Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

1. Forecasting

2010

• Ibarra-Ramírez Raúl, 2010, "Forecasting Inflation in Mexico Using Factor Models: Do Disaggregated CPI Data Improve Forecast Accuracy?," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2010-01, Mar.
• Aiolfi Marco & Capistrán Carlos & Timmermann Allan, 2010, "Forecast Combinations," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2010-04, May.
• López Moctezuma Gabriel & Capistrán Carlos, 2010, "Forecast Revisions of Mexican Inflation and GDP Growth," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2010-11, Oct.
• Benavides Guillermo, 2010, "Forecasting Short-Run Inflation Volatility using Futures Prices: An Empirical Analysis from a Value at Risk Perspective," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2010-12, Oct.
• Sanvi Avouyi-Dovi & Julien Idier., 2010, "Central bank liquidity and market liquidity: the role of collateral provision on the French government debt securities market," Working papers, Banque de France, number 278.
• Emre Soyer & Robin Hogarth (1942-2024), 2015, "Econometrics and Decision Making: Effects of Presentation Mode," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 426, Sep.
• Rochelle M. Edge & Refet S. Gurkaynak, 2010, "How Useful Are Estimated DSGE Model Forecasts for Central Bankers?," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, volume 41, issue 2 (Fall), pages 209-259.
• Anindya Banerjee & Victor Bystrov & Paul Mizen, 2010, "Interest rate pass-through in the major European economies - the role of expectations," Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham, number 10-07, Feb.
• Wei Chen & J L Ford, 2010, "Volatility and the Hedging Effectiveness of China Fuel Oil Futures," Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham, number 10-15, Apr.
• Fernanda Cuitiño & Elena Ganón & Ina Tiscordio & Leonardo Vicente, 2010, "Modelos univariados de series de tiempo para predecir la inflación de corto plazo," Documentos de trabajo, Banco Central del Uruguay, number 2010008, Aug.
• Sarantis Tsiaplias & Chew Lian Chua, 2010, "Forecasting Australian Macroeconomic Variables Using A Large Dataset," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, volume 49, issue 1, pages 44-59, March, DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-8454.2010.00386.x.
• Francesco Ravazzolo & Shaun P. Vahey, 2010, "Forecast densities for economic aggregates from disaggregate ensembles," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2010/02, Mar.
• Ida Wolden Bache & Leif Brubakk & Junior Maih, 2010, "Simple rules versus optimal policy: what fits?," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2010/03, Apr.
• Hilde Bjørnland & Karsten Gerdrup & Christie Smith & Anne Sofie Jore & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2010, "Weights and pools for a Norwegian density combination," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2010/06, May.
• Junior Maih, 2010, "Conditional forecasts in DSGE models," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2010/07, Apr.
• Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman, 2010, "Oil and US GDP: A real-time out-of-sample examination," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2010/18, Sep.
• Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2010, "Combining predictive densities using Bayesian filtering with applications to US economics data," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2010/29, Dec.
• Zacharias Bragoudakis & Stelios Panagiotou, 2010, "Determinants of the receipts from shipping services: the case of Greece," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, issue 34, pages 41-55, September.
• Tanya Suhoy, 2010, "Monthly Assessments of Private Consumption," Bank of Israel Working Papers, Bank of Israel, number 2010.09, Aug.
• Yun-Yeong Kim, 2010, "Autonomous Stability Mechanism of Won/Dollar Foreign Exchange Rate through Lagged Own Volatility (in Korean)," Economic Analysis (Quarterly), Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea, volume 16, issue 4, pages 51-87, December.
• Laurent Ferrara, 2010, "Les variables financières sont-elles utiles pour anticiper la croissance économique ?. Quelques évidences économétriques," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, volume 61, issue 3, pages 645-655.
• D'Agostino, Antonello & McQuinn, Kieran & Whelan, Karl, 2010, "Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 5/RT/10, Apr.
• Yaovarate Chaovanapoonphol & Christine Lim & Michael McAleer & Aree Wiboonpongse, 2010, "Time Series Modelling of Tourism Demand from the USA, Japan and Malaysia to Thailand," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/05, Mar.
• Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2010, "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/09, Mar.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/12, Apr.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010, "How Accurate are Government Forecasts of Economic Fundamentals? The Case of Taiwan," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/16, Apr.
• Manuabu Asai & Michael McAleer & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2010, "Modelling and Forecasting Noisy Realized Volatility," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/21, May.
• Massimiliano Caporin & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Ranking Multivariate GARCH Models by Problem Dimension," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/34, May.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Combining Non-Replicable Forecasts," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/35, May.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Les Oxley, 2010, "Great Expectatrics: Great Papers, Great Journals, Great Econometrics," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/36, May.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Sung-Po Chen & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Globalization and Knowledge Spillover: International Direct Investment, Exports and Patents," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/54, Aug.
• Ping-Yu Chen & Chia-Lin Chang & Chi-Chung Chen & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Modeling the Effect of Oil Price on Global Fertilizer Prices," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/55, Sep.
• Michael McAleer & Juan-Ángel Jiménez-Martín & Teodosio Pérez-Amaral, 2010, "GFC-Robust Risk Management Strategies under the Basel Accord," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/63, Oct.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Evaluating Combined Non-Replicable Forecasts," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/74, Dec.
• Ugo Colombino, 2010, "Equilibrium policy simulations with random utility models of labour supply," Carlo Alberto Notebooks, Collegio Carlo Alberto, number 156.
• Pooyan Amir Ahmadi & Albrecht Ritschl, 2010, "Depression Econometrics: A FAVAR Model of Monetary Policy During the Great Depression," CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, number dp0967, Jan.
• Albrecht Ritschl & Samad Salferaz, 2010, "Crisis? What Crisis? Currency vs. Banking in the Financial Crisis of 1931," CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, number dp0977, May.
• Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2010, "Modelling and Forecasting UK Mortgage Arrears and Possessions," SERC Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, number 0052, Aug.
• Coenraad N. Teulings & Nick Zubanov, 2010, "Is Economic Recovery a Myth? Robust Estimation of Impulse Responses," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 3027.
• Kai Carstensen & Klaus Wohlrabe & Christina Ziegler, 2010, "Predictive Ability of Business Cycle Indicators under Test: A Case Study for the Euro Area Industrial Production," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 3158.
• Gerit Vogt, 2010, "Zur Güte der ifo Dresden Konjunkturprognosen," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 17, issue 01, pages .28-32, February.
• Joachim Ragnitz & Stefan Arent & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Beate Schirwitz & Johannes Steinbrecher & Gerit Vogt & Björn Ziegenbalg, 2010, "Methodenexpertise zur Analyse der Auswirkungen der internationalen Finanz- und Wirtschaftskrise auf die Wirtschaft im Land Brandenburg : Gutachten im Auftrag des Ministeriums für Wirtschaft des Landes Brandenburg," ifo Dresden Studien, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 53, February.
• Élise PAYZAN LE NESTOUR, 2010, "Bayesian Learning in UnstableSettings: Experimental Evidence Based on the Bandit Problem," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series, Swiss Finance Institute, number 10-28, Jun.
• Alena AUDZEYEVA & Barbara SUMMERS & Klaus Reiner SCHENK-HOPPE, 2010, "Do Public Real Estate Returns Really Lead Private Returns?," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series, Swiss Finance Institute, number 10-46, Nov.
• Katerina Arnostova & David Havrlant & Lubos Ruzicka & Peter Toth, 2010, "Short-Term Forecasting of Czech Quarterly GDP Using Monthly Indicators," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2010/12, Dec.
• Nancy Milena Hoyos Gomez & Johanna Ramos & Lorena Vivas, 2010, "Un modelo SETAR para el PIB colombiano," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID.
• Eliana Gonz�lez, 2010, "Bayesian Model Averaging. An Application to Forecast Inflation in Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 7013, May.
• Eliana Gonz�lez, 2010, "Bayesian Model Averaging. An Application to Forecast Inflation in Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 7014, May.
• Eliana Gonz�lez, 2010, "Bayesian Model Averaging. An Application to Forecast Inflation in Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 7015, May.
