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The Asymmetric Effects of Monetary Policy on Economic Activity in Turkey

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  • Tunc, Cengiz
  • Kılınç, Mustafa

Abstract

In this paper, we look at the sector-level asymmetric effects of the monetary policy shocks on economic activity in Turkey. Using business cycles for the state of the economy, we find that monetary policy shocks have strong effects on both aggregate GDP, services and industrial production and sub-sectors during recessionary periods. The results are weaker for the expansionary periods. We further study whether the results depend on the state of the credit cycles. Similar results emerge in that the monetary policy is more effective during credit slowdowns with economically more feasible quantitative effects compared to the business cycles.

Suggested Citation

  • Tunc, Cengiz & Kılınç, Mustafa, 2016. "The Asymmetric Effects of Monetary Policy on Economic Activity in Turkey," MPRA Paper 72688, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 22 Jul 2016.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:72688
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    Cited by:

    1. Manuchehr Irandoust, 2020. "The effectiveness of monetary policy and output fluctuations: An asymmetric analysis," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 59(2), pages 161-181, June.
    2. Abiola John Asaleye & Rotdelmwa Filibus Maimako & Adedoyin Isola Lawal & Henry Inegbedion & Olabisi Popoola, 2021. "Monetary Policy Channels and Agricultural Performance: Evidence from Nigeria," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 11(3), pages 205-218, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary Policy Transmission; Markov Switching Models; Business Cycles; Credit Cycles.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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