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Will Business Cycles In The Euro Area Converge? A Critical Survey Of Empirical Research

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Author Info
Jakob de Haan
Robert Inklaar
Richard Jong-A-Pin

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Abstract

This survey of business cycle synchronization in the European monetary union focuses on two issues: have business cycles become more similar, and which factors drive business cycle synchronization. We conclude that business cycles in the euro area have gone through periods of both convergence and divergence. Still, there is quite some evidence that during the 1990s business cycle synchronization in the euro area has increased. Higher trade intensity is found to lead to more synchronization, but the point estimates vary widely. The evidence for other factors affecting business cycle synchronization is very mixed. Copyright 2007 The Authors. Journal compilation © 2007 Blackwell Publishing Ltd.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Journal of Economic Surveys.

Volume (Year): 22 (2008)
Issue (Month): 2 (04)
Pages: 234-273
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jecsur:v:22:y:2008:i:2:p:234-273

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  1. Mark Mink & Jan P.A.M. Jacobs & Jakob de Haan, 2007. "Measuring Synchronicity And Co-Movement Of Business Cycles With An Application To The Euro Area," CAMA Working Papers 2007-19, Australian National University, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis. [Downloadable!]
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  2. João Loureiro & Manuel M. F. Martins & Ana Paula Ribeiro, 2009. "Cape Verde: The Case for Euroization," FEP Working Papers 317, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto. [Downloadable!]
  3. Darné, O. & Ferrara, L., 2009. "Identification of slowdowns and accelerations for the euro area economy," Documents de Travail 239, Banque de France. [Downloadable!]
  4. Herbert Buscher & Hubert Gabrisch, 2009. "Is the European Monetary Union an Endogenous Currency Area? The Example of the Labor Markets," IWH Discussion Papers 7-09, Halle Institute for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
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