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Citations for "Dividend Yields and Expected Stock Returns: Alternative Procedures for Inference and Measurement" by Hodrick, Robert J
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Cited by (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.): Lettau, Martin & Ludvigson, Sydney, 2001.
"Understanding Trend and Cycle in Asset Values: Bulls, Bears and the Wealth Effect on Consumption ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
3104, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Mark E. Wohar & David E. Rapach, 2005.
"Return Predictability and the Implied Intertemporal Hedging Demands for Stocks and Bonds: International Evidence ,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2005
329, Society for Computational Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Cheolbeom Park, 2006.
"The Persistence and Predictive Power of the Dividend-Price Ratio ,"
Departmental Working Papers
wp0603, National University of Singapore, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Kilian, Lutz, 1999.
"Exchange Rates and Monetary Fundamentals: What Do We Learn from Long-Horizon Regressions? ,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(5), pages 491-510, Sept.-Oct.
[Downloadable!]
Eduardo Walker, 1998.
"Mercado Accionario y Crecimiento Económico en Chile ,"
Cuadernos de Economía (Latin American Journal of Economics) ,
Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 35(104), pages 49-72.
[Downloadable!]
Kurz, Mordecai & Motolese, Maurizio, 2006.
"Risk Premia, diverse belief and beauty contests ,"
MPRA Paper
247, University Library of Munich, Germany.
[Downloadable!]
Sean D. Campbell & Francis X. Diebold, 2005.
"Stock Returns and Expected Business Conditions: Half a Century of Direct Evidence ,"
PIER Working Paper Archive
05-025, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, revised 16 Sep 2005.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Sean D. Campbell & Francis X. Diebold, 2005.
"Stock Returns and Expected Business Conditions: Half a Century of Direct Evidence ,"
NBER Working Papers
11736, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Sean D. Campbell & Francis X. Diebold, 2005.
"Stock Returns and Expected Business Conditions: Half a Century of Direct Evidence ,"
CFS Working Paper Series
2005/22, Center for Financial Studies.
[Downloadable!] Campbell, Sean D. & Diebold, Francis X., 2009.
"Stock Returns and Expected Business Conditions: Half a Century of Direct Evidence ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 27(2), pages 266-278.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Frank Diebold & Sean Campbell, 2005.
"Stock returns and expected business conditions: half a century of direct evidence ,"
Proceedings ,
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!] David Backus & Silverio Foresi & Abon Mozumdar & Liuren Wu, 1998.
"Predictable Changes in Yields and Forward Rates ,"
NBER Working Papers
6379, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Backus, David & Foresi, Silverio & Mozumdar, Abon & Wu, Liuren, 2001.
"Predictable changes in yields and forward rates ,"
Journal of Financial Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 59(3), pages 281-311, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Lewellen, Jonathan, 2003.
"Predicting Returns With Financial Ratios ,"
Working papers
4374-02, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Sloan School of Management.
[Downloadable!]
J. Annaert & W. Van Hyfte, 2006.
"Long-Horizon Mean Reversion for the Brussels Stock Exchange: Evidence for the 19th Century ,"
Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium
06/376, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
[Downloadable!]
Borja Larrain & Motohiro Yogo, 2007.
"Does Firm Value Move Too Much to be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Cash Flow? ,"
NBER Working Papers
12847, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Borja Larrain & Motohiro Yogo, 2005.
"Does firm value move too much to be justified by subsequent changes in cash flow? ,"
Working Papers
05-18, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
[Downloadable!] Larrain, Borja & Yogo, Motohiro, 2008.
"Does firm value move too much to be justified by subsequent changes in cash flow ,"
Journal of Financial Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 200-226, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Marquering, W. & Verbeek, M., 2000.
"The economic value of predicting stock index returns and volatility ,"
Discussion Paper
78, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
[Downloadable!]
Anne Vila Wetherilt & Simon Wells, .
"Long-horizon equity return predictability: some new evidence for the United Kingdom ,"
Bank of England working papers
244, Bank of England.
[Downloadable!]
Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas & Hélène Rey, 2005.
"International financial adjustment ,"
Proceedings ,
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas & Hélène Rey, 2005.
"International Financial Adjustment ,"
International Finance
0505004, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!] Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas & Hélène Rey, 2005.