• Juan Camilo Ochoa P. & Wilinton Galeano M. & Luis Gabriel Agudelo V., 2010, "Construcción de un modelo de scoring para el otorgamiento de crédito en una entidad financiera," Perfil de Coyuntura Económica, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE.
• Jaime Enrique Arrieta Bechara & Juan Camilo Torres Cruz & Hermilson Vel�squez Ceballos, 2010, "Predicciones de modelos econométricos y redes neuronales: el caso de la acción de SURAMINV," Revista Semestre Económico, Universidad de Medellín.
• Amaury Jiménez Martínez & Brigitte Ballestas Lopez & Andrés Hernández Pontón, 2010, "Balance Y Perspectivas Del Impacto Económico Del Turismo De Cruceros En La Ciudad De Cartagena De Indias En El Periodo 1998-2008," Revista Jornadas de Investigación, Universidad de Cartagena.
• LAURENT, Sébastien & ROMBOUTS, Jeroen V. K. & VIOLANTE, Francesco, 2010, "On the forecasting accuracy of multivariate GARCH models," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), number 2010025, May.
• Pesenti, Paolo & Groen, Jan J. J., 2010, "Commodity prices, commodity currencies, and global economic developments," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7689, Feb.
• Favero, Carlo A. & Gozluklu, Arie & Tamoni, Andrea, 2010, "Demographic Trends, the Dividend-Price Ratio and the Predictability of Long-Run Stock Market Returns," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7734, Mar.
• Garratt, Anthony & Vahey, Shaun & Mitchell, James, 2010, "Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7742, Mar.
• Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Onorante, Luca & Momferatou, Daphne, 2010, "Short-Term Inflation Projections: a Bayesian Vector Autoregressive approach," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7746, Mar.
• Marcellino, Massimiliano & Kapetanios, George & Carriero, Andrea, 2010, "Forecasting Government Bond Yields with Large Bayesian VARs," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7796, Apr.
• Marcellino, Massimiliano & Knüppel, Malte & Jordà , Ã’scar, 2010, "Empirical Simultaneous Confidence Regions for Path-Forecasts," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7797, Apr.
• Teulings, Coen & Zubanov, Nick, 2010, "Is Economic Recovery a Myth? Robust Estimation of Impulse Responses," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7800, May.
• Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik, 2010, "The Diversity of Forecasts from Macroeconomic Models of the U.S. Economy," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7870, Jun.
• Muellbauer, John & Aron, Janine, 2010, "New methods for forecasting inflation, applied to the US," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7877, Jun.
• Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Banbura, Marta, 2010, "Nowcasting," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7883, Jun.
• Muellbauer, John & Aron, Janine, 2010, "Does aggregating forecasts by CPI component improve inflation forecast accuracy in South Africa?," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7895, Jun.
• Muellbauer, John & Aron, Janine, 2010, "Modelling and Forecasting UK Mortgage Arrears and Possessions," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7986, Sep.
• Gürkaynak, Refet & Edge, Rochelle, 2010, "How Useful Are Estimated DSGE Model Forecasts for Central Bankers?," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 8158, Dec.
• Conrad, Christian & Karanasos, Menelaos, 2010, "Negative Volatility Spillovers In The Unrestricted Eccc-Garch Model," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, volume 26, issue 3, pages 838-862, June.
• Marina Theodosiou, 2010, "Forecasting Issues: Ideas of Decomposition and Combination," Working Papers, Central Bank of Cyprus, number 2010-4, Jun.
• Antonis A. Michis, 2010, "Denoised Least Squares Forecasting of GDP Changes Using Indexes of Consumer and Business Sentiment," Working Papers, Central Bank of Cyprus, number 2010-9, Oct.
• Boriss Siliverstovs & Konstantin A. Kholodilin, 2010, "Assessing the Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases for Now-/Forecasting GDP: Evidence for Switzerland," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 970.
• Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Maximilian Podstawski & Boriss Siliverstovs, 2010, "Do Google Searches Help in Nowcasting Private Consumption?: A Real-Time Evidence for the US," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 997.
