Selection of estimation window in the presence of breaks

Citations

Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:

1. Forecasting GDP in the presence of breaks: when is the past is a good guide to the future?
   by bankunderground in Bank Underground on 2015-08-20 11:30:00
2. Forecasting GDP in the presence of breaks: when is the past a good guide to the future?
   by Guest Author in The Big Picture on 2015-09-01 14:00:11

Citations

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Cited by:

1. Wang, Yudong & Hao, Xianfeng, 2023. "Forecasting the real prices of crude oil: What is the role of parameter instability?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
2. Konstantakis, Konstantinos N. & Michaelides, Panayotis G. & Mariolis, Theodore, 2018. "A non-linear post-Keynesian Goodwin-type endogenous model of the cycle for the USA," MPRA Paper 90036, University Library of Munich, Germany.
3. repec:isu:genstf:201501010800005727 is not listed on IDEAS
4. Delle Monache, Davide & Petrella, Ivan, 2017. "Adaptive models and heavy tails with an application to inflation forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 482-501.
   • Delle Monache, Davide & Petrella, Ivan, 2016. "Adaptive models and heavy tails with an application to inflation forecasting," MPRA Paper 75424, University Library of Munich, Germany.
   • Davide Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella, 2016. "Adaptive models and heavy tails with an application to inflation forecasting," BCAM Working Papers 1603, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
5. Chen, Guojin & Liu, Yanzhen & Zhang, Yu, 2020. "Can systemic risk measures predict economic shocks? Evidence from China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
6. Massacci, Daniele & Kapetanios, George, 2024. "Forecasting in factor augmented regressions under structural change," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 62-76.
7. Hasanov, Akram Shavkatovich & Burkhanov, Aktam Usmanovich & Usmonov, Bunyod & Khajimuratov, Nizomjon Shukurullaevich & Khurramova, Madina Mansur qizi, 2024. "The role of sudden variance shifts in predicting volatility in bioenergy crop markets under structural breaks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
8. Xiu Xu & Andrija Mihoci & Wolfgang Karl Hardle, 2020. "lCARE -- localizing Conditional AutoRegressive Expectiles," Papers 2009.13215, arXiv.org.
9. Hansen, Bruce E., 2010. "Averaging estimators for autoregressions with a near unit root," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 158(1), pages 142-155, September.
10. Giovannelli, Alessandro & Massacci, Daniele & Soccorsi, Stefano, 2021. "Forecasting stock returns with large dimensional factor models," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 252-269.
    • Alessandro Giovannelli & Daniele Massacci & Stefano Soccorsi, 2020. "Forecasting Stock Returns with Large Dimensional Factor Models," Working Papers 305661169, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
11. Do, Linh Phuong Catherine & Lin, Kuan-Heng & Molnár, Peter, 2016. "Electricity consumption modelling: A case of Germany," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 92-101.
12. Edda Claus, 2011. "Seven Leading Indexes of New Zealand Employment," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 87(276), pages 76-89, March.
13. Marta Boczon, 2018. "Balanced Growth Approach to Forecasting Recessions," Working Paper 6487, Department of Economics, University of Pittsburgh.
14. Jing Tian & Heather M. Anderson, 2011. "Forecasting Under Strucural Break Uncertainty," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 8/11, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
15. David E. Rapach & Jack K. Strauss, 2008. "Structural breaks and GARCH models of exchange rate volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(1), pages 65-90.
16. Andersen, Torben G. & Varneskov, Rasmus T., 2022. "Testing for parameter instability and structural change in persistent predictive regressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 361-386.
    • Torben G. Andersen & Rasmus T. Varneskov, 2021. "Testing for Parameter Instability and Structural Change in Persistent Predictive Regressions," NBER Working Papers 28570, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
17. Erhard Reschenhofer, 2010. "Forecasting volatility: double averaging and weighted medians," International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 1(3/4), pages 317-326.
18. João F. Caldeira & Guilherme V. Moura & Francisco J. Nogales & André A. P. Santos, 2017. "Combining Multivariate Volatility Forecasts: An Economic-Based Approach," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 15(2), pages 247-285.
19. Cho, Haeran & Korkas, Karolos K., 2022. "High-dimensional GARCH process segmentation with an application to Value-at-Risk," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 187-203.
20. Luca Nocciola, 2022. "Finite Sample Forecast Properties and Window Length Under Breaks in Cointegrated Systems," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of M. Hashem Pesaran: Prediction and Macro Modeling, volume 43, pages 167-196, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    • Luca Nocciola, "undated". "Finite sample forecast properties and window length under breaks in cointegrated systems," Discussion Papers 19/07, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
21. Tom Boot & Andreas Pick, 2017. "A near optimal test for structural breaks when forecasting under square error loss," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 17-039/III, Tinbergen Institute.
22. Tahir, Suleiman & Adegbite, Emmanuel & Guney, Yilmaz, 2017. "An international examination of the economic effectiveness of banking recapitalization," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 417-434.
23. Dalibor Stevanovic, 2026. "Who Saw It Coming? Historical Experienceand the 2021 Inflation Forecast Failure," Working Papers 26-02, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management.
24. Ma, Feng & Guo, Yangli & Luo, Qin & Zhong, Juandan, 2025. "Forecasting corporate bond returns amid climate change risk: A dynamic forecast combination approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
25. Karolina Konopczak & Aleksander Łożykowski, 2021. "Efekt fiskalny uszczelniania systemu podatkowego w Polsce: próba oszacowania w zakresie podatku CIT," Ekonomista, Polskie Towarzystwo Ekonomiczne, issue 1, pages 25-55.
26. Salisu, Afees A. & Adekunle, Wasiu & Alimi, Wasiu A. & Emmanuel, Zachariah, 2019. "Predicting exchange rate with commodity prices: New evidence from Westerlund and Narayan (2015) estimator with structural breaks and asymmetries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 33-56.
