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Gunes Kamber

Citations

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Working papers

  1. Gunes Kamber & James Morley & Benjamin Wong, 2024. "Trend-Cycle Decomposition in the Presence of Large Shocks," CAMA Working Papers 2024-24, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, revised Aug 2024.

    Cited by:

    1. Ilya Zverev & Nadezhda Kislyak, 2025. "Estimating the Output Gap of the Russian Economy: A Multivariate Approach Based on BVAR and the Beveridge-Nelson Filter," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 84(4), pages 22-46, December.
    2. Marc Wildi, 2026. "The Accuracy Smoothness Dilemma in Prediction: a Novel Multivariate M-SSA Forecast Approach," Papers 2602.13722, arXiv.org.
    3. Michael D. Bordo & John V. Duca & Barry E. Jones, 2025. "Broad Divisia Money, Supply Pressures, and U.S. Inflation Following the COVID-19 Recession," Working Papers 345, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
    4. Honkapohja, Seppo & McClung, Nigel, 2026. "On robustness of average inflation targeting," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    5. Arabinda Basistha, 2026. "The Role of Global Inflation in Estimation of US Output Components in the post Bretton Woods Era: Evidence from Multivariate Unobserved Components Models," Working Papers 26-04, Department of Economics, West Virginia University.
    6. Marc Wildi, 2026. "Sign Accuracy, Mean-Squared Error and the Rate of Zero Crossings: a Generalized Forecast Approach," Papers 2601.06547, arXiv.org.
    7. Kristian Jönsson, 2025. "Comparing real-time uncertainty of the Hodrick-Prescott and Hamilton trend/cycle decompositions," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 69(3), pages 1335-1361, September.
    8. Donayre, Luiggi & Goto, Eiji, 2026. "Accounting for structural breaks in the Hamilton filter," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    9. Kumar, Labesh, 2026. "The Output Gap: Method Choice, Data Revisions, and Policy Implications," MPRA Paper 127829, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  2. Luis Brandao-Marques & Marco Casiraghi & Gaston Gelos & Olamide Harrison & Güneş Kamber, 2023. "Is high debt constraining monetary policy? Evidence from inflation expectations," BIS Working Papers 1141, Bank for International Settlements.

    Cited by:

    1. Kronick, Jeremy & Petersen, Luba, 2025. "Is monetary and fiscal policy conflict that dire?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    2. David, Antonio C. & Pienknagura, Samuel & Yépez, Juan F., 2025. "Can fiscal consolidations announcements help anchor inflation expectations?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    3. Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert L., 2024. "Uncertainty Shocks and Inflation: The Role of Credibility and Expectation Anchoring," MPRA Paper 119971, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Acedański, Jan & Dąbrowski, Marek A., 2024. "Looking behind the facade of the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle," MPRA Paper 122800, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Swapan-Kumar Pradhan & Előd Takáts & Judit Temesvary, 2024. "How Does Fiscal Policy affect the Transmission of Monetary Policy into Cross-border Bank Lending? Cross-country Evidence," International Finance Discussion Papers 1400, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    6. Afonso, António & Alves, José & Jalles, João & Monteiro, Sofia, 2026. "Inflation tales: the heterogeneous price effects from current account dynamics," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    7. Piotr Misztal, 2026. "Exploring the Relationship Between Public Debt and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Poland," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1), pages 134-149.
    8. J. Scott Davis & Lillian Derr, 2026. "The Interest Rate Effects of Government Debt and Deficits: Does Domestic Borrowing Have a Different Impact Than Foreign Borrowing?," Working Papers 2614, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 10 Jul 2026.
    9. Fiorella De Fiore & Marco Jacopo Lombardi & Albert Pierres Tejada, 2024. "Fiscal stimulus plans and households' expectations," BIS Working Papers 1238, Bank for International Settlements.
    10. Beirne, John & Renzhi, Nuobu, 2024. "Debt shocks and the dynamics of output and inflation in emerging economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    11. Andryushin, S., 2024. "Interest rate policy of the Bank of Russia in conditions of fiscally-dominant regime: Risks and prospects," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 62(1), pages 211-219.
    12. Philippe Andrade & Erwan Gautier & Eric Mengus & Emanuel Münch & Tobias Schmidt, 2025. "Household Beliefs about Fiscal Dominance," Working papers 986, Banque de France.

  3. Brandao-Marques, Luis & Casiraghi, Marco & Gelos, Gaston & Kamber, Gunes & Meeks, Roland, 2021. "Negative Interest Rate Policies: A Survey," CEPR Discussion Papers 16016, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Mujtaba Zia & Mucahit Kochan & Yi Liu, 2025. "Does Market Interest Rate Impact Bank Profitability and Risk?," The Review of Finance and Banking, Academia de Studii Economice din Bucuresti, Romania / Facultatea de Finante, Asigurari, Banci si Burse de Valori / Catedra de Finante, vol. 17(1), pages 41-54, June.

  4. Güneş Kamber & Madhusudan Mohanty & James Morley, 2020. "Have the driving forces of inflation changed in advanced and emerging market economies?," BIS Working Papers 896, Bank for International Settlements.

    Cited by:

    1. Klinkowska, Olga & Zadorozhna, Olha, 2026. "The yield curve strikes back: New evidence of its predictive power for economic activity and inflation," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    2. Reichold, Karsten & Wagner, Martin & Damjanovic, Milan & Drenkovska, Marija, 2022. "Sources and Channels of Nonlinearities and Instabilities of the Phillips Curve: Results for the Euro Area and Its Member States," IHS Working Paper Series 40, Institute for Advanced Studies.
    3. Günes Kamber & Madhusudan Mohanty & James Morley, 2020. "What drives inflation in advanced and emerging market economies?," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Inflation dynamics in Asia and the Pacific, volume 111, pages 21-36, Bank for International Settlements.

  5. Ricardo Caballero & Güneş Kamber, 2019. "On the global Impact of risk-off shocks and policy-put frameworks," BIS Working Papers 772, Bank for International Settlements.

    Cited by:

    1. Bhanu Pratap & Nalin Priyaranjan, 2023. "Macroeconomic effects of uncertainty: a Google trends-based analysis for India," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(4), pages 1599-1625, October.
    2. Ahmed, Rashad, 2023. "Flights-to-safety and macroeconomic adjustment in emerging markets: The role of U.S. monetary policy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    3. Albagli, Elias & Ceballos, Luis & Claro, Sebastian & Romero, Damian, 2024. "UIP deviations: Insights from event studies," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    4. Filippou, Ilias & Gozluklu, Arie & Rozental, Hari, 2024. "ETF arbitrage and international diversification," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    5. Juan Michelsen, 2026. "Global Risk Shocks in a Small Open Economy and Their Impact on Monetary Policy Surprises," Berlin School of Economics Discussion Papers 0093, Berlin School of Economics.
    6. Nadav Ben Zeev, 2019. "Asymmetric Business Cycles In Emerging Market Economies," Working Papers 1909, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Department of Economics.
    7. Janus, Jakub, 2021. "The COVID-19 shock and long-term interest rates in emerging market economies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    8. Ricardo Caballero & Gunes Kamber, 2019. "The global impact of risk-off shocks," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Asia-Pacific fixed income markets: evolving structure, participation and pricing, volume 102, pages 17-23, Bank for International Settlements.
    9. Carlomagno, Guillermo & Albagli, Elías, 2022. "Trade wars and asset prices," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    10. Ines Buono & Flavia Corneli & Enrica Di Stefano, 2020. "Capital inflows to emerging countries and their sensitivity to the global financial cycle," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1262, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.

  6. Güneş Kamber & Madhusudan Mohanty, 2018. "Do interest rates play a major role in monetary policy transmission in China?," BIS Working Papers 714, Bank for International Settlements.

    Cited by:

    1. Jiang, Bo & Fu, Liang, 2025. "Corporate investment and shadow banking channel of monetary policy," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    2. Tsang, Andrew, 2021. "Uncovering Heterogeneous Regional Impacts of Chinese Monetary Policy," WiSo-HH Working Paper Series 62, University of Hamburg, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences, WISO Research Laboratory.
    3. Al-Haschimi, Alexander & Apostolou, Apostolos & Azqueta-Gavaldon, Andres & Ricci, Martino, 2023. "Using machine learning to measure financial risk in China," Working Paper Series 2767, European Central Bank.
    4. Jiang, Lunan & Chen, Yinghui & Zhang, Lin, 2024. "Monetary policy surprises and corporate investment growth in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    5. Michael Funke & Andrew Tsang, 2021. "The Direction and Intensity of China’s Monetary Policy: A Dynamic Factor Modelling Approach," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 97(316), pages 100-122, March.
    6. Aeimit Lakdawala & Rajeswari Sengupta, 2025. "Measuring Monetary Policy Shocks in Emerging Economies: Evidence from India," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 57(2-3), pages 407-437, March.
    7. Makram El-Shagi & Lunan Jiang, 2023. "How the PBoC´s new MLF affects the yield curve," CFDS Discussion Paper Series 2023/1, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China.
    8. Md. Rashedur Rahman Sardar & Matthew Schaffer, 2024. "International monetary spillovers to frontier financial markets: Evidence from Bangladesh," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(1), pages 81-100, April.
    9. Andrew Tsang, 2024. "Uncovering heterogeneous regional impacts of Chinese monetary policy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(3), pages 915-940, September.
    10. Hanlin Xia & Lin Zhang, 2025. "The Coordination of Monetary and Local Government Fiscal Policies and Local Fiscal Sustainability in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(16), pages 1-34, August.
    11. Breitenlechner, Max & Nuutilainen, Riikka, 2019. "China's monetary policy and the loan market: How strong is the credit channel in China?," BOFIT Discussion Papers 15/2019, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    12. Shirley (Yilin) Ren, 2023. "Distributional Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks in China," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 51(4), pages 287-301, December.
    13. Fu, Liang & Ho, Chun-Yu, 2022. "Monetary policy surprises and interest rates under China's evolving monetary policy framework," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    14. Liu, Qing & Luo, Wenlan & Xiong, Qiaoqin, 2025. "Monetary policy in China: High-frequency shocks and the signaling effects," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 94(PA).
    15. Aakriti Mathur & Rajeswari Sengupta & Bhanu Pratap, 2022. "Saved by the bell? Equity market responses to surprise Covid-19 lockdowns and central bank interventions," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2022-001, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    16. Cheng, Xiaoqiang & Wang, Yabin, 2022. "Shadow banking and the bank lending channel of monetary policy in China," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    17. Aakriti Mathur & Rajeswari Sengupta, 2019. "Analysing monetary policy statements of the Reserve Bank of India," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2019-012, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    18. Shieh, Harrison, 2024. "Can you hear me now? Identifying the effect of Chinese monetary policy announcements," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    19. Aeimit Lakdawala & Rajeswari Sengupta, 2021. "Measuring monetary policy shocks in India," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2021-021, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    20. Hasan, Iftekhar & Kwak, Boreum & Li, Xiang, 2024. "Financial technologies and the effectiveness of monetary policy transmission," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    21. Burdekin, Richard C. K. & Siklos, Pierre L., 2025. "Combating crises and deflation in China's central bank: Modeling post-pandemic monetary policymaking," BOFIT Discussion Papers 2/2025, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    22. Huang, Yiping & Li, Xiang & Qiu, Han & Yu, Changhua, 2023. "BigTech credit and monetary policy transmission: Micro-level evidence from China," BOFIT Discussion Papers 2/2023, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    23. Busato, Francesco & Varlese, Monica & Ulloa Severino, Claudia, 2022. "Public debt heterogeneity at country level: an empirical analysis," MPRA Paper 113812, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    24. Lu, Dong & Tang, Huoqing & Zhang, Chengsi, 2023. "China's monetary policy surprises and corporate real investment," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    25. Funke, Michael & Li, Xiang & Tsang, Andrew, 2019. "Monetary policy shocks and peer-to-peer lending in China," BOFIT Discussion Papers 23/2019, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    26. Huang, Yiping & Li, Xiang & Qiu, Han & Su, Dan & Yu, Changhua, 2024. "Bigtech credit, small business, and monetary policy transmission: Theory and evidence," IWH Discussion Papers 18/2022, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), revised 2024.
    27. Funke, Michael & Tsang, Andrew, 2019. "The direction and intensity of China's monetary policy conduct: A dynamic factor modelling approach," BOFIT Discussion Papers 8/2019, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    28. John Beirne & Nuobu Renzhi & Ulrich Volz, 2021. "When the United States and the People’s Republic of China Sneeze: International Real and Financial Spillovers in Asia," ADBI Working Papers 1288, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    29. Zhenzhong Fan & Xing Chen, 2024. "The Impact of Unconventional Monetary Policy on China’s Economic and Financial Cycle: Application of a Structural Vector Autoregression Model Based on High-Frequency Data," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-25, June.
    30. Ma, Yong & Wang, Mengyuan, 2024. "Monetary policy shock and corporate innovation: Evidence from China," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 48(3).
    31. Han, Qian & Song, Zhaogang & Yuan, Yufei & Zhao, Yuanhang, 2023. "Monetary transmission and government investment in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    32. Ma, Liang, 2024. "Using stock prices to help identify unconventional monetary policy shocks for external instrument SVAR," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1234-1247.
    33. Li, Li & Tang, Yao & Xiang, Jingjie, 2020. "Measuring China's monetary policy uncertainty and its impact on the real economy," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    34. Funke, Michael & Li, Xiang & Zhong, Doudou, 2023. "Household indebtedness, financial frictions and the transmission of monetary policy to consumption: Evidence from China," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    35. Hasan, Iftekhar & Li, Xiang & Takalo, Tuomas, 2023. "Technological innovation and the bank lending channel of monetary policy transmission," IWH Discussion Papers 14/2021, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), revised 2023.
    36. Al-Haschimi, Alexander & Apostolou, Apostolos & Azqueta-Gavaldon, Andres & Ricci, Martino, 2026. "Assessing financial risk in China: a text-based indicator approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    37. Auray, Stéphane & Devereux, Michael B. & Eyquem, Aurélien, 2025. "Trade wars and the optimal design of monetary rules," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    38. Jiang, Lunan & Chen, Yinghui & Zhang, Lin, 2024. "Monetary policy shocks and firm investment decisions: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    39. Thomas, Lina, 2023. "The tale of two titans: US and China's distinct impact on the global economy," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    40. Mathur, Aakriti & Sengupta, Rajeswari & Pratap, Bhanu, 2024. "Equity market responses to surprise Covid-19 lockdowns: The role of pandemic-driven uncertainty," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    41. Max Breitenlechner & Riikka Nuutilainen, 2023. "China’s Monetary Policy and the Loan Market: How Strong is the Credit Channel in China?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 555-577, July.
    42. Ma, Chang & Rebucci, Alessandro & Zhou, Sili, 2025. "A nascent international financial channel of China's monetary policy transmission," BOFIT Discussion Papers 10/2025, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    43. Lodge, David & Manu, Ana-Simona & Van Robays, Ine, 2023. "China’s footprint in global financial markets," Working Paper Series 2861, European Central Bank.
    44. Das, Sonali & Song, Wenting, 2023. "Monetary policy transmission and policy coordination in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    45. Jinzhi Bai & Hanlin Xia & Lin Zhang, 2026. "The local government bond channel of China's monetary policy," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 21(8), pages 1-33, August.
    46. Chen, Hongyi & Tillmann, Peter, 2021. "Monetary policy uncertainty in China," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    47. Dekle, Robert & Tsang, Andrew, 2023. "Monetary policy shocks and resource misallocations in the Periphery: Evidence from Chinese provincial bond yields," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    48. John Beirne & Nuobu Renzhi & Ulrich Volz, 2023. "When the United States and the People’s Republic of China Sneeze: Monetary Policy Spillovers to Asian Economies," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 519-540, July.
    49. Bradley Jones & Joel Bowman, 2019. "China's Evolving Monetary Policy Framework in International Context," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2019-11, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    50. Makram El-Shagi & Kiril Tochkov, 2024. "Regional Effects of Monetary Policy in China," CFDS Discussion Paper Series 2024/1, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China.
    51. Campos, Rodolfo G. & Manu, Ana-Simona & Molina, Luis & Suárez-Varela, Marta, 2026. "China’s financial spillovers to emerging markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    52. Xu, Yuan & Qi, Yudong & Tan, Haoyan, 2026. "Real estate expansion and the effectiveness of monetary policy: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    53. Pauwels, Laurent, 2019. "Predicting China’s Monetary Policy with Forecast Combinations," Working Papers BAWP-2019-07, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics.
    54. El-Shagi, Makram & Jiang, Lunan, 2025. "How the PBoC’s new MLF affects the yield curve," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    55. Renzhi, Nuobu & Beirne, John, 2025. "The nexus of peer-to-peer lending and monetary policy transmission: Evidence from the People's Republic of China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    56. Burdekin, Richard C.K. & Siklos, Pierre L., 2026. "Combating crises and deflation: China's monetary policy from financial liberalization through the pandemic," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    57. Li, Xiao-Lin & Si, Deng-Kui & Ge, Xinyu, 2021. "China’s interest rate pass-through after the interest rate liberalization: Evidence from a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 257-274.
    58. Funke, Michael & Tsang, Andrew, 2020. "The People’s bank of China’s response to the coronavirus pandemic: A quantitative assessment," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 465-473.
    59. Rashedur Sardar & Matthew Schaffer, 2022. "International Monetary Spillovers to Frontier Financial Markets: Evidence from Bangladesh," UNCG Economics Working Papers 22-5, University of North Carolina at Greensboro, Department of Economics.

  7. Güneş Kamber & Benjamin Wong, 2018. "Global factors and trend inflation," BIS Working Papers 688, Bank for International Settlements.

    Cited by:

    1. Arabinda Basistha, "undated". "Estimates of Quarterly and Monthly Episodes of Global Recessions: Evidence from Markov-switching Dynamic Factor Models," Working Papers 24-07, Department of Economics, West Virginia University.
    2. Cepni, Oguzhan & Clements, Michael P., 2024. "How local is the local inflation factor? Evidence from emerging European countries," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 160-183.
    3. James Morley & Benjamin Wong, 2020. "Estimating and accounting for the output gap with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(1), pages 1-18, January.
    4. Kai Li & Yifang Xiao & Shaozhou Qi & Xunpeng Shi & Kun Qin, 2026. "“Climateflation” in China: Could Rising Temperatures Overheat the Economy?," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 34(1), pages 108-137, January.
    5. Ryuichiro Hirano & Yutaro Takano & Kosuke Takatomi, 2026. "What Drives Trend Inflation in Japan? : A Trend-Cycle BVAR Decomposition Approach," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 26-E-1, Bank of Japan.
    6. De Simone, Francisco Nadal, 2024. "The transmission of U.S. monetary policy to small open economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    7. Hartigan, Luke & Morley, James, 2019. "A Factor Model Analysis of the Australian Economy and the Effects of Inflation Targeting," Working Papers 2019-10, University of Sydney, School of Economics, revised Nov 2019.
    8. Arango-Castillo, Lenin & Orraca, María José & Molina, G. Stefano, 2023. "The global component of headline and core inflation in emerging market economies and its ability to improve forecasting performance," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    9. Shukai Du, 2024. "Competition and regional Phillips curve: Evidence from China," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 19(5), pages 1-21, May.
    10. Guido Ascari & Luca Fosso, 2021. "The Inflation Rate Disconnect Puzzle: On the International Component of Trend Inflation and the Flattening of the Phillips Curve," Discussion Papers 2113, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    11. Michael Callaghan & Enzo Cassino & Tugrul Vehbi & Benjamin Wong, 2019. "Opening the toolbox: how does the Reserve Bank analyse the world?," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 82, pages 1-14, April.
    12. Berger, Tino & Richter, Julia & Wong, Benjamin, 2021. "A unified approach for jointly estimating the business and financial cycle, and the role of financial factors," Working Papers 02/2021, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.
    13. Martin Schneider, 2024. "What contributes to consumer price inflation? A novel decomposition framework with an application to Austria (Martin Schneider)," Working Papers 255, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
    14. Corbo, Vesna & Di Casola, Paola, 2022. "Drivers of consumer prices and exchange rates in small open economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    15. Klinkowska, Olga & Zadorozhna, Olha, 2026. "The yield curve strikes back: New evidence of its predictive power for economic activity and inflation," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    16. Feldkircher, Martin & Lukmanova, Elizaveta & Tondl, Gabriele, 2019. "Global Factors Driving Inflation and Monetary Policy: A Global VAR Assessment," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 289, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
    17. Cobham, David & Song, Mengdi, 2021. "Transitions between monetary policy frameworks and their effects on economic performance," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 311-329.
    18. Saban Nazlioglu & Sinem Pinar Gurel & Sevcan Gunes & Tugba Akin & Cagin Karul & Muhsin Kar, 2025. "Inflation co-movement: new insights from quantile factor model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 69(1), pages 431-464, July.
    19. Alba, Joseph D. & Liu, Jingting & Chia, Wai-Mun & Park, Donghyun, 2020. "Foreign output shock in small open economies: A welfare evaluation of monetary policy regimes," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 101-116.
    20. Jia, Yanyan & Fang, Yi & Jing, Zhongbo & Lin, Faqin, 2022. "Price connectedness and input–output linkages: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    21. Emanuel Kohlscheen, 2022. "What does machine learning say about the drivers of inflation?," Papers 2208.14653, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2023.
    22. Adnan Velic, 2026. "International Comovements and Persistence in Irish Inflation: A Nonlinear Approach," Trinity Economics Papers tep1026, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics.
    23. Ana Ivkovic, Mirjana Miletic, Savo Jakovljevic & Ana Ivkovic & Mirjana Miletic & Savo Jakovljevic, 2022. "Estimation of the impact of global and domestic factors on inflation in Serbia," Working Papers Bulletin 8, National Bank of Serbia.
    24. Clara De Luigi & Florian Huber & Josef Schreiner, 2019. "The impact of labor cost growth on inflation in selected CESEE countries," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q4/19, pages 56-78.
    25. Fukunaga, Ichiro & Kido, Yosuke & Suita, Kotaro, 2025. "Japan's inflation under global inflation synchronization," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    26. Yildirim, Zekeriya, 2022. "Global financial risk, the risk-taking channel, and monetary policy in emerging markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    27. Michael Buchner, 2020. "Fiscal Policy in an Age of Secular Stagnation," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 62(3), pages 398-429, September.
    28. Chen, Jiazi & Niu, Linlin, 2023. "How do baby boomers affect interest rates? A functional analysis of the impact of age distribution on macroeconomic trends," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    29. Emara, Noha & Zecheru, Daniela, 2022. "Is the Impact of Digitization on Domestic Inflation Non-Linear? The Case of Emerging Markets," MPRA Paper 106015, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    30. Zhang, Wen, 2022. "China’s government spending and global inflation dynamics: The role of the oil price channel," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    31. Nickel, Christiane & Kilponen, Juha & Moral-Benito, Enrique & Koester, Gerrit & Ciccarelli, Matteo & Enders, Almira & Holton, Sarah & Landau, Bettina & Venditti, Fabrizio & Bobeica, Elena & Brand, Cla, 2025. "A strategic view on the economic and inflation environment in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 371, European Central Bank.
    32. Morley, James & Palenzuela, Diego Rodriguez & Sun, Yiqiao & Wong, Benjamin, 2022. "Estimating the Euro Area output gap using multivariate information and addressing the COVID-19 pandemic," Working Paper Series 2716, European Central Bank.
    33. Martin Schneider, 2025. "What contributes to consumer price inflation? A novel decomposition framework with an application to Austria," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 14(1), pages 1-26, December.
    34. Mr. Balazs Csonto & Yuxuan Huang & Mr. Camilo E Tovar Mora, 2019. "Is Digitalization Driving Domestic Inflation?," IMF Working Papers 2019/271, International Monetary Fund.
    35. Noha Emara & Daniela Zecheru, 2024. "Asymmetric threshold effects of digitization on inflation in emerging markets," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-32, December.
    36. Ha, Jongrim & Kose, M. Ayhan & Ohnsorge, Franziska, 2023. "One-stop source: A global database of inflation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    37. Aysun, Uluc, 2024. "Identifying the external and internal drivers of exchange rate volatility in small open economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    38. Kandemir Comoglu, Gözde & Huseynli, Bahman, 2025. "Empirical Analysis of the Reflection of Oil Prices on Inflation in Türkiye," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, vol. 15(2), pages 134-139, February.
    39. Garcia, Juan Angel & Gimeno, Ricardo, 2024. "Navigating high inflation: A joint analysis of inflation dynamics and long-term inflation expectations in Latin America," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 5(4).
    40. Aysun, Uluc, 2022. "A structural approach to measuring the degree of economic integration: Evidence from G-7 countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    41. Yunjong Eo & Luis Uzeda & Benjamin Wong, 2023. "Understanding trend inflation through the lens of the goods and services sectors," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(5), pages 751-766, August.
    42. Ascari, Guido & Fosso, Luca, 2024. "The international dimension of trend inflation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    43. García, Juan Angel & Poon, Aubrey, 2019. "Inflation trends in Asia: implications for central banks," Working Paper Series 2338, European Central Bank.
    44. Grzegorz Zimon, 2023. "Prospects for the Development of Transport in Poland during the Energy Crisis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, vol. 13(3), pages 56-60, May.
    45. Nicholas Apergis, 2024. "Eurozone inflation: fresh projections from global factors," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 13(1), pages 39-47.
    46. Hülya Saygılı & Aysun Türkvatan, 2023. "Tradable and non-tradable inflation in Turkey: asymmetric responses to global factors," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(2), pages 973-1006, August.
    47. Adnan Velic, 2025. "On Inflation Dynamics: International Comovements, Nonlinearities, and Persistence," Trinity Economics Papers tep1825, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics, revised Jan 2026.
    48. Sèna Kimm Gnangnon, 2021. "Aid for trade and inflation: Exploring the trade openness, export product diversification and foreign direct investment channels," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(4), pages 563-593, December.
    49. Jiang, Yanhui & Qu, Bo & Hong, Yun & Xiao, Xiyue, 2024. "Dynamic connectedness of inflation around the world: A time-varying approach from G7 and E7 countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 111-125.
    50. Günes Kamber & Madhusudan Mohanty & James Morley, 2020. "What drives inflation in advanced and emerging market economies?," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Inflation dynamics in Asia and the Pacific, volume 111, pages 21-36, Bank for International Settlements.
    51. Basistha, Arabinda, 2025. "A Markov-switching dynamic factor framework for dating global economic cycles," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    52. Daniel Santabárbara & Marta Suárez-Varela, 2022. "Carbon pricing and inflation volatility," Working Papers 2231, Banco de España.
    53. Feldkircher, Martin & Siklos, Pierre L., 2019. "Global inflation dynamics and inflation expectations," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 217-241.
    54. Bowen Fu, Ivan Mendieta-Muñoz, 2023. "Structural shocks and trend inflation," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Utah 2023_04, University of Utah, Department of Economics.
    55. Güneş Kamber & Madhusudan Mohanty & James Morley, 2020. "Have the driving forces of inflation changed in advanced and emerging market economies?," BIS Working Papers 896, Bank for International Settlements.
    56. Kim, Won Joong & Ko, Juyoung & Kwon, Won Soon & Piao, Chunyan, 2025. "Time-varying sources of fluctuations in global inflation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    57. Bonaparte, Yosef & Fabozzi, Frank J. & Peron, Matt, 2025. "Measuring transitory inflation: Implications for monetary policy and stock market volatility," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    58. Patrick Hendy & Benjamin Beckers, 2024. "How Do Global Shocks Affect Australia?," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2024-10, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    59. Lee, Hyunchul & Kim, Heeho, 2020. "Time varying integration of European stock markets and monetary drivers," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 369-385.
    60. Yildirim, Zekeriya & Guloglu, Hasan, 2024. "Macro-financial transmission of global oil shocks to BRIC countries — International financial (uncertainty) conditions matter," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
    61. Chon, Sora, 2020. "International Inflation Synchronization and Implications," KDI Journal of Economic Policy, Korea Development Institute (KDI), vol. 42(2), pages 57-84.
    62. Mirjana Miletic, Danilo Cerovic and Aleksandar Tomin & Mirjana Miletic & Danilo Cerovic & Aleksandar Tomin, 2023. "Impact of global supply disruptions and energy prices on inflation in European countries," Working Papers Bulletin 19, National Bank of Serbia.
    63. Quineche, Ricardo & Zapata, Juan, 2025. "Inflationary and Deflationary Pressures: A Directional Decomposition of U.S. Inflation Dynamics," EconStor Preprints 322269, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    64. Fu, Bowen & Mendieta-Munoz, Ivan, 2025. "Trend inflation and structural shocks," EconStor Preprints 308793, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    65. Xiao, Qiang & Cao, Honghong & He, Yongda & Oxley, Les, 2025. "State-dependent pricing of monetary policy nonlinearities and inflation at risk for China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).

