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Nonparametric Inference Based on Conditional Moment Inequalities

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Abstract

This paper develops methods of inference for nonparametric and semiparametric parameters defined by conditional moment inequalities and/or equalities. The parameters need not be identified. Confidence sets and tests are introduced. The correct uniform asymptotic size of these procedures is established. The false coverage probabilities and power of the CS's and tests are established for fixed alternatives and some local alternatives. Finite-sample simulation results are given for a nonparametric conditional quantile model with censoring and a nonparametric conditional treatment effect model. The recommended CS/test uses a Cramer-von-Mises-type test statistic and employs a generalized moment selection critical value.

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File URL: http://cowles.econ.yale.edu/P/cd/d18a/d1840-ra.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University in its series Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers with number 1840R.

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Length: 101 pages
Date of creation: Dec 2011
Date of revision: Feb 2013
Handle: RePEc:cwl:cwldpp:1840r

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Phone: (203) 432-3702
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Web page: http://cowles.econ.yale.edu/
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Postal: Cowles Foundation, Yale University, Box 208281, New Haven, CT 06520-8281 USA

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Keywords: Asymptotic size; Kernel; Local power; Moment inequalities; Nonparametric inference; Partial identification;

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References

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  1. Donald W.K. Andrews & Gustavo Soares, 2007. "Inference for Parameters Defined by Moment Inequalities Using Generalized Moment Selection," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1631, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  2. Victor Chernozhukov & Sokbae 'Simon' Lee & Adam Rosen, 2009. "Intersection Bounds: estimation and inference," CeMMAP working papers CWP19/09, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  3. Sokbae 'Simon' Lee & Kyungchul Song & Yoon-Jae Whang, 2011. "Testing functional inequalities," CeMMAP working papers CWP12/11, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  4. Richard Blundell & Amanda Gosling & Hidehiko Ichimura & Costas Meghir, 2006. "Changes in the Distribution of Male and Female Wages Accounting for Employment Composition Using Bounds," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-420, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
  5. Andrews, Donald W.K. & Guggenberger, Patrik, 2009. "Validity Of Subsampling And “Plug-In Asymptotic” Inference For Parameters Defined By Moment Inequalities," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(03), pages 669-709, June.
  6. Donald W.K. Andrews & Xiaoxia Shi, 2011. "Nonparametric Inference Based on Conditional Moment Inequalities," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1840RR, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Oct 2013.
  7. Kiefer, Nicholas M. & Vogelsang, Timothy J., 2005. "A New Asymptotic Theory For Heteroskedasticity-Autocorrelation Robust Tests," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(06), pages 1130-1164, December.
  8. Donald W.K. Andrews & Panle Jia, 2008. "Inference for Parameters Defined by Moment Inequalities: A Recommended Moment Selection Procedure," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1676, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  9. Arthur Lewbel, 2000. "Endogenous Selection Or Treatment Model Estimation," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 462, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 13 Jun 2007.
  10. Marc Henry & Ismael Mourifi�, 2012. "Sharp Bounds in the Binary Roy Model," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-835, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
  11. Khan, Shakeeb & Tamer, Elie, 2009. "Inference on endogenously censored regression models using conditional moment inequalities," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 152(2), pages 104-119, October.
  12. Timothy B. Armstrong & Hock Peng Chan, 2013. "Multiscale Adaptive Inference on Conditional Moment Inequalities," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1885, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  13. Ariel Pakes, 2010. "Alternative models for moment inequalities," CeMMAP working papers CWP21/10, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  14. Guido W. Imbens, 2004. "Nonparametric Estimation of Average Treatment Effects Under Exogeneity: A Review," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 86(1), pages 4-29, February.
  15. L. Yang & R. Tschernig, 1999. "Multivariate bandwidth selection for local linear regression," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 61(4), pages 793-815.
