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The financial cycle and macroeconomics: what have we learned and what are the policy implications?

In: Financial Cycles and the Real Economy

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Pfeifer, Lukáš & Hodula, Martin, 2021. "A profit-to-provisioning approach to setting the countercyclical capital buffer," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 45(1).
  2. Michael D. Bordo, 2017. "An Historical Perspective on the Quest for Financial Stability and the Monetary Policy Regime," Economics Working Papers 17108, Hoover Institution, Stanford University.
  3. Deku, Solomon Y. & Kara, Alper & Marques-Ibanez, David, 2022. "Bank reputation and securitization quality: European evidence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
  4. Strohsal, Till & Proaño, Christian R. & Wolters, Jürgen, 2019. "Characterizing the financial cycle: Evidence from a frequency domain analysis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 568-591.
  5. Óscar Alfonso Carvallo & Leslie A.Jiménez, 2018. "Colchones de capital bancario y prociclicidad en América Latina," Investigación Conjunta-Joint Research, in: Alberto Ortiz Bolaños (ed.), Política Monetaria y Estabilidad Financiera en América Latina y el Caribe, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 5, pages 137-163, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA.
  6. Klein, Mathias & Polattimur, Hamza & Winkler, Roland, 2022. "Fiscal spending multipliers over the household leverage cycle," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
  7. Simona Malovana & Josef Bajzik & Dominika Ehrenbergerova & Jan Janku, 2020. "A Prolonged Period of Low Interest Rates: Unintended Consequences," Research and Policy Notes 2020/02, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
  8. Juan M. Londono & Stijn Claessens & Ricardo Correa, 2024. "Financial Stability Governance and Central Bank Communications," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 20(4), pages 175-220, October.
  9. Andersson, Fredrik N. G. & Jonung, Lars, 2018. "Lessons for Iceland from the Monetary Policy of Sweden," Working Papers 2018:16, Lund University, Department of Economics.
  10. Gunther Schnabl, 2017. "The Failure of ECB Monetary Policy from a Mises-Hayek Perspective," CESifo Working Paper Series 6388, CESifo.
  11. Jair N. Ojeda-Joya & Oscar Jaulin-Mendez & Juan C. Bustos-Peláez, 2019. "The Interdependence Between Commodity-Price and GDP Cycles: A Frequency-Domain Approach," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 47(3), pages 275-292, September.
  12. Tobias Adrian & Daniel Stackman & Erik Vogt, 2019. "Global Price of Risk and Stabilization Policies," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 67(1), pages 215-260, March.
  13. Ha, Jongrim & Kose, M. Ayhan & Otrok, Christopher & Prasad, Eswar S., 2025. "Global macro-financial cycles and spillovers," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
  14. Fernández-Amador, Octavio, 2016. "Finance-augmented business cycles: A robustness check," Papers 1038, World Trade Institute.
  15. Han-Liang Cheng & Nan-Kuang Chen, 2021. "A study of financial cycles and the macroeconomy in Taiwan," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(4), pages 1749-1778, October.
  16. Alessandra Canepa & Emilio Zanetti Chini & Huthaifa Alqaralleh, 2020. "Global Cities and Local Housing Market Cycles," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 61(4), pages 671-697, November.
  17. Solomon Y. Deku & Alper Kara & Artur Semeyutin, 2021. "The predictive strength of MBS yield spreads during asset bubbles," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 111-142, January.
  18. Galati, Gabriele & Hindrayanto, Irma & Koopman, Siem Jan & Vlekke, Marente, 2016. "Measuring financial cycles in a model-based analysis: Empirical evidence for the United States and the euro area," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 83-87.
  19. Tölö, Eero, 2019. "Predicting systemic financial crises with recurrent neural networks," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 14/2019, Bank of Finland.
  20. Angeles, Luis, 2015. "A note on debt and economic activity," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 67-69.
  21. Mircea Epure & Irina Mihai & Camelia Minoiu & José-Luis Peydró, 2024. "Global Financial Cycle, Household Credit, and Macroprudential Policies," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(11), pages 8096-8115, November.
