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A Comprehensive Measure of Lifeyears Lost due to COVID‐19 in 2020: A Comparison across Countries and with Past Disasters

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  • Vu Nguyen Doan
  • Ilan Noy

Abstract

Typically, disaster damages are measured separately in four dimensions: fatalities, injuries, dislocations, and the financial damage that they wreak. Noy (2016) developed a lifeyears index of disaster damage which aggregates these disparate measures. Here, we use this lifeyears index to assess the costs of the COVID‐19 pandemic across countries and compare these costs to the average annual costs of all other disasters that have occurred in all countries in the past 20 years. We find that the costs of the pandemic, measured for 2020, far outweigh the annual costs associated with other disasters in the past two decades. It is the economic loss that dominates this impact. The human and social implications of this economic loss are plausibly much greater than the direct toll in mortality and morbidity in almost all countries. Finally, it is small countries like the Maldives and Guyana that have experienced the most dramatic and painful crisis, largely under the radar of the world’s attention. Our conclusion from these findings is not that governments’ policy reactions were unwarranted. If anything, we find that the loss of lifeyears is correlated positively across the three dimensions we examine. Countries that experienced a deeper health crisis also experienced a deeper economic one.

Suggested Citation

  • Vu Nguyen Doan & Ilan Noy, 2021. "A Comprehensive Measure of Lifeyears Lost due to COVID‐19 in 2020: A Comparison across Countries and with Past Disasters," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 12(4), pages 553-561, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:glopol:v:12:y:2021:i:4:p:553-561
    DOI: 10.1111/1758-5899.12957
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ilan Noy & Nguyen Doan & Benno Ferrarini & Donghyun Park, 2020. "Measuring the Economic Risk of COVID‐19," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 11(4), pages 413-423, September.
    2. Ilan Noy & Nguyen Doan & Benno Ferrarini & Donghyun Park, 2019. "Measuring the Economic Risk of Epidemics," CESifo Working Paper Series 8016, CESifo.
    3. Ilan Noy, 2016. "A Global Comprehensive Measure of the Impact of Natural Hazards and Disasters," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 7(1), pages 56-65, February.
    4. Julian Kozlowski & Laura Veldkamp & Venky Venkateswaran, 2020. "Scarring Body and Mind: The Long-Term Belief-Scarring Effects of COVID-19," NBER Working Papers 27439, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Terrie Walmsley & Adam Rose & Dan Wei, 2021. "The Impacts of the Coronavirus on the Economy of the United States," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 1-52, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Timothy Wilson & Ilan Noy, 2023. "Fifty years of peril: A comprehensive comparison of the impact of terrorism and disasters linked to natural hazards (1970–2019)," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 14(5), pages 647-662, November.

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