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Content
March 2020, Volume 28, Issue 1
- 87680 The Efficacy of Enhanced Unemployment Benefits during a Pandemic
by Bill Dupor
November 2019, Volume 27, Issue 4
- 86650 Forecasters See Lower U.S. GDP Growth in 2020 as Headwinds Continue
by Kevin L. Kliesen
2019, Volume 27, Issue 3
- 1 Economic Forecasting: Comparing the Fed with the Private Sector
by Amy Y. Guisinger & Michael T. Owyang & Hannah Shell - 2 Financial Markets Signal Concern about U.S. Economic Growth
by Kevin L. Kliesen - 3 Bullard Discusses the Fed’s Monetary Policy Framework Review
by James B. Bullard - 4 Finance and Development: Evidence from Firm-Level Data
by Matthew Famiglietti & Fernando Leibovici - 5 Moving In, Moving Out: The Migration Pattern of the Eighth District
by Sungki Hong & Hannah Shell - 6 Working from Home: More Americans Are Telecommuting
by Iris Arbogast & Charles S. Gascon & Andrew Spewak - 7 A Decade after the Crisis, Has the Global Debt Burden Stabilized?
by Amalia Estenssoro
2019, Volume 27, Issue 2
- 1 Observing the Earnings Gap through Marital Status, Race and Gender
by Makenzie Peake & Guillaume Vandenbroucke - 2 James Bullard Discusses Nominal GDP Targeting
by James B. Bullard - 3 U.S. GDP Shows Surprising Strength, But Challenges Remain
by Kevin L. Kliesen - 4 Better than Ever? The Wealth of Retired Households
by YiLi Chien & Qiuhan Sun - 5 Industry Mix May Help Explain Urban-Rural Divide in Economic Growth
by Charles S. Gascon & Brian Reinbold - 6 What Is Driving Student Debt in the Eighth District?
by Mahdi Ebsim & Julian Kozlowski - 7 The Rise of Automation: How Robots May Impact the U.S. Labor Market
by Asha Bharadwaj & Maximiliano Dvorkin - 8 Unsecured Personal Loans Get a Boost from Fintech Lenders
by Eldar Beiseitov
2019, Volume 27, Issue 1
- 1 Female-Led Firms: Trends and Differences Relative to Male-Led Firms
by Matthew Famiglietti & Fernando Leibovici - 2 Debt Levels Continue to Grow in Eighth District’s Key Metro Areas
by Ryan Mather & Don E. Schlagenhauf - 3 Headwinds, Tailwinds and Whirlwinds: Forecasting the 2019 Economy
by Kevin L. Kliesen - 4 Changing Trade Relations May Affect U.S. Auto Exports in Long Run
by Brian Reinbold & Yi Wen - 5 Slowing U.S. Housing Sector Still Shaped by Great Recession
by Asha Bharadwaj & Charles S. Gascon - 6 Why Are More Credit Unions Buying Community Banks?
by Andrew P. Meyer - 7 The St. Louis Fed’s Focus on Women in Economics
by James B. Bullard - 8 The Unequal Recovery: Measuring Financial Distress by ZIP Code
by Ryan Mather & Juan M. Sanchez
2018, Volume 26, Issue 4
- 1 How Important Are Production Networks to the U.S. Economy?