  22. Chadwick, Meltem Gulenay & Ozturk, Huseyin, 2019. "Measuring financial systemic stress for Turkey: A search for the best composite indicator," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 151-172.
  23. Ms. Sally Chen & Mr. Joong S Kang, 2018. "Credit Booms—Is China Different?," IMF Working Papers 2018/002, International Monetary Fund.
  24. Schüler, Yves S. & Hiebert, Paul P. & Peltonen, Tuomas A., 2020. "Financial cycles: Characterisation and real-time measurement," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
  25. Giannoula Karamichailidou & David G. Mayes & Hanno Stremmel, 2018. "Achieving a balance between the avoidance of banking problems and their resolution—can financial cycle dynamics predict bank distress?," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 19(1), pages 18-32, January.
  26. Mathias Klein, 2017. "Austerity and Private Debt," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(7), pages 1555-1585, October.
  27. Ebrahimi Kahou, Mahdi & Lehar, Alfred, 2017. "Macroprudential policy: A review," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 92-105.
  28. Prante, Franz & Hein, Eckhard & Bramucci, Alessandro, 2021. "Varieties and interdependencies of demand and growth regimes in finance-dominated capitalism," IPE Working Papers 173/2021, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).
  29. Chenet, Hugues & Ryan-Collins, Josh & van Lerven, Frank, 2021. "Finance, climate-change and radical uncertainty: Towards a precautionary approach to financial policy," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
  30. Harun, Cicilia A. & Taruna, Aditya Anta & Ramdani,, 2021. "Capturing the nonlinear impact in distress state: Enhancing scenario design of stress test," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 265-288.
  31. Liu, Jingyang & Kool, Clemens J.M., 2018. "Money and credit overhang in the euro area," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 622-633.
  32. Kilinc, Mustafa & Tunc, Cengiz, 2019. "The asymmetric effects of monetary policy on economic activity in Turkey," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 505-528.
  33. Javier Bianchi & Chenxin Liu & Enrique G. Mendoza, 2016. "Fundamentals News, Global Liquidity, and Macroprudential Policy," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2015, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  34. Stephen Burgess & Oliver Burrows & Antoine Godin & Stephen Kinsella & Stephen Millard, 2016. "A dynamic model of financial balances for the United Kingdom," Bank of England working papers 614, Bank of England.
  35. Łukasz Kurowski & Paweł Smaga, 2018. "Monetary Policy and Cyclical Systemic Risk - Friends or Foes?," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2018(5), pages 522-540.
  36. Daniel O. Beltran & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Fiona A. Paine, 2021. "Optimizing Credit Gaps for Predicting Financial Crises: Modelling Choices and Tradeoffs," International Finance Discussion Papers 1307, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  37. Claudia M Buch & Linda S Goldberg, 2017. "Cross-Border Prudential Policy Spillovers: How Much? How Important? Evidence from the International Banking Research Network," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 13(2), pages 505-558, March.
  38. Fratianni, Michele & Gallegati, Marco & Giri, Federico, 2022. "The medium-run Phillips curve: A time–frequency investigation for the UK," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
  39. Diamond, Douglas W. & Hu, Yunzhi & Rajan, Raghuram G., 2022. "Liquidity, pledgeability, and the nature of lending," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(3), pages 1275-1294.
  40. Klein, Mathias & Winkler, Roland, 2019. "Austerity, inequality, and private debt overhang," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 89-106.
  41. Gregory Bauer & Gurnain Pasricha & Rodrigo Sekkel & Yaz Terajima, 2018. "The Global Financial Cycle, Monetary Policies, and Macroprudential Regulations in Small, Open Economies," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 44(2), pages 81-99, June.
  42. Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2023. "Global financial cycles since 1880," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
  43. Herwartz, Helmut & Ochsner, Christian & Rohloff, Hannes, 2020. "The credit composition of global liquidity," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 409, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
  44. Milan Christian de Wet, 2021. "Modelling the Australasian Financial Cycle: A Markov-Regime Switching Approach," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, vol. 14(1), pages 69-79, June.
