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La relación entre los ciclos discretos en la inflación y el crecimiento: Perú 1993-2012
[The relationship between inflation's and growth's discrete cycles: Peru 1993-2012]

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  • Barrera-Chaupis, Carlos

Abstract

We search for evidence against the hypothesis of a non-linear relationship between inflation and growth rates for 1993-2012 Peruvian data. A family of dichotomous models provide the way to model the relationship between the those two variables' cycles. Given the acceleration/de-acceleration phases' persistence, we estimate auto-regressive uni-variate logit models as well as both static and auto-regressive bi-variate probit models. The results suggest the existence of an stochastic relationship between the discrete cycles of inflation and growth rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Barrera-Chaupis, Carlos, 2014. "La relación entre los ciclos discretos en la inflación y el crecimiento: Perú 1993-2012 [The relationship between inflation's and growth's discrete cycles: Peru 1993-2012]," MPRA Paper 60959, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:60959
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    time series models; discrete regression; logit model; construction and evaluation of models; prediction; business fluctuations;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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