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Richard K. Crump

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Adrian, Tobias & Crump, Richard K. & Moench, Emanuel, 2013. "Pricing the term structure with linear regressions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(1), pages 110-138.

    Mentioned in:

    1. All bark but no bite? What does the yield curve tell us about growth?
      by BankUnderground in Bank Underground on 2019-06-04 08:00:14

Wikipedia or ReplicationWiki mentions

(Only mentions on Wikipedia that link back to a page on a RePEc service)
  1. Richard Crump & Gopi Shah Goda & Kevin J. Mumford, 2011. "Fertility and the Personal Exemption: Comment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(4), pages 1616-1628, June.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Fertility and the Personal Exemption: Comment (AER 2011) in ReplicationWiki ()

Working papers

  1. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Marc Giannoni & Aysegul Sahin, 2024. "The Unemployment-Inflation Trade-off Revisited: The Phillips Curve in COVID Times," Staff Reports 1086, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

    Cited by:

    1. Faberman, R. Jason & Mueller, Andreas I. & Şahin, Ayşegül, 2022. "Has the Willingness to Work Fallen during the Covid Pandemic?," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    2. Barlevy, Gadi & Hobijn, Bart & Faberman, Jason & Sahin, Aysegül, 2023. "The Shifting Reasons for Beveridge-Curve Shifts," IZA Discussion Papers 16517, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    3. Jonathan H. Wright, 2023. "Breaks in the Phillips Curve: Evidence from Panel Data," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-015, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    4. Verbrugge, Randal & Zaman, Saeed, 2023. "The hard road to a soft landing: Evidence from a (modestly) nonlinear structural model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    5. Kakuho Furukawa & Yoshihiko Hogen & Yosuke Kido, "undated". "Labor Market of Regular Workers in Japan: A Perspective from Job Advertisement Data," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 23-E-7, Bank of Japan.
    6. Ángel Ubide, 2022. "The Inflation Surge of 2021–22: Scarcity of Goods and Commodities, Strong Labor Markets and Anchored Inflation Expectations," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 57(2), pages 93-98, March.

  2. Nina Boyarchenko & Richard K. Crump & Anna Kovner & Or Shachar, 2021. "Measuring Corporate Bond Market Dislocations," Staff Reports 957, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

    Cited by:

    1. Boyarchenko, Nina & Kovner, Anna & Shachar, Or, 2022. "It’s what you say and what you buy: A holistic evaluation of the corporate credit facilities," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(3), pages 695-731.
    2. Nina Boyarchenko & Caren Cox & Richard K. Crump & Andrew Danzig & Anna Kovner & Or Shachar & Patrick Steiner, 2021. "COVID Response: The Primary and Secondary Corporate Credit Facilities," Staff Reports 986, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

  3. Nina Boyarchenko & Richard K. Crump & Anna Kovner & Deborah Leonard, 2021. "COVID Response: The Commercial Paper Funding Facility," Staff Reports 982, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

    Cited by:

    1. Jean Barthélémy & Paul Gardin & Benoit Nguyen, 2023. "Stablecoins and the Financing of the Real Economy," Working papers 908, Banque de France.
    2. Matteo Aquilina & Andreas Schrimpf & Karamfil Todorov, 2023. "CP and CDs markets: a primer," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.
    3. Metrick, Andrew, 2022. "Market Support Programs: COVID-19 Crisis," Journal of Financial Crises, Yale Program on Financial Stability (YPFS), vol. 4(2), pages 179-219, April.

  4. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench & Bruce Preston, 2021. "The Term Structure of Expectations," Staff Reports 992, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

    Cited by:

    1. McNeil, James, 2023. "Monetary policy and the term structure of inflation expectations with information frictions," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    2. Maik Schmeling & Andreas Schrimpf & Sigurd A. M. Steffensen, 2022. "Monetary policy expectation errors," BIS Working Papers 996, Bank for International Settlements.

  5. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Domenico Giannone & Eric Qian & Argia M. Sbordone, 2021. "A Large Bayesian VAR of the United States Economy," Staff Reports 976, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

    Cited by:

    1. Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2022. "Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 500-519.
    2. Addie, Ron & Taranto, Aldo, 2024. "Economic Similarities and their Application to Inflation," EconStor Preprints 283286, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    3. Anna Sznajderska & Alfred A. Haug, 2023. "Bayesian VARs of the U.S. economy before and during the pandemic," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 13(2), pages 211-236, June.

  6. Nina Boyarchenko & Caren Cox & Richard K. Crump & Andrew Danzig & Anna Kovner & Or Shachar & Patrick Steiner, 2021. "COVID Response: The Primary and Secondary Corporate Credit Facilities," Staff Reports 986, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

    Cited by:

    1. Boyarchenko, Nina & Kovner, Anna & Shachar, Or, 2022. "It’s what you say and what you buy: A holistic evaluation of the corporate credit facilities," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(3), pages 695-731.

  7. Nina Boyarchenko & Richard K. Crump & Anna Kovner & Or Shachar & Peter Van Tassel, 2020. "The Primary and Secondary Market Corporate Credit Facilities," Liberty Street Economics 20200526a, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

    Cited by:

    1. Larry D. Wall, 2021. "So Far, So Good: Government Insurance of Financial Sector Tail Risk," Policy Hub, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, vol. 2021(13), November.
    2. Nina Boyarchenko & Caren Cox & Richard K. Crump & Andrew Danzig & Anna Kovner & Or Shachar & Patrick Steiner, 2022. "The Primary and Secondary Corporate Credit Facilities," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 28(1), July.
    3. Nina Boyarchenko & Caren Cox & Richard K. Crump & Andrew Danzig & Anna Kovner & Or Shachar & Patrick Steiner, 2021. "COVID Response: The Primary and Secondary Corporate Credit Facilities," Staff Reports 986, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    4. Mahdi Ebsim & Miguel Faria-e-Castro & Julian Kozlowski, 2020. "Credit and Liquidity Policies during Large Crises," Working Papers 2020-035, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 22 Feb 2024.

  8. Cao, Shuo & Crump, Richard K. & ,, 2020. "Fundamental Disagreement about Monetary Policy and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," CEPR Discussion Papers 15122, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Baumeister, Christiane, 2021. "Measuring Market Expectations," CEPR Discussion Papers 16520, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Kenneth J. Singleton, 2021. "Presidential Address: How Much “Rationality” Is There in Bond‐Market Risk Premiums?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 76(4), pages 1611-1654, August.
    3. Maryam Movahedifar & Hossein Hassani & Masoud Yarmohammadi & Mahdi Kalantari & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "A robust approach for outlier imputation: Singular Spectrum Decomposition," Working Papers 202164, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    4. Marco Giacoletti & Kristoffer T. Laursen & Kenneth J. Singleton, 2021. "Learning From Disagreement in the U.S. Treasury Bond Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 76(1), pages 395-441, February.
    5. Ricardo Reis, 2020. "The People versus the Markets: A Parsimonious Model of Inflation Expectations," Discussion Papers 2033, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).

  9. Richard K. Crump & Christopher J. Nekarda & Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau, 2020. "Unemployment Rate Benchmarks," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-072, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. D’Amuri, Francesco & De Philippis, Marta & Guglielminetti, Elisa & Lo Bello, Salvatore, 2022. "Slack and prices during Covid-19: Accounting for labor market participation," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).

  10. Giannoni, Marc & Crump, Richard K. & Eusepi, Stefano & Sahin, Aysegul, 2019. "A Unified Approach to Measuring u," CEPR Discussion Papers 13939, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Hie Joo Ahn & Bart Hobijn, 2023. "The Dual U.S. Labor Market Uncovered," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-031, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    2. James McNeil & Gregor W. Smith, 2022. "The All-Gap Phillips Curve," Working Paper 1488, Economics Department, Queen's University.
    3. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Marc Giannoni & Aysegul Sahin, 2024. "The Unemployment-Inflation Trade-off Revisited: The Phillips Curve in COVID Times," Staff Reports 1086, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    4. Alexander Doser & Ricardo Nunes & Nikhil Rao & Viacheslav Sheremirov, 2017. "Inflation expectations and nonlinearities in the Phillips curve," Working Papers 17-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    5. Bruce Fallick & Christopher L. Foote, 2022. "The Impact of the Age Distribution on Unemployment: Evidence from US States," Working Papers 22-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    6. Ayşegül Şahin & Murat Tasci, 2020. "The Unemployment Cost of COVID-19: How High and How Long?," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2020(09), May.
    7. Bart Hobijn & Ayşegül Şahin, 2021. "Maximum Employment and the Participation Cycle," NBER Working Papers 29222, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Xin Scott Chen & Ali Jaffery & Guillaume Nolin & Karim Salhab & Peter Shannon & Subrata Sarker, 2020. "Assessing Global Potential Output Growth: October 2020," Discussion Papers 2020-10, Bank of Canada.
    9. Robert E. Hall & Marianna Kudlyak, 2021. "The Inexorable Recoveries of U.S. Unemployment," Working Paper Series 2021-20, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    10. Michaillat, Pascal & Saez, Emmanuel, 2019. "Beveridgean Unemployment Gap," CEPR Discussion Papers 14132, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    11. Sengul, Gonul & Tasci, Murat, 2020. "Unemployment flows, participation, and the natural rate of unemployment: Evidence from turkey," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    12. Mary C. Daly, 2022. "This Time Is Different…Because We Are," Speech 93772, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    13. Marco Del Negro & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2020. "What’s up with the Phillips Curve?," NBER Working Papers 27003, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Simon Mongey & Giovanni L. Violante, 2020. "Macro Recruiting Intensity from Micro Data," Working Papers 2020-67, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    15. John D. Burger & Francis E. Warnock & Veronica Cacdac Warnock, 2019. "The Natural Level of Capital Flows," NBER Working Papers 26184, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    16. Bruce Fallick & Pawel Krolikowski, 2019. "Excess Persistence in Employment of Disadvantaged Workers," Working Papers 18-01R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    17. Ayşegül Şahin, 2021. "Comment on "Why Has the US Economy Recovered So Consistently from Every Recession in the Past 70 Years?"," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2021, volume 36, pages 68-79, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. Sebastian Heise & Fatih Karahan & Ayşegül Şahin, 2022. "The Missing Inflation Puzzle: The Role of the Wage‐Price Pass‐Through," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(S1), pages 7-51, February.
    19. D’Amuri, Francesco & De Philippis, Marta & Guglielminetti, Elisa & Lo Bello, Salvatore, 2022. "Slack and prices during Covid-19: Accounting for labor market participation," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    20. Peter D. Williams & Mr. Yasser Abdih & Emanuel Kopp, 2020. "Reading the Stars," IMF Working Papers 2020/136, International Monetary Fund.
    21. Richard K. Crump & Christopher J. Nekarda & Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau, 2020. "Unemployment Rate Benchmarks," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-072, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    22. Janice C. Eberly & James H. Stock & Jonathan H. Wright, 2020. "The Federal Reserve's Current Framework for Monetary Policy: A Review and Assessment," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(1), pages 5-71, February.
    23. Murasawa Yasutomo, 2022. "Bayesian multivariate Beveridge–Nelson decomposition of I(1) and I(2) series with cointegration," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 26(3), pages 387-415, June.
    24. Serdar Birinci & Kurt See & Shu Lin Wee, 2021. "Job Applications and Labour Market Flows," Staff Working Papers 21-49, Bank of Canada.
    25. Francesco D'Amuri & Marta De Philippis & Elisa Guglielminetti & Salvatore Lo Bello, 2021. "Natural unemployment and activity rates: flow-based determinants and implications for price dynamics," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 599, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    26. R. Jason Faberman & Andreas I. Mueller & Ayşegül Şahin* & Giorgio Topa, 2020. "The Shadow Margins of Labor Market Slack," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(S2), pages 355-391, December.
    27. Ahn, Hie Joo, 2023. "Duration structure of unemployment hazards and the trend unemployment rate," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    28. Acharya, Sushant & Wee, Shu Lin, 2020. "On-the-job Search and the Productivity-Wage Gap," CEPR Discussion Papers 14430, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    29. Ayşegül Şahin & Murat Tasci & Jin Yan, 2021. "Unemployment in the Time of COVID-19: A Flow-Based Approach to Real-time Unemployment Projections," Working Papers 21-25, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    30. Fatih Karahan & Benjamin Pugsley & Ayşegül Şahin, 2019. "Demographic Origins of the Startup Deficit," NBER Working Papers 25874, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    31. Kurt Graden Lunsford, 2023. "Business Cycles and Low-Frequency Fluctuations in the US Unemployment Rate," Working Papers 23-19, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    32. Venkata Raamasrinivas Mangapuram, 2022. "A Constant Gain Learning Explanation of U.S. Post War Inflation and Unemployment," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 20(3), pages 701-721, September.
    33. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2020. "Slack and Cyclically Sensitive Inflation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(S2), pages 393-428, December.
    34. Kurt Graden Lunsford, 2020. "Recessions and the Trend in the US Unemployment Rate," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2021(01), pages 1-8, February.
    35. Brand, Claus & Obstbaum, Meri & Coenen, Günter & Sondermann, David & Lydon, Reamonn & Ajevskis, Viktors & Hammermann, Felix & Angino, Siria & Hernborg, Nils & Basso, Henrique & Hertweck, Matthias & Bi, 2021. "Employment and the conduct of monetary policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 275, European Central Bank.
    36. Christopher D. Cotton & Vaishali Garga, 2022. "The Role of Industrial Composition in Driving the Frequency of Price Change," Working Papers 22-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    37. Canova, Fabio, 2020. "FAQ: How do I measure the Output gap?," CEPR Discussion Papers 14943, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    38. Canova, Fabio, 2020. "FAQ: How do I extract the output gap?," Working Paper Series 386, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    39. Saeed Zaman, 2021. "A Unified Framework to Estimate Macroeconomic Stars," Working Papers 21-23R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 15 Aug 2022.
    40. Artem Vdovychenko, 2022. "Estimating the natural rate of unemployment for Ukraine," IHEID Working Papers 21-2022, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    41. Richard K. Crump & Nikolay Gospodinov & Hunter Wieman, 2023. "Sparse Trend Estimation," Staff Reports 1049, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

  11. Richard K. Crump & Nikolay Gospodinov, 2019. "Deconstructing the yield curve," Staff Reports 884, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

    Cited by:

    1. Moench, Emanuel & Soofi Siavash, Soroosh, 2022. "What Moves Treasury Yields?," CEPR Discussion Papers 15978, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

  12. Matias D. Cattaneo & Richard K. Crump & Max H. Farrell & Yingjie Feng, 2019. "Binscatter Regressions," Papers 1902.09615, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.

    Cited by:

    1. Evan Starr & Brent Goldfarb, 2020. "Binned scatterplots: A simple tool to make research easier and better," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(12), pages 2261-2274, December.
    2. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Andrea Tambalotti & Giorgio Topa, 2015. "Subjective Intertemporal Substitution," Staff Reports 734, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

  13. Richard K. Crump & Domenico Giannone & Sean Hundtofte, 2018. "Changing Risk-Return Profiles," Liberty Street Economics 20181004, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

    Cited by:

    1. Martina Hengge, 2019. "Uncertainty as a Predictor of Economic Activity," IHEID Working Papers 19-2019, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    2. Busetto, Filippo, 2024. "Asymmetric expectations of monetary policy," Bank of England working papers 1058, Bank of England.
    3. Richard K. Crump & João A. C. Santos, 2018. "Review of New York Fed studies on the effects of post-crisis banking reforms," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, issue 24-2, pages 71-90.
    4. Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone & Or Shachar, 2018. "Flighty liquidity," Staff Reports 870, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

  14. Matias D. Cattaneo & Richard K. Crump & Max H. Farrell & Ernst Schaumburg, 2018. "Characteristic-Sorted Portfolios: Estimation and Inference," Papers 1809.03584, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2019.

    Cited by:

    1. Matias D. Cattaneo & Richard K. Crump & Max H. Farrell & Yingjie Feng, 2019. "On Binscatter," Papers 1902.09608, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.
      • Matias D. Cattaneo & Richard K. Crump & Max H. Farrell & Yingjie Feng, 2019. "On binscatter," Staff Reports 881, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    2. Guillaume Coqueret, 2022. "Characteristics-driven returns in equilibrium," Papers 2203.07865, arXiv.org.
    3. Matias D. Cattaneo & Richard K. Crump & Weining Wang, 2023. "Beta-Sorted Portfolios," Staff Reports 1068, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    4. Joachim Freyberger & Andreas Neuhierl & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2017. "Dissecting Characteristics Nonparametrically," CESifo Working Paper Series 6391, CESifo.
    5. Matias D. Cattaneo & Max H. Farrell & Yingjie Feng, 2018. "Large Sample Properties of Partitioning-Based Series Estimators," Papers 1804.04916, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2019.
    6. Ni, Xuanming & Zheng, Tiantian & Zhao, Huimin & Zhu, Shushang, 2023. "High-dimensional portfolio optimization based on tree-structured factor model," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    7. Chaieb, Ines & Langlois, Hugues & Scaillet, Olivier, 2021. "Factors and risk premia in individual international stock returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 669-692.
    8. Christophe J. GODLEWSKI & Katarzyna BYRKA-KITA & Renata GOLA & Jacek CYPRYJANSKI, 2022. "Silence is not golden anymore? Social media activity and stock market valuation in Europe," Working Papers of LaRGE Research Center 2022-04, Laboratoire de Recherche en Gestion et Economie (LaRGE), Université de Strasbourg.

