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Hassan Afrouzi

Citations

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Working papers

  1. Hassan Afrouzi & Andrés Esteban Blanco & Andrés Drenik & Erik Hust, 2025. "A Theory of How Workers Keep Up With Infl ation," Working Papers 358, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).

    Cited by:

    1. Isaac Baley & Andres Blanco, 2024. "The macroeconomics of irreversibility," Economics Working Papers 1897, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    2. Hajdini, Ina & Knotek, Edward S & Leer, John & Pedemonte, Mathieu & Rich, Robert & Schoenle, Raphael, 2025. "Low Pass-Through from Inflation Expectations to Income Growth Expectations: Why People Dislike Inflation," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 13937, Inter-American Development Bank.
    3. Andrés Blanco, 2025. "Labor Market Dynamics During the 2021-24 Inflation Surge," Policy Hub, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, vol. 2025(3), June.
    4. Ko Adachi & Yoshiyuki Kurachi & Masato Okamoto & Tomohiro Sugo & Akitoshi Toyoda, 2026. "Supply Constraints and Inflation Dynamics," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 26-E-3, Bank of Japan.
    5. Mark Setterfield, 2025. "The COVID pandemic and its aftermath: missed opportunities for avoiding a future of Authoritarian Neoliberalism," Working Papers 2510, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics, revised Jun 2026.

  2. Afrouzi, Hassan & Dietrich, Alexander & Myrseth, Kristian & Priftis, Romanos & Schoenle, Raphael, 2024. "Inflation Preferences," CEPR Discussion Papers 19006, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Rebelo, Sergio & Santana, Miguel & Teles, Pedro, 2025. "Behavioral sticky prices," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 155(S).
    2. Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kim, Kwang Hwan & Coibion, Olivier & Shim, Myungkyu & Lee, Myunghwan Andrew & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Kenny, Geoff & Han, Seowoo & Weber, Michael, 2025. "How Costly Are Business Cycle Volatility and Inflation? A Vox Populi Approach," IZA Discussion Papers 17675, IZA Network @ LISER.
    3. Zarifhonarvar, Ali, 2026. "Generating inflation expectations with large language models," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    4. Kay Blaufus & Lena Dräger & Michael Milde & Judith C. Schneider, 2026. "How Do Money and Tax Illusion Impact Long-Term Investments? An Experiment," CESifo Working Paper Series 12799, CESifo.
    5. Timo Wochner & Lukas Hack & Niklas Potrafke, 2026. "Expert Inflation Preferences and the Evaluation of Monetary Policy," CESifo Working Paper Series 12850, CESifo.

  3. Hassan Afrouzi & Saroj Bhattarai & Edson Wu, 2024. "Relative-Price Changes as Aggregate Supply Shocks Revisited: Theory and Evidence," NBER Working Papers 32816, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Kristin Forbes & Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose, 2025. "Trade-Offs over Rate Cycles: Activity, Inflation, and the Price Level," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2025, volume 40, pages 191-277, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Alice Albonico & Guido Ascari & Qazi Haque & Kostas Mavromatis & Andra Smadu, 2026. "Energy and Monetary Policy in the Euro Area," Working Papers 863, DNB.
    3. Daniela Hauser & Stefano Gnocchi & Laure Simon, 2026. "Time Use and Consumption Expenditures," Staff Working Papers 26-29, Bank of Canada.
    4. Saroj Bhattarai & Arpita Chatterjee & Gautham Udupa, 2025. "Food, Fuel, and Facts: Distributional Effects of Global Price Shocks," International Finance Discussion Papers 1414, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    5. Chen, Tao & Levell, Peter & O'Connell, Martin, 2024. "Cheapflation and the rise of inflation inequality," Discussion Papers escoe-dp-2024-17, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence.
    6. Agnesi, Alessandro & Russo, Alberto, 2025. "Redistribution through inflation: A multi-sector approach to income dynamics," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 69-81.
    7. Anna Lipinska & Enrique Martínez García & Felipe Schwartzman, 2025. "Pandemic and War Inflation: Lessons from the International Experience," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2025-071, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    8. Ipsen, Leonhard & Aminian, Armin & Schulz, Jan, 2025. "Stress-testing Inflation Exposure: Systemically significant prices and asymmetric shock propagation in the EU," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 713-724.
    9. Clarida, Richard, 2024. "A global perspective on post pandemic inflation and its retreat: Remarks prepared for NBER conference on “inflation in the COVID era”," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(S).
    10. Nickel, Christiane & Kilponen, Juha & Moral-Benito, Enrique & Koester, Gerrit & Ciccarelli, Matteo & Enders, Almira & Holton, Sarah & Landau, Bettina & Venditti, Fabrizio & Bobeica, Elena & Brand, Cla, 2025. "A strategic view on the economic and inflation environment in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 371, European Central Bank.
    11. Šestořád, Tomáš & Dvořáková, Natálie, 2026. "Origins of post-COVID-19 inflation in Central European countries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 50(1).
    12. Martin T. Bohl & Niklas Humann & Pierre L. Siklos, 2026. "The Monetary Policy–Commodities Nexus: A Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(2), pages 1050-1082, April.
    13. Zhu, Zixiang & Zhou, Weimin & Wen, Yake, 2026. "The hysteresis effects of investment shocks in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).

