This file is part of IDEAS , which uses RePEc data
[ Papers |
Articles |
Software |
Books |
Chapters |
Authors |
Institutions |
JEL Classification |
NEP reports |
Search |
New papers by email |
Author registration |
Rankings |
Volunteers |
FAQ |
Blog |
Help! ]
The myth of co-moving commodity prices Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Paul Cashin
C John McDermott
Alasdair Scott (Reserve Bank of New Zealand )
Additional information is available for the following
registered author(s):
There is a common perception that the prices of unrelated commodities move together. This paper re-examines this notion, using a measure of co-movement of economic time series called concordance. Concordance measures the proportion of time that the prices of two commodities are concurrently in the same boom period or same slump period. Using data on the prices of several unrelated commodities, the paper finds no evidence of co-movement in commodity prices. The results carry an important policy implication, as the study provides no support for earlier claims of irrational trading behaviour by participants in world commodity markets.
To download:
If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the
proper application to
view it first. Information about this may be contained
in the File-Format links below. In case of further problems read
the IDEAS help
page . Note that these files are not on the IDEAS
site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
Paper provided by Reserve Bank of New Zealand in its series Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series with number
G99/9.
Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML
(with abstract ),
plain text
(with abstract ),
BibTeX ,
RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite),
ReDIF
Length: 19p
Date of creation: Dec 1999Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:nzb:nzbdps:1999/09Contact details of provider: Postal: P.O. Box 2498, Wellington Phone: 64 4 471-3767 Fax: 64 4 471-2270 Email: Web page: http://www.rbnz.govt.nz More information through EDIRC
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: (Reserve Bank of New Zealand Knowledge Centre).
Keywords: Other versions of this item:
Find related papers by JEL classification: E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles Q11 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices O13 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
Pindyck, Robert S & Rotemberg, Julio J, 1990.
"The Excess Co-movement of Commodity Prices ,"
Economic Journal ,
Royal Economic Society, vol. 100(403), pages 1173-89, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Robert S. Pindyck & Julio J. Rotemberg, 1988.
"The Excess Co-Movement of Commodity Prices ,"
NBER Working Papers
2671, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Pindyck, Robert S. & Rotemberg, Julio., 1987.
"The excess co-movement of commodity prices ,"
Working papers
1969-87., Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Sloan School of Management.
[Downloadable!] C John McDermott & Alasdair Scott, 1999.
"Concordance in business cycles ,"
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series
G99/7, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Deb, Partha & Trivedi, Pravin K & Varangis, Panayotis, 1996.
"The Excess Co-movement of Commodity Prices Reconsidered ,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 11(3), pages 275-91, May-June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Eric Zivot & Donald W.K. Andrews, 1990.
"Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis ,"
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
944, Cowles Foundation, Yale University.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Zivot, Eric & Andrews, Donald W K, 2002.
"Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit-Root Hypothesis ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 25-44, January.
Zivot, Eric & Andrews, Donald W K, 1992.
"Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit-Root Hypothesis ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 10(3), pages 251-70, July.
Perron, Pierre, 1989.
"The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 57(6), pages 1361-1401, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 1999.
"Dissecting the Cycle ,"
Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series
wp1999n13, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
[Downloadable!]
Paul Cashin & C John McDermott & Alasdair Scott, 1999.
"Booms and slumps in world commodity prices ,"
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series
G99/8, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Paul Cashin & C. John McDermott & Alasdair Scott, 1999.
"Booms and Slumps in World Commodity Prices ,"
IMF Working Papers
99/155, International Monetary Fund.
Cashin, Paul & McDermott, C. John & Scott, Alasdair, 2002.
"Booms and slumps in world commodity prices ,"
Journal of Development Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 69(1), pages 277-296, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Palaskas, Theodosios B. & Varangis, Panos N., 1991.
"Is there excess co-movement of primary commodity prices? A co-integration test ,"
Policy Research Working Paper Series
758, The World Bank.
[Downloadable!]
Full
references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Michael Webb, 2005.
"The conflicting impacts of export fluctuations and diversification programmes ,"
Journal of International Trade & Economic Development ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 14(3), pages 271-280, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Shaun K. Roache & Alexander P. Attie, 2009.
"Inflation Hedging for Long-Term Investors ,"
IMF Working Papers
09/90, International Monetary Fund.
[Downloadable!]
Dehn, Jan, 2000.
"The effects on growth of commodity price uncertainty and shocks ,"
Policy Research Working Paper Series
2455, The World Bank.
[Downloadable!]
Avouyi-Dovi, S. & Kierzenkowski, R. & Lubochinsky, C., 2006.
"Are Business and Credit Cycles Converging or Diverging? A comparison of Poland, Hungary, the Czech Republic and the Euro Area ,"
Documents de Travail
144, Banque de France.
[Downloadable!]
Baffes, John & Gohou, Gaston, 2005.
"The co-movement between cotton and polyester prices ,"
Policy Research Working Paper Series
3534, The World Bank.
[Downloadable!]
Avouyi-Dovi, S. & Matheron, J., 2005.
"Interactions between Business Cycles, stock Market Cycles and Interest Rates: the Stylised Facts ,"
Documents de Travail
121, Banque de France.
[Downloadable!]
Moledina, Amyaz & Roe, Terry L. & Shane, Mathew, 2004.
"Measuring Commodity Price Volatility And The Welfare Consequences Of Eliminating Volatility ,"
2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO
19963, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
[Downloadable!]
Serge Calabre, 2003.
"La dynamique des prix et des marchés de matières premières : analyses univariées versus faits stylisés analytiques ,"
Mondes en développement ,
De Boeck Université, vol. 122(2), pages 21-35.
[Downloadable!]
Walter C. Labys, 2003.
"New Directions in the Modeling and Forecasting of Commodity Markets ,"
Mondes en développement ,
De Boeck Université, vol. 122(2), pages 3-19.
[Downloadable!]
Sharon McCaw & C John McDermott, 2000.
"How New Zealand adjusts to macroeconomic shocks: implications for joining a currency area ,"
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin ,
Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 63, March.
[Downloadable!]
Access and
download statistics Did you know? All top Economics journals are listed on RePEc .
This page was last updated on 2009-11-28.
This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Department of Economics , College of Liberal Arts and Sciences , University of Connecticut using RePEc data on a server sponsored by the Society for Economic Dynamics .