  8. Martin Bodenstein & Gunes Kamber & Christoph Thoenissen, 2016. "Commodity Prices and Labour Market Dynamics in Small Open Economies," CAMA Working Papers 2016-24, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.

    Cited by:

    1. Villca, Alfredo, 2022. "Commodity prices, bank balance sheets and macroprudential policies in small open economies," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 3(1).
    2. Basu, Parantap & Lee, Yongdae & Reinhorn, Leslie J., 2025. "A monetary policy accordion: Why do central banks from different countries expand and contract together?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    3. Ilori, Ayobami E. & Paez-Farrell, Juan & Thoenissen, Christoph, 2022. "Fiscal policy shocks and international spillovers," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    4. Ginters Buss, 2017. "Wage Formation, Unemployment and Business Cycle in Latvia," Working Papers 2017/01, Latvijas Banka.
    5. Nida Cakir Melek & Michael Plante & Mine Yucel, 2021. "Resource Booms and the Macroeconomy: The Case of U.S. Shale Oil," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 42, pages 307-332, October.
    6. Dai, Xingyu & Yousaf, Imran & Wang, Jiqian & Wang, Qunwei & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2025. "The pass-through of macro variable to volatility co-movement among U.S. currency and commodity futures markets system," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    7. Naraidoo, Ruthira & Paez-Farrell, Juan, 2023. "Commodity price shocks, labour market dynamics and monetary policy in small open economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    8. Bin Xu & Boqiang Lin, 2021. "Large fluctuations of China's commodity prices: Main sources and heterogeneous effects," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2074-2089, April.
    9. Sirot, Guilhem & Unal, Umut & Maialeh, Robin, 2024. "Inflationary dynamics of labour market activity: Evidence from the Czech Republic," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 1309-1327.
    10. Kacou, Kacou Yves Thierry & Kassouri, Yacouba & Evrard, Talnan Hongwopena & Altuntaş, Mehmet, 2022. "Trade openness, export structure, and labor productivity in developing countries: Evidence from panel VAR approach," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 194-205.
    11. Horvath, Jaroslav & Yang, Guanyi, 2022. "Unemployment dynamics and informality in small open economies," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    12. Martin T. Bohl & Niklas Humann & Pierre L. Siklos, 2026. "The Monetary Policy–Commodities Nexus: A Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(2), pages 1050-1082, April.
    13. Pataracchia, Beatrice & Pfeiffer, Philipp & Ratto, Marco & Teresiński, Jan, 2026. "Energy commodity price shocks in the euro area: Evidence from a large-scale structural model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    14. Mariano Kulish & James Morley & Nadine Yamout & Francesco Zanetti, 2026. "Dutch disease, unemployment and structural change," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 64(3), pages 976-1004, July.
    15. Bodenstein, Martin & Kamber, Güneş & Thoenissen, Christoph, 2018. "Commodity prices and labour market dynamics in small open economies," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 170-184.
    16. Coulombe, Raphaelle G. & Horvath, Jaroslav, 2026. "Government spending dynamics in small open economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    17. Lofaro, Antonino & Di Bucchianico, Stefano, 2025. "Impact of monetary policy on functional income distribution: A panel vector autoregressive analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).

  9. Jed Armstrong & Günes Kamber & Özer Karagedikli, 2016. "Developing a labour utilisation composite index for New Zealand," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series AN2016/04, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.

    Cited by:

    1. Martin Hodula & Simona Malovana & Jan Frait, 2019. "Introducing a New Index of Households' Macroeconomic Conditions," Working Papers 2019/10, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    2. Sirot, Guilhem & Unal, Umut & Maialeh, Robin, 2024. "Inflationary dynamics of labour market activity: Evidence from the Czech Republic," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 1309-1327.
    3. Katerina Arnostova & Oxana Babecka Kucharcukova & Jan Babecky & Marek Benda & Sona Benecka & Jan Bruha & Jaromir Gec & Dana Hajkova & Petr Hlavac & Eva Hromadkova & Martin Kabrt & Lubos Komarek & Zlat, 2021. "Analyses of the Czech Republic's Current Economic Alignment with the Euro Area 2021," Occasional Publications - Edited Volumes, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number as21 edited by Katerina Arnostova & Vojtech Molnar.

  10. Günes Kamber & Gabriela Nodari & Benjamin Wong, 2016. "The Impact of Commodity Price Movements on the New Zealand Economy," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series AN2016/05, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.

    Cited by:

    1. Pinshi, Christian P., 2018. "Les effets macroéconomiques de la chute des cours des produits de base: Evaluation sur la République démocratique du Congo [The Macroeconomic Effects of commodity bust: Assessment on Democratic Republic of the Congo]," MPRA Paper 93130, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 0208.
    2. Michael Callaghan & Enzo Cassino & Tugrul Vehbi & Benjamin Wong, 2019. "Opening the toolbox: how does the Reserve Bank analyse the world?," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 82, pages 1-14, April.
    3. Gabriel Rodriguez & Paul Castillo B. & Junior A. Ojeda Cunya, 2024. "Time-Varying Effects of External Shocks on Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Peru: An Empirical Application using TVP-VAR-SV Models," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 35(5), pages 1015-1050, November.
    4. Masagus M. Ridhwan & Affandi Ismail & Peter Nijkamp, 2023. "The real exchange rate and economic growth: a meta-analysis," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 51(2), pages 287-318, June.
    5. PINSHI, Christian P., 2018. "Macroeconomic effects of falling commodity price: Evidence from Democratic Republic of the Congo," MPRA Paper 101068, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Jamilu Iliyasu & Aliyu Rafindadi Sanusi, 2024. "Climate change’s impact on commodity prices: a new challenge for monetary policy," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 23(2), pages 187-212, May.
    7. Rebecca Williams, 2017. "Business cycle review: 2008 to present day," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 80, pages 1-22, March.
    8. Philip R Lane & Livio Stracca, 2018. "Can appreciation be expansionary? Evidence from the euro area," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 33(94), pages 225-264.
    9. Neroli Austin & Geordie Reid, 2017. "NZSIM: A model of the New Zealand economy for forecasting and policy analysis," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 80, pages 1-14, January.

  11. Güneş Kamber & James Morley & Benjamin Wong, 2016. "Intuitive and reliable estimates of the output gap from a Beveridge-Nelson filter," BIS Working Papers 584, Bank for International Settlements.

    Cited by:

    1. Ilya Zverev & Nadezhda Kislyak, 2025. "Estimating the Output Gap of the Russian Economy: A Multivariate Approach Based on BVAR and the Beveridge-Nelson Filter," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 84(4), pages 22-46, December.
    2. Marko Melolinna & Máté Tóth, 2019. "Trend and cycle shocks in Bayesian unobserved components models for UK productivity," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 826, Bank of England.
    3. James Morley & Benjamin Wong, 2020. "Estimating and accounting for the output gap with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(1), pages 1-18, January.
    4. Kamber, Güneş & Wong, Benjamin, 2020. "Global factors and trend inflation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    5. Luke Hartigan & Tom Rosewall, 2024. "Nowcasting Quarterly GDP Growth during the COVID-19 Crisis Using a Monthly Activity Indicator," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2024-04, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    6. Tino Berger & Christian Ochsner, 2022. "Tracking the German Business Cycle," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202212, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    7. Ronald Miranda & Leonel Muinelo-Gallo, 2018. "The behavior of social transfers over the business cycle: empirical evidence of Uruguay," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 18-15, Instituto de Economía - IECON.
    8. Luke Hartigan & James Morley, 2020. "A Factor Model Analysis of the Australian Economy and the Effects of Inflation Targeting," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 96(314), pages 271-293, September.
    9. Eo, Yunjong & Morley, James, 2023. "Does the Survey of Professional Forecasters help predict the shape of recessions in real time?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    10. Mendes, Igor & da Silva Bejarano Aragón, Edilean Kleber & Silva, Marcelo E.A., 2025. "Trend inflation and weak identification in the New Keynesian Phillips curve," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
    11. Kamber, Güneş & Morley, James & Wong, Benjamin, 2025. "Trend-cycle decomposition in the presence of large shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    12. Adam Check & Jeremy Piger, 2021. "Structural Breaks in U.S. Macroeconomic Time Series: A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(8), pages 1999-2036, December.
    13. Murasawa, Yasutomo, 2019. "Bayesian multivariate Beveridge--Nelson decomposition of I(1) and I(2) series with cointegration," MPRA Paper 91979, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Kristian Jönsson, 2024. "Simulation-Based Analysis of Real-Time Reliability for Trend/Cycle Decompositions," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 20(2), pages 219-242, July.
    15. Panovska, Irina & Ramamurthy, Srikanth, 2022. "Decomposing the output gap with inflation learning," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    16. Elias Wolf & Frieder Mokinski & Yves Schüler, 2026. "On Adjusting the One‐Sided Hodrick–Prescott Filter," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 58(3), pages 919-931, April.
    17. Tore Dubbert & Adrian Schroeder, 2025. "Conditioning business and financial cycles on multivariate information," CQE Working Papers 11225, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
    18. Watson, Timothy & Tervala, Juha, 2026. "Hysteresis through learning by doing: Estimating endogenous productivity," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    19. Michael Ryan, 2020. "A Narrative Approach to Creating Instruments with Unstructured and Voluminous Text: An Application to Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers in Economics 20/10, University of Waikato.
    20. James Morley & Irina B Panovska, 2017. "Is Business Cycle Asymmetry Intrinsic in Industrialized Economies?," Discussion Papers 2016-12A, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
    21. Michael O’Grady, 2019. "Estimating the Output, Inflation and Unemployment Gaps in Ireland using Bayesian Model Averaging," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 50(1), pages 35-76.
    22. Kirchner, Stephen, 2021. "Reforming Australian Monetary Policy: How Nominal Income Targeting Can Help Get the Reserve Bank Back on Track," Working Papers 10705, George Mason University, Mercatus Center.
    23. Chalmovianský, Jakub & Němec, Daniel, 2022. "Assessing uncertainty of output gap estimates: Evidence from Visegrad countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    24. Tihana Skrinjaric & Maja Bukovsak, 2022. "Improving The Calibration Of Countercyclical Capital Buffer: New Indicators Of Credit Gap In Croatia," Economic Thought and Practice, Department of Economics and Business, University of Dubrovnik, vol. 31(2), pages 541-568, december.
    25. Philippe Goulet Coulombe, 2022. "A Neural Phillips Curve and a Deep Output Gap," Papers 2202.04146, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
    26. Grant, Angelia L. & Chan, Joshua C.C., 2017. "Reconciling output gaps: Unobserved components model and Hodrick–Prescott filter," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 114-121.
    27. Ferroni, Filippo & Canova, Fabio, 2020. "A hitchhiker guide to empirical macro models," CEPR Discussion Papers 15446, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    28. Fernandes, Mário Correia & Dutra, Tiago Mota & Dias, José Carlos & Teixeira, João C.A., 2023. "Modelling output gaps in the Euro Area with structural breaks: The COVID-19 recession," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1046-1058.
    29. Berger, Tino & Richter, Julia & Wong, Benjamin, 2021. "A unified approach for jointly estimating the business and financial cycle, and the role of financial factors," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 415, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
    30. Camila Figueroa & Jorge Fornero & Pablo García, 2019. "Hindsight vs. Real time measurement of the output gap: Implications for the Phillips curve in the Chilean Case," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 854, Central Bank of Chile.
    31. Cansin Kemal Can, 2023. "Estimating Bohn's Fiscal Sustainability Model with Temporal Variation: Evidence from Turkey," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2023(1), pages 61-83.
    32. Yiming Chang & Xiangyuan Yu & Wei Shan & Fang Wang & Yinying Tao, 2023. "Impact of Financial Market Development, Financial Crises and Deposit Insurance on Bank Risk," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2023(1), pages 1-25.
    33. Christian Glocker & Serguei Kaniovski & Philipp Wegmüller, 2026. "Estimating a weighted output gap for Switzerland: methodology and application," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 162(1), pages 1-25, December.
    34. Schüler, Yves S., 2020. "On the credit-to-GDP gap and spurious medium-term cycles," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    35. Francesco Furlanetto & Kåre Hagelund & Frank Hansen & Ørjan Robstad, 2023. "Norges Bank Output Gap Estimates: Forecasting Properties, Reliability, Cyclical Sensitivity and Hysteresis," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(1), pages 238-267, February.
    36. Bassi, Federico, 2024. "Excess capacity and hysteresis in EU Countries. A structural approach," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 116-134.
    37. Eo, Yunjong & Morley, James, 2017. "Why has the US economy stagnated since the Great Recession?," Working Papers 2017-14, University of Sydney, School of Economics, revised Jun 2019.
    38. Josefine Quast & Maik H. Wolters, 2023. "The Federal Reserve's output gap: The unreliability of real‐time reliability tests," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(7), pages 1101-1111, November.
    39. Berger, Tino & Morley, James & Wong, Benjamin, 2023. "Nowcasting the output gap," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(1), pages 18-34.
      • Tino Berger & James Morley & Benjamin Wong, 2020. "Nowcasting the Output Gap," CAMA Working Papers 2020-78, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    40. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Carstensen, Kai & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Rossian, Thies & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2019. "Schätzung von Produktionspotenzial und -lücke: Eine Analyse des EU-Verfahrens und mögliche Verbesserungen," Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik 19, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    41. Arabinda Basistha, 2026. "The Role of Global Inflation in Estimation of US Output Components in the post Bretton Woods Era: Evidence from Multivariate Unobserved Components Models," Working Papers 26-04, Department of Economics, West Virginia University.
    42. Martin Boďa & Mariana Považanová, 2023. "How credible are Okun coefficients? The gap version of Okun’s law for G7 economies," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 1467-1514, June.
    43. Canova, Fabio, 2020. "FAQ: How do I measure the Output gap?," CEPR Discussion Papers 14943, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    44. Morley, James & Palenzuela, Diego Rodriguez & Sun, Yiqiao & Wong, Benjamin, 2022. "Estimating the Euro Area output gap using multivariate information and addressing the COVID-19 pandemic," Working Paper Series 2716, European Central Bank.
    45. Patrick M. Crowley & David Hudgins, 2021. "Okun’s law revisited in the time–frequency domain: introducing unemployment into a wavelet-based control model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(5), pages 2635-2662, November.
    46. Arčabić, Vladimir & Panovska, Irina & Tica, Josip, 2024. "Business cycle synchronization and asymmetry in the European Union," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    47. Luiggi Donayre & Lacey Loomer, 2026. "The transitory component of health care employment," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 70(5), pages 1-17, May.
    48. Constantinescu, Mihnea & Nguyen, Anh Dinh Minh, 2021. "A century of gaps: Untangling business cycles from secular trends," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    49. Luke Hartigan & Michelle Wright, 2023. "Monitoring Financial Conditions and Downside Risk to Economic Activity in Australia," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 99(325), pages 253-287, June.
    50. Sun Xiaojin & Tsang Kwok Ping, 2019. "What cycles? Data detrending in DSGE models," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 23(3), pages 1-23, June.
    51. Duarte, Cláudia & Maria, José R. & Sazedj, Sharmin, 2020. "Trends and cycles under changing economic conditions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 126-146.
    52. Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Charles Knipp & Pawel J. Szerszen, 2024. "Trend-Cycle Decomposition and Forecasting Using Bayesian Multivariate Unobserved Components," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-100, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    53. Donadelli, Michael & Mammi, Irene & Paradiso, Antonio, 2026. "Supply-side or demand-side? Assessing the economic impact of pandemics and wars on G7 countries since the 1800s," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    54. Nataliia Ostapenko, 2022. "Do output gap estimates improve inflation forecasts in Slovakia?," Working and Discussion Papers WP 4/2022, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    55. Harris, David & Kew, Hsein & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2020. "Level shift estimation in the presence of non-stationary volatility with an application to the unit root testing problem," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(2), pages 354-388.
    56. Nicolo Maffei-Faccioli, 2020. "Identifying the Sources of the Slowdown in Growth: Demand vs. Supply," 2020 Papers pma2978, Job Market Papers.
    57. Luke Hartigan & Michelle Wright, 2021. "Financial Conditions and Downside Risk to Economic Activity in Australia," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2021-03, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    58. Julien Champagne & Guillaume Poulin-Bellisle & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2016. "The Real-Time Properties of the Bank of Canada’s Staff Output Gap Estimates," Staff Working Papers 16-28, Bank of Canada.
    59. Matthijs Breugem & Stefano Colonnello & Roberto Marfe & Francesca Zucchi, 2024. "Dynamic Equity Slope," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 713 JEL Classification: D, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
    60. Marco Cozzi, 2024. "An Aggregation-Consistent Implementation of the Hamilton Filter," Department Discussion Papers 2401, Department of Economics, University of Victoria.
    61. Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Reliable Real-time Output Gap Estimates Based on a Modified Hamilton Filter," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203535, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    62. Arčabić, Vladimir & Škrinjarić, Tihana, 2021. "Sharing is caring: Spillovers and synchronization of business cycles in the European Union," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 25-39.
    63. Alessandro Barbarino & Travis J. Berge & Andrea Stella, 2024. "The stability and economic relevance of output gap estimates," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 1065-1081, September.
    64. Nicolò Maffei‐Faccioli, 2025. "Identifying the Sources of the Slowdown in Growth: Demand Versus Supply," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(2), pages 181-194, March.
    65. Biolsi, Christopher, 2021. "Labor productivity forecasts based on a Beveridge–Nelson filter: Is there statistical evidence for a slowdown?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    66. Kristian Jönsson, 2025. "Comparing real-time uncertainty of the Hodrick-Prescott and Hamilton trend/cycle decompositions," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 69(3), pages 1335-1361, September.
    67. Donayre, Luiggi & Goto, Eiji, 2026. "Accounting for structural breaks in the Hamilton filter," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    68. Michael Ryan, 2020. "An Anchor in Stormy Seas: Does Reforming Economic Institutions Reduce Uncertainty? Evidence from New Zealand," Working Papers in Economics 20/11, University of Waikato.
    69. Donayre, Luiggi, 2022. "On the behavior of Okun's law across business cycles," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    70. Günes Kamber & Madhusudan Mohanty & James Morley, 2020. "What drives inflation in advanced and emerging market economies?," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Inflation dynamics in Asia and the Pacific, volume 111, pages 21-36, Bank for International Settlements.
    71. Maranzano, Paolo & Pelagatti, Matteo, 2025. "A Hodrick–Prescott filter with automatically selected breaks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    72. Mariarosaria Comunale & Dmitrij Celov, 2021. "Business cycles in the EU: A comprehensive comparison across methods," Bank of Lithuania Discussion Paper Series 26, Bank of Lithuania.
    73. Simon Norden, 2024. "Output Gaps: Editor’s Introduction," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 20(2), pages 151-154, July.
    74. Berger, Tino & Ochsner, Christian, 2022. "Robust real-time estimates of the German output gap based on a multivariate trend-cycle decomposition," Discussion Papers 35/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    75. Jaeho Kim & Sora Chon, 2022. "Bayesian estimation of the long-run trend of the US economy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(2), pages 461-485, February.
    76. Nicolò Maffei-Faccioli, 2021. "Identifying the sources of the slowdown in growth: Demand vs. supply," Working Paper 2021/9, Norges Bank.
    77. Biolsi, Christopher, 2023. "Do the Hamilton and Beveridge–Nelson filters provide the same information about output gaps? An empirical comparison for practitioners," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    78. Tommaso Proietti, 2023. "Peaks, gaps, and time‐reversibility of economic time series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(1), pages 43-68, January.
    79. Fisher, Lance A. & Huh, Hyeon-seung, 2023. "Systematic monetary policy in a SVAR for Australia," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    80. Ekinci, Mehmet Fatih, 2019. "Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of Output Gap and Real Exchange Rate Cycles for Turkey," MPRA Paper 94698, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    81. Alfred A. Haug & India Power, 2022. "Government Spending Multipliers in Times of Tight and Loose Monetary Policy in New Zealand," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 98(322), pages 249-270, September.
    82. Rémi Odry & Roman Mestre, 2021. "Monetary Policy and Business Cycle Synchronization in Europe," EconomiX Working Papers 2021-19, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    83. Tihana Škrinjarić, 2023. "Credit-to-GDP Gap Estimates in Real Time: A Stable Indicator for Macroprudential Policy Making in Croatia," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 65(3), pages 582-614, September.
    84. Güneş Kamber & Madhusudan Mohanty & James Morley, 2020. "Have the driving forces of inflation changed in advanced and emerging market economies?," BIS Working Papers 896, Bank for International Settlements.
    85. Francesco Furlanetto & Kåre Hagelund & Frank Hansen & Ørjan Robstad, 2020. "Norges Bank Output Gap Estimates: Forecasting Properties, Reliability and Cyclical Sensitivity," Working Paper 2020/7, Norges Bank.
    86. Mr. Jiaqian Chen & Lucyna Gornicka, 2020. "Measuring Output Gap: Is It Worth Your Time?," IMF Working Papers 2020/024, International Monetary Fund.
    87. Aguiar-Conraria, Luís & Martins, Manuel M.F. & Soares, Maria Joana, 2020. "Okun’s Law across time and frequencies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    88. Szafranek, Karol, 2021. "Disentangling the sources of inflation synchronization. Evidence from a large panel dataset," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 229-245.
    89. Xianglong Liu, 2023. "Towards Better Banking Crisis Prediction: Could an Automatic Variable Selection Process Improve the Performance?," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 99(325), pages 288-312, June.
    90. Kumar, Labesh, 2026. "The Output Gap: Method Choice, Data Revisions, and Policy Implications," MPRA Paper 127829, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    91. Ryan, Michael & Holmes, Mark J., 2025. "The effect of uncertainty on output: Instruments, identification, and the role of investment," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    92. Tino Berger & Lorenzo Pozzi, 2023. "Cyclical consumption," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 23-064/VI, Tinbergen Institute.
    93. Andrew B. Martinez & Alexander D. Schibuola & David Beckworth, 2025. "The Reliability of the Nominal GDP Expectations Gap," Working Papers 2025-004, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research.
    94. Amy Y. Guisinger & Michael T. Owyang & Hannah Shell, 2018. "Comparing Measures of Potential Output," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 100(4), pages 297-316.
    95. Canova, Fabio, 2020. "FAQ: How do I extract the output gap?," Working Paper Series 386, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    96. Saeed Zaman, 2021. "A Unified Framework to Estimate Macroeconomic Stars," Working Papers 21-23R2, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 31 May 2024.
    97. Mihnea Constantinescu & Anh Dinh Minh Nguyen, 2017. "Unemployment or Credit: Who Holds The Potential? Results From a Small-Open Economy," Bank of Lithuania Discussion Paper Series 4, Bank of Lithuania.
    98. Tino Berger & Christian Ochsner, 2026. "Robust Real‐Time Estimates of the German Output Gap Based on a Multivariate Trend‐Cycle Decomposition," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 45(3), pages 1129-1144, April.
    99. Maddalena Cavicchioli, 2023. "Trend and cycle decomposition of Markov switching (co)integrated time series," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 32(5), pages 1381-1406, December.