"International Financial Adjustment ,"
Center for International and Development Economics Research, Working Paper Series
1057, Center for International and Development Economics Research, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
[Downloadable!] Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas & Helene Rey, 2005.
"International Financial Adjustment ,"
NBER Working Papers
11155, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Gourinchas, Pierre-Olivier & Rey, Hélène, 2005.
"International Financial Adjustment ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4923, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Helene Rey & Pierre Olivier Gourinchas, 2005.
"International Financial Adjustment ,"
2005 Meeting Papers
169, Society for Economic Dynamics.
[Downloadable!] Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas & Hélène Rey, 2007.
"International Financial Adjustment ,"
Journal of Political Economy ,
University of Chicago Press, vol. 115(4), pages 665-703, 08.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Jurek, Jakub W & Viceira, Luis M, 2006.
"Optimal Value and Growth Tilts in Long-Horizon Portfolios ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
5773, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Marco Bonomo & René Garcia, 1994.
"Disappointment Aversion as a Solution to the Equity Premium and the Risk-Free Rate Puzzles ,"
CIRANO Working Papers
94s-14, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Dennis R. Capozza & Paul J. Seguin, 1995.
"Expectations, Efficiency, and Euphoria in the Housing Market ,"
NBER Working Papers
5179, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Capozza, Dennis R. & Seguin, Paul J., 1996.
"Expectations, efficiency, and euphoria in the housing market ,"
Regional Science and Urban Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 26(3-4), pages 369-386, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Bruno Solnik, 1991.
"Finance Theory and Investment Management ,"
Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES) ,
Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 127(III), pages 303-324, September.
[Downloadable!]
Wan Mahmood, Wan Mansor & Abdul Fatah, Faizatul Syuhada, 2007.
"Multivariate Causal Estimates of Dividend Yields, Price Earning Ratio and Expected Stock Returns: Experience from Malaysia ,"
MPRA Paper
14614, University Library of Munich, Germany.
[Downloadable!]
Erdenebat Bataa & Dong H. Kim & Denise R. Osborn, 2006.
"A Further Examination of the Expectations Hypothesis for the Term Structure ,"
The School of Economics Discussion Paper Series
0611, Economics, The University of Manchester.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Ravi Jagannathan & Narayana R. Kocherlakota, 1996.
"Why should older people invest less in stock than younger people? ,"
Quarterly Review ,
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, issue Sum, pages 11-23.
[Downloadable!]
Andrew Ang & Angela Maddaloni, 2003.
"Do Demographic Changes Affect Risk Premiums? Evidence from International Data ,"
NBER Working Papers
9677, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Stig V. Møller, 2007.
"Habit persistence: Explaining cross sectional variation in returns and time-varying expected returns ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-07, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!]
GONÇALVES, Sílvia & KILIAN, Lutz, 2003.
"Bootstrapping Autoregressions with Conditional Heteroskedasticity of Unknown Form ,"
Cahiers de recherche
01-2003, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
GONÇALVES, Silvia & KILIAN, Lutz, 2003.
"Bootstrapping Autoregressions with Conditional Heteroskedasticity of Unknown Form ,"
Cahiers de recherche
2003-01, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
[Downloadable!] Lutz Kilian & Silvia Goncalves, 2002.
"Bootstrapping autoregressions with conditional heteroskedasticity of unknown form ,"
Working Paper Series
196, European Central Bank.
[Downloadable!] Kilian, Lutz & Gonçalves, SÃlvia, 2002.
"Bootstrapping Autoregressions with Conditional Heteroskedasticity of Unknown Form ,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2002,26, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
[Downloadable!] Sílvia Gonçalves & Lutz Kilian, 2003.
"Bootstrapping Autoregressions with Conditional Heteroskedasticity of Unknown Form ,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2003s-17, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!] Goncalves, Silvia & Kilian, Lutz, 2004.
"Bootstrapping autoregressions with conditional heteroskedasticity of unknown form ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 123(1), pages 89-120, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Nelson C. Mark & Donggyu Sul, 2004.
"The Use of Predictive Regressions at Alternative Horizons in Finance and Economics ,"
Finance
0409032, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Todd E. Clark & Kenneth D. West, 2004.