• Mohamed El Hedi Arouri & Amine Lahiani & Khuong Nguyen Duc, 2010, "Forecasting the conditional volatility of oil spot and futures prices with structural breaks and long memory models," Working Papers, Development and Policies Research Center (DEPOCEN), Vietnam, number 87.
• Yu-chin Chen & Kenneth Rogoff & Barbara Rossi, 2010, "Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices?," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 10-07.
• Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2010, "Has Models' Forecasting Performance for US Output Growth and Inflation Changed over Time, and When?," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 10-16.
• Alastair Hall & Atsushi Inoue & James M. Nason & Barbara Rossi, 2010, "Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 10-28.
• Barbara Rossi & Raffaella Giacomini, 2010, "Model Comparisons in Unstable Environments," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 10-29.
• Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2010, "Understanding Models' Forecasting Performance," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 10-56.
• Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza & Daphné Momferatu & Luca Onorante, 2010, "Short-term inflation projections: a Bayesian vector autoregressive approach," Working Papers ECARES, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, number ECARES 2010-011, Mar.
• Marta Bañbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010, "Nowcasting," Working Papers ECARES, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, number ECARES 2010-021.
• Roxana Halbleib & Valerie Voev, 2010, "Forecasting Multivariate Volatility Using the VARFIMA Model on Realized Covariance Cholesky Factors," Working Papers ECARES, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, number ECARES 2010-041, Dec.
• Geoff Kenny, 2010, "Macroeconomic forecasting: can forecast combination help?," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, volume 11, pages 9-12.
• Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Onorante, Luca & Paesani, Paolo, 2010, "Inflation and inflation uncertainty in the euro area," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1229, Jul.
• Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2010, "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2010-113.
• Audrino, Francesco & Corsi, Fulvio, 2010, "Modeling tick-by-tick realized correlations," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, volume 54, issue 11, pages 2372-2382, November.
• Cipollini, Fabrizio & Gallo, Giampiero M., 2010, "Automated variable selection in vector multiplicative error models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, volume 54, issue 11, pages 2470-2486, November.
• He, Zhongfang & Maheu, John M., 2010, "Real time detection of structural breaks in GARCH models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, volume 54, issue 11, pages 2628-2640, November.
• Tesfaselassie, M.F. & Schaling, E., 2010, "Managing disinflation under uncertainty," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 34, issue 12, pages 2568-2577, December.
• Diks, Cees & Panchenko, Valentyn & van Dijk, Dick, 2010, "Out-of-sample comparison of copula specifications in multivariate density forecasts," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 34, issue 9, pages 1596-1609, September.
• Mansor H. Ibrahim, 2010, "An Empirical Analysis of Real Activity and Stock Returns in an Emerging Market," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, volume 40, issue 2, pages 263-271, September.
• Matheson, Troy D., 2010, "An analysis of the informational content of New Zealand data releases: The importance of business opinion surveys," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 27, issue 1, pages 304-314, January.
• Jiménez-Martín, Juan-Ángel & Cinca, Alfonso Novales, 2010, "State-uncertainty preferences and the risk premium in the exchange rate market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 27, issue 5, pages 1043-1053, September.
• Rumler, Fabio & Valderrama, Maria Teresa, 2010, "Comparing the New Keynesian Phillips Curve with time series models to forecast inflation," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 21, issue 2, pages 126-144, August.
• Karamé, F., 2010, "Impulse-response functions in Markov-switching structural vector autoregressions: A step further," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 106, issue 3, pages 162-165, March.
• Sinclair, Tara M. & Joutz, Fred & Stekler, H.O., 2010, "Can the Fed predict the state of the economy?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 108, issue 1, pages 28-32, July.
• Dufour, Jean-Marie & Taamouti, Abderrahim, 2010, "Short and long run causality measures: Theory and inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 154, issue 1, pages 42-58, January.
• Conrad, Christian, 2010, "Non-negativity conditions for the hyperbolic GARCH model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 157, issue 2, pages 441-457, August.
• Castle, Jennifer L. & Fawcett, Nicholas W.P. & Hendry, David F., 2010, "Forecasting with equilibrium-correction models during structural breaks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 158, issue 1, pages 25-36, September.