  45. John V. Duca & Lilit Popoyan & Susan M. Wachter, 2019. "Real Estate And The Great Crisis: Lessons For Macroprudential Policy," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 37(1), pages 121-137, January.
  46. Raputsoane, Leroi, 2018. "Monetary policy reaction function pre and post the global financial crisis," MPRA Paper 84866, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  47. Fungacova, Zuzana & Turk, Rima & Weill, Laurent, 2021. "High liquidity creation and bank failures," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
  48. Kirti, Divya, 2025. "Lending standards and output growth," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
  49. Montagnoli, Alberto & Mouratidis, Konstantinos & Whyte, Kemar, 2021. "Assessing the cyclical behaviour of bank capital buffers in a finance-augmented macro-economy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
  50. Stratford, Beth, 2020. "The Threat of Rent Extraction in a Resource-constrained Future," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
  51. Dimitrios Asteriou & Konstantinos Spanos, 2022. "Credit to private sector, household debt and economic growth: An empirical investigation of EU countries," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 11(4), pages 34-142.
  52. Douglas W. Diamond & Yunzhi Hu & Raghuram G. Rajan, 2020. "The Spillovers from Easy Liquidity and the Implications for Multilateralism," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 68(1), pages 4-34, March.
  53. Claudio Borio, 2017. "Secular stagnation or financial cycle drag?," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 52(2), pages 87-98, April.
  54. Verona, Fabio, 2016. "Time–frequency characterization of the U.S. financial cycle," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 75-79.
  55. Karsten Kohler, 2024. "Capital Flows and the Eurozone's North-South Divide," Politics & Society, , vol. 52(2), pages 304-330, June.
  56. Kashif Abbass & Abdul Aziz Khan Niazi & Abdul Basit & Tehmina Fiaz Qazi & Huaming Song & Halima Begum, 2021. "Uncovering Effects of Hot Potatoes in Banking System: Arresting Die-Hard Issues," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(4), pages 21582440211, December.
  57. Stijn Claessens & M Ayhan Kose, 2018. "Frontiers of macrofinancial linkages," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 95, May.
  58. Jonung, Lars, 2019. "In Pursuit of a Stable Stabilization Policy in Sweden. From the Gold Standard to Inflation Targeting and Beyond," Working Papers 2019:20, Lund University, Department of Economics.
  59. Burger John D. & Sedgley Norman & Tan Kerry M., 2017. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Corporate R&D," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(2), pages 1-12, June.
  60. Siem Jan Koopman & Rutger Lit & Andre Lucas, 2016. "Model-based Business Cycle and Financial Cycle Decomposition for Europe and the U.S," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 16-051/IV, Tinbergen Institute.
  61. Robin Greenwood & Samuel G. Hanson & Andrei Shleifer & Jakob Ahm Sørensen, 2022. "Predictable Financial Crises," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(2), pages 863-921, April.
  62. Verona, Fabio, 2016. "Time–frequency characterization of the U.S. financial cycle," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 75-79.
  63. Scharnagl Michael & Mandler Martin, 2019. "Real and Financial Cycles in Euro Area Economies: Results from Wavelet Analysis," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 239(5-6), pages 895-916, October.
  64. Juan Francisco Martínez & José Miguel Matus & Daniel Oda, 2018. "Taxonomy of Chilean Financial Fragility Periods from 1975 to 2017," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 822, Central Bank of Chile.
  65. Pacicco, Fausto & Serati, Massimiliano & Venegoni, Andrea, 2022. "The Euro Area credit crunch conundrum: Was it demand or supply driven?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
  66. Laséen, Stefan & Pescatori, Andrea & Turunen, Jarkko, 2017. "Systemic risk: A new trade-off for monetary policy?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 70-85.
  67. Skare, Marinko & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Porada-Rochon, Małgorzata, 2025. "Isolating financial cycles using the fractional cyclical model in selected economies: 1970–2019," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 67-77.
