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Publications

by members of

Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics
School of Economics
University of Nottingham
Nottingham, United Kingdom

These are publications listed in RePEc written by members of the above institution who are registered with the RePEc Author Service. Thus this compiles the works all those currently affiliated with this institution, not those affilated at the time of publication. List of registered members. Register yourself. Citation analysis. This page is updated in the first days of each month.
| Working papers | Journal articles | Books | Chapters |

Working papers

Undated material is listed at the end

2023

  1. Kevin Lee & Michael J Mahony & Paul Mizen, 2023. "Measuring Flexible Prices, Flexible Output and Marginal Costs Using Survey Data," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2023-01, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
  2. Sam Cosaert & Adrián Nieto & Konstantinos Tatsiramos, 2023. "Temperature and Joint Time Use," CESifo Working Paper Series 10464, CESifo.
  3. Sam Cosaert & Adrián Nieto & Konstantinos Tatsiramos, 2023. "Temperature and the Timing of Work," CESifo Working Paper Series 10681, CESifo.

2022

  1. Kevin Lee & Kalvinder Shields & Guido Turnip, 2022. "Shock persistence, uncertainty and news-driven business cycles," CAMA Working Papers 2022-34, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  2. Kevin Lee & Paul Mizen & Michael Mahony, 2022. "Investment and Capacity Utilisation in a Putty-Clay Framework," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2022-03, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
  3. Alex Botsis & Kevin Lee, 2022. "Nowcasting Using Firm-Level Survey Data; Tracking UK Output Fluctuations and Recessionary Events," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Technical Reports ESCOE-TR-20, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
  4. Bergquist, Lauren & Faber, Benjamin & Fally, Thibault & Hoelzlein, Matthias & Miguel, Edward & Rodríguez-Clare, Andrés, 2022. "Scaling Agricultural Policy Interventions," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt5590542t, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
  5. Andrés Rodríguez-Clare & Mauricio Ulate & Jose P. Vasquez, 2022. "Trade with Nominal Rigidities: Understanding the Unemployment and Welfare Effects of the China Shock," CESifo Working Paper Series 9982, CESifo.
  6. Svetlana Demidova & Takumi Naito & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 2022. "The Small Open Economy in a Generalized Gravity Model," NBER Working Papers 30394, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  7. Andrea Albanese & Adrián Nieto & Konstantinos Tatsiramos, 2022. "Job Location Decisions and the Effect of Children on the Employment Gender Gap," CESifo Working Paper Series 9792, CESifo.

2021

  1. Konstantin Kucheryavyy & Gary Lyn & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 2021. "Spatial Equilibria: The Case of Two Regions," NBER Working Papers 29592, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Lepinteur, Anthony & Nieto, Adrìan, 2021. "All about the money ? The gendered effect of education on industrial and occupational sorting," CEPREMAP Working Papers (Docweb) 2109, CEPREMAP.
  3. Harvey, David I & Leybourne, Stephen J & Taylor, AM Robert, 2021. "Simple Tests for Stock Return Predictability with Good Size and Power Properties," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 29814, University of Essex, Essex Business School.

2020

  1. Propper, Carol & Janke, Katharina & Lee, Kevin & Shields, Kalvinder & Shields, Michael A, 2020. "Macroeconomic Conditions and Health in Britain: Aggregation, Dynamics and Local Area Heterogeneity," CEPR Discussion Papers 14507, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  2. Kevin Lee & Michael Mahony & Paul Mizen, 2020. "Output expectations, uncertainty and the UK business cycle; Evidence from the CBI's suite of business surveys," Discussion Papers 2020/12, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
  3. Kevin Lee & Michael Mahony & Paul Mizen, 2020. "The CBI Suite of Business Surveys," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Technical Reports ESCOE-TR-08, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
  4. Andres Rodriguez-Clare & Mauricio Ulate & Jose P. Vasquez, 2020. "New-Keynesian Trade: Understanding the Employment and Welfare Effects of Trade Shocks," Working Paper Series 2020-32, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  5. Nieto Castro Adrian, 2020. "Television and the Labour Supply: Evidence from the Digital Television Transition in the UK," LISER Working Paper Series 2020-04, Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research (LISER).
  6. Nieto Castro Adrian, 2020. "Native-Immigrant Differences in the Effect of Children on the Gender Pay Gap," LISER Working Paper Series 2020-07, Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research (LISER).
  7. Adrian Nieto & Marc Suhrcke, 2020. "Television, Children's Obesity Risk and Mental Well-being: Lessons from the UK Digital Switchover," LISER Working Paper Series 2020-12, Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research (LISER).
  8. Harvey, David I & Leybourne, Stephen J & Sollis, Robert & Taylor, AM Robert, 2020. "Real-Time Detection of Regimes of Predictability in the U.S. Equity Premium," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 27775, University of Essex, Essex Business School.

2019

  1. Kevin Lee & James Morley & Kian Ong & Kalvinder Shields, 2019. "Measuring the fiscal multiplier when plans take time to implement," CAMA Working Papers 2019-13, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  2. Kevin Lee & James Morley & Kalvinder Shields & Madeleine Sui-Lay Tan, 2019. "The Australian real-time fiscal database: A overview and an illustration of its use in analysing planned and realised fiscal policies," CAMA Working Papers 2019-14, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  3. Martin Kaae Jensen, 2019. "On the Strategic Benefits of Diversity," School of Economics Discussion Papers 1419, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
  4. Ana Margarida Fernandes & Peter J. Klenow & Sergii Meleshchuk & Martha Denisse Pierola & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 2019. "The intensive margin in trade," CESifo Working Paper Series 7540, CESifo.
  5. Costinot, Arnaud & Bartelme, Dominick & Donaldson, Dave & Rodríguez-Clare, Andres, 2019. "The Textbook Case for Industrial Policy: Theory Meets Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 13931, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  6. Adrian Nieto Castro, 2019. "Television, time use and academic achievement: Evidence from a natural experiment," Discussion Papers 19/06, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
  7. Perez-Richet, Eduardo & Vigier, Adrien & Bizzotto, Jacopo, 2019. "Information Design with Agency," CEPR Discussion Papers 13868, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

2018

  1. Daron Acemoglu & Martin Kaae Jensen, 2018. "Equilibrium Analysis in the Behavioral Neoclassical Growth Model," NBER Working Papers 25363, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Costinot, Arnaud & Rodríguez-Clare, Andres, 2018. "The US Gains From Trade: Valuation Using the Demand for Foreign Factor Services," CEPR Discussion Papers 12788, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  3. Adrián Nieto, 2018. "Permanent employment and fertility: The importance of job security and the career costs of childbearing," Discussion Papers 2018/01, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
  4. Matteo Barigozzi & Lorenzo Trapani, 2018. "Determining the dimension of factor structures in non-stationary large datasets," Papers 1806.03647, arXiv.org.
  5. Harvey, David I & Leybourne, Stephen J & Sollis, Robert & Taylor, AM Robert, 2018. "Detecting Regimes of Predictability in the U.S. Equity Premium," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 23198, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
  6. David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne & Yang Zu, 2018. "Testing explosive bubbles with time-varying volatility," Discussion Papers 18/05, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
  7. Yuhta Ishii & Aniko Ory & Adrien Vigier, 2018. "Competing for Talent," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2119, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.

2017

  1. Jensen, Martin Kaae & Rigos, Alexandros, 2017. "Evolutionary Games and Matching Rules," Working Papers 2017:11, Lund University, Department of Economics, revised 06 Mar 2018.
  2. Simon Galle & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare & Moises Yi, 2017. "Slicing the Pie: Quantifying the Aggregate and Distributional Effects of Trade," NBER Working Papers 23737, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. Dave Donaldson & Arnaud Costinot & Andres Rodriguez-Clare & Dominick Bartelme, 2017. "Sector-Level Economies of Scale: Estimation Using Trade Data," 2017 Meeting Papers 1643, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  4. Matteo Barigozzi & Lorenzo Trapani, 2017. "Sequential testing for structural stability in approximate factor models," Papers 1708.02786, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2020.
  5. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Emily J. Whitehouse, 2017. "Forecast evaluation tests and negative long-run variance estimates in small samples," Discussion Papers 17/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
  6. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Emily J. Whitehouse, 2017. "Testing for a unit root against ESTAR stationarity," Discussion Papers 17/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
  7. Iliyan Georgiev & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2017. "A bootstrap stationarity test for predictive regression invalidity," Discussion Papers 17/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.

