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Toward a new microfounded macroeconomics in the wake of the crisis

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  • Eugenio Caverzasi
  • Alberto Russo

    (Università Politecnica delle Marche (IT))

Abstract

The Great Recession that followed the financial crisis of 2007 is not only the largest economic crisis after the Great Depression of the 1930s, it also signals a crisis of economics as a discipline. This is not only the consequence of the inadequacy of mainstream macroeconomics, and specifically the DSGE workhorse model, to forecast such a huge event, or at least to detect the worrying tendencies towards it. Even more relevant is the choice to explicitly avoid the modelling of large crises (that for someone is a motivation for not attacking pre-crisis DSGE models focused on the analysis of small deviations from the steady-state), so denying the intrinsic nature of capitalism, a system that necessarily proceeds through cycles and (extended) crises. The replies of the DSGE approach to critics have led to extensions regarding for instance the role of financial frictions, heterogeneous agents, and bounded rationality (though typically in the form of quasi-rational expectations). The alternative paradigm of Agent-Based Macroeconomics can take into account all these elements at once within an evolutionary modelling framework based on heterogeneity and interaction, so capable to endogenously reproduce complex dynamics, from small fluctuations to large crises, due to innovation and industrial dynamics, rising inequality and financial instability, and so on. The integration between Agent-Based Macroeconomics and the (post-Keynesian) Stock-Flow Consistent approach represents a promising way for the future development of this research field.

Suggested Citation

  • Eugenio Caverzasi & Alberto Russo, 2018. "Toward a new microfounded macroeconomics in the wake of the crisis," Working Papers PKWP1807, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES).
  • Handle: RePEc:pke:wpaper:pkwp1807
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    Cited by:

    1. Oliver Richters, 2020. "Modeling the out-of-equilibrium dynamics of bounded rationality and economic constraints," Working Papers V-429-20, University of Oldenburg, Department of Economics, revised Mar 2020.
    2. A. Karayev K. & А. Караев К., 2018. "Влияние финансиализации и неравенства распределения доходов на рост экономики, инвестиционные процессы и инновации // The Impact of Financialization and Income Inequality on Economic Growth, Investmen," Экономика. Налоги. Право // Economics, taxes & law, ФГОБУ "Финансовый университет при Правительстве Российской Федерации" // Financial University under The Government of Russian Federation, vol. 11(6), pages 57-68.
    3. Giovanni Dosi & Andrea Roventini, 2019. "More is different ... and complex! the case for agent-based macroeconomics," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 1-37, March.
    4. Botta, Alberto & Caverzasi, Eugenio & Russo, Alberto, 2019. "When complexity meets finance: a contribution to the study of the macroeconomic effects of complex financial systems," Greenwich Papers in Political Economy 23121, University of Greenwich, Greenwich Political Economy Research Centre.

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    19. Andrew G. Haldane & Arthur E. Turrell, 2019. "Drawing on different disciplines: macroeconomic agent-based models," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 39-66, March.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agent-Based macro modelling; Stock-Flow-Consistent modelling; microfoundation; heterodox economics;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • B16 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought through 1925 - - - Quantitative and Mathematical
    • B40 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Economic Methodology - - - General
    • B50 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Current Heterodox Approaches - - - General
    • C60 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - General
    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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