by Sungki Hong & Hannah Shell & Qiuhan Sun - 2 President's Message: A Year in Review
by James B. Bullard - 3 Dealing with the Leftovers: Residual Seasonality in GDP
by Michael T. Owyang & Hannah Shell - 4 The Role of Age in Determining Stock-Bond Investment Mix
by Guillaume Vandenbroucke - 5 Unauthorized Immigration in the U.S.: Trends in Recent Years
by Subhayu Bandyopadhyay & Asha Bharadwaj - 6 Bourbon and Whiskey Distillers Face Rosy Tourism, Vexing Tariffs
by Kathryn Bokun & James W. Fuchs & Charles S. Gascon & Suzanne Jenkins - 7 Measuring Levels of Debt in the Eighth District’s Key Metro Areas
by Ryan Mather & Don E. Schlagenhauf - 8 Forecasters See U.S. GDP Growth Easing in 2019 after 2018 Surge
by Kevin L. Kliesen - 9 Perceived Bias and Income Patterns Differ by Race
by Ana Hernández Kent
2018, Volume 26, Issue 3
- 1 The Risk of Yield Curve Inversion—and How to Avoid It
by James B. Bullard - 2 Understanding the Roots of the U.S. Trade Deficit
by Brian Reinbold & Yi Wen - 3 Taking a Closer Look at U.S. Exports to China
by Subhayu Bandyopadhyay & Asha Bharadwaj & Suryadipta Roy - 4 Rising Rates Impact Borrowing Costs for the U.S. Government, Too
by Asha Bharadwaj & Miguel Faria-e-Castro - 5 In the U.S. Hispanic Labor Force, Women Surpass Men in Multiple Ways
by Alexander Monge-Naranjo & Juan I. Vizcaino - 6 Soybeans, the Eighth District’s No. 1 Crop, Caught in Trade Tussle
by Camilla Adams & Jonas C. Crews & Charles S. Gascon - 7 60% of District's Jobs Could Face Automation in the Next 20 Years
by Sungki Hong & Hannah Shell - 8 Forecasters See Solid U.S. GDP Growth during Rest of 2018
by Kevin L. Kliesen - 9 A Tale of Two Economies: Farmers Struggle despite Strong U.S. Economy
by Suzanne Jenkins & Nathan Kauffman
2018, Volume 26, Issue 2
- 1 Reflections on Crisis to Recovery
by James B. Bullard - 2 Hispanics and Their Contribution to America’s Human Capital
by Alexander Monge-Naranjo & Juan I. Vizcaino - 3 Housing Costs and Regional Income Inequality in China and the U.S
by Brian Reinbold & Yi Wen - 4 Unequal Pink Slips? Gender and the Risk of Unemployment
by Guillaume Vandenbroucke & Heting Zhu - 5 Accounting for Age: The Financial Health of Millennials
by YiLi Chien & Paul Morris - 6 St. Louis Fed Steps in to Provide More-Timely Jobs Data
by Charles S. Gascon & Paul Morris - 7 Gauging Debt Levels in the U.S. and Eighth District
by James D. Eubanks & Don E. Schlagenhauf - 8 U.S. Economic Growth Appears Solid This Year
by Kevin L. Kliesen - 9 CEO Succession at Rural Banks
by Drew Dahl & Mike Milchanowski
2018, Volume 26, Issue 1
- 1 Comparing Living Standards across U.S. Metro Areas: Which Ones Fared Well?
by James B. Bullard - 2 Why Is Inflation So Low?
by Hee Sung Kim & Juan M. Sanchez - 3 Measuring Labor Share in Developing Countries
by Brian Reinbold & Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria - 4 Many Americans Still Lack Retirement Savings
by YiLi Chien & Paul Morris - 5 The Relationship between Oil and Equities at the Zero Lower Bound
by Brian Reinbold & Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria - 6 Health Care Remains Important Job Engine in Eighth District
by Charles S. Gascon - 7 Income and Living Standards within the Eighth District
by Brian Reinbold & Yi Wen - 8 U.S. Economy Continues to Strengthen
by Kevin L. Kliesen - 9 Market Concentration and Its Impact on Community Banks
by Andrew P. Meyer
2017, Volume 25, Issue 4
- 1 A Year in Review
by James B. Bullard - 2 Shifting Times: The Evolution of the American Workplace
by Alexander Monge-Naranjo & Juan I. Vizcaino - 3 Boomers Have Played a Role in Changes in Productivity
by Guillaume Vandenbroucke - 4 Trade and Terror: The Impact of Terrorism on Developing Countries
by Subhayu Bandyopadhyay & Javed Younas - 5 Looking for the Positives In Negative Interest Rates
by Brian Reinbold & Yi Wen - 6 Economy Bounces Back from Hurricanes
by Kevin L. Kliesen - 7 Advanced Manufacturing Is Vital across Nation, Including Eighth District
by Charles S. Gascon & Andrew Spewak - 8 First-Time Homebuyers Appear to Be Younger, Less Creditworthy in Eighth District
by Brian Reinbold & Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria - 9 How Fast Will Banks Adopt New Technology This Time?
