A non-parametric method to nowcast the Euro Area IPI
Non-parametric methods have been empirically proved to be of great interest in the statistical literature in order to forecast stationary time series, but very few applications have been proposed in the econometrics literature. In this paper, our aim is to test whether non-parametric statistical procedures based on a Kernel method can improve classical linear models in order to nowcast the Euro area manufacturing industrial production index (IPI) by using business surveys released by the European Commission. Moreover, we consider the methodology based on bootstrap replications to estimate the confidence interval of the nowcasts.
|Date of creation:||Apr 2008|
|Publication status:||Published in Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 2008.33 - ISSN : 1955-611X. 2008|
|Note:||View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-00275769|
|Contact details of provider:|| Web page: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/|
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