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Stock Market Volatility and Macroeconomic Fundamentals

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Predicting Stock Market Movements in the United States: The Role of Presidential Approval Ratings," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(1), pages 324-335, March.
  2. Fang, Libing & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Roubaud, David, 2019. "Does global economic uncertainty matter for the volatility and hedging effectiveness of Bitcoin?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 29-36.
  3. Saadaoui Mallek, Ray & Albaity, Mohamed & Molyneux, Philip, 2022. "Herding behaviour heterogeneity under economic and political risks: Evidence from GCC," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 345-361.
  4. Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose & Christopher Otrok & Eswar S. Prasad, 2020. "Global macro-financial cycles and spillovers," CAMA Working Papers 2020-12, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  5. Daniele Bianchi & Massimo Guidolin & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2018. "Dissecting the 2007–2009 Real Estate Market Bust: Systematic Pricing Correction or Just a Housing Fad?," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 16(1), pages 34-62.
  6. González, Mariano & Nave, Juan & Rubio, Gonzalo, 2018. "Macroeconomic determinants of stock market betas," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 26-44.
  7. Nagapetyan, Artur, 2019. "Precondition stock and stock indices volatility modeling based on market diversification potential: Evidence from Russian market," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 56, pages 45-61.
  8. Kim Christensen & Mathias Siggaard & Bezirgen Veliyev, 2021. "A machine learning approach to volatility forecasting," CREATES Research Papers 2021-03, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  9. Campbell, John Y. & Giglio, Stefano & Polk, Christopher & Turley, Robert, 2018. "An intertemporal CAPM with stochastic volatility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(2), pages 207-233.
  10. Kalkuhl, Matthias, 2014. "How Strong Do Global Commodity Prices Influence Domestic Food Prices? A Global Price Transmission Analysis," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 169798, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  11. Megaritis, Anastasios & Vlastakis, Nikolaos & Triantafyllou, Athanasios, 2021. "Stock market volatility and jumps in times of uncertainty," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
  12. Eichler, Stefan & Rövekamp, Ingmar, 2017. "Eurozone exit risk," CEPIE Working Papers 07/17, Technische Universität Dresden, Center of Public and International Economics (CEPIE).
  13. Tsiakas, Ilias & Zhang, Haibin, 2021. "Economic fundamentals and the long-run correlation between exchange rates and commodities," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
  14. Shang, Yuhuang & Liu, Lulu, 2017. "An extension of stochastic volatility model with mixed frequency information," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 144-148.
  15. Li, Dongxin & Zhang, Li & Li, Lihong, 2023. "Forecasting stock volatility with economic policy uncertainty: A smooth transition GARCH-MIDAS model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
  16. repec:eee:finlet:v:24:y:2018:i:c:p:56-63 is not listed on IDEAS
  17. Cristina Amado & Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Ter¨asvirta, 2018. "Models with Multiplicative Decomposition of Conditional Variances and Correlations," NIPE Working Papers 07/2018, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
  18. Xue Gong & Weiguo Zhang & Yuan Zhao & Xin Ye, 2023. "Forecasting stock volatility with a large set of predictors: A new forecast combination method," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1622-1647, November.
  19. Sa Xu & Ziqing Du & Hai Zhang, 2020. "Can Crude Oil Serve as a Hedging Asset for Underlying Securities?—Research on the Heterogenous Correlation between Crude Oil and Stock Index," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-19, June.
  20. Qifa Xu & Lu Chen & Cuixia Jiang & Yezheng Liu, 2022. "Forecasting expected shortfall and value at risk with a joint elicitable mixed data sampling model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(3), pages 407-421, April.
  21. Perego, Erica R. & Vermeulen, Wessel N., 2016. "Macro-economic determinants of European stock and government bond correlations: A tale of two regions," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 214-232.
  22. Dai, Zhifeng & Peng, Yongxin, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market sector time-varying spillover effect: Evidence from China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
  23. Hossein Asgharian & Charlotte Christiansen & Ai Jun Hou, 2017. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Long-Run Stock Market Volatility and Correlation," CREATES Research Papers 2018-12, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  24. Bevilacqua, Mattia & Morelli, David & Tunaru, Radu, 2019. "The determinants of the model-free positive and negative volatilities," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 1-24.
  25. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Investor Confidence and Forecastability of US Stock Market Realized Volatility: Evidence from Machine Learning," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(1), pages 111-122, January.
