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Julian Kozlowski

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Julian Kozlowski & Laura Veldkamp & Venky Venkateswaran, 2015. "The Tail that Wags the Economy: Beliefs and Persistent Stagnation," NBER Working Papers 21719, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Mentioned in:

    1. How risky are the big U.S. banks?
      by Steve Cecchetti and Kim Schoenholtz in Money, Banking and Financial Markets on 2016-10-03 17:58:45
    2. Central Banks and Systematic Risks
      by Steve Cecchetti and Kim Schoenholtz in Money, Banking and Financial Markets on 2016-03-21 17:41:06
    3. Financial Crisis: The Endgame
      by Steve Cecchetti and Kim Schoenholtz in Money, Banking and Financial Markets on 2018-09-03 12:25:40

RePEc Biblio mentions

As found on the RePEc Biblio, the curated bibliography of Economics:
  1. Julian Kozlowski & Laura Veldkamp & Venky Venkateswaran, 2020. "Scarring Body and Mind: The Long-Term Belief-Scarring Effects of COVID-19," NBER Working Papers 27439, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Mentioned in:

    1. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Specific pandemics > Covid-19 > Long-term consequences
  2. Emilio Espino & Julian Kozlowski & Fernando M. Martin & Juan M. Sanchez, 2020. "Domestic Policies and Sovereign Default," Working Papers 2020-017, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 06 Sep 2023.

    Mentioned in:

    1. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Specific pandemics > Covid-19 > Emerging markets

Working papers

  1. Julian Kozlowski, 2024. "Beyond the Mean: Exploring Tail Risks in Inflation Expectations," On the Economy 98546, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

    Cited by:

    1. Chibane, Messaoud & Kuhanathan, Ano, 2025. "Examining the impact of natural gas price volatility on Euro zone inflation expectations," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).

  2. Julian Kozlowski & Laura Veldkamp & Venky Venkateswaran, 2020. "Scarring Body and Mind: The Long-Term Belief-Scarring Effects of COVID-19," Working Papers 2020-009, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

    Cited by:

    1. Lionel Fontagné & Erica Perego & Gianluca Santoni, 2021. "MaGE 3.1: Long-Term Macroeconomic Projections of the World Economy," Working Papers 2021-12, CEPII research center.
    2. Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2021. "Macroeconomic effects of Covid-19: a mid-term review," BIS Working Papers 959, Bank for International Settlements.
    3. Francesco Bianchi & Giada Bianchi & Dongho Song, 2020. "The Long-Term Impact of the COVID-19 Unemployment Shock on Life Expectancy and Mortality Rates," NBER Working Papers 28304, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Buesa, Alejandro & Pérez, Javier J. & Santabárbara, Daniel, 2021. "Awareness of pandemics and the impact of COVID-19," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    5. Dmitry Matveev & Julien McDonald-Guimond & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2020. "The neutral rate in Canada: 2020 update," Staff Analytical Notes 2020-24, Bank of Canada.
    6. Philippe Andrade & Jordi Gali & Hervé Le Bihan & Julien Matheron, 2021. "Should the ECB Adjust its Strategy in the Face of a Lower r*?," Working papers 811, Banque de France.
    7. Lalinsky, Tibor & Anyfantaki, Sofia & Benkovskis, Konstantins & Bergeaud, Antonin & Bun, Maurice & Bunel, Simon & Colciago, Andrea & De Mulder, Jan & Lopez, Beatriz Gonzalez & Jarvis, Valerie & Krasno, 2024. "The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and policy support on productivity," Occasional Paper Series 341, European Central Bank.
    8. Alexander Dietrich & Edward S. Knotek & Michael McMain & Kristian Ove R. Myrseth & Raphael Schoenle & Michael Weber, 2021. "Expected Post-Pandemic Consumption and Scarred Expectations from COVID-19," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2021(11), pages 1-8, April.
    9. Daniel Gros, 2021. "Recovering From COVID-19: A Transatlantic Comparison of Fiscal Policy," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 56(4), pages 201-204, July.
    10. Michael Grömling, 2021. "COVID-19 and the Growth Potential," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 56(1), pages 45-49, January.
    11. Abel Brodeur & David Gray & Anik Islam & Suraiya Bhuiyan, 2021. "A literature review of the economics of COVID‐19," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(4), pages 1007-1044, September.
    12. Ilzetzki, Ethan & Reinhart, Carmen M. & Rogoff, Kenneth S., 2020. "Will the secular decline in exchange rate and inflation volatility survive COVID-19?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 116982, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    13. Peter A.G. van Bergeijk, 2021. "Pandemic Economics," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 20401.
    14. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Mösle, Saskia & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2020. "Mittelfristprojektion für Deutschland im Herbst 2020. Wachstumspfad flacht sich ab - zusätzliche Risiken durch die Pandemie," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 72, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    15. Vu Nguyen Doan & Ilan Noy, 2021. "A Comprehensive Measure of Lifeyears Lost due to COVID‐19 in 2020: A Comparison across Countries and with Past Disasters," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 12(4), pages 553-561, September.
    16. Daniel Gros, 2021. "High Public Debt in an Uncertain World: Post-Covid-19 Dangers for Public Finance," EconPol Policy Brief 38, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    17. Bonam, Dennis & Smădu, Andra, 2021. "The long-run effects of pandemics on inflation: Will this time be different?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    18. Martin Forster & Emanuela Randon, 2020. "Epidemic policy under uncertainty and information," Discussion Papers 20/05, Department of Economics, University of York.
    19. Giovanni Gallipoli & Christos Makridis, 2020. "Sectoral Digital Intensity and GDP Growth After a Large Employment Shock: A Simple Extrapolation Exercise," Working Papers 2020-056, Human Capital and Economic Opportunity Working Group.
    20. Aleksey Ponomarenko & Svetlana Popova & Andrey Sinyakov & Natalia Turdyeva & Dmitry Chernyadyev, 2020. "Assessing the Consequences of the Pandemic for the Russian Economy Through an Input-Output Model," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 79(4), pages 3-17, December.
    21. Harrison Hong & Jeffrey D. Kubik & Neng Wang & Xiao Xu & Jinqiang Yang, 2020. "Pandemics, Vaccines and an Earnings Damage Function," NBER Working Papers 27829, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    22. Julian Kozlowski, 2020. "COVID-19: Scarring Body and Mind," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 43, December.
    23. Francesco Bogliacino & Cristiano Codagnone & Frans Folkvord & Francisco Lupiáñez-Villanueva, 2023. "The impact of labour market shocks on mental health: evidence from the Covid-19 first wave," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 40(3), pages 899-930, October.
    24. Isaac Baley & Javier Turén, 2025. "Lumpy Forecasts," Working Papers 1476, Barcelona School of Economics.
    25. Deiana, Claudio & Geraci, Andrea & Mastrobuoni, Giovanni & Weidenholzer, Simon, 2025. "Running the risk: Immunity and mobility in response to a pandemic," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    26. Javier A. Birchenall, 2025. "Plague and prejudice: disease, discrimination, and social exclusion," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 80(1), pages 381-415, August.
    27. James Bootsma & Thomas J. Carter & Xin Scott Chen & Christopher Hajzler & Argyn Toktamyssov, 2020. "2020 US Neutral Rate Assessment," Discussion Papers 2020-12, Bank of Canada.
    28. Guillaume Vandenbroucke, 2020. "The Mechanics of Individually- and Socially-Optimal Decisions during an Epidemic," Working Papers 2020-013, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 14 Sep 2021.
    29. Corsetti, G. & Lipińska, A. & Lombardo, G., 2021. "Sharing Asymmetric Tail Risk Smoothing, Asset Pricing and Terms of Trade," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2153, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    30. Viral V. Acharya & Timothy Johnson & Suresh Sundaresan & Steven Zheng, 2020. "The Value of a Cure: An Asset Pricing Perspective," NBER Working Papers 28127, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    31. Assaf Razin, 2021. "Globalization And Global Crises: Israel And The Rest Of The World," Israel Economic Review, Bank of Israel, vol. 19(1), pages 103-134.
    32. Garcia-Rodriguez, Abian & Bergin, Adele & Rehill, Luke & Sweeney, amonn, 2021. "Exploring the impact of COVID-19 and recovery paths for the economy," Papers WP706, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    33. Cong Chen & Changsheng Hu & Hongxing Yao, 2022. "Noise Trader Risk and Wealth Effect: A Theoretical Framework," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(20), pages 1-18, October.
    34. Greg Kaplan & Benjamin Moll & Giovanni Violante, 2020. "The Great Lockdown and the Big Stimulus: Tracing the Pandemic Possibility Frontier for the U.S," Working Papers 2020-119, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.
    35. Daniel Gros, 2020. "Lessons From the COVID-19 Crisis for Euro Area Fiscal Rules," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 55(5), pages 281-284, September.
    36. Jun Zhang & Shuo Shi, 2020. "The US Unanticipated Costs of Decoupling from China," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 28(6), pages 1-27, November.
    37. Maciej Stefański, 2022. "GDP effects of pandemics: a historical perspective," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(6), pages 2949-2995, December.
    38. Giulia Maesano & Manal Hamam & Biagio Pecorino & Gioacchino Pappalardo & Mario D'Amico & Gaetano Chinnici, 2022. "Trends in consumers? preferences towards fresh-cut vegetables during the Covid-19 pandemic," Economia agro-alimentare, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 24(2), pages 1-22.
    39. Garriga, Carlos & Manuelli, Rody & Sanghi, Siddhartha, 2022. "Optimal management of an epidemic: Lockdown, vaccine and value of life," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    40. Makridis, Christos A. & Wang, Tao, 2024. "Learning from Friends in a Pandemic: Social networks and the macroeconomic response of consumption," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    41. Giancarlo Corsetti & Anna Lipinska & Giovanni Lombardo, 2021. "Sharing Asymmetric Tail Risk: Smoothing, Asset Prices and Terms of Trade," International Finance Discussion Papers 1324, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    42. Ambrocio, Gene, 2021. "Euro area business confidence and Covid-19," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 4/2021, Bank of Finland.
    43. Andrade, Philippe & Galí, Jordi & Le Bihan, Hervé & Matheron, Julien, 2021. "Should the ECB adjust its strategy in the face of a lower r★?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    44. Dong, Zhanyu & Cai, Jiayi & Li, Xuchao & Luan, Mengna, 2025. "Firm-level impacts and recovery dynamics following a public health crisis: Lessons from China’s SARS experience," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    45. Ambrocio, Gene, 2020. "European household and business expectations during COVID-19: Towards a v-shaped recovery in confidence?," BoF Economics Review 6/2020, Bank of Finland.
    46. Enghin Atalay & Shigeru Fujita & Sreyas Mahadevan & Ryan Michaels & Tal Roded, 2020. "Reopening the Economy: What Are the Risks, and What Have States Done?," Research Brief, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, July.
    47. Hsu, Wen-Tai & Lin, Hsuan-Chih (Luke) & Yang, Han, 2023. "Between lives and economy: COVID-19 containment policy in open economies," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    48. Altindag, Onur & Erten, Bilge & Keskin, Pinar, 2021. "Mental Health Costs of Lockdowns: Evidence from Age-Specific Curfews in Turkey," IZA Discussion Papers 14281, IZA Network @ LISER.
    49. Hackethal, Andreas & Weber, Annika, 2020. "Fiscal policies and household consumption during the COVID-19 pandemic: A review of early evidence," SAFE White Paper Series 76, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    50. Valerie Cerra & Antonio Fatas & Sweta C Saxena, 2021. "Fighting the scarring effects of COVID-19 [Stagnation traps]," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 30(2), pages 459-466.
    51. Assaf Razin, 2021. "Globalization and Global Crises: Rest of the World vs. Israel," NBER Working Papers 28339, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    52. Mr. Geoffrey J Bannister & Mr. Harald Finger & Siddharth Kothari & Ms. Elena Loukoianova, 2020. "Addressing the Pandemic's Medium-Term Fallout in Australia and New Zealand," IMF Working Papers 2020/272, International Monetary Fund.
    53. Tsai, I-Chun & Chiang, Ying-Hui & Lin, Shih-Yuan, 2022. "Effect of COVID-19 lockdowns on city-center and suburban housing markets: Evidence from Hangzhou, China," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    54. Anna Ludwiczak & Maciej Czarnecki, 2022. "Financial Liquidity Management During Crisis," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(Special B), pages 232-244.
    55. Makridis, Christos A., 2022. "The social transmission of economic sentiment on consumption," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    56. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Mösle, Saskia, 2020. "Deutsche Wirtschaft im Herbst 2020. Rückprall nach dem Absturz - aber Pandemie lastet auf Erholung [German Economy Autumn 2020 - Quick rebound, but Pandemic weighs on full recovery]," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 71, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    57. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Meuchelböck, Saskia & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2021. "Mittelfristprojektion für Deutschland im Frühjahr 2021 - Pandemiebedingte Potenzialschäden eher gering," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 78, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    58. Pagano, Marco & Wagner, Christian & Zechner, Josef, 2023. "Disaster resilience and asset prices," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(2).
    59. Melanie Koch & Thomas Scheiber, 2022. "Household savings in CESEE: expectations, experiences and common predictors," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q1/22, pages 29-54.
    60. Xiang Zheng & Chuyao Feng & Mikio Ishiwatari, 2022. "Examining the Indirect Death Surveillance System of The Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(19), pages 1-15, September.