• Corsi, Fulvio & Pirino, Davide & Renò, Roberto, 2010, "Threshold bipower variation and the impact of jumps on volatility forecasting," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 159, issue 2, pages 276-288, December.
• Clements, Michael P., 2010, "Explanations of the inconsistencies in survey respondents' forecasts," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 54, issue 4, pages 536-549, May.

2009

• Andrés González & Kirstin Hubrich & Timo Teräsvirta, 2009, "Forecasting inflation with gradual regime shifts and exogenous information," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2009-03, Jan.
• Anders Bredahl Kock, 2009, "Forecasting with Universal Approximators and a Learning Algorithm," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2009-18, May.
• Florian Heinen & Philipp Sibbertsen & Robinson Kruse, 2009, "Forecasting long memory time series under a break in persistence," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2009-53, Nov.
• Valeri Voev, 2009, "On the Economic Evaluation of Volatility Forecasts," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2009-56, Nov.
• Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Boriss Siliverstovs, 2009, "Do Forecasters Inform or Reassure? Evaluation of the German Real-Time Data," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, volume 55, issue 4, pages 269-294.
• Masuda, Tadayoshi & Goldsmith, Peter D., , "World Soybean Demand: An Elasticity Analysis and Long-Term Projections," 2009 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, 2009, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 49490, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.49490.
• Bastianin, Andrea, 2009, "Modelling Asymmetric Dependence Using Copula Functions: An Application to Value-at-Risk in the Energy Sector," Sustainable Development Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM), number 50452, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.50452.
• Vermeulen, Hester & Ndibongo Traub, Lulama & Meyer, Ferdinand H., 2009, "Impact Analysis Of Food Policy Response On Household Food Security: The Case Of South Africa’S Maize Subsector," 2009 Conference, August 16-22, 2009, Beijing, China, International Association of Agricultural Economists, number 51396, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.51396.
• McKenzie, Andrew M. & Goodwin, Harold L., Jr. & Carreira, Rita I., 2009, "Alternative Model Selection Using Forecast Error Variance Decompositions in Wholesale Chicken Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, volume 41, issue 01, pages 1-14, April, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.48750.
• Ramirez, Octavio A., 2009, "The Asymmetric Cycling of U.S. Soybeans and Brazilian Coffee Prices: An Opportunity for Improved Forecasting and Understanding of Price Behavior," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, volume 41, issue 01, pages 1-14, April, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.48760.
• De Gooijer, J. & Diks, C.G.H. & Gatarek, L., 2009, "Information Flows Around the Globe: Predicting Opening Gaps from Overnight Foreign Stock Price Patterns," CeNDEF Working Papers, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance, number 09-13.
• Camilo Serrano & Martin Hoesli, 2009, "Predicting Securitized Real Estate Returns: Financial and Real Estate Factors vs. Economic Variables," ERES, European Real Estate Society (ERES), number eres2009_265, Jan.
• Conrad, Christian & Weber, Enzo, 2013, "Measuring Persistence in Volatility Spillovers," Working Papers, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics, number 0543, Apr.
• Maria Debora Braga, 2009, "Hedge fund and market risk: new concepts and models, beyond VaR," BANCARIA, Bancaria Editrice, volume 9, pages 76-87, September.
• Mercedes Ayuso(universitat de Barcelona) & Miguel Santolino(Universitat de Barcelona), 2009, "Individual prediction of automobile bodily injury claims liabilities," Working Papers in Economics, Universitat de Barcelona. Espai de Recerca en Economia, number 220.
• Carlos Enrique Carrasco Gutierrez & Reinaldo Castro Souza & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, 2009, "Selection of Optimal Lag Length in Cointegrated VAR Models with Weak Form of Common Cyclical Features," Fucape Working Papers, Fucape Business School, number 16, Aug.
• Jean-Marie Dufour & Lynda Khalaf & Maral Kichian, 2009, "Structural Multi-Equation Macroeconomic Models: Identification-Robust Estimation and Fit," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 09-19, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2009-19.
• Zhongfang He & John M. Maheu, 2009, "Real Time Detection of Structural Breaks in GARCH Models," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 09-31, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2009-31.