  12. Gunes Kamber & Ozer Karagedikli & Michael Ryan & Tugrul Vehbi, 2016. "International Spill-Overs of Uncertainty Shocks: Evidence from a FAVAR," CAMA Working Papers 2016-61, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.

    Cited by:

    1. Saygin Sahinoz & Evren Erdogan Cosar, 2020. "Quantifying uncertainty and identifying its impacts on the Turkish economy," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 47(2), pages 365-387, May.
    2. Michael Callaghan & Enzo Cassino & Tugrul Vehbi & Benjamin Wong, 2019. "Opening the toolbox: how does the Reserve Bank analyse the world?," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 82, pages 1-14, April.
    3. Trung, Nguyen Ba, 2019. "The spillover effects of US economic policy uncertainty on the global economy: A global VAR approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 90-110.
    4. Amy Rice & Tugrul Vehbi & Benjamin Wong, 2018. "Measuring uncertainty and its impact on the New Zealand economy," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series AN2018/01, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    5. Anindya Sen & Dennis Wesselbaum, 2023. "On the International Spillover Effects of Uncertainty," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 541-554, July.
    6. Alvarado, Mauricio & Rodríguez, Gabriel, 2025. "Time-varying effects of financial uncertainty shocks on macroeconomic fluctuations in Peru," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    7. Arigoni, Filippo & Lenarčič, Črt, 2020. "The impact of trade policy uncertainty shocks on the Euro Area," MPRA Paper 100832, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Shabeer Khan & Mirzat Ullah & Mohammad Rahim Shahzad & Uzair Abdullah Khan & Umair Khan & Sayed M. Eldin & Abeer M. Alotaibi, 2022. "Spillover Connectedness among Global Uncertainties and Sectorial Indices of Pakistan: Evidence from Quantile Connectedness Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-16, November.
    9. Punzi, Maria Teresa, 2020. "The impact of uncertainty on the macro-financial linkage with international financial exposure," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    10. Youngju Kim & Hyunjoon Lim, 2018. "Which External Shock Matters in Small Open Economies? US Economic Policy Uncertainty vs. Global Risk Aversion," Working Papers 2018-29, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
    11. Muhammet Daştan & Kerem Karabulut & Ömer Yalçınkaya, 2024. "The time-varying impacts of global economic policy uncertainty on macroeconomic activity in a small open economy: the case of Turkey," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 23(2), pages 275-311, May.
    12. Michael Ryan, 2020. "An Anchor in Stormy Seas: Does Reforming Economic Institutions Reduce Uncertainty? Evidence from New Zealand," Working Papers in Economics 20/11, University of Waikato.
    13. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Luiz A. Pereira da Silva, 2022. "Financial spillovers, spillbacks, and the scope for international macroprudential policy coordination," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 79-127, February.
    14. Tran Thi Mai Thanh & To Ngoc Lan, 2025. "Spillover Effects of Foreign Policy Uncertainty and their Impact on FDI Inflows in Asia–Pacific: A Panel Quantile Approach," Economics, Paradigm, vol. 13(4), pages 293-312.
    15. Shumok Aljarba & Nader Naifar & Khalid Almeshal, 2024. "Volatility Spillovers among Sovereign Credit Default Swaps of Emerging Economies and Their Determinants," Risks, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-17, April.
    16. Faruk Balli & Hatice O. Balli & Mudassar Hasan & Russell Gregory-Allen, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty spillover effects on sectoral equity returns of New Zealand," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 44(4), pages 670-686, October.
    17. Ansgar Belke & Thomas Osowski, 2017. "International Effects of Euro Area versus US Policy Uncertainty: A FAVAR Approach," ROME Working Papers 201703, ROME Network.
    18. Kim, Youngju & Lim, Hyunjoon & Sohn, Wook, 2020. "Which external shock matters in small open economies? Global risk aversion vs. US economic policy uncertainty," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    19. Suah, Jing Lian, 2020. "Uncertainty and Exchange Rates: Global Dynamics (Well, I Don't Quite Know Anymore)," MPRA Paper 109087, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Kevin Moran & Dalibor Stevanovic & Adam Abdel Kader Touré, 2020. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty and the COVID-19 Pandemic: Measure and Impacts on the Canadian Economy," CIRANO Working Papers 2020s-47, CIRANO.
    21. Ryan, Michael & Holmes, Mark J., 2025. "The effect of uncertainty on output: Instruments, identification, and the role of investment," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).

  13. Günes Kamber & Benjamin Wong, 2016. "Testing an Interpretation of Core Inflation Measures in New Zealand," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series AN2016/06, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.

    Cited by:

    1. John D. Burger & Francis E. Warnock & Veronica Cacdac Warnock, 2019. "The Natural Level of Capital Flows," NBER Working Papers 26184, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Oezer Karagedikli & Ole Rummel, 2020. "Weighing up the Credit-to-GDP gap: A cautionary note," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202022, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).

  14. Güneş Kamber & Chris McDonald & Nicholas Sander & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2015. "A structural model for policy analysis and forecasting: NZSIM," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2015/05, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.

    Cited by:

    1. Punnoose Jacob & Anella Munro, 2016. "A macroprudential stable funding requirement and monetary policy in a small open economy," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2016/04, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    2. Ásgeir Daníelsson & Lúdvik Elíasson & Magnús F. Gudmundsson & Svava J. Haraldsdóttir & Lilja S. Kro & Thórarinn G. Pétursson & Thorsteinn S. Sveinsson, 2019. "QMM A Quarterly Macroeconomic Model of the Icelandic Economy Version 4.0," Economics wp82, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
    3. Funke, Michael & Kirkby, Robert & Mihaylovski, Petar, 2018. "House prices and macroprudential policy in an estimated DSGE model of New Zealand," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 152-171.
    4. Punnoose Jacob & Thomas van Florenstein Mulder, 2019. "The flattening of the Phillips curve: Rounding up the suspects," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series AN2019/06, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    5. Eric Schaling & Kgotso Morema, 2022. "Optimalinterestrategapsforflexibleinflationtargeting," Working Papers 11037, South African Reserve Bank.
    6. Punnoose Jacob & Finn Robinson, 2019. "Suite as! Augmenting the Reserve Bank’s output gap indicator suite," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series AN2019/08, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    7. Jacob, Punnoose & Munro, Anella, 2018. "A prudential stable funding requirement and monetary policy in a small open economy," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 89-106.
    8. Van Nguyen, Phuong, 2020. "Evaluating the forecasting accuracy of the closed- and open economy New Keynesian DSGE models," Dynare Working Papers 59, CEPREMAP.
    9. Michelle Lewis & Dr John McDermott & Adam Richardson, 2016. "Inflation expectations and the conduct of monetary policy in New Zealand," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 79, pages 1-12, March.
    10. Karagedikli, Özer & Ryan, Michael & Steenkamp, Daan & Vehbi, Tugrul, 2016. "What happens when the Kiwi flies? Sectoral effects of exchange rate shocks on the New Zealand economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 945-959.
    11. Punnoose Jacob & Martin Wong, 2018. "Estimating the NAIRU and the Natural Rate of Unemployment for New Zealand," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series AN2018/04, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    12. Finn Robinson & Jamie Culling & Gael Price, 2019. "Evaluating indicators of labour market capacity in New Zealand," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series AN2019/09, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    13. Jacob Punnoose & Amber Wadsworth, 2018. "Estimated policy rules for different monetary regimes: Flexible inflation targeting versus a dual mandate," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series AN2018/11, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.

  15. Güneş Kamber & Özer Karagedikli & Christie Smith, 2015. "Applying an Inflation Targeting Lens to Macroprudential Policy 'Institutions'," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2015/04, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.

    Cited by:

    1. Amber Wadsworth, 2017. "An international comparison of inflation-targeting frameworks," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 80, pages 1-34, August.
    2. Ioanna Kokores, 2015. "Lean-Against-the-Wind Monetary Policy: The Post-Crisis Shift in the Literature," SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, University of Piraeus, vol. 65(3-4), pages 66-99, july-Dece.
    3. Amber Wadsworth, 0. "An international comparison of inflation-targeting frameworks," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 80.
    4. Alberto Naudon & Andrés Pérez, 2017. "An Overview of Inflation-Targeting Frameworks: Institutional Arrangements, Decision-making, & the Communication of Monetary Policy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 811, Central Bank of Chile.
    5. International Monetary Fund, 2016. "Sweden: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2016/354, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Arshid Hussain PEER & Mirza Allim BAIG, 2023. "Inflation targeting and exchange rate pass-through in India: Lessons from international experience," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(1(634), S), pages 239-254, Spring.
    7. Chris Hunt, 2017. "Independence with accountability: financial system regulation and the Reserve Bank," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 80, December.

  16. Aurélien Eyquem & Gunes Kamber, 2014. "A Note on the Business Cycles Implications of Trade in Intermediate Goods," Post-Print halshs-00761459, HAL.

    Cited by:

    1. Audzei, Volha, 2023. "Learning and cross-country correlations in a multi-country DSGE model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    2. Drago Bergholt, 2014. "Foreign shocks in an estimated multi-sector model," Working Papers No 4/2014, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    3. William D. Craighead, 2020. "Intermediate Goods and Exchange Rate Disconnect," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 31(1), pages 113-129, February.
    4. Houssa, Romain & Mohimont, Jolan & Otrok, Christopher, 2023. "Commodity exports, financial frictions, and international spillovers," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    5. Miles Parker, 2014. "How much of what New Zealanders consume is imported? Estimates from input-output tables," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series AN2014/05, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    6. Georgiadis, Georgios & Gräb, Johannes & Khalil, Makram, 2020. "Global value chain participation and exchange rate pass-through," Discussion Papers 67/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    7. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Oyekola, Olayinka, 2015. "Energy Business Cycles," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2015/19, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    8. Ascari, Guido & Bonam, Dennis & Smadu, Andra, 2024. "Global supply chain pressures, inflation, and implications for monetary policy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    9. Drago Bergholt & Tommy Sveen, 2014. "Sectoral Interdependence and Business Cycle Synchronization in Small Open Economies," Working Papers No 2/2014, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    10. Beck, Krzysztof, 2021. "Why business cycles diverge? Structural evidence from the European Union," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    11. Krzysztof Beck & Ntokozo Patrick Nzimande, 2023. "Labor mobility and business cycle synchronization in Southern Africa," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 159-179, February.
    12. Drago Bergholt, 2015. "Foreign Shocks," Working Papers No 11/2015, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.