2016

  1. Arnaud Costinot & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare & Iván Werning, 2016. "Micro to Macro: Optimal Trade Policy with Firm Heterogeneity," NBER Working Papers 21989, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Konstantin Kucheryavyy & Gary Lyn & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 2016. "Grounded by Gravity: A Well-Behaved Trade Model with Industry-Level Economies of Scale," NBER Working Papers 22484, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. Chihwa Kao & Lorenzo Trapani & Giovanni Urga, 2016. "Testing for Instability in Covariance Structures," Working papers 2016-33, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
  4. Chrystalleni Aristidou & David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne, 2016. "The impact of the initial condition on covariate augmented unit root tests," Discussion Papers 16/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
  5. Sam Astill & David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne & Robert Taylor, 2016. "Tests for an end-of-sample bubble in financial time series," Discussion Papers 16/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.

2015

  1. Chrystalleni Aristidou & Kevin Lee & Kalvinder Shields, 2015. "Real-Time Data should be used in Forecasting Output Growth and Recessionary Events in the US," Discussion Papers 2015/13, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
  2. Martin Kaae Jensen, 2015. "Existence, Uniqueness, and Comparative Statics in Contests," Discussion Papers in Economics 15/16, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
  3. Costas Arkolakis & Arnaud Costinot & Dave Donaldson & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 2015. "The Elusive Pro-Competitive Effects of Trade," NBER Working Papers 21370, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  4. Jesper Rudiger & Adrien Vigier, 2015. "Pundits and Quacks," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1997, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.

2014

  1. Anthony Garratt & Kevin Lee & Kalvinder Shields, 2014. "Forecasting Global Recessions in a GVAR Model of Actual and Expected Output in the G7," Discussion Papers 2014/06, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
  2. Martin Kaae Jensen & Alexandros Rigos, 2014. "Evolutionary Games with Group Selection," Discussion Papers in Economics 14/09, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
  3. Carolina Castagnetti & Eduardo Rossi & Lorenzo Trapani, 2014. "Inference on Factor Structures in Heterogeneous Panels," DEM Working Papers Series 088, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
  4. Carolina Castagnetti & Eduardo Rossi & Lorenzo Trapani, 2014. "Testing for no factor structures: on the use of average-type and Hausman-type statistics," DEM Working Papers Series 092, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
  5. Carolina Castagnetti & Eduardo Rossi & Lorenzo Trapani, 2014. "A Two-Stage Estimator for Heterogeneous Panel Models with Common Factors," DEM Working Papers Series 066, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
  6. David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne, 2014. "Confidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknown," Discussion Papers 14/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
  7. Sanjeev Goyal & Adrien Vigier, 2014. "Interaction, Protection and Epidemics," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1458, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  8. Sanjeev Goyal & Adrien Vigier, 2014. "Attack, Defense and Contagion in Networks," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1451, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.

2013

  1. Garratt, Anthony & Lee, Kevin & Shields, Kalvinder, 2013. "Economic Sentiment, International Interdependence and Output Dynamics in the G7," EMF Research Papers 04, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
  2. Rodríguez-Clare, Andres & Costinot, Arnaud, 2013. "Trade Theory with Numbers: Quantifying the Consequences of Globalization," CEPR Discussion Papers 9398, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  3. Costas Arkolakis & Natalia Ramondo & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare & Stephen Yeaple, 2013. "Innovation and Production in the Global Economy," NBER Working Papers 18972, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  4. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne, 2013. "Break date estimation for models with deterministic structural change," Discussion Papers 13/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.

2012

  1. Kevin Lee & Nilss Olekalns & Kalvinder Shields, 2012. "Meta Taylor Rules for the UK and Australia; Accommodating Regime Uncertainty in Monetary Policy Analysis using Model Averaging Methods," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 1138, The University of Melbourne.
  2. Martin Kaae Jensen, 2012. "Distributional Comparative Statics," Discussion Papers 12-08, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
  3. Daron Acemoglu & Martin Kaae Jensen, 2012. "Robust Comparative Statics in Large Dynamic Economies," Levine's Working Paper Archive 786969000000000507, David K. Levine.
  4. Charles Sabel & Eduardo Fernandez-Arias & Ricardo Hausmann & Andres Rodriguez-Clare & Ernesto H. Stein, 2012. "Export Pioneers in Latin America," Research Department Publications 4769, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
  5. Natalia Ramondo & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare & Milagro Saborío-Rodríguez, 2012. "Trade, Domestic Frictions, and Scale Effects," NBER Working Papers 18532, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  6. Chihwa Kao & Lorenzo Trapani & Giovanni Urga, 2012. "Testing for Breaks in Cointegrated Panels," Center for Policy Research Working Papers 135, Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University.
  7. David Harvey & Neil Kellard & Jakob Madsen & Mark Wohar, 2012. "Trends and Cycles in Real Commodity Prices: 1650-2010," CEH Discussion Papers 010, Centre for Economic History, Research School of Economics, Australian National University.
  8. Holden, Steinar & Natvig, Gisle James & Vigier, Adrien, 2012. "An Equilibrium Model of Credit Rating Agencies," Memorandum 01/2013, Oslo University, Department of Economics.

2011

  1. Kevin Lee, James Morley and Kalvinder Sheields, 2011. "The Meta Taylor Rule," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 1131, The University of Melbourne.
  2. Kevin Lee, Nilss Olekalns, Kalvinder Shields and Zheng Wang, 2011. "The Australian Real?Time Datbase: An Overview and an Illustration of its Use in Business Cycle Analysis," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 1132, The University of Melbourne.
  3. Massimo Antonini & Kevin Lee & Jacinta Pires, 2011. "Public Sector Debt Dynamics: The Persistence and Sources of Shocks to Debt in Ten EU Countries," Discussion Papers 11/08, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
  4. Svetlana Demidova & Andrés Rodríguez-Clarez, 2011. "The Simple Analytics of the Melitz Model in a Small Open Economy," NBER Working Papers 17521, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  5. Chihwa Kao & Lorenzo Trapani & Giovanni Urga, 2011. "Testing for Breaks in Cointegrated Panels with Common and Idiosyncratic Stochastic Trends," Center for Policy Research Working Papers 129, Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University.
  6. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2011. "Robust methods for detecting multiple level breaks in autocorrelated time series," Discussion Papers 11/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
  7. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2011. "Unit root testing under a local break in trend," Discussion Papers 11/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.

2010

  1. Panicos Demetriades & Mauro Costantini & Gregory James & Kevin Lee, 2010. "Financial Restraints and Private Investment: Evidence from a Nonstationary Panel," Discussion Papers in Economics 10/06, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
  2. Kevin Lee & Kalvinder Shields, 2010. "Decision-Making in Hard Times: What is a Recession, Why Do We Care and When Do We Know We Are in One?," Discussion Papers 10/08, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
  3. Lederman, Daniel & Rodriguez-Clare, Andres & Yi Xu, Daniel, 2010. "Entrepreneurship and the extensive margin in export growth : a microeconomic accounting of Costa Rica's export growth during 1997-2007," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5376, The World Bank.

2009

  1. Anthony Garratt & Kevin Lee & Kalvinder Shields, 2009. "Measuring the Natural Output Gap using Actual and Expected Output Data," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0911, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
  2. Lee, Kevin & Olekalns, Nils & Shields, Kalvinder, 2009. "Nowcasting, Business Cycle Dating and the Interpretation of New Information when Real-Time Data are Available," CEPR Discussion Papers 7426, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  3. Kevin Lee & Anthony Garratt & Kalvinder Shields, 2009. "Decision Making in hard Times: What is a Recession, Why Do We Care and How Do We Know When We Are in One?," Discussion Papers in Economics 09/22, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
  4. Acemoglu, Daron & Jensen, Martin Kaae, 2009. "Aggregate Comparative Statics," CEPR Discussion Papers 7254, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  5. Ann Harrison & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 2009. "Trade, Foreign Investment, and Industrial Policy for Developing Countries," NBER Working Papers 15261, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  6. Natalia Ramondo & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 2009. "Trade, Multinational Production, and the Gains from Openness," NBER Working Papers 15604, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  7. Costas Arkolakis & Arnaud Costinot & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 2009. "New Trade Models, Same Old Gains?," NBER Working Papers 15628, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  8. Harrison, Ann E. & Rodriguez-Clare, Andres, 2009. "Trade, Foreign Investment, and Industrial Policy," MPRA Paper 15561, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  9. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Lisa Xiao, 2009. "Testing for nonlinear trends when the order of integration is unknown," Discussion Papers 09/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
  10. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2009. "Robust methods for detecting multiple level breaks in autocorrelated time series [Revised to become No. 10/01 above]," Discussion Papers 09/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
  11. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2009. "The impact of the initial condition on robust tests for a linear trend," Discussion Papers 09/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.