by Drew Dahl & Andrew P. Meyer & Neil Wiggins
2017, Volume 25, Issue 3
- 1 Does Low Unemployment Signal a Meaningful Rise in Inflation?
by James B. Bullard - 2 Household Participation in Stock Market Varies Widely by State
by YiLi Chien & Paul Morris - 3 Workers Abroad Are Catching Up to U.S. Skill Levels
by Alexander Monge-Naranjo - 4 Quantitative Easing: How Well Does This Tool Work?
by Stephen D. Williamson - 5 Momentum Appears to Have Swung Upward for Economy
by Kevin L. Kliesen - 6 Making Ends Meet on the Federal Budget: Outlook and Challenges
by Fernando M. Martin - 7 Coal's Future Looks Uncertain as Rival Fuels Grow
by Jonas C. Crews & Charles S. Gascon - 8 Startups Create Many Jobs, but They Often Don't Last
by Maximiliano Dvorkin & Charles S. Gascon - 9 Another Way to Compare Banking Conditions in the U.S
by Andrew P. Meyer
2017, Volume 25, Issue 2
- 3-3 A Case for Shrinking the Fed's Balance Sheet
by James B. Bullard - 4-6 Does More Financial Development Lead to More or Less Volatility?
by Maria A. Arias & Yi Wen - 6-12 China's Economic Data: An Accurate Reflection, or Just Smoke and Mirrors?
by Michael T. Owyang & Hannah Shell - 13-15 Comparing Income, Education and Job Data for Immigrants vs. Those Born in U.S
by Subhayu Bandyopadhyay & Guerrero Rodrigo - 16-18 A Short History of Prices, Inflation since the Founding of the U.S
by Fernando M. Martin - 19-19 Handle with Care: Report on GDP for First Quarter
by Kevin L. Kliesen - 20-21 \\"Banking Deserts\\" Become a Concern as Branches Dry Up
by Drew Dahl & Michelle Franke - 22-23 Labor Market Polarization: How Does the District Compare with the Nation?
by Maximiliano Dvorkin & Hannah Shell - 24-26 Growth in Tech Sector Returns to Glory Days of the 1990s
by Charles S. Gascon & Evan Karson
2017, Volume 25, Issue 1
- 1-3 A Look at Corporate Inversions, Inside and Out
by Michelle Clark Neely & Larry D. Sherrer - 3-3 The Policy Rule Debate: A Simpler Solution
by James B. Bullard - 4-5 Mixing the Melting Pot: The Impact of Immigration on Labor Markets
by Guillaume Vandenbroucke & Heting Zhu - 6-7 The Recovery Act of 2009 vs. FDR's New Deal: Which Was Bigger?
by William D. Dupor - 8-12 Financial Conditions: Do the Ups and Downs Affect the Rest of the Economy?
by Hee Sung Kim & Juan M. Sanchez - 13-13 Signals Are Mixed, but Optimism Is on the Rise
by Kevin L. Kliesen - 14-15 Slowdown in Productivity: State vs. National Trend
by YiLi Chien & Paul Morris - 16-17 After Years of Decline, Yields on U.S. Treasuries Rise
by Maria A. Arias & Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria - 18-19 Disability Rate Exceeds Nation's; Problem Is Worse in Rural Areas
by James D. Eubanks & David Wiczer - 20-22 Multifamily Housing Shows Strong Growth, Leading to Bubble Fears
by Charles S. Gascon & Joseph McGillicuddy
2016, Issue October
- 1-3 Unequal Degrees of Affluence: Racial and Ethnic Wealth Differences across Education Levels
by William R. Emmons & Lowell R. Ricketts - 3-3 Higher GDP Growth in the Long Run Requires Higher Productivity Growth
by James B. Bullard - 4-5 Q&A with President Bullard on New Approach to Projections
by James B. Bullard - 6-7 Breaking Down the Gender Wage Gap by Age and by Hours Worked
by Limor Golan & Andrés Hincapié - 8-13 Home Economics: The Changing Work Roles of Wives and Husbands
by Limor Golan & Usa Kerdnunvong - 14-15 Immigrants to the U.S.: Where They Are Coming from, and Where They Are Headed
by Subhayu Bandyopadhyay & Guerrero Rodrigo - 16-18 Demographics Help Explain the Fall in the Labor Force Participation Rate
by Maria A. Arias & Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria - 19-19 After a Start That Was Lackluster, the Economy Improves
by Kevin L. Kliesen - 20-22 Evansville, Ind., Adapts As Manufacturing, Population Growth Slide
by Charles S. Gascon & Andrew Spewak
2016, Issue July
- 1-3 Scale Matters: Community Banks and Compliance Costs
by Drew Dahl & Andrew P. Meyer & Michelle Clark Neely - 3-3 The State of the Debate on \\"Too Big to Fail\\"
by James B. Bullard - 4-9 Neo-Fisherism: A Radical Idea, or the Most Obvious Solution to the Low-Inflation Problem?
