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Björn van Roye
(Bjoern van Roye)

Citations

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Working papers

  1. van Roye, Björn & Floro, Danvee, 2017. "Threshold effects of financial stress on monetary policy rules: a panel data analysis," Working Paper Series 2042, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Sinem Hacioglu Hoke & George Kapetanios, 2017. "Common correlated effect cross-sectional dependence corrections for non-linear conditional mean panel models," Bank of England working papers 683, Bank of England.
    2. Kassouri, Yacouba, 2022. "Fiscal decentralization and public budgets for energy RD&D: A race to the bottom?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    3. Kassouri, Yacouba, 2024. "The labor market impact of inflation uncertainty: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1514-1528.
    4. Dibooglu, Sel & Erdogan, Seyfettin & Yildirim, Durmus Cagri & Cevik, Emrah Ismail, 2020. "Financial conditions and monetary policy in the US," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(4).
    5. Isaac Ofoeda & John Kwaku Mensah Mawutor & Barbara Deladem Mensah & Simplice A. Asongu, 2024. "Role of Institutional Quality in Green Technology-Carbon Emissions Nexus," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(4), pages 18019-18043, December.
    6. Asafo-Agyei, George & Kodongo, Odongo, 2022. "Foreign direct investment and economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: A nonlinear analysis," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(4).
    7. Marina Yu. Malkina & Rodion V. Balakin, 2023. "The Relation of Financial and Industrial Stresses to Monetary Policy Parameters in the Russian Economy," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 3, pages 104-121, June.
    8. Zhang, Hongwei & Wang, Peijin, 2021. "Does Bitcoin or gold react to financial stress alike? Evidence from the U.S. and China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 629-648.
    9. Ozcelebi, Oguzhan, 2020. "Assessing the impacts of financial stress index of developed countries on the exchange market pressure index of emerging countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 288-302.
    10. Feng, Guohua & Peng, Bin & Su, Liangjun & Yang, Thomas Tao, 2019. "Semi-parametric single-index panel data models with interactive fixed effects: Theory and practice," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(2), pages 607-622.
    11. Sharif, Taimur & Bouteska, Ahmed & Zoynul Abedin, Mohammad & Cotturone, Saulo, 2025. "An enquiry into the monetary policy and stock market shocks in the US," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    12. Mohammad Dulal Miah & Muhammad Shafiullah & Md. Samsul Alam, 2024. "The effect of financial stress on renewable energy consumption: evidence from US data," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(10), pages 26623-26646, October.

  2. Sofiane Aboura & Björn van Roye, 2017. "Financial stress and economic dynamics: An application to France," Working Papers hal-01526393, HAL.

    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Guojin & Liu, Yanzhen & Zhang, Yu, 2020. "Can systemic risk measures predict economic shocks? Evidence from China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    2. Frauke Schleer & Willi Semmler, 2014. "Financial Sector and Output Dynamics in the Euro Area: Non-linearities Reconsidered," SCEPA working paper series. 2014-5, Schwartz Center for Economic Policy Analysis (SCEPA), The New School.
    3. Ngene, Geoffrey M. & Tah, Kenneth A., 2023. "How are policy uncertainty, real economy, and financial sector connected?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    4. Zada, Hassan & Khan, Naveed & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Ghardallou, Wafa, 2025. "Portfolio diversification amid economic uncertainty in Pakistan: empirical evidence from the quantile-on-quantile approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    5. Alsamara, Mouyad & Mrabet, Zouhair & Jarallah, Shaif & Barkat, Karim, 2019. "The switching impact of financial stability and economic growth in Qatar: Evidence from an oil-rich country," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 205-216.
    6. Kondoz, Mehmet & Kirikkaleli, Dervis & Athari, Seyed Alireza, 2021. "Time-frequency dependencies of financial and economic risks in South American countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 170-181.
    7. Theshne Kisten, 2023. "Macro-financial implications of public debt in South Africa: The role of financial regimes," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2023-76, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    8. Schleer, Frauke & Semmler, Willi, 2014. "Financial sector-output dynamics in the euro area: Non-linearities reconsidered," ZEW Discussion Papers 13-068 [rev.], ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    9. Anca Mihaela COPACIU & Alexandra HOROBET, 2022. "Spillovers in the Presence of Financial Stress – An Application to Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 29-43, April.
    10. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Theshne Kisten, 2020. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks in South Africa: The Role of Financial Regimes," Working Papers 202046, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Mikhail Stolbov & Alexander Karminsky & Maria Shchepeleva, 2018. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Lead Systemic Risk? A Comparative Analysis of Selected European Countries," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 60(3), pages 332-360, September.
    12. Haddou, Samira, 2022. "International financial stress spillovers to bank lending: Do internal characteristics matter?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    13. Helena Ahulu & John MacCarthy & Paul Muda, 2021. "Financial Stability and Economic Growth Nexus: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa using Panel Data," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 11(4), pages 11-18.
    14. Bonciani, Dario & van Roye, Björn, 2013. "Uncertainty shocks, banking frictions, and economic activity," Kiel Working Papers 1843, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    15. Giampaoli, Noemi & Cucculelli, Marco & Sullo, Valerio, 2024. "Business and financial cycle across regimes: Does financial stress matter?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    16. Mansour Ishrakieh, Layal & Dagher, Leila & El Hariri, Sadika, 2018. "The Institute of Financial Economics Financial Stress Index (IFEFSI) for Lebanon," MPRA Paper 116054, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Begüm Yurteri Kösedağlı & A. Özlem Önder, 2021. "Determinants of financial stress in emerging market economies: Are spatial effects important?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 4653-4669, July.
    18. Tai-Hock Kuek & Chin-Hong Puah & M. Affendy Arip, 2019. "Predicting Financial Vulnerability in Malaysia: Evidence From the Signals Approach," Research in World Economy, Research in World Economy, Sciedu Press, vol. 10(3), pages 89-98, December.
    19. Mikhail Stolbov & Maria Shchepeleva, 2021. "Macrofinancial linkages in Europe: Evidence from quantile local projections," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5557-5569, October.
    20. Stona, Filipe & Morais, Igor A.C. & Triches, Divanildo, 2018. "Economic dynamics during periods of financial stress: Evidences from Brazil," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 130-144.
    21. Panagiota Makrychoriti & Fotios Pasiouras & Menelaos Tasiou, 2022. "Financial stress and economic growth: The moderating role of trust," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 75(1), pages 48-74, February.
    22. Dovern, Jonas & van Roye, Björn, 2013. "International transmission of financial stress: Evidence from a GVAR," Kiel Working Papers 1844, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    23. Hayet Soltani & Mouna Boujelbène Abbes, 2025. "Regime-Specific Spillover Effects Between Financial Stress, GCC Stock Markets, Brent Crude Oil, and the Gold Market," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 16(2), pages 8840-8866, June.
    24. Apostolakis, George N. & Floros, Christos & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Wohar, Mark, 2021. "Financial stress, economic policy uncertainty, and oil price uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    25. Tai-Hock Kuek & Chin-Hong Puah & M. Affendy Arip, 2020. "Financial Vulnerability and Economic Dynamics in Malaysia," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 9(special i), pages 55-73.
    26. Baneng Naape & Bekithemba Qeqe, 2022. "How Does Financial Market Stress Respond to Shocks in Global Economic Activity and Exchange Rate Stability? A Structural VAR Approach," Eurasian Journal of Social Sciences, Eurasian Publications, vol. 10(1), pages 25-36.
    27. Andisheh Saliminezhad & Pejman Bahramian, 2021. "The role of financial stress in the economic activity: Fresh evidence from a Granger‐causality in quantiles analysis for the UK and Germany," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 1670-1680, April.
    28. Fu, Zheng & Chen, Zhiguo & Sharif, Arshian & Razi, Ummara, 2022. "The role of financial stress, oil, gold and natural gas prices on clean energy stocks: Global evidence from extreme quantile approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    29. José Pedro Bastos Neves & Willi Semmler, 2022. "Credit, output and financial stress: A non‐linear LVSTAR application to Brazil," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(3), pages 900-923, July.
    30. Schrader, Klaus & Bencek, David & Laaser, Claus-Friedrich, 2013. "IfW-Krisencheck: Alles wieder gut in Griechenland?," Kiel Discussion Papers 522/523, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    31. Dovern, Jonas & van Roye, Björn, 2014. "International transmission and business-cycle effects of financial stress," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 1-17.
    32. Mansour Ishrakieh, Layal & Dagher, Leila & El Hariri, Sadika, 2019. "A Financial Stress Index for a Highly Dollarized Developing Country: The Case of Lebanon," MPRA Paper 116083, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    33. Ozcelebi, Oguzhan, 2020. "Assessing the impacts of financial stress index of developed countries on the exchange market pressure index of emerging countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 288-302.
    34. Tan, Sook-Rei & Li, Changtai & Yeap, Xiu Wei, 2022. "A time-varying copula approach for constructing a daily financial systemic stress index," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    35. Tran, Thuy Nhung, 2022. "The Volatility of the Stock Market and Financial Cycle: GARCH Family Models," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 56(1), pages 151-168.
    36. Manfred Kremer, 2016. "Macroeconomic effects of financial stress and the role of monetary policy: a VAR analysis for the euro area," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 105-138, January.
    37. Nadri, Kamran & Ebrahimi, Sajad & Fadaie, Abbas, 2018. "An Investigation of Co-Movement of Financial Stability Index with Macro-Prudential Indicator through Wavelet Analysis," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 13(2), pages 125-151, April.
    38. Yingdong Wang & Wenzhi Xi, 2025. "Measurement and Early Warning of Systemic Financial Risk in China: Markov Switching Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 66(6), pages 5083-5111, December.
    39. Aleh Mazol, 2019. "The Influence of Financial Stress on Economic Activity and Monetary Policy in Belarus," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 44(2), pages 49-75, June.
    40. Jayantee SAHOO, 2020. "Financial stress index, growth and price stability in India: Some recent evidence," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(1(622), S), pages 105-124, Spring.
    41. Mansour-Ichrakieh, Layal & Zeaiter, Hussein, 2019. "The role of geopolitical risks on the Turkish economy opportunity or threat," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).

