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Understanding the dynamics of violent political revolutions in an agent-based framework

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  • Alessandro Moro

    (Department of Economics, University Of Venice C� Foscari)

Abstract

This paper develops an agent-based computational model of violent political revolution in which a subjugated population of agents and an armed revolutionary organization try to overthrow a central authority and its loyal forces. The model replicates several patterns of rebellion consistent with the major historical revolutions and provides an explanation for the multiplicity of outcomes that can arise from an uprising. This last point is of particular interest if we consider the heterogeneity of political outcomes produced by the recent revolutionary episodes in the so-called Arab Spring.

Suggested Citation

  • Alessandro Moro, 2014. "Understanding the dynamics of violent political revolutions in an agent-based framework," Working Papers 2014:21, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    • Handle: RePEc:ven:wpaper:2014:21
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Ekaterina V. Kruchinskaya, 2021. "Factors Of Mobilization To Protest, Their Impact And Variability: Hierarchical Bayesian Approach," HSE Working papers WP BRP 79/PS/2021, National Research University Higher School of Economics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Political Revolutions; Arab Spring; Agent-Based Models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions

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