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Publications

by members of

Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

These are publications listed in RePEc written by members of the above institution who are registered with the RePEc Author Service. Thus this compiles the works all those currently affiliated with this institution, not those affilated at the time of publication. List of registered members. Register yourself. Citation analysis. This page is updated in the first days of each month.
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Working papers

2026

  1. Roberto Coronado, 2026, "Developing a strong workforce requires collaboration," Speeches and Essays, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 103650, Aug.
  2. Christa Deneault & Evan Riehl & Jian Zou, 2026, "Disparate Impacts of Teacher Certification Exams," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2602, Feb, DOI: 10.24149/wp2602.
  3. Christa Deneault & Evan Riehl, 2026, "Should States Reduce Teacher Licensing Requirements? Evidence from the Rise of For-Profit Training Programs in Texas," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2618, Jul, DOI: 10.24149/wp2618.
  4. Samuel Dodini & Alexander Willen, 2026, "The Power to Discriminate," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2611, Apr, DOI: 10.24149/wp2611.
  5. Reaser, Robert & Kay, Owen & Taylor, Reid, 2026, "Processing Power: The Effect of Data Centers on Wholesale Electricity Markets," 2026 Annual Meeting, July 26 - 28, 2026, Kansas City, Missouri, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 404751, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.404751.
  6. Owen Kay & Lutz Kilian & Reid Taylor, 2026, "Data center boom expected to raise electricity component of PCE inflation," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 102868, Mar.
  7. Silvia Goncalves & Ana Maria Herrera & Lutz Kilian & Elena Peavento & Iones Kelanemer Holban, 2026, "Semiparametric Local Projections," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2606.13519, Jun.
  8. Chudik, Alexander & Kilian, Lutz, 2026, "Mean Group and Pooled Mixed-Frequency Estimators of Responses of Low-Frequency Variables to High-Frequency Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21162, Feb.
  9. Kilian, Lutz & Plante, Michael D. & Richter, Alexander W. & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2026, "The Impact of the 2026 Iran War on U.S. Inflation: A Scenario Analysis," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21373, Apr.
  10. Kilian, Lutz & Plante, Michael D. & Richter, Alexander W., 2026, "How Times Have Changed: The Impact of the 2026 Iran War on the U.S. Economy," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21650, Jun.
  11. Lutz Kilian, 2026, "Lessons from the destabilization of inflation in the 1970s," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 102856, Feb.
  12. Lutz Kilian & Michael D. Plante & Alexander W. Richter, 2026, "What the closure of the Strait of Hormuz means for the global economy," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 102957, Mar.
  13. Lutz Kilian & Michael D. Plante & Alexander W. Richter & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2026, "Implications of the Iran war for U.S. inflation," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 103086, Apr.
  14. Lutz Kilian & Michael D. Plante & Alexander W. Richter, 2026, "U.S. economy less vulnerable to geopolitical oil price shocks than in the past," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 103434, Jun.
  15. Lutz Kilian & Kunal Patel, 2026, "What the Iran War Teaches Us about the Price Elasticity of Oil Supply," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2625, Aug, DOI: 10.24149/wp2625.
  16. Dawn Chinagorom-Abiakalam & Fernando Leibovici, 2026, "U.S. Import Price Dynamics Following the 2025 Tariffs," On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 102825, Feb.
  17. Dawn Chinagorom-Abiakalam & Fernando Leibovici, 2026, "Oil Prices and Container Shipping Costs," On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 103563, Jul.
  18. Maximiliano Dvorkin & Fernando Leibovici & Melanie LeTourneau & Ana Maria Santacreu, 2026, "Tariff Effects on Inflation Stabilize in Recent Months," On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 103654, Aug.
  19. Ron Mau & Tucker Smith, 2026, "Effects of realized tariff changes on PCE prices peaked in first quarter 2026," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 103184, May.
  20. Enrique Martínez García & Ron Mau, 2026, "How USMCA compliance cushioned the 2025 tariff shock," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 103618, Aug.
  21. Enrique Martínez García & Ron Mau, 2026, "Mitigating tariffs via USMCA may have limited 2025 price increases," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 103683, Aug.
  22. Lorie Logan & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2026, "Options for reducing the size of the Fed’s balance sheet," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 103007, Apr.
  23. Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2026, "Discussion of 'An Efficient Liquidity Savings Mechanism' by Darrell Duffie, Srisht Fateh Singh and Chaojun Wang," Speeches and Essays, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 103514, Jul.

2025

  1. Roberto Coronado, 2025, "Regional Economic Update," Speeches and Essays, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 101542, May.
  2. Christa Deneault, 2025, "Local Labor Markets and Selection into the Teaching Profession," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2522, Jun, DOI: 10.24149/wp2522.
  3. Samuel Dodini & Katrine V. Løken & Petter Lundborg & Alexander Willen, 2025, "The Fatal Consequences of Brain Drain," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2528, Aug, DOI: 10.24149/wp2528.
  4. Owen Kay & Michael David Ricks, 2025, "Time-Limited Subsidies: Optimal Taxation with Implications for Renewable Energy Subsidies," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2530, Aug, DOI: 10.24149/wp2530.
  5. Owen Kay, 2025, "Pollution Taxes and Clean Subsidies in an Open Economy," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2533, Aug, DOI: 10.24149/wp2533.
  6. Gabriel Ehrlich & Owen Kay & Aditi Thapar, 2025, "Public Debt Levels and Real Interest Rates: Causal Evidence from Parliamentary Elections," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2539, Nov, DOI: 10.24149/wp2539.
  7. Ham, Dasom & Kay, Owen & Hausman, Catherine, 2025, "Power Flows, Part 2: Transmission Lowers US Generation Costs, But Generator Incentives Are Not Aligned," RFF Working Paper Series, Resources for the Future, number 25-10, Apr.
  8. Laila Assanie & Ethan Dixon & Emily Kerr, 2025, "Has the Beige Book become disconnected from economic data?," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 100011, May.
  9. Isabel Brizuela & Emily Kerr & Robert Leigh, 2025, "Texas economic sentiment upbeat amid price pressures, uncertainty," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 99521, Feb.
  10. Jesus Cañas & Emily Kerr & Diego Morales-Burnett, 2025, "Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Survey Methodology, Performance and Forecast Accuracy," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2532, Aug, DOI: 10.24149/wp2532.
  11. Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2025, "The Conventional Impulse Response Prior in VAR Models with Sign Restrictions," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20159, Apr.
  12. Lutz Kilian & Michael D. Plante & Alexander W. Richter, 2025, "Geopolitical oil price risk not a major driver of global macroeconomic fluctuations," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 99566, Feb.
  13. Lutz Kilian, 2025, "Impulse Response Diagnostics for Priors on Parameters in Structural Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2507, Feb, DOI: 10.24149/wp2507.
  14. Dawn Chinagorom-Abiakalam & Fernando Leibovici, 2025, "Import Source Reallocation and Aggregate Price Dynamics in the United States," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 2025-018, Aug, DOI: 10.20955/wp.2025.018.
  15. Dawn Chinagorom-Abiakalam & Fernando Leibovici, 2025, "How Changes in Trade Partners Have Affected U.S. Import Prices," On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 101467, Aug.
  16. Maximiliano Dvorkin & Fernando Leibovici & Ana Maria Santacreu, 2025, "How Tariffs Are Affecting Prices in 2025," On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 101953, Oct.
  17. Dawn Chinagorom-Abiakalam & Fernando Leibovici, 2025, "Nontariff Trade Barriers in the U.S. and EU," On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 99814, Apr.
  18. Tyler Atkinson & Ron Mau, 2025, "Is inflation still slowing? Early 2025 data pivotal to outlook," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 99565, Feb.
  19. Alexander Chudik & Ron Mau, 2025, "Strong U.S. employment driven by sectors less sensitive to business cycles," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 99758, Apr.
  20. R. Jay Kahn & Matthew McCormick, 2025, "Proportionate margining for repo transactions," FEDS Notes, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2025-02-14-1, Feb, DOI: 10.17016/2380-7172.3722.
  21. Hugo De Vere & Srini Ramaswamy & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2025, "Accounting for interest rate risk: Matching Fed assets to liabilities," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 101409, Aug.
  22. Lorie Logan & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2025, "Options for modernizing the FOMC’s operating target interest rate," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 101893, Sep.
  23. Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2025, "A simple measure of monetary policy transmission," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 102282, Dec.
  24. Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2025, "Monetary policy implementation and the consolidated government balance sheet," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 99847, Apr.
  25. Gene Amromin & Kenechukwu E. Anadu & Falk Bräuning & Amy Chapel & Rebecca Chmielewski & Meeoak Cho & Patricia K. Cowperthwait & Lorenzo Garza & Cindy E. Hull & Siobhan Sanders & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl & , 2025, "Technology Providers and Financial Stability: Overview of Risks and Regulatory Frameworks," Supervisory Research and Analysis Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, number SRA 25-01, Jun.
  26. Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2025, "Risk management in an interconnected economy," Speeches and Essays, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 101974, Oct.
  27. Hugo De Vere & Srini Ramaswamy & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2025, "An Asset-Liability Management Approach to the Federal Reserve Balance Sheet," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2525, Jul, DOI: 10.24149/wp2525.
  28. Grace Ozor & Xiaohan Zhang, 2025, "Falling rates no assurance of homeowner refinancing binge," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 101525, Aug.
  29. Garrett Golding & Claire Jeffress & Xiaohan Zhang, 2025, "Renewable energy jobs surge, though data differ on where and by how much," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 101538, Aug.
  30. Haoyang Liu & W. Ben McCartney & Rodney Ramcharan & Calvin Zhang & Xiaohan Zhang, 2025, "Household Finance Shapes Political Participation: Evidence from Mortgage Refinancing," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2517, May, revised 03 Mar 2026, DOI: 10.24149/wp2517r1.

2024

  1. Roberto Coronado, 2024, "Understanding the evolving relationship between the United States and Mexico," Speeches and Essays, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 98192, Apr.
  2. Roberto Coronado, 2024, "Texas Economic Update," Speeches and Essays, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 99091, Oct.
  3. Emily Kerr & Ana Pranger, 2024, "Texas economy moderates toward more normal growth in 2024," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 97788, Feb.
  4. Jesus Cañas & Emily Kerr, 2024, "Texas firms use AI with little employment impact so far," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 98445, Jun.
  5. Ethan Dixon & Emily Kerr, 2024, "Texas economy grows modestly; business outlooks brighten," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 99324, Dec.
  6. Jesus Cañas & Aparna Jayashankar & Emily Kerr & Diego Morales-Burnett, 2024, "Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Survey Methodology, Performance and Forecast Accuracy," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2402, Mar, DOI: 10.24149/wp2402.
  7. Kilian, Lutz & Rapson, David & Schipper, Burkhard, 2024, "The Impact of the 2022 Oil Embargo and Price Cap on Russian Oil Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 18934, Mar.
  8. Kilian, Lutz & Plante, Michael D. & Richter, Alexander W., 2024, "Geopolitical Oil Price Risk and Economic Fluctuations," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19113, May.
  9. Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2024, "When Is the Use of Gaussian-inverse Wishart-Haar Priors Appropriate?," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19227, Jul.
  10. Goncalves, Silvia & Herrera, Ana Maria & Kilian, Lutz & Pesavento, Elena, 2024, "Nonparametric Local Projections," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19684, Nov.
  11. Lutz Kilian & David Rapson, 2024, "How global oil sanctions lowered Russian oil export prices," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 98240, May.
  12. Fernando Leibovici & David Wiczer, 2024, "Firm Exit and Liquidity: Evidence from the Great Recession," FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, number 13, Sep, DOI: 10.29338/wp2024-13.
  13. Tasso Adamopoulos & Fernando Leibovici, 2024, "Trade Risk and Food Security," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 2024-004, Feb, revised 05 Nov 2025, DOI: 10.20955/wp.2024.004.
  14. Jason Dunn & Fernando Leibovici, 2024, "Shipping Disruptions in the Red Sea: Ripples across the Globe," On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 97816, Feb.
  15. Dawn Chinagorom-Abiakalam & Fernando Leibovici, 2024, "How Cheap Are U.S. Imports from China?," On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 98829, Sep.
  16. Tyler Atkinson & Ron Mau, 2024, "Inflation forecasts based on money growth proved accurate in 2021, though generally unreliable," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 97794, Feb.
  17. Anton Cheremukhin & Sewon Hur & Ron Mau & Alexander W. Richter, 2024, "Surging population growth from immigration may have little effect on inflation," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 98529, Jul.
  18. Tyler Atkinson & Ron Mau, 2024, "Running the economy hotter for longer could steepen Phillips curve," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 98649, Jul.
  19. Anton Cheremukhin & Sewon Hur & Ron Mau & Karel Mertens & Alexander W. Richter & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2024, "The Postpandemic U.S. Immigration Surge: New Facts and Inflationary Implications," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2407, Oct, revised 30 Sep 2025, DOI: 10.24149/wp2407r1.
  20. Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2024, "Anticipatory discount window stigma," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 98766, Sep.
  21. Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2024, "Opening Remarks for FIA Forum: Commodities 2024, Panel Discussion on the 2025 Outlook," Speeches and Essays, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 98832, Sep.
  22. Stefania D'Amico & Max Gillet & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl & Tim Seida, 2024, "Open-Ended Treasury Purchases: From Market Functioning to Financial Easing," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, number WP 2024-08, Mar, DOI: 10.21033/wp-2024-08.