  3. Dieppe, Alistair & Georgiadis, Georgios & Ricci, Martino & Van Robays, Ine & van Roye, Björn, 2017. "ECB-Global: introducing ECB's global macroeconomic model for spillover analysis," Working Paper Series 2045, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Mariam Camarero & Josep Lluís Carrión-i-Silvestre & Cecilio Tamarit, 2020. "External imbalances from a GVAR perspective," Working Papers 2005, Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia.
    2. Kollmann, Robert & Giovannini, Massimo & Hohberger, Stefan & Ratto, Marco & Roeger, Werner & Vogel, Lukas, 2018. "Euro Area and U.S. External Adjustment: The Role of Commodity Prices and Emerging Market Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 13141, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. CHAFIK, Omar, 2018. "Financial cycle and conduct of monetary policy: theory and empirical evidence," MPRA Paper 88995, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. CHAFIK, Omar, 2018. "Financial cycle and conduct of monetary policy: The amplifier/divider theory," MPRA Paper 89170, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Ca' Zorzi, Michele & Dedola, Luca & Georgiadis, Georgios & Jarociński, Marek & Stracca, Livio & Strasser, Georg, 2020. "Monetary policy and its transmission in a globalised world," Working Paper Series 2407, European Central Bank.
    6. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Luiz A. Pereira da Silva, 2022. "Financial spillovers, spillbacks, and the scope for international macroprudential policy coordination," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 79-127, February.
    7. Georgiadis, Georgios & Mösle, Saskia, 2019. "Introducing dominant currency pricing in the ECB's global macroeconomic model," Kiel Working Papers 2136, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    8. Albonico, Alice & Calés, Ludovic & Cardani, Roberta & Croitorov, Olga & Ferroni, Filippo & Giovannini, Massimo & Hohberger, Stefan & Pataracchia, Beatrice & Pericoli, Filippo Maria & Raciborski, Rafal, 2019. "Comparing post-crisis dynamics across Euro Area countries with the Global Multi-country model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 242-273.
    9. Mr. Iaroslav Miller & Daniel Baksa & Mr. Philippe D Karam & Tugrul Vehbi, 2024. "G3MOD: A Multi-Country Global Forecasting Model," IMF Working Papers 2024/254, International Monetary Fund.
    10. Alice Albonico & Ludovic Calés & Roberta Cardani & Olga Croitorov & Fabio Di Dio & Filippo Ferroni & Massimo Giovannini & Stefan Hohberger & Beatrice Pataracchia & Filippo Pericoli & Philipp Pfeiffer , 2019. "The Global Multi-Country Model (GM): An Estimated DSGE Model for Euro Area Countries," European Economy - Discussion Papers 102, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    11. Georgiadis, Georgios & Hildebrand, Sebastian & Ricci, Martino & Schumann, Ben & van Roye, Björn, 2021. "ECB-Global 2.0: a global macroeconomic model with dominant-currency pricing, tariffs and trade diversion," Working Paper Series 2530, European Central Bank.
    12. Shahriyar Aliyev & Evžen Kočenda, 2023. "ECB monetary policy and commodity prices," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(1), pages 274-304, February.
    13. Naohisa Hirakata & Kazutoshi Kan & Akihiro Kanafuji & Yosuke Kido & Yui Kishaba & Tomonori Murakoshi & Takeshi Shinohara, 2019. "The Quarterly Japanese Economic Model (Q-JEM): 2019 version," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 19-E-7, Bank of Japan.
    14. Luigi Bonatti & Andrea Fracasso & Roberto Tamborini, 2021. "Monetary and Fiscal Spillovers Across the Atlantic: The Role of Financial Markets," DEM Working Papers 2021/09, Department of Economics and Management.
    15. Dieppe, Alistair & Georgiadis, Georgios & Ricci, Martino & Van Robays, Ine & van Roye, Björn, 2018. "ECB-Global: Introducing the ECB's global macroeconomic model for spillover analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 78-98.
    16. Omar Chafik, 2020. "The amplifier/divider mechanism of the financial cycle," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 363-380, May.

