IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/117381.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Claims, Deposits and Financial Conditions in DR Congo: Impact of COVID-19 on the Financial System

Author

Listed:
  • PINSHI, Christian P.

Abstract

The COVID-19 pass-through on the financial system runs at supersonic speed and undermines financial stability with a contraction of claims on the private sector, withdrawal of deposits, and tightening the financial conditions. The main objective of this study is to investigate the unprecedented impact of the coronavirus on the Congolese financial system. An autoregressive Vector Bayesian model is used to test the relationship. Monthly series data from December 2013 to April 2020 is used. The results show that the COVID-19 pandemic negatively affects the Congolese financial system at different magnitudes. To reduce the negative impact, the government of Congo should quickly adapt macroeconomic and financial policies by boosting and injecting liquidity in the banking sector. At the same time, the financial system landscape would be enhanced by the expansion of Fintechs on the one hand, and the expansion of cyberattacks on the other. To make the most of the digitalization of the financial system and enhance the effectiveness of cybersecurity, financial institutions should implement smart policies and invest in research. This study is the first to be done in Congo to the best knowledge of the authors and is considered as a battery for further research in Africa and the world.

Suggested Citation

  • PINSHI, Christian P., 2023. "Claims, Deposits and Financial Conditions in DR Congo: Impact of COVID-19 on the Financial System," MPRA Paper 117381, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:117381
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/117381/1/Financial%20system%20and%20COVID-19.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Nikolay Hristov & Markus Roth, 2019. "Uncertainty Shocks and Financial Crisis Indicators," CESifo Working Paper Series 7839, CESifo.
    2. Laura E. Jackson & Kevin L. Kliesen & Michael T. Owyang, 2019. "A Bad Moon Rising? Uncertainty Shocks and Economic Outcomes," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 6, March.
    3. Christian Pinshi, 2018. "Les effets macroéconomiques de la chute des cours des produits de base: Evaluation sur la République démocratique du Congo," Post-Print hal-02566806, HAL.
    4. Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis & Stephen J. Terry, 2020. "COVID-Induced Economic Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 26983, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Pinshi, Christian P., 2020. "Monetary policy, uncertainty and COVID-19," MPRA Paper 100836, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 27 May 2020.
    6. Miguel Sarmiento, 2019. "The Impact of Exogenous Liquidity Shocks on Banks Funding Costs: Microevidence from the Unsecured Interbank Market," IHEID Working Papers 01-2019, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    7. Christian Pinshi, 2020. "COVID-19 uncertainty and monetary policy," Working Papers hal-02566796, HAL.
    8. Blejer, Mario I. & Feldman, Ernesto V. & Feltenstein, Andrew, 2002. "Exogenous shocks, contagion, and bank soundness: a macroeconomic framework," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 33-52, February.
    9. Alain MALATA & Christian PINSHI, 2020. "Fading The Effects Of Coronavirus With Monetary Policy," Theoretical and Practical Research in the Economic Fields, ASERS Publishing, vol. 11(2), pages 105-110.
    10. Yasin Mimir & Enes Sunel, 2019. "External Shocks, Banks, and Optimal Monetary Policy: A Recipe for Emerging Market Central Banks," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(2), pages 235-299, June.
    11. Valeriu Nalban & Andra Smadu, 2020. "Financial disruptions and heightened uncertainty: a case for timely policy action," Working Papers 687, DNB.
    12. Nguyen, Canh Phuc & Le, Thai-Ha & Su, Thanh Dinh, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty and credit growth: Evidence from a global sample," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    13. Jon Frost, 2020. "The economic forces driving FinTech adoption across countries," Working Papers 663, DNB.
    14. Bräuning, Falk & Ivashina, Victoria, 2020. "U.S. monetary policy and emerging market credit cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 57-76.
    15. Anna Zabai, 2020. "How are household finances holding up against the Covid-19 shock?," BIS Bulletins 22, Bank for International Settlements.
