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International Trade Fluctuations and Monetary Policy

Author

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  • Ana Maria Santacreu

    (Federal Reserve Bank of Saint Louis and)

  • Fernando Leibovici

    (York University)

Abstract

This paper studies the role of trade openness for the design of monetary policy. We extend a standard small open economy model of monetary policy to capture cyclical fluctuations of international trade flows, and parameterize it to match key features of the data. We find that accounting for trade fluctuations matters for monetary policy: when the monetary authority follows a Taylor rule, inflation and the output gap are more volatile. Moreover, we find that the volatility of these variables is significantly higher when the central bank follows the optimal policy based on a model that cannot account for international trade fluctuations.

Suggested Citation

  • Ana Maria Santacreu & Fernando Leibovici, 2016. "International Trade Fluctuations and Monetary Policy," 2016 Meeting Papers 367, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    • Handle: RePEc:red:sed016:367
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Cited by:

    1. Tenreyro, Silvana & Drechsel, Thomas & McLeay, Michael, 2019. "Monetary policy for commodity booms and busts," CEPR Discussion Papers 14030, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Kaya Tokmakcioglu & Oguzhan Ozcelebi & Ali Sezin Ozdemir, 2019. "The role of asymmetry in the interplay between internal and external factors: Empirical evidence from the US, Brazil, Canada and Mexico," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 37(1), pages 55-75.

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