  26. Liu, Wei & Garrett, Ian, 2023. "Regime-dependent effects of macroeconomic uncertainty on realized volatility in the U.S. stock market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
  27. Seyedeh Fatemeh Razmi & Bahareh Ramezanian Bajgiran & Seyed Mohammad Javad Razmi & Kiana Baensaf Oroumieh, 2020. "The Effects of External Uncertainties against Monetary Policy Uncertainty on IRANIAN Stock Return Volatility Using GARCH-MIDAS Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(4), pages 278-281.
  28. Xinyu Wu & Xuebao Yin & Xueting Mei, 2022. "Forecasting the Volatility of European Union Allowance Futures with Climate Policy Uncertainty Using the EGARCH-MIDAS Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-13, April.
  29. Daniele Bianchi & Massimo Guidolin & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2018. "Dissecting the 2007–2009 Real Estate Market Bust: Systematic Pricing Correction or Just a Housing Fad?," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 16(1), pages 34-62.
  30. Gong, Yuting & Ma, Chao & Chen, Qiang, 2022. "Exchange rate dependence and economic fundamentals: A Copula-MIDAS approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
  31. Andreou, Elena, 2016. "On the use of high frequency measures of volatility in MIDAS regressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 11307, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  32. Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E., 2022. "The return volatility of cryptocurrencies during the COVID-19 pandemic: Assessing the news effect," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
  33. Rangan Gupta & Yuvana Jaichand & Christian Pierdzioch & Reneé van Eyden, 2023. "Realized Stock-Market Volatility of the United States and the Presidential Approval Rating," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(13), pages 1-27, July.
  34. Dai, Peng-Fei & Xiong, Xiong & Duc Huynh, Toan Luu & Wang, Jiqiang, 2022. "The impact of economic policy uncertainties on the volatility of European carbon market," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
  35. Lu Wang & Feng Ma & Guoshan Liu, 2020. "Forecasting stock volatility in the presence of extreme shocks: Short‐term and long‐term effects," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 797-810, August.
  36. Naimoli, Antonio & Storti, Giuseppe, 2019. "Heterogeneous component multiplicative error models for forecasting trading volumes," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1332-1355.
  37. Sujata Behera, 2020. "Does the EVA valuation model explain the market value of equity better under changing required return than constant required return?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 6(1), pages 1-23, December.
  38. Henryk Gurgul & Roland Mestel & Robert Syrek, 2017. "MIDAS models in banking sector – systemic risk comparison," Managerial Economics, AGH University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 18(2), pages 165-181.
  39. Yang Liu & Liyan Han & Libo Yin, 2018. "Does news uncertainty matter for commodity futures markets? Heterogeneity in energy and non‐energy sectors," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(10), pages 1246-1261, October.
  40. Frazier, David T. & Koo, Bonsoo, 2021. "Indirect inference for locally stationary models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 223(1), pages 1-27.
  41. Raza, Syed Ali & Masood, Amna & Benkraiem, Ramzi & Urom, Christian, 2023. "Forecasting the volatility of precious metals prices with global economic policy uncertainty in pre and during the COVID-19 period: Novel evidence from the GARCH-MIDAS approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
  42. Dai, Zhifeng & Zhou, Huiting & Wen, Fenghua & He, Shaoyi, 2020. "Efficient predictability of stock return volatility: The role of stock market implied volatility," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  43. Rondina, Giacomo & Shim, Myungkyu, 2015. "Financial prices and information acquisition in large Cournot markets," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 158(PB), pages 769-786.
  44. Qifa Xu & Liukai Wang & Cuixia Jiang & Fu Jia & Lujie Chen, 2022. "Tail dependence network of new energy vehicle industry in mainland China," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 315(1), pages 565-590, August.
  45. Daniele Massacci, 2017. "Tail Risk Dynamics in Stock Returns: Links to the Macroeconomy and Global Markets Connectedness," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 63(9), pages 3072-3089, September.
  46. Bastianin, Andrea & Manera, Matteo, 2018. "How Does Stock Market Volatility React To Oil Price Shocks?," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(3), pages 666-682, April.
  47. Andy Wui Wing Cheng & Iris Wing Han Yip, 2017. "China’s Macroeconomic Fundamentals on Stock Market Volatility: Evidence from Shanghai and Hong Kong," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(02), pages 1-57, June.
  48. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Bouri, Elie, 2023. "Testing the forecasting power of global economic conditions for the volatility of international REITs using a GARCH-MIDAS approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 303-314.
  49. Stanislav Anatolyev & Nikita Kobotaev, 2018. "Modeling and forecasting realized covariance matrices with accounting for leverage," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(2), pages 114-139, February.