2008

  1. Costas Arkolakis & Svetlana Demidova & Peter J. Klenow & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 2008. "Endogenous Variety and the Gains from Trade," NBER Working Papers 13933, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Andres Rodriguez-Clare & Natalia Ramondo, 2008. "The Geography of Trade and Multinational Production," 2008 Meeting Papers 553, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  3. Lorenzo Trapani, 2008. "Sieve bootstrap for nonstationary panel factor models," Working Papers 0812, Department of Management, Information and Production Engineering, University of Bergamo.
  4. Ciaran Driver & Lorenzo Trapani & Giovanni Urga, 2008. "On the Relationship Between Cross-Sectional and Time Series Measures of Uncertainty," Working Papers 0803, Department of Management, Information and Production Engineering, University of Bergamo.
  5. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Nikolaos D. Sakkas, 2008. "Panel root tests and the impact of initial observations," Discussion Papers 06/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
  6. David Harris & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Nikoloas D. Sakkas, 2008. "Local asymptotic power of the Im-Pesaran-Shin panel unit root test and the impact of initial observations," Discussion Papers 08/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
  7. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2008. "Testing for unit roots and the impact of quadratic trends, with an application to relative primary commodity prices," Discussion Papers 08/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
  8. Giuseppe Cavaliere & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A.M. Robert Taylor, 2008. "Testing for Unit Roots in the Presence of a Possible Break in Trend and Non-Stationary Volatility," CREATES Research Papers 2008-62, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  9. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2008. "Testing for unit roots in the presence of uncertainty over both the trend and initial condition," Discussion Papers 08/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
  10. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2008. "Seasonal unit root tests and the role of initial conditions," Discussion Papers 08/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
  11. Vigier, A., 2008. "Globalization, Education, and the Topology of Social Networks," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0851, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.

2007

  1. Paul Mizen & Kevin Lee, 2007. "Household Credit and Probability Forecasts of Financial Distress in the United Kingdom," Discussion Papers 07/08, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
  2. Carl-Johan Dalgaard & Martin Kaae Jensen, 2007. "Life Cycle Savings, Bequest, and the Diminishing Impact of Scale on Growth," Discussion Papers 07-17, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
  3. Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 2007. "Offshoring in a Ricardian World," Working Papers id:1043, eSocialSciences.
  4. Andres Rodriguez-Clare, 2007. "Trade, Diffusion and the Gains from Openness," NBER Working Papers 13662, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  5. Svetlana Demidova & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 2007. "Trade Policy under Firm-Level Heterogeneity in a Small Economy," NBER Working Papers 13688, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  6. Andres Rodriguez-Clare & Svetlana Demidova, 2007. "Export Subsidies, Productivity and Welfare under Firm-Level Heterogeneity," 2007 Meeting Papers 914, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  7. Lorenzo Trapani & Giovanni Urga, 2007. "Micro versus Macro Cointegration in Heterogeneous Panels," Working Papers 0711, Department of Management, Information and Production Engineering, University of Bergamo.
  8. Chihwa Kao & Lorenzo Trapani & Giovanni Urga, 2007. "Modelling and Testing for Structural Changes in Panel Cointegration Models with Common and Idiosyncratic Stochastic Trend," Center for Policy Research Working Papers 92, Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University.
  9. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2007. "Unit root testing in practice: dealing with uncertainty over the trend and initial condition," Discussion Papers 07/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
  10. David I. Harvey, & Stephen J. Leybourne, & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2007. "Testing for a unit root when uncertain about the trend [Revised to become 07/03 above]," Discussion Papers 06/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
  11. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Bin Xiao, 2007. "A powerful test for linearity when the order of integration is unknown," Discussion Papers 07/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
  12. David Harris & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2007. "Testing for a unit root in the presence of a possible break in trend," Discussion Papers 07/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.

2006

  1. Anthony Garratt & Kevin Lee, 2006. "Investing Under Model Uncertainty: Decision Based Evaluation of Exchange Rate and Interest Rate Forecasts in the US, UK and Japan," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0616, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
  2. Anthony Garratt & Kevin Lee & Emi Mise & Kalvinder Shields, 2006. "Real Time Representation of the UK Output Gap in the Presence of Trend Uncertainty," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0618, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
  3. Anthony Garratt & Kevin Lee & Emi Mise & Kalvinder Shields, 2006. "Real Time Representations of the Output Gap," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0619, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
  4. Martin K. Jensen, 2006. "Aggregative Games," Discussion Papers 06-10, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
  5. Melo, Alberto & Rodríguez-Clare, Andrés, 2006. "Productive Development Policies and Supporting Institutions in Latin America and The Caribbean," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 3358, Inter-American Development Bank.
  6. Lorenzo Trapani & Giovanni Urga, 2006. "Optimal forecasting with heterogeneous panels: a Monte Carlo study," Working Papers 0616, Department of Management, Information and Production Engineering, University of Bergamo.
  7. Chihwa Kao & Lorenzo Trapani & Giovanni Urga, 2006. "Asymptotics for panel models with common shocks," Working Papers 0615, Department of Management, Information and Production Engineering, University of Bergamo.
  8. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A.M. Robert Taylor, 2006. "Simple, Robust and Powerful Tests of the Breaking Trend Hypothesis," Discussion Papers 06/11, University of Nottingham, School of Economics.
  9. Clements, Michael P & Harvey, David I, 2006. "Forecast Encompassing Tests and Probability Forecasts," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 774, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
  10. David I. Harvey, & Stephen J. Leybourne, & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2006. "A simple, robust and powerful test of the trend hypothesis," Discussion Papers 06/01, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.

2005

  1. Kevin Lee & Anthony Garratt, 2005. "Investment Decisions Under Model Uncertainty: An Application Using Exchanger Rate and Interest Rate Forecasts," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 259, Society for Computational Economics.
  2. Rodríguez-Clare, Andres & Maggi, Giovanni, 2005. "A Political-Economy Theory of Trade Agreements," CEPR Discussion Papers 5321, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  3. Rodríguez-Clare, Andrés, 2005. "Microeconomic Interventions after the Washington Consensus," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 1550, Inter-American Development Bank.
  4. Rodríguez-Clare, Andrés, 2005. "Innovation and Technology Adoption in Central America," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 1552, Inter-American Development Bank.
  5. Rodríguez-Clare, Andrés, 2005. "Coordination Failures, Clusters and Microeconomic Interventions," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 1929, Inter-American Development Bank.
  6. Rodríguez-Clare, Andrés, 2005. "Clusters and Comparative Advantage: Implications for Industrial Policy," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 1930, Inter-American Development Bank.
  7. Maloney, William & Rodríguez-Clare, Andrés, 2005. "Innovation Shortfalls," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 1986, Inter-American Development Bank.
  8. Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 2005. "Conglomerados y ventaja comparativa: implicaciones para la política industrial," Research Department Publications 4392, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
  9. Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 2005. "Intervenciones microeconómicas después del Consenso de Washington," Research Department Publications 4394, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
  10. Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 2005. "Adopción de innovación y tecnologías en Centroamérica," Research Department Publications 4396, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
  11. William Maloney & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 2005. "Insuficiencias de innovación," Research Department Publications 4430, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
  12. Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 2005. "Fallas de coordinación, conglomerados e intervenciones microeconómicas," Research Department Publications 4432, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
  13. David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne & A M Robert Taylor, 2005. "On Robust Trend Function Hypothesis Testing," Discussion Papers 05-07, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.