  3. Emilio Espino & Julian Kozlowski & Fernando M. Martin & Juan M. Sanchez, 2020. "Domestic Policies and Sovereign Default," Working Papers 2020-017, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 06 Sep 2023.

    Cited by:

    1. Cristina Arellano & Yan Bai & Gabriel P. Mihalache, 2020. "Deadly Debt Crises: COVID-19 in Emerging Markets," NBER Working Papers 27275, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Espino, Emilio César & Kozlowski, Julian & Martin, Fernando M. & Sánchez, Juan M., 2025. "Policy rules and large crises in emerging markets," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).

  4. Mahdi Ebsim & Miguel Faria-e-Castro & Julian Kozlowski, 2020. "Credit and Liquidity Policies during Large Crises," Working Papers 2020-035, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 22 Feb 2024.

    Cited by:

    1. Imdade Chitou & Gilles Dufrénot & Julien Esposito, 2021. "Linking Covid-19 epidemic and emerging market OAS: Evidence using dynamic copulas and Pareto distributions," AMSE Working Papers 2138, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
    2. Massimiliano Affinito & Raffaele Santioni, 2021. "When the panic broke out: COVID-19 and investment funds' portfolio rebalancing around the world," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1342, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    3. Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & Fernando Eguren-Martin, 2021. "Dash for dollars," Bank of England working papers 932, Bank of England.

  5. Mahdi Ebsim & Miguel Faria-e-Castro & Julian Kozlowski, 2020. "Corporate Bond Spreads and the Pandemic," On the Economy 87756, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

    Cited by:

    1. Mahyar Kargar & Benjamin Lester & David Lindsay & Shuo Liu & Pierre-Olivier Weill & Diego Zúñiga, 2020. "Corporate Bond Liquidity During the COVID-19 Crisis," NBER Working Papers 27355, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

  6. Diego Daruich & Julian Kozlowski, 2019. "Macroeconomic Implications of Uniform Pricing," Working Papers 2019-024, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 01 Sep 2021.

    Cited by:

    1. Miguel Faria-e-Castro & Julian Kozlowski & Jeremy Majerovitz, 2025. "The Cost of Capital and Misallocation in the United States," Working Papers 2025-013, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    2. Diego Aparicio & Zachary Metzman & Roberto Rigobon, 2024. "The pricing strategies of online grocery retailers," Quantitative Marketing and Economics (QME), Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 1-21, March.
    3. Ariel Burstein & Javier Cravino & Marco Rojas, 2025. "Input Price Dispersion Across Buyers: New Evidence and Implications for Aggregate Productivity," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 1006, Central Bank of Chile.
    4. Miguel Faria-e-Castro & Samuel Jordan-Wood & Julian Kozlowski, 2024. "An Empirical Analysis of the Cost of Borrowing," Working Papers 2024-016, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 15 Apr 2026.
    5. Gianluca Antonecchia & Ajay Bhaskarabhatla & Enrico Pennings, 2024. "Bargaining Power and Quantity Discounts to Retailers: Evidence from India’s Pharmaceutical Industry," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 24-048/VII, Tinbergen Institute.