"Using out-of-sample mean squared prediction errors to test the Martingale difference hypothesis ,"
Research Working Paper
RWP 04-03, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Patrick J. Coe & James M. Nason, 2004.
"Long-run monetary neutrality and long-horizon regressions ,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(3), pages 355-373.
[Downloadable!]
Charlotte S. Hansen & Bjorn E. Tuypens, 2004.
"Long-Run Regressions: Theory and Application to US Asset Markets ,"
Finance
0410018, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
Diez de los Rios, Antonio & Sentana, Enrique, 2007.
"Testing Uncovered Interest Parity: A Continuous-Time Approach ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
6516, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Jon Faust & Jonathan H. Wright, 2008.
"Efficient Prediction of Excess Returns ,"
NBER Working Papers
14169, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Hjalmarsson, Erik, 2005.
"On the Predictability of Global Stock Returns ,"
Working Papers in Economics
161, Göteborg University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Min Hwang & John Quigley, 2006.
"Economic Fundamentals in Local Housing Markets: Evidence from U.S. Metropolitan Regions ,"
Berkeley Program on Housing and Urban Policy, Working Paper Series
1050, Berkeley Program on Housing and Urban Policy.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Christopher Neely & Paul Weller, 1999.
"Predictability in international asset returns: a reexamination ,"
Working Papers
1997-010, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Paul Weller & Christopher Neely, 1999.
"Predictability in International Asset Returns: A Re-examination ,"
Working Papers
wp99-03, Warwick Business School, Financial Econometrics Research Centre.
[Downloadable!] Neely, Christopher J. & Weller, Paul, 2000.
"Predictability in International Asset Returns: A Reexamination ,"
Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis ,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 35(04), pages 601-620, December.
[Downloadable!] Enrique Sentana, 1993.
"The econometrics of the stock market I: rationality tests ,"
Investigaciones Economicas ,
Fundación SEPI, vol. 17(3), pages 401-420, September.
[Downloadable!]
Li, Qing & Vassalou, Maria & Xing, Yuhang, 2001.
"An Investment-Growth Asset Pricing Model ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
3058, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Yakov Amihud & Clifford Hurvich, 2004.
"Predictive Regressions: A Reduced-Bias Estimation Method ,"
Econometrics
0412008, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Alex Maynard & Katsumi Shimotsu, 2007.
"Covariance-based orthogonality tests for regressors with unknown persistence ,"
Working Papers
1122, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Katsumi Shimotsu & Alex Maynard, 2004.
"Covariance-based orthogonality tests for regressors with unknown persistence ,"
Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings
518, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!] Katsumi Shimotsu & Alex Maynard, 2004.
"Covariance-based orthogonality tests for regressors with unknown persistence ,"
Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings
536, Econometric Society.
Maynard, Alex & Shimotsu, Katsumi, 2009.
"Covariance-Based Orthogonality Tests For Regressors With Unknown Persistence ,"
Econometric Theory ,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(01), pages 63-116, February.
[Downloadable!] Erik Hjalmarsson, 2008.
"Interpreting long-horizon estimates in predictive regressions ,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
928, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!]
Tim Bollerslev & Robert J. Hodrick, 1992.
"Financial Market Efficiency Tests ,"
NBER Working Papers
4108, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2001.
"Evaluating long-horizon forecasts ,"
Research Working Paper
RWP 01-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
[Downloadable!]
John Y. Campbell & Yeung Lewis Chan & Luis M. Viceira, 2001.
"A Multivariate Model of Strategic Asset Allocation ,"
NBER Working Papers
8566, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Campbell, John Y & Chan, Yeung Lewis & Viceira, Luis M, 2001.
"A Multivariate Model of Strategic Asset Allocation ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
3070, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Campbell, John Y. & Chan, Yeung Lewis & Viceira, Luis M., 2003.
"A multivariate model of strategic asset allocation ,"
Journal of Financial Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 67(1), pages 41-80, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Jessica Wachter, 2008.
"Can Time-Varying Risk of Rare Disasters Explain Aggregate Stock Market Volatility? ,"
NBER Working Papers
14386, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Christopher Polk & Samuel Thompson & Tuomo Vuolteenaho, 2004.