  15. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench, 2016. "The term structure of expectations and bond yields," Staff Reports 775, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

    Cited by:

    1. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2017. "Interest Rates Under Falling Stars," CESifo Working Paper Series 6571, CESifo.
    2. Stefano Eusepi & Marc P. Giannoni & Bruce Preston, 2017. "Some implications of learning for price stability," CAMA Working Papers 2017-08, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    3. Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018. "Global Trends in Interest Rates," Working Papers 1812, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    4. Thomas M. Mertens & John C. Williams, 2021. "What to Expect from the Lower Bound on Interest Rates: Evidence from Derivatives Prices," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 111(8), pages 2473-2505, August.
    5. Martin Kliem & Alexander Meyer-Gohde, 2018. "(Un)expected Monetary Policy Shocks and Term Premia," 2018 Meeting Papers 102, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    6. Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2017. "Safety, liquidity, and the natural rate of interest," Staff Reports 812, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    7. Halberstadt, Arne, 2023. "Decomposing the yield curve with linear regressions and survey information," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 25-39.
    8. Nitschka, Thomas & Ramelet, Marc-Antoine, 2023. "Shock and awe? Bond yield responses to domestic monetary policy in a small-open economy," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    9. Lange, Ronald Henry, 2018. "The predictive content of the term premium for GDP growth in Canada: Evidence from linear, Markov-switching and probit estimations," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 80-91.
    10. NAKAJIMA, Jouchi, 2023. "Estimating trend inflation in a regime-switching Phillips curve," Discussion Paper Series 750, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    11. Riccardo Rebonato, 2017. "Affine Models With Stochastic Market Price Of Risk," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(04), pages 1-38, June.
    12. Schupp, Fabian, 2020. "The (ir)relevance of the nominal lower bound for real yield curve analysis," Working Paper Series 2476, European Central Bank.
    13. Ethan Struby, 2018. "Macroeconomic Disagreement in Treasury Yields," Working Papers 2018-04, Carleton College, Department of Economics.
    14. Michael Abrahams & Tobias Adrian & Richard K. Crump & Emanuel Moench, 2012. "Decomposing real and nominal yield curves," Staff Reports 570, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    15. Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Sinem Hacioglu Hoke & Kristina Bluwstein, 2018. "When Creativity Strikes: News Shocks and Business Cycle Fluctuations," Discussion Papers 1823, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    16. Marta Banbura & Andries van Vlodrop, 2018. "Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions with Time Variation in the Mean," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-025/IV, Tinbergen Institute.

  16. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi, 2016. "Fundamental Disagreement: How Much and Why?," Liberty Street Economics 20160113, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

    Cited by:

    1. Stephen J. Cole & Fabio Milani, 2020. "Heterogeneity in Individual Expectations, Sentiment, and Constant-Gain Learning," CESifo Working Paper Series 8343, CESifo.
    2. Park, Sunjin, 2022. "Heterogeneous beliefs in macroeconomic growth prospects and the carry risk premium," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    3. Sebastian Link & Andreas Peichl & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2023. "Attention to the Macroeconomy," CESifo Working Paper Series 10858, CESifo.
    4. Zidong An & Salem Abo‐Zaid & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2023. "Inattention and the impact of monetary policy," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(4), pages 623-643, June.
    5. Michael D. Bauer & Carolin E. Pflueger & Adi Sunderam, 2022. "Perceptions about Monetary Policy," CESifo Working Paper Series 10182, CESifo.
    6. Kajal Lahiri & Huaming Peng & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2021. "Measuring Uncertainty of a Combined Forecast and Some Tests for Forecaster Heterogeneity," Working Papers 2021-005, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
    7. Czudaj, Robert L., 2022. "Heterogeneity of beliefs and information rigidity in the crude oil market: Evidence from survey data," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    8. Kuang, Pei & Tang, Li & Zhang, Renbin & Zhang, Tongbin, 2022. "Forecast disagreement about long-run macroeconomic relationships," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 200(C), pages 371-387.
    9. Ou, Shengliang & Zhang, Donghai & Zhang, Renbin, 2021. "Information frictions, monetary policy, and the paradox of price flexibility," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 70-82.
    10. Cornand, Camille & Hubert, Paul, 2022. "Information frictions across various types of inflation expectations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    11. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Andrea Tambalotti & Giorgio Topa, 2015. "Subjective Intertemporal Substitution," Staff Reports 734, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    12. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench & Bruce Preston, 2021. "The Term Structure of Expectations," Staff Reports 992, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    13. Michael Ehrmann & Paul Hubert, 2022. "Information Acquisition ahead of Monetary Policy Announcements," Working papers 897, Banque de France.
    14. McNeil, James, 2023. "Monetary policy and the term structure of inflation expectations with information frictions," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    15. Gabriel Caldas Montes & Igor Mendes Marcelino, 2023. "Uncertainties and disagreements in expectations of professional forecasters: Evidence from an inflation targeting developing country," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 937-956, July.
    16. An, Zidong & Zheng, Xinye, 2023. "Diligent forecasters can make accurate predictions despite disagreeing with the consensus," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    17. Tsiaplias, Sarantis, 2020. "Time-Varying Consumer Disagreement and Future Inflation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    18. Benhima, Kenza & Poilly, Céline, 2020. "Does demand noise matter? Identification and implications," CEPR Discussion Papers 14365, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    19. Gabriel Caldas Montes & Paulo Henrique Lourenço Luna, 2022. "Do fiscal opacity, fiscal impulse, and fiscal credibility affect disagreement about economic growth forecasts? Empirical evidence from Brazil considering the period of political instability and presid," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(4), pages 2356-2393, November.
    20. Chini, Emilio Zanetti, 2023. "Can we estimate macroforecasters’ mis-behavior?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    21. Camille Cornand & Paul Hubert, 2021. "Information frictions in inflation expectations among five types of economic agents," SciencePo Working papers Main halshs-03351632, HAL.
    22. Cao, Shuo & Crump, Richard K. & ,, 2020. "Fundamental Disagreement about Monetary Policy and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," CEPR Discussion Papers 15122, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    23. Bartosz Maćkowiak & Filip Matějka & Mirko Wiederholt, 2023. "Rational Inattention: A Review," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 61(1), pages 226-273, March.
    24. Doina Chichernea & Kershen Huang & Alex Petkevich, 2019. "Does maturity matter? The case of treasury futures volume," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(10), pages 1301-1321, October.
    25. Alessandro Barbera & Dora Xia & Sonya Zhu, 2023. "The term structure of inflation forecasts disagreement and monetary policy transmission," BIS Working Papers 1114, Bank for International Settlements.
    26. Yongchen Zhao, 2022. "Uncertainty and disagreement of inflation expectations: Evidence from household‐level qualitative survey responses," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(4), pages 810-828, July.
    27. Yoosoon Chang & Fabio Gómez-Rodríguez & Mr. Gee Hee Hong, 2022. "The Effects of Economic Shocks on Heterogeneous Inflation Expectations," IMF Working Papers 2022/132, International Monetary Fund.
    28. Glas, Alexander, 2020. "Five dimensions of the uncertainty–disagreement linkage," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 607-627.
    29. Glas, Alexander & Heinisch, Katja, 2021. "Conditional macroeconomic forecasts: Disagreement, revisions and forecast errors," IWH Discussion Papers 7/2021, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    30. Li, Huijing & Li, Hong & Lu, Lei & Theocharides, George & Xiong, Xiong, 2020. "Macro disagreement and international options markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    31. Nathan Goldstein & Ben‐Zion Zilberfarb, 2023. "The closer we get, the better we are?," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 61(2), pages 364-376, April.
    32. Falck, E. & Hoffmann, M. & Hürtgen, P., 2021. "Disagreement about inflation expectations and monetary policy transmission," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 15-31.
    33. Lien, Donald & Sun, Yuchen & Zhang, Chengsi, 2021. "Uncertainty, confidence, and monetary policy in China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 1347-1358.
    34. Esady, Vania, 2022. "Real and nominal effects of monetary shocks under time-varying disagreement," Bank of England working papers 1007, Bank of England.

  17. Adrian, Tobias & Crump, Richard K. & Vogt, Erik, 2016. "Nonlinearity and Flight-to-Safety in the Risk-Return Tradeoff for Stocks and Bonds," CEPR Discussion Papers 11401, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Chung, Chien-Ping & Liao, Tzu-Hsiang & Lee, Hsiu-Chuan, 2021. "Volatility spillovers of A- and B-shares for the Chinese stock market and its impact on the Chinese index returns," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    2. Conrad, Christian & Stuermer, Karin, 2017. "On the economic determinants of optimal stock-bond portfolios: international evidence," Working Papers 0636, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
    3. Liu, Xiaochun, 2017. "Unfolded risk-return trade-offs and links to Macroeconomic Dynamics," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 1-19.
    4. Akhtaruzzaman, Md & Boubaker, Sabri & Lucey, Brian M. & Sensoy, Ahmet, 2021. "Is gold a hedge or a safe-haven asset in the COVID–19 crisis?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    5. Tobias Adrian & Daniel Stackman & Erik Vogt, 2019. "Global Price of Risk and Stabilization Policies," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 67(1), pages 215-260, March.
    6. Bodilsen, Simon & Eriksen, Jonas N. & Grønborg, Niels S., 2021. "Asset pricing and FOMC press conferences," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    7. Richard K. Crump & Miro Everaert & Domenico Giannone & Sean Hundtofte, 2018. "Changing Risk-Return Profiles," Staff Reports 850, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    8. Tobias Adrian & Michael J. Fleming & Erik Vogt, 2017. "The Evolution of Treasury Market Liquidity: Evidence from 30 Years of Limit Order Book Data," Staff Reports 827, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    9. He, Zhiguo & Nagel, Stefan & Song, Zhaogang, 2022. "Treasury inconvenience yields during the COVID-19 crisis," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(1), pages 57-79.
    10. Chiah, Mardy & Tian, Xiao & Zhong, Angel, 2022. "Lockdown and retail trading in the equity market," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    11. Naresh Bansal & Robert A. Connolly & Chris Stivers, 2022. "Beta and size equity premia following a high‐VIX threshold," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(8), pages 1491-1517, August.
    12. Janus, Jakub, 2022. "Cross-border flights to safe assets in bond markets: evidence from emerging market economies," MPRA Paper 113875, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Lei, Heng & Xue, Minggao & Liu, Huiling & Ye, Jing, 2023. "Precious metal as a safe haven for global ESG stocks: Portfolio implications for socially responsible investing," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    14. Shi, Huai-Long & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2022. "Factor volatility spillover and its implications on factor premia," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    15. Joseph, Byrne & Sakemoto, Ryuta, 2020. "The Conditional Risk and Return Trade-Off on Currency Portfolios," MPRA Paper 99497, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Mirco Rubin & Dario Ruzzi, 2020. "Equity Tail Risk in the Treasury Bond Market," Papers 2007.05933, arXiv.org.
    17. Xiang, Yun & He, Jiaxuan, 2022. "Pairs trading and asset pricing," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    18. Adrian, Tobias & , & Shin, Hyun Song, 2016. "Dynamic Leverage Asset Pricing," CEPR Discussion Papers 11466, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    19. Zeng, Ting & Yang, Mengying & Shen, Yifan, 2020. "Fancy Bitcoin and conventional financial assets: Measuring market integration based on connectedness networks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 209-220.
    20. Tobias Adrian & Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone, 2018. "Vulnerable Growth," Liberty Street Economics 20180409, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    21. Daniel Andrei & Bruce Carlin & Michael Hasler, 2019. "Asset Pricing with Disagreement and Uncertainty About the Length of Business Cycles," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(6), pages 2900-2923, June.
    22. Bansal, Naresh & Stivers, Chris, 2022. "Bond risk’s role in the equity risk-return tradeoff," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    23. Petar Sabtchevsky & Paul Whelan & Andrea Vedolin & Philippe Mueller, 2017. "Variance Risk Premia on Stocks and Bonds," 2017 Meeting Papers 1161, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    24. Chan Joshua C.C. & Fry-McKibbin Renée A. & Hsiao Cody Yu-Ling, 2019. "A regime switching skew-normal model of contagion," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 23(1), pages 1-24, February.
    25. Thomas M. Eisenbach & Gregory Phelan, 2022. "Fragility of Safe Asset Markets," Staff Reports 1026, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    26. Hassan, M. Kabir & Djajadikerta, Hadrian Geri & Choudhury, Tonmoy & Kamran, Muhammad, 2022. "Safe havens in Islamic financial markets: COVID-19 versus GFC," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    27. Hsu, Chih-Hsiang & Lee, Hsiu-Chuan & Lien, Donald, 2020. "Stock market uncertainty, volatility connectedness of financial institutions, and stock-bond return correlations," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 600-621.
    28. Nakagawa, Kei & Sakemoto, Ryuta, 2022. "Market uncertainty and correlation between Bitcoin and Ether," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    29. Piergiorgio Alessandri & Antonio M. Conti & Fabrizio Venditti, 2016. "The Financial Stability Dark Side of Monetary Policy," BCAM Working Papers 1601, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
    30. Richard K. Crump & Nikolay Gospodinov, 2019. "Deconstructing the yield curve," Staff Reports 884, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    31. Jorge M. Uribe, 2018. "“Scaling Down Downside Risk with Inter-Quantile Semivariances”," IREA Working Papers 201826, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Oct 2018.
    32. Faten Ben Bouheni & Hassan Obeid & Elena Margarint, 2022. "Nonperforming loan of European Islamic banks over the economic cycle," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(2), pages 773-808, June.
    33. Chen, Yu-Lun & Yang, J. Jimmy, 2021. "Trader positions in VIX futures," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-17.
    34. Venmans, Frank, 2021. "The leverage anomaly in U.S. bank stock returns," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    35. Jappelli, Ruggero & Lucke, Konrad & Pelizzon, Loriana, 2022. "Price and liquidity discovery in European sovereign bonds and futures," SAFE Working Paper Series 350, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    36. Cheema, Muhammad A. & Faff, Robert & Szulczyk, Kenneth R., 2022. "The 2008 global financial crisis and COVID-19 pandemic: How safe are the safe haven assets?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    37. Ana González-Urteaga & Belén Nieto & Gonzalo Rubio, 2022. "Spillover dynamics effects between risk-neutral equity and Treasury volatilities," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 13(4), pages 663-708, December.
    38. Mirco Rubin & Dario Ruzzi, 2020. "Equity tail risk in the treasury bond market," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1311, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    39. Lehnert, Thorsten, 2022. "Flight-to-safety and retail investor behavior," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    40. Andrieș, Alin Marius & Ongena, Steven & Sprincean, Nicu, 2021. "The COVID-19 Pandemic and Sovereign Bond Risk," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    41. Nektarios Aslanidis & Charlotte Christiansen & Christos S. Savva, 2021. "Quantile Risk–Return Trade-Off," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-14, June.
    42. Byrne, Joseph P. & Sakemoto, Ryuta, 2021. "The conditional volatility premium on currency portfolios," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    43. Dennis Umlandt, 2020. "Likelihood-based Dynamic Asset Pricing: Learning Time-varying Risk Premia from Cross-Sectional Models," Working Paper Series 2020-06, University of Trier, Research Group Quantitative Finance and Risk Analysis.
    44. Kaminska, Iryna & Roberts-Sklar, Matt, 2015. "A global factor in variance risk premia and local bond pricing," Bank of England working papers 576, Bank of England.
    45. Semeyutin, Artur & Downing, Gareth, 2022. "Co-jumps in the U.S. interest rates and precious metals markets and their implications for investors," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).

  18. Moench, Emanuel & Adrian, Tobias & Crump, Richard K., 2015. "Regression Based Estimation of Dynamic Asset Pricing Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 10449, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Liao Zhu, 2021. "The Adaptive Multi-Factor Model and the Financial Market," Papers 2107.14410, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
    2. Liao Zhu & Robert A. Jarrow & Martin T. Wells, 2020. "Time-Invariance Coefficients Tests with the Adaptive Multi-Factor Model," Papers 2011.04171, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2021.
    3. Fernando M. Duarte & Carlo Rosa, 2015. "The equity risk premium: a review of models," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, issue 2, pages 39-57.
    4. Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2019. "What anchors for the natural rate of interest?," BIS Working Papers 777, Bank for International Settlements.
    5. Tobias Adrian & Daniel Stackman & Erik Vogt, 2019. "Global Price of Risk and Stabilization Policies," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 67(1), pages 215-260, March.
    6. Smith, Simon C. & Timmermann, Allan, 2022. "Have risk premia vanished?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(2), pages 553-576.
    7. Taylor, Alan M. & Davis, Josh & Fuenzalida, Cristian, 2019. "The Natural Rate Puzzle: Global Macro Trends and the Market-Implied r," CEPR Discussion Papers 14201, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    8. Peter Van Tassel, 2017. "Global Variance Term Premia and Intermediary Risk Appetite," 2017 Meeting Papers 149, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    9. Matias D. Cattaneo & Richard K. Crump & Weining Wang, 2023. "Beta-Sorted Portfolios," Staff Reports 1068, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    10. Nikolay Gospodinov, 2017. "Asset Co-movements: Features and Challenges," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2017-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    11. Joseph, Byrne & Sakemoto, Ryuta, 2020. "The Conditional Risk and Return Trade-Off on Currency Portfolios," MPRA Paper 99497, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Matias D. Cattaneo & Richard K. Crump & Max H. Farrell & Ernst Schaumburg, 2018. "Characteristic-Sorted Portfolios: Estimation and Inference," Papers 1809.03584, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2019.
    13. Adrian, Tobias & , & Shin, Hyun Song, 2016. "Dynamic Leverage Asset Pricing," CEPR Discussion Papers 11466, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    14. Cai, Zongwu & Juhl, Ted, 2023. "The distribution of rolling regression estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1447-1463.
    15. Baltzer, Markus & Koehl, Alexandra & Reitz, Stefan, 2019. "Procyclical leverage in Europe and its role in asset pricing," Discussion Papers 10/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    16. Martin Pažický, 2021. "Predicting Recessions in Germany Using the German and the US Yield Curve," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(3), pages 263-291, December.
    17. Christopher Gust & Edward Herbst & David López-Salido & Matthew E. Smith, 2017. "The Empirical Implications of the Interest-Rate Lower Bound," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(7), pages 1971-2006, July.
    18. Amit K. Sinha, 2021. "The reliability of geometric Brownian motion forecasts of S&P500 index values," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(8), pages 1444-1462, December.
    19. J. Benson Durham, 2013. "Arbitrage-free models of stocks and bonds," Staff Reports 656, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    20. Pinter, Gabor, 2018. "Macroeconomic shocks and risk premia," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 90370, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    21. Zongwu Cai & Ted Juhl, 2020. "The Distribution Of Rolling Regression Estimators," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202218, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2022.
    22. Bruce E. Hansen, 2018. "Johansen’s Reduced Rank Estimator Is GMM," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-9, May.
    23. Valentin Haddad & Serhiy Kozak & Shrihari Santosh, 2017. "Predicting Relative Returns," NBER Working Papers 23886, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    24. Richard T. Baillie & Fabio Calonaci & George Kapetanios, 2019. "Hierarchical Time Varying Estimation of a Multi Factor Asset Pricing Model," Working Papers 879, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    25. Byrne, Joseph P. & Ibrahim, Boulis Maher & Sakemoto, Ryuta, 2022. "The time-varying risk price of currency portfolios," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    26. Ludovit Odor & Pavol Povala, 2016. "Risk Premiums in Slovak Government Bonds," Discussion Papers Discussion Paper No. 3/20, Council for Budget Responsibility.
    27. Byrne, Joseph P & Ibrahim, Boulis Maher & Sakemoto, Ryuta, 2017. "The Time-Varying Risk Price of Currency Carry Trades," MPRA Paper 80788, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    28. Byrne, Joseph P. & Sakemoto, Ryuta, 2021. "The conditional volatility premium on currency portfolios," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    29. Sakemoto, Ryuta, 2019. "Currency carry trades and the conditional factor model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 198-208.
    30. Dennis Umlandt, 2020. "Likelihood-based Dynamic Asset Pricing: Learning Time-varying Risk Premia from Cross-Sectional Models," Working Paper Series 2020-06, University of Trier, Research Group Quantitative Finance and Risk Analysis.
    31. Stefan Behrendt, 2017. "Low Long-Term Interest Rates - An alternative View," Jena Economics Research Papers 2017-001, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.

