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Analyse d’Intervention et Prévisions. Problématique et Application à des données de la RATP

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  • Laurent Ferrara

    (Crest)

  • Dominique Guegan

    (Crest)

Abstract

Les séries chronologiques de trafic ou de ventes de titres de la RATP sont souvent perturbées par des événements spéciaux. Lors de la modélisation d'une série, l'analyse d'intervention (Box et Tiao (1975)) prend en compte ces interventions extérieures et fournit une mesure de l'impact de celles-ci sur la série. Nous analysons les effets de cette technique d'intervention pour différentes fonctions et nous appliquons cette approche sur des séries réelles.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan, 1998. "Analyse d’Intervention et Prévisions. Problématique et Application à des données de la RATP," Working Papers 98-42, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
  • Handle: RePEc:crs:wpaper:98-42
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    File URL: http://crest.science/RePEc/wpstorage/1998-42.pdf
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