  50. Opschoor, Anne & van Dijk, Dick & van der Wel, Michel, 2014. "Predicting volatility and correlations with Financial Conditions Indexes," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 435-447.
  51. Virbickaitė, Audronė & Nguyen, Hoang & Tran, Minh-Ngoc, 2023. "Bayesian predictive distributions of oil returns using mixed data sampling volatility models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
  52. Pan, Zhiyuan & Liu, Li, 2018. "Forecasting stock return volatility: A comparison between the roles of short-term and long-term leverage effects," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 492(C), pages 168-180.
  53. Nguyen, Hoang & Javed, Farrukh, 2023. "Dynamic relationship between Stock and Bond returns: A GAS MIDAS copula approach," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 272-292.
  54. Sumudu W. Watugala, 2015. "Economic Uncertainty and Commodity Futures Volatility," Working Papers 15-14, Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury.
  55. Mei, Dexiang & Zeng, Qing & Cao, Xiang & Diao, Xiaohua, 2019. "Uncertainty and oil volatility: New evidence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 525(C), pages 155-163.
  56. Virk, Nader & Javed, Farrukh, 2017. "European equity market integration and joint relationship of conditional volatility and correlations," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 53-77.
  57. Dimitrios I. Vortelinos & Konstantinos Gkillas, 2018. "Intraday realised volatility forecasting and announcements," International Journal of Banking, Accounting and Finance, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 9(1), pages 88-118.
  58. Nonejad, Nima, 2022. "An interesting finding about the ability of geopolitical risk to forecast aggregate equity return volatility out-of-sample," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
  59. Afees A. Salisu & Wenting Liao & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni, 2023. "Economic Conditions and Predictability of US Stock Returns Volatility: Local Factor versus National Factor in a GARCH-MIDAS Model," Working Papers 202323, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  60. Mittnik, Stefan & Robinzonov, Nikolay & Spindler, Martin, 2015. "Stock market volatility: Identifying major drivers and the nature of their impact," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 1-14.
  61. Raúl de Jesús Gutiérrez & Edgar Ortiz & Oswaldo García Salgado, 2017. "Long-term effects of the asymmetry and persistence of the prediction of volatility: Evidence for the equity markets of Latin America," Contaduría y Administración, Accounting and Management, vol. 62(4), pages 1081-1099, Octubre-D.
  62. Nonejad, Nima, 2017. "Forecasting aggregate stock market volatility using financial and macroeconomic predictors: Which models forecast best, when and why?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 131-154.
  63. David T. Frazier & Bonsoo Koo, 2020. "Indirect Inference for Locally Stationary Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 30/20, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  64. Ralf Becker & Adam Clements & Robert O'Neill, 2018. "A Multivariate Kernel Approach to Forecasting the Variance Covariance of Stock Market Returns," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-27, February.
  65. Liu, Tao & Guan, Xinyue & Wei, Yigang & Xue, Shan & Xu, Liang, 2023. "Impact of economic policy uncertainty on the volatility of China's emission trading scheme pilots," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
  66. Wei, Yu & Wang, Yizhi & Lucey, Brian M. & Vigne, Samuel A., 2023. "Cryptocurrency uncertainty and volatility forecasting of precious metal futures markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
  67. Selmi, Refk & Bouoiyour, Jamal, 2020. "Arab geopolitics in turmoil: Implications of Qatar-Gulf crisis for business," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 100-119.
  68. Brümmer, Bernhard, 2021. "Preisvolatilität auf Agrarmärkten," IAMO Discussion Papers 310089, Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies (IAMO).
  69. Matteo Prata & Giuseppe Masi & Leonardo Berti & Viviana Arrigoni & Andrea Coletta & Irene Cannistraci & Svitlana Vyetrenko & Paola Velardi & Novella Bartolini, 2023. "LOB-Based Deep Learning Models for Stock Price Trend Prediction: A Benchmark Study," Papers 2308.01915, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
  70. Mei, Dexiang & Zhao, Chenchen & Luo, Qin & Li, Yan, 2022. "Forecasting the Chinese low-carbon index volatility," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
  71. Barigozzi, Matteo & Brownlees, Christian & Gallo, Giampiero M. & Veredas, David, 2014. "Disentangling systematic and idiosyncratic dynamics in panels of volatility measures," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 182(2), pages 364-384.
  72. Peter Malec, 2016. "A Semiparametric Intraday GARCH Model," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1633, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  73. Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
    • Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
  74. Maojun Zhang & Yang Zhao & Jiangxia Nan, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and volatility of treasury futures," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 93-107, April.