"New Forecasts of the Equity Premium ,"
NBER Working Papers
10406, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Ravi Bansal & Varoujan Khatachtrian & Amir Yaron, 2002.
"Interpretable Asset Markets? ,"
NBER Working Papers
9383, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Ravi Bansal & Varoujan Khatchatrian & Amir Yaron, 2004.
"Interpretable Asset Markets? ,"
2004 Meeting Papers
136b, Society for Economic Dynamics.
[Downloadable!] Bansal, Ravi & Khatchatrian, Varoujan & Yaron, Amir, 2005.
"Interpretable asset markets? ,"
European Economic Review ,
Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 531-560, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) John Y. Campbell & Luis Viceira, 2005.
"The Term Structure of the Risk-Return Tradeoff ,"
NBER Working Papers
11119, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Ravi Bansal & Amir Yaron, 2000.
"Risks for the Long Run: A Potential Resolution of Asset Pricing Puzzles ,"
NBER Working Papers
8059, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Tano Santos & Pietro Veronesi, 2005.
"Cash-Flow Risk, Discount Risk, and the Value Premium ,"
NBER Working Papers
11816, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Schmeling, Maik, 2008.
"Investor sentiment and stock returns: Some international evidence ,"
Diskussionspapiere der Wirtschaftswissenschaftlichen Fakultät der Universität Hannover
dp-407, Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
[Downloadable!]
Erik Hjalmarsson, 2006.
"New methods for inference in long-run predictive regressions ,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
853, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!]
Tom Engsted & Stuart Hyde & Stig V. Møller, 2007.
"Habit Formation, Surplus Consumption and Return Predictability: International Evidence ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-31, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!]
Andrew Ang & Monika Piazzesi & Min Wei, 2003.
"What does the yield curve tell us about GDP growth? ,"
Proceedings ,
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Andrew Ang & Monika Piazzesi & Min Wei, 2004.
"What Does the Yield Curve Tell us about GDP Growth? ,"
NBER Working Papers
10672, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Ang, Andrew & Piazzesi, Monika & Wei, Min, 2006.
"What does the yield curve tell us about GDP growth? ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 359-403.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) John Y. Campbell & Samuel B. Thompson, 2005.
"Predicting the Equity Premium Out of Sample: Can Anything Beat the Historical Average? ,"
NBER Working Papers
11468, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Belén Nieto & Rosa Rodríguez & Rosa Rodríguez- Barrera, 2002.
"The Consumption-Wealth And Book-To-Market Ratios In A Dynamic Asset Pricing Context ,"
Working Papers. Serie EC
2002-24, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
[Downloadable!]
Amit Goyal & Ivo Welch, 2002.
"Predicting the Equity Premium With Dividend Ratios ,"
NBER Working Papers
8788, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Hamburg, Britta & Hoffmann, Mathias & Keller, Joachim, 2005.
"Consumption, wealth and business cycles : why is Germany different? ,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2005,16, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
[Downloadable!]
Wayne E. Ferson & Sergei Sarkissian & Timothy Simin, 2002.
"Spurious Regressions in Financial Economics? ,"
NBER Working Papers
9143, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Andrew Vivian, 2007.
"The Equity Premium: 100 Years of Empirical Evidence from the UK ,"
CRIEFF Discussion Papers
0711, Centre for Research into Industry, Enterprise, Finance and the Firm.
[Downloadable!]
Michael W. Brandt & Pedro Santa-Clara & Rossen Valkanov, 2004.
"Parametric Portfolio Policies: Exploiting Characteristics in the Cross Section of Equity Returns ,"
NBER Working Papers
10996, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Robert F. Stambaugh, 1993.
"Estimating Conditional Expectations when Volatility Fluctuates ,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0140, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Adler, Johan, 2001.
"From closed to open door policy: An empirical study of Chinas international capital mobility, 1958-98 ,"
Working Papers in Economics
64, Göteborg University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
GIOT, Pierre & PETITJEAN, Mikael, 2006.
"Short-term market timing using the Bond-Equity Yield Ratio ,"
CORE Discussion Papers
2006090, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Collard, Fabrice & Fève, Patrick & Ghattassi, Imen, 2005.