• Coral García & Esther Gordo & Jaime Martínez-Martín & Patrocinio Tello, 2009, "Modelling export and import demand functions: the Spanish case," Occasional Papers, Banco de España, number 0905, Dec.
• Ricardo Gimeno & José Manuel Marqués, 2009, "Extraction of financial market expectations about inflation and interest rates from a liquid market," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 0906, Apr.
• Teresa Leal & Diego J. Pedregal & Javier J. Pérez, 2009, "Short-term monitoring of the Spanish Government balance with mixed-frequencies models," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 0931, Dec.
• Javier J. Pérez & A. Jesús Sánchez, 2009, "Is there a signalling role for public wages? Evidence for the euro area based on macro data," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 0934, Dec.
• Joan Paredes & Diego J. Pedregal & Javier J. Pérez, 2009, "A quarterly fiscal database for the euro area based on intra-annual fiscal information," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 0935, Dec.
• Fabio Busetti & Juri Marcucci & Giovanni Veronese, 2009, "Comparing forecast accuracy: A Monte Carlo investigation," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 723, Sep.
• Benavides Guillermo & Capistrán Carlos, 2009, "Forecasting Exchange Rate Volatility: The Superior Performance of Conditional Combinations of Time Series and Option Implied Forecasts," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2009-01, Jan.
• Rangel José Gonzalo & Engle Robert F., 2009, "The Factor-Spline-GARCH Model for High and Low Frequency Correlations," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2009-03, Feb.
• Capistrán Carlos & Constandse Christian & Ramos Francia Manuel, 2009, "Using Seasonal Models to Forecast Short-Run Inflation in Mexico," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2009-05, Jul.
• Sidaoui José Julián & Capistrán Carlos & Chiquiar Daniel & Ramos Francia Manuel, 2009, "A Note on the Predictive Content of PPI over CPI Inflation: The Case of Mexico," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2009-14, Nov.
• Anatolyev, Stanislav, 2009, "Nonparametric Retrospection and Monitoring of Predictability of Financial Returns," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, volume 27, issue 2, pages 149-160.
• Capistrán, Carlos & Timmermann, Allan, 2009, "Forecast Combination With Entry and Exit of Experts," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, volume 27, issue 4, pages 428-440.
• Corradi, Valentina & Fernandez, Andres & Swanson, Norman R., 2009, "Information in the Revision Process of Real-Time Datasets," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, volume 27, issue 4, pages 455-467.
• Faust, Jon & Wright, Jonathan H., 2009, "Comparing Greenbook and Reduced Form Forecasts Using a Large Realtime Dataset," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, volume 27, issue 4, pages 468-479.
• Garratt, Anthony & Koop, Gary & Mise, Emi & Vahey, Shaun P., 2009, "Real-Time Prediction With U.K. Monetary Aggregates in the Presence of Model Uncertainty," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, volume 27, issue 4, pages 480-491.
• Maheu, John M. & McCurdy, Thomas H., 2009, "How Useful are Historical Data for Forecasting the Long-Run Equity Return Distribution?," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, volume 27, pages 95-112.
• Karim Barhoumi & Olivier Darn & Laurent Ferrara, 2009, "Are disaggregate data useful for factor analysis in forecasting French GDP?," Working papers, Banque de France, number 232.
• Sanvi Avouyi-Dovi & Bardos, M. & Caroline Jardet & Kendaoui, L. & Moquet , J., 2009, "Macro stress testing with a macroeconomic credit risk model: Application to the French manufacturing sector," Working papers, Banque de France, number 238.
• Bell go, C. & Laurent Ferrara, 2009, "Forecasting Euro-area recessions using time-varying binary response models for financial," Working papers, Banque de France, number 259.
• Claire C l rier, 2009, "Forecasting inflation in France," Working papers, Banque de France, number 262.
• Andrea Cipollini & Bassam Fattouh & Kostas Mouratidis, 2009, "Fiscal Readjustments In The United States: A Nonlinear Time‐Series Analysis," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, volume 47, issue 1, pages 34-54, January, DOI: 10.1111/j.1465-7295.2008.00139.x.