  4. Weber, Michael & Candia, Bernardo & Afrouzi, Hassan & Ropele, Tiziano & Lluberas, Rodrigo & Frache, Serafin & Meyer, Brent & Kumar, Saten & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Coibion, Oliv, 2024. "Tell me something I don’t already know: learning in low and high-inflation settings," Working Paper Series 2914, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Meyer, Brent H. & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2025. "Unit cost expectations: Firms’ perspectives on inflation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    2. Hana Braitsch & James Mitchell & Taylor Shiroff, 2024. "Practice Makes Perfect: Learning Effects with Household Point and Density Forecasts of Inflation," Working Papers 24-25, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    3. Dräger, Lena & Marencak, Michal & Nghiem, Giang & Paloviita, Maritta, 2026. "Heterogeneity in Consumers' Economic Expectations across Euro Area Countries," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-747, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
    4. Fiorella De Fiore & Damiano Sandri & James Yetman, 2025. "Household perceptions and expectations in the wake of the inflation surge: survey evidence," BIS Bulletins 104, Bank for International Settlements.
    5. Çekin, Semih Emre & Polattimur, Hamza, 2025. "Televised inflation: Measuring TV news coverage and its effect on household expectations," ZEW Discussion Papers 25-051, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    6. Bernardo Candia & James Mitchell & Damjan Pfajfar, 2026. "The Causal Effects of Tariff Uncertainty on Consumers' Macroeconomic Expectations and Spending Plans," Working Papers 26-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    7. Go Fujii & Shogo Nakano & Kosuke Takatomi, 2025. "Households' Medium- to Long-Term Inflation Expectations Formation: The Role of Past Experience and Inflation Regimes," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 25-E-6, Bank of Japan.
    8. Buelens, Christian, 2025. "Googling ‘inflation’: Household inflation attention across the euro area," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    9. Rychalovska, Yuliya & Slobodyan, Sergey & Wouters, Raf, 2025. "Survey expectations, learning and inflation dynamics," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    10. Ondrej Kusenda & Michal Marencak, 2025. "Attention to food prices and the upward bias in inflation expectations," Working and Discussion Papers WP 9/2025, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    11. Schnorpfeil, Philip & Weber, Michael & Hackethal, Andreas, 2024. "Households' Response to the Wealth Effects of Inflation," VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges 302382, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    12. Dalibor Stevanovic, 2026. "Who Saw It Coming? Historical Experienceand the 2021 Inflation Forecast Failure," Working Papers 26-02, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management.
    13. Brüll, Eduard & Mäurer, Samuel & Rostam-Afschar, Davud, 2025. "Beliefs about Bots: How Employers Plan for AI in White-Collar Work," GLO Discussion Paper Series 1683, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    14. Coleman, Winnie & Nautz, Dieter, 2025. "Asymmetric inflation target credibility," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    15. Bernardino, Tiago & Gabriel, Ricardo Duque & Quelhas, João & Silva-Pereira, Márcia, 2025. "The full, persistent, and symmetric pass-through of a temporary VAT cut," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    16. Łyziak, Tomasz & Pedersen, Michael & Stanisławska, Ewa, 2025. "Consumer inflation expectations and local price changes: Learning from experience," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    17. Fuster, Andreas & Gianinazzi, Virginia & Hackethal, Andreas & Schnorpfeil, Philip & Weber, Michael, 2026. "The response of debtors to rate changes," SAFE Working Paper Series 469, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    18. Jessica Piccolo & Alessia Russo & Eleonora Granziera & Efrem Castelnuovo, 2026. "Households’ Macroeconomic Beliefs: The Role of Education," CESifo Working Paper Series 12784, CESifo.
    19. Fabio Braggion & Felix von Meyerinck & Nic Schaub & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2025. "The Long-Term Effects of Inflation on Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 11679, CESifo.
    20. Erwan Gautier & Jérémi Montornès, 2025. "Measuring Households' Inflation Expectations in the Euro Area: The Effect of Panel Conditioning," Working papers 1007, Banque de France.
    21. Benchimol, Jonathan & Bounader, Lahcen & Dotta, Mario, 2025. "Estimating Behavioral Inattention," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 236, pages 1-34.
    22. Cho, Dooyeon & Jung, Jaehun, 2026. "Mind the tone: Responses of inflation expectations to central bankers’ speeches," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    23. Schnorpfeil, Philip & Weber, Michael & Hackethal, Andreas, 2024. "Inflation and trading," SAFE Working Paper Series 419, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    24. Pavlova, Lora, 2025. "Framing effects in consumer expectations surveys," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    25. Hoffmann, Mathias & Mönch, Emanuel & Pavlova, Lora & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2025. "A KISS for central bank communication in times of high inflation," ZEW Discussion Papers 25-031, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    26. Jaanika Meriküll & Matthias Rottner, 2025. "Monetary policy and earnings inequality: inflation dependencies," BIS Working Papers 1271, Bank for International Settlements.
    27. Medina, J.P. & Mello, Miguel & Ponce, Jorge, 2024. "Heterogeneous inflation expectations: A call for customized monetary policy communication?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    28. Kieren, Pascal & König-Kersting, Christian & Schmidt, Robert & Trautmann, Stefan & Heinicke, Franziska, 2025. "First-order and higher-order inflation expectations: Evidence about Households and Firms," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    29. Lovisa Reiche & Gabriele Galati & Richhild Moessner & Maarten van Rooij, 2026. "Who’s on Fire? Household Characteristics and the Formation of Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 12450, CESifo.
    30. Benjamin Born & Nora Lamersdorf & Jana-Lynn Schuster & Sascha Steffen, 2025. "From Tweets to Transactions: High-Frequency Inflation Expectations, Consumption, and Stock Returns," CESifo Working Paper Series 12361, CESifo.
    31. Nickel, Christiane & Kilponen, Juha & Moral-Benito, Enrique & Koester, Gerrit & Ciccarelli, Matteo & Enders, Almira & Holton, Sarah & Landau, Bettina & Venditti, Fabrizio & Bobeica, Elena & Brand, Cla, 2025. "A strategic view on the economic and inflation environment in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 371, European Central Bank.
    32. Lena Dräger & Klaus Gründler & Niklas Potrafke, 2025. "Peer Effects in Macroeconomic Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 11892, CESifo.
    33. Gonzalez, Felipe & Prem, Mounu, 2025. "Government Support in Times of Crisis: Transfers and the Road to Socialism," OSF Preprints vnz6d_v1, Center for Open Science.
    34. Timo Wochner & Lukas Hack & Niklas Potrafke, 2026. "Expert Inflation Preferences and the Evaluation of Monetary Policy," CESifo Working Paper Series 12850, CESifo.
    35. Sohei Kaihatsu & Shogo Nakano & Hiroki Yamamoto, 2024. "Macroeconomic Impact of Shifts in Long-term Inflation Expectations," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 24-E-18, Bank of Japan.
    36. Daria Minina & Gabriele Galati & Richhild Moessner & Maarten van Rooij, 2024. "The effect of information on consumer inflation expectations," Working Papers 810, DNB.
    37. Nathan Goldstein & Ohad Raveh, 2024. "Looking up the sky: unidentified aerial phenomena and macroeconomic attention," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-25, December.
    38. Lovisa Reiche & Gabriele Galati & Richhild Moessner & Maarten van Rooij, 2025. "Who’s on FIRE? Household characteristics and the formation of inflation expectations," Working Papers 852, DNB.

