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Laurent Ferrara

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First Name:Laurent
Middle Name:
Last Name:Ferrara
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RePEc Short-ID:pfe27
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Homepage:http://lo.ferrara.free.fr
Postal Address:Banque de France, International Macroeconomics Division, 46-1374 DERIE-SEMSI,31 rue Croix des Petits-Champs, 75049 Paris Cedex 01
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Location: Paris, France
Homepage: http://www.banque-france.fr/
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Postal: B.P. 140-01 75049 Paris Cedex 01
Handle: RePEc:edi:bdfgvfr (more details at EDIRC)
Location: Nanterre, France
Homepage: http://economix.fr/
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Postal: 200 Avenue de la République, Bât. G - 92001 Nanterre Cedex
Handle: RePEc:edi:modemfr (more details at EDIRC)
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  1. Karim Barhoumi & Laurent Ferrara, 2015. "A World Trade Leading Index (WTLI)," IMF Working Papers 15/20, International Monetary Fund.
  2. L. Ferrara & C. Marsilli, 2014. "Nowcasting global economic growth: A factor-augmented mixed-frequency approach," Working papers 515, Banque de France.
  3. Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara, 2014. "Does the Great Recession imply the end of the Great Moderation? International evidence," Working Papers hal-00952951, HAL.
  4. Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli & Juan-Pablo Ortega, 2013. "Forecasting US growth during the Great Recession: Is the financial volatility the missing ingredient?," EconomiX Working Papers 2013-19, University of Paris West - Nanterre la Défense, EconomiX.
  5. Menzie D. Chinn & Laurent Ferrara & Valérie Mignon, 2013. "Post-recession US Employment through the Lens of a Non-linear Okun's law," NBER Working Papers 19047, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  6. Barhoumi, K. & Darné, O. & Ferrara, L., 2013. "Dynamic Factor Models: A review of the Literature ," Working papers 430, Banque de France.
  7. Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli, 2012. "Financial variables as leading indicators of GDP growth: Evidence from a MIDAS approach during the Great Recession," EconomiX Working Papers 2012-19, University of Paris West - Nanterre la Défense, EconomiX.
  8. Ferrara, L. & Marcellino, M. & Mogliani, M., 2012. "Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity?," Working papers 383, Banque de France.
  9. Bec, F. & Bouabdallah, O. & Ferrara, L., 2012. "The European way out of recession," Working papers 360, Banque de France.
  10. Bec Frederique & Othman Bouabdallah & Laurent Ferrara, 2011. "The possible shapes of recoveries in Markov-Switching models," THEMA Working Papers 2011-02, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
  11. Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Claude Diebolt & Laurent Ferrara, 2011. "A new monthly chronology of the US industrial cycles in the prewar economy," EconomiX Working Papers 2011-27, University of Paris West - Nanterre la Défense, EconomiX.
  12. Ferrara, L. & Koopman, S J., 2010. "Common business and housing market cycles in the Euro area from a multivariate decomposition," Working papers 275, Banque de France.
  13. Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Patrick Rakotomarolahy, 2010. "GDP nowcasting with ragged-edge data: a semi-parametric modeling," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00460461, HAL.
  14. Christophe Bellégo & Laurent Ferrara, 2010. "A factor-augmented probit model for business cycle analysis," EconomiX Working Papers 2010-14, University of Paris West - Nanterre la Défense, EconomiX.
  15. Barhoumi, K. & Darné, O. & Ferrara, L., 2009. "Are disaggregate data useful for factor analysis in forecasting French GDP?," Working papers 232, Banque de France.
  16. Monica Billio & Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Gian Luigi Mazzi, 2009. "Evaluation of Nonlinear time-series models for real-time business cycle analysis of the Euro," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 09053, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
  17. Darné, O. & Ferrara, L., 2009. "Identification of slowdowns and accelerations for the euro area economy," Working papers 239, Banque de France.
  18. Bellégo, C. & Ferrara, L., 2009. "Forecasting Euro-area recessions using time-varying binary response models for financial," Working papers 259, Banque de France.
  19. Ferrara, L. & Vigna, O., 2009. "Cyclical relationships between GDP and housing market in France: Facts and factors at play," Working papers 268, Banque de France.
