This file is part of IDEAS , which uses RePEc data
[ Papers |
Articles |
Software |
Books |
Chapters |
Authors |
Institutions |
JEL Classification |
NEP reports |
Search |
New papers by email |
Author registration |
Rankings |
Volunteers |
FAQ |
Blog |
Help! ]
Does Firm Value Move Too Much to be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Cash Flow? Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Borja Larrain
Motohiro Yogo
Additional information is available for the following
registered author(s):
The appropriate measure of cash flow for valuing corporate assets is net payout, which is the sum of dividends, interest, and net repurchases of equity and debt. Variation in net payout yield, the ratio of net payout to asset value, is mostly driven by movements in expected cash flow growth, instead of movements in discount rates. Net payout yield is less persistent than dividend yield and implies much smaller variation in long-horizon discount rates. Therefore, movements in the value of corporate assets can be justified by changes in expected future cash flow.
To download:
If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the
proper application to
view it first. Information about this may be contained
in the File-Format links below. In case of further problems read
the IDEAS help
page . Note that these files are not on the IDEAS
site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version under "Related research" (further below) or search for a different version of it.
Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number
12847.
Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML
(with abstract ),
plain text
(with abstract ),
BibTeX ,
RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite),
ReDIF
Length:
Date of creation: Jan 2007Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:12847Note: AP CFContact details of provider: Postal: National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A. Phone: 617-868-3900 Email: Web page: http://www.nber.org More information through EDIRC
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: ().
Keywords: Other versions of this item:
Find related papers by JEL classification: G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Capital and Ownership Structure G35 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Payout Policy
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports :
References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.: Martin Lettau & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2006.
"Reconciling the Return Predictability Evidence ,"
2006 Meeting Papers
29, Society for Economic Dynamics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Martin Lettau & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2006.
"Reconciling the Return Predictability Evidence ,"
NBER Working Papers
12109, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Martin Lettau & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2008.
"Reconciling the Return Predictability Evidence ,"
Review of Financial Studies ,
Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(4), pages 1607-1652, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Hansen, Lars Peter & Heaton, John & Yaron, Amir, 1996.
"Finite-Sample Properties of Some Alternative GMM Estimators ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 14(3), pages 262-80, July.
Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 2001.
"Disappearing dividends: changing firm characteristics or lower propensity to pay? ,"
Journal of Financial Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 60(1), pages 3-43, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Eugene F. Fama & Kenneth R. French, .
"Disappearing Dividends: Changing Firm Characteristics or Lower Propensity to Pay?." ,"
CRSP working papers
509, Center for Research in Security Prices, Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago.
Eugene F. Fama & Kenneth R. French, 2001.
"Disappearing Dividends: Changing Firm Characteristics Or Lower Propensity To Pay? ,"
Journal of Applied Corporate Finance ,
Morgan Stanley, vol. 14(1), pages 67-79.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Robert E. Hall, 2001.
"The Stock Market and Capital Accumulation ,"
American Economic Review ,
American Economic Association, vol. 91(5), pages 1185-1202, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Hansen, Lars Peter, 1982.
"Large Sample Properties of Generalized Method of Moments Estimators ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 1029-54, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
William C. Brainard & John B. Shoven & Laurence Weiss, 1980.
"The Financial Valuation of the Return to Capital ,"
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity ,
Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 11(1980-2), pages 453-512.
[Downloadable!]
Hodrick, Robert J, 1992.
"Dividend Yields and Expected Stock Returns: Alternative Procedures for Inference and Measurement ,"
Review of Financial Studies ,
Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 5(3), pages 357-86.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Bronwyn H. Hall & Clint Cumminq & Elizabeth S. Laderman & Joy Mundy, 1988.
"The R&D Master File Documentation ,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0072, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Lior Menzly & Tano Santos & Pietro Veronesi, 2004.
"Understanding Predictability ,"
Journal of Political Economy ,
University of Chicago Press, vol. 112(1), pages 1-47, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Shiller, Robert J, 1981.
"Do Stock Prices Move Too Much to be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Dividends? ,"
American Economic Review ,
American Economic Association, vol. 71(3), pages 421-36, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Abel, Andrew B, et al, 1989.
"Assessing Dynamic Efficiency: Theory and Evidence ,"
Review of Economic Studies ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(1), pages 1-19, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Hanno Lustig & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2005.
"The Returns on Human Capital: Good News on Wall Street is Bad News on Main Street ,"
NBER Working Papers
11564, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Robert E. Hall, 2001.
"Struggling to Understand the Stock Market ,"
American Economic Review ,
American Economic Association, vol. 91(2), pages 1-11, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Martin Lettau & Sydney Ludvigson, 2003.
"Understanding Trend and Cycle in Asset Values: Reevaluating the Wealth Effect on Consumption ,"
NBER Working Papers
9848, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Cochrane, John H, 1992.
"Explaining the Variance of Price-Dividend Ratios ,"
Review of Financial Studies ,
Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 5(2), pages 243-80.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 1989.
"Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds ,"
Journal of Financial Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 23-49, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
John Y. Campbell, 1991.
"A Variance Decomposition for Stock Returns ,"
NBER Working Papers
3246, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Franklin Allen & Roni Michaely, 2002.
"Payout Policy ,"
Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers
01-21, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Allen, Franklin & Michaely, Roni, 2003.
"Payout policy ,"
Handbook of the Economics of Finance ,
in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 7, pages 337-429
Elsevier.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Gregor Andrade & Mark Mitchell & Erik Stafford, 2001.
"New Evidence and Perspectives on Mergers ,"
Journal of Economic Perspectives ,
American Economic Association, vol. 15(2), pages 103-120, Spring.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Jagannathan, Murali & Stephens, Clifford P. & Weisbach, Michael S., 2000.
"Financial flexibility and the choice between dividends and stock repurchases ,"
Journal of Financial Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 57(3), pages 355-384, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Merton H. Miller & Franco Modigliani, 1961.
"Dividend Policy, Growth, and the Valuation of Shares ,"
Journal of Business ,
University of Chicago Press, vol. 34, pages 411.
[Downloadable!]
Walter Torous & Rossen Valkanov & Shu Yan, 2004.
"On Predicting Stock Returns with Nearly Integrated Explanatory Variables ,"
Journal of Business ,
University of Chicago Press, vol. 77(4), pages 937-966, October.
[Downloadable!]
William C. Brainard & John B. Shoven, 1980.
"The financial valuation of the return to capital ,"
Proceedings ,
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 43-104.
Gustavo Grullon & Roni Michaely, 2002.
"Dividends, Share Repurchases, and the Substitution Hypothesis ,"
Journal of Finance ,
American Finance Association, vol. 57(4), pages 1649-1684, 08.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Kaplan, Steven N., 1991.
"The staying power of leveraged buyouts ,"
Journal of Financial Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 287-313, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Amit Goyal & Ivo Welch, 2002.
"Predicting the Equity Premium With Dividend Ratios ,"
NBER Working Papers
8788, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 1988.
"Dividend yields and expected stock returns ,"
Journal of Financial Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 3-25, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Ackert, Lucy F & Smith, Brian F, 1993.
" Stock Price Volatility, Ordinary Dividends, and Other Cash Flows to Shareholders ,"
Journal of Finance ,
American Finance Association, vol. 48(4), pages 1147-60, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
LeRoy, Stephen F & Porter, Richard D, 1981.
"The Present-Value Relation: Tests Based on Implied Variance Bounds ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 49(3), pages 555-74, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Jacob Boudoukh & Roni Michaely & Matthew Richardson & Michael Roberts, 2004.
"On the Importance of Measuring Payout Yield: Implications for Empirical Asset Pricing ,"
NBER Working Papers
10651, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Donald Robertson & Stephen Wright, 2006.
"Dividends, Total Cash Flow to Shareholders, and Predictive Return Regressions ,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics ,
MIT Press, vol. 88(1), pages 91-99, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Robert F. Stambaugh, 1999.
"Predictive Regressions ,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0240, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Jacob Boudoukh & Matthew Richardson & Robert Whitelaw, 2005.
"The Myth of Long-Horizon Predictability ,"
NBER Working Papers
11841, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Stephen Wright, 2004.
"Measures Of Stock Market Value And Returns For The U.S. Nonfinancial Corporate Sector, 1900-2002 ,"
Review of Income and Wealth ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(4), pages 561-584, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Ben S. Bernanke & John Y. Campbell, 1988.
"Is There a Corporate Debt Crisis? ,"
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity ,
Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 19(1988-1), pages 83-140.
[Downloadable!]
Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 2005.
"Financing decisions: who issues stock? ,"
Journal of Financial Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 76(3), pages 549-582, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
DeAngelo, Harry & DeAngelo, Linda & Skinner, Douglas J., 2004.
"Are dividends disappearing? Dividend concentration and the consolidation of earnings ,"
Journal of Financial Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 72(3), pages 425-456, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Bansal, Ravi & Khatchatrian, Varoujan & Yaron, Amir, 2005.
"Interpretable asset markets? ,"
European Economic Review ,
Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 531-560, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Campbell, John Y. & Yogo, Motohiro, 2006.
"Efficient tests of stock return predictability ,"
Journal of Financial Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 81(1), pages 27-60, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Full
references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Hanno Lustig, 2005.
"The Returns on Human Capital: Good News on Wall Street is Bad News on Main Street (joint with Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh) ,"
UCLA Economics Online Papers
352, UCLA Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Access and
download statistics Did you know? All the bibliographic data shown here has been contributed by volunteers, thereby helping to keep this service free.
This page was last updated on 2009-11-21.
This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Department of Economics , College of Liberal Arts and Sciences , University of Connecticut using RePEc data on a server sponsored by the Society for Economic Dynamics .