"Predictability and Habit Persistence ,"
IDEI Working Papers
339, Institut d'Économie Industrielle (IDEI), Toulouse.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Menkhoff, Lukas & Rebitzky, Rafael, 2007.
"Investor sentiment in the US-dollar: longer-term, nonlinear orientation on PPP ,"
Diskussionspapiere der Wirtschaftswissenschaftlichen Fakultät der Universität Hannover
dp-376, Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Michael W. Brandt & Amit Goyal & Pedro Santa-Clara, 2001.
"Dynamic Portfolio Choice: A Simulation Approach ,"
University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management
1003, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
[Downloadable!]
Jan J J Groen & Ravi Balakrishnan, .
"Asset price based estimates of sterling exchange rate risk premia ,"
Bank of England working papers
250, Bank of England.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Todd E. Clark & Kenneth D. West, 2005.
"Using Out-of-Sample Mean Squared Prediction Errors to Test the Martingale Difference ,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0305, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Ricardo M. Sousa, 2007.
"Expectations, Shocks, and Asset Returns ,"
NIPE Working Papers
29/2007, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
[Downloadable!]
Ansgar Belke & Thorsten Polleit, 2004.
"Dividend Yields for Forecasting Stock Market Returns - An ARDL Cointegration Analysis for Germany ,"
Diskussionspapiere aus dem Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre der Universität Hohenheim
244/2004, Department of Economics, University of Hohenheim, Germany.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: David Rey, 2005.
"Market Timing And Model Uncertainty: An Exploratory Study For The Swiss Stock Market ,"
Financial Markets and Portfolio Management ,
Springer, vol. 19(3), pages 239-260, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Jens Pech Nielsen & Stefan Sperlich, 2001.
"Prediction of stocks: A new way to look at it ,"
Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers
ws011812, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría.
[Downloadable!]
Paulo Maio, 2007.
"ICAPM with time-varying risk aversion ,"
Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006
111, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
[Downloadable!]
Geert Bekaert & Robert J. Hodrick & David A. Marshall, 1996.
"On Biases in Tests of the Expecations Hypothesis of the Term Structure Of Interest Rates ,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0191, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Geert Bekaert & Robert J. Hodrick & David Marshall, 1996.
"On biases in tests of the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates ,"
Working Paper Series, Issues in Financial Regulation
WP-96-3, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
Bekaert, Geert & Hodrick, Robert J. & Marshall, David A., 1997.
"On biases in tests of the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates ,"
Journal of Financial Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 44(3), pages 309-348, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Robert Hodrick & David Ng & Paul Sengmueller, 1999.
"An International Dynamic Asset Pricing Model ,"
International Tax and Public Finance ,
Springer, vol. 6(4), pages 597-620, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Tano Santos & Pietro Veronesi, 2004.
"Conditional Betas ,"
NBER Working Papers
10413, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Bedri Tas, 2004.
"Private information of the Fed, predictability of stock returns and expected monetary policy ,"
Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003
100, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
[Downloadable!]
Thomas J. Flavin & Michael R. Wickens, 2001.
"A Risk Management Approach to Optimal Asset Allocation ,"
Economics, Finance and Accounting Department Working Paper Series
n1080301, Department of Economics, Finance and Accounting, National University of Ireland - Maynooth.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Amit Goval & Ivo Welch, 2004.
"A Comprehensive Look at the Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction ,"
NBER Working Papers
10483, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Tim Bollerslev & Hao Zhou, 2007.
"Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2007-17, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Min-Hsien Chiang & Chihwa Kao, 2005.
"Spectral Density Bandwidth Choice and Prewhitening in the Generalized Method of Moments Estimators for the Asset Pricing Model ,"
Economics Bulletin ,
Economics Bulletin, vol. 3(10), pages 1-13.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Pedro Santa-Clara & Rossen Valkanov, 2000.
"Political Cycles and the Stock Market ,"
University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management
1074, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
[Downloadable!]
Magdalena Massot Perelló & Juan M. Nave Pineda, 2003.
"La hipótesis de las expectativas en el largo plazo: evidencia en el mercado español de deuda pública ,"
Investigaciones Economicas ,
Fundación SEPI, vol. 27(3), pages 533-564, September.
[Downloadable!]
Joshua Gallin, 2004.
"The long-run relationship between house prices and rents ,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2004-50, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!]