  68. Hartwig, Benny & Meinerding, Christoph & Schüler, Yves S., 2021. "Identifying indicators of systemic risk," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
  69. Mikael Randrup Byrialsen & Hamid Raza, "undated". "An Empirical Stock-Flow Consistent Macroeconomic Model for Denmark," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_942, Levy Economics Institute.
  70. Borsi, Mihály Tamás, 2018. "Credit contractions and unemployment," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 573-593.
  71. Zhang, Ailian & Pan, Mengmeng & Liu, Bai & Weng, Yin-Che, 2020. "Systemic risk: The coordination of macroprudential and monetary policies in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 415-429.
  72. Meller, Barbara & Metiu, Norbert, 2017. "The synchronization of credit cycles," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 98-111.
  73. Caruso, Alberto & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2019. "Financial and fiscal interaction in the Euro Area crisis: This time was different," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 333-355.
  74. Uch, Raksmey & Miyamoto, Hiroaki & Kakinaka, Makoto, 2021. "Effects of a banking crisis on credit growth in developing countries," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
  75. Grégory Levieuge, 2017. "Explaining and forecasting bank loans. Good times and crisis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(8), pages 823-843, February.
  76. Amat Adarov, 2022. "Financial cycles around the world," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 3163-3201, July.
  77. Tore Dubbert & Adrian Schroeder, 2025. "Conditioning business and financial cycles on multivariate information," CQE Working Papers 11225, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
  78. Lombardi, Domenico & Siklos, Pierre L. & Xie, Xiangyou, 2018. "Monetary policy transmission in systemically important economies and China’s impact," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 61-79.
  79. Youssef Ghallada & Alexandre Girard & Kim Oosterlinck, 2021. "Crises, credit booms and monetary regime," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(3), pages 1431-1443.
  80. Zuzana Fungacova & Ms. Rima A Turk & Laurent Weill, 2015. "High Liquidity Creation and Bank Failures: Do They Behave Differently?," IMF Working Papers 2015/103, International Monetary Fund.
  81. Davor Kunovac & Martin Mandler & Michael Scharnagl, 2018. "Financial cycles in euro area economies: a cross-country perspective," Working Papers 55, The Croatian National Bank, Croatia.
  82. Piotr Krajewski & Agata Szymanska, 2019. "The effectiveness of fiscal policy within business cycle-Ricardians vs. non-Ricardians approach," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 19(2), pages 195-215.
  83. Johanna Amberger & Ralf Fendel & Hanno Stremmel, 2017. "Improved output gaps with financial cycle information? An application to G7 countries’ new Keynesian Phillips curves," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(4), pages 219-228, February.
  84. Claudio Borio & Mathias Drehmann & Dora Xia, 2018. "The financial cycle and recession risk," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
  85. Giampaoli, Noemi & Cucculelli, Marco & Sullo, Valerio, 2024. "Business and financial cycle across regimes: Does financial stress matter?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
  86. Bjarni G. Einarsson & Kristófer Gunnlaugsson & Thorvardur Tjörvi Ólafsson & Thórarinn G. Pétursson, 2016. "The long history of financial boom-bust cycles in Iceland - Part II: Financial cycles," Economics wp72, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
  87. Rozite, Kristiana & Bezemer, Dirk J. & Jacobs, Jan P.A.M., 2019. "Towards a financial cycle for the U.S., 1973–2014," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
  88. Alejandro Jara & Juan-Francisco Martínez & Daniel Oda, 2017. "Bank’s Lending Growth in Chile: The Role of the Senior Loan Officers Survey," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 802, Central Bank of Chile.
  89. Karsten Kohler & Engelbert Stockhammer, 2022. "Growing differently? Financial cycles, austerity, and competitiveness in growth models since the Global Financial Crisis," Review of International Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 1314-1341, July.
  90. Rob Luginbuhl, 2020. "Estimation of the Financial Cycle with a Rank-Reduced Multivariate State-Space Model," CPB Discussion Paper 409, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
  91. Douglas W. Diamond & Yunzhi Hu & Raghuram G. Rajan, 2020. "Pledgeability, Industry Liquidity, and Financing Cycles," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 75(1), pages 419-461, February.