  4. Dieppe, Alistair & van Roye, Björn & Legrand, Romain, 2016. "The BEAR toolbox," Working Paper Series 1934, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Irma Alonso & Pedro Serrano & Antoni Vaello-Sebastià, 2021. "The impact of heterogeneous unconventional monetary policies on the expectations of market crashes," Working Papers 2127, Banco de España.
    2. Ly Dai Hung, 2021. "Output-inflation Trade-off in the Presence of Foreign Capital: Evidence for Vietnam," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 10(2), pages 179-192, December.
    3. Mahmut Çelik & Ayla Oğuş Binatlı, 2022. "How Effective Are Macroprudential Policy Instruments? Evidence from Turkey," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-17, March.
    4. Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2020. "Efficient selection of hyperparameters in large Bayesian VARs using automatic differentiation," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 934-943, September.
    5. Erten Bilge & Tuzcuoglu Kerem, 2018. "Output Effects of Global Food Commodity Shocks," Journal of Globalization and Development, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-18, June.
    6. Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell, 2018. "UK Regional Nowcasting using a Mixed Frequency Vector Autoregressive Model," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2018-07, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
    7. Christoffel, Kai & de Groot, Oliver & Mazelis, Falk & Montes-Galdón, Carlos, 2020. "Using forecast-augmented VAR evidence to dampen the forward guidance puzzle," Working Paper Series 2495, European Central Bank.
    8. Comunale, Mariarosaria, 2017. "A panel VAR analysis of macro-financial imbalances in the EU," Working Paper Series 2026, European Central Bank.
    9. Pham, Binh Thai & Sala, Hector, 2019. "Government Deficit Shocks and Okun's Coefficient Volatility: New Insights on the Austerity versus Growth Debate," IZA Discussion Papers 12492, IZA Network @ LISER.
    10. Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Aubrey Poon, 2019. "Variational Bayesian Inference in Large Vector Autoregressions with Hierarchical Shrinkage," CAMA Working Papers 2019-08, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    11. Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018. "Bayesian vector autoregressions," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 87393, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    12. Grzegorz Wesołowski, 2021. "Monetary Policy and House Price Volatility," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 13(4), pages 359-379, December.
    13. Mirela Miescu, 2019. "Uncertainty shocks in emerging economies," Working Papers 277077821, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
    14. Georgios Magkonis & Simon Rudkin, 2019. "Does Trilemma Speak Chinese?," Working Papers in Economics & Finance 2019-01, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth Business School, Economics and Finance Subject Group.
    15. Andrejs Zlobins, 2019. "Country-Level Effects of the ECB's Expanded Asset Purchase Programme," Working Papers 2019/02, Latvijas Banka.
    16. Erzsébet Éva Nagy & Veronika Tengely, 2018. "The external and domestic drivers of inflation: the case study of Hungary," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Globalisation and deglobalisation, volume 100, pages 149-172, Bank for International Settlements.
    17. Tobias S. Blattner & Michael A. S. Joyce, 2020. "The Euro Area Bond Free Float and the Implications for QE," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(6), pages 1361-1395, September.
    18. Małgorzata Skibińska, 2017. "Transmission of monetary policy and exchange rate shocks under foreign currency lending," KAE Working Papers 2017-027, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
    19. García-Albán, Freddy & Gonzalez-Astudillo, Manuel & Vera-Albán, Cristhian, 2020. "Good Luck or Good Policy? An Analysis of the Effects of Oil Revenue and Fiscal Policy Shocks: The Case of Ecuador," MPRA Paper 102592, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Mikhail Stolbov & Alexander Karminsky & Maria Shchepeleva, 2018. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Lead Systemic Risk? A Comparative Analysis of Selected European Countries," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 60(3), pages 332-360, September.
    21. Lozej, Matija & Onorante, Luca & Rannenberg, Ansgar, 2018. "Countercyclical capital regulation in a small open economy DSGE model," Working Paper Series 2144, European Central Bank.
    22. Marcin Kolasa & Michał Rubaszek, 2018. "Does the foreign sector help forecast domestic variables in DSGE models?," NBP Working Papers 282, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    23. Amat Adarov, 2019. "Financial Cycles in Europe: Dynamics, Synchronicity and Implications for Business Cycles and Macroeconomic Imbalances," wiiw Working Papers 166, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
    24. Julius Stakenas, 2018. "Slicing up inflation: analysis and forecasting of Lithuanian inflation components," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 56, Bank of Lithuania.
    25. Santiago Camara, 2021. "Spillovers of US Interest Rates: Monetary Policy & Information Effects," Papers 2111.08631, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2023.
    26. Moder, Isabella, 2017. "Spillovers from the ECB's non-standard monetary policy measures on south-eastern Europe," Working Paper Series 2095, European Central Bank.
    27. Joshua C. C. Chan, 2021. "Asymmetric Conjugate Priors for Large Bayesian VARs," Papers 2111.07170, arXiv.org.
    28. Nivín, Rafael & Pérez, Fernando, 2019. "Estimación de un Índice de Condiciones Financieras para el Perú," Working Papers 2019-006, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    29. Nelimarkka, Jaakko & Laine, Olli-Matti, 2021. "The effects of the ECB's pandemic-related monetary policy measures," BoF Economics Review 4/2021, Bank of Finland.
    30. Georgios Magkonis & Anastasia Theofilakou, 2019. "Transmission of sectoral debt shocks in OECD countries: Evidence from the income channel," Working Papers in Economics & Finance 2019-02, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth Business School, Economics and Finance Subject Group.
    31. Georgios Georgiadis & Ben Schumann, 2019. "Dominant-Currency Pricing and the Global Output Spillovers from U.S. Dollar Appreciation," Globalization Institute Working Papers 368, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    32. Rachatar Nilavongse & Michał Rubaszek & Karsten Staehr & Gazi Salah Uddin, 2021. "Foreign and Domestic Uncertainty Shocks in Four Open Economies," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 32(5), pages 933-954, November.
    33. Pedro Costa Ferreira & Raíra Marotta B. Vieira & Felipi Bruno Silva & Ingrid C. L. Oliveira, 2019. "Measuring Brazilian Economic Uncertainty," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 15(1), pages 25-40, April.
    34. Francesco Simone Lucidi, 2021. "The Misalignment of Fiscal Multipliers in Italian Regions," Working Papers in Public Economics 204, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Rome.
    35. Blattner, Tobias Sebastian & Joyce, Michael A. S., 2016. "Net debt supply shocks in the euro area and the implications for QE," Working Paper Series 1957, European Central Bank.
    36. Andrejs Zlobins, 2019. "Macroeconomic Effects of the ECB's Forward Guidance," Working Papers 2019/03, Latvijas Banka.
    37. Syarifuddin, Ferry, 2020. "Macroeconomic Consequences of Foreign Exchange Futures Market for Inflation Targeting Economies," MPRA Paper 104810, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    38. Michal Franta, 2018. "The Likelihood of Effective Lower Bound Events," Working Papers 2018/3, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    39. Ángel Estrada & Luis Guirola & Iván Kataryniuk & Jaime Martínez-Martín, 2020. "The use of BVARs in the analysis of emerging economies," Occasional Papers 2001, Banco de España.
    40. Niels Gilbert & Sebastiaan Pool, 2020. "Sectoral allocation and macroeconomic imbalances in EMU," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 156(4), pages 945-984, November.
    41. Walerych, Małgorzata & Wesołowski, Grzegorz, 2021. "Fed and ECB monetary policy spillovers to Emerging Market Economies," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    42. Olli Palm'en, 2020. "Sovereign Default Risk and Credit Supply: Evidence from the Euro Area," Papers 2006.03592, arXiv.org.
    43. Dimitrios P. Louzis, 2019. "Steady‐state modeling and macroeconomic forecasting quality," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(2), pages 285-314, March.
    44. Michael Ryan, 2020. "An Anchor in Stormy Seas: Does Reforming Economic Institutions Reduce Uncertainty? Evidence from New Zealand," Working Papers in Economics 20/11, University of Waikato.
    45. David Finck & Peter Tillmann, 2019. "The Role of Global and Domestic Shocks for In flation Dynamics: Evidence from Asia," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201904, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    46. Erik Andres-Escayola & Juan Carlos Berganza & Rodolfo Campos & Luis Molina, 2021. "A BVAR toolkit to assess macrofinancial risks in Brazil and Mexico," Occasional Papers 2114, Banco de España.
    47. Walerych, Małgorzata & Wesołowski, Grzegorz, 2020. "When the Fed sneezes, the whole world catches the cold, when the ECB - only Europe," MPRA Paper 100899, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    48. Iñaki Aldasoro & Robert Unger, 2017. "External financing and economic activity in the euro area - why are bank loans special?," BIS Working Papers 622, Bank for International Settlements.
    49. Nadiia Shapovalenko, 2021. "A BVAR Model for Forecasting Ukrainian Inflation," IHEID Working Papers 05-2021, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    50. Ca’ Zorzi, Michele & Kolasa, Marcin & Rubaszek, Michał, 2017. "Exchange rate forecasting with DSGE models," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 127-146.
    51. Śmiech, Sławomir & Papież, Monika & Rubaszek, Michał & Snarska, Małgorzata, 2021. "The role of oil price uncertainty shocks on oil-exporting countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    52. Mali Chivakul & Bernhard Kassner, 2019. "Can Consumption Growth in China Keep Up as Investment Slows?," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 61(3), pages 381-412, September.
    53. Anna Sznajderska & Mariusz Kapuściński, 2020. "Macroeconomic spillover effects of the Chinese economy," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(4), pages 992-1019, September.
    54. Anastasios Evgenidis & Masashige Hamano & Wessel N. Vermeulen, 2020. "Economic consequences of follow-up disasters: lessons from the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake," Working Papers e152, Tokyo Center for Economic Research.
    55. Nikolay Hristov & Oliver Hülsewig & Johann Scharler, 2020. "Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks in the Euro Area and the Sovereign-Bank Nexus," CESifo Working Paper Series 8178, CESifo.
    56. Elena Bobeica & Matteo Ciccarelli & Isabel Vansteenkiste, 2019. "The link between labor cost and price inflation in the euro area," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 848, Central Bank of Chile.
    57. Rosenberg, Signe, 2019. "The effects of conventional and unconventional monetary policy on house prices in the Scandinavian countries," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C).
    58. Maximilian Böck & Martin Feldkircher & Burkhard Raunig, 2021. "A View from Outside: Sovereign CDS Volatility as an Indicator of Economic Uncertainty (Maximilian Böck, Martin Feldkircher, Burkhard Raunig)," Working Papers 233, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
    59. Santiago Barraza & Andrea Civelli, 2019. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and the Supply of Business Loans," Working Papers 134, Universidad de San Andres, Departamento de Economia, revised Oct 2019.
    60. Cristina Manteu & Sara Serra, 2017. "Impact of uncertainty measures on the Portuguese economy," Working Papers w201709, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    61. Emmanuel Apergis & Nicholas Apergis, 2021. "The impact of COVID-19 on economic growth: evidence from a Bayesian Panel Vector Autoregressive (BPVAR) model," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(58), pages 6739-6751, December.
    62. Aleksandra Halka & Karol Szafranek, 2017. "Determinants of low inflation in emerging, small open economy. Comparison of aggregated and disaggregated approaches," EcoMod2017 10560, EcoMod.
    63. Bettendorf, Timo & Jochem, Axel, 2021. "What drives the German TARGET balances? Evidence from a BVAR approach," Discussion Papers 12/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    64. Rossi, Jose Luiz & Delmondes de Carvalho Rossi, Marina & Carvalho Cunha, Daniel, 2019. "Transmission of monetary policy through the wealth channel in Brazil: Does the type of asset matter?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 279-293.
    65. Fabio Canova & Filippo Ferroni, 2021. "A Hitchhiker’s Guide to Empirical Macro Models," Working Paper Series WP-2021-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, revised 03 Oct 2021.
    66. Adam Altăr & Matei Nicolae Kubinschi & Alina Zaharia, 2021. "Uncovering the Dynamic Relationship between Credit and Sustainable Economic Growth in Selected CEE Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-19, June.
    67. Nektarios A. Michail & George Thucydides, 2019. "The impact of foreign demand on Cyprus house prices," Cyprus Economic Policy Review, University of Cyprus, Economics Research Centre, vol. 13(2), pages 48-71, December.
    68. Suah, Jing Lian, 2020. "Uncertainty and Exchange Rates: Global Dynamics (Well, I Don't Quite Know Anymore)," MPRA Paper 109087, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    69. Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon, 2018. "Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: More Timely and Higher Frequency Estimates, 1970-2017," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2018-14, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
    70. Michal Franta & Tomas Holub & Branislav Saxa, 2018. "Balance Sheet Implications of the Czech National Bank's Exchange Rate Commitment," Working Papers 2018/10, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    71. Ilias Georgakopoulos, 2019. "Income and wealth inequality in Malta: evidence from micro data," CBM Working Papers WP/03/2019, Central Bank of Malta.
    72. Sebastian Ankargren & M{aa}ns Unosson & Yukai Yang, 2019. "A Flexible Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregression with a Steady-State Prior," Papers 1911.09151, arXiv.org.
    73. David Ronicle, 2022. "Turning in the widening gyre: monetary and fiscal policy in interwar Britain," Bank of England working papers 968, Bank of England.
    74. Gene Ambrocio & Tae-Seok Jang, 2021. "The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Investment in Finland and South Korea," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(3), pages 321-337, December.
    75. Melas Konstantinos D. & Michail Nektarios A. & Louca Kyriaki G., 2025. "Trade Uncertainty, Economic Policy Uncertainty and Shipping Costs," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 26(1), pages 15-33.
    76. MAMATZAKIS, emmanuel & MAMATZAKIS, E, 2022. "Understanding the impact of travel on wellbeing: evidence for Great Britain during the pandemic," MPRA Paper 112974, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    77. Joseph Noss & Rupal Patel, 2019. "Decomposing changes in the functioning of the sterling repo market," Bank of England working papers 797, Bank of England.
    78. Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maximilian Gobel, 2020. "Arctic Amplification of Anthropogenic Forcing: A Vector Autoregressive Analysis," Papers 2005.02535, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
    79. Ly Dai Hung, 2020. "A Macro-Finance Model of Government Bonds Yields in Vietnam," Working Papers hal-03133807, HAL.
    80. Ly Dai Hung, 2021. "Economic Growth with Public and Foreign Investment in Vietnam," Working Papers hal-03241846, HAL.
    81. Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon, 2020. "Regional output growth in the United Kingdom: More timely and higher frequency estimates from 1970," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(2), pages 176-197, March.
    82. Oskar Gustafsson & Mattias Villani & Par Stockhammar, 2020. "Bayesian Optimization of Hyperparameters from Noisy Marginal Likelihood Estimates," Papers 2004.10092, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2022.
    83. Baumann, Ursel & Lodge, David & Miescu, Mirela S., 2019. "Global growth on life support? The contributions of fiscal and monetary policy since the global financial crisis," Working Paper Series 2248, European Central Bank.
    84. Reuben Ellul, 2018. "Forecasting unemployment rates in Malta: A labour market flows approach," CBM Working Papers WP/03/2018, Central Bank of Malta.
    85. Akbar, Muhammad & Iqbal, Farhan & Noor, Farzana, 2019. "Bayesian analysis of dynamic linkages among gold price, stock prices, exchange rate and interest rate in Pakistan," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 154-164.
    86. Kaufmann, Christoph, 2020. "Investment funds, monetary policy, and the global financial cycle," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224573, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    87. Ciccarelli, Matteo & Osbat, Chiara, 2017. "Low inflation in the euro area: Causes and consequences," Occasional Paper Series 181, European Central Bank.
    88. Amat Adarov, 2019. "Dynamic Interactions Between Financial and Macroeconomic Imbalances: A Panel VAR Analysis," wiiw Working Papers 162, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
    89. Anna Sznajderska & Mariusz Kapuściński, 2019. "The spillover effects of Chinese economy on Southeast Asia and Oceania," NBP Working Papers 315, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    90. Hristov, Nikolay & Hülsewig, Oliver & Wollmershäuser, Timo, 2020. "Capital flows in the euro area and TARGET2 balances," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    91. Bańbura, Marta & Albani, Maria & Ambrocio, Gene & Bursian, Dirk & Buss, Ginters & de Winter, Jasper & Gavura, Miroslav & Giordano, Claire & Júlio, Paulo & Le Roux, Julien & Lozej, Matija & Malthe-Thag, 2018. "Business investment in EU countries," Occasional Paper Series 215, European Central Bank.
    92. Ordóñez, Javier & Monfort, Mercedes & Cuestas, Juan Carlos, 2019. "Oil prices, unemployment and the financial crisis in oil-importing countries: The case of Spain," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 625-634.
    93. Iván Kataryniuk & Jaime Martínez-Martín, 2017. "TFP growth and commodity prices in emerging economies," Working Papers 1711, Banco de España.
    94. Valentin Jouvanceau, 2023. "Consumer price rigidity in periods of low and high inflation: the case of Lithuania," Bank of Lithuania Discussion Paper Series 34, Bank of Lithuania.