  19. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Andrea Tambalotti & Giorgio Topa, 2015. "Subjective Intertemporal Substitution," Staff Reports 734, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

    Cited by:

    1. Luis Armona & Andreas Fuster & Basit Zafar, 2019. "Home Price Expectations and Behaviour: Evidence from a Randomized Information Experiment," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 86(4), pages 1371-1410.
    2. Francesco D’Acunto & Daniel Hoang & Maritta Paloviita & Michael Weber, 2019. "IQ, Expectations, and Choice," NBER Working Papers 25496, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Michael Weber & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2023. "The Expected, Perceived, and Realized Inflation of US Households Before and During the COVID19 Pandemic," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 71(1), pages 326-368, March.
    4. Schlag, Christian & Thimme, Julian & Weber, Rüdiger, 2021. "Implied volatility duration: A measure for the timing of uncertainty resolution," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(1), pages 127-144.
    5. Francesco D’Acunto & Ulrike Malmendier & Michael Weber, 2022. "What Do the Data Tell Us About Inflation Expectations?," NBER Working Papers 29825, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Djuric, Uros & Neugart, Michael, 2021. "Helicopter money: survey evidence on expectation formation and consumption behaviour," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 117984, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    7. Baumann, Ursel & Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Westermann, Thomas & Riggi, Marianna & Bobeica, Elena & Meyler, Aidan & Böninghausen, Benjamin & Fritzer, Friedrich & Trezzi, Riccardo & Jonckheere, Jana & , 2021. "Inflation expectations and their role in Eurosystem forecasting," Occasional Paper Series 264, European Central Bank.
    8. Lena Dräger & Giang Nghiem, 2021. "Are Consumers' Spending Decisions in Line with A Euler Equation?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 103(3), pages 580-596, July.
    9. D'Acunto, Francesco & Hoang, Daniel & Paloviita, Maritta & Weber, Michael, 2019. "Human frictions in the transmission of economic policy," Working Paper Series in Economics 128, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.
    10. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Ropele, Tiziano, 2018. "Inflation Expectations and Firm Decisions: New Causal Evidence," IZA Discussion Papers 12037, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    11. D'Acunto, Francesco & Hoang, Daniel & Weber, Michael, 2021. "Managing households' expectations with unconventional policies," Working Paper Series in Economics 148, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.
    12. Luo, Yulei & Nie, Jun & Wang, Gaowang & Young, Eric, 2017. "Rational Inattention and the Dynamics of Consumption and Wealth in General Equilibrium," MPRA Paper 80045, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Francesco D'Acunto & Daniel Hoang & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2016. "Unconventional Fiscal Policy, Inflation Expectations, and Consumption Expenditure," CESifo Working Paper Series 5793, CESifo.
    14. Francesco D'Acunto & Daniel Hoang & Michael Weber, 2018. "Unconventional Fiscal Policy," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 108, pages 519-523, May.
    15. Francesco D’Acunto & Daniel Hoang & Michael Weber, 2017. "The Effect of Unconventional Fiscal Policy on Consumption Expenditure," ifo DICE Report, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 15(01), pages 09-11, April.
    16. Olivier Coibion & Dimitris Georgarakos & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Geoff Kenny & Michael Weber, 2021. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending," NBER Working Papers 28625, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    17. Niizeki, Takeshi & Hori, Masahiro, 2023. "Inflation expectations and household expenditure: Evidence from pseudo-panel data in Japan," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 214(C), pages 308-324.
    18. Lena Dräger & Michael J. Lamla & Michael Lamla, 2023. "Consumers' Macroeconomic Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 10709, CESifo.
    19. Mengus, Eric & Andrade, Philippe & Gautier, Erwan, 2020. "What Matters in Households' Inflation Expectations?," CEPR Discussion Papers 14905, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    20. Viral V. Acharya & Matteo Crosignani & Tim Eisert & Christian Eufinger, 2023. "How Do Supply Shocks to Inflation Generalize? Evidence from the Pandemic Era in Europe," NBER Working Papers 31790, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    21. Yuliya Rychalovska & Sergey Slobodyan & Rafael Wouters, 2023. "Professional Survey Forecasts and Expectations in DSGE Models," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp766, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    22. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench, 2016. "The term structure of expectations and bond yields," Staff Reports 775, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    23. Luo, Yulei & Nie, Jun & Wang, Haijun, 2022. "Ignorance, pervasive uncertainty, and household finance," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    24. Dräger, Lena, 2023. "Central Bank Communication with the General Public," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-713, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
    25. Striani, Fabrizio, 2023. "Life-cycle consumption and life insurance: Empirical evidence from Italian Survey," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 619(C).
    26. David Staines, 2023. "Stochastic Equilibrium the Lucas Critique and Keynesian Economics," Papers 2312.16214, arXiv.org.
    27. Michal Marencak, 2023. "State-dependent inflation expectations and consumption choices," Working and Discussion Papers WP 10/2023, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    28. Euiyoung Jung, 2021. "Rigid Wages, Endogenous Job Destruction, and Destabilizing Spirals," Working Papers halshs-03213006, HAL.
    29. Olivier Armantier & Gizem Koşar & Rachel Pomerantz & Daphne Skandalis & Kyle Smith & Giorgio Topa & Wilbert Van der Klaauw, 2020. "How Economic Crises Affect Inflation Beliefs: Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic," Staff Reports 949, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    30. Duca, Ioana A. & Kenny, Geoff & Reuter, Andreas, 2018. "Inflation expectations, consumption and the lower bound: micro evidence from a large euro area survey," Working Paper Series 2196, European Central Bank.
    31. Cato, Misina & Schmidt, Tobias, 2023. "Households' expectations and regional COVID-19 dynamics," Discussion Papers 02/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    32. Dietrich, Alexander M., 2023. "Consumption categories, household attention, and inflation expectations: Implications for optimal monetary policy," University of Tübingen Working Papers in Business and Economics 157, University of Tuebingen, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, School of Business and Economics.

  20. P. Andrade & R. Crump & S. Eusepi & E. Moench, 2014. "Fundamental disagreement," Working papers 524, Banque de France.

    Cited by:

    1. Stephen J. Cole & Fabio Milani, 2020. "Heterogeneity in Individual Expectations, Sentiment, and Constant-Gain Learning," CESifo Working Paper Series 8343, CESifo.
    2. Park, Sunjin, 2022. "Heterogeneous beliefs in macroeconomic growth prospects and the carry risk premium," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    3. Sebastian Link & Andreas Peichl & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2023. "Attention to the Macroeconomy," CESifo Working Paper Series 10858, CESifo.
    4. Zidong An & Salem Abo‐Zaid & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2023. "Inattention and the impact of monetary policy," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(4), pages 623-643, June.
    5. Michael D. Bauer & Carolin E. Pflueger & Adi Sunderam, 2022. "Perceptions about Monetary Policy," CESifo Working Paper Series 10182, CESifo.
    6. Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2021. "The Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 13(3), pages 74-107, July.
    7. Beqiraj Elton & Di Bartolomeo Giovanni & Di Pietro Marco, 2017. "Beliefs formation and the puzzle of forward guidance power," wp.comunite 00131, Department of Communication, University of Teramo.
    8. Yara de Almeida Campos Cordeiro & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler, 2017. "Inattention in individual expectations," Economia, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], vol. 17(1), pages 40-59.
    9. Dovern, Jonas, 2014. "A Multivariate Analysis of Forecast Disagreement: Confronting Models of Disagreement with SPF Data," Working Papers 0571, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
    10. Kajal Lahiri & Huaming Peng & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2021. "Measuring Uncertainty of a Combined Forecast and Some Tests for Forecaster Heterogeneity," Working Papers 2021-005, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
    11. Czudaj, Robert L., 2022. "Heterogeneity of beliefs and information rigidity in the crude oil market: Evidence from survey data," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    12. Mustafa Bulut & Hatice Gokce Karasoy, 2016. "Para Politikasi Belirsizligi Altinda Aktarim Mekanizmasi : Turkiye ornegi," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1621, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    13. Raffaella Giacomini & Vasiliki Skreta & Javier Turen, 2015. "Models, Inattention and Expectation Updates," Discussion Papers 1602, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    14. Kuang, Pei & Tang, Li & Zhang, Renbin & Zhang, Tongbin, 2022. "Forecast disagreement about long-run macroeconomic relationships," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 200(C), pages 371-387.
    15. Ou, Shengliang & Zhang, Donghai & Zhang, Renbin, 2021. "Information frictions, monetary policy, and the paradox of price flexibility," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 70-82.
    16. Cornand, Camille & Hubert, Paul, 2022. "Information frictions across various types of inflation expectations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    17. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Andrea Tambalotti & Giorgio Topa, 2015. "Subjective Intertemporal Substitution," Staff Reports 734, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    18. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench & Bruce Preston, 2021. "The Term Structure of Expectations," Staff Reports 992, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    19. Jonas Dovern & Matthias Hartmann, 2017. "Forecast performance, disagreement, and heterogeneous signal-to-noise ratios," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 63-77, August.
    20. Pedersen, Michael, 2019. "Anomalies in macroeconomic prediction errors–evidence from Chilean private forecasters," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1100-1107.
    21. Philippe Andrade & Gaetano Gaballo & Eric Mengus & Benoît Mojon, 2019. "Forward Guidance and Heterogeneous Beliefs," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 11(3), pages 1-29, July.
    22. Michael Ehrmann & Paul Hubert, 2022. "Information Acquisition ahead of Monetary Policy Announcements," Working papers 897, Banque de France.
    23. McNeil, James, 2023. "Monetary policy and the term structure of inflation expectations with information frictions," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    24. Gabriel Caldas Montes & Igor Mendes Marcelino, 2023. "Uncertainties and disagreements in expectations of professional forecasters: Evidence from an inflation targeting developing country," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 937-956, July.
    25. An, Zidong & Zheng, Xinye, 2023. "Diligent forecasters can make accurate predictions despite disagreeing with the consensus," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    26. Tsiaplias, Sarantis, 2020. "Time-Varying Consumer Disagreement and Future Inflation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    27. Benhima, Kenza & Poilly, Céline, 2020. "Does demand noise matter? Identification and implications," CEPR Discussion Papers 14365, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    28. Marcello Pericoli & Giovanni Veronese, 2015. "Forecaster heterogeneity, surprises and financial markets," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1020, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    29. Elisabeth Falck & Mathias Hoffmann & Patrick Hürtgen, 2018. "Disagreement and Monetary Policy," 2018 Meeting Papers 655, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    30. Leonardo Melosi, 2016. "Signaling Effects of Monetary Policy," Working Paper Series WP-2016-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    31. Michael Clements, 2016. "Are Macro-Forecasters Essentially The Same? An Analysis of Disagreement, Accuracy and Efficiency," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2016-08, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
    32. Buss, Adrian & Dumas, Bernard & Uppal, Raman & Vilkov, Grigory, 2016. "The intended and unintended consequences of financial-market regulations: A general-equilibrium analysis," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 25-43.
    33. Cimadomo, Jacopo & Callegari, Giovanni & Ricco, Giovanni, 2016. "Signals from the government: policy disagreement and the transmission of fiscal shocks," Working Paper Series 1964, European Central Bank.
    34. Gabriel Caldas Montes & Paulo Henrique Lourenço Luna, 2022. "Do fiscal opacity, fiscal impulse, and fiscal credibility affect disagreement about economic growth forecasts? Empirical evidence from Brazil considering the period of political instability and presid," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(4), pages 2356-2393, November.
    35. Gaurav Kumar Singh & Tathagata Bandyopadhyay, 2024. "Determinants of disagreement: Learning from inflation expectations survey of households," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(2), pages 326-343, March.
    36. Chini, Emilio Zanetti, 2023. "Can we estimate macroforecasters’ mis-behavior?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    37. Camille Cornand & Paul Hubert, 2021. "Information frictions in inflation expectations among five types of economic agents," SciencePo Working papers Main halshs-03351632, HAL.
    38. Conrad, Christian & Lahiri, Kajal, 2023. "Heterogeneous expectations among professional forecasters," ZEW Discussion Papers 23-062, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    39. Bartosz Maćkowiak & Filip Matějka & Mirko Wiederholt, 2023. "Rational Inattention: A Review," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 61(1), pages 226-273, March.
    40. Cao, Shuo & Crump, Richard K. & ,, 2020. "Fundamental Disagreement about Monetary Policy and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," CEPR Discussion Papers 15122, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    41. Dovern, Jonas, 2015. "A multivariate analysis of forecast disagreement: Confronting models of disagreement with survey data," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 16-35.
    42. Doina Chichernea & Kershen Huang & Alex Petkevich, 2019. "Does maturity matter? The case of treasury futures volume," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(10), pages 1301-1321, October.
    43. Sushant Acharya, 2014. "Costly information, planning complementarities and the Phillips Curve," Staff Reports 698, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    44. Hoffmann, Mathias & Hürtgen, Patrick, 2016. "Inflation expectations, disagreement, and monetary policy," Discussion Papers 31/2016, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    45. Lena Dräger & Michael J. Lamla, 2015. "Disagreement à la Taylor: Evidence from Survey Microdata," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201503, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
    46. Mengus, Eric & Andrade, Philippe & Gautier, Erwan, 2020. "What Matters in Households' Inflation Expectations?," CEPR Discussion Papers 14905, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    47. Alessandro Barbera & Dora Xia & Sonya Zhu, 2023. "The term structure of inflation forecasts disagreement and monetary policy transmission," BIS Working Papers 1114, Bank for International Settlements.
    48. Yongchen Zhao, 2022. "Uncertainty and disagreement of inflation expectations: Evidence from household‐level qualitative survey responses," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(4), pages 810-828, July.
    49. Junichi Kikuchi & Yoshiyuki Nakazono, 2020. "The Formation of Inflation Expectations: Micro-data Evidence from Japan," Working Papers e144, Tokyo Center for Economic Research.
    50. Yoosoon Chang & Fabio Gómez-Rodríguez & Mr. Gee Hee Hong, 2022. "The Effects of Economic Shocks on Heterogeneous Inflation Expectations," IMF Working Papers 2022/132, International Monetary Fund.
    51. Saskia ter Ellen & Willem F.C. Verschoor & Remco C.J. Zwinkels, 2016. "Agreeing on disagreement: heterogeneity or uncertainty?," Working Paper 2016/4, Norges Bank.
    52. Daniel Andrei & Bruce Carlin & Michael Hasler, 2014. "Model Disagreement and Economic Outlook," NBER Working Papers 20190, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    53. Glas, Alexander, 2020. "Five dimensions of the uncertainty–disagreement linkage," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 607-627.
    54. Beckmann, Joscha & Reitz, Stefan, 2018. "Information Rigidities and Exchange Rate Expectations," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181628, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    55. Montes, Gabriel Caldas & Luna, Paulo Henrique, 2018. "Discretionary fiscal policy and disagreement in expectations about fiscal variables empirical evidence from Brazil," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 100-116.
    56. G. C. Montes & L. V. Oliveira & A. Curi & R. T. F. Nicolay, 2016. "Effects of transparency, monetary policy signalling and clarity of central bank communication on disagreement about inflation expectations," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(7), pages 590-607, February.
    57. Šauer, Radek, 2016. "The imperfect-common-knowledge Phillips curve: Calvo versus Rotemberg," Discussion Papers 50/2016, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    58. Glas, Alexander & Heinisch, Katja, 2021. "Conditional macroeconomic forecasts: Disagreement, revisions and forecast errors," IWH Discussion Papers 7/2021, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    59. Li, Huijing & Li, Hong & Lu, Lei & Theocharides, George & Xiong, Xiong, 2020. "Macro disagreement and international options markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    60. Travis J. Berge & Andrew C. Chang & Nitish R. Sinha, 2019. "Evaluating the Conditionality of Judgmental Forecasts," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-002, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    61. Gabriel Caldas Montes & Tatiana Acar, 2018. "Fiscal credibility and disagreement in expectations about inflation: evidence for Brazil," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(2), pages 826-843.
    62. Smietanka, Pawel & Bloom, Nicholas & Mizen, Paul, 2018. "Business investment, cash holding and uncertainty since the Great Financial Crisis," Bank of England working papers 753, Bank of England.
    63. Montes, Gabriel Caldas & Acar, Tatiana, 2020. "Fiscal credibility, target revisions and disagreement in expectations about fiscal results," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 38-58.
    64. Montes, Gabriel Caldas & Nicolay, Rodolfo Tomás da Fonseca & Acar, Tatiana, 2019. "Do fiscal communication and clarity of fiscal announcements affect public debt uncertainty? Evidence from Brazil," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 38-60.
    65. Tatjana Dahlhaus & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2018. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty: A Tale of Two Tails," Staff Working Papers 18-50, Bank of Canada.
    66. Gunda-Alexandra Detmers, 2016. "Forward Guidance under Disagreement - Evidence from the Fed's Dot Projections," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2016-041, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
    67. Nathan Goldstein & Ben‐Zion Zilberfarb, 2023. "The closer we get, the better we are?," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 61(2), pages 364-376, April.
    68. Falck, E. & Hoffmann, M. & Hürtgen, P., 2021. "Disagreement about inflation expectations and monetary policy transmission," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 15-31.
    69. Lien, Donald & Sun, Yuchen & Zhang, Chengsi, 2021. "Uncertainty, confidence, and monetary policy in China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 1347-1358.
    70. Esady, Vania, 2022. "Real and nominal effects of monetary shocks under time-varying disagreement," Bank of England working papers 1007, Bank of England.