by Stephen D. Williamson - 10-11 Gender Pay Gap May Be Linked to Flexible and Irregular Hours
by Maria E. Canon & Limor Golan - 14-15 Which Persists More from Generation to Generation—Income or Wealth?
by George-Levi Gayle & Andrés Hincapié - 16-18 District Households Buck the Trend to Pay Down Debt
by Helu Jiang & Juan M. Sanchez - 18-19 Government Spending Might Not Create Jobs Even during Recessions
by William D. Dupor & Guerrero Rodrigo - 19-19 Despite Weakness, Economic Expansion Marks Seven Years
by Kevin L. Kliesen - 20-23 Health Care, Hospitality and Retirees Keep Hot Springs Afloat
by Charles S. Gascon & Faisal Sohail
2016, Issue Jan
- 1-4 Focus on Low Real Interest Rate Might Be Misplaced
by Jonas C. Crews & Kevin L. Kliesen & Christopher J. Waller - 3-3 What Does Data Dependence Mean?
by James B. Bullard - 5-9 Labor Indicators: Some of Today's Trends Pre-Date the Great Recession
by Marianna Kudlyak & Juan M. Sanchez - 10-11 Rising Productivity, Declining Population Impact Russia's Economy
by Guillaume Vandenbroucke - 12-13 Where Did All the New Liquidity Go?
by Fernando M. Martin - 14-16 Unemployment by Industry: Duration Must Be Considered, Too
by YiLi Chien & Paul Morris - 17-17 Despite Crosscurrents, Economy Is Showing Signs of Strength
by Kevin L. Kliesen - 18-19 District's Patterns in Imports and Exports Sometimes Differ from Nation's
by Maximiliano Dvorkin & Hannah Shell - 20-22 Jefferson City, Mo., Facing Same Struggles As Other State Capitals
by Charles S. Gascon & Evan Karson
2016, Issue April
- 1-3 Tracking the U.S. Economy with Nowcasts
by Kevin L. Kliesen & Michael W. McCracken - 3-3 Inflation Expectations Are Important to Central Bankers, Too
by James B. Bullard - 4-5 Measuring Trends in Income Inequality
by Michael T. Owyang & Hannah Shell - 6-7 Many Countries Sink or Swim on Commodity Prices—and on Orders from China
by Alexander Monge-Naranjo & Faisal Sohail - 8-14 China's Rapid Rise: From Backward Agrarian Society to Industrial Powerhouse in Just 35 Years
by Yi Wen - 15-17 Interest Rate Control Is More Complicated Than You Thought
by Stephen D. Williamson - 18-19 Immigration Patterns in the District Differ in Some Ways from the Nation's
by Subhayu Bandyopadhyay & Guerrero Rodrigo - 22-22 Some Sectors Are Strong in Cape Girardeau, but Recovery from Recession Remains Elusive
by Charles S. Gascon & Joseph McGillicuddy - 23-23 Modest Improvement in Economy Expected over Rest of the Year
by Usa Kerdnunvong & Kevin L. Kliesen
2015, Issue Oct
- 1-3 The Composition of Long-term Unemployment Is Changing toward Older Workers
by Alexander Monge-Naranjo & Faisal Sohail - 3-3 President's Message: Some Considerations for Dividend Payments to Fed Member Banks
by James B. Bullard - 4-9 Trapped: Few Developing Countries Can Climb the Economic Ladder or Stay There
by Maria A. Arias & Yi Wen - 10-11 Recovery from the Great Recession Has Varied around the World
by Maria A. Arias & Yi Wen - 12-13 Aging and the Economy: The Japanese Experience
by Maria E. Canon & Marianna Kudlyak & Marisa Reed - 14-15 Stimulus Spending Had Spillover Effects, Thanks to Commuters