  17. Gunes Kamber & Konstantinos Theodoridis & Christoph Thoenissen, 2014. "News-Driven Business Cycles in Small Open Economies," CAMA Working Papers 2014-02, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, revised Oct 2014.

    Cited by:

    1. Ali, Syed Zahid & Anwar, Sajid, 2018. "Anticipated versus unanticipated terms of trade shocks and the J-curve phenomenon," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1-19.
    2. Liu, Yang & Han, Liyan & Yin, Libo, 2019. "News implied volatility and long-term foreign exchange market volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 126-142.
    3. Michael Ryan, 2020. "A Narrative Approach to Creating Instruments with Unstructured and Voluminous Text: An Application to Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers in Economics 20/10, University of Waikato.
    4. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick, 2017. "How Should News Shocks Be Specified Under Rational Expectations?," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2017/7, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    5. Werner Roeger & Paul J.J. Welfens, 2021. "Foreign Direct Investment and Innovations: Transmission Dynamics of Persistent Demand and Technology Shocks in a Macro Model," EIIW Discussion paper disbei300, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.
    6. Maximiliano Dvorkin & Juan M. Sánchez & Horacio Sapriza & Emircan Yurdagul, 2018. "News, sovereign debt maturity, and default risk," Working Papers 2018-033, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 18 May 2020.
    7. Claudio, João C. & von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2020. "On the international dissemination of technology news shocks," IWH Discussion Papers 25/2020, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    8. Martin Bodenstein & Gunes Kamber & C. Thoenissen, 2017. "Commodity Prices and Labour Market Dynamics in Small Open Economies," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-039, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    9. Alok Johri & Terry Yip, 2017. "Financial Shocks,Supply-chain Relationships and the Great Trade Collapse," Department of Economics Working Papers 2017-11, McMaster University.
    10. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick, 2020. "News and why it is not shocking: The role of micro-foundations," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    11. Nicolas Reigl, 2023. "Noise shocks and business cycle fluctuations in three major European Economies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(2), pages 603-657, February.
    12. Pavlov, Oscar, 2016. "Can firm entry explain news-driven fluctuations?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 427-434.
    13. Ben Broadbent & Federico Di Pace & Thomas Drechsel & Richard Harrison & Silvana Tenreyro, 2019. "The Brexit Vote, Productivity Growth and Macroeconomic Adjustments in the United Kingdom," Discussion Papers 1916, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    14. Klein, Mathias & Linnemann, Ludger, 2021. "Real exchange rate and international spillover effects of US technology shocks," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    15. Jamil Sayeed, 2020. "Identifying Key Macroeconomic Shocks to Canadian GDP," EERI Research Paper Series EERI RP 2020/11, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels.
    16. Luca Gambetti & Christoph Gortz & Dimitris Korobilis & John Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers 19-03, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    17. Acosta-Henao, Miguel & Mihai, Marius, 2026. "News shocks across countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    18. Anastasios Evgenidis & Apostolos Fasianos, 2025. "AI news shocks and the macroeconomy: evidence from UK patent data," IFS Working Papers W25/48, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    19. Santiago Camara & Maximo Sangiacomo, 2022. "Borrowing Constraints in Emerging Markets," Papers 2211.10864, arXiv.org.
    20. Fengqi Liu & Keqing Liu & Jianpo Xue, 2025. "Habit Formation and News-driven Business Cycles," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 56, April.
    21. Ali, Syed Zahid & Qureshi, Irfan A., 2021. "Anticipated versus unanticipated productivity shocks and hours-worked," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 547-572.
    22. Michał Brzoza-Brzezina & Jacek Kotłowski, 2021. "International confidence spillovers and business cycles in small open economies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 773-798, August.

  18. Güneş Kamber & Christoph Thoenissen, 2013. "Financial exposure and the international transmission of financial shocks," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2013/06, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.

    Cited by:

    1. Paltalidis, Nikos & Gounopoulos, Dimitrios & Kizys, Renatas & Koutelidakis, Yiannis, 2015. "Transmission channels of systemic risk and contagion in the European financial network," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(S1), pages 36-52.
    2. Kilponen, Juha & Orjasniemi, Seppo & Ripatti, Antti & Verona, Fabio, 2016. "The Aino 2.0 model," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 16/2016, Bank of Finland.
    3. Beniamino Pisicoli, 2021. "Banking Diversity, Financial Complexity and Resilience to Financial Shocks: Evidence From Italian Provinces," CEIS Research Paper 526, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 09 Nov 2021.
    4. Michael Callaghan & Enzo Cassino & Tugrul Vehbi & Benjamin Wong, 2019. "Opening the toolbox: how does the Reserve Bank analyse the world?," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 82, pages 1-14, April.
    5. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Timothy P. Jackson & Luiz Pereira da Silva, 2020. "Cross-Border Regulatory Spillovers and Macroprudential Policy Coordination," Working Papers 202028, University of Liverpool, Department of Economics.
    6. Brzoza-Brzezina, Michał & Kolasa, Marcin & Makarski, Krzysztof, 2018. "Crisis, contagion and international policy spillovers under foreign ownership of banks," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 293-304.
    7. Ilori, Ayobami E. & Paez-Farrell, Juan & Thoenissen, Christoph, 2022. "Fiscal policy shocks and international spillovers," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    8. Gregory De Walque & Thomas Lejeune & Yuliya Rychalovska & Rafael Wouters, 2017. "An estimated two-country EA-US model with limited exchange rate pass-through," Working Paper Research 317, National Bank of Belgium.
    9. Max Gillman & Tamas Csabafi & Ruthira Naraidoo, 2018. "International Business Cycle and Financial Intermediation," CEU Working Papers 2018_7, Department of Economics, Central European University.
    10. Montinari, Letizia & Stracca, Livio, 2016. "Trade, finance or policies: What drives the cross-border spill-over of business cycles?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 131-148.
    11. Punzi, Maria Teresa, 2020. "The impact of uncertainty on the macro-financial linkage with international financial exposure," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    12. Pierre‐Richard Agénor & Timothy P. Jackson & Luiz A. Pereira da Silva, 2023. "Global banking, financial spillovers and macroprudential policy coordination," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 90(359), pages 1003-1040, July.
    13. Yao, Wen, 2019. "International business cycles and financial frictions," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 283-291.
    14. Alberto Montagnoli & Miroslava Quiroga-Trevino & Christoph Thoenissen, 2025. "The Balance Sheet Channel of Fiscal Policy: Sovereign Exposure and Credit to Firms in the European Periphery," Working Papers 2025-12, Banco de México.
    15. Harrison, Michael & Nakajima, Jouchi & Shabani, Mimoza, 2023. "An evolution of global and regional banking networks: A focus on Japanese banks’ international expansion," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    16. Yang, Jian & Yu, Ziliang & Ma, Jun, 2019. "China's financial network with international spillovers: A first look," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    17. Lena Dräger & Christian Proaño, 2016. "Cross-Border Banking and Business Cycles in Asymmetric Currency Unions," IMK Working Paper 161-2016, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    18. Mistak, Jakub & Ozkan, F. Gulcin, 2024. "Asymmetric monetary policy spillovers: the role of supply chains, credit networks and fear of floating," Working Paper Series 2995, European Central Bank.
    19. Kollmann, Robert, 2016. "Discussion of "Financial Intermediation in a Global Environment" (Victoria Nuguer)," MPRA Paper 70191, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  19. Güneş Kamber & Chris McDonald & Gael Price, 2013. "Drying out: Investigating the economic effects of drought in New Zealand," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series AN2013/02, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.

    Cited by:

    1. Chaitat Jirophat & Pym Manopimoke & Suparit Suwanik, 2022. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Climate Shocks in Thailand," PIER Discussion Papers 188, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
    2. Günes Kamber & Gabriela Nodari & Benjamin Wong, 2016. "The Impact of Commodity Price Movements on the New Zealand Economy," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series AN2016/05, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    3. Stojkov, Katarina & Noy, Ilan & Sağlam, Yiğit, 2016. "The trade impacts of a food scare: The Fonterra contamination incident," Working Paper Series 19393, Victoria University of Wellington, School of Economics and Finance.
    4. Richhild Moessner, 2022. "Effects of Precipitation on Food Consumer Price Inflation," CESifo Working Paper Series 9961, CESifo.
    5. Brown, Pike & Walsh, Patrick & Booth, Pam, "undated". "Environmental signalling & expectations of future drought: Evidence from panel data," 2020 Conference (64th), February 12-14, 2020, Perth, Western Australia 305239, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    6. Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Enrica De Cian & Malcolm Mistry & Anthony Osuntuyi, 2020. "The impact of Climate on Economic and Financial Cycles: A Markov-switching Panel Approach," Papers 2012.14693, arXiv.org.
    7. Dean Ford & Amy Wood, 2015. "El Niño and its impact on the New Zealand economy," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series AN2015/07, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    8. Elguellab, Ali & Ezzahid, Elhadj, 2023. "Dissecting the Moroccan business cycle: A trade-based identification of agricultural supply shocks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    9. Cashin, Paul & Mohaddes, Kamiar & Raissi, Mehdi, 2017. "Fair weather or foul? The macroeconomic effects of El Niño," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 37-54.
    10. Yothin Jinjarak & Ilan Noy & Quy Ta, 2020. "How Shocks Affect International Reserves? A Quasi-Experiment of Earthquakes," CESifo Working Paper Series 8632, CESifo.
    11. Rebecca Williams, 2017. "Business cycle review: 2008 to present day," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 80, pages 1-22, March.
    12. Farnaz Pourzand & Ilan Noy & Yiğit Sağlam, 2020. "Droughts and farms’ financial performance: a farm‐level study in New Zealand," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 64(3), pages 818-844, July.
    13. Pourzand, Farnaz & Noy, Ilan & Sağlam, Yiğit, 2019. "Droughts and farms’ financial performance in New Zealand: A micro farm level study," Working Paper Series 20952, Victoria University of Wellington, School of Economics and Finance.
    14. Levente Tímár & Eyal Apatov, 2020. "A Growing Problem: Exploring Livestock Farm Resilience to Droughts in Unit Record Data," Motu Working Papers 20_14, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
    15. Milivojevic,Lazar, 2023. "Natural Disasters and Fiscal Drought," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10298, The World Bank.
    16. Lisa Doyle & Ilan Noy, 2015. "The short-run nationwide macroeconomic effects of the Canterbury earthquakes," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(2), pages 134-156, August.
    17. Ciccarelli, Matteo & Marotta, Fulvia, 2021. "Demand or supply? An empirical exploration of the effects of climate change on the macroeconomy," Working Paper Series 2608, European Central Bank.
    18. Yang, Huicai & Wang, Huixiao & Fu, Guobin & Yan, Haiming & Zhao, Panpan & Ma, Meihong, 2017. "A modified soil water deficit index (MSWDI) for agricultural drought monitoring: Case study of Songnen Plain, China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 194(C), pages 125-138.
    19. James Graham, 2014. "'N Sync: how do countries' economies move together?," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series AN2014/04, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    20. Matteo Ciccarelli & Fulvia Marotta, 2021. "Demand or Supply? An empirical exploration of the effects of climate change on the macroeconomy," Working Papers 933, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    21. Alessandro Cantelmo & Nikos Fatouros & Giovanni Melina & Chris Papageorgiou, 2024. "Monetary Policy Under Natural Disaster Shocks," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 65(3), pages 1441-1497, August.
    22. Suzi Kerr, 2016. "Agricultural Emissions Mitigation in New Zealand: Answers to Questions from the Parliamentary Commisioner for the Environment," Motu Working Papers 16_16, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
    23. Alain N. Kabundi & Mr. Montfort Mlachila & Jiaxiong Yao, 2022. "How Persistent are Climate-Related Price Shocks? Implications for Monetary Policy," IMF Working Papers 2022/207, International Monetary Fund.
    24. Parker, Miles, 2016. "The impact of disasters on inflation," Working Paper Series 1982, European Central Bank.
    25. P. Stahlmann-Brown & P. Walsh, 2022. "Soil moisture and expectations regarding future climate: evidence from panel data," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 171(1), pages 1-20, March.
    26. Ciccarelli, Matteo & Marotta, Fulvia, 2024. "Demand or Supply? An empirical exploration of the effects of climate change on the macroeconomy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    27. Gallic, Ewen & Vermandel, Gauthier, 2020. "Weather shocks," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    28. David J. Frame & Suzanne M. Rosier & Ilan Noy & Luke J. Harrington & Trevor Carey-Smith & Sarah N. Sparrow & Dáithí A. Stone & Samuel M. Dean, 2020. "Climate change attribution and the economic costs of extreme weather events: a study on damages from extreme rainfall and drought," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 162(2), pages 781-797, September.