  5. Bonciani, Dario & van Roye, Björn, 2015. "Uncertainty shocks, banking frictions and economic activity," Working Paper Series 1825, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Gabriela Nodari, 2013. "Financial Regulation Policy Uncertainty and Credit Spreads in the U.S," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0170, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    2. Hristov, Nikolay & Roth, Markus, 2019. "Uncertainty shocks and financial crisis indicators," Discussion Papers 36/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    3. Bonciani, Dario, 2015. "Estimating the effects of uncertainty over the business cycle," MPRA Paper 65921, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Choi, Sangyup & Furceri, Davide & Yoo, Seung Yong, 2024. "Heterogeneity in the effects of uncertainty shocks on labor market dynamics and extensive vs. intensive margins of adjustment," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    5. Dlugoszek, Grzegorz, 2018. "Macroeconomic Effects of Financial Uncertainty," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181596, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    6. Binge, Laurie H. & Boshoff, Willem H., 2020. "Economic uncertainty in South Africa," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 113-131.
    7. Fasani, Stefano & Rossi, Lorenza, 2018. "Are uncertainty shocks aggregate demand shocks?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 142-146.
    8. Meinen, Philipp & Röhe, Oke, 2018. "To sign or not to sign? On the response of prices to financial and uncertainty shocks," Discussion Papers 33/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    9. Barraza, Santiago & Civelli, Andrea, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty and the supply of business loans," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    10. Dario Bonciani & Joonseok Jason Oh, 2019. "The long-run effects of uncertainty shocks," Bank of England working papers 802, Bank of England.
    11. Joonseok Oh, 2020. "The Propagation Of Uncertainty Shocks: Rotemberg Versus Calvo," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 61(3), pages 1097-1113, August.
    12. Grimme, Christian, 2017. "Uncertainty and the Cost of Bank vs. Bond Finance," MPRA Paper 79852, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2022. "Uncertainty Before and During COVID-19: A Survey," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0279, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    14. Iader Giraldo & Carlos Giraldo & Jos� E. Gomez-Gonzalez & Jorge Mario Uribe, 2023. "US uncertainty shocks, credit, production, and prices: The case of fourteen Latin American countries," Documentos de trabajo 20667, FLAR.
    15. Dario Bonciani & Martino Ricci, 2020. "The global effects of global risk and uncertainty," Bank of England working papers 863, Bank of England.
    16. Ganwen Zheng & Songping Zhu, 2021. "Research on the Effectiveness of China’s Macro Control Policy on Output and Technological Progress under Economic Policy Uncertainty," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-18, June.
    17. Xiang, Jingjie & Li, Li, 2022. "Monetary policy uncertainty, debt financing cost and real economic activities: Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1025-1044.
    18. Bas Aarle & Cindy Moons, 2017. "Sentiment and Uncertainty Fluctuations and Their Effects on the Euro Area Business Cycle," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 13(2), pages 225-251, November.
    19. Kıvanç Karaman, K. & Yıldırım-Karaman, Seçil, 2019. "How does financial development alter the impact of uncertainty?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 33-42.
    20. Jiang, Yonghong & He, Luli & Meng, Juan & Nie, He, 2019. "Nonlinear impact of economic policy uncertainty shocks on credit scale: Evidence from China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 521(C), pages 626-634.
    21. Choi, Sangyup, 2017. "Variability in the effects of uncertainty shocks: New stylized facts from OECD countries," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 127-144.
    22. Christian Grimme, 2023. "Uncertainty and the Cost of Bank versus Bond Finance," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(1), pages 143-169, February.
    23. Sangyup Choi & Chansik Yoon, 2019. "Uncertainty, Financial Markets, and Monetary Policy over the Last Century," Working papers 2019rwp-142, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    24. Hristov, Nikolay & Roth, Markus, 2022. "Uncertainty shocks and systemic-risk indicators," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    25. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Gabriela Nodari, 2014. "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in Good and Bad Times," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0188, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    26. Bhanu Pratap & Nalin Priyaranjan, 2023. "Macroeconomic effects of uncertainty: a Google trends-based analysis for India," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(4), pages 1599-1625, October.
    27. Giovanni Pellegrino & Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Caggiano, 2023. "Uncertainty And Monetary Policy During The Great Recession," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 64(2), pages 577-606, May.
    28. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019. "Domestic and Global Uncertainty: A Survey and Some New Results," CESifo Working Paper Series 7900, CESifo.
    29. OH, Joonseok; ROGANTINI PICCO, Anna, 2019. "Macro uncertainty and unemployment risk," Economics Working Papers ECO 2019/02, European University Institute.
    30. Jie Sun & Lewis Makosa & Jinkun Yang & Fangyuan Yin & Moses Jachi & Wellington Garikai Bonga, 2021. "Externalities of economic sanctions on performance of intra‐industry non‐sanctioned firms: Evidence from Zimbabwe," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 68(5), pages 643-664, November.
    31. Mansour Ishrakieh, Layal & Dagher, Leila & El Hariri, Sadika, 2018. "The Institute of Financial Economics Financial Stress Index (IFEFSI) for Lebanon," MPRA Paper 116054, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    32. Zhou, Jinlan & Li, Zhensheng & Liu, Zhuang, 2025. "Oil market uncertainty and China's macroeconomy: Causality-in-quantiles test and quantile spillover effects analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    33. Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Delrio, Silvia & Kima, Richard, 2021. "Financial uncertainty and real activity: The good, the bad, and the ugly," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    34. Carlos Cañizares Martínez & Arne Gieseck, 2025. "The effects of macro uncertainty shocks in the euro area: a FAVAR approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 68(6), pages 2829-2872, June.
    35. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & Schwarzmüller, Tim & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2014. "Finanz- und Wirtschaftspolitik bei einer anhaltenden monetären Expansion," Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik 5, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    36. OH, Joonseok, 2019. "The propagation of uncertainty shocks : Rotemberg vs. Calvo," Economics Working Papers ECO 2019/01, European University Institute.
    37. Ding, Yibing & Liu, Ziyu & Liu, Dayu, 2022. "Structural news shock, financial market uncertainty and China's business fluctuations," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    38. Khalil, Makram & Strobel, Felix, 2024. "US trade policy and the US dollar," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    39. Armelius, Hanna & Hull, Isaiah & Stenbacka Köhler, Hanna, 2016. "The timing of uncertainty shocks in a small open economy," Working Paper Series 334, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    40. George ANTON, 2021. "The Impact Of Economic Uncertainty On Household Consumption Choices. Evidence From Europe," Proceedings of the INTERNATIONAL MANAGEMENT CONFERENCE, Faculty of Management, Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania, vol. 15(1), pages 622-628, November.
    41. Ma, Huanyu & Hao, Dapeng, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty, financial development, and financial constraints: Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 368-386.
    42. Josué Diwambuena & Jean-Paul K. Tsasa, 2021. "The Real Effects of Uncertainty Shocks: New Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear SVAR Models," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series BEMPS87, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen.
    43. Marta Martínez-Matute & Alberto Urtasun, 2018. "Uncertainty, firm heterogeneity and labour adjustments. Evidence from European countries," Working Papers 1821, Banco de España.
    44. Silgado-Gómez, Edgar, 2022. "Sovereign Uncertainty," Research Technical Papers 10/RT/22, Central Bank of Ireland.
    45. Punzi, Maria Teresa, 2020. "The impact of uncertainty on the macro-financial linkage with international financial exposure," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    46. Gomez-Gonzalez, Jose Eduardo & Hirs-Garzon, Jorge & Uribe, Jorge M., 2020. "Global effects of US uncertainty: real and financial shocks on real and financial markets," Working papers 69, Red Investigadores de Economía.
    47. Dario Bonciani & Andrea Tafuro, 2018. "The Effects of Uncertainty Shocks on Daily Prices," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 14(1), pages 89-104, April.
    48. Mansour Ishrakieh, Layal & Dagher, Leila & El Hariri, Sadika, 2019. "A Financial Stress Index for a Highly Dollarized Developing Country: The Case of Lebanon," MPRA Paper 116083, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    49. Peter Claeys & Borek Vasicek, 2017. "Transmission of Uncertainty Shocks: Learning from Heterogeneous Responses on a Panel of EU Countries," Working Papers 2017/13, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    50. Gomez-Gonzalez, Jose E. & Hirs-Garzon, Jorge & Uribe, Jorge M., 2024. "US uncertainty shocks on real and financial markets: A multi-country perspective," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 48(3).
    51. Anh Nguyen, 2015. "Financial frictions and the volatility of monetary policy in a DSGE model," Working Papers 75949436, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
    52. Sanha Noh, 2020. "Posterior Inference on Parameters in a Nonlinear DSGE Model via Gaussian-Based Filters," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 56(4), pages 795-841, December.
    53. Magnus Reif, 2018. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Forecasting Macroeconomic Aggregates," ifo Working Paper Series 265, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    54. Bonciani, Dario & Ricci, Martino, 2020. "The international effects of global financial uncertainty shocks," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    55. Evgenidis, Anastasios, 2018. "Do all oil price shocks have the same impact? Evidence from the euro area," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 150-155.
    56. Dibiasi, Andreas & Sarferaz, Samad, 2023. "Measuring macroeconomic uncertainty: A cross-country analysis," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    57. Li, Li & Tang, Yao & Xiang, Jingjie, 2020. "Measuring China's monetary policy uncertainty and its impact on the real economy," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    58. Aleh Mazol, 2019. "The Influence of Financial Stress on Economic Activity and Monetary Policy in Belarus," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 44(2), pages 49-75, June.
    59. MALATA, Alain K. & PINSHI, Christian P., 2020. "Système financier et COVID-19 : Un examen de l’impact en RDC [Financial system and COVID-19: A review of the impact in the DRC]," MPRA Paper 107772, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    60. Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & Emilio Fernandez-Corugedo, 2014. "Uncertainty in a model with credit frictions," Bank of England working papers 496, Bank of England.
    61. Eyquem, Aurélien & Poilly, Céline & Belianska, Anna, 2023. "On portfolio frictions, asset returns and volatility," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).

  6. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim & Schwarzmüller, Tim, 2015. "Das europäische Verfahren zur Vermeidung und Korrektur makroökonomischer Ungleichgewichte: Auswertung der bisherigen Erfahrung und mögliche Reformansätze," Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik 7, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.

    Cited by:

    1. Jannsen, Nils & Potjagailo, Galina & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2017. "Zur Entwicklung der deutschen Weltmarktanteile," Kiel Insight 2017.21, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    2. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens, 2015. "Zu den Folgen der politischen Instabilität für die griechische Wirtschaft und den griechischen Staat," Kiel Insight 2015.3, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    3. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & Potjagailo, Galina, 2015. "Deutsche Konjunktur im Winter 2015 - Aufschwung gewinnt wieder an Fahrt [German Economy Winter 2015 - The German economy is regaining momentum]," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 14, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    4. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Pirschel, Inske & Plödt, Martin & Wolters, Maik H., 2015. "Deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2015 - Deutschland auf dem Weg in die Hochkonjunktur [German Economy Spring 2015 - German economy on the road to overheating]," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 5, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    5. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Groll, Dominik & Kooths, Stefan & Schwarzmüller, Tim, 2015. "Konjunktur im Euroraum im Frühjahr 2015 - Moderate Erholung im Euroraum," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 4, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    6. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Potjagailo, Galina & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2017. "Deutsche Konjunktur im Winter 2017 - Deutsche Wirtschaft in voller Fahrt [German Economy Winter 2017 - German economy at full steam]," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 38, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    7. Kooths, Stefan & Felbermayr, Gabriel, 2020. "Stabilitätspolitik in der Corona-Krise," Kiel Policy Briefs 138, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.

  7. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & Schwarzmüller, Tim & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2014. "Finanz- und Wirtschaftspolitik bei einer anhaltenden monetären Expansion," Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik 5, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.