2023

  1. Samuel Dodini & Kjell G. Salvanes & Alexander Willén & Li Zhu & Alexander L.P. Willén, 2023, "The Career Effects of Union Membership," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 10469.
  2. Samuel Dodini & Anna Stansbury & Alexander Willén & Alexander L.P. Willén, 2023, "How Do Firms Respond to Unions?," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 10873.
  3. Dodini, Samuel & Willén, Alexander & Zhu, Julia Li, 2023, "The Role of Labor Unions in Immigrant Integration," Discussion Paper Series in Economics, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Economics, number 24/2023, Dec.
  4. Samuel Dodini & Michael F. Lovenheim & Kjell G. Salvanes & Alexander Willén, 2023, "Monopsony, Job Tasks, and Labor Market Concentration," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 30823, Jan.
  5. Samuel Dodini & Michael F. Lovenheim & Alexander Willén, 2023, "The Changing Skill Content of Private Sector Union Coverage," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 31576, Aug.
  6. Emily Kerr & Ana Pranger, 2023, "Texas modestly grows with soft landing likely," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 95669, Feb.
  7. Tyler Atkinson & Emily Kerr, 2023, "Wage growth still exceeds 3 percent despite slowing in business survey measures," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 96518, Aug.
  8. Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2023, "Heterogeneity in the Pass-Through from Oil to Gasoline Prices: A New Instrument for Estimating the Price Elasticity of Gasoline Demand," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 10350.
  9. Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2023, "Heterogeneity in the Pass-Through from Oil to Gasoline Prices: A New Instrument for Estimating the Price Elasticity of Gasoline," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 17804, Jan.
  10. Kilian, Lutz & Plante, Michael D. & Richter, Alexander W., 2023, "Jointly Estimating Macroeconomic News and Surprise Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 18201, Jun.
  11. Kilian, Lutz, 2023, "How to Construct Monthly VAR Proxies Based on Daily Futures Market Surprises," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 18348, Aug.
  12. Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2023, "Oil Price Shocks and Inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 18416, Sep.
  13. Lutz Kilian & Kunal Patel, 2023, "Trade diversion has helped ease the impact of the embargo on Russian oil," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 95713, Feb.
  14. Sílvia Gonçalves & Ana María Herrera & Lutz Kilian & Elena Pesavento, 2023, "State-Dependent Local Projections," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2302, Apr, DOI: 10.24149/wp2302.
  15. Lutz Kilian & Michael D. Plante & Alexander W. Richter, 2023, "Estimating Macroeconomic News and Surprise Shocks," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2304, Apr, revised 22 Mar 2024, DOI: 10.24149/wp2304r2.
  16. Jason Dunn & Fernando Leibovici, 2023, "Navigating the Waves of Global Shipping: Drivers and Aggregate Implications," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 2023-002, Feb, revised Aug 2024, DOI: 10.20955/wp.2023.002.
  17. Miguel Faria-e-Castro & Fernando Leibovici, 2023, "Artificial Intelligence and Inflation Forecasts," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 2023-015, Jul, revised 26 Feb 2024, DOI: 10.20955/wp.2023.015.
  18. Jason Dunn & Fernando Leibovici, 2023, "How U.S. Import Shipping Costs Vary across Countries and Industries," On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 96010, Apr.
  19. Jason Dunn & Fernando Leibovici, 2023, "Supply Chain Disruptions and Inventory Dynamics," On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 96555, Aug.
  20. Isabel Gödl-Hanisch & Ronald Mau & Jonathan Rawls, 2023, "Monetary Policy Interactions: The Policy Rate, Asset Purchases, and Optimal Policy with an Interest Rate Peg," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 10399.
  21. Ron Mau & Fang Yang, 2023, "State and local governments rake in surpluses after pandemic," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 97516, Dec.
  22. R. Jay Kahn & Matthew McCormick & Vy Nguyen & Mark Paddrik & H. Peyton Young, 2023, "OFR Identifies Factors That May Have Contributed to the 2019 Spike in Repo Rates," The OFR Blog, Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury, number 23-10, Apr.
  23. R. Jay Kahn & Matthew McCormick & Vy Nguyen & Mark Paddrik & H. Peyton Young, 2023, "Anatomy of the Repo Rate Spikes in September 2019," Working Papers, Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury, number 23-04, Apr.
  24. Laila Assanie & Amy Chapel & Lorenzo Garza & Emily Greenwald & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2023, "New office buildings rise on Texas skyline despite difficult market," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 96736, Sep.
  25. Gara Afonso & Kyungmin Kim & Antoine Martin & Ed Nosal & Simon M. Potter & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2023, "Monetary Policy Implementation with Ample Reserves," FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, number 2023-10, Aug, DOI: 10.29338/wp2023-10.
  26. Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2023, "Price discovery, risk transfer and energy finance," Speeches and Essays, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 97513, May.
  27. Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2023, "Commodity derivatives markets and financial stability," Speeches and Essays, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 97514, Sep.
  28. Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2023, "Remarks before the Market Risk Advisory Committee of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading," Speeches and Essays, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 97515, Dec.
  29. Emily Greenwald & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl & Josh Younger, 2023, "Deposit Convexity, Monetary Policy and Financial Stability," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2315, Oct, DOI: 10.24149/wp2315.
  30. Emily Ryder Perlmeter & Nitzan Tzur-Ilan & Xiaohan Zhang, 2023, "COVID-era eviction moratoriums improved financial well-being...while they lasted," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 95962, Apr.
  31. Ana Hernández Kent & Xiaohan Zhang, 2023, "Child Care: Critical to the Economy but Difficult to Access and Afford," On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 96009, Apr.

2022

  1. Samuel Dodini & Jeff Larrimore & Anna Tranfaglia, 2022, "Financial Repercussions of SNAP Work Requirements," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2022-030, May, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2022.030.
  2. Dodini, Samuel & Løken, Katrine & Willén, Alexander, 2022, "The Effect of Labor Market Competition on Firms, Workers, and Communities," Discussion Paper Series in Economics, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Economics, number 17/2022, Nov.
  3. Juliette Coia & Emily Kerr, 2022, "Pace of Texas Economic Growth Slows as Supply-Chain, Staffing Woes Persist," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 93670, Feb.
  4. Lutz Kilian & Michael D. Plante & Alexander W. Richter, 2022, "Macroeconomic Responses to Uncertainty Shocks: The Perils of Recursive Orderings," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 10121.
  5. Goncalves, Silvia & Herrera, Ana Maria & Kilian, Lutz & Pesavento, Elena, 2022, "When do state-dependent local projections work?," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 17265, Apr.
  6. Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2022, "A Broader Perspective on the Inflationary Effects of Energy Price Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 17763, Dec.
  7. Garrett Golding & Lutz Kilian, 2022, "A Ban on U.S. Crude Oil Exports Would Not Lower Gasoline Prices at the Pump," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 93654, Jan.
  8. Lutz Kilian & Michael D. Plante, 2022, "The Russian Oil Supply Shock of 2022," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 93885, Mar.
  9. Lutz Kilian & Kunal Patel & Michael D. Plante, 2022, "Capacity Constraints Drive the OPEC+ Supply Gap," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 94098, Apr.
  10. Garrett Golding & Lutz Kilian, 2022, "Don’t Look to Oil Companies to Lower High Retail Gasoline Prices," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 94177, May.
  11. Tyler Atkinson & Evan F. Koenig & Ezra Max, 2022, "Nominal GDP Outlook Suggests It's Time to End Monetary Accommodation," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 93666, Jan.
  12. David Kohn & Fernando Leibovici & Michal Szkup, 2022, "Financial Frictions and International Trade: A Review," Working Papers, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE), number 113, Feb.
  13. Jason Dunn & Fernando Leibovici, 2022, "The Dynamics of International Shipping Costs," On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 94059, Jan.
  14. Jason Dunn & Fernando Leibovici, 2022, "The Dynamics of International Shipping Supply," On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 94073, Feb.
  15. Jason Dunn & Fernando Leibovici, 2022, "Trade Linkages in the Shadow of the Russia-Ukraine War," On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 94124, Mar.
  16. Serdar Birinci & Fernando Leibovici & Kurt See, 2022, "The Allocation of Immigrant Talent across Countries: Employment Gaps," On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 94644, Aug.
  17. Matthew McCormick & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2022, "Expanded central clearing would increase Treasury market resilience," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 95412, Dec.

2021

  1. Samuel Dodini & Kjell Salvanes & Alexander L.P. Willén & Kjell G. Salvanes, 2021, "The Dynamics of Power in Labor Markets: Monopolistic Unions versus Monopsonistic Employers," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 9495.
  2. Dodini, Samuel & Lovenheim, Michael & Willén , Alexander, 2021, "Understanding the Decline in Private Sector Unionization: A Skill-based Approach," Discussion Paper Series in Economics, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Economics, number 7/2021, Mar.
  3. Emily Kerr & Chloe N. Smith, 2021, "Texas Economy Soft in January, but Outlook Optimistic for Later in 2021," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 89804, Feb.
  4. Emily Kerr & Christopher Slijk, 2021, "Delta Surge Disrupts Texas Firms Less than Earlier COVID-19 Waves, Dallas Fed Surveys Say," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 93379, Nov.
  5. Lutz Kilian & Nikos Nomikos & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2021, "Container Trade and the U.S. Recovery," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 9154.
  6. Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2021, "The Impact of Rising Oil Prices on U.S. Inflation and Inflation Expectations in 2020-23," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 9455.
  7. Kilian, Lutz, 2021, "Comment on Giacomini, Kitagawa and Read’s ‘Narrative Restrictions and Proxies’," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 16818, Dec.
  8. Lutz Kilian, 2021, "What Can Be Learned from the Persistent Electric Power Outages in Texas?," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 90558, Apr.
  9. Lutz Kilian & Michael D. Plante, 2021, "Oil Market’s Tightening in February Seemingly Defies Fundamentals," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 90853, Apr.
  10. Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2021, "Limited Impact of Rising Energy Prices on U.S. Inflation, Inflation Expectations in 2020–23," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 93433, Nov.
  11. Lutz Kilian, 2021, "Comment on Giacomini, Kitagawa and Read's 'Narrative Restrictions and Proxies'," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2117, Dec, DOI: 10.24149/wp2117.
  12. Tyler Atkinson & Jim Dolmas & Marc Giannoni & Evan F. Koenig, 2021, "What the Trimmed Mean Says About Future Inflation: Broadening Price Pressures Ahead," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 92900, Jul.
  13. Serdar Birinci & Fernando Leibovici & Kurt See, 2021, "The Allocation of Immigrant Talent: Macroeconomic Implications for the U.S. and Across Countries," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 2021-004, Apr, revised 16 Jun 2025, DOI: 10.20955/wp.2021.004.
  14. Matthew Famiglietti & Fernando Leibovici, 2021, "The Impact of Health and Economic Policies on the Spread of COVID-19 and Economic Activity," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 2021-005, Apr, revised Jan 2022, DOI: 10.20955/wp.2021.005.
  15. Fernando Leibovici, 2021, "Critical Goods and International Trade Dependence in the U.S," On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 94026, Aug.
  16. David Kohn & Fernando Leibovici & Michal Szkup, 2021, "Financial Frictions and International Trade," Documentos de Trabajo, Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., number 563.
  17. Serdar Birinci & Fernando Leibovici & Kurt See, 2021, "Immigrant Misallocation," LIS Working papers, LIS Cross-National Data Center in Luxembourg, number 809, Apr.
  18. Matthew McCormick & Mark E. Paddrik & Carlos Ramírez, 2021, "The Dynamics of the U.S. Overnight Triparty Repo Market," FEDS Notes, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2021-08-02, Aug, DOI: 10.17016/2380-7172.2948.
  19. Kevin Clark & Adam Copeland & R. Jay Kahn & Antoine Martin & Matthew McCormick & Will Riordan & Timothy Wessel, 2021, "How Competitive are U.S. Treasury Repo Markets?," Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 20210218, Feb.
  20. Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2021, "Externalities in securities clearing and settlement: Should securities CCPs clear trades for everyone?," Policy Discussion Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, number PDP-2021-02, Mar, DOI: 10.21033/pdp-2021-02.
  21. Andrew F. Haughwout & Haoyang Liu & Dean Parker & Xiaohan Zhang, 2021, "Do People View Housing as a Good Investment and Why?," Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 20210405b, Apr.

2020

  1. Salvanes, Kjell G & Dodini, Samuel & Lovenheim, Michael F. & Willén, Alexander, 2020, "Monopsony, Skills, and Labor Market Concentration," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 15412, Oct.
  2. Emily Kerr & Christopher Slijk, 2020, "Insights from Dallas Fed Surveys: Uneven Economic Recovery Likely in Texas," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 88557, Aug.
  3. Emily Kerr & Chloe N. Smith, 2020, "Texas Economy Building Momentum to Start Year," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 89295, Feb.
  4. Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2020, "The Econometrics of Oil Market VAR Models," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8153.
  5. Lutz Kilian & Nikos Nomikos & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2020, "A Quantitative Model of the Oil Tanker Market in the Arabian Gulf," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8332.
  6. Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2020, "Oil Prices, Gasoline Prices and Inflation Expectations: A New Model and New Facts," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8516.
  7. Lutz Kilian, 2020, "Understanding the Estimation of Oil Demand and Oil Supply Elasticities," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8567.
  8. Kilian, Lutz & Inoue, Atsushi, 2020, "The Role of the Prior in Estimating VAR Models with Sign Restrictions," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 15545, Dec.
  9. Lutz Kilian, 2020, "How the Saudi Decision to Launch a Price War Is Reshaping the Global Oil Market," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 87781, Apr.
  10. Lutz Kilian & Michael D. Plante & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2020, "How Falling Oil Prices in Early 2020 Weakened the U.S. Economy," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 88010, May.
  11. Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2020, "Gasoline Demand More Responsive to Price Changes than Economists Once Thought," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 88265, Jun.
  12. Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2020, "A New View of the Relationship Between Oil Prices, Gasoline Prices and Inflation Expectations," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 88778, Sep.
  13. Lutz Kilian, 2020, "What Is the U.S. Oil Industry Doing About Greenhouse Gas Emissions?," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 89266, Dec.
  14. Sílvia Gonçalves & Ana María Herrera & Lutz Kilian & Elena Pesavento, 2020, "Impulse Response Analysis for Structural Dynamic Models with Nonlinear Regressors," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2019, Jun, DOI: 10.24149/wp2019.
  15. Atsushi Inoue & Lutz Kilian, 2020, "Joint Bayesian Inference about Impulse Responses in VAR Models," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2022, Jul, DOI: 10.24149/wp2022.
  16. Evan F. Koenig, 2020, "Monetary Policy in Time of Pandemic," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 87818, Apr.
  17. Tyler Atkinson & Jim Dolmas & Christoffer Koch & Evan F. Koenig & Karel Mertens & Anthony Murphy & Kei-Mu Yi, 2020, "Dallas Fed Mobility and Engagement Index Gives Insight into COVID-19’s Economic Impact," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 88098, May.
  18. Tyler Atkinson & Jim Dolmas & Christoffer Koch & Evan F. Koenig & Karel Mertens & Anthony Murphy & Kei-Mu Yi, 2020, "Mobility and Engagement Following the SARS-Cov-2 Outbreak," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2014, May, DOI: 10.24149/wp2014.
  19. Fernando Leibovici & Ana Maria Santacreu, 2020, "Shortages of Critical Goods in a Global Economy: Optimal Trade and Industrial Policy," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 2020-010, May, revised 20 Jun 2025, DOI: 10.20955/wp.2020.010.
  20. David Kohn & Fernando Leibovici & Michal Szkup, 2020, "No Credit, No Gain: Trade Liberalization Dynamics, Production Inputs, and Financial Development," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 2020-038, Oct, revised Sep 2022, DOI: 10.20955/wp.2020.038.
  21. Matthew Famiglietti & Fernando Leibovici & Ana Maria Santacreu, 2020, "Social Distancing and Contact-Intensive Occupations," On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 87739, Mar.
  22. Matthew Famiglietti & Fernando Leibovici & Ana Maria Santacreu, 2020, "How the Impact of Social Distancing Ripples through the Economy," On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 87754, Apr.
  23. Fernando Leibovici & Makenzie Peake & Ana Maria Santacreu, 2020, "How Much Does the U.S. Rely on Other Countries for Essential Medical Equipment?," On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 87755, Apr.
  24. Fernando Leibovici & Makenzie Peake & Ana Maria Santacreu, 2020, "Protectionism and Dependence on Imports of Essential Medical Equipment," On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 87757, Apr.
  25. Matthew Famiglietti & Fernando Leibovici & Ana Maria Santacreu, 2020, "Reopening the U.S. Economy an Industry at a Time," On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 87957, May.
  26. Matthew Famiglietti & Fernando Leibovici, 2020, "Immigrant Workers and U.S. Trade Activity," On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 88736, Sep.
  27. Fernando Leibovici & Ana Maria Santacreu, 2020, "A Growing Trade Deficit? Medical Goods Imports Plays a Role," On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 89047, Nov.
  28. Matthew Famiglietti & Fernando Leibovici & Ana Maria Santacreu, 2020, "Employment Losses in Contact-Intensive Industries," On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 89135, Dec.
  29. Gara Afonso & Kyungmin Kim & Antoine Martin & Ed Nosal & Simon M. Potter & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2020, "Monetary Policy Implementation with an Ample Supply of Reserves," FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, number 2020-2, Jan, DOI: 10.29338/wp2020-02.
  30. Andrew F. Haughwout & Haoyang Liu & Xiaohan Zhang, 2020, "Who Has Been Evicted and Why?," Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 20200708b, Jul.
  31. Rawley Heimer & Haoyang Liu & Xiaohan Zhang, 2020, "Are People Overconfident about Avoiding COVID-19?," Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 20201007, Oct.
  32. Zhang, Xiaohan, 2020, "Parents in Temperance," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 101038.