  92. Milan Christian Wet & Ilse Botha, 2022. "Constructing and Characterising the Aggregate South African Financial Cycle: A Markov Regime-Switching Approach," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 18(1), pages 37-67, March.
  93. Delis, Manthos D. & Iosifidi, Maria & Mylonidis, Nikolaos, 2021. "Industry heterogeneity in the risk-taking channel," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
  94. Agur, Itai, 2019. "Monetary and macroprudential policy coordination among multiple equilibria," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 192-209.
  95. Eugenio Caverzasi & Alberto Russo, 2018. "Toward a new microfounded macroeconomics in the wake of the crisis," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 27(6), pages 999-1014.
  96. Bruzda, Joanna, 2017. "Real and complex wavelets in asset classification: An application to the US stock market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 115-125.
  97. Mathias Drehmann & James Yetman, 2021. "Which Credit Gap Is Better at Predicting Financial Crises? A Comparison of Univariate Filters," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(70), pages 1-31, October.
  98. Hiona Balfoussia & Heather D. Gibson, 2019. "Firm investment and financial conditions in the euro area: evidence from firm-level data," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2), pages 104-110, January.
  99. Deng, Chuang & Zhao, Xiuyi & Xu, Man, 2022. "Financial cycle and the effect of monetary policy," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
  100. An, Hui & Huang, Yang & Fan, Lifu & Wang, Hao & He, Xuan, 2025. "The impact of the global financial cycle on China's cross-border capital flows," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
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  102. Gondo, Rocío & Pérez, Fernando, 2019. "Cross-Border flows and the effect of Global Financial shocks in Latin America," Working Papers 2019-020, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
  103. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Carlos Poza, 2021. "Cycles and Long-Range Behaviour in the European Stock Markets," Dynamic Modeling and Econometrics in Economics and Finance, in: Gilles Dufrénot & Takashi Matsuki (ed.), Recent Econometric Techniques for Macroeconomic and Financial Data, pages 293-302, Springer.
  104. Hogan, Thomas L. & White, Lawrence H., 2021. "Hayek, Cassel, and the origins of the great depression," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 241-251.
  105. Roy, Saktinil, 2022. "What drives the systemic banking crises in advanced economies?," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
  106. Catão, Luís & Ditzen, Jan & te Kaat, Daniel Marcel, 2023. "Global Factors in Non-core Bank Funding and Exchange Rate Flexibility," CEPR Discussion Papers 18643, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  107. Norman H. Sedgley & John D. Burger & Kerry M. Tan, 2019. "The symmetry and cyclicality of R&D spending in advanced economies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(5), pages 1811-1828, November.
  108. Marinko Škare & Małgorzata Porada-Rochoń, 2021. "Measuring the impact of financial cycles on family firms: how to prepare for crisis?," International Entrepreneurship and Management Journal, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 1111-1130, September.
  109. Wang, Chao & Jia, Chenfang & Liu, Xiaoxing, 2025. "Carbon-related credit concentration and banking systemic risk due to climate transition shocks," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
  110. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Groll, Dominik & Kooths, Stefan & Sonnenberg, Nils & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2023. "Euroraum im Herbst 2023: Der Konjunkturmotor stottert," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 106, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  111. Sohn, Bumjean & Park, Heungju, 2016. "Early warning indicators of banking crisis and bank related stock returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 193-198.
  112. Francesco Ruggeri, 2021. "Household debt, aggregate demand, and instability in a Stock-Flow model," Working Papers 4/21, Sapienza University of Rome, DISS.
  113. Epure, Mircea & Mihai, Irina & Minoiu, Camelia & Peydró, José-Luis, 2018. "Household Credit, Global Financial Cycle, and Macroprudential Policies: Credit Register Evidence from an Emerging Country," EconStor Preprints 216800, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
  114. Benmelech, Efraim & Kumar, Nitish & Rajan, Raghuram, 2022. "The secured credit premium and the issuance of secured debt," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(1), pages 143-171.