Sydney C. Ludvigson & Serena Ng, 2005.
"The Empirical Risk-Return Relation: A Factor Analysis Approach ,"
NBER Working Papers
11477, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Sydney Ludvigson & Serena Ng, 2006.
"The Empirical Risk-Return Relation: a factor analysis approach ,"
2006 Meeting Papers
236, Society for Economic Dynamics.
[Downloadable!] Ludvigson, Sydney C. & Ng, Serena, 2007.
"The empirical risk-return relation: A factor analysis approach ,"
Journal of Financial Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 83(1), pages 171-222, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Glen Donaldson & Mark Kamstra & Lisa Kramer, 2003.
"Stare down the barrel and center the crosshairs: Targeting the ex ante equity premium ,"
Working Paper
2003-4, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
[Downloadable!]
Kenneth D. West, 1995.
"Another Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator ,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0183, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Martin Lettau & Sydney Ludvigson, 1999.
"Resurrecting the (C)CAPM: a cross-sectional test when risk premia are time-varying ,"
Staff Reports
93, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Tano Santos & Pietro Veronesi, 2001.
"Labor Income and Predictable Stock Returns ,"
NBER Working Papers
8309, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Andrew Ang & Geert Bekaert, 2001.
"Stock Return Predictability: Is it There? ,"
NBER Working Papers
8207, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Sydney Ludvigson & Martin Lettau, 1999.
"Consumption, aggregate wealth and expected stock returns ,"
Staff Reports
77, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: John Y. Campbell & Motohiro Yogo, 2003.
"Efficient Tests of Stock Return Predictability ,"
NBER Working Papers
10026, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
John Y. Campbell & Motohiro Yogo, 2002.
"Efficient Tests of Stock Return Predictability ,"
Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers
1972, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research.
[Downloadable!] Campbell, John Y. & Yogo, Motohiro, 2006.
"Efficient tests of stock return predictability ,"
Journal of Financial Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 81(1), pages 27-60, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Schrimpf, Andreas, 2008.
"International Stock Return Predictability Under Model Uncertainty ,"
ZEW Discussion Papers
08-048, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research.
[Downloadable!]
Miguel A. Ferreira & Pedro Santa-Clara, 2008.
"Forecasting Stock Market Returns: The Sum of the Parts is More than the Whole ,"
NBER Working Papers
14571, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Massimo Guidolin & Stuart Hyde & David McMillan & Sadayuki Ono, 2009.
"Non-linear predictability in stock and bond returns: when and where is it exploitable? ,"
Working Papers
2008-010, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: GIOT, Pierre & PETITJEAN, Mikael, 2005.
"Dynamic asset allocation between stocks and bonds using the Bond-Equity Yield Ratio ,"
CORE Discussion Papers
2005010, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
[Downloadable!]
Tano Santos & Pietro Veronesi, 2000.
"Labor Income and Predictable Stock Returns ,"
CRSP working papers
520, Center for Research in Security Prices, Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago.
[Downloadable!]
Neil Kellard & John Nankervis & Fotis Papadimitriou, 2007.
"Predicting the UK Equity Premium with Dividend Ratios: An Out-Of-Sample Recursive Residuals Graphical Approach ,"
Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006
129, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
[Downloadable!]
Jin Lee, 2005.
"Long horizon regressions with moderate deviations from a unit root ,"
Economics Bulletin ,
Economics Bulletin, vol. 3(52), pages 1-11.
[Downloadable!]
Simon Price & Christoph Schleicher, .
"Returns to equity, investment and Q: evidence from the United Kingdom ,"
Bank of England working papers
310, Bank of England.
[Downloadable!]
Monika Piazzesi & Eric Swanson, 2004.
"Future prices as risk-adjusted forecasts of monetary policy ,"
Proceedings ,
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Monika Piazzesi & Eric T. Swanson, 2006.
"Futures prices as risk-adjusted forecasts of monetary policy ,"
Working Paper Series
2006-23, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
[Downloadable!] Monika Piazzesi & Eric Swanson, 2004.
"Futures Prices as Risk-adjusted Forecasts of Monetary Policy ,"
NBER Working Papers
10547, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Piazzesi, Monika & Swanson, Eric T., 2008.
