional Business Cycles in the Austrian Economy," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 85(11), pages 833-848, November.
  126. Terence t. l. Chong & Xiaolei Wang, 2013. "Can analyst predict stock market crashes?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(1), pages 158-166.
  127. Rand, John & Tarp, Finn, 2002. "Business Cycles in Developing Countries: Are They Different?," World Development, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 30(12), pages 2071-2088, December.