• Helge Berger & Thomas Harjes, 2009, "Does Global Liquidity Matter for Monetary Policy in the Euro Area?," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, volume 12, issue 1, pages 33-55, May, DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-2362.2009.01231.x.
• Michael McAleer, 2009, "The Ten Commandments For Optimizing Value‐At‐Risk And Daily Capital Charges," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, volume 23, issue 5, pages 831-849, December, DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-6419.2009.00588.x.
• Francesco Audrino & Peter Bühlmann, 2009, "Splines for financial volatility," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, volume 71, issue 3, pages 655-670, June, DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9868.2009.00696.x.
• Pär Österholm, 2009, "Incorporating Judgement in Fan Charts," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, volume 111, issue 2, pages 387-415, June, DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9442.2009.01569.x.
• Lennart Hoogerheide & Richard Kleijn & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk & Marno Verbeek, 2009, "Forecast accuracy and economic gains from Bayesian model averaging using time varying weight," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2009/10, Jun.
• Ida Wolden Bache & James Mitchell & Francesco Ravazzolo & Shaun P. Vahey, 2009, "Macro modelling with many models," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2009/15, Aug.
• Jan J. J. Groen & Richard Paap & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2009, "Real-Time Inflation Forecasting in a Changing World," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2009/16, Aug.
• Karsten R. Gerdrup & Anne Sofie Jore & Christie Smith & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2009, "Evaluating ensemble density combination - forecasting GDP and inflation," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2009/19, Nov.
• Ida Wolden Bache & Anne Sofie Jore & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2009, "Combining VAR and DSGE forecast densities," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2009/23, Nov.
• Ha-Hyun Jo & Sun-Oong Hwang, 2009, "Forecasting Economic Variables Using Disaggregated Data for Consumer Expectations: A Comparison of Forecast Combination Methods (in Korean)," Economic Analysis (Quarterly), Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea, volume 15, issue 1, pages 1-38, March.
• Bauwens Luc & Storti Giuseppe, 2009, "A Component GARCH Model with Time Varying Weights," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 13, issue 2, pages 1-33, May, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1512.
• Evarist Stoja & Arnold Polanski, 2009, "Efficient Evaluation of Multidimensional Time-Varying Density Forecasts with an Application to Risk Management," Bristol Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Bristol, UK, number 09/617, Dec.
• Akhter Faroque & William Veloce & Jean-Francois Lamarche, 2009, "Have Structural Changes Eliminated the Out-of-Sample Ability of Financial Variables To Forecast Real Activity After the Mid-1980s? Evidence From the Canadian Economy," Working Papers, Brock University, Department of Economics, number 0910, Dec, revised Oct 2010.
• Françoise Charpin, 2009, "Estimation précoce de la croissance. De la régression LARS au modèle à facteurs," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, volume 0, issue 1, pages 31-48.
• Esfahani, H.S. & Mohaddes, K. & Pesaran, M.H., 2009, "Oil Exports and the Iranian Economy," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 0944, Oct.
• M. Hashem Pesaran & Christoph Schleicher & Paolo Zaffaroni, 2008, "Model Averaging in Risk Management with an Application to Futures Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 2231.
• M. Hashem Pesaran & Andreas Pick & Allan Timmermann, 2009, "Variable Selection and Inference for Multi-period Forecasting Problems," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 2543.
• Sasa Zikovic & Randall Filer, 2009, "Hybrid Historical Simulation VaR and ES: Performance in Developed and Emerging Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 2820.
• Hadi Salehi Esfahani & Kamiar Mohaddes & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2009, "Oil Exports and the Iranian Economy," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 2843.
• M. Hashem Pesaran & Paolo Zaffaroni, 2009, "Optimality and Diversifiability of Mean Variance and Arbitrage Pricing Portfolios," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 2857.
• Hans-Günther Vieweg & Michael Reinhard, 2009, "Guss 2020 - Perspectives for the global market for foundry products," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 35, October.
• Tilmann Rave & Ursula Triebswetter, 2007, "Assessment of different approaches to implementation of the IPPC Directive and their impacts on competitiveness : some evidence from the steel and glass industry ; study on behalf of the European Commission, DG Environment," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 35.