  20. Álvarez, L-J. & Bulligan, G. & Cabrero, A. & Ferrara, L. & Stahl, H., 2009. "Housing cycles in the major euro area countries," Working papers 269, Banque de France.
  21. Monica Billio & Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Gian Luigi Mazzi, 2009. "Evaluation of Nonlinear time-series models for real-time business cycle analysis of the Euro area," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00423890, HAL.
  22. Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Patrick Rakotomarolahy, 2009. "GDP nowcasting with ragged-edge data : A semi-parametric modelling," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00344839, HAL.
  23. Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan, 2008. "Business surveys modelling with Seasonal-Cyclical Long Memory models," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00277379, HAL.
  24. Laurent Ferrara & Thomas Raffinot, 2008. "A non-parametric method to nowcast the Euro Area IPI," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00275769, HAL.
  25. Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Patrick Rakotomarolahy, 2008. "GDP nowcasting with ragged-edge data : A semi-parametric modelling," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne b08082, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, revised Nov 2009.
  26. Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Zhiping Lu, 2008. "Testing fractional order of long memory processes : a Monte Carlo study," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne b08012, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
  27. Laurent Ferrara & Thomas Raffinot, 2008. "A non-parametric method to nowcast the Euro Area IPI," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne b08033, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
  28. Dominique Guegan & Laurent Ferrara, 2008. "Fractional and seasonal filtering," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00646178, HAL.
  29. Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan, 2008. "Business surveys modelling with seasonal-cyclical long memory models," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne b08035, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
  30. Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Zhiping Lu, 2008. "Testing fractional order of long memory processes : a Monte Carlo study," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00259193, HAL.
  31. Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan, 2008. "Business surveys modelling with Seasonal-Cyclical Long Memory models," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00283710, HAL.
  32. Barhoumi, K. & Brunhes-Lesage, V. & Darné, O. & Ferrara, L. & Pluyaud, B. & Rouvreau, B., 2008. "Monthly forecasting of French GDP: A revised version of the OPTIM model," Working papers 222, Banque de France.
  33. Monica Billio & Jacques Anas & Laurent Ferrara & Marco Lo Duca, 2007. "Business Cycle Analysis with Multivariate Markov Switching Models," Working Papers 2007_32, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
  34. Monica Billio & Jacques Anas & Laurent Ferrara & Marco Lo Duca, 2007. "A turning point chronology for the Euro-zone," Working Papers 2007_33, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
  35. Adanero-Donderis , M. & Darné, O. & Ferrara, L., 2007. "Deux indicateurs probabilistes de retournement cyclique pour l’économie française," Working papers 187, Banque de France.
  36. Ferrara, Laurent, 2006. "A real-time recession indicator for the Euro area," MPRA Paper 4042, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  37. Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan, 2006. "Real-time detection of the business cycle using SETAR models," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00185372, HAL.
  38. Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan, 2006. "Fractional seasonality: Models and Application to Economic Activity in the Euro Area," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00185370, HAL.
  39. Ferrara, Laurent & Guégan, Dominique, 2005. "Detection of the industrial business cycle using SETAR models," MPRA Paper 4389, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  40. Anas, Jacques & Ferrara, Laurent, 2002. "Un indicateur d'entrée et sortie de récession: application aux Etats-Unis
    [A start-end recession index: Application for United-States]
    ," MPRA Paper 4043, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  41. Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan, 1999. "Estimation and Applications of Gegenbauer Processes," Working Papers 99-27, Centre de Recherche en Economie et Statistique.
  42. Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan, 1998. "Analyse d’Intervention et Prévisions. Problématique et Application à des données de la RATP," Working Papers 98-42, Centre de Recherche en Economie et Statistique.
  1. Bec, Frédérique & Bouabdallah, Othman & Ferrara, Laurent, 2015. "Comparing the shape of recoveries: France, the UK and the US," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 327-334.
  2. Chinn, Menzie & Ferrara, Laurent & Mignon, Valérie, 2014. "Explaining US employment growth after the great recession: The role of output–employment non-linearities," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 118-129.