2019

  1. Wenhua Di & Emily Kerr & Christopher Slijk, 2019, "Failed Background Check, Drug Testing Stall Hiring of Low-Skilled Workers," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 89309, Oct.
  2. Emily Kerr & Christopher Slijk, 2019, "Labor Scarcity, Trade Woes Squeeze Texas Business, Survey Finds," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 89323, Jul.
  3. Lutz Kilian, 2019, "Measuring Global Real Economic Activity: Do Recent Critiques Hold Up to Scrutiny?," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7461.
  4. Lutz Kilian & Zhou Xiaoqing, 2019, "Oil Prices, Exchange Rates and Interest Rates," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7484.
  5. Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqin Zhou, 2019, "Does Drawing Down the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve Help Stabilize Oil Prices?," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7753.
  6. Lutz Kilian, 2019, "Facts and Fiction in Oil Market Modeling," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7902.
  7. Atsushi Inoue & Lutz Kilian, 2019, "The Uniform Validity of Impulse Response Inference in Autoregressions," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 1908, Aug, DOI: 10.24149/wp1908.
  8. Evan F. Koenig, 2019, "Has U.S. Monetary Policy Gone Off Track?," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 89328, Jun.
  9. Jim Dolmas & Evan F. Koenig, 2019, "Room to Grow? Inflation and Labor Market Slack," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 89330, May.
  10. Jim Dolmas & Evan F. Koenig, 2019, "Which Core to Believe? Trimmed Mean Versus Ex-Food-and-Energy Inflation," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 89331, May.
  11. Evan F. Koenig & Keith R. Phillips, 2019, "Inverted Yield Curve (Nearly Always) Signals Tight Monetary Policy, Rising Unemployment," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 89354, Feb.
  12. Jim Dolmas & Evan F. Koenig, 2019, "Two Measures of Core Inflation: A Comparison," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 1903, Feb, DOI: 10.24149/wp1903.
  13. Fernando Leibovici & David Wiczer, 2019, "Firm-level credit ratings and default in the Great Recession: Theory and evidence," 2019 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 1389.

2018

  1. Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2018, "Modeling Fluctuations in the Global Demand for Commodities," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 18-4, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2018-4.
  2. Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2018, "The Propagation of Regional Shocks in Housing Markets: Evidence from Oil Price Shocks in Canada," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 18-56, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2018-56.
  3. Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2018, "Structural Interpretation of Vector Autoregressions with Incomplete Identification: Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Demand Shocks: Comment," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7166.
  4. Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2018, "Structural Interpretation of Vector Autoregressions with Incomplete Information: Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Demand S," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 13068, Jul.
  5. Anna Creti & Duc Khuong Nguyen & Lutz Kilian, 2018, "Energy Challenges in an Uncertain World," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-02313954, DOI: 10.5547/01956574.39.SI2.acre.
  6. David Kohn & Fernando Leibovici & Håkon Tretvoll, 2018, "Trade in Commodities and Business Cycle Volatility," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 2018-5, Jul, DOI: 10.20955/wp.2018.005.
  7. Fernando Leibovici, 2018, "Financial Development and International Trade," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 2018-015, Aug, revised Feb 2021, DOI: 10.20955/wp.2018.015.
  8. David Kohn & Fernando Leibovici & Michal Szkup, 2018, "Financial Frictions, Trade, and Misallocation," 2018 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 385.
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  9. James A. Clouse & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2018, "A Sequential Bargaining Model of the Fed Funds Market with Excess Reserves," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, number WP-2018-8, May, DOI: 10.21033/wp-2018-08.
  10. Antoine Martin & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2018, "How Do the Fed's MBS Purchases Affect Credit Allocation?," Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 20180806, Aug.
  11. Antoine Martin & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2018, "How Do the Fed's MBS Holdings Affect the Economy?," Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 20180808, Aug.
  12. Greg Kaplan & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2018, "The Changing (Dis-)Utility of Work," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 24738, Jun.

2017

  1. Christiane Baumeister & Reinhard Ellwanger & Lutz Kilian, 2017, "Did the Renewable Fuel Standard Shift Market Expectations of the Price of Ethanol?," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 17-35, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2017-35.
  2. Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2017, "Is the Discretionary Income Effect of Oil Price Shocks a Hoax?," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 17-50, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2017-50.
  3. Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2017, "Lower Oil Prices and the U.S. Economy: Is this Time Different?," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 6322.
  4. Lutz Kilian, 2017, "How the Tight Oil Boom Has Changed Oil and Gasoline Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 6380.
  5. David Kohn & Fernando Leibovici & Michal Szkup, 2017, "Financial Frictions and Export Dynamics in Large Devaluations," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 2017-13, May, DOI: 10.20955/wp.2017.013.
  6. Virgiliu Midrigan & Fernando Leibovici & Julio Blanco, 2017, "Human Capital and Financial Development," 2017 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 1187.
  7. David Bowman & Joshua Louria & Matthew McCormick & Mary-Frances Styczynski, 2017, "The Cleared Bilateral Repo Market and Proposed Repo Benchmark Rates," FEDS Notes, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2017-02-27-2, Feb, DOI: 10.17016/2380-7172.1940.
  8. Fatih Guvenen & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl & Motohiro Yogo, 2017, "Worker Betas: Five Facts About Systematic Earnings Risk," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, number WP-2017-4, Jan.
  9. Greg Kaplan & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2017, "Inflation at the Household Level," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, number WP-2017-13, Sep.
  10. Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2017, "The Age-Time-Cohort Problem and the Identification of Structural Parameters in Life-Cycle Models," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, number WP-2017-18, Oct.

2016

  1. Samuel Dodini & Jeff Larrimore & Jenny Schuetz, 2016, "What are the Perceived Barriers to Homeownership for Young Adults?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2016-021, Mar, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2016.021.
  2. Samuel Dodini, 2016, "Findings on Relative Deprivation from the Survey of Household Economics and Decisionmaking," FEDS Notes, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2016-06-29, Jun, DOI: 10.17016/2380-7172.1791.
  3. Samuel Dodini & Alejandra A. Lopez-Fernandini & Ellen A. Merry & Logan Thomas, 2016, "Consumers and Mobile Financial Services 2016," Reports and Studies, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 1777, Mar.
  4. Samuel Dodini & Jeff Larrimore & Logan Thomas, 2016, "Report on the Economic Well-Being of U.S. Households in 2015," Reports and Studies, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2085, May.
  5. Samuel Dodini & Alejandra A. Lopez-Fernandini & Ellen A. Merry & Logan Thomas, 2016, "Consumers and Mobile Finance Services 2016," Reports and Studies, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 89178, Mar.
  6. Stephanie Moulton & Donald Haurin & Samuel Dodini & Maximilian D. Schmeiser, 2016, "How Home Equity Extraction and Reverse Mortgages Affect the Credit Outcomes of Senior Households," Working Papers, University of Michigan, Michigan Retirement Research Center, number wp351, Sep.
  7. Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2016, "A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices with an Application to Crude Oil," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 16-18, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2017-18.
  8. Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2016, "Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations: Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5709.
  9. Lutz Kilian, 2016, "The Impact of the Shale Oil Revolution on U.S. Oil and Gasoline Prices," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5723.
  10. Pablo Guerron-Quintana & Atsushi Inoue & Lutz Kilian, 2016, "Impulse Response Matching Estimators for DSGE Models," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5730.
  11. Lutz Kilian & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2016, "The Role of Oil Price Shocks in Causing U.S. Recessions," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5743.
  12. Atsushi Inoue & Lutz Kilian, 2016, "Joint Confidence Sets for Structural Impulse Responses," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5746.
  13. Lutz Kilian, 2016, "The Impact of the Fracking Boom on Arab Oil Producers," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5751.
  14. Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2016, "Understanding the Decline in the Price of Oil since June 2014," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5755.
  15. Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian & Thomas K. Lee, 2016, "Inside the Crystal Ball: New Approaches to Predicting the Gasoline Price at the Pump," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5759.
  16. John Coglianese & Lucas W. Davis & Lutz Kilian & James H. Stock, 2016, "Anticipation, Tax Avoidance, and the Price Elasticity of Gasoline Demand," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5764.
  17. N. Kundan Kishor & Evan F. Koenig, 2016, "The roles of inflation expectations, core inflation, and slack in real-time inflation forecasting," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 1613, Nov, DOI: 10.24149/wp1613.
  18. Fernando Leibovici & Michael E. Waugh, 2016, "International Trade and Intertemporal Substitution," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 2017-4, Jun, DOI: 10.20955/wp.2017.004.
  19. Ana Maria Santacreu & Fernando Leibovici, 2016, "International Trade Fluctuations and Monetary Policy," 2016 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 367.
  20. Timothy S. Fuerst & Ron Mau, 2016, "Term Premium Variability and Monetary Policy," Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 1611, May.
  21. Greg Kaplan & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2016, "Inflation at the Household Level: Web Appendix," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, number 732, Apr.

2015

  1. Samuel Dodini & Donald R. Haurin & Stephanie Moulton & Maximilian D. Schmeiser, 2015, "How House Price Dynamics and Credit Constraints affect the Equity Extraction of Senior Homeowners," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2015-70, Sep, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2015.070.
  2. Alexandra Brown & Samuel Dodini & Arturo Gonzalez & Ellen A. Merry & Logan Thomas, 2015, "Consumers and Mobile Financial Services 2015," Reports and Studies, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 1536, Mar.
  3. Mario Arthur-Bentil & Samuel Dodini & Jeff Larrimore & Logan Thomas, 2015, "Report on the Economic Well-Being of U.S. Households in 2014," Reports and Studies, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 1690, May.
  4. Alexandra Brown & Samuel Dodini & Arturo Gonzalez & Ellen A. Merry & Logan Thomas, 2015, "Consumers and Mobile Finance Services 2015," Reports and Studies, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 89179, Mar.
  5. Robert E. Hall & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2015, "Measuring Job-Finding Rates and Matching Efficiency with Heterogeneous Jobseekers," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, number 721, Feb.
  6. Greg Kaplan & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2015, "Understanding the Long-Run Decline in Interstate Migration: Online Appendix," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, number 725, Jun.

2014

  1. Jesus Cañas & Emily Kerr, 2014, "Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: survey methodology and performance," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 1416, Dec, DOI: 10.24149/wp1416.
  2. Christiane Baumeister & Pierre Guérin & Lutz Kilian, 2014, "Do High-Frequency Financial Data Help Forecast Oil Prices? The MIDAS Touch at Work," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 14-11, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2014-11.
  3. Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian & Thomas K. Lee, 2014, "Are There Gains from Pooling Real-Time Oil Price Forecasts?," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 14-46, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2014-46.
  4. Kilian, Lutz, 2014, "Oil Price Shocks: Causes and Consequences," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 9823, Feb.
  5. Sam Schulhofer-Wohl & Robert Hall, 2014, "Measuring Matching Efficiency with Heterogeneous Jobseekers," 2014 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 368.

2013

  1. Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2013, "What Central Bankers Need to Know about Forecasting Oil Prices," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 13-15, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2013-15.
  2. Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2013, "Are Product Spreads Useful for Forecasting? An Empirical Evaluation of the Verleger Hypothesis," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 13-25, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2013-25.
  3. Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2013, "Forecasting the Real Price of Oil in a Changing World: A Forecast Combination Approach," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 13-28, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2013-28.
  4. Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2013, "Do Oil Price Increases Cause Higher Food Prices?," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 13-52, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2013-52.
  5. Kilian, Lutz & Lee, Thomas K, 2013, "Quantifying the Speculative Component in the Real Price of Oil: The Role of Global Oil Inventories," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 9297, Jan.
  6. Pierre-Andre Chiappori & Krislert Samphantharak & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl & Robert M. Townsend, 2013, "Heterogeneity and risk sharking in village economies," Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, number 483.
  7. Pierre-Andre Chiappori & Krislert Samphantharak & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl & Robert M. Townsend, 2013, "Portfolio choices and risk preferences in village economies," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, number 706.

2012

  1. Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2012, "Real-Time Analysis of Oil Price Risks Using Forecast Scenarios," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 12-1, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2012-1.
  2. Kilian, Lutz & Fattouh, Bassam & Mahadeva, Lavan, 2012, "The Role of Speculation in Oil Markets: What Have We Learned So Far?," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 8916, Mar.
  3. Kilian, Lutz & Bodenstein, Martin & Guerrieri, Luca, 2012, "Monetary policy responses to oil price fluctuations," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 8928, Apr.
  4. Kilian, Lutz & Vigfusson, Robert J., 2012, "Do Oil Prices Help Forecast U.S. Real GDP? The Role of Nonlinearities and Asymmetries," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 8980, May.
  5. Albouy, David & Leibovici, Fernando & Warman, Casey, 2012, "Quality of Life, Firm Productivity, and the Value of Amenities across Canadian Cities," Queen's Economics Department Working Papers, Queen's University - Department of Economics, number 274551, Jan, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.274551.
  6. Dinkelman, Taryn & Schulhofer-Wohl, Sam, 2012, "Migration, Congestion Externalities, and the Evaluation of Spatial Investments," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 9126, Sep.
  7. Miguel Garrido & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2012, "Do newspapers matter? Short-run and long-run evidence from the closure of The Cincinnati Post," Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, number 474.
  8. Greg Kaplan & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2012, "Understanding the long-run decline in interstate migration," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, number 697.

2011

  1. Roberto Coronado, 2011, "Offshoring and volatility: more evidence from Mexico's maquiladora industry," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 1106.
  2. Jesus Cañas & Roberto Coronado & Robert W. Gilmer & Eduardo Saucedo, 2011, "The impact of the maquiladora industry on U.S. border cities," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 1107.
  3. Roberto Coronado & James Nordlund & Keith R. Phillips, 2011, "Factors behind the convergence of economic performance across U.S. states," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 1108.
  4. Ron Alquist & Lutz Kilian & Robert Vigfusson, 2011, "Forecasting the Price of Oil," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 11-15, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2011-15.
  5. Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2011, "Real-Time Forecasts of the Real Price of Oil," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 11-16, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2011-16.
  6. Kilian, Lutz & Vigfusson, Robert J., 2011, "Nonlinearities in the Oil Price-Output Relationship," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 8174, Jan.
  7. Kilian, Lutz & Inoue, Atsushi, 2011, "Inference on Impulse Response Functions in Structural VAR Models," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 8419, Jun.
  8. Kilian, Lutz, 2011, "Structural Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 8515, Aug.
    • Lutz Kilian, 2013, "Structural vector autoregressions," Chapters, Edward Elgar Publishing, chapter 22, in: Nigar Hashimzade & Michael A. Thornton, "Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics".
  9. Adriana Fernandez & Evan F. Koenig & Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, 2011, "A real-time historical database for the OECD," Globalization Institute Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 96.
  10. Evan F. Koenig, 2011, "Monetary policy, financial stability, and the distribution of risk," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 1111, DOI: 10.24149/wp1111.
  11. Michal Szkup & Fernando Leibovici & David Kohn, 2011, "Financial Frictions and Export Dynamics," 2011 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 1014.
  12. Greg Kaplan & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2011, "A sharp drop in interstate migration? not really," Economic Policy Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, number 11-2.
  13. Greg Kaplan & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2011, "Interstate migration has fallen less than you think: consequences of hot deck imputation in the Current Population Survey," Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, number 458.
  14. Sam Schulhofer-Wohl & Yang Yang, 2011, "Modeling the evolution of age and cohort effects in social research," Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, number 461.
  15. Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2011, "Heterogeneity and tests of risk sharing," Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, number 462.
  16. Sam Schulhofer-Wohl & Greg Kaplan, 2011, "Migration in a flattening world," 2011 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 1236.
  17. Sam Schulhofer-Wohl & Taryn Dinkelman, 2011, "Evaluating the welfare effects of a location-based program in the presence of migration: A method and some examples," 2011 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 1371.

