Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes
Top JEL
/ C: Mathematical and Quantitative Methods
/ / C5: Econometric Modeling
/ / / C53: Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:
2021
- Pawel Polak & Urban Ulrych, 2021, "Dynamic Currency Hedging with Ambiguity," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series, Swiss Finance Institute, number 21-60, Aug.
- Dongshuai Zhao, CFA & Didier Sornette, 2021, "Bubbles for Fama from Sornette," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series, Swiss Finance Institute, number 21-94, Dec.
- Damir Filipović & Amir Khalilzadeh, 2021, "Machine Learning for Predicting Stock Return Volatility," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series, Swiss Finance Institute, number 21-95, Dec.
- Christian Urom & Gideon Ndubuisi & Jude Ozor, 2021, "Economic activity, and financial and commodity markets’ shocks: An analysis of implied volatility indexes," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 165, pages 51-66.
- Hugo Couture & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2021, "Analyse du marché du travail à l’aide des données de Google Trends," CIRANO Project Reports, CIRANO, number 2021rp-15, Aug.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2021, "Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession?," CIRANO Working Papers, CIRANO, number 2021s-09, Mar.
- Miroslav Plasil, 2021, "Designing Macro-Financial Scenarios: The New CNB Framework and Satellite Models for Property Prices and Credit," Research and Policy Notes, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2021/01, Sep.
- Michal Franta & Jan Libich, 2021, "Holding the Economy by the Tail: Analysis of Short- and Long-run Macroeconomic Risks," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2021/3, Sep.
- Ricardo Crisóstomo, 2021, "Estimación de probabilidades representativas del mundo real: importancia de los sesgos conductuales," CNMV Documentos de Trabajo, CNMV- Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores - Departamento de Estudios y Estadísticas, number CNMV Documentos de Trabaj.
- Javier Ojea-Ferreiro, 2021, "Deconstrucción del riesgo sistémico: Un método de prueba de resistencia inversa," CNMV Documentos de Trabajo, CNMV- Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores - Departamento de Estudios y Estadísticas, number CNMV Documentos de Trabaj.
- Ricardo Crisóstomo, 2021, "Estimating real word probabilities: a forward-looking behavioral framework," CNMV Working Papers, CNMV- Spanish Securities Markets Commission - Research and Statistics Department, number CNMV Working Papers no. 7.
- Javier Ojea-Ferreiro, 2021, "Deconstructing systemic risk: A reverse stress testing approach," CNMV Working Papers, CNMV- Spanish Securities Markets Commission - Research and Statistics Department, number CNMV Working Papers no. 7.
- C Castro-Iragorri & J RamÔøΩrez, 2021, "Forecasting Dynamic Term Structure Models with Autoencoders," Documentos de Trabajo, Universidad del Rosario, number 19431, Jul.
- Pavel Vidal Alejandro & Gilberto Ram�rez & Lya Paola Sierra, 2021, "Un análisis regional de los choques monetarios y externos: el caso del Valle del Cauca en Colombia," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, volume 40, issue 82, pages 57-81.
- Ana María Iregui-Bohórquez & C�sar Anzola-Bravo & Luisa Fernanda Ball�n-Rubio & Valeria Bejarano-Salcedo & Eliana Gonz�lez-Molano & Anderson Grajales-Olarte & Alexander Guar�n-L�pez & Mar�a Alejandra , 2021, "¿Qué nos dicen las encuestas sobre la formación de expectativas de inflación?," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, issue 100, pages 1-95.
- Katherine Coronel-Pangol & Gustavo Flores-S�nchez & Jorge Campoverde-Campoverde & Armando Romero-Galarza, 2021, "Aproximación predictiva al riesgo crediticio comercial en empresas alimenticias ecuatorianas," Estudios Gerenciales, Universidad Icesi, volume 37, issue 160, pages 413-424, DOI: 10.18046/j.estger.2021.160.4022.
- Alexander Correa, 2021, "Prediciendo la llegada de turistas a Colombia a partir de los criterios de Google Trends," Revista Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, issue No. 95, pages 105-134.
- Benchimol, Jonathan & Bounader, Lahcen, 2021, "Optimal Monetary Policy Under Bounded Rationality," Dynare Working Papers, CEPREMAP, number 67, Mar.
- Lenza, Michele & Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2021, "Nowcasting with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 15854, Feb.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Stevanovic, Dalibor & Goulet Coulombe, Philippe, 2021, "Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession?," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 15867, Mar.
- Engel, Charles & Wu, Steve Pak Yeung, 2021, "Forecasting the U.S. Dollar in the 21st Century," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 15915, Mar.