• Giliola Frey & Matteo Manera & Anil Markandya & Elisa Scarpa, 2009, "Econometric Models for Oil Price Forecasting: A Critical Survey," CESifo Forum, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 10, issue 01, pages 29-44, April.
• Steffen Henzel & Johannes Mayr, 2009, "The Virtues of VAR Forecast Pooling – A DSGE Model Based Monte Carlo Study," ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 65.
• Christina Ziegler, 2009, "Testing Predicitive Ability of Business Cycle Indicators for the Euro Area," ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 69.
• Camilo SERRANO & Martin HOESLI, 2009, "Predicting Securitized Real Estate Returns: Financial and Real Estate Factors vs. Economic Variables," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series, Swiss Finance Institute, number 09-08, Mar.
• Michal Andrle & Tibor Hledik & Ondra Kamenik & Jan Vlcek, 2009, "Implementing the New Structural Model of the Czech National Bank," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2009/2, Oct.
• E. Otranto, 2009, "Improving the Forecasting of Dynamic Conditional Correlation: a Volatility Dependent Approach," Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia, number 200917.
• José R. Sánchez-Fung, 2009, "Modelación de la inversión en Centroamérica y la República Dominicana," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID.
• Eliana Gonz�lez & Luis F. Melo & Viviana Monroy & Brayan Rojas, 2009, "A Dynamic Factor Model For The Colombian Inflation," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 5273, Feb.
• Andr�s Felipe Garc�a Suaza & Jos� Eduardo G�mez G�nzalez, 2009, "Determinantes de las fusiones y adquisiciones en el sistema financiero colombiano. 1990-2007," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 5294, Feb.
• Enrique L�pez Enciso & Andr�s Salamanca Lugo, 2009, "El efecto riqueza de la vivienda en Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 5301, Feb.
• Ignacio Lozano Espitia & Karen Rodr�guez, 2009, "Assessing the Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 5386, Mar.
• Alejandro Reveiz & Carlos Le�n & Freddy H. Castro & Gabriel Piraquive, 2009, "Modelo de simulaci�n del valor de la pensi�n de un trabajador en Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 5387, Mar.
• Carlos Esteban Posada & Jorge Andr�s Tamayo C., 2009, "La crisis reciente de Estados Unidos (2007-2008): redescubriendo la importancia del mercado de "fondos prestables"," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 5388, Mar.
• Juan David Prada Sarmiento & Luis Eduardo Rojas Due�as, 2009, "La elasticidad de Frisch y la transmisi�n de la pol�tica monetaria en Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 5404, Mar.
• Jos� Eduardo G�mez G�nzlaez & Jorge Mario Uribe Gil & Hern�n Pi�eros Gordo, 2009, "Determinantes de la Rentabilidad de los Bancos en Colombia: �Importa la Tasa de Cambio?," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 5405, Mar.
• Lavan Mahadeva & Javier G�mez Pineda, 2009, "The international cycle and Colombian monetary policy," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 5406, Apr.
• Hernando Vargas & Andr�s Gonz�lez & Eliana Gonz�lez & Jose Vicente Romero, 2009, "Assessing Inflationary Pressures in Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 5473, Apr.
• Andr�s Gonz�lez G�mez & Lavan Mahadeva & Diego Rodr�guez & Luis Eduardo Rojas, 2009, "Monetary Policy Forecasting In A Dsge Model With Data That Is Uncertain, Unbalanced And About The Future," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 5480, Apr.
• Jos� Eduardo G�mez-Gonz�lez & In�s Paola Orozco Hinojosa, 2009, "Estimation of Conditional Time-Homogeneous Credit Quality Transition Matrices for Commercial Banks in Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 5507, Apr.
• Juan Jos� Echavarr�a & Diego V�squez & Mauricio Villamizar, 2009, "Impacto de las Intervenciones Cambiarias sobre el Nivel y la Volatilidad de la Tasa de Cambio en Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 5509, Apr.
• Jos� Eduardo G�mez Gonz�lez & Carlos Eduardo Le�n Rinc�n & Karen Julieth Leiton Rodr�guez, 2009, "Does the Use of Foreign Currency Derivatives Affect Colombian Firms� Market Value?," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 5514, May.