2010

  1. Jesus Cañas & Roberto Coronado & Pia M. Orrenius & Madeline Zavodny, 2010, "Do remittances boost economic development? Evidence from Mexican states," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 1007.
  2. Kilian, Lutz & Murphy, Daniel, 2010, "The Role of Inventories and Speculative Trading in the Global Market for Crude Oil," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 7753, Mar.
  3. Lutz KILIAN & Simone MANGANELLI, 2010, "Quantifying the Risk of Deflation," EcoMod2004, EcoMod, number 330600076, Jan.
  4. Kilian, Lutz, 2010, "Oil price volatility: Origins and effects," WTO Staff Working Papers, World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division, number ERSD-2010-02, DOI: 10.30875/9b9f6bc8-en.
  5. N. Kundan Kishor & Evan F. Koenig, 2010, "Yield spreads as predictors of economic activity: a real-time VAR analysis," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 1008.
  6. Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2010, "Negative equity does not reduce homeowners' mobility," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, number 682.

2009

  1. Roberto Coronado, 2009, "Business cycles and remittances: can the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition provide new evidence?," Globalization Institute Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 40.
  2. Kilian, Lutz & Davis, Lucas W, 2009, "Estimating the Effect of a Gasoline Tax on Carbon Emissions," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 7161, Feb.
  3. Kilian, Lutz & Hicks, Bruce, 2009, "Did Unexpectedly Strong Economic Growth Cause the Oil Price Shock of 2003-2008?," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 7265, Apr.
  4. Kilian, Lutz & Kim, Yun Jung, 2009, "Do Local Projections Solve the Bias Problem in Impulse Response Inference?," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 7266, Apr.
  5. Kilian, Lutz & Vigfusson, Robert J., 2009, "Pitfalls in Estimating Asymmetric Effects of Energy Price Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 7284, Apr.
  6. Kilian, Lutz, 2009, "Oil Price Shocks, Monetary Policy and Stagflation," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 7324, Jun.
  7. Kilian, Lutz & Inoue, Atsushi & Guerron-Quintana, Pablo A., 2009, "Frequentist Inference in Weakly Identified DSGE Models," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 7447, Sep.
  8. Kilian, Lutz & Murphy, Daniel, 2009, "Why Agnostic Sign Restrictions Are Not Enough: Understanding the Dynamics of Oil Market VAR Models," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 7471, Sep.
  9. Kilian, Lutz & Lewis, Logan, 2009, "Does the Fed Respond to Oil Price Shocks?," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 7594, Dec.
  10. Benjamin D. Keen & Evan F. Koenig, 2009, "How robust are popular models of nominal frictions?," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 0903.
  11. Sam Schulhofer-Wohl & Andriy Norets, 2009, "Heterogeneity in income processes," 2009 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 999.

2008

  1. Kilian, Lutz, 2008, "Why Does Gasoline Cost so Much? A Joint Model of the Global Crude Oil Market and the U.S. Retail Gasoline Market," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 6919, Jul.
  2. Kilian, Lutz & Vega, Clara, 2008, "Do Energy Prices Respond to U.S. Macroeconomic News? A Test of the Hypothesis of Predetermined Energy Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 7015, Oct.
  3. Lucas W. Davis & Lutz Kilian, 2008, "The Allocative Cost of Price Ceilings in the U.S. Residential Market for Natural Gas," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 14030, May.
  4. Evan F. Koenig, 2008, "Keynesian economics without the LM and IS curves: a dynamic generalization of the Taylor-Romer model," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 0813.

2007

  1. Kilian, Lutz & Manganelli, Simone, 2007, "The Central Banker as a Risk Manager: Estimating the Federal Reserve's Preferences under Greenspan," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 6031, Jan.
  2. Kilian, Lutz & Davis, Lucas W, 2007, "The Allocative Cost of Price Ceilings: Lessons to be Learned from the US Residential Market for Natural Gas," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 6142, Feb.
  3. Kilian, Lutz & Park, Cheolbeom, 2007, "The Impact of Oil Price Shocks on the U.S. Stock Market," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 6166, Mar.
  4. Kilian, Lutz & Edelstein, Paul, 2007, "Retail Energy Prices and Consumer Expenditures," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 6255, Apr.
  5. Kilian, Lutz & Rebucci, Alessandro & Spatafora, Nikola, 2007, "Oil Shocks and External Balances," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 6303, May.
  6. Kilian, Lutz & Edelstein, Paul, 2007, "The Response of Business Fixed Investment to Changes in Energy Prices: A Test of Some Hypotheses About the Transmission of Ener," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 6507, Oct.
  7. Kilian, Lutz & Alquist, Ron, 2007, "What Do We Learn from the Price of Crude Oil Futures?," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 6548, Nov.
  8. Kilian, Lutz, 2007, "The Economic Effects of Energy Price Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 6559, Nov.
  9. Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2007, "Heterogeneity, Risk Sharing and the Welfare Costs of Risk," 2007 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 926.

2006

  1. Diebold, F.X. & Kilian, L. & Nerlove, Marc, 2006, "Time Series Analysis," Working Papers, University of Maryland, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, number 28556, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.28556.
  2. Kilian, Lutz & Inoue, Atsushi & ,, 2006, "Do Actions Speak Louder than Words? Household Expectations of Inflation Based on Micro Consumption Data," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 5790, Aug.
  3. Kilian, Lutz, 2006, "Not All Oil Price Shocks Are Alike: Disentangling Demand and Supply Shocks in the Crude Oil Market," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 5994, Dec.

2005

  1. Jesus Cañas & Roberto Coronado & Robert W. Gilmer & Keith R. Phillips, 2005, "Framing the future: tomorrow's border economy," Vista, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 1.
  2. Jesus Cañas & Roberto Coronado & Jose Joaquin Lopez, 2005, "Cyclical differences emerge in border city economies," Vista, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2.
  3. Kilian, Lutz, 2005, "Exogenous Oil Supply Shocks: How Big Are They and How Much do they Matter for the US Economy?," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 5131, Jul.
  4. Kilian, Lutz & Inoue, Atsushi, 2005, "How Useful is Bagging in Forecasting Economic Time Series? A Case Study of US CPI Inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 5304, Oct.
  5. Kilian, Lutz, 2005, "The Effects of Exogenous Oil Supply Shocks on Output and Inflation: Evidence from the G7 Countries," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 5404, Dec.
  6. N. Kundan Kishor & Evan F. Koenig, 2005, "VAR estimation and forecasting when data are subject to revision," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 0501.

2004

  1. Thomas M Fullerton Jr & Roberto Coronado, 2004, "Restaurant Prices and the Mexican Peso," International Finance, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 0403004, Mar.
  2. Kilian, Lutz & Inoue, Atsushi, 2004, "Bagging Time Series Models," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 4333, Mar.
  3. Barsky, Robert & Kilian, Lutz, 2004, "Oil and the Macroeconomy Since the 1970s," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 4496, Jul.
  4. Evan F. Koenig, 2004, "Optimal monetary policy in economies with "sticky-information" wages," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 0405.

2003

  1. Roberto Coronado & Pia M. Orrenius, 2003, "The Effect of Undocumented Immigration and Border Enforcement on Crime Rates along the U.S.-Mexico Border," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 0303.
  2. Silvia Gonçalves & Lutz Kilian, 2003, "Bootstrapping Autoregressions with Conditional Heteroskedasticity of Unknown Form," CIRANO Working Papers, CIRANO, number 2003s-17, Apr.
  3. Silvia Gonçalves & Lutz Kilian, 2003, "Asymptotic and Bootstrap Inference for AR( Infinite ) Processes with Conditional Heteroskedasticity," CIRANO Working Papers, CIRANO, number 2003s-28, May.
  4. Kilian, Lutz & Inoue, Atsushi, 2003, "On the Selection of Forecasting Models," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 3809, Mar.
  5. Kilian, Lutz & Manganelli, Simone, 2003, "The Central Banker as a Risk Manager: Quantifying and Forecasting Inflation Risks," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 3918, Jun.

2002

  1. Kilian, Lutz & Inoue, Atsushi, 2002, "In-Sample or Out-of-Sample Tests of Predictability: Which One Should We Use?," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 3671, Dec.

2001

  1. Kilian, Lutz & Ivanov, Ventzislav, 2001, "A Practitioner's Guide to Lag-Order Selection for Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 2685, Jan.
  2. Taylor, Mark & Kilian, Lutz, 2001, "Why is it so Difficult to Beat the Random Walk Forecast of Exchange Rates?," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 3024, Oct.
  3. Robert B. Barsky & Lutz Kilian, 2001, "Do We Really Know that Oil Caused the Great Stagflation? A Monetary Alternative," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 8389, Jul.
  4. Evan F. Koenig, 2001, "What goes down must come up: understanding time-variation in the NAIRU," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 0101.

2000

  1. Barsky, Robert & Kilian, Lutz, 2000, "A Monetary Explanation Of The Great Stagflation Of The 1970s," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 2389, Feb.
  2. Diebold, Francis & Kilian, Lutz, 2000, "Measuring Predictability: Theory And Macroeconomic Applications," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 2424, Apr.
  3. Kilian, Lutz & Caner, Mehmet, 2000, "Size Distortions Of Tests Of The Null Hypothesis Of Stationarity: Evidence And Implications For The PPP Debate," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 2425, Apr.
  4. Atsushi Inoue & Lutz Kilian, 2000, "Bootstrapping Autoregressive Processes with Possible Unit Roots," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers, Econometric Society, number 0401, Aug.
  5. Sheila Dolmas & Evan F. Koenig & Jeremy M. Piger, 2000, "The use and abuse of "real-time" data in economic forecasting," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 0004.

1999

  1. Kilian, Lutz & Zha, Tao, 1999, "Quantifying the Half-Life of Deviations from PPP: The Role of Economic Priors," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 2334, Dec.
  2. Jeremy Berkowitz & Ionel Birgean & Lutz Kilian, 1999, "On the finite-sample accuracy of nonparametric resampling algorithms for economic time series," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 1999-04.
  3. Kilian, L. & Ohanian, L.E., 1999, "Unit Roots, Trend Breaks and Transitory Dynamics: A Macroeconomic Perspective," Papers, Michigan - Center for Research on Economic & Social Theory, number 99-02.
  4. Kilian, L. & Bergean, I., 1999, "Data-Driven Nonparametric Spectral Density Estimators for Economic Time Series: A Monte Carlo Study," Papers, Michigan - Center for Research on Economic & Social Theory, number 99-04.
  5. Francis X. Diebold & Lutz Kilian, 1999, "Unit Root Tests are Useful for Selecting Forecasting Models," New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-, number 99-063, Jan.
  6. Mehmet Caner & Lutz Kilian, 1999, "Size Distortions of Tests of the Null Hypothesis of Stationarity: Evidence and Implications for Applied Work," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999, Society for Computational Economics, number 511, Mar.

1998

  1. Mehmet Caner & Lutz Kilian, 1998, "A Direct test of the Emerging Consensus about Long-Run PPP," Working Papers, Department of Economics, Bilkent University, number 9823.
  2. Lutz Kilian & Lee E. Ohanian, 1998, "Is there a trend break in U.S. GNP? A macroeconomic perspective," Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, number 244, DOI: 10.21034/sr.244.
  3. Kilian, L., 1998, "Pitfalls in Constructing Bootstrap Confidence Intervals for Asymptotically Pivotal Statistics," Papers, Michigan - Center for Research on Economic & Social Theory, number 98-04.
  4. Kilian, L. & Caner, M., 1998, "Analyzing Unit Root Tests in Finite Samples Using Power Profiles," Papers, Michigan - Center for Research on Economic & Social Theory, number 98-05.
  5. Kilian, L. & Chang, P.L., 1998, "How Reliable Are VAR Estimates of Responses to Monetary bPolicy Shocks?," Papers, Michigan - Center for Research on Economic & Social Theory, number 98-06.
  6. William G. Gale & Evan F. Koenig & Diane Lim Rogers & John Sabelhaus, 1998, "Taxing Government in a National Retail Sales Tax: Technical Paper 1999-5," Working Papers, Congressional Budget Office, number 13343, Oct.

1997

  1. Kilian, L. & Demiroglu, U., 1997, "Residual-Based Bootstrap Tests for Normality in Autoregressions," Papers, Michigan - Center for Research on Economic & Social Theory, number 97-14.
  2. Kilian, L., 1997, "Exchange rates and Fundamentals: What Do We Learn From Long-Horizon Regressions?," Working Papers, Research Seminar in International Economics, University of Michigan, number 401.
  3. Sheila Dolmas & Evan F. Koenig, 1997, "Real-time GDP Growth Forecasts," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 9710.

1996

  1. Evan F. Koenig, 1996, "Aggregate price adjustment: the Fischerian alternative," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 9615.

1995

  1. Evan F. Koenig, 1995, "Targeting nominal income: a closer look," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 9518.

1994

  1. Evan F. Koenig, 1994, "Capacity utilization and the evolution of manufacturing output: a closer look at the "bounce-back effect."," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 9402.
  2. Evan F. Koenig, 1994, "The P* model of inflation revisited," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 9414.

1993

  1. Kenneth M. Emery & Evan F. Koenig, 1993, "Why the composite index of leading indicators doesn't lead," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 9318.
  2. Evan F. Koenig, 1993, "Searching for a stable M2-demand equation," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 9339.

1992

  1. Evan F. Koenig, 1992, "Nominal feedback rules for monetary policy: some comments," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 9211.
  2. Kenneth M. Emery & Evan F. Koenig, 1992, "Forecasting turning points: is a two-state characterization of the business cycle appropriate?," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 9214.

1990

  1. Evan F. Koenig, 1990, "Is increased price flexibility stabilizing? The role of the permanent income hypothesis," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 9011.

1989

  1. Evan F. Koenig, 1989, "Real money balances and the timing of consumption: an empirical investigation," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 8906.
  2. Evan F. Koenig, 1989, "Are the permanent-income model of consumption and the accelerator model of investment compatible?," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 8915.

1988

  1. Evan F. Koenig, 1988, "Investment and the nominal interest rate: the variable velocity case," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 8805.

Undated

  1. Jeremy Berkowitz & Lutz Kilian, undated, "Recent Developments in Bootstrapping Time Series," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 1996-45, revised 10 Dec 2019.