  21. Tobias Adrian & Richard K. Crump & Benjamin Mills & Emanuel Moench, 2014. "Treasury Term Premia: 1961-Present," Liberty Street Economics 20140512, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

    Cited by:

    1. Passmore, Stuart Wayne & von Hafften, Alexander H., 2020. "Financing affordable and sustainable homeownership with Fixed-COFI mortgages," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).

  22. Stefano Eusepi & Richard Crump & Emanuel Moench & Philippe Andrade, 2014. "Noisy Information and Fundamental Disagreement," 2014 Meeting Papers 797, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    Cited by:

    1. Pedersen, Michael, 2019. "Anomalies in macroeconomic prediction errors–evidence from Chilean private forecasters," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1100-1107.
    2. Buss, Adrian & Dumas, Bernard & Uppal, Raman & Vilkov, Grigory, 2016. "The intended and unintended consequences of financial-market regulations: A general-equilibrium analysis," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 25-43.
    3. Cimadomo, Jacopo & Callegari, Giovanni & Ricco, Giovanni, 2016. "Signals from the government: policy disagreement and the transmission of fiscal shocks," Working Paper Series 1964, European Central Bank.
    4. Hoffmann, Mathias & Hürtgen, Patrick, 2016. "Inflation expectations, disagreement, and monetary policy," Discussion Papers 31/2016, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    5. Daniel Andrei & Bruce Carlin & Michael Hasler, 2014. "Model Disagreement and Economic Outlook," NBER Working Papers 20190, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Montes, Gabriel Caldas & Luna, Paulo Henrique, 2018. "Discretionary fiscal policy and disagreement in expectations about fiscal variables empirical evidence from Brazil," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 100-116.
    7. Montes, Gabriel Caldas & Acar, Tatiana, 2020. "Fiscal credibility, target revisions and disagreement in expectations about fiscal results," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 38-58.
    8. Montes, Gabriel Caldas & Nicolay, Rodolfo Tomás da Fonseca & Acar, Tatiana, 2019. "Do fiscal communication and clarity of fiscal announcements affect public debt uncertainty? Evidence from Brazil," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 38-60.

  23. Tobias Adrian & Richard K. Crump & Emanuel Moench, 2013. "Do Treasury Term Premia Rise around Monetary Tightenings?," Liberty Street Economics 20130415, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

    Cited by:

    1. Peter Tillmann, 2018. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty and the Response of the Yield Curve to Policy Shocks," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2018_004, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
    2. Diego Alejandro Martínez Cruz & José Fernando Moreno Gutiérrez & Juan Sebastián Rojas Moreno, 2015. "Evolución de la relación entre bonos locales y externos del gobierno colombiano frente a choques de riesgo," Borradores de Economia 14112, Banco de la Republica.
    3. Diego Alejandro Martínez Cruz & José Fernando Moreno Gutiérrez & Juan Sebastián Rojas Moreno, 2015. "Evolución de la relación entre bonos locales y externos del gobierno colombiano frente a choques de riesgo," Borradores de Economia 919, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    4. Kurt G. Lunsford, 2020. "Policy Language and Information Effects in the Early Days of Federal Reserve Forward Guidance," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 110(9), pages 2899-2934, September.

  24. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench, 2013. "Making a Statement: How Did Professional Forecasters React to the August 2011 FOMC Statement?," Liberty Street Economics 20130107, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

    Cited by:

    1. Lloyd, Simon, 2018. "Estimating nominal interest rate expectations: overnight indexed swaps and the term structure," Bank of England working papers 763, Bank of England.
    2. Sheen, Jeffrey & Wang, Ben Zhe, 2023. "Do monetary condition news at the zero lower bound influence households’ expectations and readiness to spend?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).

  25. Michael Abrahams & Tobias Adrian & Richard K. Crump & Emanuel Moench, 2012. "Decomposing real and nominal yield curves," Staff Reports 570, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

    Cited by:

    1. Giannoni, Marc & Crump, Richard K. & Eusepi, Stefano & Sahin, Aysegul, 2019. "A Unified Approach to Measuring u," CEPR Discussion Papers 13939, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Kortela, Tomi & Nelimarkka, Jaakko, 2020. "The effects of conventional and unconventional monetary policy: Identification through the yield curve," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 3/2020, Bank of Finland.
    3. Wang,Dieter, 2021. "Natural Capital and Sovereign Bonds," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9606, The World Bank.
    4. Baumeister, Christiane, 2021. "Measuring Market Expectations," CEPR Discussion Papers 16520, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. Martin M Andreasen & Jens H E Christensen & Simon Riddell, 2021. "The TIPS Liquidity Premium [Decomposing real and nominal yield curves]," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 25(6), pages 1639-1675.
    6. Adrian, Tobias & Crump, Richard K. & Moench, Emanuel, 2015. "Regression-based estimation of dynamic asset pricing models," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(2), pages 211-244.
    7. Sushanta K Mallick & Madhusudan Mohanty & Fabrizio Zampolli, 2017. "Market volatility, monetary policy and the term premium," BIS Working Papers 606, Bank for International Settlements.
    8. Kaminska, Iryna & Zinna, Gabriele, 2019. "Official demand for US debt: implications for US real rates," Bank of England working papers 796, Bank of England.
    9. Goetz, Martin, 2019. "Financing conditions and toxic emissions," SAFE Working Paper Series 254, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    10. Christensen, Jens H.E. & Gillan, James M., 2022. "Does quantitative easing affect market liquidity?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    11. Guimaraes, Rodrigo & Pinter, Gabor & Wijnandts, Jean-Charles, 2023. "The liquidity state-dependence of monetary policy transmission," Bank of England working papers 1045, Bank of England.
    12. Martin M. Andreasen & Jens H.E. Christensen & Simon Riddell, 2017. "The TIPS Liquidity Premium," CREATES Research Papers 2017-27, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    13. Schupp, Fabian & Geiger, Felix, 2018. "With a little help from my friends: Survey-based derivation of euro area short rate expectations at the effective lower bound," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181529, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    14. Mitsuru Katagiri, 2018. "Equilibrium Yield Curve, the Phillips Curve, and Monetary Policy," IMF Working Papers 2018/242, International Monetary Fund.
    15. Lange, Ronald H., 2017. "The expected real yield and inflation components of the nominal yield curve," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 1-18.
    16. Craig S. Hakkio & Andrew Lee Smith, 2017. "Bond Premiums and the Natural Real Rate of Interest," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue Q I, pages 5-39.
    17. Martin Kliem & Alexander Meyer-Gohde, 2018. "(Un)expected Monetary Policy Shocks and Term Premia," 2018 Meeting Papers 102, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    18. Peter Tillmann, 2018. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty and the Response of the Yield Curve to Policy Shocks," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2018_004, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
    19. Meldrum, Andrew & Roberts-Sklar, Matt, 2015. "Long-run priors for term structure models," Bank of England working papers 575, Bank of England.
    20. Gonçalves, Sílvia & Perron, Benoit, 2020. "Bootstrapping factor models with cross sectional dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(2), pages 476-495.
    21. Davide Pettenuzzo & Antonio Gargano & Allan Timmermann, 2014. "Bond Return Predictability: Economic Value and Links to the Macroeconomy," Working Papers 75R, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School, revised Jul 2016.
    22. Eguren Martin, Fernando & Meldrum, Andrew & Yan, Wen, 2021. "No-Arbitrage pricing of GDP-Linked bonds," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    23. Kazuhiro Hiraki & Wataru Hirata, 2020. "Market-based Long-term Inflation Expectations in Japan: A Refinement on Breakeven Inflation Rates," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 20-E-5, Bank of Japan.
    24. Boeckx, Jef & Iania, Leonardo & Wauters, Joris, 2023. "Macroeconomic drivers of Inflation Expectations and Inflation Risk Premia," LIDAM Discussion Papers LFIN 2023003, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
    25. Mirco Rubin & Dario Ruzzi, 2020. "Equity Tail Risk in the Treasury Bond Market," Papers 2007.05933, arXiv.org.
    26. Kaminska, Iryna & Liu, Zhuoshi & Relleen, Jon & Vangelista, Elisabetta, 2018. "What do the prices of UK inflation-linked securities say on inflation expectations, risk premia and liquidity risks?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 76-96.
    27. Aeimit Lakdawala & Michael Bauer & Philippe Mueller, 2019. "Market-Based Monetary Policy Uncertainty," 2019 Meeting Papers 1403, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    28. Andras Lengyel, 2022. "Treasury Supply Shocks and the Term Structure of Interest Rates in the UK," MNB Working Papers 2022/6, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).
    29. Dooruj Rambaccussing & Craig Menzies & Andrzej Kwiatkowski, 2022. "Look who’s Talking: Individual Committee members’ impact on inflation expectations," Dundee Discussion Papers in Economics 305, Economic Studies, University of Dundee.
    30. Andrea Berardi & Alberto Plazzi, 2019. "Dissecting the Yield Curve: The International Evidence," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 19-73, Swiss Finance Institute.
    31. Munch Grønlund, Asger & Jørgensen, Kasper & Schupp, Fabian, 2024. "Measuring market-based core inflation expectations," Working Paper Series 2908, European Central Bank.
    32. Jonathan Hambur & Richard Finlay, 2018. "Affine Endeavour: Estimating a Joint Model of the Nominal and Real Term Structures of Interest Rates in Australia," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2018-02, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    33. Remy Beauregard & Jens H. E. Christensen & Eric Fischer & Simon Zhu, 2021. "Inflation Expectations and Risk Premia in Emerging Bond Markets: Evidence from Mexico," Working Paper Series 2021-08, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    34. Adam Golinski & Peter Spencer, 2019. "Estimating the term structure with linear regressions: Getting to the roots of the problem," Discussion Papers 19/05, Department of Economics, University of York.
    35. Samuel G Hanson & David O Lucca & Jonathan H Wright, 2021. "Rate-Amplifying Demand and the Excess Sensitivity of Long-Term Rates," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 136(3), pages 1719-1781.
    36. Iryna Kaminska & Gabriele Zinna, 2014. "Official Demand for U.S. Debt: Implications for U.S. Real Interest Rates," IMF Working Papers 2014/066, International Monetary Fund.
    37. Kaminska, Iryna & Mumtaz, Haroon & Sustek, Roman, 2021. "Monetary policy surprises and their transmission through term premia and expected interest rates," Bank of England working papers 914, Bank of England, revised 28 Apr 2021.
    38. Januj Juneja, 2018. "Empirical performance of Gaussian affine dynamic term structure models in the presence of autocorrelation misspecification bias," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 50(3), pages 695-715, April.
    39. Martin M. Andreasen & Jens H. E. Christensen & Simon Riddell, 2020. "The TIPS Liquidity Premium," Working Paper Series 2017-11, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    40. Oleksandr Zholud & Volodymyr Lepushynskyi & Sergiy Nikolaychuk, 2019. "The Effectiveness of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Ukraine since the Transition to Inflation Targeting," Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine, National Bank of Ukraine, issue 247, pages 19-37.
    41. Aguilar-Argaez Ana María & Diego-Fernández Forseck María & Elizondo Rocío & Roldán-Peña Jessica, 2020. "Term Premium Dynamics and its Determinants: The Mexican Case," Working Papers 2020-18, Banco de México.
    42. Marcello Pericoli, 2019. "An assessment of recent trends in market-based expected iflation in the euro area," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 542, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    43. Emi Nakamura & Jón Steinsson, 2013. "High Frequency Identification of Monetary Non-Neutrality: The Information Effect," NBER Working Papers 19260, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    44. Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Reboredo, Juan C., 2018. "Oil price dynamics and market-based inflation expectations," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 484-491.
    45. Gabriele Zinna, 2014. "Price pressures in the UK index-linked market: an empirical investigation," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 968, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    46. Lemke, Wolfgang & Werner, Thomas, 2017. "Dissecting long-term Bund yields in the run-up to the ECB's Public Sector Purchase Programme," Working Paper Series 2106, European Central Bank.
    47. Michael Abrahams & Tobias Adrian & Richard K. Crump & Emanuel Moench, 2012. "Decomposing real and nominal yield curves," Staff Reports 570, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    48. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench, 2016. "The term structure of expectations and bond yields," Staff Reports 775, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    49. Kaminska, Iryna & Mumtaz, Haroon & Šustek, Roman, 2021. "Monetary policy surprises and their transmission through term premia and expected interest rates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 48-65.
    50. Kano, Takashi & Wada, Kenji, 2017. "The first arrow hitting the currency target: A long-run risk perspective," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 337-352.
    51. Ibarra-Ramírez Raúl, 2021. "The Yield Curve as a Predictor of Economic Activity in Mexico: The Role of the Term Premium," Working Papers 2021-07, Banco de México.
    52. Maryam Movahedifar & Hossein Hassani & Masoud Yarmohammadi & Mahdi Kalantari & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "A robust approach for outlier imputation: Singular Spectrum Decomposition," Working Papers 202164, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    53. Meldrum, Andrew & Raczko, Marek & Spencer, Peter, 2023. "The information in joint term structures of bond yields," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    54. Juan Andrés Espinosa-Torres & Luis Fernando Melo-Velandia & José Fernando Moreno-Gutiérrez, 2015. "Expectativas de inflación, prima de riesgo inflacionario y prima de liquidez: una descomposición del break-even inflation para los bonos del gobierno colombiano," Borradores de Economia 903, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    55. Jens H. E. Christensen & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2018. "A New Normal for Interest Rates? Evidence from Inflation-Indexed Debt," Working Paper Series 2017-07, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    56. Huang, Xiaoyong & Jia, Fei & Xu, Xiangyun & Yu shi,, 2019. "The threshold effect of market sentiment and inflation expectations on gold price," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 77-83.
    57. Mitsuru Katagiri, 2022. "Equilibrium Yield Curve, the Phillips Curve, and Monetary Policy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(8), pages 2235-2272, December.
    58. Christensen, Jens H.E. & Spiegel, Mark M., 2022. "Monetary reforms and inflation expectations in Japan: Evidence from inflation-indexed bonds," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 410-431.
    59. Alex Aronovich & Andrew C. Meldrum, 2021. "High-Frequency Estimates of the Natural Real Rate and Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-034, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    60. Christensen, Jens H.E. & Spiegel, Mark M., 2023. "Central bank credibility during COVID-19: Evidence from Japan," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    61. Andrés Schneider, 2022. "Risk‐Sharing and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(4), pages 2331-2374, August.
    62. Alex Hsu & Erica X. N. Li & Francisco Palomino, 2021. "Real and Nominal Equilibrium Yield Curves," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(2), pages 1138-1158, February.
    63. Speck, Christian, 2023. "Pricing the Bund term structure with linear regressions – without an observable short rate," Discussion Papers 08/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    64. Ciccarelli, Matteo & García, Juan Angel, 2015. "International spillovers in inflation expectations," Working Paper Series 1857, European Central Bank.
    65. Mirco Rubin & Dario Ruzzi, 2020. "Equity tail risk in the treasury bond market," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1311, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    66. James McNeil, 2020. "Estimation of Impulse response functions with term structure local projections," Working Papers daleconwp2020-05, Dalhousie University, Department of Economics.
    67. Abraham Lioui & Andrea Tarelli, 2023. "Money Illusion and TIPS Demand," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(1), pages 171-214, February.
    68. Argyropoulos, Efthymios & Tzavalis, Elias, 2021. "The influence of real interest rates and risk premium effects on the ability of the nominal term structure to forecast inflation," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 785-796.
    69. Götz, Martin, 2018. "Financial constraints and corporate environmental responsibility," SAFE Working Paper Series 241, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    70. Suh, Sangwon & Kim, Daehwan, 2021. "Inflation targeting and expectation anchoring: Evidence from developed and emerging market economies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    71. Julie Bennett & Michael T. Owyang, 2022. "On the Relative Performance of Inflation Forecasts," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 104(2), pages 131-148.
    72. Roman Sustek, 2021. "Yield curve and the business cycle in conventional times," Discussion Papers 2122, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    73. Sara Cecchetti & Adriana Grasso & Marcello Pericoli, 2022. "An analysis of objective inflation expectations and inflation risk premia," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1380, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    74. Iryna Kaminska & Haroon Mumtaz & Roman Sustek, 2020. "Monetary policy surprises and their transmission through term premia and expected interest rates," Discussion Papers 2024, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    75. Martin M. Andreasen, 2019. "Explaining Bond Return Predictability in an Estimated New Keynesian Model," CREATES Research Papers 2019-11, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.

  26. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench, 2011. "A Look at the Accuracy of Policy Expectations," Liberty Street Economics 20110822, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

    Cited by:

    1. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench & Bruce Preston, 2021. "The Term Structure of Expectations," Staff Reports 992, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    2. Cao, Shuo & Crump, Richard K. & ,, 2020. "Fundamental Disagreement about Monetary Policy and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," CEPR Discussion Papers 15122, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

  27. Matias D. Cattaneo & Richard K. Crump & Michael Jansson, 2011. "Generalized Jackknife Estimators of Weighted Average Derivatives," CREATES Research Papers 2011-12, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.