"Futures prices as risk-adjusted forecasts of monetary policy ,"
Journal of Monetary Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 55(4), pages 677-691, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Flavin, Thomas & Wickens, Michael R, 2002.
"Macroeconomic Influences on Optimal Asset Allocation ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
3144, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Rossen Valkanov, 1999.
"Long-Horizon Regressions: Theoretical Results and Applications to the Expected Returns/Dividend Yields and Fisher Effect Relations ,"
University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management
1104, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
[Downloadable!]
Peter Lildholdt & Anne Vila Wetherilt, .
"Anticipation of monetary policy in UK financial markets ,"
Bank of England working papers
241, Bank of England.
[Downloadable!]
Møller, Stig Vinther, 2008.
"Habit persistence: Explaining cross-sectional variation in returns and time-varying expected returns ,"
Finance Research Group Working Papers
F-2008-04, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
[Downloadable!]
Lettau, Martin & Ludvigson, Sydney, 2001.
"Time-Varying Risk Premia and the Cost of Capital: An Alternative Implication of the Q Theory of Investment ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
3103, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Elizabeth C. Wakerly & Byron G. Scott & James M. Nason, 2004.
"Common trends and common cycles in Canada: who knew so much has been going on? ,"
Working Paper
2004-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Tom Engsted & Thomas Q. Pedersen, 2009.
"The dividend-price ratio does predict dividend growth: International evidence ,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-36, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
[Downloadable!]
Stanislav Anatolyev & Nikolay Gospodinov, 2007.
"Modeling Financial Return Dynamics by Decomposition ,"
Working Papers
w0095, Center for Economic and Financial Research (CEFIR).
[Downloadable!]
Antje Henne & Sebastian Ostrowski & Peter Reichling, 2007.
"Dividend Yield and Stability versus Performance at the German Stock Market ,"
FEMM Working Papers
07017, Otto-von-Guericke University Magdeburg, Faculty of Economics and Management.
[Downloadable!]
John H. Cochrane, 1994.
"Univariate vs. Multivariate Forecasts of GNP Growth and Stock Returns: Evidence and Implications for the Persistence of Shocks, Detrending Methods ,"
NBER Working Papers
3427, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Bekaert, Geert & Harvey, Campbell & Lundblad, Christian T., 2006.
"Liquidity and Expected Returns: Lessons from Emerging Markets ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
5946, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Geert Bekaert & Campbell R. Harvey & Christian Lundblad, 2005.
"Liquidity and Expected Returns: Lessons From Emerging Markets ,"
NBER Working Papers
11413, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Geert Bekaert & Campbell R. Harvey & Christian Lundblad, 2007.
"Liquidity and Expected Returns: Lessons from Emerging Markets ,"
Review of Financial Studies ,
Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 20(6), pages 1783-1831, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) John H. Cochrane, 1997.
"Where is the market going? Uncertain facts and novel theories ,"
Economic Perspectives ,
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, issue Nov, pages 3-37.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Simon Price, 2004.
"UK investment and the return to equity: Q redux ,"
Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004
87, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
[Downloadable!]
Nelson Mark & Donggyu Sul, 1998.
"Norminal Exchange Rates and Monetary Fundamentals: Evidence from a Small Post-Bretton Woods Panel ,"
Working Papers
98-19, Ohio State University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Juan Ignacio Pena & Rosa Rodriguez, 2006.
"On The Economic Link Between Asset Prices And Real Activity ,"
Business Economics Working Papers
wb063209, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Economía de la Empresa.
[Downloadable!]
Walter Torous & Shu Yan, 2000.
"Predictive Regressions Revisited ,"
University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management
1028, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
[Downloadable!]
John H. Cochrane, 2006.
"The Dog That Did Not Bark: A Defense of Return Predictability ,"
NBER Working Papers
12026, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Cheolbeom Park, 2002.
"Speculative Behavior and Heterogeneous Expectations: Theory and Evidence ,"
Departmental Working Papers
wp0205, National University of Singapore, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Abhay Abhyankar & Angelica Gonzalez, 2007.
"What Drives Corporate Bond Market Betas? ,"
ESE Discussion Papers
157, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh.
[Downloadable!]
Menzie D. Chinn & Guy Meredith, 2005.