  115. Mansour Ishrakieh, Layal & Dagher, Leila & El Hariri, Sadika, 2018. "The Institute of Financial Economics Financial Stress Index (IFEFSI) for Lebanon," MPRA Paper 116054, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  116. José Pedro Bastos Neves & Willi Semmler, 2022. "Credit, output and financial stress: A non‐linear LVSTAR application to Brazil," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(3), pages 900-923, July.
  117. Bagliano, Fabio C. & Morana, Claudio, 2025. "Eurozone economic integration: Historical developments and new challenges ahead," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
  118. Coussin, Maximilien, 2025. "The multifaceted effect of monetary policy on U.S. credit aggregates," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
  119. German Forero-Laverde, 2016. "Are All Booms and Busts Created Equal? A New Methodology for Understanding Bull and Bear Stock Markets," UB School of Economics Working Papers 2016/339, University of Barcelona School of Economics.
  120. Enrico Perotti & Magdelena Rola-Janicka, 2019. "Funding Shocks and Credit Quality," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 19-060/IV, Tinbergen Institute.
  121. Stockhammer, Engelbert & Wildauer, Rafael, 2018. "Expenditure Cascades, Low Interest Rates or Property Booms? Determinants of Household Debt in OECD Countries," Review of Behavioral Economics, now publishers, vol. 5(2), pages 85-121, September.
  122. Soyoung Kim & Aaron Mehrotra, 2018. "Effects of Monetary and Macroprudential Policies—Evidence from Four Inflation Targeting Economies," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(5), pages 967-992, August.
  123. Narayan, Shivani & Kumar, Dilip, 2024. "Macroprudential policy and systemic risk in G20 nations," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
  124. Schüler, Yves S., 2018. "On the cyclical properties of Hamilton's regression filter," Discussion Papers 03/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
  125. Basso, Henrique S., 2022. "Asset holdings, information aggregation in secondary markets and credit cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
  126. Liu, Ding & Sun, Weihong & Xu, Liao & Zhang, Xuan, 2023. "Time-frequency relationship between economic policy uncertainty and financial cycle in China: Evidence from wavelet analysis," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
  127. Michel Aglietta & Etienne Espagne, 2016. "Climate and finance systemic risks, more than an analogy? The climate fragility hypothesis," Working Papers 2016-10, CEPII research center.
  128. Mayer, Thomas & Schnabl, Gunther, 2021. "Covid-19 and the euthanasia of interest rates: A critical assessment of central bank policy in our times," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(6), pages 1241-1258.
  129. Ma³gorzata Olszak & Iwona Kowalska, 2021. "Do competition and market structure matter for sensitivity of bank profitability to business cycle?," Faculty of Management Working Paper Series 12021, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management.
  130. Siklos, Pierre L., 2018. "Boom-and-bust cycles in emerging markets: How important is the exchange rate?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 172-187.
  131. Duprey, Thibaut & Klaus, Benjamin, 2022. "Early warning or too late? A (pseudo-)real-time identification of leading indicators of financial stress," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
  132. Váry, Miklós, 2018. "A hiszterézis közgazdasági jelentőségéről posztkeynesi szemléletben [The economic relevance of hysteresis from a post-Keynesian perspective]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(10), pages 1006-1047.
  133. Levieuge, G. & Lucotte, Y. & Pradines-Jobet, F., 2019. "Central banks’ preferences and banking sector vulnerability," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 110-131.
  134. Harendra Behera & Saurabh Sharma, 2022. "Characterizing India’s Financial Cycle," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 21(2), pages 152-183, June.
  135. Ly Dai Hung, 2022. "Global Trade Cycle and Financial Cycle in Vietnam Economy," Working Papers hal-03863141, HAL.
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  358. Yilmaz, Sakir Devrim & Ben-Nasr, Sawsen & Mantes, Achilleas & Ben-Khalifa, Nihed & Daghari, Issam, 2025. "Climate change, loss of agricultural output and the macroeconomy: The case of Tunisia," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
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