    Cited by:

    1. Sebastian Calonico & Matias D. Cattaneo & Max H. Farrell, 2015. "On the Effect of Bias Estimation on Coverage Accuracy in Nonparametric Inference," Papers 1508.02973, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2018.
    2. Mammen, Enno & Rothe, Christoph & Schienle, Melanie, 2016. "Semiparametric estimation with generated covariates," Working Paper Series in Economics 81, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.
    3. Yukitoshi Matsushita & Taisuke Otsu, 2018. "Likelihood Inference on Semiparametric Models: Average Derivative and Treatment Effect," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 69(2), pages 133-155, June.
    4. Cattaneo, Matias D. & Jansson, Michael, 2022. "Average Density Estimators: Efficiency And Bootstrap Consistency," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 38(6), pages 1140-1174, December.
    5. Matias D. Cattaneo & Max H. Farrell & Michael Jansson & Ricardo Masini, 2022. "Higher-order Refinements of Small Bandwidth Asymptotics for Density-Weighted Average Derivative Estimators," Papers 2301.00277, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    6. Dennis Kristensen & Andrew Ang, 2009. "Testing Conditional Factor Models," CREATES Research Papers 2009-09, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    7. Yulia Kotlyarova & Marcia M. A. Schafgans & Victoria Zinde-Walsh, 2021. "Rates of Expansions for Functional Estimators," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 19(1), pages 121-139, December.
    8. Čížek, Pavel & Lei, Jinghua, 2018. "Identification and estimation of nonseparable single-index models in panel data with correlated random effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 203(1), pages 113-128.
    9. Nagasawa, Kenichi, 2020. "Identification and Estimation of Group-Level Partial Effects," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1243, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    10. Max H. Farrell, 2013. "Robust Inference on Average Treatment Effects with Possibly More Covariates than Observations," Papers 1309.4686, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2018.
    11. Matias D. Cattaneo & Michael Jansson, 2018. "Kernel†Based Semiparametric Estimators: Small Bandwidth Asymptotics and Bootstrap Consistency," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 86(3), pages 955-995, May.
    12. Matias D. Cattaneo & Michael Jansson & Xinwei Ma, 2018. "Two-Step Estimation and Inference with Possibly Many Included Covariates," Papers 1807.10100, arXiv.org.
    13. Max H. Farrell & Tengyuan Liang & Sanjog Misra, 2020. "Deep Learning for Individual Heterogeneity: An Automatic Inference Framework," Papers 2010.14694, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2021.
    14. Cizek, Pavel & Sadikoglu, Serhan, 2022. "Nonseparable Panel Models with Index Structure and Correlated Random Effects," Other publications TiSEM 7899deb9-0eda-47e6-a3b8-2, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    15. Ruijun Bu & Jihyun Kim & Bin Wang, 2020. "Uniform and Lp Convergences of Nonparametric Estimation for Diffusion Models," Working Papers 202021, University of Liverpool, Department of Economics.
    16. Farrell, Max H., 2015. "Robust inference on average treatment effects with possibly more covariates than observations," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 189(1), pages 1-23.
    17. Jia Li & Dacheng Xiu, 2016. "Generalized Method of Integrated Moments for High‐Frequency Data," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 84(4), pages 1613-1633, July.
    18. Matias D. Cattaneo & Michael Jansson, 2014. "Bootstrapping Kernel-Based Semiparametric Estimators," CREATES Research Papers 2014-25, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    19. Rothe, Christoph & Firpo, Sergio Pinheiro, 2013. "Semiparametric estimation and inference using doubly robust moment conditions," Textos para discussão 330, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
    20. Harold D. Chiang & Bing Yang Tan, 2020. "Empirical likelihood and uniform convergence rates for dyadic kernel density estimation," Papers 2010.08838, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
    21. Yukitoshi Matsushita & Taisuke Otsu, 2019. "Jackknife, small bandwidth and high-dimensional asymptotics," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series 605, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
    22. Sadikoglu, Serhan, 2019. "Essays in econometric theory," Other publications TiSEM 99d83644-f9dc-49e3-a4e1-5, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.

  28. Matias D. Cattaneo & Richard K. Crump & Michael Jansson, 2010. "Bootstrapping Density-Weighted Average Derivatives," CREATES Research Papers 2010-23, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.

    Cited by:

    1. Yulia Kotlyarova & Marcia M. A. Schafgans & Victoria Zinde-Walsh, 2021. "Rates of Expansions for Functional Estimators," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 19(1), pages 121-139, December.
    2. Paulo M.D.C. Parente & Richard J. Smith, 2018. "Generalised Empirical Likelihood Kernel Block Bootstrapping," Working Papers REM 2018/55, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    3. Clara Machado & Carlos León & Miguel Sarmiento & Freddy Cepeda & Orlando Chipatecua & Jorge Cely, 2011. "Riesgo Sistémico Y Estabilidad Del Sistema De Pagos De Alto Valor En Colombia: Análisis Bajo Topología De Redes Y Simulación De Pagos," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 29(65), pages 106-175, June.
    4. Kotlyarova, Yulia & Schafgans, Marcia M. A. & Zinde‐Walsh, Victoria, 2011. "Adapting kernel estimation to uncertain smoothness," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 42015, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    5. Matias D. Cattaneo & Michael Jansson & Xinwei Ma, 2018. "Two-Step Estimation and Inference with Possibly Many Included Covariates," Papers 1807.10100, arXiv.org.
    6. Konrad Menzel, 2021. "Bootstrap With Cluster‐Dependence in Two or More Dimensions," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(5), pages 2143-2188, September.
    7. Paulo Parente & Richard J. Smith, 2019. "Quasi-maximum likelihood and the kernel block bootstrap for nonlinear dynamic models," CeMMAP working papers CWP60/19, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    8. Clara Lia Machado & Carlos León & Miguel Sarmiento & Orlando Chipatecua, 2010. "Riesgo Sistémico y Estabilidad del Sistema de Pagos de Alto Valor en Colombia: Análisis bajo Topología de Redes y Simulación de Pagos," Borradores de Economia 7669, Banco de la Republica.
    9. Robert Griffiths & Richard Barron & Michelle Gleeson & Mark Danese & Anthony O’Hagan & Victoria Chia & Jason Legg & Gary Lyman, 2012. "Granulocyte-Colony Stimulating Factor Use and Medical Costs after Initial Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Older Patients with Early-Stage Breast Cancer," PharmacoEconomics, Springer, vol. 30(2), pages 103-118, February.

  29. Richard Crump & Gopi Shah Goda & Kevin Mumford, 2010. "Fertility and the Personal Exemption: Comment," NBER Working Papers 15984, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Regina T. Riphahn & Frederik Wiynck, 2017. "Fertility Effects of Child Benefits," CESifo Working Paper Series 6465, CESifo.
    2. Dong, Xiaoqi & Liang, Yinhe & Zhang, Jiawei, 2023. "Fertility responses to the relaxation of migration restrictions: Evidence from the Hukou reform in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    3. Lee, Gi-Eu & Chou, Chang-Erh, 2020. "The Ex Ante Price Information Effect on Water Conservation: A Case Study of Taipei’s Water Tariff Adjustment," 2020 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, Kansas City, Missouri 304253, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    4. Richard Crump & Gopi Shah Goda & Kevin Mumford, 2010. "Fertility and the Personal Exemption: Comment," NBER Working Papers 15984, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Sara LaLumia & James Sallee, 2011. "The Value of Honesty: Empirical Estimates from the Case of the Missing Children," Department of Economics Working Papers 2011-05, Department of Economics, Williams College.
    6. Lucia Granelli, 2017. "Family Tax Policy with Heterogeneous Altruistic Households," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2017019, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    7. Sara LaLumia & James M. Sallee & Nicholas Turner, 2015. "New Evidence on Taxes and the Timing of Birth," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 7(2), pages 258-293, May.
    8. Elmallakh, Nelly, 2021. "Fertility, Family Policy, and Labor Supply: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from France," GLO Discussion Paper Series 984, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    9. Ortigueira, Salvador & Siassi, Nawid, 2023. "On the optimal reform of income support for single parents," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    10. Ankel-Peters, Jörg & Fiala, Nathan & Neubauer, Florian, 2023. "Is Economics Self-Correcting? Replications in the American Economic Review," I4R Discussion Paper Series 68, The Institute for Replication (I4R).
    11. Choo, Dahae & Jales, Hugo, 2021. "Childbearing and the distribution of the reservation price of fertility: The case of the Korean baby bonus program," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    12. Wookun Kim, 2020. "Baby Bonus, Fertility, and Missing Women," Departmental Working Papers 2011, Southern Methodist University, Department of Economics.
    13. Rannveig Kaldager Hart & Taryn A. Galloway, 2023. "Universal Transfers, Tax Breaks and Fertility: Evidence from a Regional Reform in Norway," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 42(3), pages 1-32, June.
    14. Silveus, Neil & Stoddard, Christiana, 2020. "Identifying the causal effect of income on religiosity using the Earned Income Tax Credit," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 903-924.
    15. Pinto,Maria Florencia & Posadas,Josefina & Shapira,Gil, 2021. "Financial Incentives, Fertility, and Son Preference in Armenia," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9705, The World Bank.
    16. Taryn Ann Galloway & Rannveig Kaldager Hart, 2015. "Effects of income and the cost of children on fertility. Quasi-experimental evidence from Norway," Discussion Papers 828, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
    17. Anthony A. Noce & Dhimtri Qirjo & Namini De Silva, 2016. "Enticing the Stork: Can we Evaluate Pro-Natal Policies Before Having Children?," Economic Affairs, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(2), pages 184-202, June.
    18. Wookun Kim, 2023. "Baby Bonus, Fertility, and Missing Women," Departmental Working Papers 2308, Southern Methodist University, Department of Economics.
    19. Lucia Granelli, 2016. "Family Tax Policy in a Model with Endogenous Fertility à la Barro-Becker," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2016010, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    20. Bishop Kelly C. & Mac Donald Diana E., 2022. "The Effect of Paying Parents to Adopt: Evidence from Minnesota's Foster-Care System," Working Papers 2022-01, Banco de México.

  30. Hotz, V. Joseph & Crump, Richard K. & Mitnik, Oscar A. & Imbens, Guido, 2009. "Dealing with Limited Overlap in Estimation of Average Treatment Effects," Scholarly Articles 3007645, Harvard University Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Bodory, Hugo & Huber, Martin, 2018. "The causalweight package for causal inference in R," FSES Working Papers 493, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, University of Freiburg/Fribourg Switzerland.
    2. Carozzi, Felipe & Repetto, Luca, 2019. "Distributive politics inside the city? The political economy of Spain’s Plan E," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 100057, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. Javier E. Báez & Adriana Camacho, 2011. "Assessing the Long-term Effects of Conditional Cash Transfers on Human Capital: Evidence from Colombia," Documentos CEDE 8900, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
    4. Azzam, Tarek & Bates, Michael D. & Fairris, David, 2022. "Do learning communities increase first year college retention? Evidence from a randomized control trial," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    5. Tarek Azzam & Michael Bates & David Fairris, 2019. "Do Learning Communities Increase First Year College Retention? Testing Sample Selection and External Validity of Randomized Control Trials," Working Papers 202002, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
    6. Donna Feir & Kelly Foley & Maggie E. C. Jones, 2021. "The Distributional Impacts of Active Labor Market Programs for Indigenous Populations," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 111, pages 216-220, May.
    7. Prem, Mounu & Purroy, Miguel E. & Vargas, Juan F., 2022. "Landmines: the Local Effects of Demining," IAST Working Papers 22-132, Institute for Advanced Study in Toulouse (IAST).
    8. Jeremiah Jones & Ashkan Ertefaie & Susan M. Shortreed, 2023. "Rejoinder to “Reader reaction to ‘Outcome‐adaptive Lasso: Variable selection for causal inference’ by Shortreed and Ertefaie (2017)”," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 79(1), pages 521-525, March.
    9. Esaka, Taro, 2013. "Evaluating the effect of de facto pegs on currency crises," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 35(6), pages 943-963.
    10. Toru Kitagawa & Chris Muris, 2015. "Model averaging in semiparametric estimation of treatment effects," CeMMAP working papers 46/15, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    11. Kazuaki Okamura & Nizamul Islam, 2021. "Effects of the timing of childbirth on female labor supply: an analysis using the sequential matching approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(28), pages 3253-3266, June.
    12. Jeremy G. Weber & Erin O. Sills & Simone Bauch & Subhrendu K. Pattanayak, 2011. "Do ICDPs Work? An Empirical Evaluation of Forest-Based Microenterprises in the Brazilian Amazon," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 87(4), pages 661-681.
    13. Melissa Newham & Marica Valente, 2023. "The Cost of Influence:How Gifts to Physicians Shape Prescriptions and Drug Costs," Working Papers 2023-03, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck.
    14. Futoshi Yamauchi & Yanyan Liu, 2013. "Impacts of an Early Stage Education Intervention on Students' Learning Achievement: Evidence from the Philippines," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(2), pages 208-222, February.
    15. Alexandra Semrad, 2015. "Modern secondary education and economic performance: the introduction of the Gewerbeschule and Realschule in nineteenth-century Bavaria," Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 68(4), pages 1306-1338, November.
    16. Perilla, Sergio & Prem, Mounu & Purroy, Miguel E. & Vargas, Juan F., 2024. "How peace saves lives: Evidence from Colombia," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
    17. Pohlmeier, Winfried & Seiberlich, Ruben & Uysal, Selver Derya, 2016. "A simple and successful shrinkage method for weighting estimators of treatment effects," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 512-525.
    18. Bruno Arpino & Luca De Benedictis & Alessandra Mattei, 2017. "Implementing propensity score matching with network data: the effect of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade on bilateral trade," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 66(3), pages 537-554, April.
    19. Christoph Rothe, 2017. "Robust Confidence Intervals for Average Treatment Effects Under Limited Overlap," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 85, pages 645-660, March.
    20. Gustavo A. Crespi & Alessandro Maffioli & Pierre Mohnen & Gonzalo Vázquez, 2011. "Evaluating the Impact of Science, Technology and Innovation Programs: a Methodological Toolkit," SPD Working Papers 1104, Inter-American Development Bank, Office of Strategic Planning and Development Effectiveness (SPD).
    21. Yoko Kijima, 2022. "Long-term and spillover effects of rice production training in Uganda," Journal of Development Effectiveness, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(4), pages 395-415, October.
    22. Xu, Yuting & Huang, Xianjin & Bao, Helen X.H. & Ju, Xiang & Zhong, Taiyang & Chen, Zhigang & Zhou, Yan, 2018. "Rural land rights reform and agro-environmental sustainability: Empirical evidence from China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 73-87.
    23. Victor Chernozhukov & Ivan Fernandez-Val & Blaise Melly, 2009. "Inference on Counterfactual Distributions," Papers 0904.0951, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2013.
    24. Li Liang & Greene Tom, 2013. "A Weighting Analogue to Pair Matching in Propensity Score Analysis," The International Journal of Biostatistics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(2), pages 215-234, July.
    25. Flores, Carlos A. & Mitnik, Oscar A., 2009. "Evaluating Nonexperimental Estimators for Multiple Treatments: Evidence from Experimental Data," IZA Discussion Papers 4451, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    26. Ferraro, Paul J. & Miranda, Juan José, 2014. "The performance of non-experimental designs in the evaluation of environmental programs: A design-replication study using a large-scale randomized experiment as a benchmark," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 107(PA), pages 344-365.
    27. Bladimir Carrillo & Jose Feres, 2019. "Provider Supply, Utilization, and Infant Health: Evidence from a Physician Distribution Policy," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 11(3), pages 156-196, August.
    28. Aronow Peter M., 2016. "Data-Adaptive Causal Effects and Superefficiency," Journal of Causal Inference, De Gruyter, vol. 4(2), pages 1-4, September.
    29. Vikström, Johan, 2015. "Evaluation of sequences of treatments with application to active labor market policies," Working Paper Series 2015:5, IFAU - Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy.
    30. Caliendo, Marco & Künn, Steffen & Schmidl, Ricarda, 2011. "Fighting Youth Unemployment: The Effects of Active Labor Market Policies," IZA Discussion Papers 6222, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    31. Deininger, Klaus & Liu, Yanyan, 2013. "Welfare and poverty impacts of India’s national rural employment guarantee scheme: Evidence from Andhra Pradesh:," IFPRI discussion papers 1289, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    32. Sokbae Lee & Martin Weidner, 2021. "Bounding Treatment Effects by Pooling Limited Information across Observations," Papers 2111.05243, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
    33. Huber, Martin & Solovyeva, Anna, 2018. "Direct and indirect effects under sample selection and outcome attrition," FSES Working Papers 496, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, University of Freiburg/Fribourg Switzerland.
    34. Jiangang Liao & Charles Rohde, 2022. "Variance reduction in the inverse probability weighted estimators for the average treatment effect using the propensity score," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 78(2), pages 660-667, June.
    35. Raphael Lafrogne-Joussier & Julien Martin & Isabelle Mejean, 2022. "Supply Shocks in Supply Chains: Evidence from the Early Lockdown in China," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03880125, HAL.
    36. Mounu Prem & Juan F. Vargas & Olga Namen, 2023. "The Human Capital Peace Dividend," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 58(3), pages 962-1002.
    37. Hai-Yan Yu & Jing-Jing Chen & Jying-Nan Wang & Ya-Ling Chiu & Hang Qiu & Li-Ya Wang, 2019. "Identification of the Differential Effect of City-Level on the Gini Coefficient of Health Service Delivery in Online Health Community," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(13), pages 1-18, June.
    38. Fernando A. B. Colugnati & Sergio Firpo & Paula F. Drummond Castro & Juan E. Sepulveda & Sergio L. M. Salles-Filho, 2014. "A propensity score approach in the impact evaluation on scientific production in Brazilian biodiversity research: the BIOTA Program," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 101(1), pages 85-107, October.
    39. Marta Santamaría & Jaume Ventura & Ugur Yesilbayraktar, 2020. "Borders within Europe," Working Papers 1229, Barcelona School of Economics.
    40. Boris Kaiser & Christian Schmid, 2013. "Does Physician Dispensing Increase Drug Expenditures?," Diskussionsschriften dp1303, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft.
    41. Timothy B Armstrong & Michal Kolesár, 2018. "A Simple Adjustment for Bandwidth Snooping," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 85(2), pages 732-765.
    42. Inder Ruprah, 2010. "Does Owning Your Home Make You Happier? Impact Evidence from Latin America," OVE Working Papers 0210, Inter-American Development Bank, Office of Evaluation and Oversight (OVE).
    43. Scholl, Lynn & Martínez, Daniel & Mitnik, Oscar A. & Oviedo, Daniel & Yáñez-Pagans, Patricia, 2018. "A Rapid Road to Employment?: The Impacts of a Bus Rapid Transit System in Lima," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 9452, Inter-American Development Bank.
    44. Gregory Gilpin & Michael Kofoed, 2020. "Employer-Sponsored Education Assistance and Graduate Program Choice, Cost, and Finance," Research in Higher Education, Springer;Association for Institutional Research, vol. 61(4), pages 431-458, June.
    45. Aur'elien Sallin, 2021. "Estimating returns to special education: combining machine learning and text analysis to address confounding," Papers 2110.08807, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
    46. Hällsten, Martin, 2012. "Is it ever too late to study? The economic returns on late tertiary degrees in Sweden," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 179-194.
    47. Patrick Coate & Pawel Krolikowski & Mike Zabek, 2019. "Parental Proximity and Earnings After Job Displacements," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-062, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    48. Jae Kwang Kim & Seho Park & Yilin Chen & Changbao Wu, 2021. "Combining non‐probability and probability survey samples through mass imputation," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 184(3), pages 941-963, July.
    49. Galina Besstremyannaya, 2014. "The efficiency of labor matching and remuneration reforms: a panel data quantile regression approach with endogenous treatment variables," Working Papers w0206, New Economic School (NES).
    50. de Brauw, Alan & Mueller, Valerie & Woldehanna, Tassew, 2013. "Does internal migration improve overall well-being in Ethiopia?:," ESSP working papers 55, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    51. Bazzi, Samuel & Sumarto, Sudarno & Suryahadi, Asep, 2015. "It's all in the timing: Cash transfers and consumption smoothing in a developing country," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 267-288.
    52. Martin Huber, 2012. "Identification of Average Treatment Effects in Social Experiments Under Alternative Forms of Attrition," Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, , vol. 37(3), pages 443-474, June.
    53. Heiler, Phillip & Kazak, Ekaterina, 2021. "Valid inference for treatment effect parameters under irregular identification and many extreme propensity scores," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(2), pages 1083-1108.
    54. Sven Neelsen & Owen O’Donnell, 2016. "Progressive Universalism? The Impact of Targeted Coverage on Healthcare Access and Expenditures in Peru," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 16-019/V, Tinbergen Institute.
    55. Guido Imbens, 2014. "Matching Methods in Practice: Three Examples," NBER Working Papers 19959, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    56. Martin Huber & Michael Lechner & Conny Wunsch, 2010. "How to control for many covariates? Reliable estimators based on the propensity score," University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2010 2010-30, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen.
    57. Faraz Usmani & Marc Jeuland & Subhrendu K. Pattanayak, 2018. "NGOs and the effectiveness of interventions," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2018-59, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    58. Dettmann, Eva & Günther, Jutta, 2009. "Subsidized Vocational Training: Stepping Stone or Trap? An Evaluation Study for East Germany," IWH Discussion Papers 21/2009, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    59. Huttunen, Kristiina & Moen, Jarle & Salvanes, Kjell G., 2015. "Job Loss and Regional Mobility," IZA Discussion Papers 8780, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    60. Daniel S. Hosken & Luke M. Olson & Loren K. Smith, 2018. "Do retail mergers affect competition? Evidence from grocery retailing," Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(1), pages 3-22, March.
    61. Adeola Oyenubi & Martin Wittenberg, 2021. "Does the choice of balance-measure matter under genetic matching?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(1), pages 489-502, July.
    62. Alexander C. Lembcke, 2014. "The Impact of Mandatory Entitlement to Paid Leave on Employment in the UK," CEP Discussion Papers dp1262, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    63. Huber, Martin, 2019. "An introduction to flexible methods for policy evaluation," FSES Working Papers 504, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, University of Freiburg/Fribourg Switzerland.
    64. Andrea Repetto & Francisco Henriquez & Bernardo Lara & Alejandro Mizala, 2011. "Effective Schools Do Exist: Low Income Children's Academic Performance in Chile," Working Papers wp_010, Adolfo Ibáñez University, School of Government.
    65. Sankar Mukhopadhyay & Jeanne Wendel, 2013. "Evaluating an employee wellness program," International Journal of Health Economics and Management, Springer, vol. 13(3), pages 173-199, December.
    66. William Crown, 2014. "Propensity-Score Matching in Economic Analyses: Comparison with Regression Models, Instrumental Variables, Residual Inclusion, Differences-in-Differences, and Decomposition Methods," Applied Health Economics and Health Policy, Springer, vol. 12(1), pages 7-18, February.
    67. Lucia Mangiavacchi & Paolo Verme, 2013. "Minimum income in a transition economy," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 21(4), pages 683-712, October.
    68. María Elvira Guerra-Cújar & Mounu Prem & Paul Rodríguez-Lesmes & Juan F. Vargas, 2020. "The Peace Baby Boom: Evidence from Colombia’s peace agreement with the FARC," Documentos de Trabajo 18485, The Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association (LACEA).
    69. Caliendo, Marco & Künn, Steffen, 2012. "Getting Back into the Labor Market: The Effects of Start-Up Subsidies for Unemployed Females," IZA Discussion Papers 6830, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    70. Bodory, Hugo & Camponovo, Lorenzo & Huber, Martin & Lechner, Michael, 2016. "The Finite Sample Performance of Inference Methods for Propensity Score Matching and Weighting Estimators," IZA Discussion Papers 9706, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    71. Naseer, Muhammad Farooq & Patnam, Manasa & Raza, Reehana R., 2010. "Transforming public schools: Impact of the CRI program on child learning in Pakistan," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 669-683, August.
    72. Felipe González & Mounu Prem, 2017. "Losing Your Dictator: Firms During Political Transition," Documentos de Trabajo 506, Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile..
    73. Hernández, Pedro, 2012. "Is there a producer quality wage premium similar to the exporter wage premium?," MPRA Paper 41082, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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  31. Matias D. Cattaneo & Richard K. Crump & Michael Jansson, 2009. "Robust Data-Driven Inference for Density-Weighted Average Derivatives," CREATES Research Papers 2009-46, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.