Journal articles

2026

  1. Christa Deneault & Dylan Council & Isabel Dhillon, 2026, "Texas community college enrollment slips while four-year rates stay stable," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, June.
  2. Isabel Dhillon & Samuel Dodini & Kamran Haq & Jeanna Kenney, 2026, "Higher interest rates transform housing market, Texas real estate workforce," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, January.
  3. Lutz Kilian & David Rapson & Burkhard Schipper, 2026, "The Impact of the 2022 Oil Embargo and Price Cap on Russian Oil Prices," The Energy Journal, , volume 47, issue 3, pages 1-39, May, DOI: 10.1177/01956574251414076.
  4. Atsushi Inoue & Lutz Kilian, 2026, "When Is the Use of Gaussian-Inverse Wishart-Haar Priors Appropriate?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, volume 134, issue 2, pages 773-794, DOI: 10.1086/738339.
  5. Atsushi Inoue & Lutz Kilian, 2026, "The Conventional Impulse Response Prior in VAR Models With Sign Restrictions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 41, issue 3, pages 310-322, April, DOI: 10.1002/jae.70037.
  6. Lutz Kilian & Michael D. Plante & Alexander W. Richter, 2026, "Estimating Macroeconomic News and Surprise Shocks," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 41, issue 5, pages 597-612, August, DOI: 10.1002/jae.70059.

2025

  1. Christa Deneault & Pia M. Orrenius, 2025, "Texas learns lessons from for-profit alternative teacher certification," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, October.
  2. Samuel Dodini & Michael Lovenheim & Alexander Willén, 2025, "The Changing Skill Content of Private-Sector Union Coverage," ILR Review, Cornell University, ILR School, volume 78, issue 2, pages 381-406, March, DOI: 10.1177/00197939241264735.
  3. Michael David Ricks & Owen Kay, 2025, "Time-Limited Subsidies: Optimal Taxation with Implications for Renewable Energy Subsidies," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, volume 133, issue 12, pages 3801-3845, DOI: 10.1086/738139.
  4. Isabel Brizuela & Emily Kerr & Pia M. Orrenius & Madeline Zavodny, 2025, "Immigration crackdown likely contributing to weak Texas job growth," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, October.
  5. Emily Kerr, 2025, "Waco building on ‘Fixer Upper,’ Baylor notoriety to reinvent itself," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, May.
  6. Kilian, Lutz, 2025, "Impulse response diagnostics for priors on parameters in structural vector autoregressions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 253, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112390.
  7. Lutz Kilian & Michael D. Plante & Alexander W. Richter, 2025, "Macroeconomic Responses to Uncertainty Shocks: The Perils of Recursive Orderings," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 40, issue 4, pages 395-410, June, DOI: 10.1002/jae.3113.
  8. Gödl-Hanisch, Isabel & Mau, Ronald & Rawls, Jonathan, 2025, "Monetary policy interactions: The policy rate, asset purchases, and optimal policy with an interest rate peg," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 174, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2025.104985.

2024

  1. Dodini, Samuel & Larrimore, Jeff & Tranfaglia, Anna, 2024, "Financial repercussions of SNAP work requirements," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, volume 229, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2023.105034.
  2. Samuel Dodini & Michael Lovenheim & Kjell Salvanes & Alexander Willén, 2024, "Monopsony, Job Tasks and Labour Market Concentration," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 134, issue 661, pages 1914-1949.
  3. Emily Kerr & Robert Leigh & Luis Torres, 2024, "Texas high tech shakes off post-pandemic slump, readies new growth path," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, May.
  4. Emily Kerr, 2024, "No bull: Cattle prices reach record high, herd size lowest since 1950," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, July.
  5. Kilian, Lutz, 2024, "How to construct monthly VAR proxies based on daily surprises in futures markets," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 168, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104966.
  6. Gonçalves, Sílvia & Herrera, Ana María & Kilian, Lutz & Pesavento, Elena, 2024, "State-dependent local projections," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 244, issue 2, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2024.105702.
  7. Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2024, "Heterogeneity in the pass-through from oil to gasoline prices: A new instrument for estimating the price elasticity of gasoline demand," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, volume 232, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2024.105099.
  8. Jason Dunn & Fernando Leibovici, 2024, "Decoupling Where it Matters? US Imports from China in Critical Sectors," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 1, pages 1-3, January, DOI: 10.20955/es.2024.1.
  9. Miguel Faria-e-Castro & Fernando Leibovici, 2024, "Artificial Intelligence and Inflation Forecasts," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, volume 106, issue 12, pages 1-14, November, DOI: 10.20955/r.2024.12.
  10. Ai, Jingyi & Feng, Jin & Zhang, Xiaohan, 2024, "Long-term care insurance coverage and labor force participation of older people: Evidence from China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 86, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102192.
  11. Li, Zongru & Zhang, Xiaohan & Tao, Zhe & Wang, Binbin, 2024, "Enterprise digital transformation and supply chain management," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 60, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2023.104883.

2023

  1. Christa Deneault, 2023, "College Enrollment and Mandatory FAFSA Applications: Evidence from Louisiana," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, volume 15, issue 3, pages 465-494, August, DOI: 10.1257/pol.20210360.
  2. Dodini, Samuel, 2023, "The spillover effects of labor regulations on the structure of earnings and employment: Evidence from occupational licensing," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, volume 225, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2023.104947.
  3. Samuel Dodini, 2023, "Insurance Subsidies, the Affordable Care Act, and Financial Stability," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 42, issue 1, pages 97-136, January, DOI: 10.1002/pam.22418.
  4. Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2023, "A broader perspective on the inflationary effects of energy price shocks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 125, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2023.106893.
  5. Lutz Kilian & Nikos Nomikos & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2023, "Container Trade and the U.S. Recovery," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 19, issue 1, pages 417-450, March.
  6. Lutz Kilian & Nikos Nomikos & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2023, "A Quantitative Model of the Oil Tanker Market in the Arabian Gulf," The Energy Journal, , volume 44, issue 5, pages 95-114, September, DOI: 10.5547/01956574.44.4.lkil.
  7. Serdar Birinci & Fernando Leibovici & Kurt See, 2023, "The Allocation of Immigrant Talent Across Countries: Earnings Gaps," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 2, pages 1-3, January, DOI: 10.20955/es.2023.2.
  8. Jason Dunn & Fernando Leibovici, 2023, "US Barriers to International Trade of Goods: Tariffs and Non-Tariff Measures," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 9, pages 1-3, April, DOI: 10.20955/es.2023.9.
  9. Jason Dunn & Fernando Leibovici, 2023, "International Trade Dependence and Inventory Dynamics," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 17, pages 1-3, August, DOI: 10.20955/es.2023.17.
  10. David Kohn & Fernando Leibovici & Michal Szkup, 2023, "No Credit, No Gain: Trade Liberalization Dynamics, Production Inputs, And Financial Development," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, volume 64, issue 2, pages 809-836, May, DOI: 10.1111/iere.12620.
  11. Ronald Mau, 2023, "What Is in a Name? Purchases and Sales of Financial Assets as a Monetary Policy Instrument," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 55, issue 6, pages 1507-1533, September, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12993.
  12. Kahn, R. Jay & McCormick, Matthew & Nguyen, Vy & Paddrik, Mark & Young, H. Peyton, 2023, "Anatomy of the Repo Rate Spikes in September 2019," Journal of Financial Crises, Yale Program on Financial Stability (YPFS), volume 5, issue 4, pages 1-25, July.

2022

  1. Emily Kerr & Christopher Slijk, 2022, "Supply Chains Slowly Mend as Texas Firms View Recovery in 2023," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Third Qua.
  2. Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2022, "Joint Bayesian inference about impulse responses in VAR models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 231, issue 2, pages 457-476, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2021.05.010.
  3. Kilian, Lutz, 2022, "Understanding the estimation of oil demand and oil supply elasticities," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 107, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2022.105844.
  4. Kilian, Lutz, 2022, "Facts and fiction in oil market modeling," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 110, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2022.105973.
  5. Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2022, "The impact of rising oil prices on U.S. inflation and inflation expectations in 2020–23," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 113, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2022.106228.
  6. Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2022, "Oil prices, exchange rates and interest rates," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 126, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2022.102679.
  7. Lutz Kilian, 2022, "Comment on Giacomini, Kitagawa, and Read’s “Narrative Restrictions and Proxies”," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 40, issue 4, pages 1429-1433, October, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2022.2102022.
  8. Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2022, "Oil prices, gasoline prices, and inflation expectations," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 37, issue 5, pages 867-881, August, DOI: 10.1002/jae.2911.
  9. Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2022, "The Propagation of Regional Shocks in Housing Markets: Evidence from Oil Price Shocks in Canada," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 54, issue 4, pages 953-987, June, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12847.
  10. N. Kundan Kishor & Evan F. Koenig, 2022, "Finding a Role for Slack in Real-Time Inflation Forecasting," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 18, issue 2, pages 245-282, June.
  11. Famiglietti, Matthew & Leibovici, Fernando, 2022, "The impact of health and economic policies on the spread of COVID-19 and economic activity," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 144, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2022.104087.
  12. Serdar Birinci & Fernando Leibovici & Kurt See, 2022, "The Allocation of Immigrant Talent in the United States," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 23, pages 1-3, August, DOI: 10.20955/es.2022.23.
  13. Jason Dunn & Fernando Leibovici, 2022, "U.S. Trade of Semiconductors: Cross-Country Patterns and Historical Dynamics," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 31, pages 1-3, December, DOI: 10.20955/es.2022.31.
  14. Jason Dunn & Fernando Leibovici, 2022, "The Increased Tradability of Natural Gas," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 32, pages 1-3, December, DOI: 10.20955/es.2022.32.
  15. Jason Dunn & Fernando Leibovici, 2022, "International Shipping Costs: Determinants and Outlook," The Regional Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, November.
  16. Liu, Haoyang & Song, Yang & Zhang, Xiaohan, 2022, "Moving to better opportunities? Housing market responses to the top 4% policy," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, volume 97, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2022.103829.

2021

  1. Roberto Coronado & Keighton Hines, 2021, "Spotlight: Missteps Along U.S.–Mexico Border Hinder Movement of COVID-19 Biomedical Trade," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Third Qua.
  2. Emily Kerr & Keith R. Phillips & Judy Teng, 2021, "COVID-19 Slammed into Texas, Leaving Long-Lasting Impacts," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue First Qua.
  3. Gonçalves, Sílvia & Herrera, Ana María & Kilian, Lutz & Pesavento, Elena, 2021, "Impulse response analysis for structural dynamic models with nonlinear regressors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 225, issue 1, pages 107-130, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2021.06.009.
  4. David Kohn & Fernando Leibovici & Håkon Tretvoll, 2021, "Trade in Commodities and Business Cycle Volatility," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, volume 13, issue 3, pages 173-208, July, DOI: 10.1257/mac.20180131.
  5. Matthew Famiglietti & Fernando Leibovici, 2021, "The Economic and Epidemiological Impact of COVID-19 and Government Policies: Part 1," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 14, pages 1-2, July, DOI: 10.20955/es.2021.14.
  6. Matthew Famiglietti & Fernando Leibovici, 2021, "The Economic and Epidemiological Impact of COVID-19 and Government Policies: Part 2," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 15, pages 1-3, July, DOI: 10.20955/es.2021.15.
  7. Jason Dunn & Fernando Leibovici, 2021, "Supply Chain Bottlenecks and Inflation: The Role of Semiconductors," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 28, pages 1-2, December, DOI: 10.20955/es.2021.28.
  8. Matthew Famiglietti & Fernando Leibovici, 2021, "COVID-19 Containment Measures, Health and the Economy," The Regional Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, volume 29, issue 1, February.
  9. Jesse LaBelle & Fernando Leibovici & Ana Maria Santacreu, 2021, "Global Value Chains and U.S. Economic Activity During COVID-19," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, volume 103, issue 3, pages 271-288, May, DOI: 10.20955/r.103.271-88.
  10. Fernando Leibovici, 2021, "Financial Development and International Trade," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, volume 129, issue 12, pages 3405-3446, DOI: 10.1086/716564.
  11. Kyle Binder & Alejandro Drexler & Emily Greenwald & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2021, "Bank Exposure to Commercial Real Estate and the Covid-19 Pandemic," Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, issue 463, pages 1-7, November.
  12. Alberto, Ivan Carlo & Jiao, Yang & Zhang, Xiaohan, 2021, "Too hot or too cold to study? The effect of temperature on student time allocation," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, volume 84, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econedurev.2021.102152.
  13. Feng, Jin & Xie, Qiang & Zhang, Xiaohan, 2021, "Trade liberalization and the health of working-age adults: Evidence from China," World Development, Elsevier, volume 139, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2020.105344.

2020

  1. Stephanie Moulton & Donald Haurin & Samuel Dodini & Maximilian D. Schmeiser, 2020, "How federally insured reverse mortgages affect the credit outcomes of older adults," Journal of Consumer Affairs, Wiley Blackwell, volume 54, issue 4, pages 1298-1327, December, DOI: 10.1111/joca.12331.
  2. Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2020, "The uniform validity of impulse response inference in autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 215, issue 2, pages 450-472, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2019.10.001.
  3. Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2020, "Does drawing down the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve help stabilize oil prices?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 35, issue 6, pages 673-691, September, DOI: 10.1002/jae.2798.
  4. Kohn, David & Leibovici, Fernando & Szkup, Michal, 2020, "Financial frictions and export dynamics in large devaluations," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 122, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2019.103257.
  5. Matthew Famiglietti & Fernando Leibovici, 2020, "COVID-19’s Shock on Firms’ Liquidity and Bankruptcy: Evidence from the Great Recession," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 7, March, DOI: 10.20955/es.2020.7.
  6. Matthew Famiglietti & Fernando Leibovici, 2020, "Immigration and International Trade in U.S. Manufactured Goods," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 34, May, DOI: 10.20955/es.2020.34.
  7. Fernando Leibovici & Ana Maria Santacreu, 2020, "International Trade Policy During COVID-19," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 35, June, DOI: 10.20955/es.2020.35.
  8. Matthew Famiglietti & Fernando Leibovici & Ana Maria Santacreu, 2020, "The Decline of Employment During COVID-19: The Role of Contact-Intensive Industries," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 40, September, DOI: 10.20955/es.2020.40.
  9. Fernando Leibovici & Ana Maria Santacreu, 2020, "The Dynamics of the U.S. Trade Deficit During COVID-19: The Role of Essential Medical Goods," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 41, September, DOI: 10.20955/es.2020.41.

2019

  1. Kilian, Lutz, 2019, "Measuring global real economic activity: Do recent critiques hold up to scrutiny?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 178, issue C, pages 106-110, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2019.03.001.
  2. Jim Dolmas & Evan F. Koenig, 2019, "Two Measures of Core Inflation: A Comparison," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, volume 101, issue 4, DOI: 10.20955/r.101.245-58.
  3. Leibovici, Fernando & Waugh, Michael E., 2019, "International trade and intertemporal substitution," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 117, issue C, pages 158-174, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2018.11.007.
  4. Matthew Famiglietti & Fernando Leibovici, 2019, "The Role of Credit in the Exit of Firms Across U.S. Industries During the Great Recession," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 12, May, DOI: 10.20955/es.2019.12.
  5. Matthew Famiglietti & Fernando Leibovici, 2019, "International Trade and the Dynamics of Manufacturing Activity," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 25, November, DOI: 10.20955/es.2019.25.
  6. Matthew Famiglietti & Fernando Leibovici, 2019, "Female-Led Firms: Trends and Differences Relative to Male-Led Firms," The Regional Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, volume 27, issue 1.
  7. Matthew Famiglietti & Fernando Leibovici, 2019, "Finance and Development: Evidence from Firm-Level Data," The Regional Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, volume 27, issue 3.
  8. Fernando Leibovici, 2019, "International Trade Openness and Monetary Policy: Evidence from Cross-Country Data," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, volume 101, issue 2, pages 93-113, DOI: 10.20955/r.101.93-113.
  9. Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2019, "Understanding Recent Fluctuations in Short-Term Interest Rates," Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, DOI: 10.21033/cfl-2019-423.
  10. Janna E. Johnson & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2019, "Changing Patterns of Geographic Mobility and the Labor Market for Young Adults," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, volume 37, issue S1, pages 199-241, DOI: 10.1086/700887.
  11. Jingjing Li & Xiaohan Zhang, 2019, "Beach Pollution Effects on Health and Productivity in California," IJERPH, MDPI, volume 16, issue 11, pages 1-12, June.