    16. Frederic Boissay & Daniel Rees & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2020. "Dealing with Covid-19: understanding the policy choices," BIS Bulletins 19, Bank for International Settlements.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. MALATA, Alain K. & PINSHI, Christian P., 2020. "Système financier et COVID-19 : Un examen de l’impact en RDC [Financial system and COVID-19: A review of the impact in the DRC]," MPRA Paper 107772, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. PINSHI, Christian P., 2020. "Arithmétique du Pass-through de la COVID 19 sur le Système financier Congolais [COVID-19 Pass-through Arithmetic on the Congolese Financial System]," MPRA Paper 101783, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Christian Pinshi, 2020. "Snapshot de l'incidence de l'épidémie de coronavirus en Afrique," Working Papers hal-02916833, HAL.
    4. Trung Duc Nguyen & Anh Hoang Le & Eleftherios I. Thalassinos & Lanh Kim Trieu, 2022. "The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Economic Growth and Monetary Policy: An Analysis from the DSGE Model in Vietnam," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-19, July.
    5. Sadananda Prusty & Anubha & Saurabh Gupta, 2021. "On the Road to Recovery: The Role of Post-Lockdown Stimulus Package," FIIB Business Review, , vol. 11(2), pages 206-224, June.
    6. Christian Pinshi, 2020. "COVID-19 uncertainty and monetary policy," Working Papers hal-02566796, HAL.
    7. Demiessie, Habtamu, 2020. "COVID-19 Pandemic Uncertainty Shock Impact on Macroeconomic Stability in Ethiopia," MPRA Paper 102625, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 31 Aug 2020.
    8. Brandt, Richard, 2021. "Economic Policy Uncertainty Index: Extension and optimization of Scott R. Baker, Nicholas Bloom and Steven J. Davis's search term," DoCMA Working Papers 5, TU Dortmund University, Dortmund Center for Data-based Media Analysis (DoCMA).
    9. Sinem Koçak & Özge Barış-Tüzemen, 2022. "Impact of the COVID-19 on foreign direct investment inflows in emerging economies: evidence from panel quantile regression," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-12, December.
    10. PINSHI, Christian P., 2020. "Uncertainty, monetary policy and COVID-19," MPRA Paper 100147, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. PINSHI, Christian P., 2022. "A Note on the Natural Rate of Dollarization: Mathematical Approximation of Limits," MPRA Paper 111671, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Ben salem, salha & slama, ines, 2021. "Modeling the impact of Coronavirus uncertainty on bank system vulnerability and monetary policy conduct," MPRA Paper 107391, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. PINSHI, Christian P., 2020. "Préserver l’Économie à l’Ere de la COVID-19 : Une Pensée Optimale à la Fujita [Safeguarding the Economy in the Age of COVID-19: A Fujita-style Optimal Thinking]," MPRA Paper 105107, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jul 2020.
    14. Deimantė Teresienė & Greta Keliuotytė-Staniulėnienė & Rasa Kanapickienė, 2021. "Sustainable Economic Growth Support through Credit Transmission Channel and Financial Stability: In the Context of the COVID-19 Pandemic," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-34, March.
    15. Pinshi, Christian P., 2020. "Monetary policy, uncertainty and COVID-19," MPRA Paper 100836, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 27 May 2020.
    16. Linh Tu Ho & Christopher Gan, 2021. "Foreign Direct Investment and World Pandemic Uncertainty Index: Do Health Pandemics Matter?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-15, March.
    17. Wright, Austin L. & Sonin, Konstantin & Driscoll, Jesse & Wilson, Jarnickae, 2020. "Poverty and economic dislocation reduce compliance with COVID-19 shelter-in-place protocols," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 544-554.
    18. Kumar, Anand & Priya, Bhawna & Srivastava, Samir K., 2021. "Response to the COVID-19: Understanding implications of government lockdown policies," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 76-94.
    19. Miescu, Mirela & Rossi, Raffaele, 2021. "COVID-19-induced shocks and uncertainty," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    20. Georgiadis, Georgios & Zhu, Feng, 2021. "Foreign-currency exposures and the financial channel of exchange rates: Eroding monetary policy autonomy in small open economies?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19; Claims; Deposits; Financial conditions; Congolese Financial system; uncertainty;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:117381. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.