2004

  1. Kalvinder Shields & Kevin Lee, 2004. "Overcoming Measurement Error Problems in the use of Survey Data on Expectations," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 107, Econometric Society.
  2. Kevin Lee & Kalvinder Shields, 2004. "Business survey forecasts and measurement of output trends in five European economies," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 52, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
  3. David Fielding & Kevin Lee & Kalvinder Shields, 2004. "The Characteristics of Macroeconomic Shocks in the CFA Franc Zone," WIDER Working Paper Series RP2004-21, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
  4. David Fielding & Kevin Lee & Kalvinder Shields, 2004. "Modelling Macroeconomic Linkages in a Monetary Union: A West African Example," WIDER Working Paper Series RP2004-22, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
  5. Peter J. Klenow & Andres Rodriguez-Clare, 2004. "Externalities and Growth," NBER Working Papers 11009, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  6. Andres Rodriguez-Clare & Laura Alfaro, 2004. "Multinationals and Linkages: An Empirical Investigation," 2004 Meeting Papers 145, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  7. Ciaran Driver & Lorenzo Trapani, 2004. "Cross Section Vs Time Series Measures of Uncertainty: Using UK Survey Data," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 330, Econometric Society.
  8. Giovanni Urga & Lorenzo Trapani, 2004. "Cointegration versus Spurious Regression in Heterogeneous Panels," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 266, Econometric Society.
  9. Ciaran Driver & Lorenzo Trapani & Giovanni Urga, 2004. "Cross-Section Versus Time-Series Measures Of Uncertainty. Using UK Survey Data," Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2004 96, Royal Economic Society.
  10. Robert Taylor & Stephen Leybourne & David Harvey, 2004. "Modified Tests for a Change in Persistence," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 64, Econometric Society.

2003

  1. Steve Leybourne & David Harvey, 2003. "On Unit Root Tests and the Initial Observation," Econometrics 0311006, University Library of Munich, Germany.

2002

  1. Jack Glen & Kevin Lee & Ajit Singh, 2002. "Corporate profitability and the dynamics of competition in emerging markets: a time series analysis," Working Papers wp248, Centre for Business Research, University of Cambridge.

2001

  1. Athony Garratt & Kevin Lee & Mohammad Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin, 2001. "Forecast Uncertainties in Macroeconomics Modelling: An Application to the UK Economy," Edinburgh School of Economics Discussion Paper Series 64, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh.
  2. Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 2001. "Costa Rica’s Development Strategy based on Human Capital and Technology: how it got there, the impact of Intel, and lessons for other countries," Human Development Occasional Papers (1992-2007) HDOCPA-2001-12, Human Development Report Office (HDRO), United Nations Development Programme (UNDP).

2000

  1. Glen, J. & Lee, K. & Singh. A., 2000. "Competition, Corporate Governance and Financing of corporate Growth in Emerging Markets," Accounting and Finance Discussion Papers 00-af46, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  2. Garrat, A. & Lee, K. & Pesaran, M.H. & Shin, Y., 2000. "Forecast Uncertainties in Macroeconometric Modelling: An Application to the UK Economy," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0004, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  3. Anthony Garratt & Kevin Lee & M Hashem Peseran & Yongcheol Shin, 2000. "Forecast Uncertainties in Macroeconometric Models: An Application to the UK Economy," Discussion Papers in Economics 00/4, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
  4. Mich Tvede & Martin Kaae Jensen, 2000. "Endogenous Growth and Competitive Markets," Discussion Papers 00-14, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
  5. Felipe Larrain B. & Andres Rodriguez-Clare, 2000. "Intel: A Case Study of Foreign Direct Investment in Central America," CID Working Papers 58A, Center for International Development at Harvard University.

1999

  1. Anthony Garratt & Kevin Lee & Yongcheol Shin, 1999. "A long run structural macroeconometric model of the UK (first version)," Edinburgh School of Economics Discussion Paper Series 17, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh.

1998

  1. Van Garderen, K. J. & Lee, K. & Pesaran M., 1998. "Cross-sectional Aggregation of Non-linear Models," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 9803, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  2. Garratt, A. & Lee, K. & Pesaran, M. H. & Shin, Y., 1998. "A Long-run Structural Macro-econometric Model of the UK," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 9812, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  3. Garratt, Anthony & Lee, Kevin C & Pesaran, M. Hashem & Shin, Yongcheol, 1998. "A Structural Cointegrating VAR Approach to Macroeconometric Modelling," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 9823, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  4. Giovanni Maggi & Andres Rodriguez-Clare, 1998. "Import Peneteration and the Politics of Trade Protection," NBER Working Papers 6711, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

1996

  1. Kevin Lee & Hashem Pesaran & Ron Smith, 1996. "Growth and Convergence in a Multi-Country Empirical Stochastic Solow Model," Working Papers 9637, Economic Research Forum, revised 12 May 1996.
  2. Cosh, Andy & Hughes, Alan & Lee, Kevin & Singh, Ajit, 1996. "Takeovers, institutional investment and the persistence of profits," MPRA Paper 39061, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  3. Andres Rodriguez-Clare, 1996. "The role of trade in technology diffusion," Discussion Paper / Institute for Empirical Macroeconomics 114, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
  4. Maggi, G & Rodriguez-Clare, A, 1996. "The Value of Trade Agreements in the Presence of Political Pressures," Papers 180, Princeton, Woodrow Wilson School - Public and International Affairs.

1995

  1. Lee, K.C., 1995. "Options. Economic Fluctuations in a Model of Output Growth in the G7 Economies, 1960-1991," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 9409, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  2. Lee, K., 1995. "Expectations Fromation and Business Cycle Fluctuations : An Empirical Analysis of Actual and Expected Output in UK Manufacturing, 1975-1993," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 9524, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  3. Lee, K. & Psaran, M.H. & Smith, R., 1995. "Growth and Convergence: A Multi-Country Empirical Analysis of the Solow Growth Model," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 9531, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  4. Avner Greif & Andres Rodriguez-Clare, 1995. "A Transactions-Cost Theory of Agglomeration Economies," Working Papers 95003, Stanford University, Department of Economics.

1992

  1. Lee, K.C. & Pesaran, M.H., 1992. "The Role of Sectoral Interactions in Wage Determination in the UK Economy," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 9214, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  2. Pesaran, M. & Pierse, R.G. & Lee, K.C., 1992. "Choice Between Disaggregate and Aggregate Specifications Estimated by Instrumental Variable Methods," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 9219, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.

1991

  1. Lee, K.C. & Paearan, M.H. & Pierse, R.G., 1991. "Persistence of Shocks and Its Sources in a Multisectorial Model of UK Output Growth," Papers 39, California Los Angeles - Applied Econometrics.

1990

  1. Pesaran, M.H. & Pierse, R.G. & Lee, K.C., 1990. "Persistence, Cointegration And Aggregation: A Disaggregated Analysis Of Output Fluctuations In The Us Economy," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 9020, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.

1988

  1. K. Lee & M. H. Pesaran & R. G. Pierse, 1988. "Aggregation Bias and Labor Demand Equations for the U.K. Economy," UCLA Economics Working Papers 492, UCLA Department of Economics.

Undated

  1. Kevin Lee & Kalvinder Shields, "undated". "Information, Business Survey Forecasts and Measurement of Output Trends in Six European Economies," Discussion Papers in European Economics 99/7, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
  2. Lorenzo Trapani, "undated". "Assessing The Predictive Performance Of Homogeneous, Heterogeneous And Shrinkage Estimators For Heterogeneous Panels: A Monte Carlo Study," Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2004 121, Royal Economic Society.

Journal articles

2023

  1. Janke, Katharina & Lee, Kevin & Propper, Carol & Shields, Kalvinder & Shields, Michael A., 2023. "Economic conditions and health: Local effects, national effect and local area heterogeneity," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 214(C), pages 801-828.
  2. Konstantin Kucheryavyy & Gary Lyn & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 2023. "Grounded by Gravity: A Well-Behaved Trade Model with Industry-Level Economies of Scale," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 15(2), pages 372-412, April.
  3. Ana M. Fernandes & Peter J. Klenow & Sergii Meleshchuk & Martha Denisse Pierola & Andrés Rodríguez- Clare, 2023. "The Intensive Margin in Trade: How Big and How Important?," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 15(3), pages 320-354, July.
  4. Andrés Rodríguez-Clare & Mauricio Ulate & Jose P. Vasquez, 2023. "Supply Chain Disruptions, Trade Costs, and Labor Markets," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, vol. 2023(02), pages 1-5, January.
  5. Simon Galle & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare & Moises Yi, 2023. "Slicing the Pie: Quantifying the Aggregate and Distributional Effects of Trade," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 90(1), pages 331-375.

