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Citations for "A Reality Check for Data Snooping"

by Halbert White

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Cited by (explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.):
  1. Cees Diks & Valentyn Panchenko & Dick van Dijk, 2008. "Partial Likelihood-Based Scoring Rules for Evaluating Density Forecasts in Tails," Discussion Papers 2008-10, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Raffaella Giacomini & Halbert White, 2004. "Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 2003-09, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Ericsson, Johan & González, Andrés, 2003. "Is Momentum Due to Data-Snooping?," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 536, Stockholm School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  4. Shamiri, Ahmed & Shaari, Abu Hassan & Isa, Zaidi, 2007. "Practical Volatility Modeling for Financial Market Risk Management," MPRA Paper 9790, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 15 May 2008. [Downloadable!]
  5. Rosario Dell'Aquila & Elvezio Ronchetti, 2004. "Stock and Bond Return Predictability : The Discrimination Power of Model Selection Criteria," Cahiers du Département d'Econométrie 2004.05, Département d'Econométrie, Université de Genève. [Downloadable!]
  6. Valentina Corradi & Norman R. Swanson, 2003. "Bootstrap Conditional Distribution Tests In the Presence of Dynamic Misspecification," Departmental Working Papers 200311, Rutgers University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Thomas A. Knetsch, 2004. "Evaluating the German Inventory Cycle – Using Data from the Ifo Business Survey," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
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  8. Lance J. Bachmeier & Norman R. Swanson, 2003. "Predicting Inflation: Does The Quantity Theory Help?," Departmental Working Papers 200317, Rutgers University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  9. Fernandes, Marcelo, 2001. "Nonparametric Entropy-Based Tests of Independence Between Stochastic Processes," Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 413, Graduate School of Economics, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil). [Downloadable!]
  10. Marmer, Vadim, 2009. "Nonlinearity, Nonstationarity, and Spurious Forecasts," Micro Theory Working Papers vadim_marmer-2009-60, Microeconomics.ca Website, revised 03 Nov 2009. [Downloadable!]
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  11. Park, Cheol-Ho & Irwin, Scott H., 2005. "The Profitability of Technical Trading Rules in US Futures Markets: A Data Snooping Free Test," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14771, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  12. Zsolt Darvas, 2008. "Leveraged carry trade portfolios," Working Papers 0802, Department of Mathematical Economics and Economic Analysis, Corvinus University of Budapest, revised 18 Jun 2008. [Downloadable!]
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  13. GIOT, Pierre & PETITJEAN, Mikael, 2005. "Dynamic asset allocation between stocks and bonds using the Bond-Equity Yield Ratio," CORE Discussion Papers 2005010, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE). [Downloadable!]
  14. Romulo A. Chumacero, 2004. "Forecasting Chilean Industrial Production with Automated Procedures," Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings 177, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
  15. Sébastien Laurent & Jeroen Rombouts & Francesco Violente, 2009. "On Loss Functions and Ranking Forecasting Performances of Multivariate Volatility Models," CIRANO Working Papers 2009s-45, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
  16. Fabio Busetti & Juri Marcucci & Giovanni Veronese, 2009. "Comparing forecast accuracy: A Monte Carlo investigation," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 723, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  17. Peter Hansen & Asger Lunde, 2003. "Testing the Significance of Calendar Effects," Working Papers 2003-03, Brown University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  18. Daniel Peña & Ismael Sánchez, 2001. "New In-Sample Prediction Errors In Time Series With Applications," Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers ws011107, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría. [Downloadable!]
  19. Siem Jan Koopman & Borus Jungbacker & Eugenie Hol, 2004. "Forecasting Daily Variability of the S&P 100 Stock Index using Historical, Realised and Implied Volatility Measurements," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 04-016/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
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  20. Giampiero M. Gallo & Yongmiao Hong & Tae-Why Lee, 2001. "Modelling the Impact of Overnight Surprises on Intra-daily Stock Returns," Econometrics Working Papers Archive wp2001_03, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica "G. Parenti". [Downloadable!]
  21. Gilles Daniel & Didier Sornette & Peter Wohrmann, 2008. "Look-Ahead Benchmark Bias in Portfolio Performance Evaluation," Quantitative Finance Papers 0810.1922, arXiv.org. [Downloadable!]