2018

  1. Emily Kerr & Pia M. Orrenius & Christopher Slijk, 2018, "New Technology Boosts Texas Firms' Output, Alters Worker Mix," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q3, pages 3-6.
  2. Baumeister, Christiane & Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2018, "Are Product Spreads Useful For Forecasting Oil Prices? An Empirical Evaluation Of The Verleger Hypothesis," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 22, issue 3, pages 562-580, April.
  3. Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2018, "Modeling fluctuations in the global demand for commodities," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 88, issue C, pages 54-78, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2018.07.001.
  4. Anna Creti & Duc Khuong Nguyen & Lutz Kilian, 2018, "Special Issue "Energy Challenges in an Uncertain World" Editorial," The Energy Journal, , volume 39, issue 2_suppl, pages 1-2, December, DOI: 10.5547/01956574.39.SI2.acre.
  5. Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2018, "Is the Discretionary Income Effect of Oil Price Shocks a Hoax?," The Energy Journal, , volume 39, issue 2_suppl, pages 117-137, December, DOI: 10.5547/01956574.39.SI2.cbau.
  6. Benjamin D. Keen & Evan F. Koenig, 2018, "How Robust Are Popular Models of Nominal Frictions?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 50, issue 6, pages 1299-1342, September, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12494.
  7. Jonas C. Crews & Fernando Leibovici, 2018, "Trade Adjusts Gradually After Trade Liberalization," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 1, pages 1-2, DOI: 10.20955/es.2018.1.
  8. Jonas C. Crews & Fernando Leibovici, 2018, "What Happens When Countries Increase Tariffs?," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 12, pages 1-2, DOI: 10.20955/es.2018.12.
  9. Jonas C. Crews & Fernando Leibovici, 2018, "Trade Liberalization and Economic Development," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 13, pages 1-2, DOI: 10.20955/es.2018.13.
  10. Fernando Leibovici, 2018, "How Open to Trade Is the U.S. Economy?," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 21, pages 1-2, DOI: 10.20955/es.2018.21.
  11. Robert E. Hall & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2018, "Measuring Job-Finding Rates and Matching Efficiency with Heterogeneous Job-Seekers," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, volume 10, issue 1, pages 1-32, January.
  12. Greg Kaplan & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2018, "The Changing (Dis-)utility of Work," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, volume 32, issue 3, pages 239-258, Summer.
  13. Thomas Haasl & Anna L. Paulson & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2018, "The Structure of Federal Reserve Liabilities," Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, DOI: 10.21033/cfl-2018-395.
  14. Thomas Haasl & Anna L. Paulson & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2018, "Understanding the Demand for Currency at Home and Abroad," Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, DOI: 10.21033/cfl-2018-396.
  15. Sam Schulhofer‐Wohl, 2018, "The age‐time‐cohort problem and the identification of structural parameters in life‐cycle models," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, volume 9, issue 2, pages 643-658, July, DOI: 10.3982/QE738.
  16. Jin Feng & Xiaohan Zhang, 2018, "Retirement and Grandchild Care in Urban China," Feminist Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 24, issue 2, pages 240-264, April, DOI: 10.1080/13545701.2017.1370120.

2017

  1. Emily Kerr, 2017, "What’s Driving Wide Gap Between Cattle and Beef Prices?," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q2, pages 15-15.
  2. Guerron-Quintana, Pablo & Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2017, "Impulse response matching estimators for DSGE models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 196, issue 1, pages 144-155, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2016.09.009.
  3. Lutz Kilian, 2017, "The Impact of the Fracking Boom on Arab Oil Producers," The Energy Journal, , volume 38, issue 6, pages 137-160, November, DOI: 10.5547/01956574.38.6.lkil.
  4. John Coglianese & Lucas W. Davis & Lutz Kilian & James H. Stock, 2017, "Anticipation, Tax Avoidance, and the Price Elasticity of Gasoline Demand," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 32, issue 1, pages 1-15, January.
  5. Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian & Thomas K. Lee, 2017, "Inside the Crystal Ball: New Approaches to Predicting the Gasoline Price at the Pump," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 32, issue 2, pages 275-295, March, DOI: 10.1002/jae.2510.
  6. Lutz Kilian & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2017, "The Role of Oil Price Shocks in Causing U.S. Recessions," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 49, issue 8, pages 1747-1776, December, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12430.
  7. Alan Armen & Evan F. Koenig, 2017, "Navigating by the Stars: The Natural Rate as Economic Forecasting Tool," Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, volume 12, issue 2, pages 1-4, February.
  8. Evan F. Koenig & Jason L. Saving, 2017, "Corporate Tax Reform: Potential Gains at a Price to Some," Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, volume 12, issue 6, pages 1-4, May.
  9. Alan Armen & Evan F. Koenig, 2017, "Getting a Jump on Inflation," Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, volume 12, issue 9, pages 1-4, August.
  10. Fatih Guvenen & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl & Jae Song & Motohiro Yogo, 2017, "Worker Betas: Five Facts about Systematic Earnings Risk," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 107, issue 5, pages 398-403, May.
  11. Kaplan, Greg & Schulhofer-Wohl, Sam, 2017, "Inflation at the household level," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 91, issue C, pages 19-38, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2017.08.002.
  12. Ross Cole & Luojia Hu & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2017, "When It Comes to Wage Growth, the Measure Matters," Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
  13. Greg Kaplan & Sam Schulhofer‐Wohl, 2017, "Understanding The Long‐Run Decline In Interstate Migration," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, volume 58, issue 1, pages 57-94, February, DOI: 10.1111/iere.12209.
  14. Kelly Klemme & Edward C. Skelton, 2017, "Eleventh District Banks Confront Challenging Energy, Rate Situation," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q2, pages 7-11.

2016

  1. Roberto Coronado & Marycruz De Leon, 2016, "U.S.–Mexico manufacturing: back in the race?," Crossroads, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue 1, pages 1-4.
  2. Roberto Coronado & Marycruz De Leon, 2016, "New Mexico recovery lags amid energy, government sector weakness," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q4, pages 12-15.
  3. Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2016, "Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations: Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, volume 30, issue 1, pages 139-160, Winter.
  4. Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2016, "Lower Oil Prices and the U.S. Economy: Is This Time Different?," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, volume 47, issue 2 (Fall), pages 287-357.
  5. Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2016, "Joint confidence sets for structural impulse responses," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 192, issue 2, pages 421-432, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2016.02.008.
  6. Lutz Kilian, 2016, "The Impact of the Shale Oil Revolution on U.S. Oil and Gasoline Prices," Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, volume 10, issue 2, pages 185-205.
  7. Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2016, "Understanding the Decline in the Price of Oil since June 2014," Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, University of Chicago Press, volume 3, issue 1, pages 131-158, DOI: 10.1086/684160.
  8. David Kohn & Fernando Leibovici & Michal Szkup, 2016, "Financial Frictions And New Exporter Dynamics," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, volume 57, issue 2, pages 453-486, May, DOI: 10.1111/iere.12164.
  9. Kelly Klemme & Edward C. Skelton, 2016, "Risks mount for Eleventh District banks amid energy weakness," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q2, pages 3-7.
  10. Shu Shen & Xiaohan Zhang, 2016, "Distributional Tests for Regression Discontinuity: Theory and Empirical Examples," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 98, issue 4, pages 685-700, October.

2015

  1. Pedro Niño & Roberto Coronado & Thomas Fullerton & Adam Walke, 2015, "Cross-border homicide impacts on economic activity in El Paso," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 49, issue 4, pages 1543-1559, December, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-015-0924-0.
  2. Baumeister, Christiane & Guérin, Pierre & Kilian, Lutz, 2015, "Do high-frequency financial data help forecast oil prices? The MIDAS touch at work," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 31, issue 2, pages 238-252, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2014.06.005.
  3. Leo Drollas & Vincent Kaminski & Lutz Kilian & Charles F. Mason & Apostolos Serletis & Adonis Yatchew, 2015, "Recent Evolutions of Oil and Commodity Prices," Review of Environment, Energy and Economics - Re3, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, July.
  4. Lutz Kilian, 2015, "Comment," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 33, issue 1, pages 13-17, January, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2014.969430.
  5. Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2015, "Forecasting the Real Price of Oil in a Changing World: A Forecast Combination Approach," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 33, issue 3, pages 338-351, July, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2014.949342.
  6. Alan Armen & Evan F. Koenig, 2015, "Assessing monetary accommodation: a simple empirical model of monetary policy and its implications for unemployment and inflation," Staff Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Dec.
  7. Dinkelman, Taryn & Schulhofer-Wohl, Sam, 2015, "Migration, congestion externalities, and the evaluation of spatial investments," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, volume 114, issue C, pages 189-202, DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2014.12.009.
  8. Kelly Klemme & Edward C. Skelton, 2015, "Robust regional banking sector faces new economic hurdles," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q2, pages 3-7.

2014

  1. Roberto Coronado & Marycruz De Leon, 2014, "Tourism and recreation a bright spot in the Big Bend region," Crossroads, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue 1, pages 1-4.
  2. Jesus Cañas & Emily Kerr & Pia M. Orrenius & Jack Wang, 2014, "Fed manufacturing surveys provide insight into national economy," Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, volume 9, issue 12, pages 1-4, October.
  3. Lutz Kilian, 2014, "Oil Price Shocks: Causes and Consequences," Annual Review of Resource Economics, Annual Reviews, volume 6, issue 1, pages 133-154, October.
  4. Baumeister, Christiane & Kilian, Lutz & Lee, Thomas K., 2014, "Are there gains from pooling real-time oil price forecasts?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 46, issue S1, pages 33-43, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2014.08.008.
  5. Kilian, Lutz & Lee, Thomas K., 2014, "Quantifying the speculative component in the real price of oil: The role of global oil inventories," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 42, issue C, pages 71-87, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2013.08.005.
  6. Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2014, "Do oil price increases cause higher food prices?
    [Biofuels, binding constraints, and agricultural commodity price volatility]    ," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, volume 29, issue 80, pages 691-747.
  7. Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2014, "Real-Time Analysis of Oil Price Risks Using Forecast Scenarios," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, volume 62, issue 1, pages 119-145, April.
  8. Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2014, "What Central Bankers Need To Know About Forecasting Oil Prices," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, volume 55, issue 3, pages 869-889, August, DOI: 10.1111/iere.12074.
  9. Lutz Kilian & Daniel P. Murphy, 2014, "The Role Of Inventories And Speculative Trading In The Global Market For Crude Oil," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 29, issue 3, pages 454-478, April.
  10. Richard W. Fisher & Evan F. Koenig, 2014, "Are we there yet? assessing progress toward full employment and price stability," Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, volume 9, issue 13, pages 1-4, October.
  11. N. Kundan Kishor & Evan F. Koenig, 2014, "Credit Indicators as Predictors of Economic Activity: A Real‐Time VAR Analysis," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 46, issue 2-3, pages 545-564, March, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12116.
  12. Pierre‐André Chiappori & Krislert Samphantharak & Sam Schulhofer‐Wohl & Robert M. Townsend, 2014, "Heterogeneity and risk sharing in village economies," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, volume 5, issue , pages 1-27, March.
  13. Edward C. Skelton, 2014, "Mexico's new banking measures aim to increase credit, transparency," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q3, pages 12-16.

2013

  1. Jesús Cañas & Roberto Coronado & Robert W. Gilmer & Eduardo Saucedo, 2013, "The Impact of the Maquiladora Industry on U.S. Border Cities," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, volume 44, issue 3, pages 415-442, September.
  2. Avilia Bueno & Roberto Coronado, 2013, "Southeast New Mexico shines as state economy slowly mends," Crossroads, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue 1, pages 1-4.
  3. Avilia Bueno & Roberto Coronado, 2013, "Spotlight: energy, trade in southern New Mexico lift state’s economic performance," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q4, pages 11-11.
  4. Jesus Cañas & Roberto Coronado & Pia M. Orrenius, 2013, "Will reforms pay off this time? Experts assess Mexico’s prospects," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q2, pages 17-24.
  5. Pablo Guerron‐Quintana & Atsushi Inoue & Lutz Kilian, 2013, "Frequentist inference in weakly identified dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models: Acronyms must be spelled out in titles for indexing purposes," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, volume 4, issue 2, pages 197-229, July, DOI: QE306.
  6. Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2013, "Inference on impulse response functions in structural VAR models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 177, issue 1, pages 1-13, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2013.02.009.
  7. Bassam Fattouh & Lutz Kilian & Lavan Mahadeva, 2013, "The Role of Speculation in Oil Markets: What Have We Learned So Far?," The Energy Journal, , volume 34, issue 3, pages 7-33, July, DOI: 10.5547/01956574.34.3.2.
  8. Lutz Kilian & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2013, "Do Oil Prices Help Forecast U.S. Real GDP? The Role of Nonlinearities and Asymmetries," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 31, issue 1, pages 78-93, January, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2012.740436.
  9. Lutz Kilian & Bruce Hicks, 2013, "Did Unexpectedly Strong Economic Growth Cause the Oil Price Shock of 2003–2008?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 32, issue 5, pages 385-394, August.
  10. Evan F. Koenig, 2013, "Like a Good Neighbor: Monetary Policy, Financial Stability, and the Distribution of Risk," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 9, issue 2, pages 57-82, June.
  11. David Albouy & Fernando Leibovici & Casey Warman, 2013, "Quality of life, firm productivity, and the value of amenities across Canadian cities," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, volume 46, issue 2, pages 379-411, May, DOI: 10.1111/caje.12017.
  12. Sam Schulhofer-Wohl & Miguel Garrido, 2013, "Do Newspapers Matter? Short-Run and Long-Run Evidence From the Closure of The Cincinnati Post," Journal of Media Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 26, issue 2, pages 60-81, June, DOI: 10.1080/08997764.2013.785553.
  13. Edward C. Skelton, 2013, "Mexico develops niche approach to expansion of banking services," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q1, pages 10-13.
  14. Anil Kumar & Edward C. Skelton, 2013, "Did home equity restrictions help keep Texas mortgages from going underwater?," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q3, pages 3-7.

