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Exchange rate and inflation dynamics in dollarized economies

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Author Info
Carranza, Luis
Galdon-Sanchez, Jose E.
Gomez-Biscarri, Javier

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Abstract

We use a panel of a hundred-plus countries with differing degrees of dollarization to perform an empirical analysis of the effects on inflation of exchange rate depreciations. The results qualify the common view that countries with higher dollarization exhibit higher inflation pass-through. We show that large depreciations tend to generate a negative impact on the pass-through coefficient, this impact being more intense the higher the level of dollarization of the economy. We interpret this as evidence that, in highly dollarized economies, the classic inflationary effects of a real depreciation--higher internal demand and imported inflation--can be offset or diminished by both the larger financial costs and the balance-sheet effect, especially if the depreciation is "large". Additionally, the exchange rate regime is shown to matter: countries with fixed exchange rates suffer more noticeably the balance-sheet effects of large depreciations.

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File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6VBV-4ST3YNK-3/2/f4a922749e0495e780973a5aa4df2dfc
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Development Economics.

Volume (Year): 89 (2009)
Issue (Month): 1 (May)
Pages: 98-108
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Handle: RePEc:eee:deveco:v:89:y:2009:i:1:p:98-108

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Related research
Keywords: Inflation pass-through Dollarization Balance-sheet effect Developing economies;

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References listed on IDEAS
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  5. Aghion, Philippe & Bacchetta, Philippe & Banerjee, Abhijit, 2001. "Currency crises and monetary policy in an economy with credit constraints," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 45(7), pages 1121-1150. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. Luis Felipe Cespedes & Roberto Chang & Andres Velasco, 2000. "Balance Sheets and Exchange Rate Policy," NBER Working Papers 7840, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  13. Luis Carranza & Juan M. Cayo & José E. Galdón-Sánchez, 2003. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Economic Performance in Peru: A Firm Level Analysis," Faculty Working Papers 12/03, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra. [Downloadable!]
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  1. Luis Carranza & José Enrique Galdón Sánchez & Javier Gómez Biscarri, . "The relationship between investment and large exchange rate depreciations in dollarized economies," Faculty Working Papers 01/08, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra. [Downloadable!]
  2. Adrián Armas & Francisco Grippa, 2005. "Fijación de metas inflacionarias en una economía dolarizada: la experiencia de Perú," RES Working Papers 4424, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  3. Jeffrey A. Frankel & David C. Parsley & Shang-Jin Wei, 2005. "Slow Passthrough Around the World: A New Import for Developing Countries?," NBER Working Papers 11199, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Saki Bigio & Jorge Salas, 2006. "Non-Linear Effects of Monetary Policy and Real Exchange Rate Shocks in Partially Dollarized Economies: An Empirical Study for Peru," Working Papers 2006-008, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú. [Downloadable!]
  5. Alain Ize & Eduardo Levy Yeyati, 2005. "Financial De-Dollarization: Is It for Real?," IMF Working Papers 05/187, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Coricelli, Fabrizio & Égert, Balázs & MacDonald, Ronald, 2006. "Monetary transmission mechanism in Central and Eastern Europe: Gliding on a wind of change," BOFIT Discussion Papers 8/2006, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition. [Downloadable!]
  7. Luis Carranza & José Enrique Galdón Sánchez & Javier Gómez Biscarri, . "Understanding the Relationship between Financial Development and Monetary Policy," Faculty Working Papers 14/06, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra. [Downloadable!]
  8. Adrián Armas & Francisco Grippa, 2005. "Targeting Inflation in a Dollarized Economy: The Peruvian Experience," RES Working Papers 4423, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  9. Naa Akofio-Sowah, 2009. "Is There a Link Between Exchange Rate Pass-Through and the Monetary Regime: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 296-309, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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