2022

  1. Aristidou, Chrystalleni & Lee, Kevin & Shields, Kalvinder, 2022. "Fundamentals, regimes and exchange rate forecasts: Insights from a meta exchange rate model," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
  2. Nieto, Adrián, 2022. "Can subsidies to permanent employment change fertility decisions?," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).

2021

  1. Nieto, Adrián, 2021. "Native-immigrant differences in the effect of children on the gender pay gap," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 654-680.
  2. Nieto, Adrián & Suhrcke, Marc, 2021. "The effect of TV viewing on children’s obesity risk and mental well-being: Evidence from the UK digital switchover," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  3. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2021. "Simple tests for stock return predictability with good size and power properties," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 224(1), pages 198-214.
  4. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Robert Sollis & A.M. Robert Taylor, 2021. "Real‐time detection of regimes of predictability in the US equity premium," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(1), pages 45-70, January.

2020

  1. Kevin Lee & James Morley & Kalvinder Shields & Madeleine Sui‐Lay Tan, 2020. "The Australian Real‐Time Fiscal Database: An Overview with Illustrations of Its Use in Analysing Fiscal Policy," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 96(312), pages 87-106, March.
  2. Kevin Lee & Kian Ong & Kalvinder K. Shields, 2020. "Making Fiscal Adjustments Using Event Probability Forecasts in OECD Countries," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 96(314), pages 294-313, September.
  3. Arnaud Costinot & Andrés Rodríguez‐Clare & Iván Werning, 2020. "Micro to Macro: Optimal Trade Policy With Firm Heterogeneity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 88(6), pages 2739-2776, November.
  4. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Zu, Yang, 2020. "Sign-Based Unit Root Tests For Explosive Financial Bubbles In The Presence Of Deterministically Time-Varying Volatility," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 36(1), pages 122-169, February.
  5. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Whitehouse, Emily J., 2020. "Date-stamping multiple bubble regimes," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 226-246.
  6. Bizzotto, Jacopo & Rüdiger, Jesper & Vigier, Adrien, 2020. "Testing, disclosure and approval," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
  7. Jesper Rüdiger & Adrien Vigier, 2020. "Who Acquires Information in Dealer Markets?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 110(4), pages 1145-1176, April.

2019

  1. Chrystalleni Aristidou & Kevin Lee & Kalvinder Shields, 2019. "Evaluating the use of realtime data in forecasting output levels and recessionary events in the USA," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 182(1), pages 131-163, January.
  2. Costas Arkolakis & Arnaud Costinot & Dave Donaldson & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 2019. "The Elusive Pro-Competitive Effects of Trade," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 86(1), pages 46-80.
  3. Iliyan Georgiev & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2019. "A Bootstrap Stationarity Test for Predictive Regression Invalidity," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(3), pages 528-541, July.
  4. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Yang Zu, 2019. "Testing explosive bubbles with time-varying volatility," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(10), pages 1131-1151, November.
  5. Rüdiger, Jesper & Vigier, Adrien, 2019. "Learning about analysts," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 304-335.

2018

  1. Anthony Garratt & Kevin Lee & Kalvinder Shields, 2018. "The role of uncertainty, sentiment and cross-country interactions in G7 output dynamics," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 51(2), pages 391-418, May.
  2. Martin Kaae Jensen, 2018. "Distributional Comparative Statics," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 85(1), pages 581-610.
  3. Martin Kaae Jensen & Alexandros Rigos, 2018. "Evolutionary games and matching rules," International Journal of Game Theory, Springer;Game Theory Society, vol. 47(3), pages 707-735, September.
  4. Costas Arkolakis & Natalia Ramondo & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare & Stephen Yeaple, 2018. "Innovation and Production in the Global Economy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 108(8), pages 2128-2173, August.
  5. Arnaud Costinot & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 2018. "The US Gains from Trade: Valuation Using the Demand for Foreign Factor Services," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 32(2), pages 3-24, Spring.
  6. Georgiev, Iliyan & Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2018. "Testing for parameter instability in predictive regression models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 204(1), pages 101-118.
  7. Harvey David I. & Leybourne Stephen J. & Whitehouse Emily J., 2018. "Testing for a unit root against ESTAR stationarity," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(1), pages 1-29, February.
  8. Sam Astill & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Robert Sollis & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2018. "Real‐Time Monitoring for Explosive Financial Bubbles," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(6), pages 863-891, November.

2017

  1. Harvey, David I. & Kellard, Neil M. & Madsen, Jakob B. & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Long-Run Commodity Prices, Economic Growth, and Interest Rates: 17th Century to the Present Day," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 57-70.
  2. Aristidou Chrystalleni & Harvey David I. & Leybourne Stephen J., 2017. "The Impact of the Initial Condition on Covariate Augmented Unit Root Tests," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-23, January.
  3. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Sollis, Robert, 2017. "Improving the accuracy of asset price bubble start and end date estimators," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 121-138.
  4. Sam Astill & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2017. "Tests for an end-of-sample bubble in financial time series," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(6-9), pages 651-666, October.
  5. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Whitehouse, Emily J., 2017. "Forecast evaluation tests and negative long-run variance estimates in small samples," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 833-847.

2016

  1. Garratt, Anthony & Lee, Kevin & Shields, Kalvinder, 2016. "Information rigidities and the news-adjusted output gap," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 1-17.
  2. Garratt, Anthony & Lee, Kevin & Shields, Kalvinder, 2016. "Forecasting global recessions in a GVAR model of actual and expected output," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 374-390.
  3. Jensen, Martin Kaae & Kozlovskaya, Maria, 2016. "A representation theorem for guilt aversion," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 148-161.
  4. Natalia Ramondo & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare & Milagro Saborío-Rodríguez, 2016. "Trade, Domestic Frictions, and Scale Effects," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(10), pages 3159-3184, October.
  5. Horváth, Lajos & Trapani, Lorenzo, 2016. "Statistical inference in a random coefficient panel model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(1), pages 54-75.
  6. Trapani, Lorenzo, 2016. "Testing for (in)finite moments," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 191(1), pages 57-68.
  7. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Sollis, Robert & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2016. "Tests for explosive financial bubbles in the presence of non-stationary volatility," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 548-574.
  8. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J., 2016. "Improving the length of confidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknown," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 239-245.

2015

  1. Kevin Lee & James Morley & Kalvinder Shields, 2015. "The Meta Taylor Rule," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(1), pages 73-98, February.
  2. Daron Acemoglu & Martin Kaae Jensen, 2015. "Robust Comparative Statics in Large Dynamic Economies," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 123(3), pages 587-640.
  3. Natalia Ramondo & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare & Felix Tintelnot, 2015. "Multinational Production: Data and Stylized Facts," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(5), pages 530-536, May.
  4. Lorenzo Trapani, 2015. "Testing for Exogeneity in Cointegrated Panels," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 77(4), pages 475-494, August.
  5. Castagnetti, Carolina & Rossi, Eduardo & Trapani, Lorenzo, 2015. "Inference on factor structures in heterogeneous panels," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 184(1), pages 145-157.
  6. Castagnetti, Carolina & Rossi, Eduardo & Trapani, Lorenzo, 2015. "Testing for no factor structures: On the use of Hausman-type statistics," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 66-68.
  7. Sam Astill & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2015. "Robust and Powerful Tests for Nonlinear Deterministic Components," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 77(6), pages 780-799, December.
  8. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Robert Sollis, 2015. "Recursive Right-Tailed Unit Root Tests for an Explosive Asset Price Bubble," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 13(1), pages 166-187.
  9. Neil Kellard & Denise Osborn & Jerry Coakley & Giuseppe Cavaliere & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2015. "Testing for Unit Roots Under Multiple Possible Trend Breaks and Non-Stationary Volatility Using Bootstrap Minimum Dickey–Fuller Statistics," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 603-629, September.
  10. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J., 2015. "Confidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknown," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 184(2), pages 262-279.
  11. Goyal, Sanjeev & Vigier, Adrien, 2015. "Interaction, protection and epidemics," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 64-69.