by William D. Dupor - 16-19 Metro Profile: Jonesboro Outperforming Arkansas and Nation in Some Key Categories
by Charles S. Gascon & Michael R. Pakko - 20-21 District Overview: \\"Leaving the Nest\\" Is Easier in Arkansas than Elsewhere in the District and Nation
by Maria E. Canon & Charles S. Gascon - 22-22 National Overview: Growth Is Resilient in the Midst of Uncertainty
by Kevin L. Kliesen
2015, Issue July
- 1 Asset Bubbles: Detecting and Measuring Them Are Not Easy Tasks
by Silvio Contessi & Usa Kerdnunvong - 2 President's Message: Reassessing Monetary Policy at the Zero Lower Bound
by James B. Bullard - 3 Lifetime Benefits of an Education Have Never Been So High
by Guillaume Vandenbroucke - 4 Oil Prices and Inflation Expectations: Is There a Link?
by Alejandro Badel & Joseph McGillicuddy - 5 Changes in Income Gaps Might Overstate Changes in Welfare Gaps
by Juan M. Sanchez & Lijun Zhu - 6 National Overview: The U.S. Economy Stumbles Out of the Gate—Again
by Kevin L. Kliesen - 7 District Overview: As in the Nation, New Jobs in the District Are Concentrated in Low-Paying Industries
by Maximiliano Dvorkin & Hannah Shell - 8 Metro Profile: Bowling Green, Ky.: Cars, College and Caves
by Georgette A Fernandez Laris & Charles S. Gascon - 9 States' Efforts To Curtail Unauthorized Immigration Draw More Attention
by Subhayu Bandyopadhyay & Jonathan Munemo & Santiago Pinto
2015, Issue Jan
- 1-1 Liftoff: A Comparison of Two Normalization Cycles
by James B. Bullard - 1-1 National Overview: Pace of Growth Is Expected To Quicken
by Kevin L. Kliesen - 1-2 Sovereign Debt Crisis in Europe Recalls the Lost Decade in Latin America
by Maria A. Arias & Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria - 1-2 Measuring Underground Economy Can Be Done, but It Is Difficult
by Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria - 1-2 Youth Labor Force Participation Continues To Fall, but It Might Be for a Good Reason
by Maria E. Canon & Marianna Kudlyak - 1-2 \\"Where's the Wage Pressure?\\"
by James D. Eubanks & David Wiczer - 1-2 District Overview: Income Inequality Is Growing in the District, but Not as Fast as in the Nation
by Maximiliano Dvorkin & Hannah Shell - 1-3 Assessing the Health of the Labor Market: The Unemployment Rate vs. Other Indicators
by Maximiliano Dvorkin - 1-3 Faster Real GDP Growth during Recoveries Tends To Be Associated with Growth of Jobs in \\"Low-Paying\\" Industries
by Kevin L. Kliesen & Lowell R. Ricketts - 1-3 Metro Profile: A Tale of Four Cities: Widespread Growth in Northwest Arkansas
by Charles S. Gascon & Michael A. Varley - 1-4 Growth around the World Is Still Below the Trend; U.S. Faring Better than Most
by Juan M. Sanchez
2015, Issue April
- 2-3 Costs of Defaulting on Credit Card Debt Depend on the \\"Exit\\" Taken by Borrower Costs of Defaulting on Credit Card Debt Depend on the \\"Exit\\" Taken by Borrower Costs of Defaulting on Credit Card Debt Depend on the \\"Exit\\" Taken by Borrower
by Juan M. Sanchez - 3-3 President's Message: A Comparison of Unconventional Monetary Policy in the U.S. and Europe
by James B. Bullard - 4-9 Regional vs. Global: How Are Countries' Business Cycles Moving Together These Days?