  75. Yu, Jize & Zhang, Li & Peng, Lijuan & Wu, Rui, 2023. "Which component of air quality index drives stock price volatility in China: a decomposition-based forecasting method," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
  76. Hong, Yanran & Li, Pan & Wang, Lu & Zhang, Yaojie, 2023. "New evidence of extreme risk transmission between financial stress and international crude oil markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  77. Bai, Lan & Wei, Yu & Wei, Guiwu & Li, Xiafei & Zhang, Songyun, 2021. "Infectious disease pandemic and permanent volatility of international stock markets: A long-term perspective," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
  78. Huang, Junbo & Tian, Huiting & Shen, Weibing, 2023. "Characteristics and mechanisms of the U.S. stock market spillover effects on the Chinese A-share market: Evidence from 6 A-share broad-based and 31 sector indices," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
  79. Alessandra Amendola & Marinella Boccia & Vincenzo Candila & Giampiero M. Gallo, 2020. "Energy and non–energy Commodities: Spillover Effects on African Stock Markets," Journal of Statistical and Econometric Methods, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 9(4), pages 1-7.
  80. Yaya, OlaOluwa S. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Adesina, Oluwaseun A. & Alobaloke, Kafayat A. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "Time-variation between metal commodities and oil, and the impact of oil shocks: GARCH-MIDAS and DCC-MIDAS analyses," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  81. Liang, Chao & Xia, Zhenglan & Lai, Xiaodong & Wang, Lu, 2022. "Natural gas volatility prediction: Fresh evidence from extreme weather and extended GARCH-MIDAS-ES model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
  82. Bucci, Andrea & Palomba, Giulio & Rossi, Eduardo, 2023. "The role of uncertainty in forecasting volatility comovements across stock markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
  83. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2020. "Forecasting Oil Volatility Using a GARCH-MIDAS Approach: The Role of Global Economic Conditions," Working Papers 202051, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  84. Vincenzo Candila & Salvatore Farace, 2018. "On the Volatility Spillover between Agricultural Commodities and Latin American Stock Markets," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-16, October.
  85. Fang, Libing & Yu, Honghai & Xiao, Wen, 2018. "Forecasting gold futures market volatility using macroeconomic variables in the United States," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 249-259.
  86. Vincenzo Candila & Giampiero M. Gallo & Lea Petrella, 2020. "Mixed--frequency quantile regressions to forecast Value--at--Risk and Expected Shortfall," Papers 2011.00552, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2023.
  87. Alessandra Amendola & Vincenzo Candila & Antonio Scognamillo, 2017. "On the influence of US monetary policy on crude oil price volatility," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 52(1), pages 155-178, February.
  88. Cagliesi, Gabriella & Guidi, Francesco, 2021. "A three-tiered nested analytical approach to financial integration: The case of emerging and frontier equity markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  89. Zhu, Sha & Liu, Qiuhong & Wang, Yan & Wei, Yu & Wei, Guiwu, 2019. "Which fear index matters for predicting US stock market volatilities: Text-counts or option based measurement?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 536(C).
  90. Ruobing Liu & Jianhui Yang & Chuan-Yang Ruan, 2019. "The Impact of Macroeconomic News on Chinese Futures," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-14, October.
  91. Badescu, Alexandru & Quaye, Enoch & Tunaru, Radu, 2022. "On non-negative equity guarantee calculations with macroeconomic variables related to house prices," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 119-138.
  92. Chao Liang & Yaojie Zhang & Xiafei Li & Feng Ma, 2022. "Which predictor is more predictive for Bitcoin volatility? And why?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 1947-1961, April.
  93. Akyildirim, Erdinc & Corbet, Shaen & Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Sensoy, Ahmet, 2020. "Regulatory changes and long-run relationships of the EMU sovereign debt markets: Implications for future policy framework," International Review of Law and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
  94. Dinghai Xu, 2021. "A study on volatility spurious almost integration effect: A threshold realized GARCH approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 4104-4126, July.
  95. Ma, Feng & Lu, Xinjie & Liu, Jia & Huang, Dengshi, 2022. "Macroeconomic attention and stock market return predictability," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  96. Bernard Ben Sita, 2019. "Crude oil and gasoline volatility risk into a Realized-EGARCH model," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 53(3), pages 701-720, October.
  97. Deng, Yongheng & Girardin, Eric & Joyeux, Roselyne, 2018. "Fundamentals and the volatility of real estate prices in China: A sequential modelling strategy," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 205-222.