2014

  1. Lorenzo Trapani, 2014. "Comments on: Extensions of some classical methods in change point analysis," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 23(2), pages 283-286, June.
  2. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J., 2014. "Asymptotic behaviour of tests for a unit root against an explosive alternative," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 122(1), pages 64-68.
  3. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A.M. Robert Taylor, 2014. "Unit Root Testing under a Local Break in Trend using Partial Information on the Break Date," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 76(1), pages 93-111, February.
  4. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2014. "On infimum Dickey–Fuller unit root tests allowing for a trend break under the null," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 235-242.
  5. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne, 2014. "Break Date Estimation for Models with Deterministic Structural Change," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 76(5), pages 623-642, October.
  6. Astill, Sam & Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2014. "Robust tests for a linear trend with an application to equity indices," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 168-185.
  7. Sanjeev Goyal & Adrien Vigier, 2014. "Attack, Defence, and Contagion in Networks," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 81(4), pages 1518-1542.
  8. Adrien Vigier, 2014. "Meeting friends of friends and homophily: a complementarity," Economic Theory Bulletin, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 2(1), pages 45-52, April.

2013

  1. Mauro Costantini & Panicos O. Demetriades & Gregory A. James & Kevin C. Lee, 2013. "Financial Restraints And Private Investment: Evidence From A Nonstationary Panel," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 51(1), pages 248-259, January.
  2. Kevin Lee & Nilss Olekalns & Kalvinder Shields, 2013. "Meta Taylor Rules for the UK and Australia; Accommodating Regime Uncertainty in Monetary Policy Analysis Using Model Averaging Methods," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 81, pages 28-53, October.
  3. Massimo Antonini & Kevin Lee & Jacinta Pires, 2013. "Public Sector Debt Dynamics: The Persistence and Sources of Shocks to Debt in 10 EU Countries," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(2-3), pages 277-298, March.
  4. Acemoglu, Daron & Jensen, Martin Kaae, 2013. "Aggregate comparative statics," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 27-49.
  5. Demidova, Svetlana & Rodríguez-Clare, Andrés, 2013. "The simple analytics of the Melitz model in a small economy," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(2), pages 266-272.
  6. Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 2013. "External Economies and International Trade Redux: Comment," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 128(4), pages 1895-1905.
  7. Natalia Ramondo & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 2013. "Trade, Multinational Production, and the Gains from Openness," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 121(2), pages 273-322.
  8. Trapani, Lorenzo, 2013. "On bootstrapping panel factor series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 172(1), pages 127-141.
  9. Driver, Ciaran & Trapani, Lorenzo & Urga, Giovanni, 2013. "On the use of cross-sectional measures of forecast uncertainty," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 367-377.
  10. Ipatova, Ekaterina & Trapani, Lorenzo, 2013. "First-differenced inference for panel factor series," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 118(2), pages 364-366.
  11. Sam Astill & David I. Harvey & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2013. "A bootstrap test for additive outliers in non-stationary time series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(4), pages 454-465, July.
  12. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2013. "Testing for unit roots in the possible presence of multiple trend breaks using minimum Dickey–Fuller statistics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 265-284.

2012

  1. Kevin Lee & Nilss Olekalns & Kalvinder Shields & Zheng Wang, 2012. "Australian Real-Time Database: An Overview and an Illustration of its Use in Business Cycle Analysis," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 88(283), pages 495-516, December.
  2. David Fielding & Kevin Lee & Kalvinder Shields, 2012. "Does one size fit all? Modelling macroeconomic linkages in the West African Economic and Monetary Union," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 45(1), pages 45-70, February.
  3. Jensen, Martin Kaae, 2012. "Global stability and the “turnpike” in optimal unbounded growth models," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 147(2), pages 802-832.
  4. Costas Arkolakis & Arnaud Costinot & Andres Rodriguez-Clare, 2012. "New Trade Models, Same Old Gains?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(1), pages 94-130, February.
  5. Trapani, Lorenzo, 2012. "On the asymptotic t-test for large nonstationary panel models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3286-3306.
  6. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J., 2012. "An infimum coefficient unit root test allowing for an unknown break in trend," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 117(1), pages 298-302.
  7. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2012. "Unit root testing under a local break in trend," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 167(1), pages 140-167.
  8. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2012. "Testing for unit roots in the presence of uncertainty over both the trend and initial condition," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(2), pages 188-195.

2011

  1. Lee, Kevin & Shields, Kalvinder K., 2011. "Decision-making in hard times: What is a recession, why do we care and how do we know when we are in one?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 43-60, January.
  2. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2011. "Testing for Unit Roots and the Impact of Quadratic Trends, with an Application to Relative Primary Commodity Prices," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(5), pages 514-547, October.
  3. Ahmad, A.H. & Harvey, David I. & Pentecost, Eric J., 2011. "Exchange rate regime verification: An alternative method of testing for regime changes," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 113(1), pages 96-98, October.
  4. Clements, Michael P. & Harvey, David I., 2011. "Combining probability forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 208-223.
  5. Cavaliere, Giuseppe & Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2011. "Testing For Unit Roots In The Presence Of A Possible Break In Trend And Nonstationary Volatility," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(5), pages 957-991, October.

2010

  1. Garratt, Anthony & Lee, Kevin, 2010. "Investing under model uncertainty: Decision based evaluation of exchange rate forecasts in the US, UK and Japan," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 403-422, April.
  2. Martin Jensen, 2010. "Aggregative games and best-reply potentials," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 43(1), pages 45-66, April.
  3. Natalia Ramondo & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 2010. "Growth, Size, and Openness: A Quantitative Approach," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(2), pages 62-67, May.
  4. Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 2010. "Offshoring in a Ricardian World," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 2(2), pages 227-258, April.
  5. Trapani, Lorenzo & Urga, Giovanni, 2010. "Micro versus macro cointegration in heterogeneous panels," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 155(1), pages 1-18, March.
  6. Michael P. Clements & David I. Harvey, 2010. "Forecast encompassing tests and probability forecasts," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(6), pages 1028-1062.
  7. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2010. "The impact of the initial condition on robust tests for a linear trend," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(4), pages 292-302, July.
  8. Harris, David & Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Sakkas, Nikolaos D., 2010. "Local Asymptotic Power Of The Im-Pesaran-Shin Panel Unit Root Test And The Impact Of Initial Observations," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(1), pages 311-324, February.
  9. David I. Harvey & Neil M. Kellard & Jakob B. Madsen & Mark E. Wohar, 2010. "The Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis: Four Centuries of Evidence," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 92(2), pages 367-377, May.
  10. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2010. "Robust methods for detecting multiple level breaks in autocorrelated time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 157(2), pages 342-358, August.
  11. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Lisa Xiao, 2010. "Testing for nonlinear deterministic components when the order of integration is unknown," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(5), pages 379-391, September.

2009

  1. Garratt, Anthony & Lee, Kevin & Mise, Emi & Shields, Kalvinder, 2009. "Real time representation of the UK output gap in the presence of model uncertainty," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 81-102.
  2. Dalgaard, Carl-Johan & Jensen, Martin Kaae, 2009. "Life-cycle savings, bequest, and a diminishing impact of scale on growth," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 33(9), pages 1639-1647, September.
  3. Rodríguez-Clare, Andrés, 2009. "Dani Rodrik, One Economics, Many Recipes, Globalization, Institutions, and Economic Growth , Princeton University Press (2007)," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(1), pages 133-135, February.
  4. Demidova, Svetlana & Rodríguez-Clare, Andrés, 2009. "Trade policy under firm-level heterogeneity in a small economy," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(1), pages 100-112, June.
  5. Trapani, Lorenzo & Urga, Giovanni, 2009. "Optimal forecasting with heterogeneous panels: A Monte Carlo study," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 567-586, July.
  6. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2009. "Rejoinder," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(3), pages 658-667, June.
  7. Harris, David & Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2009. "Testing For A Unit Root In The Presence Of A Possible Break In Trend," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(6), pages 1545-1588, December.
  8. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2009. "Simple, Robust, And Powerful Tests Of The Breaking Trend Hypothesis," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(4), pages 995-1029, August.
  9. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2009. "Unit Root Testing In Practice: Dealing With Uncertainty Over The Trend And Initial Condition," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(3), pages 587-636, June.