  16. Andrews, Donald W K, 1988. "Chi-Square Diagnostic Tests for Econometric Models: Theory," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 56(6), pages 1419-53, November.
  17. Donald W. K. Andrews & Xiaoxia Shi, 2013. "Inference Based on Conditional Moment Inequalities," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 81(2), pages 609-666, 03.
  18. Arie Beresteanu & Ilya Molchanov & Francesca Molinari, 2011. "Sharp Identification Regions in Models With Convex Moment Predictions," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 79(6), pages 1785-1821, November.
  19. Charles F. Manski & Elie Tamer, 2002. "Inference on Regressions with Interval Data on a Regressor or Outcome," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 70(2), pages 519-546, March.
  20. Nicholas M. Kiefer & Timothy J. Vogelsang, 2002. "Heteroskedasticity-Autocorrelation Robust Standard Errors Using The Bartlett Kernel Without Truncation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 70(5), pages 2093-2095, September.
  21. Maria Ponomareva & Elie Tamer, 2011. "Misspecification in moment inequality models: back to moment equalities?," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 14(2), pages 186-203, 07.
  22. Victor Chernozhukov & Han Hong & Elie Tamer, 2007. "Estimation and Confidence Regions for Parameter Sets in Econometric Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 75(5), pages 1243-1284, 09.
  23. Cattaneo, Matias D. & Crump, Richard K. & Jansson, Michael, 2010. "Robust Data-Driven Inference for Density-Weighted Average Derivatives," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 105(491), pages 1070-1083.
  24. Bierens, Herman J., 1982. "Consistent model specification tests," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 105-134, October.
  25. Arie Beresteanu & Francesca Molinari, 2008. "Asymptotic Properties for a Class of Partially Identified Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 76(4), pages 763-814, 07.
  26. Patrick Bajari & Han Hong & Stephen P. Ryan, 2010. "Identification and Estimation of a Discrete Game of Complete Information," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 78(5), pages 1529-1568, 09.
  27. Galichon, Alfred & Henry, Marc, 2009. "A test of non-identifying restrictions and confidence regions for partially identified parameters," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 152(2), pages 186-196, October.
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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Federico Bugni & Ivan Canay & Xiaoxia Shi, 2014. "Specification tests for partially identified models defined by moment inequalities," CeMMAP working papers CWP19/14, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  2. Donald W.K. Andrews & Xiaoxia Shi, 2011. "Nonparametric Inference Based on Conditional Moment Inequalities," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1840RR, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Oct 2013.
  3. Marc Henry & Ismael Mourifi�, 2012. "Sharp Bounds in the Binary Roy Model," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-835, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
  4. Federico Bugni & Ivan Canay & Xiaoxia Shi, 2014. "Inference for functions of partially identified parameters in moment inequality models," CeMMAP working papers CWP22/14, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  5. Jason R. Blevins, 2013. "Non-Standard Rates of Convergence of Criterion-Function-Based Set Estimators," Working Papers 13-02, Ohio State University, Department of Economics.
  6. Fan, Yanqin & Park, Sang Soo, 2014. "Nonparametric inference for counterfactual means: Bias-correction, confidence sets, and weak IV," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P1), pages 45-56.
  7. Victor Chernozhukov & Denis Chetverikov & Kengo Kato, 2013. "Testing many moment inequalities," CeMMAP working papers CWP65/13, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  8. Ismael MOURIFIÉ, 2013. "Sharp Bounds On Treatment Effects In A Binary Triangular System," Working Papers tecipa-498, University of Toronto, Department of Economics.
  9. Hiroaki Kaido, 2014. "Asymptotically efficient estimation of weighted average derivatives with an interval censored variable," CeMMAP working papers CWP03/14, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  10. Stephen G. Donald & Yu-Chin Hsu, 2012. "Estimation and Inference for Distribution Functions and Quantile Functions in Treatment Effect Models," IEAS Working Paper : academic research 12-A016, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan.
  11. Ying-Ying Lee, 2014. "Partial Mean Processes with Generated Regressors: Continuous Treatment Effects and Nonseparable Models," Economics Series Working Papers 706, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
  12. Sokbae 'Simon' Lee & Kyungchul Song & Yoon-Jae Whang, 2011. "Testing functional inequalities," CeMMAP working papers CWP12/11, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  13. Toru Kitagawa, 2013. "A bootstrap test for instrument validity in heterogeneous treatment effect models," CeMMAP working papers CWP53/13, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.

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