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Habit persistence: Explaining cross-sectional variation in returns and time-varying expected returns

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Author Info
Møller, Stig Vinther
Abstract

This paper uses an iterated GMM approach to estimate and test the consumption based habit persistence model of Campbell and Cochrane [Campbell, J.Y., Cochrane, J.H., 1999. By force of habit: A consumption-based explanation of aggregate stock market behavior. Journal of Political Economy 107, 205-251] on the US stock market. The empirical evidence shows that the model is able to explain the size premium, but fails to explain the value premium. Further, the state variable of the model - the surplus consumption ratio - explains counter-cyclical time-varying expected returns on stocks. The model also produces plausible low real risk-free rates despite high relative risk aversion.

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File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6VFG-4VJBTN7-1/2/3e269f69cb4dcfa946266067a63dd349
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Empirical Finance.

Volume (Year): 16 (2009)
Issue (Month): 4 (September)
Pages: 525-536
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Handle: RePEc:eee:empfin:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:525-536

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jempfin

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Related research
Keywords: Campbell-Cochrane model 25 Fama-French portfolios GMM Return predictability by surplus consumption ratio;

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This page was last updated on 2009-12-3.


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