27. Hendry, David F. & Mizon, Grayham E., 2014. "Unpredictability in economic analysis, econometric modeling and forecasting," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 182(1), pages 186-195.
    • Nolte, Stephan & Grethe, Harald, 2008. "Der Markt für Zucker," German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics, vol. 57(1).
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    • Thomas Grebel & Andreas Pyka & Horst Hanusch, 2003. "An Evolutionary Approach to the Theory of Entrepreneurship," Industry and Innovation, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(4), pages 493-514.
    • Friebel, Guido & Schnedler, Wendelin, 2011. "Team governance: Empowerment or hierarchical control," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 78(1-2), pages 1-13, April.
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    • Brañas-Garza, Pablo & Espinosa, María Paz & Rey-Biel, Pedro, 2011. "Travelers’ types," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 78(1), pages 25-36.
    • J. Galí & D. López-Salido & J. Vallés, 2003. "Understanding the effects of government spending on consumption," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    • Jordi Galí & Luca Gambetti, 2013. "The Effects of Monetary Policy on Stock Market Bubbles: Some Evidence," NBER Chapters, in: Lessons from the Financial Crisis for Monetary Policy National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Alison Booth & Melvyn Coles, 2010. "Education, Matching, and the Allocative Value of Romance," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 8(4), pages 744-775, 06.
    • Olivier Jean Blanchard & Jordi Galí, 2005. "Real wage rigidities and the New Keynesian model," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    • Jordi Galí & Frank Smets & Rafael Wouters, 2011. "Unemployment in an Estimated New Keynesian Model," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2011, Volume 26, pages 329-360 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Broner, Fernando & Gelos, Gaston & Reinhart, Carmen, 2004. "When in peril, retrench: testing the portfolio channel of contagion," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Jun, pages 1-34.
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    • Klaus Wohlrabe, 2012. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2012 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(12), pages 55-57, 06.
    • Klaus Wohlrabe, 2012. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2012 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(15), pages 67-69, 08.
    • Klaus Wohlrabe, 2012. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2012 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(12), pages 55-57, 06.
    • Klaus Abberger, 2010. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2010 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(14), pages 44-46, 07.
    • Klaus Abberger, 2010. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2010 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(12), pages 69-71, 06.
    • Klaus Abberger, 2010. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2010 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(14), pages 44-46, 07.
    • Klaus Abberger, 2010. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2010 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(12), pages 69-71, 06.
    • Klaus Abberger, 2008. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2008 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 61(14), pages 46-48, 07.
    • Klaus Abberger, 2008. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2008 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 61(12), pages 61-63, 06.
    • Gernot Nerb & Anna Stangl, 2008. "ifo Indikator für das Weltwirtschaftsklima weiter gesunken," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 61(23), pages 53-61, December.
    • Klaus Abberger, 2008. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2008 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 61(14), pages 46-48, 07.
    • Klaus Abberger, 2008. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2008 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 61(12), pages 61-63, 06.
    • Gernot Nerb & Anna Stangl, 2008. "ifo Indikator für das Weltwirtschaftsklima weiter gesunken," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 61(10), pages 44-53, 05.
    • Gernot Nerb & Anna Stangl, 2008. "ifo Indikator für das Weltwirtschaftsklima weiter gesunken," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 61(16), pages 35-42, 08.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2004. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2004 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(14), pages 28-29, 07.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2006. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2006 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(15), pages 41-42, 08.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2005. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2005 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(15), pages 52-53, 08.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2003. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2003 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(15), pages 40-41, 08.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2003. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2003 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(12), pages 42-43, 06.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2002. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2002 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 55(13), pages 44-45, 07.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2004. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2004 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(12), pages 55-56, 06.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2005. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2005 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(13), pages 49-50, 07.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2006. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2006 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(12), pages 55-56, 06.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2004. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2004 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(14), pages 28-29, 07.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2003. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2003 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(15), pages 40-41, 08.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2005. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2005 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(15), pages 52-53, 08.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2006. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2006 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(15), pages 41-42, 08.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2002. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2002 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 55(13), pages 44-45, 07.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2003. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2003 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(12), pages 42-43, 06.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2005. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2005 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(13), pages 49-50, 07.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2006. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2006 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(12), pages 55-56, 06.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2004. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2004 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(12), pages 55-56, 06.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2003. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2003 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(15), pages 40-41, 08.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2005. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2005 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(15), pages 52-53, 08.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2004. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2004 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(14), pages 28-29, 07.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2006. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2006 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(15), pages 41-42, 08.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2004. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2004 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(12), pages 55-56, 06.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2006. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2006 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(12), pages 55-56, 06.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2005. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2005 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(13), pages 49-50, 07.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2002. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2002 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 55(13), pages 44-45, 07.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2003. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2003 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(12), pages 42-43, 06.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2003. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2003 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(15), pages 40-41, 08.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2005. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2005 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(15), pages 52-53, 08.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2004. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2004 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(14), pages 28-29, 07.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2006. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2006 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(15), pages 41-42, 08.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2002. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2002 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 55(13), pages 44-45, 07.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2003. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2003 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(12), pages 42-43, 06.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2005. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2005 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(13), pages 49-50, 07.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2004. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2004 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(12), pages 55-56, 06.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2006. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2006 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(12), pages 55-56, 06.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2003. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2003 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(15), pages 40-41, 08.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2005. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2005 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(15), pages 52-53, 08.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2004. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2004 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(14), pages 28-29, 07.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2006. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2006 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(15), pages 41-42, 08.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2004. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2004 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(12), pages 55-56, 06.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2006. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2006 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(12), pages 55-56, 06.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2005. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2005 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(13), pages 49-50, 07.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2003. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2003 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(12), pages 42-43, 06.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2002. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2002 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 55(13), pages 44-45, 07.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2004. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2004 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(14), pages 28-29, 07.
    • Hans G. Russ, 2006. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2006 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(15), pages 41-42, 08.
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