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Las entidades financieras a lo largo del ciclo de negocios: ¿está el ciclo financiero sincronizado con el ciclo de negocios?

Author

Listed:
  • Fernando Arias Rodríguez

    (Banco de la Republica de Colombia)

  • Celina Gaitán Maldonado

    (Banco de la Republica de Colombia)

  • Johanna López Velandia

    (Banco de la Republica de Colombia)

Abstract

A partir de estados financieros de bancos y entidades asociadas se propone una cronología del ciclo financiero para Colombia, desde 1990 hasta mediados del año 2013, y se evalúa su interacción con el ciclo de negocios propuesto por Alfonso, Arango, Arias, Cangrejo y Pulido (2012). Se usan 2 acercamientos: el primero basado en reglas (Bry y Boschan, 1971, e índices de difusión) y el segundo fundamentado en la información contenida en los datos (Novelty Detection). Se encuentra evidencia que apoya la idea de una sincronización entre el ciclo financiero y el de negocios, aunque las cronologías y demás características de cada uno dependen directamente de la definición y del enfoque del ciclo que se adopten.

Suggested Citation

  • Fernando Arias Rodríguez & Celina Gaitán Maldonado & Johanna López Velandia, 2014. "Las entidades financieras a lo largo del ciclo de negocios: ¿está el ciclo financiero sincronizado con el ciclo de negocios?," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 32(75), pages 28-40, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdr:ensayo:v:32:y:2014:i:75:p:28-40
    DOI: 10.1016/j.espe.2014.09.001
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    2. Jorge Mario Uribe & Inés María Ulloa & Johanna Perea, 2015. "Reference financial cycle in Colombia," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 83, pages 33-62, Julio - D.
    3. Santander Quino, Camila Miriam, 2022. "Ciclos económicos y financieros: Una aproximación empírica para Bolivia," Documentos de trabajo 1/2022, Instituto de Investigaciones Socio-Económicas (IISEC), Universidad Católica Boliviana.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Ciclo de negocios; Ciclos financieros; Bry-Boschan; Novelty detection; Indicadores financieros;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • C38 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Classification Methdos; Cluster Analysis; Principal Components; Factor Analysis
    • C43 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Index Numbers and Aggregation

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