    Cited by:

    1. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens, 2014. "Niedrige Zinsen und rasche monetäre Expansion: Was soll die Finanzpolitik tun?," Kiel Policy Briefs 75, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    2. Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2014. "Makroprudenzielle Finanzmarktpolitik: Nationale Handlungsoptionen im Euroraum," Kiel Discussion Papers 541/542, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    3. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Plödt, Martin & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim & Schwarzmüller, Tim & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Groll, Dominik & Kooths, Stefan, 2014. "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Sommer 2014," Kiel Discussion Papers 539/540, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    4. Baumann, Alexendra & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2019. "Publikationen von Wirtschaftsforschungsinstituten im deutschsprachigen Raum - Eine bibliometrische Analyse [Publications of Economic Research Insitutes in the German Speaking Area - A bibliometric Analysis]," MPRA Paper 92240, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Scheide, Joachim, 2014. "Deutsche Konjunktur im Herbst 2014," Kiel Discussion Papers 545/546, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    6. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Plödt, Martin & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim & Schwarzmüller, Tim & Groll, Dominik & Kooths, Stefan, 2013. "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Winter 2013," Kiel Discussion Papers 530/531, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    7. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens, 2017. "Steigende Grunderwerbsteuersätze, Verhaltensreaktionen und der Länderfinanzausgleich," Kiel Working Papers 2069, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    8. Jens Boysen-Hogrefe & Wolfgang Scherf & Carolin Dresselhaus & Thomas Schäfer & Kunka Petkova & Alfons J. Weichenrieder & Reiner Holznagel & Jens Lemmer & Manuela Krause & Niklas Potrafke & Alfons Weic, 2017. "Stagnierende Wohneigentumsquote, Share Deals: Wie sollte die Grunderwerbsteuer reformiert werden?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(21), pages 03-24, November.
    9. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Jannsen, Nils & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin, 2015. "Mittelfristprojektion für Deutschland im Frühjahr 2015 - Deutschland mittelfristig in der Hochkonjunktur," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 6, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.

  8. Snower, Dennis J. & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Klodt, Henning & Kooths, Stefan & Laaser, Claus-Friedrich & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim & Schrader, Klaus, 2013. "Kieler Krisen-Kompass: Ein Gesamtpaket zur Überwindung der Krise im Euroraum," Kiel Policy Briefs 58, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.

    Cited by:

    1. Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2014. "Makroprudenzielle Finanzmarktpolitik: Nationale Handlungsoptionen im Euroraum," Kiel Discussion Papers 541/542, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    2. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & Schwarzmüller, Tim & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2014. "Finanz- und Wirtschaftspolitik bei einer anhaltenden monetären Expansion," Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik 5, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    3. Schrader, Klaus & Bencek, David & Laaser, Claus-Friedrich, 2013. "IfW-Krisencheck: Alles wieder gut in Griechenland?," Kiel Discussion Papers 522/523, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    4. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2013. "Deutsche Konjunktur erholt sich – Wirtschaftspolitik stärker an der langen Frist ausrichten," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(08), pages 03-77, April.

  9. Dovern, Jonas & van Roye, Björn, 2013. "International transmission of financial stress: Evidence from a GVAR," Kiel Working Papers 1844, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.

    Cited by:

    1. Alexander Chudik & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2014. "Theory and practice of GVAR modeling," Globalization Institute Working Papers 180, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    2. Artha Hoxha, 2018. "Explaining the impact of the global financial crisis on European transition countries: a GVAR approach," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q2-18, pages 81-97.
    3. Paul Cashin & Kamiar Mohaddes & Mehdi Raissi, 2016. "China’s Slowdown and Global Financial Market Volatility: Is World Growth Losing Out?," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1618, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    4. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & Schwarzmüller, Tim & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2014. "Finanz- und Wirtschaftspolitik bei einer anhaltenden monetären Expansion," Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik 5, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    5. Donal Smith, 2016. "The International Impact of Financial Shocks: A Global VAR and Connectedness Measures Approach," Discussion Papers 16/07, Department of Economics, University of York.
    6. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Plödt, Martin & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim & Schwarzmüller, Tim & Groll, Dominik & Kooths, Stefan, 2013. "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Sommer 2013," Kiel Discussion Papers 524/525, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    7. Park, Cyn-Young & Mercado, Rogelio V., 2014. "Determinants of financial stress in emerging market economies," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 199-224.

  10. Kooths, Stefan & van Roye, Björn, 2012. "Nationale Geldschöpfung im Euroraum: Mechanismen, Defekte, Therapie," Kiel Discussion Papers 508/509, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.

    Cited by:

    1. Jannsen, Nils, 2013. "Aktuelle Trends im deutschen Außenhandel," Kiel Insight 2013.5, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    2. Smeets Heinz-Dieter & Schmid Anita, 2014. "Europäische Staatsschuldenkrise, Lender of last resort und Bankenunion / European sovereign debt crisis, lender of last resort and banking union," ORDO. Jahrbuch für die Ordnung von Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft, De Gruyter, vol. 65(1), pages 47-74, January.
    3. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim & Schwarzmüller, Tim, 2015. "Das europäische Verfahren zur Vermeidung und Korrektur makroökonomischer Ungleichgewichte: Auswertung der bisherigen Erfahrung und mögliche Reformansätze," Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik 7, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    4. Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2014. "Makroprudenzielle Finanzmarktpolitik: Nationale Handlungsoptionen im Euroraum," Kiel Discussion Papers 541/542, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    5. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Plödt, Martin & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Groll, Dominik & Schwarzmüller, Tim, 2012. "Weltkonjunktur im Herbst 2012," Kiel Discussion Papers 510/511, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    6. van Roye, Björn, 2012. "Zur Situation des spanischen Bankensektors," Kiel Insight 2012.8, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    7. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Plödt, Martin & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim & Groll, Dominik & Kooths, Stefan, 2012. "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Winter 2012," Kiel Discussion Papers 514/515, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    8. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Groll, Dominik & Kooths, Stefan & Reitz, Stefan & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2016. "Konjunktur im Euroraum im Frühjahr 2016 - Euroraum: Erholung zunächst von Unsicherheit belastet [Euro Area Economy Spring 2016 - Euro Area: Uncertainty weighs temporarily on recovery]," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 16, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    9. Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2017. "Neues Allzeithoch bei Target-Salden," Kiel Insight 2017.6, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    10. Niklas Potrafke & Markus Reischmann, 2014. "Explosive Target balances of the German Bundesbank," ifo Working Paper Series 185, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    11. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Kooths, Stefan & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2016. "Zum Wiederanstieg der TARGET-Salden," Kiel Insight 2016.5, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    12. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Plödt, Martin & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim & Schwarzmüller, Tim & Groll, Dominik & Kooths, Stefan, 2013. "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Sommer 2013," Kiel Discussion Papers 524/525, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    13. Markus Reischmann, 2016. "Empirical Studies on Public Debt and Fiscal Transfers," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 63, October.

  11. Kooths, Stefan & van Roye, Björn, 2012. "Euro area: Single currency - national money creation," Kiel Working Papers 1787, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.

    Cited by:

    1. Wissam Samia & Nada Mallah Boustani, 2022. "Towards a Single Currency in Natural Syria Region - A Conceptual Monetary Innovation: A Reflection," Post-Print hal-04081283, HAL.

  12. van Roye, Björn, 2011. "Financial stress and economic activity in Germany and the Euro Area," Kiel Working Papers 1743, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.

    Cited by:

    1. Gilles Dufrénot & Karine Gente & Frédia Monsia, 2016. "Macroeconomic imbalances, financial stress and fiscal vulnerability in the euro area before the debt crises: A market view," Post-Print hal-01440301, HAL.
    2. Drenkovska, Marija & Lenarčič, Črt, 2025. "Financial markets stress indicator for Slovenia (FIMSIS)," MPRA Paper 125551, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Matthieu Darracq Paries, 2018. "Financial frictions and monetary policy conduct," Erudite Ph.D Dissertations, Erudite, number ph18-01 edited by Ferhat Mihoubi, December.
    4. Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi & Hyun Hak Kim, 2020. "Forecasting financial stress indices in Korea: a factor model approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(6), pages 2859-2898, December.
    5. Cyn-Young Park & Rogelio V. Mercado, Jr., 2013. "Determinants of Financial Stress in Emerging Market Economies," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 356, Asian Development Bank.
    6. Anca Mihaela COPACIU & Alexandra HOROBET, 2022. "Spillovers in the Presence of Financial Stress – An Application to Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 29-43, April.
    7. Huotari, Jarkko, 2015. "Measuring financial stress – A country specific stress index for Finland," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 7/2015, Bank of Finland.
    8. Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Maurin, Laurent & Moccero, Diego, 2014. "Financial conditions index and credit supply shocks for the euro area," Working Paper Series 1644, European Central Bank.
    9. Tng & Kwek, 2015. "Financial stress, economic activity and monetary policy in the ASEAN-5 economies," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(48), pages 5169-5185, October.
    10. Kremer, Manfred & Lo Duca, Marco & Holló, Dániel, 2012. "CISS - a composite indicator of systemic stress in the financial system," Working Paper Series 1426, European Central Bank.
    11. Glocker, Christian, 2019. "Do reserve requirements reduce the risk of bank failure?," MPRA Paper 95634, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Begüm Yurteri Kösedağlı & A. Özlem Önder, 2021. "Determinants of financial stress in emerging market economies: Are spatial effects important?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 4653-4669, July.
    13. Tihana Skrinjaric, 2022. "Macroeconomic effects of systemic stress: a rolling spillover index approach," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 46(1), pages 109-140.
    14. Apostolakis, George N. & Floros, Christos & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Wohar, Mark, 2021. "Financial stress, economic policy uncertainty, and oil price uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    15. Jeevan Kumar Khundrakpam & Rajesh Kavediya & Jessica M. Anthony, 2017. "Estimating Financial Conditions Index for India," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 16(1), pages 61-89, April.
    16. Baneng Naape & Bekithemba Qeqe, 2022. "How Does Financial Market Stress Respond to Shocks in Global Economic Activity and Exchange Rate Stability? A Structural VAR Approach," Eurasian Journal of Social Sciences, Eurasian Publications, vol. 10(1), pages 25-36.
    17. Rezvan Pourmansouri & MirFeiz Fallahshams & Reza Ghafari Gol Afshani, 2025. "Designing a Financial Stress Index Based on the GHARCH-DCC Approach and Machine Learning Models," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 16(1), pages 2689-2718, March.
    18. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Plödt, Martin & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim & Groll, Dominik & Kooths, Stefan, 2012. "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Winter 2012," Kiel Discussion Papers 514/515, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    19. Dimitrios P. Louzis, 2015. "Steady-state priors and Bayesian variable selection in VAR forecasting," Working Papers 195, Bank of Greece.
    20. Alessandro Bitetto & Paola Cerchiello & Charilaos Mertzanis, 2021. "A data-driven approach to measuring financial soundness throughout the world," DEM Working Papers Series 199, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
    21. Joris de Wind & Katarzyna Grabska, 2016. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks: Continental Europe versus the Anglo-Saxon World," CPB Discussion Paper 335, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    22. Schleer, Frauke & Semmler, Willi, 2013. "Financial sector-output dynamics in the euro area: Non-linearities reconsidered," ZEW Discussion Papers 13-068, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    23. Jayantee SAHOO, 2020. "Financial stress index, growth and price stability in India: Some recent evidence," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(1(622), S), pages 105-124, Spring.
    24. Laura Garcia-Jorcano & Lidia Sanchis-Marco, 2023. "Measuring Systemic Risk Using Multivariate Quantile-Located ES Models," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(1), pages 1-72.

  13. Groll, Dominik & van Roye, Björn, 2011. "Price competitiveness divergence in the euro area: The level matters!," Kiel Policy Briefs 24, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.