- Timmermann, Allan & Zhu, Yinchu, 2021, "Conditional Rotation Between Forecasting Models," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 15917, Mar.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Clark, Todd & Carriero, Andrea & Mertens, Elmar, 2021, "Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 15964, Mar.
- Mckibbin, Warwick & Fernando, Roshen & Liu, Weifeng, 2021, "Global Economic Impacts of Climate Shocks, Climate Policy and Changes in Climate Risk Assessment," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 16154, May.
- , & Stein, Tobias, 2021, "Equity premium predictability over the business cycle," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 16357, Sep.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Clark, Todd & Carriero, Andrea, 2021, "Nowcasting Tail Risk to Economic Activity at a Weekly Frequency," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 16496, Aug.
- Mckibbin, Warwick & Jaumotte, Florence & Liu, Weifeng, 2021, "Mitigating Climate Change: Growth-Friendly Policies to Achieve Net Zero Emissions by 2050," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 16553, Sep.
- Rubio-RamÃrez, Juan Francisco & Petrella, Ivan & Antolin-Diaz, Juan, 2021, "Dividend Momentum and Stock Return Predictability: A Bayesian Approach," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 16613, Oct.
- Broer, Tobias & Kohlhas, Alexandre & Mitman, Kurt & Schlafmann, Kathrin, 2021, "On the Possibility of Krusell-Smith Equilibria," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 16667, Oct.
- Schorfheide, Frank & Song, Dongho, 2021, "Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 16760, Nov.
- Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021, "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," GRU Working Paper Series, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit, number GRU_2021_017, May.
- Sarlin, Peter & von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2021, "Optimizing Policymakers’ Loss Functions In Crisis Prediction: Before, Within Or After?," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 25, issue 1, pages 100-123, January.
- Goulet Coulombe, Philippe & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Stevanović, Dalibor, 2021, "Can Machine Learning Catch The Covid-19 Recession?," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, volume 256, issue , pages 71-109, May.
- Ali Hortacsu & Olivia R. Natan & Hayden Parsley & Timothy Schwieg & Kevin R. Williams, 2021, "Organizational Structure and Pricing: Evidence from a Large U.S. Airline," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 2312, Nov.
- Ali Hortacsu & Olivia R. Natan & Hayden Parsley & Timothy Schwieg & Kevin R. Williams, 2021, "Organizational Structure and Pricing: Evidence from a Large U.S. Airline," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 2312R, Nov, revised Mar 2022.
- Ali Hortacsu & Olivia R. Natan & Hayden Parsley & Timothy Schwieg & Kevin R. Williams, 2021, "Organizational Structure and Pricing: Evidence from a Large U.S. Airline," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 2312R2, Nov, revised Oct 2022.
- Ali Hortacsu & Olivia R. Natan & Hayden Parsley & Timothy Schwieg & Kevin R. Williams, 2021, "Organizational Structure and Pricing: Evidence from a Large U.S. Airline," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 2312R3, Nov, revised Jan 2023.
- Ali Hortacsu & Olivia R. Natan & Hayden Parsley & Timothy Schwieg & Kevin R. Williams, 2021, "Organizational Structure and Pricing: Evidence from a Large U.S. Airline," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 2312R4, Nov, revised Jun 2023.
- Jeronymo Marcondes Pinto & Emerson Fernandes Marçal, 2021, "Industrial Output Growth Forecast: A Machine Learning Approach Based on Cross-Validation," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot GmbH, Berlin, volume 67, issue 4, pages 337-351, DOI: 10.3790/aeq.67.4.337.
- Lukas Boer & Andrea Pescatori & Martin Stuermer, 2021, "Energy Transition Metals," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 1976.
- Bastien Lextrait, 2021, "Scaling up SME's credit scoring scope with LightGBM," EconomiX Working Papers, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX, number 2021-25.
- Hirschbühl, Dominik & Onorante, Luca & Saiz, Lorena, 2021, "Using machine learning and big data to analyse the business cycle," Economic Bulletin Articles, European Central Bank, volume 5.
- Alogoskoufis, Spyros & Dunz, Nepomuk & Emambakhsh, Tina & Hennig, Tristan & Kaijser, Michiel & Kouratzoglou, Charalampos & Muñoz, Manuel A. & Parisi, Laura & Salleo, Carmelo, 2021, "ECB’s economy-wide climate stress test," Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 281, Sep.
- Huber, Florian & Koop, Gary & Onorante, Luca & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Schreiner, Josef, 2021, "Nowcasting in a pandemic using non-parametric mixed frequency VARs," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2510, Jan.
- Le Mezo, Helena & Ferrari Minesso, Massimo, 2021, "Text-based recession probabilities," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2516, Jan.