"Testing Uncovered Interest Parity at Short and Long Horizons during the Post-Bretton Woods Era ,"
NBER Working Papers
11077, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Yacine Ait-Sahalia & Michael W. Brandt, 2001.
"Variable Selection for Portfolio Choice ,"
NBER Working Papers
8127, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Yacine AÏT-SAHALIA, & Michael W. BRANDT, 2001.
"Variable Selection for Portfolio Choice ,"
FAME Research Paper Series
rp34, International Center for Financial Asset Management and Engineering.
[Downloadable!] Ait-Sahalia, Y. & Brandt, M.W., 2001.
"Variable Selection for Portfolio Choice ,"
Papers
34, Manitoba - Department of Economics.
Yacine Aït-Sahalia, 2001.
"Variable Selection for Portfolio Choice ,"
Journal of Finance ,
American Finance Association, vol. 56(4), pages 1297-1351, 08.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Jacob Boudoukh & Matthew Richardson & Robert Whitelaw, 2005.
"The Information in Long-Maturity Forward Rates: Implications for Exchange Rates and the Forward Premium Anomaly ,"
NBER Working Papers
11840, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Britta Hamburg & Mathias Hoffmann & Joachim Keller, 2005.
"Consumption, Wealth and Business Cycles in Germany ,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Rossen Valkanov, 1999.
"Equity Premium and Dividend Yield regressions: A lot of noise, little information, confusing results ,"
University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management
1103, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
[Downloadable!]
John Y. Campbell & John Ammer, 1991.
"What Moves the Stock and Bond Markets? A Variance Decomposition for Long-Term Asset Returns ,"
NBER Working Papers
3760, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Campbell, J.Y. & Ammer, J., 1991.
"What Moves The Stock And Bond Markets? A Variance Decomposition For Long- Term Asset Returns ,"
Papers
127, Princeton, Department of Economics - Financial Research Center.
Campbell, John Y & Ammer, John, 1993.
" What Moves the Stock and Bond Markets? A Variance Decomposition for Long-Term Asset Returns ,"
Journal of Finance ,
American Finance Association, vol. 48(1), pages 3-37, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Javier Gil-Bazo, 2001.
"Optimal Demand For Long-Term Bonds When Returns Are Predictable ,"
Business Economics Working Papers
wb012308, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Economía de la Empresa.
[Downloadable!]
Jondeau, E. & Ricart, R., 1999.
"The Information Content of the French and German Government Bond Tield Curves: Why Such Differences? ,"
Documents de Travail
61, Banque de France.
[Downloadable!]
Jacob Boudoukh & Matthew Richardson & Robert Whitelaw, 2005.
"The Myth of Long-Horizon Predictability ,"
NBER Working Papers
11841, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Thomas Nitschka, 2008.
"Idiosyncratic Consumption Risk and Predictability of the Carry Trade Premium: Euro Area Evidence ,"
IEW - Working Papers
iewwp387, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - IEW.
[Downloadable!]
Geert Bekaert & Campbell R. Harvey & Christian Lundblad, 2004.
"Growth Volatility and Financial Liberalization ,"
NBER Working Papers
10560, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: R.-P. Berben & D.J.C. van Dijk, 1998.
"Does the absence of cointegration explain the typical findings in long horizon regressions? ,"
Econometric Institute Report
145, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: In Choi & Timothy K. Chue, 2006.
"Subsampling-Based Tests of Stock-Return Predictability ,"
Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series
d06-178, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
[Downloadable!]
Michael W. Brandt & Pedro Santa-Clara, 2004.
"Dynamic Portfolio Selection by Augmenting the Asset Space ,"
NBER Working Papers
10372, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Jason Beeler & John Y. Campbell, 2009.
"The Long-Run Risks Model and Aggregate Asset Prices: An Empirical Assessment ,"
NBER Working Papers
14788, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Bradley S. Paye & Allan Timmermann, 2002.
"How stable are Financial Prediction Models? Evidence from US and International Stock Market Data ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
2002-13, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
[Downloadable!]
Jay Shanken & Ane Tamayo, 2001.
"Risk, Mispricing, and Asset Allocation: Conditioning on Dividend Yield ,"
NBER Working Papers
8666, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
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