  5. Hassan Afrouzi & Joel P. Flynn & Choongryul Yang, 2024. "What Can Measured Beliefs Tell Us About Monetary Non-Neutrality?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-053, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Oliver Pfäuti & Edson Wu, 2026. "Inattentive Price Setting and Inflation Under Fiscal Policy Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series 12912, CESifo.
    2. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2025. "Inflation, Expectations and Monetary Policy: What Have We Learned and to What End?," IZA Discussion Papers 17919, IZA Network @ LISER.
    3. Jamie Hentall-MacCuish, 2024. "Costly attention and retirement," IFS Working Papers W24/59, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    4. Ou, Shengliang & Yin, Penghui & Zhang, Donghai & Zhang, Renbin, 2026. "Nominal rigidities, rational inattention, and the optimal monetary policy," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).

  6. Hassan Afrouzi & Marina Halac & Kenneth S. Rogoff & Pierre Yared, 2024. "Changing Central Bank Pressures and Inflation," NBER Working Papers 32308, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Eijffinger, Sylvester C. W. & de Haan, Jakob, 2026. "Central bank independence: An update," IMFS Working Paper Series 229, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    2. Forbes, Kristin & Ha, Jongrim & Kose, Ayhan, 2025. "Tradeoffs over Rate Cycles : Activity, Inflation and the Price Level," Policy Research Working Paper Series 11130, The World Bank.
    3. Michael T. Kiley, 2024. "Monetary Policy, Employment Shortfalls, and the Natural Rate Hypothesis," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-032, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    4. Marius GUST, 2024. "Evolutions And Explanations About Post-Pandemic Inflation," Contemporary Economy Journal, Constantin Brancoveanu University, vol. 9(4), pages 99-109.
    5. Ambrosino, Ludovica & Chan, Jenny & Tenreyro, Silvana, 2026. "Trade fragmentation, inflationary pressures and monetary policy," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 130958, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

  7. Hassan Afrouzi & Saroj Bhattarai, 2023. "Inflation and GDP Dynamics in Production Networks: A Sufficient Statistics Approach," CESifo Working Paper Series 10416, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Bilgin, Nuriye Melisa, 2025. "Inflation diffusion through supply chains," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    2. Javier Bianchi & Alisdair McKay & Neil Mehrotra, 2024. "How Should Monetary Policy Respond to Housing Inflation?," Working Papers 808, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    3. Mishel Ghassibe & Anton Nakov, 2025. "Business Cycles with Pricing Cascades," Working Papers 1525, Barcelona School of Economics.
    4. Ṣebnem Kalemli-Özcan, 2023. "Comment on "Inflation Strikes Back: The Role of Import Competition and the Labor Market"," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2023, volume 38, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Mishel Ghassibe & Boromeus Wanengkirtyo & Ivan Yotzov, 2025. "Intertemporal Pass-Through," Working Papers 1524, Barcelona School of Economics.
    6. Anastasiia Antonova & Luis Huxel & Mykhailo Matvieiev & Gernot J. Muller & Gernot Müller, 2025. "The Propagation of Tariff Shocks via Production Networks," CESifo Working Paper Series 11917, CESifo.
    7. Hommes, Cars & He, Mario & Poledna, Sebastian & Siqueira, Melissa & Zhang, Yang, 2025. "CANVAS: A Canadian behavioral agent-based model for monetary policy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    8. Aruoba, S. Borağan & Drechsel, Thomas, 2024. "The long and variable lags of monetary policy: Evidence from disaggregated price indices," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(S).
    9. Lydia Cox & Jiacheng Feng & Gernot J. Müller & Ernesto Pastén & Raphael Schoenle & Michael Weber, 2024. "Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Disaggregated Economies," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 1024, Central Bank of Chile.
    10. Balleer, Almut & Noeller, Marvin, 2023. "Monetary policy in the presence of supply constraints: Evidence from German firm-level data," Ruhr Economic Papers 1060, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    11. Müller, Tobias & McMiken, Shane, 2026. "Fiscal policy transmission through production networks with heterogeneous households," Working Paper Series 3244, European Central Bank.
    12. Afrouzi, Hassan & Bhattarai, Saroj & Wu, Edson, 2024. "Relative-price changes as aggregate supply shocks revisited: Theory and evidence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(S).
    13. Gnocato, Nicolò & Montes-Galdón, Carlos & Stamato, Giovanni, 2025. "Tariffs across the supply chain," Working Paper Series 3081, European Central Bank.
    14. Monti, Francesca & Van Keirsbilck, Leïla, 2025. "The transmission of shocks across sectors and the dynamics of sectoral prices," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2025014, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    15. Mishel Ghassibe, 2024. "Endogenous Production Networks and Non-Linear Monetary Transmission," Working Papers 1449, Barcelona School of Economics.

  8. Hassan Afrouzi & Carolina Arteaga & Emily K. Weisburst, 2023. "Is it the Message or the Messenger? Examining Movement in Immigration Beliefs," NBER Working Papers 31385, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Felipe Goncalves & Elisa Jacome & Emily Weisburst, 2026. "Community Engagement and Public Safety: Evidence From Crime Enforcement Targeting Immigrants," Working Papers 26-23, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
    2. Kashner, Daniel & Stalinski, Mateusz, 2024. "Preempting polarization: An experiment on opinion formation," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    3. Giampaolo Bonomi, 2024. "Disagreement Spillovers," Papers 2411.11186, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2026.

  9. Hassan Afrouzi & Marina Halac & Kenneth S. Rogoff & Pierre Yared, 2023. "Monetary Policy without Commitment," NBER Working Papers 31207, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Amador, Manuel & Phelan, Christopher, 2026. "Central bank reputation with noise," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    2. ha, jongrim & Kose, Ayhan M. & Ohnsorge, Franziska & Yilmazkuday, Hakan, 2023. "What Explains Global Inflation," MPRA Paper 119645, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Tom D. Holden, 2024. "Robust Real Rate Rules," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 92(5), pages 1521-1551, September.
    4. Forbes,Kristin & Jongrim Ha & Ayhan Kose, 2024. "Rate Cycles," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10876, The World Bank.
    5. Kostadinov, Rumen & Roldán, Francisco, 2025. "Reputation and the credibility of inflation plans," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).

