IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/chinae/v28y2020i6p1-27.html

The US Unanticipated Costs of Decoupling from China

Author

Listed:
  • Jun Zhang
  • Shuo Shi

Abstract

The decoupling policies enforced by the Trump Administration aim to break the US economic relationship with China. Those policies, however, are escalating strategic costs for the US in at least three unanticipated ways: the decoupling policies are losing the endorsement of US multinational corporations, undermining the solidarity of the US and its allies, and making supply chains more likely to disengage from the US than to disengage from China. We argue that the ongoing decoupling policies are costing more than the US can bear and will end in vain. If the Trump Administration enforces further decoupling policies without considering those implicit costs, it will only set the US up for a more expensive failure.

Suggested Citation

  • Jun Zhang & Shuo Shi, 2020. "The US Unanticipated Costs of Decoupling from China," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 28(6), pages 1-27, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:chinae:v:28:y:2020:i:6:p:1-27
    DOI: 10.1111/cwe.12359
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/cwe.12359
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/cwe.12359?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Julian Kozlowski & Laura Veldkamp & Venky Venkateswaran, 2020. "Scarring Body and Mind: The Long-Term Belief-Scarring Effects of COVID-19," NBER Working Papers 27439, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Blog mentions

    As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
    1. China's Hedge Against Geopolitical Shock
      by Zhang Jun in Project Syndicate on 2022-03-14 15:35:55

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Emily Blanchard & Amelia U. Santos-Paulino & Claudia Trentini & Emanuel Milet, . "Implications of rising trade tensions for FDI projects," UNCTAD Transnational Corporations Journal, United Nations Conference on Trade and Development.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2021. "Macroeconomic effects of COVID‐19: A mid‐term review," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(4), pages 439-458, October.
    2. Ethan Ilzetzki & Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2020. "Will the Secular Decline in Exchange Rate and Inflation Volatility Survive COVID-19?," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 51(3 (Fall)), pages 279-332.
    3. Dong, Zhanyu & Cai, Jiayi & Li, Xuchao & Luan, Mengna, 2025. "Firm-level impacts and recovery dynamics following a public health crisis: Lessons from China’s SARS experience," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    4. Anna Ludwiczak & Maciej Czarnecki, 2022. "Financial Liquidity Management During Crisis," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(Special B), pages 232-244.
    5. Alexander Dietrich & Edward S. Knotek & Michael McMain & Kristian Ove R. Myrseth & Raphael Schoenle & Michael Weber, 2021. "Expected Post-Pandemic Consumption and Scarred Expectations from COVID-19," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2021(11), pages 1-8, April.
    6. Harrison Hong & Jeffrey D. Kubik & Neng Wang & Xiao Xu & Jinqiang Yang, 2020. "Pandemics, Vaccines and an Earnings Damage Function," NBER Working Papers 27829, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Corsetti, G. & Lipińska, A. & Lombardo, G., 2021. "Sharing Asymmetric Tail Risk Smoothing, Asset Pricing and Terms of Trade," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2153, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    8. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Meuchelböck, Saskia & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2021. "Mittelfristprojektion für Deutschland im Frühjahr 2021 - Pandemiebedingte Potenzialschäden eher gering," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 78, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    9. Erica Perego & Lionel Fontagné & Gianluca Santoni, 2022. "MaGE 3.1: Long-term macroeconomic projections of the World economy," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 172, pages 168-189.
    10. Daniel Gros, 2021. "High Public Debt in an Uncertain World: Post-Covid-19 Dangers for Public Finance," EconPol Policy Brief 38, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    11. Makridis, Christos A. & Wang, Tao, 2024. "Learning from Friends in a Pandemic: Social networks and the macroeconomic response of consumption," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    12. Razin, Assaf, 2021. "Globalization and Global Crises: Rest of the World vs. Israel," CEPR Discussion Papers 15643, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    13. Giovanni Gallipoli & Christos A. Makridis, 2022. "Sectoral digital intensity and GDP growth after a large employment shock: A simple extrapolation exercise," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 55(S1), pages 446-479, February.
    14. Giancarlo Corsetti & Anna Lipinska & Giovanni Lombardo, 2021. "Sharing Asymmetric Tail Risk: Smoothing, Asset Prices and Terms of Trade," International Finance Discussion Papers 1324, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    15. Makridis, Christos A., 2022. "The social transmission of economic sentiment on consumption," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    16. Philippe Andrade & Jordi Gali & Hervé Le Bihan & Julien Matheron, 2021. "Should the ECB Adjust Its Strategy in the Face of a Lower r*?," Working Papers 22-1, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    17. Daniel Gros, 2020. "Lessons From the COVID-19 Crisis for Euro Area Fiscal Rules," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 55(5), pages 281-284, September.
    18. Xiang Zheng & Chuyao Feng & Mikio Ishiwatari, 2022. "Examining the Indirect Death Surveillance System of The Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(19), pages 1-15, September.
    19. Vandenbroucke Guillaume, 2022. "The Mechanics of Individually- and Socially-Optimal Decisions during an Epidemic," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(1), pages 131-158, January.
    20. Acharya, Viral & Johnson, Timothy & Sundaresan, Suresh & Zheng, Steven, 2020. "The Value of a Cure: An Asset Pricing Perspective," CEPR Discussion Papers 15558, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:chinae:v:28:y:2020:i:6:p:1-27. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/iwepacn.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.