    Cited by:

    1. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2011. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Frühjahr 2011: Aufschwung setzt sich fort - Europäische Schuldenkrise noch ungelöst," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 64(08), pages 03-63, April.
    2. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim & Schwarzmüller, Tim, 2015. "Das europäische Verfahren zur Vermeidung und Korrektur makroökonomischer Ungleichgewichte: Auswertung der bisherigen Erfahrung und mögliche Reformansätze," Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik 7, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    3. Hubert Gabrisch & Karsten Staehr, 2012. "The Euro Plus Pact: Competitiveness and external capital flows in the EU countries," Bank of Estonia Working Papers wp2012-5, Bank of Estonia, revised 10 Dec 2012.
    4. Hubert Gabrisch & Karsten Staehr, 2014. "The Euro Plus Pact: Cost Competitiveness and External Capital Flows in the EU Countries. WWWforEurope Policy Paper No. 15," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 47496.
    5. Pavlína Balcarová, 2016. "Is competitiveness in the European Union converging?," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 64(6), pages 1835-1842.
    6. Schrader, Klaus & Laaser, Claus-Friedrich & Bencek, David, 2017. "Schwer zu retten: Griechenland im Krisenmodus," Kiel Policy Briefs 103, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    7. Collignon, Stefan & Esposito, Piero, 2021. "Macroeconomic imbalances in Europe: How to overcome the fallacy of unit labour costs," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 673-691.
    8. Baumann, Alexendra & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2019. "Publikationen von Wirtschaftsforschungsinstituten im deutschsprachigen Raum - Eine bibliometrische Analyse [Publications of Economic Research Insitutes in the German Speaking Area - A bibliometric Analysis]," MPRA Paper 92240, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Gabrisch, Hubert & Staehr, Karsten, 2014. "The euro plus pact: cost competitiveness and external capital flows in the EU countries," Working Paper Series 1650, European Central Bank.
    10. Schrader, Klaus & Bencek, David & Laaser, Claus-Friedrich, 2013. "IfW-Krisencheck: Alles wieder gut in Griechenland?," Kiel Discussion Papers 522/523, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.

  14. Utlaut, Johannes Friederich & van Roye, Björn, 2010. "The effects of external shocks to business cycles in emerging Asia: A Bayesian VAR approach," Kiel Working Papers 1668, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.

    Cited by:

    1. Dungey, Mardi & Vehbi, Tugrul & Martin, Charlton, 2014. "VAR modelling in the presence of China’s rise : an application to the Taiwanese economy," Working Papers 2014-09, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
    2. Michael Murach & Helmut Wagner, 2021. "The effects of external shocks on the business cycle in China: A structural change perspective," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(3), pages 681-702, August.
    3. Arezki, Rabah & Liu, Yang, 2020. "On the (Changing) asymmetry of global spillovers: Emerging markets vs. advanced economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    4. Sanjay Kumar Rout & Hrushikesh Mallick, 2021. "International interdependency of macroeconomic activities: a multivariate empirical analysis," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 425-450, May.
    5. Oladunni, Sunday, 2019. "External Shocks and Business Cycle Fluctuations in Oil-exporting Small Open Economies: The Case of Nigeria," MPRA Paper 98639, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Almansour, Aseel & Aslam, Aqib & Bluedorn, John & Duttagupta, Rupa, 2015. "How vulnerable are emerging markets to external shocks?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 460-483.
    7. Tolga Dağlaroğlu & Baki Demirel & Syed F. Mahmud, 2018. "Monetary policy implications of short-term capital flows in Turkey," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 45(4), pages 747-763, November.
    8. Mala Raghavan & Evelyn S. Devadason, 2020. "How Resilient Is ASEAN-5 to Trade Shocks? A Comparison of Regional and Global Shocks," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 12(1), pages 93-115, January.
    9. Bilge Erten, 2012. "Macroeconomic transmission of eurozone shocks to emerging economies," Working Papers 2012-12, CEPII research center.
    10. Murach, Michael & Wagner, Helmut, 2019. "The effects of external shocks on the business cycle in China: A structural change perspective," CEAMeS Discussion Paper Series 1/2016, University of Hagen, Center for East Asia Macro-economic Studies (CEAMeS), revised 2019.
    11. International Monetary Fund, 2017. "Philippines: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2017/335, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Mohamed BELHEDI & Ines SLAMA & Amine LAHIANI, 2015. "Tranmission Of International Shocks To An Emerging Small Open-Economy: Evidence From Tunisia," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 42, pages 231-258.
    13. Swamy, Vighneswara, 2020. "Macroeconomic transmission of Eurozone shocks to India—A mean-adjusted Bayesian VAR approach," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 126-150.

  15. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Dovern, Jonas & Groll, Dominik & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2010. "Droht in Deutschland eine Kreditklemme?," Kiel Discussion Papers 472/473, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.

    Cited by:

    1. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Dovern, Jonas & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim & Boss, Alfred & Groll, Dominik & Meier, Carsten-Patrick, 2010. "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Winter 2009," Kiel Discussion Papers 470/471, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    2. Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Groll, Dominik & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2010. "Deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2010," Kiel Discussion Papers 478, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    3. Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2014. "Makroprudenzielle Finanzmarktpolitik: Nationale Handlungsoptionen im Euroraum," Kiel Discussion Papers 541/542, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    4. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & Schwarzmüller, Tim & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2014. "Finanz- und Wirtschaftspolitik bei einer anhaltenden monetären Expansion," Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik 5, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    5. Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Groll, Dominik & van Roye, Björn & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Scheide, Joachim, 2010. "Moderate Erholung in Deutschland - Arbeitsmarkt in erstaunlich guter Verfassung," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 45584, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    6. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2010. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Frühjahr 2010: Erholung setzt sich fort – Risiken bleiben groß," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(08), pages 03-78, April.
    7. Bofinger, Peter & Maas, Daniel & Ries, Mathias, 2017. "A model of the market for bank credit: The case of Germany," W.E.P. - Würzburg Economic Papers 98, University of Würzburg, Department of Economics.
    8. Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Groll, Dominik & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2010. "Aufschwung lässt auf sich warten," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 32954, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    9. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Dovern, Jonas & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2010. "Erholung der Weltkonjunktur ohne große Dynamik," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 32955, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    10. Schmidt, Torsten & Zwick, Lina, 2012. "In Search for a Credit Crunch in Germany," Ruhr Economic Papers 361, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.

  16. van Roye, Björn & Wesselbaum, Dennis, 2009. "Capital, endogenous separations, and the business cycle," Kiel Working Papers 1561, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.

    Cited by:

    1. Wesselbaum, Dennis, 2010. "Reciprocity and matching frictions," Kiel Working Papers 1616, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.

  17. Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2009. "Ursachen der Wachstumsschwäche in Deutschland 1995-2005," Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik 2, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.

    Cited by:

    1. van Treeck, Till. & Sturn, Simon., 2012. "Income inequality as a cause of the Great Recession? : A survey of current debates," ILO Working Papers 994709343402676, International Labour Organization.
    2. Boss, Alfred & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Dovern, Jonas & Groll, Dominik & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2009. "Schleppende Erholung der Konjunktur in Deutschland, kein Einbruch auf dem Arbeitsmarkt," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 32977, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.

Articles

  1. Dizioli, Allan Gloe & van Roye, Björn, 2018. "The resurgence of protectionism: potential implications for global financial stability," Financial Stability Review, European Central Bank, vol. 2.

    Cited by:

    1. Ohnsorge, Franziska & Kose, M. Ayhan & Nagle, Peter & Sugawara, Naotaka, 2020. "Can This Time Be Different? Policy Options in Times of Rising Debt," CEPR Discussion Papers 14528, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

  2. Dizioli, Allan Gloe & van Roye, Björn, 2018. "Macroeconomic implications of increasing protectionism," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, vol. 6.

    Cited by:

    1. Benedikt Zoller-Rydzek & Gabriel Felbermayr, 2018. "Who is Paying for the Trade War with China?," EconPol Policy Brief 11, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    2. Francois, Joseph & Nelson, Douglas & Rojas-Romagosa, Hugo, 2019. "Trade Wars and Trade Disputes: The Role of Equity and Political Support," Conference papers 333046, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    3. Massimo Ferrari Minesso & Frederik Kurcz & Maria Sole Pagliari, 2022. "Do words hurt more than actions? The impact of trade tensions on financial markets," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(6), pages 1138-1159, September.
    4. Antoine Berthou & Caroline Jardet & Daniele Siena & Urszula Szczerbowicz, 2018. "Costs and consequences of a trade war: a structural analysis," Rue de la Banque, Banque de France, issue 72, december.
    5. Volha Audzei & Jan Bruha, 2020. "A Model of the Euro Area, China and the United States: Trade Links and Trade Wars," Working Papers 2020/6, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    6. Gabriel Felbermayr & Benedikt Zoller-Rydzek, 2018. "Wer bezahlt Trumps Handelskrieg mit China?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(22), pages 30-35, November.
    7. Bekkers, Eddy & Teh, Robert, 2019. "Potential economic effects of a global trade conflict: Projecting the medium-run effects with the WTO global trade model," WTO Staff Working Papers ERSD-2019-04, World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division.
    8. Gabriel Felbermayr & Marina Steininger, 2019. "Trump’s trade attack on China − who will have the last laugh?," CESifo Forum, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 20(01), pages 27-32, April.
    9. Bekkers, Eddy & Teh, Robert, 2019. "Potential Economic Effects of a Global Trade Conflict: Projecting the medium-run effects with the WTO Global Trade Model," Conference papers 333120, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    10. Gabriel Felbermayr & Marina Steininger, 2019. "Trump’s trade attack on China – who laughs last?," EconPol Policy Brief 13, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.

  3. Dieppe, Alistair & Georgiadis, Georgios & Ricci, Martino & Van Robays, Ine & van Roye, Björn, 2018. "ECB-Global: Introducing the ECB's global macroeconomic model for spillover analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 78-98.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Sofiane Aboura & Bjoern van Roye, 2017. "Financial stress and economic dynamics: The case of France," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 149, pages 57-73.