  10. Hassan Afrouzi & Andres Drenik & Ryan Kim, 2023. "Concentration, Market Power, and Misallocation: The Role of Endogenous Customer Acquisition," NBER Working Papers 31415, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Cavenaile, Laurent & Celik, Murat Alp & Roldan-Blanco, Pau & Tian, Xu, 2025. "Style over substance? Advertising, innovation, and endogenous market structure," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    2. Jeremy Pearce & Liangjie Wu, 2024. "Brand Reallocation and Market Concentration," Staff Reports 1116, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    3. Reto Foellmi & Björn Hartmann & Josef Zweimüller, 2025. "Income Distribution, Welfare, and the Patterns of Trade," CESifo Working Paper Series 12107, CESifo.
    4. Parakhonyak, Alexei & Rhodes, Andrew, 2024. "Dynamic Consumer Search," TSE Working Papers 24-1606, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).

  11. Hassan Afrouzi & Choongryul Yang, 2021. "Dynamic Rational Inattention and the Phillips Curve," CESifo Working Paper Series 8840, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Michael D. Bauer & Carolin E. Pflueger & Adi Sunderam, 2022. "Perceptions about Monetary Policy," CESifo Working Paper Series 10182, CESifo.
    2. Laura Veldkamp & Isaac Baley, 2021. "Bayesian Learning," Working Papers 1287, Barcelona School of Economics.
    3. Bartosz Maćkowiak & Mirko Wiederholt, 2026. "Rational Inattention during a Randomized Controlled Trial," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 8(1), pages 19-35, March.
    4. Drobysheva, Alexandra (Дробышева, Александра) & Merzlyakov, Sergey (Мерзляков, Сергей), 2024. "The Forward Guidance Puzzle and Anchored Inflation Expectations," Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, issue 6, pages 6-25.
    5. Meyer, Brent H. & Prescott, Brian C. & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2023. "The impact of supply chain disruptions on business expectations during the pandemic," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    6. Hobler, Stephan, 2022. "Multi-layered rational inattention and time-varying volatility," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    7. Ángelo Gutiérrez-Daza, 2024. "Business Cycles when Consumers Learn by Shopping," Working Papers 2024-12, Banco de México.
    8. Jørgensen, Peter Lihn & Lansing, Kevin J., 2025. "Anchored inflation expectations and the slope of the Phillips curve," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    9. Haschka, Rouven E., 2024. "Examining the New Keynesian Phillips Curve in the U.S.: Why has the relationship between inflation and unemployment weakened?," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(4).
    10. Oliver Pfäuti, 2025. "Inflation—Who Cares? Monetary Policy in Times of Low Attention," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 57(5), pages 1211-1239, August.
    11. Bernardo Candia & Olivier Coibion & Serafin Frache & Dmitris Georgarakos & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Geoff Kenny & Saten Kumar & Rodrigo Lluberas & Brent Meyer & Tiziano Ropele & Michael Weber, 2023. "Tell Me Something I Don't Already Know: Learning in Low- and High-Inflation Settings," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2023-8, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    12. Botond Kőszegi & Filip Matějka, 2020. "Choice Simplification: A Theory of Mental Budgeting and Naive Diversification [“Fungibility, Labels, and Consumption,”]," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 135(2), pages 1153-1207.
    13. Maćkowiak, Bartosz & Wiederholt, Mirko, 2025. "Rational inattention during an RCT," Working Paper Series 3054, European Central Bank.
    14. Rupal Kamdar & Walker Ray, 2024. "Attention-Driven Sentiment and the Business Cycle," CAEPR Working Papers 2024-003 Classification-, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
    15. Maćkowiak, Bartosz, 2025. "Rational inattention and information provision experiments," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 134.
    16. Anat Bracha & Jenny Tang, 2025. "Inflation Levels and (In)Attention [On a System of Inequalities in Demand Analysis: An Extension of the Classical Method]," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 92(3), pages 1564-1594.
    17. Jamie Hentall-MacCuish, 2024. "Costly attention and retirement," IFS Working Papers W24/59, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    18. Hassan Afrouzi & Joel P. Flynn & Choongryul Yang, 2024. "What Can Measured Beliefs Tell Us About Monetary Non-Neutrality?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-053, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    19. Ahn, Hie Joo & Xie, Shihan & Yang, Choongryul, 2024. "Effects of monetary policy on household expectations: The role of homeownership," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    20. Contreras, Alfredo, 2023. "Learning specialists and market resilience," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    21. Tatsushi Okuda & Tomohiro Tsuruga & Francesco Zanetti, 2026. "Imperfect Information, Composition of Demand Shocks, and the Flattening of the Phillips Curve," CESifo Working Paper Series 12607, CESifo.
    22. Howard, Greg, 2021. "A check for rational inattention," MPRA Paper 108243, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    23. Joshua Bernstein & Rupal Kamdar, 2021. "Rationally Inattentive Monetary Policy," CAEPR Working Papers 2021-003 Classification-D, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
    24. Hunziker, Hans-Ueli & Raggi, Christian & Rosenblatt-Wisch, Rina & Zanetti, Attilio, 2022. "The impact of guidance, short-term dynamics and individual characteristics on firms’ long-term inflation expectations," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    25. Zidong An & Salem Abo‐Zaid & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2023. "Inattention and the impact of monetary policy," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(4), pages 623-643, June.
    26. McCloud, Nadine, 2024. "What has inflation targeting done for household consumption?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PC).
    27. Yang, Choongryul, 2022. "Rational inattention, menu costs, and multi-product firms: Micro evidence and aggregate implications," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 105-123.
    28. Sebastian Link & Andreas Peichl & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2022. "Information Frictions among Firms and Households," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 140, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    29. Zhao Han & Xiaohan Ma & Ruoyun Mao, 2023. "The Role of Dispersed Information in Inflation and Inflation Expectations," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 48, pages 72-106, April.
    30. Maćkowiak, Bartosz & Wiederholt, Mirko, 2023. "Rational inattention and the business cycle effects of productivity and news shocks," Working Paper Series 2827, European Central Bank.
    31. Han, Zhao, 2024. "Asymmetric information and misaligned inflation expectations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    32. Antoine Camous & Dmitry Matveev, 2025. "Monetary Communication and Credibility in a Multi-Sector Economy," Working papers 1013, Banque de France.
    33. Maćkowiak, Bartosz & Matějka, Filip & Wiederholt, Mirko, 2021. "Rational inattention: a review," Working Paper Series 2570, European Central Bank.

  12. Afrouzi, Hassan & Kwon, Spencer Yongwook & Landier, Augustin & Ma, Yueran & Thesmar, David, 2021. "Overreaction in Expectations: Evidence and Theory," HEC Research Papers Series 1444, HEC Paris.