    Cited by:

    1. Hiroaki Kaido, 2014. "Asymptotically efficient estimation of weighted average derivatives with an interval censored variable," CeMMAP working papers 03/14, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    2. Valeri Voev, 2009. "On the Economic Evaluation of Volatility Forecasts," CREATES Research Papers 2009-56, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    3. Yukitoshi Matsushita & Taisuke Otsu, 2018. "Likelihood Inference on Semiparametric Models: Average Derivative and Treatment Effect," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 69(2), pages 133-155, June.
    4. Matias D. Cattaneo & Max H. Farrell & Michael Jansson & Ricardo Masini, 2022. "Higher-order Refinements of Small Bandwidth Asymptotics for Density-Weighted Average Derivative Estimators," Papers 2301.00277, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    5. Hao Dong & Taisuke Otsu & Luke Taylor, 2019. "Average derivative estimation under measurement error," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series 602, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
    6. Matias D. Cattaneo & Michael Jansson & Whitney K. Newey, 2015. "Alternative Asymptotics and the Partially Linear Model with Many Regressors," Papers 1505.08120, arXiv.org.
    7. Ulrich K. Müller & Yulong Wang, 2017. "Fixed- Asymptotic Inference About Tail Properties," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 112(519), pages 1334-1343, July.
    8. Matias D. Cattaneo & Richard K. Crump & Max H. Farrell & Ernst Schaumburg, 2018. "Characteristic-Sorted Portfolios: Estimation and Inference," Papers 1809.03584, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2019.
    9. Matias D. Cattaneo & Richard K. Crump & Michael Jansson, 2013. "Rejoinder," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 108(504), pages 1265-1268, December.
    10. Matias D. Cattaneo & Michael Jansson & Xinwei Ma, 2018. "Two-Step Estimation and Inference with Possibly Many Included Covariates," Papers 1807.10100, arXiv.org.
    11. Alexandre Belloni & Victor Chernozhukov & Ivan Fernandez-Val, 2011. "Conditional quantile processes based on series or many regressors," CeMMAP working papers CWP19/11, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    12. Atchadé, Yves F. & Cattaneo, Matias D., 2014. "A martingale decomposition for quadratic forms of Markov chains (with applications)," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 124(1), pages 646-677.
    13. Donald W.K. Andrews & Xiaoxia Shi, 2011. "Nonparametric Inference Based on Conditional Moment Inequalities," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1840R, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Feb 2013.
    14. Dennis Kristensen, 2009. "Semiparametric modelling and estimation (in Russian)," Quantile, Quantile, issue 7, pages 53-83, September.
    15. Cattaneo, Matias D & Crump, Richard K & Jansson, Michael, 2014. "Small Bandwidth Asymptotics For Density-Weighted Average Derivatives," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt3jd237cg, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
    16. Yukitoshi Matsushita & Taisuke Otsu, 2019. "Jackknife, small bandwidth and high-dimensional asymptotics," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series 605, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
    17. Yukitoshi Matsushita & Taisuke Otsu, 2018. "Likelihood Inference on Semiparametric Models: Average Derivative and Treatment Effect," The Japanese Economic Review, Springer, vol. 69(2), pages 133-155, June.

  32. Matias D. Cattaneo & Richard K. Crump & Michael Jansson, 2008. "Small Bandwidth Asymptotics for Density-Weighted Average Derivatives," CREATES Research Papers 2008-24, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.

    Cited by:

    1. Hiroaki Kaido, 2014. "Asymptotically efficient estimation of weighted average derivatives with an interval censored variable," CeMMAP working papers 03/14, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    2. Stéphane Bonhomme & Martin Weidner, 2022. "Minimizing sensitivity to model misspecification," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(3), pages 907-954, July.
    3. Yulia Kotlyarova & Marcia M. A. Schafgans & Victoria Zinde-Walsh, 2021. "Rates of Expansions for Functional Estimators," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 19(1), pages 121-139, December.
    4. Hao Dong & Taisuke Otsu & Luke Taylor, 2019. "Average derivative estimation under measurement error," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series 602, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
    5. Bryan S. Graham, 2019. "Network Data," NBER Working Papers 26577, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Matias D. Cattaneo & Michael Jansson & Xinwei Ma, 2018. "Two-Step Estimation and Inference with Possibly Many Included Covariates," Papers 1807.10100, arXiv.org.
    7. Stéphane Bonhomme & Martin Weidner, 2020. "Minimizing Sensitivity to Model Misspecification," CeMMAP working papers CWP37/20, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    8. Bryan S. Graham, 2019. "Dyadic Regression," Papers 1908.09029, arXiv.org.
    9. Farrell, Max H., 2015. "Robust inference on average treatment effects with possibly more covariates than observations," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 189(1), pages 1-23.
    10. Matsushita, Yukitoshi & Otsu, Taisuke, 2020. "Jackknife empirical likelihood: small bandwidth, sparse network and high-dimension asymptotic," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 106488, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    11. Dennis Kristensen, 2009. "Semiparametric Modelling and Estimation: A Selective Overview," CREATES Research Papers 2009-44, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    12. Cattaneo, Matias D. & Crump, Richard K. & Jansson, Michael, 2010. "Robust Data-Driven Inference for Density-Weighted Average Derivatives," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 105(491), pages 1070-1083.
    13. Bryan S. Graham, 2019. "Network Data," CeMMAP working papers CWP71/19, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    14. Bryan S. Graham, 2020. "Sparse network asymptotics for logistic regression," Papers 2010.04703, arXiv.org.
    15. Yukitoshi Matsushita & Taisuke Otsu, 2019. "Jackknife, small bandwidth and high-dimensional asymptotics," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series 605, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
    16. Jun, Sung Jae & Pinkse, Joris & Wan, Yuanyuan, 2015. "Classical Laplace estimation for n3-consistent estimators: Improved convergence rates and rate-adaptive inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(1), pages 201-216.
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  33. Mitnik, Oscar K. & Imbens, Guido & Hotz, V. Joseph & Crump, Richard K., 2008. "Nonparametric Tests for Treatment Effect Heterogeneity," Scholarly Articles 3039049, Harvard University Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Richard K. Crump & V. Joseph Hotz & Guido W. Imbens & Oscar A. Mitnik, 2004. "Dealing with Limited Overlap in Estimation of Average Treatment Effects," Working Papers 0716, University of Miami, Department of Economics, revised 12 Jun 2007.
    2. Daniel Kaliski, 2023. "Identifying the impact of health insurance on subgroups with changing rates of diagnosis," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(9), pages 2098-2112, September.
    3. Rajeev Dehejia & Cristian Pop-Eleches & Cyrus Samii, 2021. "From Local to Global: External Validity in a Fertility Natural Experiment," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(1), pages 217-243, January.
    4. Yuanyuan Shen & Tianxi Cai, 2016. "Identifying predictive markers for personalized treatment selection," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 72(4), pages 1017-1025, December.
    5. Timothy B. Armstrong & Shu Shen, 2013. "Inference on Optimal Treatment Assignments," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1927R, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Apr 2014.
    6. Peng Ding & Avi Feller & Luke Miratrix, 2016. "Randomization inference for treatment effect variation," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 78(3), pages 655-671, June.
    7. Bedoya Arguelles,Guadalupe & Bittarello,Luca & Davis,Jonathan Martin Villars & Mittag,Nikolas Karl & Bedoya Arguelles,Guadalupe & Bittarello,Luca & Davis,Jonathan Martin Villars & Mittag,Nikolas Karl, 2017. "Distributional impact analysis: toolkit and illustrations of impacts beyond the average treatment effect," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8139, The World Bank.
    8. Ferraro, Paul J. & Miranda, Juan José, 2013. "Heterogeneous treatment effects and mechanisms in information-based environmental policies: Evidence from a large-scale field experiment," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 356-379.
    9. Eleonora Patacchini & Tiziano Arduini & Edoardo Rainone, 2014. "Identification and Estimation of Outcome Response with Heterogeneous Treatment Externalities," Center for Policy Research Working Papers 167, Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University.
    10. Słoczyński, Tymon, 2012. "New Evidence on Linear Regression and Treatment Effect Heterogeneity," MPRA Paper 39524, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Bart Cockx & Michael Lechner & Joost Bollens, 2020. "Priority to unemployed immigrants? A causal machine learning evaluation of training in Belgium," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 20/998, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    12. Tobias Adrian & Richard K. Crump & Erik Vogt, 2019. "Nonlinearity and Flight‐to‐Safety in the Risk‐Return Trade‐Off for Stocks and Bonds," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 74(4), pages 1931-1973, August.
    13. Edward Feser, 2013. "Isserman’s Impact," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 36(1), pages 44-68, January.
    14. Lehrer, Steven F. & Pohl, R. Vincent & Song, Kyungchul, 2018. "Multiple Testing and the Distributional Effects of Accountability Incentives in Education," MPRA Paper 89532, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Marusca De Castris & Guido Pellegrini, 2015. "Caratteristiche delle imprese ed eterogeneit? degli effetti degli incentivi alla r&s," SCIENZE REGIONALI, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2015(3 Suppl.), pages 61-79.
    16. Lu, Xun & White, Habert, 2015. "Testing For Treatment Dependence Of Effects Of A Continuous Treatment," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(5), pages 1016-1053, October.
    17. Gabriel Okasa & Kenneth A. Younge, 2022. "Sample Fit Reliability," Papers 2209.06631, arXiv.org.
    18. Naureen Fatema & Shahriar Kibriya, 2018. "Givers of great dinners know few enemies: The impact of household food sufficiency and food sharing on low intensity interhousehold and community conflict in Eastern Democratic Republic of Congo," HiCN Working Papers 267, Households in Conflict Network.
    19. Ana Beatriz Galvão & James Mitchell, 2024. "Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multiwave Experimental Evidence for UK GDP," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(1), pages 81-114, February.
    20. Huang, W. & Linton, O. & Zhang, Z., 2021. "A Unified Framework for Specification Tests of Continuous Treatment Effect Models," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2113, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    21. Yoonseok Lee & Sung Jae Jun & Youngki Shin, 2014. "Treatment Effects with Unobserved Heterogeneity: A Set Identification Approach," Center for Policy Research Working Papers 169, Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University.
    22. Augsburg, Britta & Bancalari, Antonella & Durrani, Zara & Vaidyanathan, Madhav & White, Zach, 2022. "When nature calls back: Sustaining behavioral change in rural Pakistan," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    23. Brigham R. Frandsen & Lars J. Lefgren, 2021. "Partial identification of the distribution of treatment effects with an application to the Knowledge is Power Program (KIPP)," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 12(1), pages 143-171, January.
    24. Judith Favereau & Nicolas Brisset, 2016. "Randomization of What? Moving from Libertarian to "Democratic Paternalism"," GREDEG Working Papers 2016-34, Groupe de REcherche en Droit, Economie, Gestion (GREDEG CNRS), Université Côte d'Azur, France.
    25. Andrea Mercatanti & Fan Li, 2017. "Do debit cards decrease cash demand?: causal inference and sensitivity analysis using principal stratification," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 66(4), pages 759-776, August.
    26. Sokbae Lee & Yoon-Jae Whang, 2009. "Nonparametric Tests of Conditional Treatment Effects," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1740, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    27. Richard K. Crump & V. Joseph Hotz & Guido W. Imbens & Oscar A. Mitnik, 2006. "Moving the Goalposts: Addressing Limited Overlap in Estimation of Average Treatment Effects by Changing the Estimand," Working Papers 0608, University of Miami, Department of Economics.
    28. Guido W. Imbens & Jeffrey M. Wooldridge, 2009. "Recent Developments in the Econometrics of Program Evaluation," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 47(1), pages 5-86, March.
    29. Ganesh Karapakula, 2023. "Stable Probability Weighting: Large-Sample and Finite-Sample Estimation and Inference Methods for Heterogeneous Causal Effects of Multivalued Treatments Under Limited Overlap," Papers 2301.05703, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2023.
    30. Zongwu Cai & Ying Fang & Ming Lin & Shengfang Tang, 2021. "A Nonparametric Test for Testing Heterogeneity in Conditional Quantile Treatment Effects," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202117, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2021.
    31. Nathan Kallus, 2023. "Treatment Effect Risk: Bounds and Inference," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(8), pages 4579-4590, August.
    32. Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna, 2016. "Nonparametric Tests for Treatment Effect Heterogeneity with Duration Outcomes," Papers 1612.02090, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2020.
    33. Sianesi, Barbara, 2017. "Evidence of randomisation bias in a large-scale social experiment: The case of ERA," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 198(1), pages 41-64.
    34. Julius Owusu, 2023. "Randomization Inference of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects under Network Interference," Papers 2308.00202, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    35. Albrecht, Konstanze & von Essen, Emma & Parys, Juliane & Szech, Nora, 2011. "Updating, Self-Confidence and Discrimination," IZA Discussion Papers 6203, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    36. Onur Altindag & Theodore J. Joyce & Julie A. Reeder, 2015. "Effects of Peer Counseling to Support Breastfeeding: Assessing the External Validity of a Randomized Field Experiment," NBER Working Papers 21013, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    37. Nathan Kallus & Miruna Oprescu, 2022. "Robust and Agnostic Learning of Conditional Distributional Treatment Effects," Papers 2205.11486, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2023.
    38. Manuel S. Santos & Juan Pablo Rincon-Zapatero, 2007. "Moving the Goalposts: Differentiability of the Value Function without Interiority Assumptions," Working Papers 0614, University of Miami, Department of Economics.
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    40. Lépine, A. & Lagarde, M. & Le Nestour, A., 2015. "Free primary care in Zambia: an impact evaluation using a pooled synthetic control method," Health, Econometrics and Data Group (HEDG) Working Papers 15/20, HEDG, c/o Department of Economics, University of York.
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    42. Chengfeng Yu & Jiyu Yu & Da Gao, 2024. "Smart Cities and Greener Futures: Evidence from a Quasi-Natural Experiment in China’s Smart City Construction," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-28, January.
    43. Vandercasteelen, Joachim & Dereje, Mekdim & Minten, Bart & Taffesse, Alemayehu Seyoum, 2013. "Scaling-up adoption of improved technologies: The impact of the promotion of row planting on farmers’ teff yields in Ethiopia:," ESSP working papers 60, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    44. Nathan Kallus, 2022. "Treatment Effect Risk: Bounds and Inference," Papers 2201.05893, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2022.
    45. Pender, John & Reeder, Richard, 2011. "Impacts of Regional Approaches to Rural Development: Initial Evidence on the Delta Regional Authority," Economic Research Report 262240, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    46. Philip M. Gleason & Alexandra M. Resch & Jillian A. Berk, "undated". "Replicating Experimental Impact Estimates Using a Regression Discontinuity Approach," Mathematica Policy Research Reports c7ecf8b35c8d402491d09b2d0, Mathematica Policy Research.
    47. Marianne P. Bitler & Jonah B. Gelbach & Hilary W. Hoynes, 2017. "Can Variation in Subgroups' Average Treatment Effects Explain Treatment Effect Heterogeneity? Evidence from a Social Experiment," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 99(4), pages 683-697, July.
    48. Layla Parast & Tianxi Cai & Lu Tian, 2023. "Testing for heterogeneity in the utility of a surrogate marker," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 79(2), pages 799-810, June.
    49. Khalil, Umair & Yıldız, Neşe, 2022. "A test of the selection on observables assumption using a discontinuously distributed covariate," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 226(2), pages 423-450.
    50. Seán M. Muller, 2021. "Evidence for a YETI? A Cautionary Tale from South Africa's Youth Employment Tax Incentive," Development and Change, International Institute of Social Studies, vol. 52(6), pages 1301-1342, November.
    51. Zongwu Cai & Ying Fang & Ming Lin & Shengfang Tang, 2020. "Inferences for Partially Conditional Quantile Treatment Effect Model," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202005, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2020.
    52. Luo Wei & Wu Wenbo & Zhu Yeying, 2019. "Learning Heterogeneity in Causal Inference Using Sufficient Dimension Reduction," Journal of Causal Inference, De Gruyter, vol. 7(1), pages 1-14, March.
    53. Pons Rotger, Gabriel & Rosholm, Michael, 2020. "The Role of Beliefs in Long Sickness Absence: Experimental Evidence from a Psychological Intervention," IZA Discussion Papers 13582, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    54. Susan Athey & Guido Imbens, 2015. "Recursive Partitioning for Heterogeneous Causal Effects," Papers 1504.01132, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2015.
    55. Yu‐Chin Hsu & Shu Shen, 2021. "Testing monotonicity of conditional treatment effects under regression discontinuity designs," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(3), pages 346-366, April.
    56. Alejandro Sanchez-Becerra, 2023. "Robust inference for the treatment effect variance in experiments using machine learning," Papers 2306.03363, arXiv.org.
    57. Yanchun Jin, 2016. "Nonparametric tests for the effect of treatment on conditional variance," KIER Working Papers 948, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    58. Chung, EunYi & Olivares, Mauricio, 2021. "Permutation test for heterogeneous treatment effects with a nuisance parameter," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(2), pages 148-174.
    59. Steinkraus, Arne, 2018. "Rethinking Policy Evaluation – Do Simple Neural Nets Bear Comparison with Synthetic Control Method?," EconStor Preprints 177390, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    60. Steven F. Lehrer & R. Vincent Pohl & Kyungchul Song, 2016. "Targeting Policies: Multiple Testing and Distributional Treatment Effects," NBER Working Papers 22950, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    61. Judith Favereau & Nicolas Brisset, 2016. "Randomization of What? Moving from Libertarian to "Democratic Paternalism". GREDEG Working Papers Series," Working Papers hal-02092638, HAL.
    62. Fatema, Naureen & Kibriya, Shahriar, 2017. "Givers of great dinners know few enemies: The impact of household food security on micro-level communal conflict in Eastern Democratic Republic of Congo," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258482, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    63. Paul Ferraro & Merlin Hanauer, 2011. "Protecting Ecosystems and Alleviating Poverty with Parks and Reserves: ‘Win-Win’ or Tradeoffs?," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 48(2), pages 269-286, February.
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  34. Mathias D. Cattaneo & Richard K. Crump & Michael Jansson, 2007. "Optimal Inference for Instrumental Variables Regression with non-Gaussian Errors," CREATES Research Papers 2007-11, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.

