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We Ran One Regression

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Author Info
David F. Hendry () (Department of Economics, University of Oxford)
Hans-Martin Krolzig (Department of Economics, University of Oxford)
Abstract

The recent controversy over model selection in the context of `growth regressions' has led to some remarkably numerous `estimation' strategies, including 4 million regressions by Sala-i-Martin (1997b). Only one regression is really needed, namely the general unrestricted model, appropriately reduced to a parsimonious encompassing congruent representation. Such an outcome was achieved in one run on PcGets, within 15 minutes of receiving from Professor Ley the data set in Fernández et al (2001). We reproduce that equation, and corroborate the findings in Hoover and Perez (2004), who also adopt an automatic general-to-simple approach.

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Paper provided by Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford in its series Economics Papers with number 2004-W17.

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Length: 9 pages
Date of creation: 10 Mar 2004
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Handle: RePEc:nuf:econwp:0417

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Hendry, David F & Hans-Martin Krolzig, 2003. "The Properties of Automatic Gets Modelling," Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2003 105, Royal Economic Society. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Carmen Fernandez & Eduardo Ley & Mark Steel, 1999. "Model uncertainty in cross-country growth regressions," Econometrics 9903003, EconWPA, revised 06 Oct 2001. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Halbert White, 2000. "A Reality Check for Data Snooping," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 68(5), pages 1097-1126, September.
  4. Phillips, Peter C B, 1996. "Econometric Model Determination," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(4), pages 763-812, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Leamer, Edward E & Leonard, Herman B, 1983. "Reporting the Fragility of Regression Estimates," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 65(2), pages 306-17, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Kevin D. Hoover & Stephen J. Perez, 2004. "Truth and Robustness in Cross-country Growth Regressions," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 66(5), pages 765-798, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Levine, Ross & Renelt, David, 1992. "A Sensitivity Analysis of Cross-Country Growth Regressions," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 82(4), pages 942-63, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Peter C.B. Phillips, 1995. "Automated Forecasts of Asia-Pacific Economic Activity," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1103, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
  9. Julia Campos & David F. Hendry & Hans-Martin Krolzig, 2003. "Consistent Model Selection by an Automatic "Gets" Approach," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 65(s1), pages 803-819, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Stan du Plessis & Ronelle Burger, 2006. "Examining the Robustness of Competing Explanations of Slow Growth in African Countries," Working Papers 03/2006, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Peter Sandholt Jensen & Allan H. Würtz, 2006. "On determining the importance of a regressor with small and undersized samples," Economics Working Papers 2006-08, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
  3. repec:att:wimass:1920516 is not listed on IDEAS
  4. Antonio Ciccone & Marek Jarocinski, 2008. "Determinants of economic growth - will data tell?," Working Paper Series 852, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Dr. (elect.) Julia Korosteleva & Dr. Colin Lawson, . "The Belarusian Case of Transition: Whither Financial Repression?," Working Papers 2006_4, Department of Economics, University of Glasgow. [Downloadable!]
  6. Peter Sandholt Jensen & Allan H. Würtz, 2005. "The Ill-Posed Problem in Growth Empirics," CAM Working Papers 2005-11, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. Centre for Applied Microeconometrics. [Downloadable!]
  7. Madhavi Bokil & Axel Schimmelpfennig, 2005. "Three Attempts at Inflation Forecasting in Pakistan," IMF Working Papers 05/105, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  8. Luc, BAUWENS & Genaro, SUCARRAT, 2006. "General to Specific Modelling of Exchange Rate Volatility : a Forecast Evaluation," Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques Working Paper 2006013, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  9. Paul Cheshire & Stefano Magrini, 2006. "European Urban Growth: Now for Some Problems of Spaceless and Weightless Econometrics," ERSA conference papers ersa06p156, European Regional Science Association. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  10. Rosa Capolupo, 2005. "THE NEW GROWTH THEORIES AND THEIR EMPIRICS, Discussion Paper in Economics, University of Glasgow, N. 2005-04 (http://www.gla.ac.uk/Acad/Economics," GE, Growth, Math methods 0506003, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  11. Steven N. Durlauf & Andros Kourtellos & Chih Ming Tan, 2005. "Empirics of Growth and Development," Discussion Papers Series, Department of Economics, Tufts University 0520, Department of Economics, Tufts University. [Downloadable!]
  12. Mohsin S. Khan & Axel Schimmelpfennig, 2006. "Inflation in Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 45(2), pages 185-202. [Downloadable!]
  13. Alan Martina, 2007. "A Class of Poverty Traps: A Theory and Empirical Tests," ANUCBE School of Economics Working Papers 2007-482, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  14. Rosa Capolupo, . "The New Growth Theoris and their Empirics," Working Papers 2005_4, Department of Economics, University of Glasgow. [Downloadable!]
  15. Julia Campos & Neil R. Ericsson & David F. Hendry, 2005. "General-to-specific modeling: an overview and selected bibliography," International Finance Discussion Papers 838, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
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