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Sparks and prairie fires: A theory of unanticipated political revolution

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. William H. Sandholm, 2001. "Preference Evolution, Two-Speed Dynamics, and Rapid Social Change," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 4(3), pages 637-679, July.
  2. Lemennicier Bertrand, 2001. "Collective Belief Formation and the Politically Correct Concerning Information on Risk Behaviour," Journal des Economistes et des Etudes Humaines, De Gruyter, vol. 11(4), pages 1-25, December.
  3. Kjell Hausken & Mthuli Ncube, 2017. "Incumbent policy, benefits provision, and the triggering and spread of revolutionary uprisings," Economics of Peace and Security Journal, EPS Publishing, vol. 12(1), pages 54-63, April.
  4. Simon Varaine & Raul Magni-Berton & Sebastian Roché & Paul Le Derff, 2026. "Police homicides and riots in France," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 206(3), pages 565-592, March.
  5. Kemal Kivanç Aköz & Pablo Hernández‐Lagos, 2019. "Rents from power for a dissident elite and mass mobilization," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 66(4), pages 584-604, September.
  6. Ceylan, Pinar, 2022. "Measuring and explaining rural inequality in a pre-industrial setting: income inequality in sixteenth-century Ottoman Manisa," Economic History Working Papers 117250, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History.
  7. Mark I. Lichbach, 1994. "Rethinking Rationality and Rebellion," Rationality and Society, , vol. 6(1), pages 8-39, January.
  8. González, Felipe, 2020. "Collective action in networks: Evidence from the Chilean student movement," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
  9. Shaun Larcom & Mare Sarr & Tim Willems, 2018. "Dictators Walking the Mogadishu Line: How Men Become Monsters and Monsters Become Men," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 32(3), pages 584-609.
  10. Aidt, Toke S. & Albornoz, Facundo & Gassebner, Martin, 2018. "The golden hello and political transitions," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 157-173.
  11. Mikhail Lipatov & Lucia Illari & Richard Sear & Akshay Verma & Neil F Johnson & Sergey Gavrilets, 2026. "Online identity and action discourse around the 2020 and 2024 U.S. presidential elections," PLOS Complex Systems, Public Library of Science, vol. 3(5), pages 1-29, May.
  12. John Ginkel & Alastair Smith, 1999. "So You Say You Want a Revolution," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 43(3), pages 291-316, June.
  13. Erica Chenoweth & Jay Ulfelder, 2017. "Can Structural Conditions Explain the Onset of Nonviolent Uprisings?," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 61(2), pages 298-324, February.
  14. Smaldino, Paul E. & Turner, Matthew Adam, 2020. "Covert signaling is an adaptive communication strategy in diverse populations," SocArXiv j9wyn, Center for Open Science.
  15. Gil Epstein & Ira Gang, 2007. "Understanding the development of fundamentalism," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 132(3), pages 257-271, September.
  16. Bosco, Davide & Colombo, Luca & Femminis, Gianluca, 2025. "Conflict, information and regime-change," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
  17. Campante, Filipe R. & Chor, Davin, 2014. "“The people want the fall of the regime”: Schooling, political protest, and the economy," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(3), pages 495-517.
  18. Iyigun, Murat, 2012. "Are We There Yet? Time for Checks and Balances on New Institutionalism," IZA Discussion Papers 6934, IZA Network @ LISER.
  19. Jose Morales-Arilla, 2025. "Autocrats in crisis mode: Strategic favoritism during economic shocks," Working Paper Series of the School of Government and Public Transformation 15, School of Governement and Public Transformation.
  20. Méon, Pierre-Guillaume & Sekkat, Khalid, 2022. "A time to throw stones, a time to reap: how long does it take for democratic transitions to improve institutional outcomes?," Journal of Institutional Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(3), pages 429-443, June.
  21. João Tovar Jalles, 2026. "From Revolution to Divergence: Structural Reforms and the Persistence of Portugal’s Post-1974 Growth Gap," Working Papers REM 2026/0414, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
  22. El-Mallakh, Nelly & Maurel, Mathilde & Speciale, Biagio, 2018. "Arab spring protests and women's labor market outcomes: Evidence from the Egyptian revolution," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 656-682.
  23. Rubin, Jared, 2014. "Centralized institutions and cascades," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 340-357.
  24. Clayton L. Thyne, 2006. "Cheap Signals with Costly Consequences," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 50(6), pages 937-961, December.
  25. Diego F. Grijalva, 2024. "Revolutions of the mind, (threats of) actual revolutions, and institutional change," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 200(3), pages 531-560, September.
  26. Lafay Jean-Dominique, 1990. "L’Opposition Dans Le Systeme Pootico-Economique : Analyse Theorique Et Etude Empirique Du Cas Francais," Journal des Economistes et des Etudes Humaines, De Gruyter, vol. 1(1), pages 43-60, January.