  3. Bec, Frédérique & Bouabdallah, Othman & Ferrara, Laurent, 2014. "The way out of recessions: A forecasting analysis for some Euro area countries," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 539-549.
  4. Ferrara, L. & Sestieri, G., 2014. "Marché du travail et politique monétaire aux États-Unis : débats actuels et enjeux," Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 198, pages 113-124.
  5. Ferrara, Laurent & Marsilli, Clément & Ortega, Juan-Pablo, 2014. "Forecasting growth during the Great Recession: is financial volatility the missing ingredient?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 44-50.
  6. Monica Billio & Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guégan & Gian Luigi Mazzi, 2013. "Evaluation of Regime Switching Models for Real‐Time Business Cycle Analysis of the Euro Area," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(7), pages 577-586, November.
  7. Karim Barhoumi & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara, 2013. "Dynamic factor models: A review of the literature," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing,Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2013(2), pages 73-107.
  8. Karim Barhoumi & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara, 2013. "Testing the Number of Factors: An Empirical Assessment for a Forecasting Purpose," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 75(1), pages 64-79, 02.
  9. Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli, 2013. "Financial variables as leading indicators of GDP growth: Evidence from a MIDAS approach during the Great Recession," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(3), pages 233-237, February.
  10. Karim Barhoumi & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara & Bertrand Pluyaud, 2012. "Monthly Gdp Forecasting Using Bridge Models: Application For The French Economy," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 64(Supplemen), pages s53-s70, December.
  11. Bellégo, C. & Ferrara, L., 2012. "Macro-financial linkages and business cycles: A factor-augmented probit approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 1793-1797.
  12. Ferrara, L., 2012. "Prévoir le cycle économique. Synthèse du huitième séminaire de l’International Institute of Forecasters organisé par la Banque de France les 1er et 2 décembre 2011 à Paris," Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 187, pages 63-69.
  13. Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara, 2011. "Identification of Slowdowns and Accelerations for the Euro Area Economy," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 73(3), pages 335-364, 06.
  14. L. Ferrara., 2011. "Forecasting the business cycle. Summary of the 8th International Institute of Forecasters workshop hosted by the Banque de France on 1-2 December 2011 in Paris," Quarterly selection of articles - Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 24, pages 135-144, Winter.
  15. Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guégan & Patrick Rakotomarolahy, 2010. "GDP nowcasting with ragged-edge data: a semi-parametric modeling," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1-2), pages 186-199.
  16. Laurent Ferrara, 2010. "Les variables financières sont-elles utiles pour anticiper la croissance économique ?. Quelques évidences économétriques," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 61(3), pages 645-655.
  17. Karim Barhoumi & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara, 2010. "Are disaggregate data useful for factor analysis in forecasting French GDP?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1-2), pages 132-144.
  18. de Bandt, O. & Ferrara, F. & Vigna, O., 2010. "Housing markets after the crisis: lessons for the macroeconomy," Quarterly selection of articles - Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 17, pages 39-45, Spring.
  19. De BANDT, O. & FERRARA, L. & VIGNA, O., 2010. "Les marchés immobiliers après la crise : quelles leçons pour la macroéconomie ?," Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 179, pages 25-29.
  20. Laurent Ferrara & Olivier Darné & Marie Adanero-Donderis, 2009. "Un indicateur probabiliste du cycle d’accélération pour l’économie française," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 189(3), pages 95-114.
  21. Laurent Ferrara, 2009. "Caractérisation et datation des cycles économiques en zone euro," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 60(3), pages 703-712.
  22. Barhoumi, K. & Brunhes-Lesage, V. & Ferrara, L. & Pluyaud, B. & Rouvreau, B. & Darné, O., 2008. "OPTIM: a quarterly forecasting tool for French GDP," Quarterly selection of articles - Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 13, pages 31-47, Autumn.
  23. Jacques Anas & Monica Billio & Laurent Ferrara & Gian Luigi Mazzi, 2008. "A System For Dating And Detecting Turning Points In The Euro Area," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 76(5), pages 549-577, 09.