    Cited by:

    1. Kaplan, David M. & Sun, Yixiao, 2012. "Smoothed Estimating Equations For Instrumental Variables Quantile Regression," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt888657tp, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
    2. Aviv Nevo & Adam Rosen, 2008. "Identification with imperfect instruments," CeMMAP working papers CWP16/08, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    3. Marmer, Vadim & Yu, Zhengfei, 2015. "Efficient Inference in the Classical IV Regression Model with Weak Identification: Asymptotic Power Against Arbitrarily Large Deviations from the Null Hypothesis," Microeconomics.ca working papers vadim_marmer-2015-17, Vancouver School of Economics, revised 02 Sep 2015.
    4. Kolesár, Michal, 2018. "Minimum distance approach to inference with many instruments," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 204(1), pages 86-100.
    5. Patrik Guggenberger, "undated". "Applications of Subsampling, Hybrid, and Size-Correction Methods (joint with D.W.K. Andrews), 2005, this version May 2007," UCLA Economics Online Papers 414, UCLA Department of Economics.
    6. Keisuke Hirano & Jack R. Porter, 2023. "Asymptotic Representations for Sequential Decisions, Adaptive Experiments, and Batched Bandits," Papers 2302.03117, arXiv.org.
    7. Tetsuya Kaji, 2019. "Theory of Weak Identification in Semiparametric Models," Papers 1908.10478, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
    8. Sølvsten, Mikkel, 2020. "Robust estimation with many instruments," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 214(2), pages 495-512.
    9. Keisuke Hirano & Jack R. Porter, 2015. "Location Properties of Point Estimators in Linear Instrumental Variables and Related Models," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(6-10), pages 720-733, December.
    10. Mills, Benjamin & Moreira, Marcelo J. & Vilela, Lucas P., 2014. "Tests based on t-statistics for IV regression with weak instruments," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 182(2), pages 351-363.

  35. Crump, Richard K. & Hotz, V. Joseph & Imbens, Guido W. & Mitnik, Oscar A., 2006. "Moving the Goalposts: Addressing Limited Overlap in Estimation of Average Treatment Effects by Changing the Estimand," IZA Discussion Papers 2347, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).

    Cited by:

    1. Richard K. Crump & V. Joseph Hotz & Guido W. Imbens & Oscar A. Mitnik, 2004. "Dealing with Limited Overlap in Estimation of Average Treatment Effects," Working Papers 0716, University of Miami, Department of Economics, revised 12 Jun 2007.
    2. Rahman, Mohammad Mahbubur, 2012. "Estimating the Effects of Social Safety Net Programmes in Bangladesh on Calorie Consumption of Poor Households," Bangladesh Development Studies, Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies (BIDS), vol. 35(2), pages 67-85, June.
    3. Reiling, Rune Borgan & Salvanes, Kari Vea & Sandsør, Astrid Marie Jorde & Strøm, Bjarne, 2021. "The effect of central government grants on local educational policy," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    4. Thierry Foucault & David Sraer & David J. Thesmar, 2011. "Individual Investors and Volatility," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 66(4), pages 1369-1406, August.
    5. Suzuki, Aya & Mano, Yukichi & Abebe, Girum, 2018. "Earnings, savings, and job satisfaction in a labor-intensive export sector: Evidence from the cut flower industry in Ethiopia," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 176-191.
    6. Jeffrey Clemens, 2015. "The Minimum Wage and the Great Recession: Evidence from the Current Population Survey," NBER Working Papers 21830, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Filmer, Deon & Schady, Norbert, 2006. "Getting girls into school : evidence from a scholarship program in Cambodia," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3910, The World Bank.
    8. Kevin Blattler & Hannes Wallimann & Widar von Arx, 2024. "Free public transport to the destination: A causal analysis of tourists' travel mode choice," Papers 2401.14945, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    9. Richard K. Crump & V. Joseph Hotz & Guido W. Imbens & Oscar A. Mitnik, 2006. "Nonparametric Tests for Treatment Effect Heterogeneity," Working Papers 0609, University of Miami, Department of Economics.
    10. D'Elia, Vanesa Valeria & Grand, Mariana Conte & León, Sonia, 2020. "Bus rapid transit and property values in Buenos Aires: Combined spatial hedonic pricing and propensity score techniques," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    11. Kathleen Beegle & Joachim Weerdt & Stefan Dercon, 2010. "Orphanhood and human capital destruction: Is there persistence into adulthood?," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 47(1), pages 163-180, February.
    12. Shikuku, Kelvin Mashisia & Okello, Julius Juma & Wambugu, Stella & Sindi, Kirimi & Low, Jan W. & McEwan, Margaret, 2019. "Nutrition and food security impacts of quality seeds of biofortified orange-fleshed sweetpotato: Quasi-experimental evidence from Tanzania," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 1-1.
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    14. Wagstaff, Adam & Lindelow, Magnus & Jun, Gao & Ling, Xu & Juncheng, Qian, 2009. "Extending health insurance to the rural population: An impact evaluation of China's new cooperative medical scheme," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 1-19, January.
    15. Mr. Mauricio Moura & Mr. Caio Piza & Mr. Marcos Poplawski Ribeiro, 2011. "The Distributive Effects of Land Titleon Labor Supply: Evidence From Brazil," IMF Working Papers 2011/131, International Monetary Fund.
    16. Li, Lingling & Tchetgen Tchetgen, Eric & van der Vaart, Aad & Robins, James M., 2011. "Higher order inference on a treatment effect under low regularity conditions," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 81(7), pages 821-828, July.
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    27. Richard K. Crump & V. Joseph Hotz & Guido W. Imbens & Oscar A. Mitnik, 2006. "Moving the Goalposts: Addressing Limited Overlap in Estimation of Average Treatment Effects by Changing the Estimand," Working Papers 0608, University of Miami, Department of Economics.
    28. Ganesh Karapakula, 2023. "Stable Probability Weighting: Large-Sample and Finite-Sample Estimation and Inference Methods for Heterogeneous Causal Effects of Multivalued Treatments Under Limited Overlap," Papers 2301.05703, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2023.
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    55. Deininger, Klaus & Liu, Yanyan, 2009. "Longer-term economic impacts of self-help groups in india," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4886, The World Bank.
    56. Stijn Vansteelandt & Oliver Dukes, 2022. "Assumption‐lean inference for generalised linear model parameters," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 84(3), pages 657-685, July.
    57. Peng Ding, 2022. "Peng Ding’s contribution to the Discussion of ‘Assumption‐lean inference for generalised linear model parameters’ by Vansteelandt and Dukes," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 84(3), pages 691-693, July.
    58. Chen, Shaohua & Mu, Ren & Ravallion, Martin, 2008. "Are there lasting impacts of aid to poor areas ? Evidence from rural China," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4084, The World Bank.
    59. Wagstaff, Adam, 2007. "Health insurance for the poor : initial impacts of Vietnam's health care fund for the poor," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4134, The World Bank.
    60. Nan L. Maxwell & Dana Rotz, "undated". "Building the Employment and Economic Self-Sufficiency of the Disadvantaged: The Potential of Social Enterprises," Mathematica Policy Research Reports 37f4ab94fb044cc1945cb04dc, Mathematica Policy Research.
    61. Kevin P. Josey & Elizabeth Juarez‐Colunga & Fan Yang & Debashis Ghosh, 2021. "A framework for covariate balance using Bregman distances," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 48(3), pages 790-816, September.
    62. Stijn Vansteelandt & Oliver Dukes, 2022. "Authors' reply to the Discussion of ‘Assumption‐lean inference for generalised linear model parameters’ by Vansteelandt and Dukes," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 84(3), pages 729-739, July.
    63. Elsayed, Ahmed & Roushdy, Rania, 2017. "Empowering Women under Social Constraints: Evidence from a Field Intervention in Rural Egypt," IZA Discussion Papers 11240, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
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    66. Nolan McCarty & Keith T. Poole & Howard Rosenthal, 2009. "Does Gerrymandering Cause Polarization?," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 53(3), pages 666-680, July.
    67. Deininger, Klaus & Liu, Yanyan, 2013. "Economic and Social Impacts of an Innovative Self-Help Group Model in India," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 149-163.
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Articles

  1. Richard K. Crump & Nikolay Gospodinov, 2022. "On the Factor Structure of Bond Returns," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 90(1), pages 295-314, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Moench, Emanuel & Soofi Siavash, Soroosh, 2022. "What Moves Treasury Yields?," CEPR Discussion Papers 15978, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Dennis Schroers, 2024. "Robust Functional Data Analysis for Stochastic Evolution Equations in Infinite Dimensions," Papers 2401.16286, arXiv.org.
    3. Pablo Guerrón-Quintana & Alexey Khazanov & Molin Zhong, 2023. "Financial and Macroeconomic Data Through the Lens of a Nonlinear Dynamic Factor Model," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-027, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

  2. Crump, Richard K. & Eusepi, Stefano & Tambalotti, Andrea & Topa, Giorgio, 2022. "Subjective intertemporal substitution," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 118-133.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Matias D. Cattaneo & Richard K. Crump & Max H. Farrell & Ernst Schaumburg, 2020. "Characteristic-Sorted Portfolios: Estimation and Inference," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(3), pages 531-551, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Tobias Adrian & Richard K. Crump & Erik Vogt, 2019. "Nonlinearity and Flight‐to‐Safety in the Risk‐Return Trade‐Off for Stocks and Bonds," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 74(4), pages 1931-1973, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Marc Giannoni & Aysegul Sahin, 2019. "A Unified Approach to Measuring u," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 50(1 (Spring), pages 143-238.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  6. Abrahams, Michael & Adrian, Tobias & Crump, Richard K. & Moench, Emanuel & Yu, Rui, 2016. "Decomposing real and nominal yield curves," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 182-200.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  7. Andrade, Philippe & Crump, Richard K. & Eusepi, Stefano & Moench, Emanuel, 2016. "Fundamental disagreement," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 106-128.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  8. Adrian, Tobias & Crump, Richard K. & Moench, Emanuel, 2015. "Regression-based estimation of dynamic asset pricing models," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(2), pages 211-244.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  9. Cattaneo, Matias D. & Crump, Richard K. & Jansson, Michael, 2014. "Bootstrapping Density-Weighted Average Derivatives," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 30(6), pages 1135-1164, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  10. Cattaneo, Matias D. & Crump, Richard K. & Jansson, Michael, 2014. "Small Bandwidth Asymptotics For Density-Weighted Average Derivatives," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 30(1), pages 176-200, February.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  11. Matias D. Cattaneo & Richard K. Crump & Michael Jansson, 2013. "Generalized Jackknife Estimators of Weighted Average Derivatives," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 108(504), pages 1243-1256, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  12. Adrian, Tobias & Crump, Richard K. & Moench, Emanuel, 2013. "Pricing the term structure with linear regressions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(1), pages 110-138.