2012

  1. Roberto Coronado & Robert W. Gilmer, 2012, "El Paso and Texas border cities close the gap in per capita income," Crossroads, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue 2, pages 1-8.
  2. Roberto Coronado & Keith R. Phillips, 2012, "Spotlight: Dollar-sensitive Mexican shoppers boost Texas border retail activity," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q4, pages 1-15.
  3. Emily Kerr, 2012, "Brutal drought depresses agriculture, thwarting U.S. and Texas economies," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q4, pages 10-13.
  4. Lutz Kilian & Daniel P. Murphy, 2012, "Why Agnostic Sign Restrictions Are Not Enough: Understanding The Dynamics Of Oil Market Var Models," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, volume 10, issue 5, pages 1166-1188, October, DOI: j.1542-4774.2012.01080.x.
  5. Thomas F. Helbling & Vincent Kaminski & Lutz Kilian & Robert Levin, 2012, "Interviews with the experts on "Financial Speculation in the Oil Market and the Determinants of the Oil Price" (PART II)," Review of Environment, Energy and Economics - Re3, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, January.
  6. Martin Bodenstein & Luca Guerrieri & Lutz Kilian, 2012, "Monetary Policy Responses to Oil Price Fluctuations," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, volume 60, issue 4, pages 470-504, December.
  7. Adriana Fernandez & Evan F. Koenig & Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, 2012, "Real-time historical dataset enhances accuracy of economic analyses," Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, volume 7, issue 6, July.
  8. Tyler Atkinson & Evan F. Koenig, 2012, "High unemployment points to below-target (but still stable) inflation," Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, volume 7, issue 12, October.
  9. Tyler Atkinson & Evan F. Koenig, 2012, "Inflation, slack, and Fed credibility," Staff Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Jan.
  10. Evan F. Koenig, 2012, "All in the family: the close connection between nominal-GDP targeting and the Taylor Rule," Staff Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Mar.
  11. Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2012, "Negative equity does not reduce homeowners’ mobility," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, issue Feb, pages 1-17.
  12. Greg Kaplan & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2012, "Interstate Migration Has Fallen Less Than You Think: Consequences of Hot Deck Imputation in the Current Population Survey," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), volume 49, issue 3, pages 1061-1074, August, DOI: 10.1007/s13524-012-0110-3.
  13. Edward C. Skelton, 2012, "Mexican banks get ahead of new global capital standards," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q3, pages 16-19.

2011

  1. Jesus Cañas & Roberto Coronado & Robert W. Gilmer, 2011, "Trade conference explores U.S.–Mexico 'common bonds'," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q1, pages 16-19.
  2. Jesus Cañas & Roberto Coronado & Robert W. Gilmer, 2011, "Mexico rides global recovery but still faces hurdles," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q3, pages 11-13,20.
  3. Emily Kerr & Keith R. Phillips, 2011, "Texas economy to ride higher in the saddle in 2011," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q1, pages 3-7.
  4. Jesus Cañas & Emily Kerr, 2011, "Spotlight: Texas service sector outlook survey completing the regional economic picture," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q2, pages 1-15.
  5. Kilian, Lutz & Vigfusson, Robert J., 2011, "Nonlinearities In The Oil Price–Output Relationship," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 15, issue S3, pages 337-363, November.
  6. Lutz Kilian & Logan T. Lewis, 2011, "Does the Fed Respond to Oil Price Shocks?," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 121, issue 555, pages 1047-1072, September, DOI: j.1468-0297.2011.02437.x.
  7. Lutz Kilian & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2011, "Are the responses of the U.S. economy asymmetric in energy price increases and decreases?," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, volume 2, issue 3, pages 419-453, November, DOI: QE99.
  8. Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2011, "Real-Time Forecasts of the Real Price of Oil," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 30, issue 2, pages 326-336, September, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2011.648859.
  9. Lutz Kilian & Clara Vega, 2011, "Do Energy Prices Respond to U.S. Macroeconomic News? A Test of the Hypothesis of Predetermined Energy Prices," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 93, issue 2, pages 660-671, May.
  10. Lutz Kilian & Yun Jung Kim, 2011, "How Reliable Are Local Projection Estimators of Impulse Responses?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 93, issue 4, pages 1460-1466, November.
  11. Lucas W. Davis & Lutz Kilian, 2011, "The Allocative Cost of Price Ceilings in the U.S. Residential Market for Natural Gas," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, volume 119, issue 2, pages 212-241, DOI: 10.1086/660124.
  12. Lucas W. Davis & Lutz Kilian, 2011, "Estimating the effect of a gasoline tax on carbon emissions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 26, issue 7, pages 1187-1214, November.
  13. Evan F. Koenig, 2011, "An IS-LM analysis of the zero-bound problem," Staff Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Apr.
  14. Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2011, "Heterogeneity and Tests of Risk Sharing," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, volume 119, issue 5, pages 925-958, DOI: 10.1086/662720.
  15. Edward C. Skelton, 2011, "Spotlight: Mexican financial market : new instruments, rules boost capital investment," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q3, pages 1-15.
  16. Edward C. Skelton & Mark A. Wynne, 2011, "The Conquest of Mexican Inflation," Annual Report, Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, pages 13-20.

2010

  1. Jesus Cañas & Roberto Coronado & Robert W. Gilmer, 2010, "Is the recession over in El Paso?," Crossroads, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue May.
  2. Jesus Cañas & Roberto Coronado, 2010, "Spotlight: remittances to Mexico: cross-border money flows slowed by U.S. slump," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q1, pages 1-14.
  3. Jesus Cañas & Roberto Coronado, 2010, "Spotlight: maquiladora employment: new data confirm pickup in Juarez factory jobs," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q2, pages 1-14.
  4. Emily Kerr & Pia M. Orrenius & Madeline Zavodny, 2010, "Texas' Latino pay gaps: taking a closer look," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q1, pages 10-13.
  5. Emily Kerr, 2010, "Noteworthy: Texas exports: NAFTA markets spur trade turnaround," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q1, pages 1-15.
  6. Emily Kerr, 2010, "Noteworthy: Texas agriculture: drought's end brings optimism," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q2, pages 1-15.
  7. Robert W. Gilmer & Emily Kerr, 2010, "Natural gas from shale: Texas revolution goes global," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q3, pages 10-13.
  8. Ron Alquist & Lutz Kilian, 2010, "What do we learn from the price of crude oil futures?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 25, issue 4, pages 539-573, DOI: 10.1002/jae.1159.
  9. Lutz Kilian, 2010, "Explaining Fluctuations in Gasoline Prices: A Joint Model of the Global Crude Oil Market and the U.S. Retail Gasoline Market," The Energy Journal, , volume 31, issue 2, pages 87-112, April, DOI: 10.5547/ISSN0195-6574-EJ-Vol31-No2-.
  10. Fernandez, Adriana Z. & Koenig, Evan F. & Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, Alex, 2010, "Can alternative Taylor-rule specifications describe Federal Reserve policy decisions?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, volume 32, issue 6, pages 733-757, November.
  11. Edward C. Skelton, 2010, "Spotlight: Financial services: Banking within reach of more Mexicans," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q4, pages 1-15.

2009

  1. Emily Kerr, 2009, "Noteworthy: venture capital: U.S. rises, but Texas continues its decline," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q3, pages 1-14.
  2. Emily Kerr & Keith R. Phillips, 2009, "Spotlight: Farm real estate values: Texas holds steady in 2008, bucking U.S. trend," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q4, pages 1-10.
  3. Emily Kerr, 2009, "Noteworthy: household income: Texas posts gain in otherwise tough year," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q4, pages 1-15.
  4. Emily Kerr & Pia M. Orrenius & Madeline Zavodny, 2009, "Getting to the bottom of Texas' Latino pay gap," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q4, pages 3-7.
  5. Lutz Kilian, 2009, "Not All Oil Price Shocks Are Alike: Disentangling Demand and Supply Shocks in the Crude Oil Market," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 99, issue 3, pages 1053-1069, June.
  6. Kilian, Lutz & Rebucci, Alessandro & Spatafora, Nikola, 2009, "Oil shocks and external balances," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 77, issue 2, pages 181-194, April.
  7. Edelstein, Paul & Kilian, Lutz, 2009, "How sensitive are consumer expenditures to retail energy prices?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 56, issue 6, pages 766-779, September.
  8. Lutz Kilian & Cheolbeom Park, 2009, "The Impact Of Oil Price Shocks On The U.S. Stock Market," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, volume 50, issue 4, pages 1267-1287, November.
  9. Atsushi Inoue & Lutz Kilian & Fatma Burcu Kiraz, 2009, "Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words? Household Expectations of Inflation Based on Micro Consumption Data," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 41, issue 7, pages 1331-1363, October.
  10. N. Kundan Kishor & Evan F. Koenig, 2009, "VAR Estimation and Forecasting When Data Are Subject to Revision," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 30, issue 2, pages 181-190, July, DOI: 10.1198/jbes.2010.08169.
  11. Michael Nicholson & Edward C. Skelton, 2009, "Rising protectionist threat creates risks for Texas," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q3, pages 10-14.
  12. Erwan Quintin & Edward C. Skelton, 2009, "Mexico's año horrible: global crisis stings economy," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q3, pages 3-7.

2008

  1. Roberto Coronado & Robert W. Gilmer, 2008, "Spotlight: El Paso Medical School: New facility kindles hopes for well-paying jobs," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Jul, pages 1-15.
  2. Lutz Kilian, 2008, "The Economic Effects of Energy Price Shocks," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, volume 46, issue 4, pages 871-909, December.
  3. Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2008, "How Useful Is Bagging in Forecasting Economic Time Series? A Case Study of U.S. Consumer Price Inflation," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, volume 103, pages 511-522, June.
  4. Lutz Kilian & Simone Manganelli, 2008, "The Central Banker as a Risk Manager: Estimating the Federal Reserve's Preferences under Greenspan," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 40, issue 6, pages 1103-1129, September.
  5. Lutz Kilian, 2008, "A Comparison of the Effects of Exogenous Oil Supply Shocks on Output and Inflation in the G7 Countries," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, volume 6, issue 1, pages 78-121, March.
  6. Lutz Kilian, 2008, "Exogenous Oil Supply Shocks: How Big Are They and How Much Do They Matter for the U.S. Economy?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 90, issue 2, pages 216-240, May.
  7. Nicole Ball & Evan F. Koenig, 2008, "A regional perspective on the "Great Moderation"," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue May, pages 3-6.
  8. Adriana Fernandez & Evan F. Koenig & Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, 2008, "The relative performance of alternative Taylor rule specifications," Staff Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Jun.
  9. Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2008, "Heterogeneous Risk Preferences and the Welfare Cost of Business Cycles," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, volume 11, issue 4, pages 761-780, October, DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2008.01.003.
  10. Erwan Quintin & Edward C. Skelton, 2008, "How much will the global financial storm hurt Mexico?," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Nov, pages 10-13.
  11. Edward C. Skelton, 2008, "Reaching Mexico's unbanked," Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, volume 3, issue jul.

2007

  1. Jesus Cañas & Roberto Coronado & Pia M. Orrenius, 2007, "Explaining the increase in remittances to Mexico," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Jul, pages 3-7.
  2. Jesus Cañas & Roberto Coronado & Robert W. Gilmer, 2007, "Maquiladora recovery: lessons for the future," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Mar, pages 3-7.
  3. Kilian, Lutz, 2007, "Comment," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, volume 25, pages 156-159, April.
  4. Edelstein Paul & Kilian Lutz, 2007, "The Response of Business Fixed Investment to Changes in Energy Prices: A Test of Some Hypotheses about the Transmission of Energy Price Shocks," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 7, issue 1, pages 1-41, November, DOI: 10.2202/1935-1690.1607.
  5. Lutz Kilian & Simone Manganelli, 2007, "Quantifying the Risk of Deflation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 39, issue 2-3, pages 561-590, March.
  6. Silvia Goncalves & Lutz Kilian, 2007, "Asymptotic and Bootstrap Inference for AR(∞) Processes with Conditional Heteroskedasticity," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 26, issue 6, pages 609-641, DOI: 10.1080/07474930701624462.
  7. Nicole Ball & Evan F. Koenig, 2007, "The 'Great Moderation' in output and employment volatility: an update," Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, volume 2, issue sep.

2006

  1. Jesus Cañas & Roberto Coronado & Pia M. Orrenius, 2006, "Commentary on session III: U.S.-Mexico remittances: recent trends and measurement issues," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, pages 213-222.
  2. Jesus Cañas & Roberto Coronado & Robert W. Gilmer, 2006, "U.S., Mexico deepen economic ties," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Jan, pages 11-13,16.
  3. Jesus Cañas & Roberto Coronado & Keith R. Phillips, 2006, "Border benefits from Mexican shoppers," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue May, pages 11-13.
  4. Lutz Kilian, 2006, "Understanding the effects of exogenous oil supply shocks," CESifo Forum, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 7, issue 02, pages 21-27, July.
  5. Kilian, Lutz, 2006, "NEW INTRODUCTION TO MULTIPLE TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, by Helmut Lütkepohl, Springer, 2005," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, volume 22, issue 5, pages 961-967, October.
  6. Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2006, "On the selection of forecasting models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 130, issue 2, pages 273-306, February.
  7. Evan F. Koenig, 2006, "Through a glass, darkly: how data revisions complicate monetary policy," Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, volume 1, issue dec.
  8. Schulhofer-Wohl, Sam, 2006, "Negative assortative matching of risk-averse agents with transferable expected utility," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 92, issue 3, pages 383-388, September.
  9. Edward C. Skelton, 2006, "Laying the foundation for a mortgage industry in Mexico," Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, volume 1, issue oct..

2005

  1. Jesus Cañas & Roberto Coronado & Jose Joaquin Lopez, 2005, "Cyclical differences emerge in border city economies," Crossroads, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, pages 5-8.
  2. Jesus Cañas & Roberto Coronado & Robert W. Gilmer, 2005, "Trade, manufacturing put Mexico back on track in 2004," Houston Business, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Mar.
  3. Ivanov Ventzislav & Kilian Lutz, 2005, "A Practitioner's Guide to Lag Order Selection For VAR Impulse Response Analysis," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 9, issue 1, pages 1-36, March, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1219.
  4. Atsushi Inoue & Lutz Kilian, 2005, "In-Sample or Out-of-Sample Tests of Predictability: Which One Should We Use?," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 23, issue 4, pages 371-402, DOI: 10.1081/ETC-200040785.
  5. Evan F. Koenig & Keith R. Phillips, 2005, "The national economic outlook: continued growth likely," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Nov, pages 1,9-13.
  6. Robert V. Bubel & Edward C. Skelton, 2005, "Mexico emerges from 10-year credit slump," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue May, pages 14-18.

2004

  1. Roberto Coronado, 2004, "Workers' remittances to Mexico," Business Frontier, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
  2. Jesus Cañas & Roberto Coronado & Bill Gilmer, 2004, "Maquilador downturn: structural change or cyclical factors?," Business Frontier, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
  3. Jesus Cañas & Roberto Coronado & Robert W. Gilmer & Keith R. Phillips, 2004, "Framing the future: tomorrow's border economy," Business Frontier, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, pages -8.
  4. Jesus Cañas & Roberto Coronado, 2004, "U.S.-Mexico trade: are we still connected?," Business Frontier, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, pages 1-4,8.
  5. Roberto Coronado & Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. & Don P. Clark, 2004, "Short-run maquiladora employment dynamics in Tijuana," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, volume 38, issue 4, pages 751-763, December, DOI: 10.1007/s00168-004-0215-8.
  6. Robert B. Barsky & Lutz Kilian, 2004, "Oil and the Macroeconomy Since the 1970s," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, volume 18, issue 4, pages 115-134, Fall.
  7. Goncalves, Silvia & Kilian, Lutz, 2004, "Bootstrapping autoregressions with conditional heteroskedasticity of unknown form," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 123, issue 1, pages 89-120, November.
  8. Evan F. Koenig, 2004, "Monetary policy prospects," Economic and Financial Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, pages 1-16.