  7. Veldkamp, Laura & Venkateswaran, Venky, 2018. "The Tail that Wags the Economy: Beliefs and Persistent Stagnation," CEPR Discussion Papers 11352, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Ulrich Doraszelski & Gregory Lewis & Ariel Pakes, 2016. "Just Starting Out: Learning and Equilibrium in a New Market," NBER Working Papers 21996, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Noori, Mohammad, 2024. "Stock-oil comovements through fear, uncertainty, and expectations: Evidence from conditional comoments," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 529-551.
    3. Robert E. Hall, 2016. "Macroeconomics of Persistent Slumps," NBER Working Papers 22230, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Maiko Koga & Haruko Kato, 2017. "Behavioral Biases in Firms' Growth Expectations," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 17-E-9, Bank of Japan.
    5. Kose,Ayhan & Ohnsorge,Franziska Lieselotte & Reinhart,Carmen M. & Rogoff,Kenneth S., 2021. "The Aftermath of Debt Surges," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9771, The World Bank.
    6. Niu, Yingjie & Yang, Jinqiang & Zou, Zhentao, 2024. "Disaster learning and aggregate investment," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    7. Sergio Salas, 2022. "A liquidity crunch in an endogenous growth model with human capital," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 88(3), pages 1199-1238, January.
    8. Farmer, Leland E & Nakamura, Emi & Steinsson, Jón, 2024. "Learning about the Long Run," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt0tn1s1hp, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
    9. Straub, Ludwig & Ulbricht, Robert, 2015. "Endogenous Uncertainty and Credit Crunches," TSE Working Papers 15-604, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised Dec 2017.
    10. Dasol Kim & Luke M. Olson & Toan Phan, 2024. "Bank Competition and Strategic Adaptation to Climate Change," Working Papers 24-03, Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury.
    11. Stefano Giglio & Ian Dew-Becker & David Berger, 2017. "Uncertainty Shocks as Second-Moment News Shocks," 2017 Meeting Papers 403, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    12. Evangelos Salachas & Georgios P. Kouretas & Nikiforos T. Laopodis, 2024. "The term structure of interest rates and economic activity: Evidence from the COVID‐19 pandemic," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(4), pages 1018-1041, July.
    13. Xu, Xiangyun & Li, Xing & Meng, Jie & Hu, Xueqi & Ge, Yingfan, 2024. "The impact of the tail risk of demand on corporate investment: Evidence from Chinese manufacturing firms," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    14. Xinlong Li & Andrew T. Ching, 2024. "How Does a Firm Adapt in a Changing World? The Case of Prosper Marketplace," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 43(3), pages 673-693, May.
    15. Eugene Larsen-Hallock & Adam Rej & David Thesmar, 2022. "Expectations Formation with Fat-tailed Processes: Evidence from Sales Forecasts," Papers 2210.10169, arXiv.org.
    16. Dew-Becker, Ian & Giglio, Stefano & Kelly, Bryan, 2021. "Hedging macroeconomic and financial uncertainty and volatility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(1), pages 23-45.
    17. Sergio Salgado & Fatih Guvenen & Nicholas Bloom, 2019. "Skewed Business Cycles," 2019 Meeting Papers 1189, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    18. Ayush Jha & Abootaleb Shirvani & Svetlozar T. Rachev & Frank J. Fabozzi, 2024. "Beyond the Traditional VIX: A Novel Approach to Identifying Uncertainty Shocks in Financial Markets," Papers 2411.02804, arXiv.org.
    19. Huang, Yi, 2021. "Salience of hazard disclosure and house prices: Evidence from Christchurch, New Zealand," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    20. Sandile Hlatshwayo & Anne Oeking & Mr. Manuk Ghazanchyan & David Corvino & Ananya Shukla & Mr. Lamin Y Leigh, 2018. "The Measurement and Macro-Relevance of Corruption: A Big Data Approach," IMF Working Papers 2018/195, International Monetary Fund.
    21. Chi Hyun Kim, 2021. "Optimism Gone Bad? The Persistent Effects of Traumatic Experiences on Investment Decisions," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1952, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    22. James Mitchell & Martin Weale, 2023. "Censored density forecasts: Production and evaluation," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(5), pages 714-734, August.
    23. Edouard Schaal & Mathieu Taschereau-Dumouchel, 2020. "Herding cycles," Economics Working Papers 1714, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised May 2023.
    24. Gai, Prasanna & Haworth, Cameron, 2023. "Macroprudential policymakers with cautious expectations," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    25. Alessandro Cantelmo, 2020. "Rare disasters, the natural interest rate and monetary policy," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1309, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    26. Fanelli, Sebastián & Gonzalez-Eiras, Martín, 2021. "Resolution of financial crises," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    27. Francesca Vinci & Omar Licandro, 2021. "Switching-track after the Great Recession," Working Papers 1260, Barcelona School of Economics.
    28. Jihye Jeon, 2022. "Learning and investment under demand uncertainty in container shipping," RAND Journal of Economics, RAND Corporation, vol. 53(1), pages 226-259, March.
    29. Burdekin, Richard C.K. & Siklos, Pierre L., 2022. "Armageddon and the stock market: US, Canadian and Mexican market responses to the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 112-127.
    30. Moreira, Alan, 2019. "Capital immobility and the reach for yield," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 907-951.
    31. Daniel Broxterman & Tingyu Zhou, 2023. "Information Frictions in Real Estate Markets: Recent Evidence and Issues," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 66(2), pages 203-298, February.
    32. Alejandro Graziano & Kyle Handley & Nuno Limão, 2018. "Brexit Uncertainty and Trade Disintegration," NBER Working Papers 25334, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    33. Pedro Bordalo & Nicola Gennaioli & Rafael La Porta & Matthew OBrien & Andrei Shleifer, 2023. "Long-Term Expectations and Aggregate Fluctuations," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2023, volume 38, pages 311-347, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    34. Cristina Arellano & Yan Bai & Patrick J. Kehoe, 2016. "Financial Frictions and Fluctuations in Volatility," NBER Working Papers 22990, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    35. Cosmin L. Ilut & Rosen Valchev, 2020. "Economic Agents as Imperfect Problem Solvers," NBER Working Papers 27820, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    36. Gáti, Laura, 2022. "Monetary policy & anchored expectations: an endogenous gain learning model," Working Paper Series 2685, European Central Bank.
    37. Julian Kozlowski, 2020. "COVID-19: Scarring Body and Mind," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 43, December.
    38. Julian Kozlowski & Laura Veldkamp & Venky Venkateswaran, 2018. "The Tail that Keeps the Riskless Rate Low," 2018 Meeting Papers 1111, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    39. Kohlhas, Alexandre N. & Robertson, Donald, 2025. "Cautious expectations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 155(S).
    40. Sonan Memon, 2023. "Expectation Shocks and Business Cycles," PIDE-Working Papers 2023:2, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics.
    41. Patrick Pintus & Jacek Suda, 2018. "Learning Financial Shocks and the Great Recession," GRAPE Working Papers 28, GRAPE Group for Research in Applied Economics.
    42. Kozeniauskas, Nicholas & Orlik, Anna & Veldkamp, Laura, 2018. "What are uncertainty shocks?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 1-15.
    43. Savitar Sundaresan, 2024. "Emergency Preparation and Uncertainty Persistence," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(5), pages 2842-2861, May.
    44. Müller, Henrik & Hornig, Nico, 2020. ""I heard the News today, oh Boy": An updated Version of our Uncertainty Perception Indicator (UPI) – and some general thoughts on news-based economic indicators," DoCMA Working Papers 2-2020, TU Dortmund University, Dortmund Center for Data-based Media Analysis (DoCMA).
    45. Yuan, Jun & Yang, Liuyong & Xu, Qi, 2025. "The real side of black swans: Tail risk and corporate investment," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
    46. Mathieu Taschereau-Dumouchel & Edouard Schaal, 2020. "Herding Through Booms and Busts," Working Papers 1166, Barcelona School of Economics.
    47. Danielsson, Jon & Valenzuela, Marcela & Zer, Ilknur, 2023. "The impact of risk cycles on business cycles: a historical view," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 117384, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    48. Gong, Aibo & Ke, Shaowei & Qiu, Yawen & Shen, Rui, 2022. "Robust pricing under strategic trading," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    49. Boubekeur Baba, 2024. "The comovements of tail risks in time and frequency domains: evidence from US and emerging Asian stock markets," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 1-20, December.
    50. Ortega, Francesc & Taṣpınar, Süleyman, 2018. "Rising sea levels and sinking property values: Hurricane Sandy and New York’s housing market," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 81-100.
    51. Cosmin L. Ilut & Hikaru Saijo, 2016. "Learning, Confidence, and Business Cycles," NBER Working Papers 22958, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    52. Pagel, Michaela, 2019. "Prospective gain-loss utility: Ordered versus separated comparison," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 62-75.
    53. François Gourio, 2019. "Has Business Fixed Investment Really Been Unusually Low?," Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    54. Emmanuel Farhi & Francois Gourio, 2018. "Accounting for Macro-Finance Trends: Market Power, Intangibles, and Risk Premia," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 49(2 (Fall)), pages 147-250.
    55. Styliani Panetsidou & Angelos Synapis, 2025. "Equity financing during the Covid-19 economic downturn," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 64(3), pages 1391-1430, April.
    56. Brand, Claus & Obstbaum, Meri & Coenen, Günter & Sondermann, David & Lydon, Reamonn & Ajevskis, Viktors & Hammermann, Felix & Angino, Siria & Hernborg, Nils & Basso, Henrique & Hertweck, Matthias & Bi, 2021. "Employment and the conduct of monetary policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 275, European Central Bank.
    57. Laura Nowzohour & Livio Stracca, 2020. "More Than A Feeling: Confidence, Uncertainty, And Macroeconomic Fluctuations," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(4), pages 691-726, September.
    58. Dasol Kim & Luke Olson & Toan Phan, 2024. "Bank Competition and Strategic Adaptation to Climate Change," Working Paper 24-06, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    59. Francesco Furlanetto & Antoine Lepetit & Ørjan Robstad & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Pål Ulvedal, 2021. "Estimating Hysteresis Effects," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-059, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    60. Dietrich, Alexander M. & Müller, Gernot J. & Schoenle, Raphael S., 2024. "Big news: Climate-disaster expectations and the business cycle," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    61. Makridis, Christos A. & Wang, Tao, 2024. "Learning from Friends in a Pandemic: Social networks and the macroeconomic response of consumption," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    62. Wen-Tai Hsu & Hsuan-Chih (Luke) Lin & Han Yang, 2024. "Long-run belief-scarring effects of COVID-19 in a global economy," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 78(3), pages 709-752, November.
    63. Julius Loermann, 2018. "The Impact of CHF/EUR Exchange Rate Uncertainty on Swiss Exports to the Eurozone: Evidence from a Threshold VAR," FIW Working Paper series 189, FIW, revised Feb 2019.
    64. Maenhout, Pascal J. & Vedolin, Andrea & Xing, Hao, 2025. "Robustness and dynamic sentiment," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    65. Dorofeenko Victor & Lee Gabriel & Salyer Kevin & Strobel Johannes, 2020. "Risk shocks with time-varying higher moments," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(2), pages 1-20, April.
    66. Carolin Pflueger & Emil Siriwardane & Adi Sunderam, 2019. "Financial Market Risk Perceptions and the Macroeconomy," NBER Working Papers 26290, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    67. Sean Hundtofte & Arna Olafsson & Michaela Pagel, 2019. "Credit Smoothing," NBER Working Papers 26354, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    68. Kim, Chi Hyun, 2021. "Optimism gone bad? The persistent effects of traumatic experiences on investment decisions," Working Papers 32, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
    69. Marcela De Castro-Valderrama & Santiago Forero-Alvarado & Nicolas Moreno-Arias & Sara Naranjo-Saldarriaga, 2022. "Unravelling the Narratives Behind Macroeconomic Forecasts," IHEID Working Papers 18-2022, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    70. Mykola Babiak & Roman Kozhan, 2021. "Growth Uncertainty, Rational Learning, and Option Prices," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp682, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    71. Eggers, Andrew C. & Ellison, Martin & Lee, Sang Seok, 2021. "The economic impact of recession announcements," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 40-52.
    72. Dietrich, Alexander M. & Müller, Gernot J. & Schoenle, Raphael, 2023. "Big news: Climate change and the business cycle," University of Tübingen Working Papers in Business and Economics 158, University of Tuebingen, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, School of Business and Economics.
    73. Saygin Sahinoz & Evren Erdogan Cosar, 2020. "Quantifying uncertainty and identifying its impacts on the Turkish economy," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 47(2), pages 365-387, May.
    74. Julian Kozlowski, 2019. "Tail Risk: Part 2, The Missing Recovery After the Great Recession," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 19, August.
    75. Orlik, Anna & Veldkamp, Laura, 2024. "Understanding uncertainty shocks and the role of black swans," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    76. Croce, Mariano & Bansal, Ravi & Liao, Wenxi & Rosen, Samuel, 2019. "Uncertainty-Induced Reallocations and Growth," CEPR Discussion Papers 13964, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    77. Sebastián Fanelli & Martín Gonzalez-Eiras, 2021. "Resolution of Final Crises," Working Papers wp2021_2113, CEMFI.
    78. Thomas Lubik & Christian Matthes & Elmar Mertens, 2023. "Indeterminacy and Imperfect Information," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 49, pages 37-57, July.
    79. Martin Guzman & Joseph E. Stiglitz, 2016. "Pseudo-wealth and Consumption Fluctuations," NBER Working Papers 22838, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    80. Keiichiro KOBAYASHI & Kozo Ueda, 2020. "Secular Stagnation and Low Interest Rates under the Fear of a Government Debt Crisis," CIGS Working Paper Series 20-008E, The Canon Institute for Global Studies.
    81. Tian, Can, 2022. "Learning and firm dynamics in a stochastic equilibrium," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    82. Pagano, Marco & Wagner, Christian & Zechner, Josef, 2021. "Disaster resilience and asset prices," CFS Working Paper Series 673, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    83. Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Lee Ohanian, 2018. "The Lack of European Productivity Growth: Causes and Lessons for the U.S," PIER Working Paper Archive 18-024, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, revised 07 Sep 2018.
    84. Makridis, Christos A., 2022. "The social transmission of economic sentiment on consumption," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    85. Jean-Pierre Danthine, 2017. "Taux négatifs: made for Switzerland," Working Papers hal-01884328, HAL.
    86. Kenneth Rogoff, 2017. "Dealing with Monetary Paralysis at the Zero Bound," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 31(3), pages 47-66, Summer.
    87. Heejeong Kim, 2022. "Inequality, Disaster risk, and the Great Recession," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 45, pages 187-216, July.
    88. Julian Kozlowski & Laura Veldkamp & Venky Venkateswaran, 2020. "Scarring Body and Mind: The Long-Term Belief-Scarring Effects of COVID-19," NBER Working Papers 27439, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