  24. Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guégan, 2008. "Business surveys modelling with Seasonal-Cyclical Long Memory models," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 3(29), pages 1-10.
  25. Ferrara, L., 2008. "The contribution of cyclical turning point indicators to business cycle analysis," Quarterly selection of articles - Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 13, pages 49-61, Autumn.
  26. Barhoumi, K. & Brunhes-Lesage, V. & Darné, O. & Ferrara, L. & Pluyaud, B. & Rouvreau, B., 2008. "OPTIM : un outil de prévision trimestrielle du PIB de la France," Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 171, pages 31-42.
  27. Ferrara, L., 2008. "L’apport des indicateurs de retournement cyclique à l’analyse conjoncturelle," Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 171, pages 43-51.
  28. Laurent Ferrara, 2007. "Point and interval nowcasts of the Euro area IPI," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(2), pages 115-120.
  29. Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guégan, 2005. "Detection of the Industrial Business Cycle using SETAR Models," Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing,Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2005(3), pages 353-371.
  30. Laurent Ferrara & Alain Henriot, 2004. "La localisation des entreprises industrielles : comment apprecier l'attractivite des territoires ?," Economie Internationale, CEPII research center, issue 99, pages 91-111.
  31. Jacques Anas & Laurent Ferrara, 2004. "Detecting Cyclical Turning Points: The ABCD Approach and Two Probabilistic Indicators," Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing,Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2004(2), pages 193-225.
  32. Ferrara, Laurent, 2003. "A three-regime real-time indicator for the US economy," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 81(3), pages 373-378, December.
  33. Ferrara, Laurent & Guegan, Dominique, 2001. "Forecasting with k-Factor Gegenbauer Processes: Theory and Applications," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(8), pages 581-601, December.
34 papers by this author were announced in NEP, and specifically in the following field reports (number of papers):
  1. NEP-BEC: Business Economics (1) 2010-07-24
  2. NEP-CBA: Central Banking (11) 2007-07-20 2008-02-09 2008-05-17 2009-01-31 2009-07-17 2009-10-24 2009-11-27 2009-12-19 2010-04-11 2010-04-17 2010-07-24. Author is listed
  3. NEP-ECM: Econometrics (10) 2008-02-09 2008-04-15 2008-05-17 2008-05-17 2009-01-31 2009-07-17 2009-10-24 2009-12-19 2010-07-24 2013-04-13. Author is listed
  4. NEP-EEC: European Economics (10) 2007-07-20 2008-05-17 2009-07-17 2009-10-24 2009-11-27 2009-12-19 2010-04-11 2010-04-17 2010-07-24 2012-03-08. Author is listed
  5. NEP-ETS: Econometric Time Series (5) 2008-02-09 2008-04-15 2008-05-17 2009-10-24 2013-04-13. Author is listed
  6. NEP-FDG: Financial Development & Growth (1) 2009-12-19
  7. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (14) 2008-05-17 2008-05-17 2009-01-31 2009-07-17 2009-12-19 2010-07-24 2012-03-08 2012-04-17 2012-06-13 2013-04-13 2013-05-24 2013-06-04 2013-07-15 2013-10-25. Author is listed
  8. NEP-HIS: Business, Economic & Financial History (3) 2011-11-01 2011-12-19 2012-05-15
  9. NEP-INT: International Trade (1) 2015-02-05
  10. NEP-LAB: Labour Economics (2) 2013-05-24 2013-06-04
  11. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (22) 2007-07-20 2008-02-09 2008-02-09 2008-05-17 2008-05-17 2009-01-31 2009-07-17 2009-10-24 2010-04-11 2010-04-17 2010-07-24 2011-03-19 2011-04-02 2011-12-19 2012-03-08 2012-03-08 2012-06-13 2013-06-04 2013-10-25 2014-03-15 2014-04-18 2014-11-22. Author is listed
  12. NEP-ORE: Operations Research (4) 2008-04-15 2009-11-27 2009-12-19 2013-04-13
  13. NEP-RMG: Risk Management (1) 2007-07-20
  14. NEP-URE: Urban & Real Estate Economics (2) 2010-04-11 2010-04-17
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