2003

  1. Roberto Coronado & Pia M. Orrenius, 2003, "Beyond the border: Falling crime and rising border enforcement - is there a connection?," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue May, pages 9-10.
  2. Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2003, "The Continuity Of The Limit Distribution In The Parameter Of Interest Is Not Essential For The Validity Of The Bootstrap," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, volume 19, issue 6, pages 944-961, December.
  3. Kilian, Lutz & Taylor, Mark P., 2003, "Why is it so difficult to beat the random walk forecast of exchange rates?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 60, issue 1, pages 85-107, May.
  4. Koenig, Evan F., 2003, "Is the markup a useful real-time predictor of inflation?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 80, issue 2, pages 261-267, August.
  5. Jim Dolmas & Evan F. Koenig, 2003, "Monetary policy in a zero-interest-rate economy," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Jul, pages 1-5,16.
  6. Evan F. Koenig & Sheila Dolmas & Jeremy Piger, 2003, "The Use and Abuse of Real-Time Data in Economic Forecasting," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 85, issue 3, pages 618-628, August.

2002

  1. Jesus Cañas & Roberto Coronado, 2002, "Maquiladora industry: past, present and future," Business Frontier, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
  2. Kilian, Lutz & Ohanian, Lee E., 2002, "Unit Roots, Trend Breaks, And Transitory Dynamics: A Macroeconomic Perspective," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 6, issue 5, pages 614-632, November.
  3. Atsushi Inoue & Lutz Kilian, 2002, "Bootstrapping Autoregressive Processes with Possible Unit Roots," Econometrica, Econometric Society, volume 70, issue 1, pages 377-391, January.
  4. Atsushi Inoue & Lutz Kilian, 2002, "Bootstrapping Smooth Functions of Slope Parameters and Innovation Variances in VAR (∞) Models," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, volume 43, issue 2, pages 309-332, May.
  5. Lutz Kilian & Tao Zha, 2002, "Quantifying the uncertainty about the half-life of deviations from PPP," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 17, issue 2, pages 107-125.
  6. Ionel Birgean & Lutz Kilian, 2002, "Data-Driven Nonparametric Spectral Density Estimators For Economic Time Series: A Monte Carlo Study," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 21, issue 4, pages 449-476, DOI: 10.1081/ETC-120015386.
  7. Evan F. Koenig, 2002, "Using the Purchasing Managers' Index to assess the economy's strength and the likely direction of monetary policy," Economic and Financial Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, volume 1, issue 6.
  8. Evan F. Koenig & Thomas F. Siems & Mark A. Wynne, 2002, "New economy, new recession," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Mar, pages 11-16.
  9. Robert V. Bubel & Edward C. Skelton, 2002, "Financial globalization: manna or menace? The case of Mexican banking," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Jan, pages 17-19.

2001

  1. Roberto Coronado & Lucinda Vargas, 2001, "Economic on El Paso del Norte (Part 1)," Business Frontier, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
  2. Caner, M. & Kilian, L., 2001, "Size distortions of tests of the null hypothesis of stationarity: evidence and implications for the PPP debate," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 20, issue 5, pages 639-657, October.
  3. Francis X. Diebold & Lutz Kilian, 2001, "Measuring predictability: theory and macroeconomic applications," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 16, issue 6, pages 657-669.
  4. Kilian, Lutz, 2001, "Impulse Response Analysis in Vector Autoregressions with Unknown Lag Order," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 20, issue 3, pages 161-179, April.
  5. Evan F. Koenig, 2001, "Down but not out: the U.S. economy after Sept. 11," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Nov, pages 1,6-8.

2000

  1. Kilian, Lutz & Demiroglu, Ufuk, 2000, "Residual-Based Tests for Normality in Autoregressions: Asymptotic Theory and Simulation Evidence," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, volume 18, issue 1, pages 40-50, January.
  2. Diebold, Francis X & Kilian, Lutz, 2000, "Unit-Root Tests Are Useful for Selecting Forecasting Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, volume 18, issue 3, pages 265-273, July.
  3. Kilian, Lutz & Chang, Pao-Li, 2000, "How accurate are confidence intervals for impulse responses in large VAR models?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 69, issue 3, pages 299-307, December.
  4. Jeremy Berkowitz & Lutz Kilian, 2000, "Recent developments in bootstrapping time series," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 19, issue 1, pages 1-48, DOI: 10.1080/07474930008800457.
  5. Evan F. Koenig, 2000, "Is there a persistence problem? Part 2: Maybe not," Economic and Financial Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q IV, pages 11-19.
  6. Evan F. Koenig, 2000, "Productivity, the stock market and monetary policy in the new economy," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Jan, pages 6-9,12.
  7. Evan F. Koenig, 2000, "Monetary policy: on the right track?," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Nov, pages 1,6-9.

1999

  1. Kilian, Lutz, 1999, "Exchange Rates and Monetary Fundamentals: What Do We Learn from Long-Horizon Regressions?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 14, issue 5, pages 491-510, Sept.-Oct.
  2. Lutz Kilian, 1999, "Finite-Sample Properties of Percentile and Percentile-t Bootstrap Confidence Intervals for Impulse Responses," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 81, issue 4, pages 652-660, November.
  3. Evan F. Koenig, 1999, "Is there a persistence problem? Part I: maybe," Economic and Financial Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q IV, pages 10-15.
  4. John V. Duca & Evan F. Koenig, 1999, "A fresh look at the national economy," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Mar, pages 8-12.
  5. Koenig, Evan F., 1999, "Achieving "Program Neutrality" Under a National Retail Sales Tax," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association;National Tax Journal, volume 52, issue 4, pages 683-698, December, DOI: 10.1086/NTJ41789424.

1998

  1. Lutz Kilian, 1998, "Accounting for Lag Order Uncertainty in Autoregressions: the Endogenous Lag Order Bootstrap Algorithm," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, volume 19, issue 5, pages 531-548, September, DOI: 10.1111/1467-9892.00107.
  2. Lutz Kilian, 1998, "Confidence intervals for impulse responses under departures from normality," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 17, issue 1, pages 1-29, DOI: 10.1080/07474939808800401.
  3. Lutz Kilian, 1998, "Small-Sample Confidence Intervals For Impulse Response Functions," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 80, issue 2, pages 218-230, May.
  4. Gregory W. Huffman & Evan F. Koenig, 1998, "The dynamic impact of fundamental tax reform part 1: the basic model," Economic and Financial Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q 1, pages 24-37.
  5. Gregory W. Huffman & Evan F. Koenig, 1998, "The dynamic impact of fundamental tax reform part 2 : extensions," Economic and Financial Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q II, pages 1-1.
  6. Evan F. Koenig, 1998, "What's new about the new economy? : some lessons from the current expansion," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Jul, pages 7-11.

1997

  1. Evan F. Koenig, 1997, "Is the Fed slave to a defunct economist," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Sep, pages 5-8.

1996

  1. Koenig, Evan F., 1996, "Targeting nominal income: A closer look," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 51, issue 1, pages 89-93, April.
  2. Koenig, Evan F., 1996, "Long-term interest rates and the recent weakness in M2," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, volume 48, issue 2, pages 81-101, May.
  3. Koenig, Evan F., 1996, "Interest rates and the recent weakness in M2: An extension to the P* model of inflation," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, volume 48, issue 5, pages 487-498, December.
  4. Evan F. Koenig, 1996, "Forecasting M2 growth: an exploration in real time," Economic and Financial Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q II, pages 16-26.
  5. Evan F. Koenig, 1996, "Capacity utilization as a real-time predictor of manufacturing output," Economic and Financial Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q III, pages 16-23.
  6. Evan F. Koenig & Lori L. Taylor, 1996, "Tax reform: is the time right for a new approach?," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Jan, pages 5-8.
  7. Evan F. Koenig, 1996, "Should high gold prices be a source of concern?," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Jul, pages 6-9.

1995

  1. Evan F. Koenig, 1995, "Optimal monetary policy in an economy with sticky nominal wages," Economic and Financial Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q II, pages 24-31.

1994

  1. Lutz Kilian & Lee E. Ohanian & Alan C. Stockman, 1994, "The effects of real and monetary shocks in a business cycle model with some sticky prices," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, pages 1209-1240.
  2. Evan F. Koenig & Kenneth M. Emery, 1994, "Why The Composite Index Of Leading Indicators Does Not Lead," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, volume 12, issue 1, pages 52-66, January, DOI: 10.1111/j.1465-7287.1994.tb00412.x.
  3. Evan F. Koenig & Mark A. Wynne, 1994, "Is there an output-inflation trade-off?," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Aug, pages 1-4.

1993

  1. Evan F. Koenig, 1993, "Rethinking the IS in IS-LM: adapting Keynesian tools to non-Keynesian economies Part 2," Economic and Financial Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Dec, pages 17-35.
  2. Evan F. Koenig, 1993, "Rethinking the IS in IS-LM: adapting Keynesian tools to non-Keynesian economies Part 1," Economic and Financial Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Sep, pages 32-50.

1992

  1. Emery, Kenneth M. & Koenig, Evan F., 1992, "Forecasting turning points : Is a two-state characterization of the business cycle appropriate?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 39, issue 4, pages 431-435, August.
  2. Kenneth M. Emery & Evan F. Koenig, 1992, "Do interest rates help predict inflation?," Economic and Financial Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q IV, pages 1-17.
  3. Evan F. Koenig & D'Ann M. Ozment & Harvey Rosenblum, 1992, "Growth in the U.S. economy depends on stronger consumer spending," Southwest Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Mar, pages 1-4.

1991

  1. Kenneth M. Emery & Evan F. Koenig, 1991, "Misleading indicators? Using the composite leading indicators to predict cyclical turning points," Economic and Financial Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Jul, pages 1-14.

1990

  1. Thomas B. Fomby & Evan F. Koenig, 1990, "A new monetary aggregate," Economic and Financial Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue May, pages 1-15.
  2. Evan F. Koenig, 1990, "Real Money Balances and the Timing of Consumption: An Empirical Investigation," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, volume 105, issue 2, pages 399-425.

1989

  1. Evan F. Koenig, 1989, "Recent trade and exchange rate movements: possible explanations," Economic and Financial Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Sep, pages 13-28.
  2. Koenig, Evan F, 1989, "Investment and the Nominal Interest Rate: The Variable Velocity Case," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, volume 27, issue 2, pages 325-344, April.

1987

  1. Koenig, Evan F, 1987, "The Short-run 'Tobin Effect' in a Monetary Optimizing Model," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, volume 25, issue 1, pages 43-53, January.

1985

  1. Evan F. Koenig, 1985, "Indirect Methods for Regulating Externalities Under Uncertainty," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, volume 100, issue 2, pages 479-493.

1984

  1. Koenig, Evan F., 1984, "Controlling stock externalities in a common property fishery subject to uncertainty," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, volume 11, issue 2, pages 124-138, June.
  2. Koenig, Evan F., 1984, "Uncertainty and pollution: The role of indirect taxation," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, volume 24, issue 1, pages 111-122, June.

1981

  1. Koenig, Evan F., 1981, "Electric utility rate structures and distributed thermal energy storage: A cost-benefit analysis," Energy, Elsevier, volume 6, issue 5, pages 457-470, DOI: 10.1016/0360-5442(81)90008-6.

1975

  1. Richard H. Day & Evan F. Koenig, 1975, "On Some Models of World Cataclysm," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, volume 51, issue 1, pages 1-20.

1974

  1. G. E. Brandow & Richard H. Day & Evan F. Koenig, 1974, "Forrester, J. W., World Dynamics, Meadows, Donnella H., Dennis L. Meadows, Jorgen Randers, William W. Behrens, III, The Limits to Growth and Meadows, Dennis L., and Donella H. Meadows, eds., Toward Global Equilibrium: Collected Papers," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, volume 56, issue 1, pages 193-196.

Books

2023

  1. Prithvi Kalkunte & Xiaohan Zhang, 2023, "Texas, Louisiana and New Mexico laying groundwork for greater internet connectivity," Monograph, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 96619.

2018

  1. Kilian,Lutz & Lütkepohl,Helmut, 2018, "Structural Vector Autoregressive Analysis," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781107196575.

2012

  1. Evan F. Koenig & Robert Leeson & George A. Kahn (ed.), 2012, "The Taylor Rule and the Transformation of Monetary Policy," Books, Hoover Institution, Stanford University, number 4, ISBN: ARRAY(0x91198780), October.

2005

  1. Roberto Coronado & Keith R. Phillips, 2005, "Texas border benefits from retail sales to Mexican nationals," Monograph, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2005tbbfrstm.
  2. Jesus Cañas & Roberto Coronado & Robert W. Gilmer, 2005, "Texas border employment and maquiladora growth," Monograph, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2005tbeam.

Chapters

2026

  1. Anton Cheremukhin & Sewon Hur & Ronald Mau & Karel Mertens & Alexander W. Richter & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2026, "The Postpandemic US Immigration Surge: New Facts and Inflationary Implications," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2026, volume 41".

2023

  1. Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2023, "The Econometrics of Oil Market VAR Models," Advances in Econometrics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, "Essays in Honor of Joon Y. Park: Econometric Methodology in Empirical Applications", DOI: 10.1108/S0731-90532023000045B003.

2016

  1. Janna E. Johnson & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2016, "Changing Patterns of Geographic Mobility and the Labor Market for Young Adults," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "Youth Labor Markets".

2013

  1. Alquist, Ron & Kilian, Lutz & Vigfusson, Robert J., 2013, "Forecasting the Price of Oil," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, Elsevier, chapter 0, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann, "Handbook of Economic Forecasting", DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-444-53683-9.00008-6.
  2. Lutz Kilian, 2013, "Structural vector autoregressions," Chapters, Edward Elgar Publishing, chapter 22, in: Nigar Hashimzade & Michael A. Thornton, "Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics".

2012

  1. Evan F. Koenig & Robert Leeson & George A. Kahn, 2012, "Introduction," Book Chapters, Hoover Institution, Stanford University, chapter 1, in: Evan F. Koenig & Robert Leeson & George A. Kahn, "The Taylor Rule and the Transformation of Monetary Policy".

2010

  1. Lutz Kilian, 2010, "Oil Price Shocks, Monetary Policy and Stagflation," RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), Reserve Bank of Australia, in: Renée Fry & Callum Jones & Christopher Kent, "Inflation in an Era of Relative Price Shocks".

2002

  1. Robert B. Barsky & Lutz Kilian, 2002, "Do We Really Know That Oil Caused the Great Stagflation? A Monetary Alternative," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2001, Volume 16".

Software components

2012

  1. Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2012, "MCMCSTATS: Stata module to compute convergence and summary statistics for MCMC estimation," Statistical Software Components, Boston College Department of Economics, number S457388, revised 23 Aug 2012.
  2. Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2012, "MCMCLINEAR: Stata module for MCMC sampling of linear models," Statistical Software Components, Boston College Department of Economics, number S457392, revised .

2011

  1. Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2011, "SMWOODBURY: Stata module to compute Sherman-Morrison-Woodbury rank-k update to matrix inverse," Statistical Software Components, Boston College Department of Economics, number S457377, revised .

2008

  1. Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2008, "Code and data files for "Heterogeneous Risk Preferences and the Welfare Cost of Business Cycles"," Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 07-133, revised .

2006

  1. Sam Schulhofer-Wohl & Yang Yang, 2006, "APC: Stata module for estimating age-period-cohort effects," Statistical Software Components, Boston College Department of Economics, number S456754, revised .

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