  27. Daron Acemoglu & Tarek A. Hassan & Ahmed Tahoun, 2018. "The Power of the Street: Evidence from Egypt’s Arab Spring," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 31(1), pages 1-42.
  28. Michael Mitsopoulos & Theodore Pelagidis, 2007. "Rent-Seeking and Ex Post Acceptance of Reforms in Higher Education," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 10(3), pages 177-192.
  29. von Uexkull, Nina & Rød, Espen Geelmuyden & Svensson, Isak, 2024. "Fueling protest? Climate change mitigation, fuel prices and protest onset," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
  30. Schweighofer-Kodritsch, Sebastian & Huck, Steffen & Humphreys, Macartan, 2025. "Political salience, endogenous bandwagoning, and regime resilience," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 154, pages 79-96.
  31. Andreas P. Kyriacou, 2005. "Rationality, Ethnicity And Institutions: A Survey Of Issues And Results," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(1), pages 23-42, February.
  32. Juan A. Correa & Raúl Morales & Francisco Parro, 2018. "The Effects of Protests on Agents’ Expectations: Evidence from Students’ Demonstrations in Chile," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 56(3), pages 221-235, September.
  33. Dorsch, Michael T. & Maarek, Paul, 2020. "Economic downturns, inequality, and democratic improvements," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
  34. Coyne,Christopher J., 2020. "Defense, Peace, and War Economics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781108724036.
  35. Anderton,Charles H. & Carter,John R., 2009. "Principles of Conflict Economics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521875578, December.
  36. Buchheim, Lukas & Ulbricht, Robert, 2014. "Dynamics of Political Systems," TSE Working Papers 14-464, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised Oct 2018.
  37. Vu, Trung V., 2022. "Unbundling the effect of political instability on income redistribution," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
  38. Li Han & Tao Li, 2021. "Marketing Communist Party membership in China," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 188(1), pages 241-268, July.
  39. Beni Kouevi-Gath & Pierre-Guillaume Méon & Laurent Weill, 2021. "Do banking crises improve democracy?," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 186(3), pages 413-446, March.
  40. Siqueira, Kevin, 2003. "Participation in organized and unorganized protests and rebellions," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 861-874, November.
  41. Masiliūnas, Aidas, 2019. "Overcoming inefficient lock-in in coordination games with sophisticated and myopic players," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 1-12.
  42. Alger, Ingela, 2024. "Norms and norm change - driven by social Kantian preferences," TSE Working Papers 24-1605, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised Jan 2026.
  43. Sardoschau, Sulin & Casanueva-Artís, Annalí, 2025. "The Cost of Tolerating Intolerance: Right-Wing Protest and Hate Crimes," IZA Discussion Papers 17763, IZA Network @ LISER.
  44. Jonathan P. Caulkins & Gustav Feichtinger & Dieter Grass & Richard F. Hartl & Peter M. Kort & Andreas J. Novak & Andrea Seidl & Franz Wirl, 2014. "A Dynamic Analysis of Schelling’s Binary Corruption Model: A Competitive Equilibrium Approach," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 161(2), pages 608-625, May.
  45. Ponticelli, Jacopo & Voth, Hans-Joachim, 2020. "Austerity and anarchy: Budget cuts and social unrest in Europe, 1919–2008," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 1-19.
  46. Nicoara Olga, 2018. "Cultural Leadership and Entrepreneurship As Antecedents of Estonia’s Singing Revolution and Post-Communist Success," TalTech Journal of European Studies, Sciendo, vol. 8(2), pages 65-91, September.
  47. Willemien Kets & Alvaro Sandroni, 2021. "A Theory of Strategic Uncertainty and Cultural Diversity," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 88(1), pages 287-333.
  48. Vilde Lunnan Djuve & Carl Henrik Knutsen, 2024. "Economic crisis and regime transitions from within," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 61(3), pages 446-461, May.
  49. Jack A. Goldstone, 2024. "You can’t always get what you want: why revolutionary outcomes so often diverge from revolutionary goals," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 200(3), pages 457-472, September.
  50. Lisa Garbe, 2024. "Pulling through elections by pulling the plug: Internet disruptions and electoral violence in Uganda," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 61(5), pages 842-857, September.
  51. Gerling, Lena & Kellermann, Kim Leonie, 2019. "The impact of election information shocks on populist party preferences: Evidence from Germany," CIW Discussion Papers 3/2019, University of Münster, Center for Interdisciplinary Economics (CIW).
  52. Marino, Maria & Donni, Paolo Li & Bavetta, Sebastiano & Cellini, Marco, 2020. "The democratization process: An empirical appraisal of the role of political protest," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
  53. Sangnier, Marc & Zylberberg, Yanos, 2017. "Protests and trust in the state: Evidence from African countries," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 55-67.