  98. Liu, Zhenhua & Zhang, Huiying & Ding, Zhihua & Lv, Tao & Wang, Xu & Wang, Deqing, 2022. "When are the effects of economic policy uncertainty on oil–stock correlations larger? Evidence from a regime-switching analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
  99. Wangfang Xu & Wenjia Rao & Longbao Wei & Qianqian Wang, 2023. "A Normalized Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Index from Unsupervised Machine Learning," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(15), pages 1-10, July.
  100. Elena Andreou, 2016. "On the use of high frequency measures of volatility in MIDAS regressions," University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics 03-2016, University of Cyprus Department of Economics.
  101. Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Selmi, Refk & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Does partisan conflict predict a reduction in US stock market (realized) volatility? Evidence from a quantile-on-quantile regression model☆," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 87-96.
  102. Bertelsen, Kristoffer Pons & Borup, Daniel & Jakobsen, Johan Stax, 2021. "Stock market volatility and public information flow: A non-linear perspective," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
  103. Huabin Bian & Renhai Hua & Qingfu Liu & Ping Zhang, 2022. "Petroleum market volatility tracker in China," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(11), pages 2022-2040, November.
  104. repec:awi:wpaper:0574 is not listed on IDEAS
  105. Wang, Lu & Ma, Feng & Liu, Jing & Yang, Lin, 2020. "Forecasting stock price volatility: New evidence from the GARCH-MIDAS model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 684-694.
  106. repec:awi:wpaper:0613 is not listed on IDEAS
  107. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2022. "A moving average heterogeneous autoregressive model for forecasting the realized volatility of the US stock market: Evidence from over a century of data," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 384-400, January.
  108. Ayinde, Taofeek O. & Olaniran, Abeeb O. & Abolade, Onomeabure C. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula Ephraim, 2023. "Technology shocks - Gold market connection: Is the effect episodic to business cycle behaviour?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
  109. Christian Conrad & Robert F. Engle, 2021. "Modelling Volatility Cycles: The (MF)2 GARCH Model," Working Paper series 21-05, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
  110. Duc Khuong Nguyen & Thomas Walther, 2020. "Modeling and forecasting commodity market volatility with long‐term economic and financial variables," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 126-142, March.
  111. Faris Alshubiri, 2021. "Portfolio Returns of Islamic Indices and Stock Prices in GCC Countries: Empirical Evidence From the ARDL Model," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(2), pages 21582440211, May.
  112. O-Chia Chuang & Chenxu Yang, 2022. "Identifying the Determinants of Crude Oil Market Volatility by the Multivariate GARCH-MIDAS Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-14, April.
  113. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Demirer, Riza, 2022. "Global financial cycle and the predictability of oil market volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
  114. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2018. "Forecasting Stock Market (Realized) Volatility in the United Kingdom: Is There a Role for Economic Inequality?," Working Papers 201880, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  115. Fang, Libing & Yu, Honghai & Li, Lei, 2017. "The effect of economic policy uncertainty on the long-term correlation between U.S. stock and bond markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 139-145.
  116. Ye, Wuyi & Jiang, Kunliang & Liu, Xiaoquan, 2021. "Financial contagion and the TIR-MIDAS model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
  117. Bekaert, Geert & Engstrom, Eric & Ermolov, Andrey, 2021. "Macro risks and the term structure of interest rates," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 479-504.
  118. B M, Lithin & chakraborty, Suman & iyer, Vishwanathan & M N, Nikhil & ledwani, Sanket, 2022. "Modeling asymmetric sovereign bond yield volatility with univariate GARCH models: Evidence from India," MPRA Paper 117067, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Jan 2023.
  119. Ye, Wuyi & Guo, Ranran & Deschamps, Bruno & Jiang, Ying & Liu, Xiaoquan, 2021. "Macroeconomic forecasts and commodity futures volatility," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 981-994.
  120. Proietti, Tommaso, 2014. "Exponential Smoothing, Long Memory and Volatility Prediction," MPRA Paper 57230, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  121. Laura Nowzohour & Livio Stracca, 2020. "More Than A Feeling: Confidence, Uncertainty, And Macroeconomic Fluctuations," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(4), pages 691-726, September.
  122. Wu, Xinyu & Zhao, An & Cheng, Tengfei, 2023. "A Real-Time GARCH-MIDAS model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
  123. Salisu, Afees A. & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Out-of-sample predictability of gold market volatility: The role of US Nonfarm Payroll," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 482-488.
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