    Cited by:

    1. Jonas D. M. Fisher & Leonardo Melosi & Sebastian Rast, 2025. "Long-Run Inflation Expectations," Working Papers 829, DNB.
    2. He, Wei & Su, Zhiwei & Yu, Jianfeng, 2024. "Macroeconomic perceptions, financial constraints, and anomalies," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    3. Marianne Andries & Milo Bianchi & Karen Huynh & Sébastien Pouget, 2024. "Return Predictability, Expectations, and Investment: Experimental Evidence," Post-Print hal-04680777, HAL.
    4. Lustenhouwer, Joep & Salle, Isabelle, 2025. "Learning to be rational in the presence of news: A lab investigation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    5. Yuval Salant & Jörg L. Spenkuch & David Almog, 2025. "The Memory Premium," CESifo Working Paper Series 11787, CESifo.
    6. Alistair Macaulay & James Moberly, 2026. "Heterogeneity in Imperfect Inflation Expectations: Theory and Evidence from a Novel Survey," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 58(4), pages 969-994, June.
    7. Bao, Te & Dai, Yun & Duffy, John, 2025. "Least squares learning? Evidence from the laboratory," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    8. Conrad, Christian & Lahiri, Kajal, 2023. "Heterogeneous expectations among professional forecasters," ZEW Discussion Papers 23-062, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    9. Gerotto, Luca & Paradiso, Antonio & Pellizzari, Paolo, 2025. "A tale of inattentiveness and the loss function: A model for household-level macroeconomic expectations," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    10. Qiu, Yajie & Deschamps, Bruno, 2025. "Peer influence in macroeconomic predictions," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    11. Barahona, Ricardo & Cassella, Stefano & Jansen, Kristy & Pezone, Vincenzo, 2026. "Do teams alleviate or exacerbate overreaction in beliefs?," Other publications TiSEM 346da07d-dd26-4bc4-b22b-d, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    12. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench & Bruce Preston, 2025. "How Do We Learn About the Long Run?," Staff Reports 1150, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    13. Li, Ye & Wang, Chen, 2025. "The Information Cliff," SocArXiv bf8cx_v1, Center for Open Science.
    14. Jonas D. M. Fisher, Jonas D. & Melosi, Leonardo & Sebastian Rast, Sebastian, 2025. "Long-Run Inflation Expectations," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1551, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    15. Charles, Constantin & Frydman, Cary & Kilic, Mete, 2024. "Insensitive investors," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 120788, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    16. Ahmed, Haseeb & Giffin, Erin & Manian, Shanthi, 2025. "Memory constraints in adoption of productive technologies," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    17. Yves Breitmoser & Justin Valasek & Justin Mattias Valasek, 2023. "Why Do Committees Work?," CESifo Working Paper Series 10800, CESifo.
    18. Sebastian Link & Andreas Peichl & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart & Oliver Pfaeuti, 2025. "Attention to the Macroeconomy," CEBI working paper series 23-09, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. The Center for Economic Behavior and Inequality (CEBI).
    19. Matteo Bizzarri & Daniele d'Arienzo, 2024. "The social value of overreaction to information," Papers 2403.08532, arXiv.org.
    20. Ghaderi, Mohammad & Seo, Sang Byung & Shaliastovich, Ivan, 2026. "Learning and subjective beliefs about good and bad inflation ranges," SAFE Working Paper Series 478, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    21. Breitmoser, Yves & Valasek, Justin, 2023. "Why do committees work?," Discussion Paper Series in Economics 18/2023, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Economics.
    22. Michael T. Kiley, 2025. "Monetary Policy Strategy and the Anchoring of Long-Run Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2025-027, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    23. Fan, Tony Q. & Liang, Yucheng & Peng, Cameron, 2026. "The inference-forecast gap in belief updating," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 131071, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    24. Constantin Charles & Cary Frydman & Mete Kilic, 2024. "Insensitive Investors," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(4), pages 2473-2503, August.
    25. Bürgi, Constantin & Ortiz, Julio L., 2026. "Overreaction through anchoring," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 512-526.
    26. Isaac Baley & Javier Turen, 2024. "Lumpy forecasts," Economics Working Papers 1898, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    27. Bro, Jeppe & Eriksen, Jonas N., 2025. "Subjective expectations and house prices," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    28. Zhenyu Gao & Wenxi Jiang & Yutong Yan, 2026. "Debiasing LLMs by Fine-tuning," Papers 2604.02921, arXiv.org, revised May 2026.
    29. Bulkley, George & Harris, Richard D.F. & Nawosah, Vivekanand, 2025. "Behavioral biases, information frictions and interest rate expectations," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    30. Pietro Bini & Lin William Cong & Xing Huang & Lawrence J. Jin, 2026. "Behavioral Economics of AI: LLM Biases and Corrections," Papers 2602.09362, arXiv.org.
    31. Filippo Natoli & Sharath Sonti, 2026. "Overconfident forecasters and the impact of inflation information: evidence from a randomized survey experiment," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1532, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    32. Enke, Benjamin & Schwerter, Frederik & Zimmermann, Florian, 2024. "Associative memory, beliefs and market interactions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    33. Aktuğ, Emrehan & Rezghi, Abolfazl, 2025. "Asymmetric overreaction," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    34. Jonas Radbruch & Amelie Schiprowski, 2024. "Interview Sequences and the Formation of Subjective Assessments," CESifo Working Paper Series 10957, CESifo.
    35. Han, Leyla Jianyu, 2025. "Announcements, expectations, and stock returns with asymmetric information," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    36. Dayong Huang & Lijun Lei & Mengmeng Wang & Yuhang Xing, 2025. "Managerial Overextrapolation: Who and When," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 71(6), pages 5328-5350, June.
    37. Heinke, Steve & Olschewski, Sebastian & Rieskamp, Jörg, 2024. "Experiences, demand for risky investments, and implications for price dynamics," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    38. Angelico, Cristina, 2024. "The green transition and firms' expectations on future prices: Survey evidence," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 221(C), pages 519-543.
    39. Zarifhonarvar, Ali, 2026. "Generating inflation expectations with large language models," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    40. Benjamin Christoffersen & Arvid Hoffmann & Zwetelina Iliewa & Lena Jaroszek, 2025. "Experience Effects on Wall Street vs. Main Street: Field and Lab Evidence of Context Dependence," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2025_684, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    41. Chua, Yeow Hwee & Hong, Zu Yao, 2026. "Tail risk and expectations," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    42. Barahona, Ricardo & Cassella, Stefano & Jansen, Kristy A.E. & Pezone, Vincenzo, 2026. "Do teams alleviate or exacerbate overreaction in beliefs?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
    43. Kerry Xiao & Amy Zang, 2025. "Vague Knowledge: Evidence from Analyst Reports," Papers 2505.12269, arXiv.org, revised May 2025.
    44. Campiglio, Emanuele & Lamperti, Francesco & Terranova, Roberta, 2024. "Believe me when I say green! Heterogeneous expectations and climate policy uncertainty," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    45. Leland Bybee, 2023. "Surveying Generative AI's Economic Expectations," Papers 2305.02823, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
    46. James Cloyne & Òscar Jordà & Sanjay R. Singh & Alan M. Taylor, 2025. "Asset Prices and Credit with Diagnostic Expectations," Working Paper Series 2025-15, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    47. Junyi Liao, 2026. "Adaptive expectations and reaction to information," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 93(370), pages 488-523, April.
    48. Zanetti Chini, Emilio, 2025. "Judgment can spur long memory," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).