  20. Julien Albertini & Güneş Kamber & Michael Kirker, 2012. "Estimated Small Open Economy Model with Frictional Unemployment," Post-Print halshs-02188600, HAL.

    Cited by:

    1. Josué Diwambuena & Raquel Fonseca & Stefan Schubert, 2021. "Italian Labour Frictions and Wage Rigidities in an Estimated DSGE," CIRANO Working Papers 2021s-33, CIRANO.
    2. Markus Kirchner & Rodrigo Tranamil, 2016. "Calvo Wages Vs. Search Frictions: a Horse Race in a DSGE Model of a Small Open Economy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 778, Central Bank of Chile.
    3. Kawther Alimi & Mohamed Chakroun, 2022. "Wage Rigidity Impacts on Unemployment and Inflation Persistence in Tunisia: Evidence from an Estimated DSGE Model," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 13(1), pages 474-500, March.
    4. Pápai Adam, 2017. "A DSGE Model of Slovakia with Frictional Labor Market and Monetary Regime Switch," Review of Economic Perspectives, Paradigm, vol. 17(3), pages 287-313, September.
    5. Michael Funke & Robert Kirkby & Petar Mihaylovski, 2017. "House Prices and Macroprudential Policy in an Estimated DSGE Model of New Zealand," CESifo Working Paper Series 6487, CESifo.
    6. Xinpeng Xu & Yu Sheng, 2014. "Terms of Trade Shocks and Endogenous Search Unemployment: A Two-Sector Model with Non-Traded Goods," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(2), pages 201-215, May.
    7. Sheen, Jeffrey & Wang, Ben Zhe, 2016. "Assessing labor market frictions in a small open economy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 231-251.
    8. Kónya, István & Jakab M., Zoltán, 2012. "Munkapiaci súrlódások DSGE modellekben [Labour market frictions in DSGE models]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(9), pages 933-962.
    9. Güneş Kamber & Chris McDonald & Nicholas Sander & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2015. "A structural model for policy analysis and forecasting: NZSIM," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2015/05, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    10. Timo Bettendorf, 2017. "Idiosyncratic and international transmission of shocks in the G7: Does EMU matter?," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(4), pages 856-890, September.
    11. Kamber, Gunes & McDonald, Chris & Sander, Nick & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2016. "Modelling the business cycle of a small open economy: The Reserve Bank of New Zealand's DSGE model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 546-569.

  21. Gunes Kamber & Christie Smith & Christoph Thoenissen, 2012. "Financial Frictions and the Role of Investment Specific Technology Shocks in the Business Cycle," CAMA Working Papers 2012-30, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.

    Cited by:

    1. Georgiadis, Georgios & Jančoková, Martina, 2017. "Financial globalisation, monetary policy spillovers and macro-modelling: tales from 1001 shocks," Working Paper Series 2082, European Central Bank.
    2. Villa, Stefania, 2016. "Financial Frictions In The Euro Area And The United States: A Bayesian Assessment," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(5), pages 1313-1340, July.
    3. Schuler, Tobias & Sun, Yiqiao, 2022. "The current account and monetary policy in the euro area," Working Paper Series 2696, European Central Bank.
    4. Christie Smith & Christoph Thoenissen, 2018. "Migration and Business Cycle Dynamics," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2018/07, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    5. Kame Babilla, Thierry U., 2023. "Digital innovation and financial access for small and medium-sized enterprises in a currency union," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    6. Yépez, Carlos A., 2017. "Financial intermediation, consumption dynamics, and business cycles," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 231-243.
    7. Gokmen, Gunes & Morin, Annaig, 2021. "Investment shocks and inequality dynamics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 570-579.
    8. Güneş Kamber & Chris McDonald & Nicholas Sander & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2015. "A structural model for policy analysis and forecasting: NZSIM," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2015/05, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    9. Siavash Mohades & Giulia Piccillo & Maria Savona & Tania Treibich, 2025. "Firms’ Investment and Capacity Utilisation: The Role of Financial Constraints and Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series 12108, CESifo.
    10. Kamber, Gunes & McDonald, Chris & Sander, Nick & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2016. "Modelling the business cycle of a small open economy: The Reserve Bank of New Zealand's DSGE model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 546-569.
    11. Frijters, Paul & Antić, Nemanja, 2016. "Can collapsing business networks explain economic downturns?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 289-308.
    12. Battiati, Claudio, 2019. "R&D, growth, and macroprudential policy in an economy undergoing boom-bust cycles," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 299-324.
    13. Andrew Binning & Murat Özbilgin & Christie Smith, 2026. "An overlapping generations model to investigate the fiscal implications of New Zealand's ageing population," Treasury Working Paper Series wp26/01, New Zealand Treasury.
    14. Yagihashi, Takeshi, 2018. "How costly is a misspecified credit channel DSGE model in monetary policymaking?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 484-505.
    15. Smith, Christie & Thoenissen, Christoph, 2019. "Skilled migration and business cycle dynamics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    16. Tufail Saira & Aljarallah Ruba & Munir Madiha & Alvi Shahzad & Ul Hassan Mehboob, 2025. "Financial Inclusion, Financial Depth, and Macroeconomic Fluctuations," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 19(1), pages 1-23.
    17. Bishnu, Monisankar & Ghate, Chetan & Gopalakrishnan, Pawan, 2016. "Factor income taxation, growth, and investment specific technological change," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 133-152.
    18. Herrera, Luis & Vázquez, Jesús, 2023. "On the significance of quality-of-capital news shocks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).

  22. Gunes Kamber & Christoph Thoenissen, 2011. "The Financial Accelerator and Monetary Policy Rules," CAMA Working Papers 2011-38, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.

    Cited by:

    1. Melesse Wondemhunegn Ezezew, 2015. "Small DSGE Model with Financial Frictions," Working Papers 2015:20, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    2. Frank Smets & Stefania Villa, 2016. "Slow recoveries: any role for corporate leverage?," BCAM Working Papers 1602, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
    3. Nicolas Cachanosky, 2015. "Expectation in Austrian business cycle theory: Market share matters," The Review of Austrian Economics, Springer;Society for the Development of Austrian Economics, vol. 28(2), pages 151-165, June.

  23. Gunes Kamber & Christoph Thoenissen, 2011. "Financial Intermediation and the International Business Cycle: The Case of Small Countries with Big Banks," CAMA Working Papers 2011-22, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.

    Cited by:

    1. Paltalidis, Nikos & Gounopoulos, Dimitrios & Kizys, Renatas & Koutelidakis, Yiannis, 2015. "Transmission channels of systemic risk and contagion in the European financial network," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(S1), pages 36-52.
    2. Kilponen, Juha & Orjasniemi, Seppo & Ripatti, Antti & Verona, Fabio, 2016. "The Aino 2.0 model," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 16/2016, Bank of Finland.
    3. Beniamino Pisicoli, 2021. "Banking Diversity, Financial Complexity and Resilience to Financial Shocks: Evidence From Italian Provinces," CEIS Research Paper 526, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 09 Nov 2021.
    4. Luca Guerrieri & Matteo Iacoviello & Raoul Minetti, 2012. "Banks, Sovereign Debt, and the International Transmission of Business Cycles," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2012, pages 181-213, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Michael Callaghan & Enzo Cassino & Tugrul Vehbi & Benjamin Wong, 2019. "Opening the toolbox: how does the Reserve Bank analyse the world?," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 82, pages 1-14, April.
    6. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Timothy P. Jackson & Luiz Pereira da Silva, 2020. "Cross-Border Regulatory Spillovers and Macroprudential Policy Coordination," Working Papers 202028, University of Liverpool, Department of Economics.
    7. Brzoza-Brzezina, Michał & Kolasa, Marcin & Makarski, Krzysztof, 2018. "Crisis, contagion and international policy spillovers under foreign ownership of banks," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 293-304.
    8. Peng, Yuchao & Yan, Lili, 2015. "Political Connections, Discriminatory Credit Constraint and Business Cycle," MPRA Paper 61439, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Ilori, Ayobami E. & Paez-Farrell, Juan & Thoenissen, Christoph, 2022. "Fiscal policy shocks and international spillovers," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    10. Gregory De Walque & Thomas Lejeune & Yuliya Rychalovska & Rafael Wouters, 2017. "An estimated two-country EA-US model with limited exchange rate pass-through," Working Paper Research 317, National Bank of Belgium.
    11. Max Gillman & Tamas Csabafi & Ruthira Naraidoo, 2018. "International Business Cycle and Financial Intermediation," CEU Working Papers 2018_7, Department of Economics, Central European University.
    12. PIROVANO, Mara, 2013. "International financial integration, credit frictions and exchange rate regimes," Working Papers 2013015, University of Antwerp, Faculty of Business and Economics.
    13. PIROVANO, Mara, 2013. "Household and firm leverage, capital flows and monetary policy in a small open economy," Working Papers 2013014, University of Antwerp, Faculty of Business and Economics.
    14. Montinari, Letizia & Stracca, Livio, 2016. "Trade, finance or policies: What drives the cross-border spill-over of business cycles?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 131-148.
    15. Punzi, Maria Teresa, 2020. "The impact of uncertainty on the macro-financial linkage with international financial exposure," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    16. Pierre‐Richard Agénor & Timothy P. Jackson & Luiz A. Pereira da Silva, 2023. "Global banking, financial spillovers and macroprudential policy coordination," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 90(359), pages 1003-1040, July.
    17. Yao, Wen, 2019. "International business cycles and financial frictions," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 283-291.
    18. Alberto Montagnoli & Miroslava Quiroga-Trevino & Christoph Thoenissen, 2025. "The Balance Sheet Channel of Fiscal Policy: Sovereign Exposure and Credit to Firms in the European Periphery," Working Papers 2025-12, Banco de México.
    19. Harrison, Michael & Nakajima, Jouchi & Shabani, Mimoza, 2023. "An evolution of global and regional banking networks: A focus on Japanese banks’ international expansion," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    20. Yang, Jian & Yu, Ziliang & Ma, Jun, 2019. "China's financial network with international spillovers: A first look," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    21. Lena Dräger & Christian Proaño, 2016. "Cross-Border Banking and Business Cycles in Asymmetric Currency Unions," IMK Working Paper 161-2016, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    22. Mistak, Jakub & Ozkan, F. Gulcin, 2024. "Asymmetric monetary policy spillovers: the role of supply chains, credit networks and fear of floating," Working Paper Series 2995, European Central Bank.
    23. Kollmann, Robert, 2016. "Discussion of "Financial Intermediation in a Global Environment" (Victoria Nuguer)," MPRA Paper 70191, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  24. Gunes Kamber & Stephen Millard, 2010. "Using estimated models to assess nominal and real rigidities in the United Kingdom," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 396, Bank of England.

    Cited by:

    1. He, Yongda & Du, Anna Min & Lin, Boqiang & Scrimgeour, Frank, 2025. "Energy-capital substitution, technological innovation, and monetary policy," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    2. Julien Albertini & Güneş Kamber & Michael Kirker, 2011. "An estimated small open economy model with frictional unemployment," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2011/04, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    3. Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Marco Di Pietro, 2015. "Intrinsic persistence of wage inflation in New Keynesian models of the business cycles," CIMEO Working Paper Series 118, Centre for Investigation and Modelling of Experimental Observations (CIMEO).
    4. Georgiadis, Georgios & Jančoková, Martina, 2017. "Financial globalisation, monetary policy spillovers and macro-modelling: tales from 1001 shocks," Working Paper Series 2082, European Central Bank.
    5. Dixon Huw, 2012. "A Unified Framework for Using Micro-Data to Compare Dynamic Time-Dependent Price-Setting Models," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(1), pages 1-45, July.
    6. Stephen Millard, 2015. "The Great Recession and the UK labour market," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 566, Bank of England.
    7. Pinter, Gabor, 2015. "House prices and job losses," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86318, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    8. Muhammad Ali Nasir & Milton Yago & Alaa M. Soliman & Junjie Wu, 2016. "Financial stability, wealth effects and optimal macroeconomic policy combination in the United Kingdom: A new-Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium framework," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1136098-113, December.
    9. Stephen Millard, 2011. "An estimated DSGE model of energy, costs and inflation in the United Kingdom," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 432, Bank of England.
    10. Nasir Aminu, 2018. "Evaluation of a DSGE Model of Energy in the United Kingdom Using Stationary Data," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 51(4), pages 1033-1068, April.
    11. Dixon, Huw David & Bihan, Herv Le, 2011. "Generalized Taylor and Generalized Calvo price and wage-setting: micro evidence with macro implications," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2011/25, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    12. Aminu, Nasir & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick, 2018. "The role of energy prices in the Great Recession — A two-sector model with unfiltered data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 14-34.