    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Guojin & Liu, Yanzhen & Zhang, Yu, 2020. "Can systemic risk measures predict economic shocks? Evidence from China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    2. Ngene, Geoffrey M. & Tah, Kenneth A., 2023. "How are policy uncertainty, real economy, and financial sector connected?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    3. Zada, Hassan & Khan, Naveed & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Ghardallou, Wafa, 2025. "Portfolio diversification amid economic uncertainty in Pakistan: empirical evidence from the quantile-on-quantile approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    4. Alsamara, Mouyad & Mrabet, Zouhair & Jarallah, Shaif & Barkat, Karim, 2019. "The switching impact of financial stability and economic growth in Qatar: Evidence from an oil-rich country," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 205-216.
    5. Kondoz, Mehmet & Kirikkaleli, Dervis & Athari, Seyed Alireza, 2021. "Time-frequency dependencies of financial and economic risks in South American countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 170-181.
    6. Theshne Kisten, 2023. "Macro-financial implications of public debt in South Africa: The role of financial regimes," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2023-76, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    7. Anca Mihaela COPACIU & Alexandra HOROBET, 2022. "Spillovers in the Presence of Financial Stress – An Application to Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 29-43, April.
    8. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Theshne Kisten, 2020. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks in South Africa: The Role of Financial Regimes," Working Papers 202046, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Mikhail Stolbov & Alexander Karminsky & Maria Shchepeleva, 2018. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Lead Systemic Risk? A Comparative Analysis of Selected European Countries," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 60(3), pages 332-360, September.
    10. Haddou, Samira, 2022. "International financial stress spillovers to bank lending: Do internal characteristics matter?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    11. Helena Ahulu & John MacCarthy & Paul Muda, 2021. "Financial Stability and Economic Growth Nexus: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa using Panel Data," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 11(4), pages 11-18.
    12. Giampaoli, Noemi & Cucculelli, Marco & Sullo, Valerio, 2024. "Business and financial cycle across regimes: Does financial stress matter?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    13. Leonardo Badea & Daniel Ştefan Armeanu & Iulian Panait & Ştefan Cristian Gherghina, 2019. "A Markov Regime Switching Approach towards Assessing Resilience of Romanian Collective Investment Undertakings," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-24, March.
    14. Mansour Ishrakieh, Layal & Dagher, Leila & El Hariri, Sadika, 2018. "The Institute of Financial Economics Financial Stress Index (IFEFSI) for Lebanon," MPRA Paper 116054, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Begüm Yurteri Kösedağlı & A. Özlem Önder, 2021. "Determinants of financial stress in emerging market economies: Are spatial effects important?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 4653-4669, July.
    16. Mikhail Stolbov & Maria Shchepeleva, 2021. "Macrofinancial linkages in Europe: Evidence from quantile local projections," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5557-5569, October.
    17. Panagiota Makrychoriti & Fotios Pasiouras & Menelaos Tasiou, 2022. "Financial stress and economic growth: The moderating role of trust," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 75(1), pages 48-74, February.
    18. Hayet Soltani & Mouna Boujelbène Abbes, 2025. "Regime-Specific Spillover Effects Between Financial Stress, GCC Stock Markets, Brent Crude Oil, and the Gold Market," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 16(2), pages 8840-8866, June.
    19. Apostolakis, George N. & Floros, Christos & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Wohar, Mark, 2021. "Financial stress, economic policy uncertainty, and oil price uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    20. Tai-Hock Kuek & Chin-Hong Puah & M. Affendy Arip, 2020. "Financial Vulnerability and Economic Dynamics in Malaysia," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 9(special i), pages 55-73.
    21. Baneng Naape & Bekithemba Qeqe, 2022. "How Does Financial Market Stress Respond to Shocks in Global Economic Activity and Exchange Rate Stability? A Structural VAR Approach," Eurasian Journal of Social Sciences, Eurasian Publications, vol. 10(1), pages 25-36.
    22. Theshne Kisten, 2020. "A Financial Stress Index for South Africa: A Time-Varying Correlation Approach," Working Papers 202011, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    23. Andisheh Saliminezhad & Pejman Bahramian, 2021. "The role of financial stress in the economic activity: Fresh evidence from a Granger‐causality in quantiles analysis for the UK and Germany," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 1670-1680, April.
    24. Fu, Zheng & Chen, Zhiguo & Sharif, Arshian & Razi, Ummara, 2022. "The role of financial stress, oil, gold and natural gas prices on clean energy stocks: Global evidence from extreme quantile approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    25. Mansour Ishrakieh, Layal & Dagher, Leila & El Hariri, Sadika, 2019. "A Financial Stress Index for a Highly Dollarized Developing Country: The Case of Lebanon," MPRA Paper 116083, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    26. Ozcelebi, Oguzhan, 2020. "Assessing the impacts of financial stress index of developed countries on the exchange market pressure index of emerging countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 288-302.
    27. Tan, Sook-Rei & Li, Changtai & Yeap, Xiu Wei, 2022. "A time-varying copula approach for constructing a daily financial systemic stress index," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    28. Tran, Thuy Nhung, 2022. "The Volatility of the Stock Market and Financial Cycle: GARCH Family Models," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 56(1), pages 151-168.
    29. Nadri, Kamran & Ebrahimi, Sajad & Fadaie, Abbas, 2018. "An Investigation of Co-Movement of Financial Stability Index with Macro-Prudential Indicator through Wavelet Analysis," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 13(2), pages 125-151, April.
    30. Yingdong Wang & Wenzhi Xi, 2025. "Measurement and Early Warning of Systemic Financial Risk in China: Markov Switching Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 66(6), pages 5083-5111, December.
    31. Mansour-Ichrakieh, Layal & Zeaiter, Hussein, 2019. "The role of geopolitical risks on the Turkish economy opportunity or threat," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).

  5. Kostka, Thomas & van Roye, Björn, 2017. "Assessing the Decoupling of Economic Policy Uncertainty and Financial Conditions," Financial Stability Review, European Central Bank, vol. 1.

    Cited by:

    1. Pierdzioch Christian & Gupta Rangan, 2020. "Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(4), pages 1-20, September.
    2. Nguyen, Minh Hong & Trinh, Vu Quang, 2023. "U.K. economic policy uncertainty and innovation activities: A firm-level analysis," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    3. Liosi, Konstantina, 2023. "The sources of economic uncertainty: Evidence from eurozone markets," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    4. Houari, Oussama, 2022. "Uncertainty shocks and business cycles in the US: New insights from the last three decades," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    5. Nguyen, Thanh Cong, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and bank stability: Does bank regulation and supervision matter in major European economies?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    6. Oussama Houari, 2022. "Uncertainty shocks and business cycles in the US: New insights from the last three decades," Post-Print hal-03723972, HAL.

  6. Floro, Danvee & van Roye, Björn, 2017. "Threshold effects of financial stress on monetary policy rules: A panel data analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 599-620.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  7. Bonciani, Dario & Roye, Björn van, 2016. "Uncertainty shocks, banking frictions and economic activity," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 200-219.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  8. Dovern, Jonas & van Roye, Björn, 2014. "International transmission and business-cycle effects of financial stress," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 1-17.

    Cited by:

    1. Hoque, Mohammad Enamul & Billah, Mabruk & Kapar, Burcu & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr, 2024. "Quantifying the volatility spillover dynamics between financial stress and US financial sectors: Evidence from QVAR connectedness," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    2. Song, Lu & Tian, Gengyu & Jiang, Yonghong, 2022. "Connectedness of commodity, exchange rate and categorical economic policy uncertainties — Evidence from China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    3. Morelli, David & Vioto, Davide, 2020. "Assessing the contribution of China’s financial sectors to systemic risk," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    4. Yao, Xiaoyang & Le, Wei & Sun, Xiaolei & Li, Jianping, 2020. "Financial stress dynamics in China: An interconnectedness perspective," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 217-238.
    5. Jesús Crespo Cuaresma & Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber, 2016. "Forecasting with Global Vector Autoregressive Models: a Bayesian Approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(7), pages 1371-1391, November.
    6. Jursa, Lukáš & Janků, Jan, 2025. "From the core to the European periphery: Spillover effects of financial cycles," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    7. Cipollini, Andrea & Mikaliunaite, Ieva, 2020. "Macro-uncertainty and financial stress spillovers in the Eurozone," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 546-558.
    8. Corsi, Fulvio & Lillo, Fabrizio & Pirino, Davide & Trapin, Luca, 2018. "Measuring the propagation of financial distress with Granger-causality tail risk networks," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 18-36.
    9. Li, Zixuan & Long, Shaobo & Xu, Xiang, 2025. "Dynamic spillovers between global financial stress and uncertainties: Evidence from quantile connectedness," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    10. van Roye, Björn & Floro, Danvee, 2017. "Threshold effects of financial stress on monetary policy rules: a panel data analysis," Working Paper Series 2042, European Central Bank.
    11. Long, Shaobo & Li, Zixuan, 2023. "Dynamic spillover effects of global financial stress: Evidence from the quantile VAR network," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    12. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2015. "Weltkonjunktur im Herbst 2015 - Schwäche in den Schwellenländern bremst Weltkonjunktur [Weakness in emerging markets weighs on global growth]," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 9, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    13. Mikhail Stolbov & Alexander Karminsky & Maria Shchepeleva, 2018. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Lead Systemic Risk? A Comparative Analysis of Selected European Countries," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 60(3), pages 332-360, September.
    14. Tuzcuoglu, Kerem, 2024. "Nonlinear transmission of international financial stress," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    15. Helena Chuliá & Sabuhi Khalili & Jorge M. Uribe, 2024. "Monitoring time-varying systemic risk in sovereign debt and currency markets with generative AI," IREA Working Papers 202402, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Feb 2024.
    16. Xu, Yongan & Liang, Chao & Wang, Jianqiong, 2023. "Financial stress and returns predictability: Fresh evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    17. Jesus Crespo Cuaresma & Gernot Doppelhofer & Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber, 2018. "Spillovers from US monetary policy: Evidence from a time-varying parameter GVAR model," Working Papers in Economics 2018-6, University of Salzburg.
    18. Adam, Tomáš & Benecká, Soňa & Matějů, Jakub, 2018. "Financial stress and its non-linear impact on CEE exchange rates," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 346-360.
    19. Flores, Jairo, 2015. "Transmisión de Choques de Política Monetaria de Estados Unidos sobre América Latina: Un Enfoque GVAR," Working Papers 2015-018, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    20. Sheikh, Umaid A. & Asadi, Mehrad & Roubaud, David & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2024. "Global uncertainties and Australian financial markets: Quantile time-frequency connectedness," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    21. Cai, Charlie X. & Mobarek, Asma & Zhang, Qi, 2017. "International stock market leadership and its determinants," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 150-162.
    22. Magkonis, Georgios & Tsopanakis, Andreas, 2016. "The financial and fiscal stress interconnectedness: The case of G5 economies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 62-69.
    23. Gloria González‐Rivera & C. Vladimir Rodríguez‐Caballero & Esther Ruiz, 2024. "Expecting the unexpected: Stressed scenarios for economic growth," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 926-942, August.
    24. Michaelides, Panayotis G. & Tsionas, Efthymios G. & Konstantakis, Konstantinos N., 2018. "Debt Crisis in Europe (2001-2015): A Network General Equilibrium GVAR approach," MPRA Paper 89998, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    25. Giampaoli, Noemi & Cucculelli, Marco & Sullo, Valerio, 2024. "Business and financial cycle across regimes: Does financial stress matter?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    26. Altınkeski, Buket Kırcı & Cevik, Emrah Ismail & Dibooglu, Sel & Kutan, Ali M., 2022. "Financial stress transmission between the U.S. and the Euro Area," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    27. Begüm Yurteri Kösedağlı & A. Özlem Önder, 2021. "Determinants of financial stress in emerging market economies: Are spatial effects important?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 4653-4669, July.
    28. Jesús Crespo Cuaresma & Gernot Doppelhofer & Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber, 2019. "Spillovers from US monetary policy: evidence from a time varying parameter global vector auto‐regressive model," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 182(3), pages 831-861, June.
    29. Stona, Filipe & Morais, Igor A.C. & Triches, Divanildo, 2018. "Economic dynamics during periods of financial stress: Evidences from Brazil," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 130-144.
    30. Michaelides, Panayotis G. & Tsionas, Efthymios G. & Konstantakis, Konstantinos N., 2018. "Debt dynamics in Europe: A Network General Equilibrium GVAR approach," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 175-202.
    31. Fadejeva, Ludmila & Feldkircher, Martin & Reininger, Thomas, 2017. "International spillovers from Euro area and US credit and demand shocks: A focus on emerging Europe," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 1-25.
    32. Hayet Soltani & Mouna Boujelbène Abbes, 2025. "Regime-Specific Spillover Effects Between Financial Stress, GCC Stock Markets, Brent Crude Oil, and the Gold Market," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 16(2), pages 8840-8866, June.
    33. Nazlioglu, Saban & Soytas, Ugur & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "Oil prices and financial stress: A volatility spillover analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 278-288.
    34. Florian Huber & Karin Klieber & Massimiliano Marcellino & Luca Onorante & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2024. "Asymmetries in Financial Spillovers," Papers 2410.16214, arXiv.org.
    35. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Scheide, Joachim, 2014. "Deutsche Konjunktur im Herbst 2014," Kiel Discussion Papers 545/546, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    36. Dovern, Jonas & Feldkircher, Martin & Huber, Florian, 2016. "Does joint modelling of the world economy pay off? Evaluating global forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 86-100.
    37. Skouralis, Alexandros, 2021. "The role of systemic risk spillovers in the transmission of Euro Area monetary policy," ESRB Working Paper Series 129, European Systemic Risk Board.
    38. Kremer, Manfred & Chavleishvili, Sulkhan, 2021. "Measuring Systemic Financial Stress and its Impact on the Macroeconomy," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242346, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    39. Sona Benecka & Ludmila Fadejeva & Martin Feldkircher, 2018. "Spillovers from Euro Area Monetary Policy: A Focus on Emerging Europe," Working Papers 2018/04, Latvijas Banka.
    40. Dagher, Leila & Hasanov, Fakhri, 2022. "Oil Market Shocks and Financial Instability in Asian Countries," MPRA Paper 116079, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    41. Apostolakis, George N. & Giannellis, Nikolaos, 2024. "International financial stress spillovers during times of unconventional monetary policy interventions," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    42. Manfred Kremer, 2016. "Macroeconomic effects of financial stress and the role of monetary policy: a VAR analysis for the euro area," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 105-138, January.
    43. Lyubov Doroshenko & Loretta Mastroeni & Alessandro Mazzoccoli, 2025. "Wavelet and Deep Learning Framework for Predicting Commodity Prices Under Economic and Financial Uncertainty," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-19, April.
    44. Jacoby, Gady & Liao, Rose C. & Wang, Yan & Wu, Zhenyu, 2025. "An intertemporal international asset pricing model: Theory and evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    45. Chen, Wang & Hamori, Shigeyuki & Kinkyo, Takuji, 2019. "Complexity of financial stress spillovers: Asymmetry and interaction effects of institutional quality and foreign bank ownership," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 567-581.
    46. Nadri, Kamran & Ebrahimi, Sajad & Fadaie, Abbas, 2018. "An Investigation of Co-Movement of Financial Stability Index with Macro-Prudential Indicator through Wavelet Analysis," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 13(2), pages 125-151, April.
    47. Razieh Zahedi & Asghar Shahmoradi & Ali Taiebnia, 2022. "The ever-evolving trade pattern: a global VAR approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(3), pages 1193-1218, September.
    48. Alexandros Skouralis, 2023. "The Role of Systemic Risk Spillovers in the Transmission of Euro Area Monetary Policy," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 34(5), pages 1079-1106, November.
    49. Feldkircher, Martin & Huber, Florian, 2016. "The international transmission of US shocks—Evidence from Bayesian global vector autoregressions," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 167-188.
    50. Chavleishvili, Sulkhan & Kremer, Manfred, 2023. "Measuring systemic financial stress and its risks for growth," Working Paper Series 2842, European Central Bank.
    51. Ni, Jianhui & Ruan, Jia, 2024. "Contagion effects of external monetary shocks on systemic financial risk in China: Evidence from the Euro area and Japan," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    52. Reboredo, Juan C. & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2016. "Do financial stress and policy uncertainty have an impact on the energy and metals markets? A quantile regression approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 284-298.
    53. Haitham A. Al-Zoubi & Jennifer A. O’Sullivan & Abdulaziz M. Alwathnani, 2018. "Business cycles, financial cycles and capital structure," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 105-123, February.