  13. Hassan Afrouzi, 2020. "Strategic Inattention, Inflation Dynamics, and the Non-Neutrality of Money," CESifo Working Paper Series 8218, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Meyer, Brent H. & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2025. "Unit cost expectations: Firms’ perspectives on inflation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    2. Meyer, Brent H. & Prescott, Brian C. & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2023. "The impact of supply chain disruptions on business expectations during the pandemic," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    3. Marmora, Paul, 2022. "Does monetary policy fuel bitcoin demand? Event-study evidence from emerging markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    4. Ivan Yotzov & Nicholas Bloom & Philip Bunn & Paul Mizen & Gregory Thwaites, 2024. "The speed of firm response to inflation," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 1085, Bank of England.
    5. Konchitchki, Yaniv & Xie, Jin, 2023. "Undisclosed material inflation risk," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(S), pages 82-100.
    6. Macaulay, Alistair, 2021. "The attention trap: Rational inattention, inequality, and fiscal policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    7. Brent Meyer & Xuguang Sheng, 2024. "Unit Cost Expectations and Uncertainty: Firms' Perspectives on Inflation," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2021-12b, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    8. McCloud, Nadine, 2022. "Does domestic investment respond to inflation targeting? A synthetic control investigation," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 98-134.
    9. Gondhi, Naveen, 2023. "Rational inattention, misallocation, and the aggregate economy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 50-75.
    10. Peter Zorn, 2020. "Investment under Rational Inattention: Evidence from US Sectoral Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 8436, CESifo.
    11. Tatsushi Okuda & Tomohiro Tsuruga & Francesco Zanetti, 2026. "Imperfect Information, Composition of Demand Shocks, and the Flattening of the Phillips Curve," CESifo Working Paper Series 12607, CESifo.
    12. Weber, Michael & D’Acunto, Francesco & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Coibion, Olivier, 2022. "The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications," IZA Discussion Papers 15391, IZA Network @ LISER.
    13. Meyer, Brent H. & Prescott, Brian & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2022. "The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on business expectations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 529-544.
    14. Masataka Eguchi & Takayuki Tsuruga & Mai Yamada, 2026. "Inattention to market shrinkage: The case of the photo film market," ISER Discussion Paper 1307, Institute of Social and Economic Research, The University of Osaka.
    15. Olivier Wang & Iván Werning, 2020. "Dynamic Oligopoly and Price Stickiness," NBER Working Papers 27536, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    16. Frache, Serafin & Lluberas, Rodrigo & Turen, Javier, 2024. "Belief-dependent pricing decisions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    17. McCloud, Nadine, 2024. "What has inflation targeting done for household consumption?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PC).
    18. Sebastian Link & Andreas Peichl & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2022. "Information Frictions among Firms and Households," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 140, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    19. Hassan Afrouzi & Choongryul Yang, 2021. "Dynamic Rational Inattention and the Phillips Curve," CESifo Working Paper Series 8840, CESifo.
    20. Chan, Jenny, 2024. "Monetary policy and sentiment-driven fluctuations," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    21. Zaccaria, Niccolò, 2025. "Overconfidence and Information Aggregation," Discussion Paper 2025-004, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    22. Jenny Chan, 2024. "Monetary policy and sentiment-driven fluctuations," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 1106, Bank of England.

  14. Hassan Afrouzi & Spencer Yongwook Kwon & Augustin Landier & Yueran Ma & David Thesmar, 2020. "Overreaction and Working Memory," NBER Working Papers 27947, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Hagenhoff, Tim & Lustenhouwer, Joep, 2023. "The role of stickiness, extrapolation and past consensus forecasts in macroeconomic expectations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    2. Bao, Te & Hommes, Cars & Pei, Jiaoying, 2021. "Expectation formation in finance and macroeconomics: A review of new experimental evidence," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    3. Rava Azeredo da Silveira & Yeji Sung & Michael Woodford, 2020. "Optimally Imprecise Memory and Biased Forecasts," CESifo Working Paper Series 8709, CESifo.
    4. Oliver Pfauti, 2021. "Inflation -- who cares? Monetary Policy in Times of Low Attention," Papers 2105.05297, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
    5. Andrade, Philippe & Gautier, Erwan & Mengus, Eric, 2023. "What matters in households’ inflation expectations?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 50-68.
    6. Alistair Macaulay & James Moberly, 2022. "Heterogeneity in imperfect inflation expectations:theory and evidence from a novel survey," Economics Series Working Papers 970, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    7. Liu, Haoyang & Palmer, Christopher, 2026. "Implicit extrapolation and the beliefs channel of investment demand," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    8. Neligh, Nathaniel, 2024. "Rational memory with decay," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 223(C), pages 120-145.
    9. Zarifhonarvar, Ali, 2026. "Generating inflation expectations with large language models," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    10. Hassan Afrouzi & Choongryul Yang, 2021. "Dynamic Rational Inattention and the Phillips Curve," CESifo Working Paper Series 8840, CESifo.

  15. Hassan Afrouzi & Laura Veldkamp, 2019. "Biased Inflation Forecasts," 2019 Meeting Papers 894, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    Cited by:

    1. Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Sergeyev, Dmitriy, 2021. "Zero Lower Bound on Inflation Expectations," IZA Discussion Papers 14853, IZA Network @ LISER.
    2. Kenneth Eva & Fabian Winkler, 2023. "A Comprehensive Empirical Evaluation of Biases in Expectation Formation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-042, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. Zarifhonarvar, Ali, 2026. "Generating inflation expectations with large language models," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).