  22. Peter Reinhard Hansen, 2001. "An Unbiased and Powerful Test for Superior Predictive Ability," Working Papers 2001-06, Brown University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  23. Menkhoff, Lukas & Taylor, Mark P., 2006. "The Obstinate Passion of Foreign Exchange Professionals : Technical Analysis," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 769, University of Warwick, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  24. Michael E. Drew & Tony Naughton & Madhu Veeraraghavan, 2003. "Asset Pricing in China: Evidence from the Shanghai Stock Exchange," School of Economics and Finance Discussion Papers and Working Papers Series 128, School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology. [Downloadable!]
  25. Peter Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2002. "Financial Asset Returns, Market Timing, and Volatility Dynamics," CIRANO Working Papers 2002s-02, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
  26. David E. Rapach & Jack K. Strauss, 2008. "Structural breaks and GARCH models of exchange rate volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(1), pages 65-90. [Downloadable!]
  27. Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & James M. Nason, 2003. "Choosing the best volatility models: the model confidence set approach," Working Paper 2003-28, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. [Downloadable!]
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  28. J. Guillermo Llorente & J. del Hoyo, 1999. "Specification Search and Stability Analysis," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999 642, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
  29. Christoph Hanck, 2009. "For which countries did PPP hold? A multiple testing approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 37(1), pages 93-103, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  30. Romulo A. Chumacero, 2004. "Forecasting Chilean Industrial Production and Sales with Automated Procedures," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 112, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  31. Christian M. Dahl & Henrik Hansen & John Smidt, 2008. "The cyclical component factor model," CREATES Research Papers 2008-44, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
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  32. Shamiri, Ahmed & Shaari, Abu Hassan & Isa, Zaidi, 2008. "Comparing the accuracy of density forecasts from competing GARCH models," MPRA Paper 13662, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  33. Peter Hoerdahl & Oreste Tristani, 2004. "A joint econometric model of macroeconomic and term structure dynamics," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 379, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
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  34. Le-Yu Chen & Jerzy Szroeter, 2009. "Hypothesis testing of multiple inequalities: the method of constraint chaining," CeMMAP working papers CWP13/09, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies. [Downloadable!]
  35. Gloria González-Rivera & Tae-Hwy Lee & Santosh Mishra, 2008. "Jumps in cross-sectional rank and expected returns: a mixture model," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(5), pages 585-606. [Downloadable!]
  36. Norman Swanson & Valentina Corradi, 2006. "Nonparametric Bootstrap Procedures for Predictive Inference Based on Recursive Estimation Schemes," Departmental Working Papers 200618, Rutgers University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  37. Sylvain Chassang, 2009. "Non-asymptotic tests of model performance," Economic Theory, Springer, vol. 41(3), pages 495-514, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  38. Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2002. "In-Sample or Out-of-Sample Tests of Predictability: Which One Should We Use?," CEPR Discussion Papers 3671, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  39. Christopher J. Neely, 2004. "Implied volatility from options on gold futures: do statistical forecasts add value or simply paint the lilly?," Working Papers 2003-018, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
  40. Valentina Corradi & Norman Swanson, 2004. "Bootstrap Procedures for Recursive Estimation Schemes With Applications to Forecast Model Selection," Departmental Working Papers 200418, Rutgers University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  41. Gael M. Martin & Andrew Reidy & Jill Wright, 2009. "Does the option market produce superior forecasts of noise-corrected volatility measures?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(1), pages 77-104. [Downloadable!]
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  42. Alonso Gomez & John M Maheu & Alex Maynard, 2008. "Improving Forecasts of Inflation using the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Working Papers tecipa-319, University of Toronto, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  43. Todd E. Clark, 2000. "Can out-of-sample forecast comparisons help prevent overfitting?," Research Working Paper RWP 00-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. [Downloadable!]
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  44. Todd E. Clark & Michael McCracken, 1999. "Tests of Equal Forecast Accuracy and Encompassing for Nested Models," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999 1241, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  45. Christopher J. Neely & Paul A. Weller & Joshua M. Ulrich, 2007. "The adaptive markets hypothesis: evidence from the foreign exchange market," Working Papers 2006-046, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
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  46. Peter Sandholt Jensen & Allan H. Würtz, 2006. "On determining the importance of a regressor with small and undersized samples," Economics Working Papers 2006-08, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
  47. Trino-Manuel Ñíguez, 2003. "Volatility And Var Forecasting For The Ibex-35 Stock-Return Index Using Figarch-Type Processes And Different Evaluation Criteria," Working Papers. Serie AD 2003-33, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie). [Downloadable!]