  8. Julian Kozlowski & Laura Veldkamp & Venky Venkateswaran, 2018. "The Tail that Keeps the Riskless Rate Low," NBER Working Papers 24362, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Xiaojing & Chang, Hsu-Ling & Su, Chi-Wei & Qin, Meng & Umar, Muhammad, 2024. "Exploring the dynamic interaction between geopolitical risks and lithium prices: A time-varying analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    2. Jalloul, Maya & Miescu, Mirela, 2023. "Equity market connectedness across regimes of geopolitical risks: Historical evidence and theory," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    3. Ian Dew-Becker & Stefano Giglio & Pooya Molavi, 2025. "The Inherent Nonlinearity in Learning: Implications for Understanding Stock Returns," Working Paper Series WP 2025-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    4. Alessandro Cantelmo, 2020. "Rare disasters, the natural interest rate and monetary policy," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1309, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    5. Burdekin, Richard C.K. & Siklos, Pierre L., 2022. "Armageddon and the stock market: US, Canadian and Mexican market responses to the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 112-127.
    6. Maya Jalloul & Mirela Miescu, 2021. "Equity Market Connectedness across Regimes of Geopolitical Risks," Working Papers 324219805, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
    7. Bassanin, Marzio & Faia, Ester & Patella, Valeria, 2021. "Ambiguity attitudes and the leverage cycle," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    8. Francisco Louçã & Alexandre Abreu & Gonçalo Pessa Costa, 2021. "Disarray at the headquarters: Economists and Central bankers tested by the subprime and the COVID recessions [Forward guidance without common knowledge]," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 30(2), pages 273-296.
    9. Thomas J. Carter & Xin Scott Chen & José Dorich, 2019. "Le taux neutre au Canada : mise à jour de 2019," Staff Analytical Notes 2019-11fr, Bank of Canada.
    10. Afees A. Salisu & Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Geopolitical Risk and Forecastability of Tail Risk in the Oil Market: Evidence from Over a Century of Monthly Data," Working Papers 202122, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Richard Berner, 2019. "Adaptive markets: financial evolution at the speed of thought by Andrew Lo," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 54(1), pages 89-91, January.
    12. Makridis, Christos A. & Wang, Tao, 2024. "Learning from Friends in a Pandemic: Social networks and the macroeconomic response of consumption," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    13. Julian Kozlowski & Laura Veldkamp & Venky Venkateswaran, 2019. "The Tail that Wags the Economy: Beliefs and Persistent Stagnation," Working Papers 2019-6, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    14. Mykola Babiak & Roman Kozhan, 2021. "Growth Uncertainty, Rational Learning, and Option Prices," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp682, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    15. Paolo Mauro & Jing Zhou, 2021. "$$r-g," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 69(1), pages 197-229, March.
    16. Julian Kozlowski & Laura Veldkamp & Venky Venkateswaran, 2018. "The Tail that Keeps the Riskless Rate Low," Working Papers 18-01, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics.
    17. Burçin Kısacıkoğlu, 2020. "Real Term Structure and New Keynesian Models," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(3), pages 95-139, June.
    18. Faia, Ester & Bassanin, Marzio & Patella, Valeria, 2019. "Ambiguity Attitudes, Leverage Cycle and Asset Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers 13875, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    19. Julian Kozlowski, 2019. "Tail Risk: Part 3, The Return on Safe and Liquid Assets," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 20, August.
    20. Thomas J. Carter & Xin Scott Chen & José Dorich, 2019. "The Neutral Rate in Canada: 2019 Update," Staff Analytical Notes 2019-11, Bank of Canada.
    21. Maurice Obstfeld, 2025. "Natural and Neutral Real Interest Rates: Past and Future," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 73(2), pages 339-392, June.