  16. Choongryul Yang & Hassan Afrouzi, 2018. "Dynamic Inattention, the Phillips Curve, and Forward Guidance," 2018 Meeting Papers 559, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ina Hajdini & Saten Kumar & Samreen Malik & Jordan J. Norris & Mathieu Pedemonte, 2025. "Supply Chain Networks and the Macroeconomic Expectations of Firms," Working Papers 25-17, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

  17. Hassan Afrouzi, 2016. "Endogenous firm competition and the cyclicality of markups," Globalization Institute Working Papers 265, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.

    Cited by:

    1. Agnesi, Alessandro & Russo, Alberto, 2025. "Redistribution through inflation: A multi-sector approach to income dynamics," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 69-81.

  18. Saten Kumar & Hassan Afrouzi & Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2015. "Inflation Targeting Does Not Anchor Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Firms in New Zealand," NBER Working Papers 21814, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Carola Binder, 2020. "Coronavirus Fears and Macroeconomic Expectations," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(4), pages 721-730, October.
    2. Meyer, Brent H. & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2025. "Unit cost expectations: Firms’ perspectives on inflation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    3. Serafin Frache & Rodrigo Lluberas & Javier Turen, 2021. "Belief-Dependent Pricing Decisions," Documentos de Trabajo/Working Papers 2101, Facultad de Ciencias Empresariales y Economia. Universidad de Montevideo..
    4. Knut Are Aastveit & Hilde Christiane Bjørnland & Jamie L. Cross, 2020. "Inflation expectations and the pass-through of oil prices," Working Papers No 03/2020, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    5. Olesya Grishchenko & Sarah Mouabbi & Jean‐Paul Renne, 2019. "Measuring Inflation Anchoring and Uncertainty: A U.S. and Euro Area Comparison," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(5), pages 1053-1096, August.
    6. Tatsushi Okuda & Tomohiro Tsuruga, 2021. "Inflation Expectations and Central Bank Communication with Unknown Prior," IMES Discussion Paper Series 21-E-07, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    7. Marmora, Paul, 2022. "Does monetary policy fuel bitcoin demand? Event-study evidence from emerging markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    8. Thuy Hang Duong, 2026. "The Time‐Varying Anchoring of Inflation Expectations in Australia," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 59(1), pages 59-74, March.
    9. Ursel Baumann & Annalisa Ferrando & Dmitris Georgarakos & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Timo Reinelt, 2025. "Do Inflation Expectations Become More Anchored During a Disinflation Episode? Evidence for Euro Area Firms," Working Paper Series 2025-02, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    10. Steve Brito & Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & Bertrand Gruss, 2018. "Disagreement about Future Inflation: Understanding the Benefits of Inflation Targeting and Transparency," IMF Working Papers 2018/024, International Monetary Fund.
    11. Jonathan G. James & Philip Lawler, 2024. "Clarity of Central Bank Communication and the Social Value of Public Information," Working Papers 2024-03, Swansea University, School of Management.
    12. Javier Turen, 2018. "Rational Inattention-driven dispersion over the business cycle," 2018 Meeting Papers 796, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    13. Carlos R. Barrera Chaupis, 2018. "Expectations and Central Banks' Forecasts: The Experience of Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Peru and the United Kingdom, 2004 – 2014," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 68(6), pages 578-599, December.
    14. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Kumar, Saten & Ryngaert, Jane, 2021. "Do You Know that I Know that You Know…? Higher-Order Beliefs in Survey Data," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt5cd1r3bd, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
    15. End, Nicolas, 2023. "Big Brother is also being watched: Measuring fiscal credibility," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    16. Helena G. Keefe & Erick W. Rengifo, 2019. "Currency Options, Implied Interest Rates and Inflation Targeting," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(2), pages 119-136, February.
    17. M. Ayhan Kose & Hideaki Matsuoka & Ugo Panizza & Dana Vorisek, 2019. "Inflation Expectations: Review and Evidence," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1904, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    18. Enders, Zeno & Hünnekes, Franziska & Müller, Gernot J., 2019. "Monetary policy announcements and expectations: Evidence from german firms," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 45-63.
    19. Michael Pedersen, 2020. "Surveying the survey: What can we learn about the effects of monetary policy on inflation expectations?," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 889, Central Bank of Chile.
    20. Thórarinn G. Pétursson, 2018. "Disinflation and improved anchoring of long-term inflation expectations - The Icelandic experience," Economics wp77, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
    21. Bachmann, Rüdiger, 2019. "Comments on “Monetary policy announcements and expectations: Evidence from German firms”," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 64-68.
    22. Bernd Hayo & Florian Neumeier, 2023. "Do consumers actually monitor the inflation rate? Evidence from New Zealand," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(1), pages 1-8, January.
    23. Mr. Rudolfs Bems & Francesca Caselli & Mr. Francesco Grigoli & Bertrand Gruss, 2019. "Gains from Anchoring Inflation Expectations: Evidence from the Taper Tantrum Shock," IMF Working Papers 2019/075, International Monetary Fund.
    24. Thórarinn G. Pétursson, 2019. "Long-term inflation expectations and inflation dynamics," Economics wp81, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
    25. Tomiyuki Kitamura & Masaki Tanaka, 2019. "Firms' Inflation Expectations under Rational Inattention and Sticky Information: An Analysis with a Small-Scale Macroeconomic Model," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 19-E-16, Bank of Japan.
    26. Ehrmann, Michael, 2021. "Point targets, tolerance bands or target ranges? Inflation target types and the anchoring of inflation expectations," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    27. Arrondel, Luc & Calvo Pardo, Héctor & Giannitsarou, Chryssi & Haliassos, Michael, 2022. "Informative Social Interactions," CEPR Discussion Papers 14840, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    28. Sutirtha Bagchi, 2017. "A Tale of Two Cities: An Examination of Medallion Prices in New York and Chicago," Villanova School of Business Department of Economics and Statistics Working Paper Series 33, Villanova School of Business Department of Economics and Statistics.
    29. Michael Weber & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2022. "The Expected, Perceived, and Realized Inflation of U.S. Households before and during the COVID19 Pandemic," NBER Working Papers 29640, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    30. Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert L., 2024. "Uncertainty Shocks and Inflation: The Role of Credibility and Expectation Anchoring," MPRA Paper 119971, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    31. Cecion, Martina & Coenen, Günter & Gerke, Rafael & Le Bihan, Hervé & Motto, Roberto & Aguilar, Pablo & Ajevskis, Viktors & Giesen, Sebastian & Albertazzi, Ugo & Gilbert, Niels & Al-Haschimi, Alexander, 2021. "The ECB’s price stability framework: past experience, and current and future challenges," Occasional Paper Series 269, European Central Bank.
    32. Javier Turén, 2019. "Rational Inattention-driven dispersion with volatility shocks," Documentos de Trabajo 530, Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile..
    33. Miguel Saldarriaga & Pablo del Aguila & Kevin Gershy-Damet, 2017. "Has inflation targeting anchored inflation expectations? Evidence from Peru," Working Papers 103, Peruvian Economic Association.
    34. Dovern, Jonas & Glas, Alexander & Kenny, Geoff, 2023. "Testing for differences in survey-based density expectations: a compositional data approach," Working Paper Series 2791, European Central Bank.
    35. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2019. "Monetary Policy Communications and their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations," NBER Working Papers 25482, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    36. Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2025. "Gasoline Price Expectations as a Transmission Channel for Gasoline Price Shocks," CESifo Working Paper Series 11924, CESifo.
    37. Magnus Hansson, 2021. "Evolution of topics in central bank speech communication," Papers 2109.10058, arXiv.org.
    38. Aslanidis, Nektarios & Koursaros, Demetris & Otto, Glenn, 2024. "Asymmetry in inflation persistence under inflation targeting," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    39. Greg Kaplan & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, 2017. "Inflation at the Household Level," Working Paper Series WP-2017-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    40. Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Jakob de Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2016. "Necessity as the Mother of Invention: Monetary Policy after the Crisis," NBER Working Papers 22735, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    41. Candia, Bernardo & Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2024. "The inflation expectations of U.S. firms: Evidence from a new survey," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(S).
    42. Boneva, Lena & Cloyne, James & Weale, Martin & Wieladek, Tomasz, 2018. "Firms' Expectations of New Orders, Employment, Costs and Prices: Evidence from Micro Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 12722, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    43. Hassan Afrouzi & Laura Veldkamp, 2019. "Biased Inflation Forecasts," 2019 Meeting Papers 894, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    44. Mehdi EL HERRADI & Aurélien LEROY, 2022. "Navigating the well-being effects of monetary policy: Evidence from the European Central Bank," Bordeaux Economics Working Papers 2022-09, Bordeaux School of Economics (BSE).
    45. Shin-ichi Fukuda & Naoto Soma, 2019. "Inflation Target and Anchor of Inflation Forecasts in Japan," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-1108, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    46. George-Marios Angeletos & Chen Lian, 2016. "Incomplete Information in Macroeconomics: Accommodating Frictions in Coordination," NBER Working Papers 22297, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    47. Adams, Jonathan J., 2023. "Moderating noise-driven macroeconomic fluctuations under dispersed information," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    48. Francesco Salsano, 2022. "Monetary policy when the objectives of central bankers are imperfectly observable," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 69(4), pages 396-415, September.
    49. Hans-Ueli Hunziker & Christian Raggi & Rina Rosenblatt-Wisch & Attilio Zanetti, 2018. "The impact of guidance, short-term dynamics and individual characteristics on firms' long-term inflation expectations," Working Papers 2018-18, Swiss National Bank.
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    187. Nikoleta Anesti & Vania Esady & Matthew Naylor, 2024. "Food prices matter most: Sensitive household inflation expectations," Discussion Papers 2434, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    188. Anat Bracha & Jenny Tang, 2019. "Inflation Thresholds and Inattention," Working Papers 19-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    189. Angeletos, G.-M. & Lian, C., 2016. "Incomplete Information in Macroeconomics," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1065-1240, Elsevier.
    190. Park, Kwangyong, 2023. "Do more frequent price adjustments guarantee less effective monetary stimulus when uncertainty rises?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    191. Ali Inayat, 2023. "Household Inflation Expectations Uncertainty: A Case for Pakistan," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 28(1), pages 1-39, Jan-June.