  9. Björn Roye, 2014. "Financial stress and economic activity in Germany," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 41(1), pages 101-126, February.

    Cited by:

    1. Mittnik, Stefan & Semmler, Willi, 2013. "The real consequences of financial stress," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(8), pages 1479-1499.
    2. Chen, Guojin & Liu, Yanzhen & Zhang, Yu, 2020. "Can systemic risk measures predict economic shocks? Evidence from China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    3. Sebastian Ankargren & Mårten Bjellerup & Hovick Shahnazarian, 2017. "The importance of the financial system for the real economy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(4), pages 1553-1586, December.
    4. Mirna Dumičić, 2014. "Financial Stress Indicators for Small, Open, Highly Euroised Countries – the Case of Croatia," Working Papers 41, The Croatian National Bank, Croatia.
    5. Frauke Schleer & Willi Semmler, 2014. "Financial Sector and Output Dynamics in the Euro Area: Non-linearities Reconsidered," SCEPA working paper series. 2014-5, Schwartz Center for Economic Policy Analysis (SCEPA), The New School.
    6. van Roye, Björn & Floro, Danvee, 2017. "Threshold effects of financial stress on monetary policy rules: a panel data analysis," Working Paper Series 2042, European Central Bank.
    7. Schleer, Frauke & Semmler, Willi, 2014. "Financial sector-output dynamics in the euro area: Non-linearities reconsidered," ZEW Discussion Papers 13-068 [rev.], ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    8. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Theshne Kisten, 2020. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks in South Africa: The Role of Financial Regimes," Working Papers 202046, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Mikhail Stolbov & Alexander Karminsky & Maria Shchepeleva, 2018. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Lead Systemic Risk? A Comparative Analysis of Selected European Countries," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 60(3), pages 332-360, September.
    10. Simone Auer, 2017. "A Financial Conditions Index for the CEE economies," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1145, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    11. Hussin Abdullah & Jauhari Dahalan & Khaw Lee Hwei & Mohammed Umar & Md Mohan Uddin, 2017. "Malaysian Financial Stress Index and Assessing its Impacts on the Economy," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(2), pages 227-235.
    12. Bonciani, Dario & van Roye, Björn, 2013. "Uncertainty shocks, banking frictions, and economic activity," Kiel Working Papers 1843, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    13. Altınkeski, Buket Kırcı & Cevik, Emrah Ismail & Dibooglu, Sel & Kutan, Ali M., 2022. "Financial stress transmission between the U.S. and the Euro Area," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    14. Begüm Yurteri Kösedağlı & A. Özlem Önder, 2021. "Determinants of financial stress in emerging market economies: Are spatial effects important?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 4653-4669, July.
    15. Mikhail Stolbov & Maria Shchepeleva, 2021. "Macrofinancial linkages in Europe: Evidence from quantile local projections," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5557-5569, October.
    16. Berg, Tim Oliver, 2014. "Time Varying Fiscal Multipliers in Germany," MPRA Paper 57223, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & Schwarzmüller, Tim & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2014. "Finanz- und Wirtschaftspolitik bei einer anhaltenden monetären Expansion," Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik 5, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    18. Tihana Skrinjaric, 2022. "Macroeconomic effects of systemic stress: a rolling spillover index approach," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 46(1), pages 109-140.
    19. Dovern, Jonas & van Roye, Björn, 2013. "International transmission of financial stress: Evidence from a GVAR," Kiel Working Papers 1844, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    20. Pedro Gomis-Porqueras & Romina Ruprecht & Xuan Zhou, 2023. "A Financial Stress Index for a Small Open Economy: The Australian Case," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-029, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    21. Tai-Hock Kuek & Chin-Hong Puah & M. Affendy Arip, 2020. "Financial Vulnerability and Economic Dynamics in Malaysia," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 9(special i), pages 55-73.
    22. Mittnik, Stefan & Semmler, Willi, 2014. "Overleveraging, financial fragility and the banking-macro link: Theory and empirical evidence," ZEW Discussion Papers 14-110, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    23. Sofiane Aboura & Björn van Roye, 2017. "Financial stress and economic dynamics: An application to France," Working Papers hal-01526393, HAL.
    24. Andisheh Saliminezhad & Pejman Bahramian, 2021. "The role of financial stress in the economic activity: Fresh evidence from a Granger‐causality in quantiles analysis for the UK and Germany," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 1670-1680, April.
    25. Qin, Xiao, 2020. "Oil shocks and financial systemic stress: International evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    26. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Plödt, Martin & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim & Schwarzmüller, Tim & Groll, Dominik & Kooths, Stefan, 2013. "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Winter 2013," Kiel Discussion Papers 530/531, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    27. Dimitrios P. Louzis, 2015. "Steady-state priors and Bayesian variable selection in VAR forecasting," Working Papers 195, Bank of Greece.
    28. Nadri, Kamran & Ebrahimi, Sajad & Fadaie, Abbas, 2018. "Assessment of Financial Stability in the Banking Sector in Iran," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 13(4), pages 501-523, October.
    29. Mikhail Stolbov & Maria Shchepeleva, 2018. "Systemic risk in Europe: deciphering leading measures, common patterns and real effects," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 49-91, February.
    30. Dovern, Jonas & van Roye, Björn, 2014. "International transmission and business-cycle effects of financial stress," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 1-17.
    31. Apostolakis, George N. & Giannellis, Nikolaos, 2024. "International financial stress spillovers during times of unconventional monetary policy interventions," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    32. Chadwick, Meltem Gulenay & Ozturk, Huseyin, 2019. "Measuring financial systemic stress for Turkey: A search for the best composite indicator," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 151-172.
    33. Kappler, Marcus & Schleer, Frauke, 2017. "A financially stressed euro area," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, vol. 11, pages 1-37.
    34. Manfred Kremer, 2016. "Macroeconomic effects of financial stress and the role of monetary policy: a VAR analysis for the euro area," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 105-138, January.
    35. Joris de Wind & Katarzyna Grabska, 2016. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks: Continental Europe versus the Anglo-Saxon World," CPB Discussion Paper 335, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    36. Xuan Lv & Menggang Li & Yingjie Zhang, 2022. "Financial Stability and Economic Activity in China: Based on Mixed-Frequency Spillover Method," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-22, October.
    37. Ozcelebi, Oguzhan & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2025. "Impact of financial stress on the REIT market stability," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).

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