  9. Julian Kozlowski, 2017. "Long-Term Finance and Investment with Frictional Asset Markets," Working Papers 2018-12, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

    Cited by:

    1. Rodolfo Manuelli & Juan Sanchez, 2019. "Endogenous Debt Maturity: Liquidity Risk vs. Default Risk," 2019 Meeting Papers 1103, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Baojun Ma & Lingyun Zhou & Yao Mu & Yi Chen & Jian Zhang, 2026. "Impact of CEO perceived dominance on corporate financial performance: an empirical study based on facial feature extraction via deep learning," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 12(1), pages 1-31, December.
    3. Donaldson, Jason & Piacentino, Giorgia, 2019. "Money Runs," CEPR Discussion Papers 13955, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    4. Miroslav Gabrovski & Ioannis Kospentaris & Lucie Lebeau, 2024. "The Macroeconomics of Labor, Credit and Financial Market Imperfections," Working Papers 2409, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    5. Mahdi Ebsim & Miguel Faria-e-Castro & Julian Kozlowski, 2020. "Credit and Liquidity Policies during Large Crises," Working Papers 2020-035, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 22 Feb 2024.
    6. Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & Fernando Eguren-Martin, 2021. "Dash for dollars," Bank of England working papers 932, Bank of England.
    7. Donaldson, Jason Roderick & Piacentino, Giorgia, 2022. "Money runs," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 35-57.
    8. Jason R. Donaldson & Giorgia Piacentino, 2019. "Money Runs," NBER Working Papers 26298, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Pierre-Olivier Weill, 2020. "The search theory of OTC markets," NBER Working Papers 27354, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

  10. Diego Daruich & Julian Kozlowski, 2016. "Explaining Intergenerational Mobility: The Role of Fertility and Family Transfers," Working Papers 2018-011, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

    Cited by:

    1. Giovanni Gallipoli & Hamish Low & Aruni Mitra, 2022. "Consumption and income inequality across generations," Economics Series Working Papers 985, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    2. Matthias Doepke & Anne Hannusch & Fabian Kindermann & Michèle Tertilt, 2022. "The Economics of Fertility: A New Era," Working Papers 2022-012, Human Capital and Economic Opportunity Working Group.
    3. Nakakuni, Kanato, 2024. "Macroeconomic analysis of the child benefit: Fertility, demographic structure, and welfare," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    4. Minki Kim, 2025. "The Macroeconomic Consequences of Malaria Eradication in Sub-Saharan Africa," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2025_690, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    5. Bolt,U. & French, E. & Hentall MacCuish, J. & O'Dea, C., 2021. "The Intergenerational Elasticity of Earnings: Exploring the Mechanisms," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2171, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    6. Titan Alon & Natalie Cox & Minki Kim, 2025. "Debt, Human Capital, and the Allocation of Talent," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2025_635, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    7. Koeniger, Winfried & Zanella, Carlo, 2022. "Opportunity and Inequality across Generations," IZA Discussion Papers 15073, IZA Network @ LISER.
    8. Komada, Oliwia, 2024. "Raising America’s future: Search for optimal child-related transfers," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    9. Jan Gromadzki, 2024. "Universal Child Benefit And Child Poverty: The Role Of Fertility Adjustments," IBS Working Papers 03/2024, Instytut Badan Strukturalnych.
    10. Bishnu, Monisankar & Garg, Shresth & Garg, Tishara & Ray, Tridip, 2023. "Intergenerational transfers: Public education and pensions with endogenous fertility," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    11. Diego Daruich & Raquel Fernández, 2020. "Universal Basic Income: A Dynamic Assessment," NBER Working Papers 27351, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Fei Yang & Zhenlin Zhang, 2025. "Economic Drivers of China's Declining Fertility: The Role of Digital Inclusive Finance and Household Debt," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 675-696, April.
    13. Minchung Hsu & Thu Trang Le, 2024. "Fertility decisions and the norm of intergenerational support to aging parents," International Studies of Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 19(1), pages 151-165, March.
    14. Zhou, Anson, 2023. "Bounding fertility elasticities," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    15. Sagiri KITAO & Kanato NAKAKUNI, 2023. "On the Trends of Technology, Family Formation, and Women's Time Allocation," Discussion papers 23075, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    16. Bloom, David E. & Kuhn, Michael & Prettner, Klaus, 2023. "Fertility in High-Income Countries: Trends, Patterns, Determinants, and Consequences," IZA Discussion Papers 16500, IZA Network @ LISER.

  11. Julian Kozlowski & Diego Daruich, 2016. "Explaining Income Inequality and Intergenerational Mobility: The Role of Fertility and Family Transfers," 2016 Meeting Papers 665, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    Cited by:

    1. Giovanni Gallipoli & Hamish Low & Aruni Mitra, 2020. "Consumption and Income Inequality across Generations," Working Papers 2020-061, Human Capital and Economic Opportunity Working Group.

  12. Venky Venkateswaran & Laura Veldkamp & Julian Kozlowski, 2015. "The Tail that Wags the Economy: Belief-Driven Business Cycles and Persistent Stagnation," 2015 Meeting Papers 800, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ulrich Doraszelski & Gregory Lewis & Ariel Pakes, 2016. "Just Starting Out: Learning and Equilibrium in a New Market," NBER Working Papers 21996, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Noori, Mohammad, 2024. "Stock-oil comovements through fear, uncertainty, and expectations: Evidence from conditional comoments," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 529-551.
    3. Robert E. Hall, 2016. "Macroeconomics of Persistent Slumps," NBER Working Papers 22230, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Maiko Koga & Haruko Kato, 2017. "Behavioral Biases in Firms' Growth Expectations," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 17-E-9, Bank of Japan.
    5. Straub, Ludwig & Ulbricht, Robert, 2015. "Endogenous Uncertainty and Credit Crunches," TSE Working Papers 15-604, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised Dec 2017.
    6. Stefano Giglio & Ian Dew-Becker & David Berger, 2017. "Uncertainty Shocks as Second-Moment News Shocks," 2017 Meeting Papers 403, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    7. Evangelos Salachas & Georgios P. Kouretas & Nikiforos T. Laopodis, 2024. "The term structure of interest rates and economic activity: Evidence from the COVID‐19 pandemic," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(4), pages 1018-1041, July.
    8. Dew-Becker, Ian & Giglio, Stefano & Kelly, Bryan, 2021. "Hedging macroeconomic and financial uncertainty and volatility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(1), pages 23-45.
    9. Crawford, Vincent P. & Jin, Miao & Meng, Juanjuan & Yao, Lan, 2025. "Expectations-based reference-dependence and labor supply: Eliciting cabdrivers’ expectations in the field," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 239(C).
    10. Sergio Salgado & Fatih Guvenen & Nicholas Bloom, 2019. "Skewed Business Cycles," 2019 Meeting Papers 1189, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    11. Sandile Hlatshwayo & Anne Oeking & Mr. Manuk Ghazanchyan & David Corvino & Ananya Shukla & Mr. Lamin Y Leigh, 2018. "The Measurement and Macro-Relevance of Corruption: A Big Data Approach," IMF Working Papers 2018/195, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Pablo D. Fajgelbaum & Edouard Schaal & Mathieu Taschereau-Dumouchel, 2017. "Uncertainty Traps," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 132(4), pages 1641-1692.
    13. Moreira, Alan, 2019. "Capital immobility and the reach for yield," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 907-951.
    14. Alejandro Graziano & Kyle Handley & Nuno Limão, 2018. "Brexit Uncertainty and Trade Disintegration," NBER Working Papers 25334, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Cristina Arellano & Yan Bai & Patrick J. Kehoe, 2016. "Financial Frictions and Fluctuations in Volatility," NBER Working Papers 22990, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    16. Julian Kozlowski & Laura Veldkamp & Venky Venkateswaran, 2018. "The Tail that Keeps the Riskless Rate Low," 2018 Meeting Papers 1111, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    17. Martin Guzman & Joseph E Stiglitz, 2021. "Pseudo-wealth and Consumption Fluctuations [Emerging market business cycles: the cycle is the trend]," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 131(633), pages 372-391.
    18. Patrick Pintus & Jacek Suda, 2018. "Learning Financial Shocks and the Great Recession," GRAPE Working Papers 28, GRAPE Group for Research in Applied Economics.
    19. Kozeniauskas, Nicholas & Orlik, Anna & Veldkamp, Laura, 2018. "What are uncertainty shocks?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 1-15.
    20. Ortega, Francesc & Taṣpınar, Süleyman, 2018. "Rising sea levels and sinking property values: Hurricane Sandy and New York’s housing market," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 81-100.
    21. Pagel, Michaela, 2019. "Prospective gain-loss utility: Ordered versus separated comparison," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 62-75.
    22. Cosmin L. Ilut & Hikaru Saijo, 2016. "Learning, Confidence, and Business Cycles," NBER Working Papers 22958, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    23. Emmanuel Farhi & Francois Gourio, 2018. "Accounting for Macro-Finance Trends: Market Power, Intangibles, and Risk Premia," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 49(2 (Fall)), pages 147-250.
    24. Laura Nowzohour & Livio Stracca, 2020. "More Than A Feeling: Confidence, Uncertainty, And Macroeconomic Fluctuations," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(4), pages 691-726, September.
    25. Julius Loermann, 2018. "The Impact of CHF/EUR Exchange Rate Uncertainty on Swiss Exports to the Eurozone: Evidence from a Threshold VAR," FIW Working Paper series 189, FIW, revised Feb 2019.
    26. Dorofeenko Victor & Lee Gabriel & Salyer Kevin & Strobel Johannes, 2020. "Risk shocks with time-varying higher moments," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(2), pages 1-20, April.
    27. Sean Hundtofte & Arna Olafsson & Michaela Pagel, 2019. "Credit Smoothing," NBER Working Papers 26354, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    28. Saygin Sahinoz & Evren Erdogan Cosar, 2020. "Quantifying uncertainty and identifying its impacts on the Turkish economy," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 47(2), pages 365-387, May.
    29. Cheng Chen & Tatsuro Senga & Chang Sun & Hongyong Zhang, 2017. "Firm Expectations and Investment: Evidence from the China-Japan Island Dispute," Working Papers 838, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    30. Gehrig, Thomas & Iannino, Maria Chiara, 2018. "Did the Basel process of capital regulation enhance the resiliency of European Banks?," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 16/2018, Bank of Finland.
    31. Jean-Pierre Danthine, 2017. "Taux négatifs: made for Switzerland," PSE Working Papers hal-01884328, HAL.
    32. Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Lee Ohanian, 2018. "The Lack of European Productivity Growth: Causes and Lessons for the U.S," PIER Working Paper Archive 18-024, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, revised 07 Sep 2018.