2008

  1. Garratt, Anthony & Lee, Kevin & Vahey, Shaun, 2008. "Real-time probability forecasts of UK macroeconomic events," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 203, pages 78-90, January.
  2. Anthony Garratt & Kevin Lee & Emi Mise & Kalvinder Shields, 2008. "Real-Time Representations of the Output Gap," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 90(4), pages 792-804, November.
  3. Costas Arkolakis & Svetlana Demidova & Peter J. Klenow & Andres Rodriguez-Clare, 2008. "Endogenous Variety and the Gains from Trade," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 98(2), pages 444-450, May.
  4. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2008. "Erratum to "A simple, robust and powerful test of the trend hypothesis" [Journal of Econometrics 141(2) (2007) 1302-1330]," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 143(2), pages 396-397, April.
  5. Harvey David I & Leybourne Stephen J & Xiao Bin, 2008. "A Powerful Test for Linearity When the Order of Integration is Unknown," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(3), pages 1-24, September.
  6. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2008. "Seasonal unit root tests and the role of initial conditions," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 11(3), pages 409-442, November.

2007

  1. Kevin Lee & Kalvinder Shields, 2007. "Overcoming Measurement Error Problems in the Use of Survey Data on Expectations," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 83(262), pages 303-316, September.
  2. Jensen Martin K, 2007. "Monotone Comparative Statics in Ordered Vector Spaces," The B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 7(1), pages 1-23, October.
  3. Giovanni Maggi & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 2007. "A Political-Economy Theory of Trade Agreements," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 97(4), pages 1374-1406, September.
  4. William Maloney & Andrés Rodríguez‐Clare, 2007. "Innovation Shortfalls," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(4), pages 665-684, November.
  5. Rodriguez-Clare, Andres, 2007. "Clusters and comparative advantage: Implications for industrial policy," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(1), pages 43-57, January.
  6. Lazarová, štěpána & Trapani, Lorenzo & Urga, Giovanni, 2007. "Common Stochastic Trends And Aggregation In Heterogeneous Panels," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(1), pages 89-105, February.
  7. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2007. "A simple, robust and powerful test of the trend hypothesis," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 1302-1330, December.
  8. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne, 2007. "Testing for time series linearity," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 10(1), pages 149-165, March.

2006

  1. Jensen, Martin Kaae, 2006. "On unbounded growth with heterogenous consumers," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(7-8), pages 807-826, November.
  2. Harvey David I & Leybourne Stephen J & Taylor A.M. Robert, 2006. "On Robust Trend Function Hypothesis Testing," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-27, March.
  3. Harvey, David I. & van Dijk, Dick, 2006. "Sample size, lag order and critical values of seasonal unit root tests," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(10), pages 2734-2751, June.
  4. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne, 2006. "Power of a Unit‐Root Test and the Initial Condition," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(5), pages 739-752, September.
  5. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2006. "Modified tests for a change in persistence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 134(2), pages 441-469, October.

2005

  1. Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 2005. "Coordination Failure, Clusters, and Microeconomic Interventions," Economía Journal, The Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association - LACEA, vol. 0(Fall 2005), pages 1-41, August.
  2. David Harvey & Terence Mills, 2005. "Evidence for common features in G7 macroeconomic time series," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(2), pages 165-175.
  3. Harvey, David I. & Mills, Terence C., 2005. "Corrigendum to ''Common features in UK sectoral output'': [Economic Modelling 19 (2002) 91-104]," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 207-211, January.
  4. David I. Harvey & Paul Newbold, 2005. "Forecast Encompassing and Parameter Estimation," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 67(s1), pages 815-835, December.
  5. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne, 2005. "On testing for unit roots and the initial observation," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 8(1), pages 97-111, March.

2004

  1. David Fielding & Kevin Lee & Kalvinder Shields, 2004. "The Characteristics of Macroeconomic Shocks in the CFA Franc Zone," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 13(4), pages 488-517, December.
  2. Laura Alfaro & Andrés Rodriguez-Clare, 2004. "Multinationals and Linkages: An Empirical Investigation," Economía Journal, The Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association - LACEA, vol. 0(Spring 20), pages 113-169, January.
  3. David I. Harvey & Terence C. Mills, 2004. "Tests for Stationarity in Series with Endogenously Determined Structural Change," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 66(5), pages 863-894, December.
  4. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Paul Newbold, 2004. "Tests for a Break in Level when the Order of Integration is Unknown," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 66(1), pages 133-146, February.

2003

  1. Garratt A. & Lee K. & Pesaran M.H. & Shin Y., 2003. "Forecast Uncertainties in Macroeconomic Modeling: An Application to the U.K. Economy," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 98, pages 829-838, January.
  2. Anthony Garratt & Kevin Lee & M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin, 2003. "A Long run structural macroeconometric model of the UK," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 113(487), pages 412-455, April.
  3. Jack Glen & Kevin Lee & Ajit Singh, 2003. "Corporate profitability and the dynamics of competition in emerging markets: a time series analysis," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 113(491), pages 465-484, November.
  4. David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne & Paul Newbold, 2003. "How great are the great ratios?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(2), pages 163-177.
  5. David I. Harvey & Terence C. Mills, 2003. "A Note On Busetti–Harvey Tests For Stationarity In Series With Structural Breaks," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(2), pages 159-164, March.
  6. Terence C. Mills & David I. Harvey, 2003. "Modelling trends in central England temperatures," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(1), pages 35-47.
  7. Harvey, David I. & Newbold, Paul, 2003. "The non-normality of some macroeconomic forecast errors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 635-653.

2002

  1. Harvey, David I. & Mills, Terence C., 2002. "Common features in UK sectoral output," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 91-104, January.
  2. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Newbold, Paul, 2002. "Seasonal unit root tests with seasonal mean shifts," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 76(2), pages 295-302, July.
  3. David Harvey & Terence Mills, 2002. "Unit roots and double smooth transitions," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(5), pages 675-683.

2001

  1. Jack Glen & Kevin Lee & Ajit Singh, 2001. "Intensity of Competition in Emerging Markets and Advanced Economies: Evidence from the Persistence of Corporate rates of Return in Emerging Markets," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 70(2), pages 201-202.
  2. Glen, Jack & Lee, Kevin & Singh, Ajit, 2001. "Persistence of profitability and competition in emerging markets," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 72(2), pages 247-253, August.
  3. Andres Rodriguez-Clare, 2001. "Costa Rica's Development Strategy based on Human Capital and Technology: How it got there, the impact of Intel, and lessons for other countries," Journal of Human Development and Capabilities, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(2), pages 311-324.
  4. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Paul Newbold, 2001. "Analysis of a panel of UK macroeconomic forecasts," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 4(1), pages 37-55.
  5. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Paul Newbold, 2001. "Innovational Outlier Unit Root Tests With an Endogenously Determined Break in Level," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 63(5), pages 559-575, December.

2000

  1. Kevin Lee & Kalvinder Shields, 2000. "Measuring Output Trends Using Actual and Expected Output in UK Manufacturing, 1975–98," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 68(s1), pages 75-91.
  2. Kevin Lee & Kalvinder Shields, 2000. "Expectations Formation and Business Cycle Fluctuations: An Empirical Analysis of Actual and Expected Output in UK Manufacturing, 1975–1996," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 62(4), pages 463-490, September.
  3. van Garderen, Kees Jan & Lee, Kevin & Pesaran, M. Hashem, 2000. "Cross-sectional aggregation of non-linear models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 95(2), pages 285-331, April.
  4. Maggi, Giovanni & Rodriguez-Clare, Andres, 2000. "Import penetration and the politics of trade protection," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 287-304, August.
  5. David Harvey & Paul Newbold, 2000. "Tests for multiple forecast encompassing," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(5), pages 471-482.

