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Global Value Chains and U.S. Economic Activity During COVID-19

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Abstract

We investigate the role of global value chains in the declines of manufacturing employment and output in the U.S. during COVID-19. Specifically, we identify the role of global value chains by exploiting heterogeneity across industries in cross-country sourcing patterns and its interaction with exogenous cross-country variation in the containment policies introduced to combat the virus. We find that global value chains played a significant role in the decline of output and employment across U.S. manufactures. Moreover, we find a modest impact of diversifying or renationalizing global value chains in mitigating the economy's exposure to foreign shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Jesse LaBelle & Fernando Leibovici & Ana Maria Santacreu, 2021. "Global Value Chains and U.S. Economic Activity During COVID-19," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 103(3), pages 271-288, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedlrv:92886
    DOI: 10.20955/r.103.271-88
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    Cited by:

    1. Khalil, Makram & Weber, Marc-Daniel, 2021. "Chinese supply chain shocks," MPRA Paper 110356, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Laeven, Luc, 2022. "Pandemics, intermediate goods, and corporate valuation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    3. Festus Victor Bekun & Abdulkareem Alhassan & Ilhan Ozturk & Obadiah Jonathan Gimba, 2022. "Explosivity and Time-Varying Granger Causality: Evidence from the Bubble Contagion Effect of COVID-19-Induced Uncertainty on Manufacturing Job Postings in the United States," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(24), pages 1-17, December.
    4. Jesse LaBelle & Ana Maria Santacreu, 2021. "Rethinking Global Value Chains During COVID-19: Part 2," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 17, pages 1-2, July.
    5. Kevin L. Kliesen & Devin Werner, 2022. "Using Beige Book Text Analysis to Measure Supply Chain Disruptions," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 18, pages 1-2, June.
    6. Jesse LaBelle & Ana Maria Santacreu, 2022. "Global Supply Chain Disruptions and Inflation During the COVID-19 Pandemic," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 104(2), pages 78-91.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19; global value chains;

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F44 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Business Cycles

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