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The Asymptotics for Panel Models with Common Shocks

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This paper develops a novel asymptotic theory for panel models with common shocks. We assume that contemporaneous correlation can be generated by both the presence of common regressors among units and weak spatial dependence among the error terms. Several characteristics of the panel are considered: cross sectional and time series dimensions can either be fixed or large; factors can either be observable or unobservable; the factor model can describe either cointegration relationship or a spurious regression, and we also consider the stationary case. We derive the rate of convergence and the distribution limits for the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimates of the model parameters under all the aforementioned cases.

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  • Chihwa Kao & Lorenzo Trapani & Giovanni Urga, 2006. "The Asymptotics for Panel Models with Common Shocks," Center for Policy Research Working Papers 77, Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University.
  • Handle: RePEc:max:cprwps:77
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    2. Arturas Juodis & Simon Reese, 2018. "The Incidental Parameters Problem in Testing for Remaining Cross-section Correlation," Papers 1810.03715, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2021.
    3. G. Forchini & Bin Jiang & Bin Peng, 2015. "Common Shocks in panels with Endogenous Regressors," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 8/15, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    4. Bittencourt, Manoel, 2011. "Inflation and financial development: Evidence from Brazil," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 91-99.
    5. Jaromír Antoch & Jan Hanousek & Lajos Horváth & Marie Hušková & Shixuan Wang, 2019. "Structural breaks in panel data: Large number of panels and short length time series," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(7), pages 828-855, August.
    6. Gregory Connor & Robert A Korajczyk, 2024. "Semi-Strong Factors in Asset Returns," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 22(1), pages 70-93.
    7. Jaromír Antoch & Jan Hanousek & Marie Hušková & Jiří Trešl, 2019. "Detekce změn v panelových datech: Změna parametrů Fama-French modelu u vybraných evropských akcií v období finanční krize [Detection of Changes in Panel Data: Change in Fama-French Model Parameters," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2019(1), pages 3-19.
    8. Anindya Banerjee & Josep Lluís Carrion-i-Silvestre, 2017. "Testing for Panel Cointegration Using Common Correlated Effects Estimators," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(4), pages 610-636, July.
    9. Chihwa Kao & Lorenzo Trapani & Giovanni Urga, 2012. "Testing for Breaks in Cointegrated Panels," Center for Policy Research Working Papers 135, Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University.
    10. Trapani, Lorenzo, 2013. "On bootstrapping panel factor series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 172(1), pages 127-141.
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    12. Shahnaz Parsaeian, 2024. "Stein-like Common Correlated Effects Estimation Under Structural Breaks," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202409, University of Kansas, Department of Economics.
    13. Castagnetti, Carolina & Rossi, Eduardo, 2008. "Estimation methods in panel data models with observed and unobserved components: a Monte Carlo study," MPRA Paper 26196, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Giovanni Forchini & Bin Peng, 2016. "A Conditional Approach to Panel Data Models with Common Shocks," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 4(1), pages 1-12, January.
    15. Shahnaz Parsaeian, 2024. "Stein-like Common Correlated Effects Estimation under Structural Breaks," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-23, April.
    16. Chihwa Kao & Lorenzo Trapani & Giovanni Urga, 2007. "Modelling and Testing for Structural Changes in Panel Cointegration Models with Common and Idiosyncratic Stochastic Trends," Working Papers 0708, Department of Management, Information and Production Engineering, University of Bergamo.
    17. In Choi, 2012. "Panel Cointegration," Working Papers 1208, Nam Duck-Woo Economic Research Institute, Sogang University (Former Research Institute for Market Economy).

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    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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