  54. Murtazashvili,Jennifer Brick & Murtazashvili,Ilia, 2021. "Land, the State, and War," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781108493413.
  55. Verpoorten, Marijke & Arora, Abhimanyu, 2011. "Food Prices, Social Unrest and the Facebook Generation," 2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland 114230, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
  56. Aidt, T. S. & Leon, G. & Satchell, M., 2017. "The Social Dynamics of Collective Action: Evidence from the Captain Swing Riots, 1830-31," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1751, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  57. Jean-Paul Azam, 2006. "The Paradox of Power Reconsidered: A Theory of Political Regimes in Africa," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 15(1), pages 26-58, March.
  58. Thomas Apolte & Lena Gerling, 2018. "Youth bulges, insurrections and labor-market restrictions," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 175(1), pages 63-93, April.
  59. Chojnacki, Sven & Eberwein, Wolf-Dieter, 2000. "Die Kultur der Prävention: Ein Ansatz zur Zivilisierung internationaler Politik?," Discussion Papers, Research Group International Politics P 00-301, WZB Berlin Social Science Center.
  60. repec:osf:socarx:hu3vq_v1 is not listed on IDEAS
  61. Azam, Jean-Paul & Mesnard, Alice, 2003. "Civil War and the Social Contract," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 115(3-4), pages 455-475, June.
  62. Sebastian Schweighofer-Kodritsch & Steffen Huck & Macartan Humphreys, 2023. "Political salience and regime resilience," Berlin School of Economics Discussion Papers 0031, Berlin School of Economics.
  63. Kevin Siqueira & Todd Sandler, 2010. "Terrorist networks, support, and delegation," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 142(1), pages 237-253, January.
  64. Bell, Ann Maria, 2002. "Locally interdependent preferences in a general equilibrium environment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 47(3), pages 309-333, March.
  65. Apolte, Thomas, 2015. "Gordon Tullock's theory of dictatorship and revolution," CIW Discussion Papers 2/2015, University of Münster, Center for Interdisciplinary Economics (CIW).
  66. Kikuta, Kyosuke & Kurosawa, Hiroki, 2026. "Quieted by Questions: The Unintended Consequences of Survey Interviews on Protest in Africa," SocArXiv xvk6n_v2, Center for Open Science.
  67. Garbe, Lisa, 2024. "Pulling through elections by pulling the plug: Internet disruptions and electoral violence in Uganda," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 61(5), pages 842-857.
  68. Boris Ginzburg & JosÔøΩ-Alberto Guerra, 2021. "Guns, pets, and strikes: an experiment on identity and political action," Documentos CEDE 19932, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
  69. Klick, Jonathan & Parisi, Francesco, 2008. "Social networks, self-denial, and median preferences: Conformity as an evolutionary strategy," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1319-1327, August.
  70. Sherzod Abdukadirov, 2010. "The problem of political calculation in autocracies," Constitutional Political Economy, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 360-373, December.
  71. Daron Acemoglu & Suresh Naidu & Pascual Restrepo & James A. Robinson, 2019. "Democracy Does Cause Growth," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 127(1), pages 47-100.
  72. Joshua M. Epstein, 2007. "Agent-Based Computational Models and Generative Social Science," Introductory Chapters, in: Generative Social Science Studies in Agent-Based Computational Modeling, Princeton University Press.
  73. Sulin Sardoschau & Annali Casanueva-Artis, 2025. "The Cost of Tolerating Intolerance: Right-wing Protest and Hate Crimes," RFBerlin Discussion Paper Series 2508, ROCKWOOL Foundation Berlin (RFBerlin).
  74. Levy, Moshe, 2005. "Social phase transitions," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 57(1), pages 71-87, May.
  75. Sulin Sardoschau & Annalí Casanueva Artís, 2025. "The Cost of Tolerating Intolerance: Right-Wing Protest and Hate Crimes," CESifo Working Paper Series 11745, CESifo.
  76. von Wangenheim Georg, 2011. "Evolutionary Theories in Law and Economics and Their Use for Comparative Legal Theory," Review of Law & Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 7(3), pages 737-765, December.
  77. Sadik-Zada, Elkhan Richard & Gatto, Andrea, 2021. "The puzzle of greenhouse gas footprints of oil abundance," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
  78. Hallman, Alice & Spiro, Daniel, 2023. "A theory of hypocrisy," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 401-410.
  79. Thomas Apolte, "undated". "Why is there no Revolution in North-Korea? The Political Economy of Revolution Revisited," Working Papers 200102, Institute of Spatial and Housing Economics, Munster Universitary.
  80. Paul Collier & Anthony J. Venables, 2014. "Closing coal: economic and moral incentives," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press, vol. 30(3), pages 492-512.
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