  48. Peter Sandholt Jensen & Allan H. Würtz, 2005. "The Ill-Posed Problem in Growth Empirics," CAM Working Papers 2005-11, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. Centre for Applied Microeconometrics. [Downloadable!]
  49. Kyungchul Song, 2009. "Testing Predictive Ability and Power Robustification," PIER Working Paper Archive 09-035, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania. [Downloadable!]
  50. Hnatkovska, Viktoria & Marmer, Vadim & Tang, Yao, 2008. "Comparison of Misspecified Calibrated Models: The Minimum Distance Approach," Micro Theory Working Papers vadim_marmer-2008-14, Microeconomics.ca Website, revised 02 Nov 2009. [Downloadable!]
  51. Pablo Pincheira B., 2008. "Predictibilidad Encubierta en Economía: El Caso del Tipo de Cambio Nominal Chileno," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 11(1), pages 137-142, April. [Downloadable!]
  52. GIOT, Pierre & PETITJEAN, Mikael, 2006. "The information content of the Bond-Equity Yield Ratio: better than a random walk?," CORE Discussion Papers 2006089, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE). [Downloadable!]
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  53. Danilov, D.L. & Magnus, J.R., 2001. "On the harm that pretesting does," Discussion Paper 37, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  54. Khurshid Kiani & Terry Kastens, 2008. "Testing Forecast Accuracy of Foreign Exchange Rates: Predictions from Feed Forward and Various Recurrent Neural Network Architectures," Computational Economics, Springer, vol. 32(4), pages 383-406, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  55. David F. Hendry & Hans-Martin Krolzig, 2004. "We Ran One Regression," Economics Papers 2004-W17, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
  56. Céline Gauthier & Fu Chun Li, 2006. "Linking Real Activity and Financial Markets: The Bonds, Equity, and Money (BEAM) Model," Working Papers 06-42, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
  57. Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2002. "Forecast-based model selection in the presence of structural breaks," Research Working Paper RWP 02-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. [Downloadable!]
  58. Jean-Stéphane MESONNIER, 2007. "The predictive content of the real interest rate gap for macroeconomic variables in the euro area," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 102, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
  59. Andrew J. Patton & Kevin Sheppard, 2008. "Evaluating Volatility and Correlation Forecasts," OFRC Working Papers Series 2008fe22, Oxford Financial Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
  60. Valentina Corradi & Norman R. Swanson, 2003. "A Test for Comparing Multiple Misspecified Conditional Distributions," Departmental Working Papers 200314, Rutgers University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  61. Joseph P. Romano & Michael Wolf, 2003. "Stepwise Multiple Testing as Formalized Data Snooping," Economics Working Papers 712, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra. [Downloadable!]
  62. Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2006. "Forecasting of small macroeconomic VARs in the presence of instabilities," Research Working Paper RWP 06-09, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. [Downloadable!]
  63. Joseph P. Romano & Azeem M. Shaikh & Michael Wolf, 2009. "Hypothesis testing in econometrics," IEW - Working Papers iewwp444, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - IEW. [Downloadable!]
  64. J.F. Kaashoek & H.K. Van Dijk, 2001. "Neural networks as econometric tool," Econometric Institute Report 213, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
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  65. Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2004. "Financial Asset Returns, Direction-of-Change Forecasting, and Volatility Dynamics," CFS Working Paper Series 2004/08, Center for Financial Studies. [Downloadable!]
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  66. Artis, Michael J & Clavel, Jose Garcia & Hoffmann, Mathias & Nachane, Dilip M, 2007. "Analyzing Strongly Periodic Series in the Frequency Domain: A Comparison of Alternative Approaches with Applications," CEPR Discussion Papers 6517, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  67. D'Amuri, Francesco & Marcucci, Juri, 2009. ""Google it!" Forecasting the US unemployment rate with a Google job search index," MPRA Paper 18248, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 19 Nov 2009. [Downloadable!]