Articles

  1. Hassan Afrouzi & Marina Halac & Kenneth Rogoff & Pierre Yared, 2026. "Monetary Policy without Commitment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 116(7), pages 2422-2453, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Michael Weber & Bernardo Candia & Hassan Afrouzi & Tiziano Ropele & Rodrigo Lluberas & Serafin Frache & Brent Meyer & Saten Kumar & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Dimitris Georgarakos & Olivier Coibion & Geoff, 2025. "Tell Me Something I Don't Already Know: Learning in Low‐ and High‐Inflation Settings," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 93(1), pages 229-264, January.
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  3. Hassan Afrouzi & Carolina Arteaga & Emily Weisburst, 2024. "Is It the Message or the Messenger? Examining Movement in Immigration Beliefs," Journal of Political Economy Microeconomics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 2(2), pages 244-297.
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  4. Hassan Afrouzi & Luigi Caloi, 2024. "Endogenous Firm Competition and the Cyclicality of Markups," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 106(6), pages 1638-1654, November.
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  5. Hassan Afrouzi & Marina Halac & Kenneth Rogoff & Pierre Yared, 2024. "Changing Central Bank Pressures and Inflation," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 55(1 (Spring), pages 205-264.
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  6. Afrouzi, Hassan & Bhattarai, Saroj & Wu, Edson, 2024. "Relative-price changes as aggregate supply shocks revisited: Theory and evidence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(S).
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  7. Hassan Afrouzi, 2024. "Strategic Inattention, Inflation Dynamics, and the Nonneutrality of Money," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 132(10), pages 3378-3420.
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  8. Hassan Afrouzi & Spencer Y Kwon & Augustin Landier & Yueran Ma & David Thesmar, 2023. "Overreaction in Expectations: Evidence and Theory," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 138(3), pages 1713-1764.
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  9. Saten Kumar & Hassan Afrouzi & Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2015. "Inflation Targeting Does Not Anchor Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Firms in New Zealand," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 46(2 (Fall)), pages 151-225.
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Chapters

  1. Hassan Afrouzi & Saroj Bhattarai & Edson Wu, 2024. "Relative-Price Changes as Aggregate Supply Shocks Revisited: Theory and Evidence," NBER Chapters, in: Inflation in the COVID Era and Beyond, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of chapters recorded.
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