by Diana A. Cooke & M. Ayhan Kose & Christopher Otrok & Michael T. Owyang - 10-11 Contract Enforcement, Corruption Controls and Other Institutions Affect Trade, Too
by Subhayu Bandyopadhyay & Yang Liu & Suryadipta Roy - 12-13 Living Arrangements Matter Not Just to Your Parents but Also to Policymakers
by Guillaume Vandenbroucke - 14-15 Stimulus Grants and Schools: How Was the Money Spent?
by William D. Dupor - 16-19 Metro Profile: A Familiar Name with an Economy Facing Familiar Challenges
by Georgette A Fernandez Laris & Charles S. Gascon - 20-21 District Overview: Track Records for District, Nation Differ on Startups, Which Are an Important Driver of Job Growth
by Maria E. Canon - 22-22 National Overview: Growth Is Modest in GDP but Strong in Labor Markets
by Kevin L. Kliesen
2014
- 1 Some Perspectives on the Notorious Summer of 2008
by James B. Bullard - 1 A Spring-loaded economy?
by Kevin L. Kliesen - 1 The rise and fall of labor force participation in the U.S
by James B. Bullard - 1 Weather throws a cold blanket on the U.S. economy
by Kevin L. Kliesen - 1 Tapering and other key topics in U.S. monetary policy
by James B. Bullard - 1 Recovery seems to have finally taken root
by Kevin L. Kliesen - 2 Around the World, Gender Gaps Ebb and Flow
by Silvio Contessi & Li Li - 2 Understanding the Motives and Constraints That Lead People to Risky Occupations
by Amanda M. Michaud & David Wiczer - 2 Engines of growth vary in four largest cities
by Maria A. Arias & Charles S. Gascon - 2 The liquidity trap: an alternative explanation for today's low inflation
by Maria A. Arias & Yi Wen - 2 Youth unemployment notably high in southern Europe
by James D. Eubanks & David Wiczer - 2 Paying down credit card debt: a breakdown by income and age
by Juan M. Sanchez - 2 Debt crisis in Europe is easing, but stability remains a long way off
by Silvio Contessi & Li Li - 2 Measured economic mobility in the district is below the U.S. average
by Alejandro Badel & Julia S. Maues - 2 The federal budget: how the U.S. got here, and where it is headed
by Fernando M. Martin - 2 Is involuntary part-time employment different after the great recession?
by Maria E. Canon & Marianna Kudlyak & Marisa Reed - 2 Three faces of low inflation: U.S., Japan and the Euro area
by Silvio Contessi & Li Li - 2 Why is economic mobility in Memphis among the lowest in the nation?
by Alejandro Badel & Julia S. Maues - 3 Job searching: some methods yield better results than others
by James D. Eubanks & David Wiczer - 3 Not everyone who joins the ranks of the employed was \\"unemployed\\"
by Maria E. Canon & Marianna Kudlyak & Marisa Reed - 3 Long-resilient Little Rock faces uncertain pace of recovery
by Charles S. Gascon & Peter B. McCrory - 4 The Fed's bloated balance sheet: how we got here and why it's familiar
by Lowell R. Ricketts & Christopher J. Waller - 4 After stalling, recovery resumes in St. Louis
by Diana A. Cooke & Charles S. Gascon - 4 As Owensboro, Ky., wraps up wave of development, hiring slows down
by Maria A. Arias & Charles S. Gascon - 6 A Look at Japan's slowdown and its turnaround plan
by Juan M. Sanchez & Emircan Yurdagul - 6 The ups and downs of inflation and the role of Fed credibility
by Diana A. Cooke & William T. Gavin - 6 Business opportunities and challenges for the U.S. in Latin America
by Alexander Monge-Naranjo - 1-3 Looking at Recessions through a Different Lens
by David Wiczer - 3-3 A Mismatch: Close to Macroeconomic Goals, Far from Normal Monetary Policy
by James B. Bullard