  68. Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Kim, Jae H., 2006. "Quantile Forecasts of Daily Exchange Rate Returns from Forecasts of Realized Volatility," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 777, University of Warwick, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  69. Mésonnier, J-S., 2006. "The Reliability of Macroeconomic Forecasts based on Real Interest Rate Gap Estimates in Real Time: an Assessment for the Euro Area," Documents de Travail 157, Banque de France. [Downloadable!]
  70. Valls Pereira, Pedro L. & Chicaroli, Rodrigo, 2009. "Predictability of Equity Models," MPRA Paper 10955, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  71. Norman Swanson & Oleg Korenok, 2006. "How Sticky Is Sticky Enough? A Distributional and Impulse Response Analysis of New Keynesian DSGE Models. Extended Working Paper Version," Departmental Working Papers 200612, Rutgers University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  72. Valentina Corradi & Norman R. Swanson, 2003. "Evaluation of Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Models Based on Distributional Comparison of Simulated and Historical Data," Departmental Working Papers 200320, Rutgers University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  73. Kirstin Hubrich & Kenneth D. West, 2009. "Forecast evaluation of small nested model sets," Working Paper Series 1030, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  74. Santosh Mishra & Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera & Tae-Hwy Lee, 2004. "Jumps in Rank and Expected Returns. Introducing Varying Cross-sectional Risk," Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings 356, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
  75. Adrian R. Pagan, Michael R. Veall, 2000. "Data mining and the econometrics industry: comments on the papers of Mayer and of Hoover and Perez," Journal of Economic Methodology, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 7(2), pages 211-216, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  76. Michael E. Drew & Madhu Veeraraghavan, 2001. "Asset Pricing In The Asian Region," School of Economics and Finance Discussion Papers and Working Papers Series 094, School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology. [Downloadable!]
  77. Dora Borbély & Carsten-Patrick Meier, 2003. "Macroeconomic Interval Forecasting: The Case of Assessing the Risk of Deflation in Germany," Kiel Working Papers 1153, Kiel Institute for the World Economy. [Downloadable!]
  78. Yoshua Bengio & Nicolas Chapados, 2002. "Cost Functions and Model Combination for VaR-based Asset Allocation using Neural Networks," CIRANO Working Papers 2002s-49, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
  79. Sucarrat, Genaro, 2009. "Forecast Evaluation of Explanatory Models of Financial Variability," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, vol. 3(8), pages 1-33. [Downloadable!]
  80. Peter C.B. Phillips, 2004. "Automated Discovery in Econometrics," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1469, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  81. Julia Campos & Neil R. Ericsson, 2000. "Constructive data mining: modeling consumers' expenditure in Venezuela," International Finance Discussion Papers 663, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
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  82. Joseph P & Romano & Azeem M. Shaikh & Michael Wolf, 2005. "Formalized Data Snooping Based on Generalized Error Rates," IEW - Working Papers iewwp259, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - IEW. [Downloadable!]
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  83. Geetesh Bhardwaj & Norman Swanson, 2004. "An Empirical Investigation of the Usefulness of ARFIMA Models for Predicting Macroeconomic and Financial Time Series," Departmental Working Papers 200422, Rutgers University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  84. Valentina Corradi & Norman Swanson, 2004. "Predective Density and Conditional Confidence Interval Accuracy Tests," Departmental Working Papers 200423, Rutgers University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  85. Oded Galor & Omer Moav & Dietrich Vollrath, 2004. "Land Inequality and the Origin of Divergence and Overtaking in the Growth Process: Theory and Evidence," Working Papers 2003-04, Brown University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  86. Valentina Corradi & Norman Swanson, 2003. "The Block Bootstrap for Parameter Estimation Error In Recursive Estimation Schemes, With Applications to Predictive Evaluation," Departmental Working Papers 200313, Rutgers University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  87. Buncic, Daniel, 2008. "A note on long horizon forecasts of nonlinear models of real exchange rates: Comments on Rapach and Wohar (2006)," MPRA Paper 6904, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  88. Olivier Brandouy & Philippe Mathieu, 2006. "A Broad-Spectrum Computational Approach for Market Efficiency," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 492, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
  89. Xiaohong Chen & Yanqin Fan, 2004. "Estimation and Model Selection of Semiparametric Copula-Based Multivariate Dynamic Models under Copula Misspecification," Working Papers 0419, Department of Economics, Vanderbilt University, revised Sep 2004. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-8.

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