    Cited by:

    1. Valentin Haddad & David Sraer, 2020. "The Banking View of Bond Risk Premia," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 75(5), pages 2465-2502, October.
    2. Richhild Moessner, 2018. "Effects of asset purchases and financial stability measures on term premia in the euro area," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 489, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
    3. Adrian, Tobias & Etula, Erkko & Groen, Jan J.J., 2011. "Financial amplification of foreign exchange risk premia," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(3), pages 354-370, April.
    4. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2017. "Interest Rates Under Falling Stars," CESifo Working Paper Series 6571, CESifo.
    5. Sangyong Joo & Daehwan Kim & Jeffrey Nilsen, 2021. "Monetary Policy and Long-Term Interest Rates in Korea: A Decomposition Analysis," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 37, pages 327-366.
    6. Lloyd, Simon, 2018. "Estimating nominal interest rate expectations: overnight indexed swaps and the term structure," Bank of England working papers 763, Bank of England.
    7. Rebecca Hellerstein, 2011. "Global bond risk premiums," Staff Reports 499, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    8. Marcello Pericoli & Marco Taboga, 2018. "Nearly exact Bayesian estimation of non-linear no-arbitrage term structure models," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1189, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    9. Mr. Tao Wu, 2014. "Unconventional Monetary Policy and Long-Term Interest Rates," IMF Working Papers 2014/189, International Monetary Fund.
    10. Mitsuru Katagiri & Koji Takahashi, 2021. "Do term premiums matter? Transmission via exchange rate dynamics," BIS Working Papers 971, Bank for International Settlements.
    11. Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone & Michèle Modugno, 2014. "Low Frequency Effects of Macroeconomic News on Government Bond Yields," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-34, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    12. Wayne Passmore & Judit Temesvary, 2020. "Investor Demands for Safety, Bank Capital, and Liquidity Measurement," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-079, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    13. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2016. "Why Are Long-Term Interest Rates So Low?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    14. Luis Ceballos & Jorge A. Fornero & Andrés Gatty, 2017. "Nuevas estimaciones de la tasa real neutral de Chile," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 20(3), pages 120-143, December.
    15. Kortela, Tomi & Nelimarkka, Jaakko, 2020. "The effects of conventional and unconventional monetary policy: Identification through the yield curve," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 3/2020, Bank of Finland.
    16. Malik, Sheheryar & Meldrum, Andrew, 2016. "Evaluating the robustness of UK term structure decompositions using linear regression methods," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 85-102.
    17. Alfaro, Rodrigo & Piña, Marco, 2023. "Estimates of the US Shadow-Rate," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 4(1).
    18. Christoph Görtz & Mallory Yeromonahos, 2021. "Asymmetries in risk premia, macroeconomic uncertainty and business cycles," CAMA Working Papers 2021-101, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    19. Lo Duca, Marco & Nicoletti, Giulio & Vidal Martínez, Ariadna, 2016. "Global corporate bond issuance: What role for US quantitative easing?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 114-150.
    20. Zhengyang Chen, 2019. "The Long-term Rate and Interest Rate Volatility in Monetary Policy Transmission," 2019 Papers pch1858, Job Market Papers.
    21. Bruno Feunou & Jean-Sébastien Fontaine, 2021. "Debt-Secular Economic Changes and Bond Yields," Staff Working Papers 21-14, Bank of Canada.
    22. Dedola, Luca & Georgiadis, Georgios & Gräb, Johannes & Mehl, Arnaud, 2021. "Does a big bazooka matter? Quantitative easing policies and exchange rates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 489-506.
    23. Mr. Eugenio M Cerutti & Mr. Maurice Obstfeld & Haonan Zhou, 2019. "Covered Interest Parity Deviations: Macrofinancial Determinants," IMF Working Papers 2019/014, International Monetary Fund.
    24. Gianni Amisano & Oreste Tristani, 2023. "Monetary policy and long‐term interest rates," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 14(2), pages 689-716, May.
    25. Adrian, Tobias & Crump, Richard K. & Moench, Emanuel, 2015. "Regression-based estimation of dynamic asset pricing models," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(2), pages 211-244.
    26. Steenkamp, Daan & Erasmus, Ruan, 2022. "Term premium estimation for South Africa," MPRA Paper 114895, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    27. Carrillo Julio A. & Elizondo Rocío & Rodríguez-Pérez Cid Alonso & Roldán-Peña Jessica, 2018. "What Determines the Neutral Rate of Interest in an Emerging Economy?," Working Papers 2018-22, Banco de México.
    28. Simon Beyeler & Sylvia Kaufmann, 2021. "Reduced‐form factor augmented VAR—Exploiting sparsity to include meaningful factors," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(7), pages 989-1012, November.
    29. Chernov, Mikhail & Creal, Drew & Hördahl, Peter, 2020. "Sovereign credit and exchange rate risks: Evidence from Asia-Pacific local currency bonds," CEPR Discussion Papers 14986, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    30. Valentin Jouvanceau & Ieva Mikaliunaite, 2020. "Euro Area Monetary Communications: Excess Sensitivity and Perception Shocks," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 79, Bank of Lithuania.
    31. Sushanta K Mallick & Madhusudan Mohanty & Fabrizio Zampolli, 2017. "Market volatility, monetary policy and the term premium," BIS Working Papers 606, Bank for International Settlements.
    32. Kaminska, Iryna & Zinna, Gabriele, 2019. "Official demand for US debt: implications for US real rates," Bank of England working papers 796, Bank of England.
    33. Chunya Bu & John Rogers & Wenbin Wu, 2019. "A Unified Measure of Fed Monetary Policy Shocks," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-043, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    34. Taylor, Alan M. & Davis, Josh & Fuenzalida, Cristian, 2019. "The Natural Rate Puzzle: Global Macro Trends and the Market-Implied r," CEPR Discussion Papers 14201, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    35. Jordi Galí, 2020. "Uncovered Interest Parity, Forward Guidance and the Exchange Rate," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(S2), pages 465-496, December.
    36. Maurice Obstfeld & Haonan Zhou, 2023. "The Global Dollar Cycle," NBER Working Papers 31004, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    37. Richhild Moessner & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2019. "The zero lower bound, forward guidance and how markets respond to news," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
    38. Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo & Daan Steenkamp & Rossouw van Jaarsveld, 2022. "A banklevel analysis of interest rate passthrough in South Africa," Working Papers 11027, South African Reserve Bank.
    39. De Rezende, Rafael B. & Ristiniemi, Annukka, 2023. "A shadow rate without a lower bound constraint," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    40. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2015. "Resolving the spanning puzzle in macro-finance term structure models," Working Paper Series 2015-1, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    41. Martin M. Andreasen & Andrew C. Meldrum, 2018. "A Shadow Rate or a Quadratic Policy Rule? The Best Way to Enforce the Zero Lower Bound in the United States," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-056, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    42. Tobias Adrian & Richard K. Crump & Erik Vogt, 2019. "Nonlinearity and Flight‐to‐Safety in the Risk‐Return Trade‐Off for Stocks and Bonds," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 74(4), pages 1931-1973, August.
    43. Ornelas, José Renato Haas & Mauad, Roberto Baltieri, 2019. "Volatility risk premia and future commodity returns," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 341-360.
    44. Stefania D’Amico & N Aaron Pancost, 2022. "Special Repo Rates and the Cross-Section of Bond Prices: The Role of the Special Collateral Risk Premium [Pr icing the term structure with linear regressions]," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 26(1), pages 117-162.
    45. Martin M. Andreasen & Tom Engsted & Stig V. Møller & Magnus Sander, 2016. "Bond Market Asymmetries across Recessions and Expansions: New Evidence on Risk Premia," CREATES Research Papers 2016-26, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    46. Moench, Emanuel & Soofi Siavash, Soroosh, 2022. "What Moves Treasury Yields?," CEPR Discussion Papers 15978, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    47. Peter Van Tassel, 2017. "Global Variance Term Premia and Intermediary Risk Appetite," 2017 Meeting Papers 149, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    48. Adrian, Tobias & Fleming, Michael J. & Shachar, Or & Vogt, Erik, 2017. "Market Liquidity after the Financial Crisis," CEPR Discussion Papers 12248, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    49. Christian Grisse & Silvio Schumacher, 2018. "Term structure dynamics at low and negative interest rates—evidence from Switzerland," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 154(1), pages 1-17, December.
    50. Michele Cavallo & Marco Del Negro & W. Scott Frame & Jamie Grasing & Benjamin A. Malin & Carlo Rosa, 2018. "Fiscal Implications of the Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet Normalization," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2018-7, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    51. Lorenzo Bretscher & Alex Hsu & Andrea Tamoni, 2017. "Level and Volatility Shocks to Fiscal Policy: Term Structure Implications," 2017 Meeting Papers 258, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    52. Adam Kucera & Michal Dvorak & Zlatuse Komarkova, 2017. "Decomposition of the Czech government bond yield curve," Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes, in: CNB Financial Stability Report 2016/2017, chapter 0, pages 125-134, Czech National Bank.
    53. Greenwood-Nimmo, Matthew & Nguyen, Viet Hoang & Shin, Yongcheol, 2023. "What is mine is yours: Sovereign risk transmission during the European debt crisis," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    54. Rodrigo Vergara & Elías Albagli, 2015. "Tasas de Interés de Largo Plazo en Economías Desarrolladas: Tendencias Recientes e Implicancias de Política Monetaria en Chile," Economic Policy Papers Central Bank of Chile 52, Central Bank of Chile.
    55. Schupp, Fabian & Geiger, Felix, 2018. "With a little help from my friends: Survey-based derivation of euro area short rate expectations at the effective lower bound," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181529, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    56. Dr. Thomas Nitschka & Diego M. Hager, 2022. "Responses of Swiss bond yields and stock prices to ECB policy surprises," Working Papers 2022-08, Swiss National Bank.
    57. Alexander Guarín & José Fernando Moreno & Hernando Vargas, 2014. "An Empirical Analysis of the Relationship between US and Colombian Long-Term Sovereign Bond Yields?," Borradores de Economia 11311, Banco de la Republica.
    58. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench & Bruce Preston, 2021. "The Term Structure of Expectations," Staff Reports 992, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    59. Luchelle Soobyah & Daan Steenkamp, 2020. "Term premium and rate expectation estimates from the South African yield curve," Working Papers 9998, South African Reserve Bank.
    60. Almeida, Caio & Ardison, Kym & Kubudi, Daniela, 2014. "Approximating Risk Premium on a Parametric Arbitrage-free Term Structure Model," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 34(2), November.
    61. Jonathan Hambur & Qazi Haque, 2023. "Can we use high-frequency yield data to better understand the effects of monetary policy and its communication? Yes and no!," School of Economics and Public Policy Working Papers 2023-03 Classification-E4, University of Adelaide, School of Economics and Public Policy.
    62. Diego Aragon & Emanuel Moench & James Vickery, 2010. "Why is the market share of adjustable-rate mortgages so low?," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 16(Dec).
    63. Lakdawala, Aeimit & Moreland, Timothy & Schaffer, Matthew, 2021. "The international spillover effects of US monetary policy uncertainty," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    64. Böhl, Gregor & Goy, Gavin & Strobel, Felix, 2021. "A structural investigation of quantitative easing," Discussion Papers 01/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    65. Alexie ALUPOAIEI & Matei KUBINSCHI & Adam ALTĂR-SAMUEL, 2017. "Estimating the Term Premium From A Gaussian Dynamic Term Structure Model – The Case of Romania," ECONOMIC COMPUTATION AND ECONOMIC CYBERNETICS STUDIES AND RESEARCH, Faculty of Economic Cybernetics, Statistics and Informatics, vol. 51(4), pages 173-188.
    66. Tobias Adrian & Erkko Etula, 2010. "Funding liquidity risk and the cross-section of stock returns," Staff Reports 464, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    67. Martin Ellison & Andreas Tischbirek, 2018. "Beauty Contests and the Term Structure," Discussion Papers 1807, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    68. Grzegorz Wesoƚowski, 2018. "Do long-term interest rates drive GDP and inflation in small open economies? Evidence from Poland," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(57), pages 6174-6192, December.
    69. Michiel De Pooter & Giovanni Favara & Michele Modugno & Jason J. Wu, 2020. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty and Monetary Policy Surprises," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-032, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    70. Passmore, Wayne & Temesvary, Judit, 2022. "How investor demands for safety influence bank capital and liquidity trade-offs," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    71. Mr. Ales Bulir & Mr. Jan Vlcek, 2020. "Monetary Policy Is Not Always Systematic and Data-Driven: Evidence from the Yield Curve," IMF Working Papers 2020/004, International Monetary Fund.
    72. Li, Haitao & Ye, Xiaoxia & Yu, Fan, 2020. "Unifying Gaussian dynamic term structure models from a Heath–Jarrow–Morton perspective," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 286(3), pages 1153-1167.
    73. Martin Kliem & Alexander Meyer-Gohde, 2018. "(Un)expected Monetary Policy Shocks and Term Premia," 2018 Meeting Papers 102, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    74. Riccardo Rebonato & Ivan Saroka & Vlad Putiatyn, 2020. "Principal-Component-Based Gaussian Affine Term Structure Models: Constraints And Their Financial Implications," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 23(02), pages 1-25, March.
    75. Hördahl, Peter & Tristani, Oreste, 2019. "Modelling yields at the lower bound through regime shifts," Working Paper Series 2320, European Central Bank.
    76. Peter Tillmann, 2018. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty and the Response of the Yield Curve to Policy Shocks," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2018_004, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
    77. Li, Jing, 2018. "Essays on model uncertainty in financial models," Other publications TiSEM 202cd910-7ef1-4db4-94ae-d, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    78. Christopher J. Gust & Kyungmin Kim & Romina Ruprecht, 2023. "The Effects of CBDC on the Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-068, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    79. Meldrum, Andrew & Roberts-Sklar, Matt, 2015. "Long-run priors for term structure models," Bank of England working papers 575, Bank of England.
    80. Adam Kucera & Evzen Kocenda & Ales Marsal, 2022. "Yield Curve Dynamics and Fiscal Policy Shocks," Working Papers IES 2022/04, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Apr 2022.
    81. Halberstadt, Arne, 2023. "Decomposing the yield curve with linear regressions and survey information," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 25-39.
    82. Charles T. Carlstrom & Timothy S. Fuerst & Matthias Paustian, 2014. "Targeting Long Rates in a Model with Segmented Markets," Working Papers (Old Series) 1419, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    83. Mr. Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2011. "Risk Sharing and Financial Contagion in Asia: An Asset Price Perspective," IMF Working Papers 2011/242, International Monetary Fund.
    84. Buncic, Daniel & Lentner, Philipp, 2016. "The term structure of interest rates in an estimated New Keynesian policy model," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 126-150.
    85. Ali Alichi & Kevin Clinton & Charles Freedman & Mr. Ondrej Kamenik & Michel Juillard & Mr. Douglas Laxton & Mr. Jarkko Turunen & Hou Wang, 2015. "Avoiding Dark Corners: A Robust Monetary Policy Framework for the United States," IMF Working Papers 2015/134, International Monetary Fund.
    86. Hideaki Matsuoka, 2022. "Debt Intolerance: Threshold Level and Composition," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(4), pages 894-932, August.
    87. Rita Pimentel & Morten Risstad & Sjur Westgaard, 2022. "Predicting interest rate distributions using PCA & quantile regression," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 4(4), pages 291-311, December.
    88. Erkko Etula, 2013. "Broker-Dealer Risk Appetite and Commodity Returns," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 11(3), pages 486-521, June.
    89. Pegoraro, F. & Siegel, A. F. & Tiozzo Pezzoli, L., 2014. "Specification Analysis of International Treasury Yield Curve Factors," Working papers 490, Banque de France.
    90. Mirco Rubin & Dario Ruzzi, 2020. "Equity Tail Risk in the Treasury Bond Market," Papers 2007.05933, arXiv.org.
    91. Diana Ayala & Milan Nedeljkovic & Christian Saborowski, 2017. "What Slice of the Pie? The Corporate Bond Market Boom in Emerging Economies," CESifo Working Paper Series 6376, CESifo.
    92. Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul & Fabian Winkler, 2021. "The natural rate of interest through a hall of mirrors," BIS Working Papers 974, Bank for International Settlements.
    93. Hager, Diego & Nitschka, Thomas, 2022. "The Impact of COVID-19 and other Crises on the Responses of Swiss Bond Yields and Stock Prices to ECB Policy Surprises," VfS Annual Conference 2022 (Basel): Big Data in Economics 264018, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    94. Edward N Gamber & Julie K Smith, 2020. "Monetary policy and the yield curve," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(1), pages 407-424.
    95. Mierau, Joachim & Mink, Mark, 2016. "A descriptive model of banking an aggregate demand," Research Report 16011-EEF, University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organisations and Management).
    96. Alberto Di Iorio & Marco Fanari, 2020. "Break-even inflation rates: the Italian case," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 578, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    97. Nitschka, Thomas & Ramelet, Marc-Antoine, 2023. "Shock and awe? Bond yield responses to domestic monetary policy in a small-open economy," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    98. Marcello Pericoli & Giovanni Veronese, 2017. "Monetary policy surprises over time," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1102, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    99. Luis Ceballos & Alberto Naudon & Damián Romero, 2016. "Nominal term structure and term premia: evidence from Chile," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(29), pages 2721-2735, June.
    100. Albagli, Elias & Ceballos, Luis & Claro, Sebastian & Romero, Damian, 2019. "Channels of US monetary policy spillovers to international bond markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(2), pages 447-473.
    101. Januj Juneja, 2015. "An evaluation of alternative methods used in the estimation of Gaussian term structure models," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 44(1), pages 1-24, January.
    102. Peter Spencer, 2013. "The US Economy, the Treasury Bond Market and the Specification of Macro-Finance Models," Discussion Papers 13/22, Department of Economics, University of York.
    103. Sarno, Lucio & Schneider, Paul & Wagner, Christian, 2016. "The economic value of predicting bond risk premia," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 247-267.
    104. Norman R. Swanson & Weiqi Xiong & Xiye Yang, 2020. "Predicting interest rates using shrinkage methods, real‐time diffusion indexes, and model combinations," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(5), pages 587-613, August.
    105. Fricke, Christoph & Menkhoff, Lukas, 2014. "Financial conditions, macroeconomic factors and (un)expected bond excess returns," Discussion Papers 35/2014, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    106. Chin, Michael & Filippeli, Thomai & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2015. "Cross-country co-movement in long-term interest rates: a DSGE approach," Bank of England working papers 530, Bank of England.
    107. Andras Lengyel, 2022. "Treasury Supply Shocks and the Term Structure of Interest Rates in the UK," MNB Working Papers 2022/6, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).
    108. Salman Huseynov, 2021. "Long and short memory in dynamic term structure models," CREATES Research Papers 2021-15, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    109. Hitesh Doshi & Kris Jacobs & Rui Liu, 2021. "Information in the Term Structure: A Forecasting Perspective," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(8), pages 5255-5277, August.
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  13. Cattaneo, Matias D. & Crump, Richard K. & Jansson, Michael, 2012. "Optimal inference for instrumental variables regression with non-Gaussian errors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 167(1), pages 1-15.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  14. Richard Crump & Gopi Shah Goda & Kevin J. Mumford, 2011. "Fertility and the Personal Exemption: Comment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(4), pages 1616-1628, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  15. Cattaneo, Matias D. & Crump, Richard K. & Jansson, Michael, 2010. "Robust Data-Driven Inference for Density-Weighted Average Derivatives," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 105(491), pages 1070-1083.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  16. Richard K. Crump & V. Joseph Hotz & Guido W. Imbens & Oscar A. Mitnik, 2009. "Dealing with limited overlap in estimation of average treatment effects," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 96(1), pages 187-199.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  17. Richard K. Crump & V. Joseph Hotz & Guido W. Imbens & Oscar A. Mitnik, 2008. "Nonparametric Tests for Treatment Effect Heterogeneity," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 90(3), pages 389-405, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
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