1998

  1. Kevin Lee & M. Hashem Pesaran & Ron Smith, 1998. "Growth Empirics: A Panel Data Approach—A Comment," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 113(1), pages 319-323.
  2. Kevin Lee, 1998. "Cross-country interdependencies in growth dynamics: A model of output growth in the G7 economies, 1960–1994," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 134(3), pages 367-403, September.
  3. Giovanni Maggi & Andres Rodriguez-Clare, 1998. "The Value of Trade Agreements in the Presence of Political Pressures," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 106(3), pages 574-601, June.
  4. Harvey, David I & Leybourne, Stephen J & Newbold, Paul, 1998. "Tests for Forecast Encompassing," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 16(2), pages 254-259, April.

1997

  1. Lee, Kevin, 1997. "Modelling economic growth in the UK: An econometric case for disaggregated sectoral analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 369-394, July.
  2. Lee, Kevin & Pesaran, M Hashem & Smith, Ron, 1997. "Growth and Convergence in Multi-country Empirical Stochastic Solow Model," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 12(4), pages 357-392, July-Aug..
  3. Klenow, Peter J. & Rodriguez-Clare, Andres, 1997. "Economic growth: A review essay," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 597-617, December.
  4. Harvey, David & Leybourne, Stephen & Newbold, Paul, 1997. "Testing the equality of prediction mean squared errors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 281-291, June.

1996

  1. Rodriguez-Clare, Andres, 1996. "Multinationals, Linkages, and Economic Development," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 86(4), pages 852-873, September.
  2. Rodriguez-Clare, Andres, 1996. "The division of labor and economic development," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(1), pages 3-32, April.

1995

  1. Maggi G. & Rodriguez-Clare A., 1995. "On Countervailing Incentives," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 66(1), pages 238-263, June.
  2. Giovanni Maggi & Andres Rodriguez-Clare, 1995. "Costly Distortion of Information in Agency Problems," RAND Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 26(4), pages 675-689, Winter.

1994

  1. Pesaran, M Hashem & Pierse, Richard G & Lee, Kevin C, 1994. "Choice between Disaggregate and Aggregate Specifications Estimated by Instrumental Variables Methods," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 12(1), pages 11-21, January.
  2. Lee, Kevin C, 1994. "Formation of Price and Cost Inflation Expectations in British Manufacturing Industries: A Multi-Sectoral Analysis," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 104(423), pages 372-385, March.

1993

  1. Lee, Kevin C & Pesaran, M Hashem, 1993. "The Role of Sectoral Interactions in Wage Determination in the UK Economy," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 103(416), pages 21-55, January.
  2. Pesaran, M. H. & Pierse, R. G. & Lee, K. C., 1993. "Persistence, cointegration, and aggregation : A disaggregated analysis of output fluctuations in the U.S. economy," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 56(1-2), pages 57-88, March.
  3. Borooah, Vani K. & Lee, Kevin C., 1993. "Trade unions, relative wages, and the employment of young workers," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 333-355, August.
  4. Lee, Kevin C. & Pesaran, M. Hashem, 1993. "Persistence profiles and business cycle fluctuations in a disaggregated model of U.K. output growth," Ricerche Economiche, Elsevier, vol. 47(3), pages 293-322, September.

1992

  1. Lee, Kevin C & Pesaran, M Hashem & Pierse, Richard G, 1992. "Persistence of Shocks and Their," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 102(411), pages 342-356, March.

1990

  1. Lee, Kevin C & Pesaran, M Hashem & Pierse, Richard G, 1990. "Testing for Aggregation Bias in Linear Models," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 100(400), pages 137-150, Supplemen.

1989

  1. Cosh, A. D. & Hughes, A. & Lee, K. & Singh, A., 1989. "Institutional investment, mergers and the market for corporate control," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 7(1), pages 73-100, March.

1988

  1. Borooah, V K & Lee, K C, 1988. "The Effect of Changes in Britain's Industrial Structure on Female Relative Pay and Employment," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 98(392), pages 818-832, September.

Books

2012

  1. Sabel, Charles & Sánchez, Gabriel & Butler, Inés & Rozemberg, Ricardo & Ruffo, Hernán & Arbeláez, María Angélica & Meléndez Arjona, Marcela & León, Nicolás & Da Rocha, Angela & Kury, Beatriz & Monteir, 2012. "Export Pioneers in Latin America," IDB Publications (Books), Inter-American Development Bank, number 380, May.

2007

  1. Galindo, Arturo & Scartascini, Carlos & Payne, J. Mark & Daughters, Robert & Melo, Alberto & Echebarría, Koldo & Lora, Eduardo & Filc, Gabriel & Micco, Alejandro & Chong, Alberto E. & Panizza, Ugo & B, 2007. "The State of State Reform in Latin America," IDB Publications (Books), Inter-American Development Bank, number 352, May.

2006

  1. Garratt, Anthony & Lee, Kevin & Pesaran, M. Hashem & Shin, Yongcheol, 2006. "Global and National Macroeconometric Modelling: A Long-Run Structural Approach," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199296859.
  2. Rodríguez-Clare, Andrés & Devlin, Robert & Estevadeordal, Antoni, 2006. "The Emergence of China: Opportunities and Challenges for Latin America and the Caribbean," IDB Publications (Books), Inter-American Development Bank, number 421, May.

2005

  1. Kiguel, Miguel A. & Levy Yeyati, Eduardo & Galindo, Arturo & Panizza, Ugo & Miller, Margaret & Rojas-Suárez, Liliana & Bebczuk, Ricardo N. & López-de-Silanes, Florencio & Bernal, Olver & Auerbach, Pau, 2005. "Unlocking Credit: The Quest for Deep and Stable Bank Lending. Economic and Social Progress in Latin America. 2005 Report," IDB Publications (Books), Inter-American Development Bank, number 416, May.

2004

  1. Rodríguez-Clare, Andrés & Lizardo, Magdalena & Sáenz, Manrique & Trejos, Alberto & Acevedo, Carlos & Guzmán, Rolando M. & Machado, Roberto & Nazal, Paulina & Agosin, Manuel R., 2004. "Pequeñas economías, grandes desafíos: Políticas económicas para el desarrollo en Centroamérica," IDB Publications (Books), Inter-American Development Bank, number 273, May.

Chapters

2022

  1. Chrystalleni Aristidou & Kevin Lee & Kalvinder Shields, 2022. "A Meta Model Analysis of Exchange Rate Determination," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of M. Hashem Pesaran: Prediction and Macro Modeling, volume 43, pages 199-215, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.

2018

  1. Martin Kaae Jensen, 2018. "Aggregative games," Chapters, in: Luis C. Corchón & Marco A. Marini (ed.), Handbook of Game Theory and Industrial Organization, Volume I, chapter 4, pages 66-92, Edward Elgar Publishing.

2014

  1. Costinot, Arnaud & Rodríguez-Clare, Andrés, 2014. "Trade Theory with Numbers: Quantifying the Consequences of Globalization," Handbook of International Economics, in: Gopinath, G. & Helpman, . & Rogoff, K. (ed.), Handbook of International Economics, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 0, pages 197-261, Elsevier.

2010

  1. Harrison, Ann & Rodríguez-Clare, Andrés, 2010. "Trade, Foreign Investment, and Industrial Policy for Developing Countries," Handbook of Development Economics, in: Dani Rodrik & Mark Rosenzweig (ed.), Handbook of Development Economics, edition 1, volume 5, chapter 0, pages 4039-4214, Elsevier.

2009

  1. Michael P. Clements & David I. Harvey, 2009. "Forecast Combination and Encompassing," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Terence C. Mills & Kerry Patterson (ed.), Palgrave Handbook of Econometrics, chapter 4, pages 169-198, Palgrave Macmillan.

2005

  1. Klenow, Peter J. & Rodriguez-Clare, Andres, 2005. "Externalities and Growth," Handbook of Economic Growth, in: Philippe Aghion & Steven Durlauf (ed.), Handbook of Economic Growth, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 11, pages 817-861, Elsevier.

1997

  1. Peter J. Klenow & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 1997. "The Neoclassical Revival in Growth Economics: Has It Gone Too Far?," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1997, Volume 12, pages 73-114, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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