  13. Emilio Espino & Julian Kozlowski & Juan M. Sanchez, 2013. "Investment and Bilateral Insurance," Working Papers 2013-001, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

    Cited by:

    1. Lipnowski, Elliot & Ramos, João, 2020. "Repeated delegation," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    2. Nicolas Caramp & Julian Kozlowski & Keisuke Teeple, 2022. "Liquidity and Investment in General Equilibrium," Working Papers 2022-022, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 07 Jun 2024.
    3. Vereshchagina, Galina, 2019. "The role of individual financial contributions in the formation of entrepreneurial teams," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 173-193.

  14. Emilio Espino & Julian Kozlowski & Juan M. Sanchez, 2013. "Too big to cheat: Efficiency and Investment in Partnerships," Working Papers 2013-001, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

    Cited by:

    1. Nicholas Economides, 2015. "Bundling and Tying," Working Papers 15-01, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics.
    2. Mikhail Golosov & Aleh Tsyvinski & Nicolas Werquin, 2016. "Recursive Contracts and Endogenously Incomplete Markets," NBER Working Papers 22012, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Yunmin Chen & YiLi Chien & Michael T. Owyang, 2015. "Individual and Aggregate Constrained Efficient Intertemporal Wedges in Dynamic Mirrleesian Economies," Working Papers 2015-43, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    4. Emilio Espino & Julian Kozlowski & Juan M. Sanchez, 2016. "Stylized Facts on the Organization of Small Business Partnerships," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 98(4), pages 297-310.

Articles

  1. Emilio Espino & Julian Kozlowski & Fernando M. Martin & Juan M. Sánchez, 2025. "Domestic Policies and Sovereign Default," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 17(3), pages 74-113, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Diego Daruich & Julian Kozlowski, 2023. "Macroeconomic Implications of Uniform Pricing," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 15(3), pages 64-108, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Julian Kozlowski, 2021. "Long-Term Finance and Investment with Frictional Asset Markets," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 13(4), pages 411-448, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Julian Kozlowski & Laura Veldkamp & Venky Venkateswaran, 2020. "The Tail That Wags the Economy: Beliefs and Persistent Stagnation," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 128(8), pages 2839-2879.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. Diego Daruich & Julian Kozlowski, 2020. "Explaining Intergenerational Mobility: The Role of Fertility and Family Transfers," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 36, pages 220-245, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  6. Julian Kozlowski, 2019. "Tail Risk: Part 3, The Return on Safe and Liquid Assets," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 20, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Julian Kozlowski, 2020. "COVID-19: Scarring Body and Mind," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 43, December.

  7. Julian Kozlowski & Laura Veldkamp & Venky Venkateswaran, 2019. "The Tail That Keeps the Riskless Rate Low," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 33(1), pages 253-283.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  8. Julian Kozlowski, 2019. "Tail Risk: Part 1, The Persistent Effects of the Great Recession," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 18, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Julian Kozlowski, 2020. "COVID-19: Scarring Body and Mind," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 43, December.
    2. Julian Kozlowski, 2019. "Tail Risk: Part 2, The Missing Recovery After the Great Recession," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 19, August.
    3. Julian Kozlowski, 2019. "Tail Risk: Part 3, The Return on Safe and Liquid Assets," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 20, August.

  9. Julian Kozlowski, 2019. "Tail Risk: Part 2, The Missing Recovery After the Great Recession," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 19, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Julian Kozlowski, 2020. "COVID-19: Scarring Body and Mind," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 43, December.
    2. Julian Kozlowski, 2019. "Tail Risk: Part 3, The Return on Safe and Liquid Assets," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 20, August.

  10. Espino, Emilio & Kozlowski, Julian & Sánchez, Juan M., 2018. "Investment and bilateral insurance," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 311-341.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  11. Emilio Espino & Julian Kozlowski & Juan M. Sanchez, 2016. "Stylized Facts on the Organization of Small Business Partnerships," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 98(4), pages 297-310.

    Cited by:

    1. Espino, Emilio & Kozlowski, Julian & Sánchez, Juan M., 2018. "Investment and bilateral insurance," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 311-341.

Software components

  1. Diego Daruich & Julian Kozlowski, 2019. "Code and data files for "Explaining Intergenerational Mobility: The Role of Fertility and Family Transfers"," Computer Codes 18-528, Review of Economic Dynamics.
    See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of software components recorded.

Chapters

  1. Julian Kozlowski & Laura Veldkamp & Venky Venkateswaran, 2018. "The Tail That Keeps the Riskless Rate Low," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2018, volume 33, pages 253-283, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of chapters recorded.
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