  25. Aurelien Eyquen & Güneş Kamber, 2010. "Internationalised Production in a Small Open Economy," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2010/03, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.

    Cited by:

    1. Eyquem, Aurélien & Kamber, Güneş, 2014. "A Note On The Business Cycle Implications Of Trade In Intermediate Goods," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(5), pages 1172-1186, July.
    2. Muhammad Naveed Tahir, 2011. "Inflation Targeting, Exchange Rate and Financial Globalization," Working Papers 1130, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Etienne (GATE Lyon St-Etienne), Université de Lyon.
    3. Muhammad Naveed Tahir, 2011. "Inflation Targeting, Exchange Rate and Financial Globalization," Working Papers halshs-00646601, HAL.

  26. Günes Kamber & Eloi Laurent & Jean-Paul Fitoussi & Jérôme Creel & Sandrine Levasseur & Jacques Le Cacheux & Louis Chauvel, 2007. "Report on the state of the European Union. Volume 2, Reforming the European Union," Post-Print hal-03417114, HAL.

    Cited by:

    1. Sandrine Levasseur, 2008. "Updating empirical evidence on business cycles synchronization between CEECs and the euro area : How important is the recent period," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2008-11, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).

  27. Jérôme Creel & Günes Kamber, 2004. "Debt, deficits and inflation on the road to the EU: the case of Turkey," Post-Print hal-03458752, HAL.

    Cited by:

    1. Mouldi Djelassi & Lobna Essid, 2012. "Le niveau des prix en Tunisie est-il déterminé par la politique budgétaire?," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 88(2), pages 231-256.
    2. Etienne Farvaque & Hassan Ayoub & Jérôme Creel, 2008. "Détermination du niveau des prix et finances publiques : le cas du Liban, 1965-2005," Working Papers hal-00973050, HAL.
    3. Waszkiewicz Grzegorz, 2016. "Drivers of Greek and Turkish Defense Spending," International Journal of Management and Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of World Economy, vol. 51(1), pages 33-46, September.
    4. Ebru Voyvoda & Erinc Yeldan, 2015. "Aspects of Fiscal Policy in Turkey," Working papers wpaper109, Financialisation, Economy, Society & Sustainable Development (FESSUD) Project.

Articles

  1. Kamber, Güneş & Morley, James & Wong, Benjamin, 2025. "Trend-cycle decomposition in the presence of large shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Brandao-Marques, Luis & Casiraghi, Marco & Gelos, Gaston & Harrison, Olamide & Kamber, Gunes, 2024. "Is high debt Constraining monetary policy? evidence from inflation expectations," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Luis Brandão-Marques & Marco Casiraghi & Gaston Gelos & Güneş Kamber & Roland Meeks, 2024. "Negative Interest Rate Policies: A Survey," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 16(1), pages 305-328, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Luis Brandao-Marques & Marco Casiraghi & Gaston Gelos & Gunes Kamber & Roland Meeks, 2021. "Negative Interest Rate Policies: Taking Stock of the Experience So Far," CESifo Forum, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 22(06), pages 27-32, November.

    Cited by:

    1. Kwan, Simon H. & Ulate, Mauricio & Voutilainen, Ville, 2023. "The transmission of negative nominal interest rates in Finland," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2023, Bank of Finland.
    2. Avignone, Giuseppe & Girardone, Claudia & Pancaro, Cosimo & Pancotto, Livia & Reghezza, Alessio, 2022. "Making a virtue out of necessity: the effect of negative interest rates on bank cost efficiency," Working Paper Series 2718, European Central Bank.
    3. Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Kok, Christoffer & Rottner, Matthias, 2023. "Reversal interest rate and macroprudential policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    4. Altunbas, Yener & Avignone, Giuseppe & Kok, Christoffer & Pancaro, Cosimo, 2023. "Euro area banks’ market power, lending channel and stability: the effects of negative policy rates," Working Paper Series 2790, European Central Bank.
    5. Cynthia Balloch & Yann Koby & Mauricio Ulate, 2022. "Making Sense of Negative Nominal Interest Rates," Working Paper Series 2022-12, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

  5. Kamber, Güneş & Wong, Benjamin, 2020. "Global factors and trend inflation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  6. Bodenstein, Martin & Kamber, Güneş & Thoenissen, Christoph, 2018. "Commodity prices and labour market dynamics in small open economies," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 170-184.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  7. Günes Kamber & James Morley & Benjamin Wong, 2018. "Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 100(3), pages 550-566, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  8. Kamber, Güneş & Theodoridis, Konstantinos & Thoenissen, Christoph, 2017. "News-driven business cycles in small open economies," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 77-89.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  9. Kamber, Gunes & McDonald, Chris & Sander, Nick & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2016. "Modelling the business cycle of a small open economy: The Reserve Bank of New Zealand's DSGE model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 546-569.

    Cited by:

    1. Dieppe, Alistair & Georgiadis, Georgios & Ricci, Martino & Van Robays, Ine & van Roye, Björn, 2018. "ECB-Global: Introducing the ECB's global macroeconomic model for spillover analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 78-98.
    2. Sergey Ivashchenko & Willi Mutschler, 2019. "The effect of observables, functional specifications, model features and shocks on identification in linearized DSGE models," CQE Working Papers 8319, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
    3. Albonico, Alice & Calés, Ludovic & Cardani, Roberta & Croitorov, Olga & Ferroni, Filippo & Giovannini, Massimo & Hohberger, Stefan & Pataracchia, Beatrice & Pericoli, Filippo Maria & Raciborski, Rafal, 2019. "Comparing post-crisis dynamics across Euro Area countries with the Global Multi-country model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 242-273.
    4. Yin Germaschewski & Jaroslav Horvath & Jiansheng Zhong, 2022. "Oral interventions in the foreign exchange market: evidence from Australia," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(6), pages 2713-2737, June.
    5. Michael Callaghan & Enzo Cassino & Tugrul Vehbi & Benjamin Wong, 2019. "Opening the toolbox: how does the Reserve Bank analyse the world?," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 82, pages 1-14, April.
    6. Georgiadis, Georgios & Jančoková, Martina, 2017. "Financial globalisation, monetary policy spillovers and macro-modelling: tales from 1001 shocks," Working Paper Series 2082, European Central Bank.
    7. Aleksandra Babii, 2019. "Exchange Rates Co-movement and International Trade," 2019 Meeting Papers 1150, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    8. Yantao Gao & Xilong Yao & Wenxi Wang & Xin Liu, 2019. "Dynamic effect of environmental tax on export trade: Based on DSGE mode," Energy & Environment, , vol. 30(7), pages 1275-1290, November.
    9. Kawther Alimi & Mohamed Chakroun, 2022. "Wage Rigidity Impacts on Unemployment and Inflation Persistence in Tunisia: Evidence from an Estimated DSGE Model," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 13(1), pages 474-500, March.
    10. Alice Albonico & Ludovic Calés & Roberta Cardani & Olga Croitorov & Fabio Di Dio & Filippo Ferroni & Massimo Giovannini & Stefan Hohberger & Beatrice Pataracchia & Filippo Pericoli & Philipp Pfeiffer , 2019. "The Global Multi-Country Model (GM): An Estimated DSGE Model for Euro Area Countries," European Economy - Discussion Papers 102, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    11. Zhang, Bo & Dai, Wei, 2020. "Trend inflation and macroeconomic stability in a small open economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 769-778.
    12. C. John McDermott, 2017. "Policy Uncertainty from a Central Bank Perspective," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 50(1), pages 103-106, March.
    13. Morrisy, Stephen D., 2017. "Efficient estimation of macroeconomic equations with unobservable states," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 408-423.
    14. Georgiadis, Georgios & Mösle, Saskia, 2019. "Introducing dominant currency pricing in the ECB’s global macroeconomic model," Working Paper Series 2321, European Central Bank.
    15. Chris McDonald, 2017. "Does past inflation predict the future?," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series AN2017/04, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    16. Neroli Austin & Geordie Reid, 2017. "NZSIM: A model of the New Zealand economy for forecasting and policy analysis," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 80, pages 1-14, January.
    17. Stefán Thórarinsson, 2020. "DYNIMO - Version III. A DSGE model of the Icelandic economy," Economics wp84, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
    18. Moučka, Jakub & Němec, Daniel, 2025. "Improving macroeconomic model credibility: Reducing reliance on frictions through observed inflation expectations," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).

  10. Kamber, Günes & Smith, Christie & Thoenissen, Christoph, 2015. "Financial frictions and the role of investment-specific technology shocks in the business cycle," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 571-582.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  11. Günes Kamber & Özer Karagedikli & Christie Smith, 2015. "Applying an Inflation-Targeting Lens to Macroprodential Policy "Institutions"," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 11(4), pages 395-429, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  12. Eyquem, Aurélien & Kamber, Güneş, 2014. "A Note On The Business Cycle Implications Of Trade In Intermediate Goods," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(5), pages 1172-1186, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  13. G√Úne≈Û Kamber & Christoph Thoenissen, 2013. "Financial Exposure and the International Transmission of Financial Shocks," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(s2), pages 127-158, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  14. Günes Kamber & Stephen Millard, 2012. "Using Estimated Models to Assess Nominal and Real Rigidities in the United Kingdom," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 8(4), pages 97-119, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  15. Julien Albertini & Güneş Kamber & Michael Kirker, 2012. "Estimated Small Open Economy Model With Frictional Unemployment," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(2), pages 326-353, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  16. Kamber, Güneş & Thoenissen, Christoph, 2012. "The financial accelerator and monetary policy rules," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 115(2), pages 309-313.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  17. Kamber, Günes, 2010. "Inflation dynamics under habit formation in hours," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 108(3), pages 269-272, September.

    Cited by:

    1. Güneş Kamber & Chris McDonald & Nicholas Sander & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2015. "A structural model for policy analysis and forecasting: NZSIM," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2015/05, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    2. Kamber, Gunes & McDonald, Chris & Sander, Nick & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2016. "Modelling the business cycle of a small open economy: The Reserve Bank of New Zealand's DSGE model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 546-569.

Chapters

  1. Günes Kamber & Madhusudan Mohanty & James Morley, 2020. "What drives inflation in advanced and emerging market economies?," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Inflation dynamics in Asia and the Pacific, volume 111, pages 21-36, Bank for International Settlements.

    Cited by:

    1. Klinkowska, Olga & Zadorozhna, Olha, 2026. "The yield curve strikes back: New evidence of its predictive power for economic activity and inflation," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    2. Dizioli, Allan & Wang, Hou, 2024. "How do adaptive learning expectations rationalize stronger monetary policy response in Brazil?," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 5(1).
    3. Khayirbaeva Balzira Parakhat qizi & Sarsenbaev Bakhitjan Abdulgazievich, 2025. "Comparative Macroeconomic Analysis Of Inflation In Uzbekistan And The United States," GREEN ECONOMY AND DEVELOPMENT, "Ma'rifat-Print-Media" LLC, Tashkent State University of Economics, vol. 3, November.
    4. Wang, Xi & Liu, Ying & Chen, Zhongfei, 2022. "Monetary policy dysregulation with data distortion," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    5. Monique B Reid & Pierre L Siklos, 2021. "How firms and experts view the Phillips curve evidence from individual and aggregate data from South Africa," Working Papers 11003, South African Reserve Bank.

  2. Ricardo Caballero & Gunes Kamber, 2019. "The global impact of risk-off shocks," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Asia-Pacific fixed income markets: evolving structure, participation and pricing, volume 102, pages 17-23, Bank for International Settlements.

    Cited by:

    1. Ferrari Minesso, Massimo & Pagliari, Maria Sole & Kurcz, Frederik, 2020. "Do words hurt more than actions? The impact of trade tensions on financial markets," Working Paper Series 2490, European Central Bank.
    2. Ahmed, Rashad, 2023. "Flights-to-safety and macroeconomic adjustment in emerging markets: The role of U.S. monetary policy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    3. Justin Damien Guenette & M. Ayhan Kose & Naotaka Sugawara, 2022. "Is a Global Recession Imminent?," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2206, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    4. Nadav Ben Zeev, 2019. "Asymmetric Business Cycles In Emerging Market Economies," Working Papers 1909, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Department of Economics.
    5. Janus, Jakub, 2021. "The COVID-19 shock and long-term interest rates in emerging market economies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    6. Carlomagno, Guillermo & Albagli, Elías, 2022. "Trade wars and asset prices," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    7. Ines Buono & Flavia Corneli & Enrica Di Stefano, 2020. "Capital inflows to emerging countries and their sensitivity to the global financial cycle," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1262, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.

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