- Dalhaus, Tatjana & Schaumburg, Julia & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2021, "Networking the yield curve: implications for monetary policy," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2532, Mar.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E., 2021, "Economic predictions with big data: the illusion of sparsity," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2542, Apr.
- Bańbura, Marta & Brenna, Federica & Paredes, Joan & Ravazzolo, Francesco, 2021, "Combining Bayesian VARs with survey density forecasts: does it pay off?," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2543, May.
- Bobeica, Elena & Hartwig, Benny, 2021, "The COVID-19 shock and challenges for time series models," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2558, May.
- Korobilis, Dimitris & Landau, Bettina & Musso, Alberto & Phella, Anthoulla, 2021, "The time-varying evolution of inflation risks," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2600, Oct.
- Consolo, Agostino & Foroni, Claudia & Martínez Hernández, Catalina, 2021, "A mixed frequency BVAR for the euro area labour market," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2601, Oct.
- Garcia, Pablo & Jacquinot, Pascal & Lenarčič, Črt & Lozej, Matija & Mavromatis, Kostas, 2021, "Global models for a global pandemic: the impact of COVID-19 on small euro area economies," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2603, Oct.
- Bańbura, Marta & Leiva-Leon, Danilo & Menz, Jan-Oliver, 2021, "Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation forecasts?," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2604, Oct.
- Bluwstein, Kristina & Buckmann, Marcus & Joseph, Andreas & Kapadia, Sujit & Şimşek, Özgür, 2021, "Credit growth, the yield curve and financial crisis prediction: evidence from a machine learning approach," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2614, Nov.
- Sokol, Andrej, 2021, "Fan charts 2.0: flexible forecast distributions with expert judgement," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2624, Dec.
- Dimitrios Kartsonakis Mademlis & Nikolaos Dritsakis, 2021, "Volatility Forecasting using Hybrid GARCH Neural Network Models: The Case of the Italian Stock Market," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, volume 11, issue 1, pages 49-60.
- Ernie Hendrawaty & Rialdi Azhar & Fajrin Satria Dwi Kesumah & Sari Indah Oktanti Sembiring & Mega Metalia, 2021, "Modelling and Forecasting Crude Oil Prices during COVID-19 Pandemic," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, volume 11, issue 2, pages 149-154.
- Santiago Gall n & Jorge Barrientos, 2021, "Forecasting the Colombian Electricity Spot Price under a Functional Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, volume 11, issue 2, pages 67-74.
- Chaido Dritsaki & Dimitrios Niklis & Pavlos Stamatiou, 2021, "Oil Consumption Forecasting using ARIMA Models: An Empirical Study for Greece," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, volume 11, issue 4, pages 214-224.
- Mohamed Defaf & Mohamed Tkiouat, 2021, "A Review on Prospective Energy Models: The Moroccan Case," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, volume 11, issue 4, pages 14-23.
- Saring Suhendro & Mega Matalia & Sari Indah Oktanti Sembiring, 2021, "Public Sector Policy of Estimating Model for Renewable Energy," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, volume 11, issue 5, pages 609-613.
- Bharat Kumar Meher & Iqbal Thonse Hawaldar & Mathew Thomas Gil & Deebom Zorle Dum, 2021, "Measuring Leverage Effect of Covid 19 on Stock Price Volatility of Energy Companies Using High Frequency Data," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, volume 11, issue 6, pages 489-502.
- Thu, Le Ha & Leon-Gonzalez, Roberto, 2021, "Forecasting macroeconomic variables in emerging economies," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, volume 77, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2021.101403.
- Nyman, Rickard & Kapadia, Sujit & Tuckett, David, 2021, "News and narratives in financial systems: Exploiting big data for systemic risk assessment," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 127, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104119.
- Gelfer, Sacha, 2021, "Evaluating the forecasting power of an open-economy DSGE model when estimated in a data-Rich environment," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 129, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104177.
- Hasan, Mudassar & Arif, Muhammad & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Ngo, Quang-Thanh & Taghizadeh–Hesary, Farhad, 2021, "Time-frequency connectedness between Asian electricity sectors," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, volume 69, issue C, pages 208-224, DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2020.12.008.
- Gangopadhyay, Kausik & Mondal, Debasis, 2021, "Productivity, relative sectoral prices, and total factor productivity: Theory and evidence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 100, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2021.105509.
- Busetti, Fabio & Caivano, Michele & Delle Monache, Davide & Pacella, Claudia, 2021, "The time-varying risk of Italian GDP," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 101, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2021.105522.
- Belomestny, Denis & Krymova, Ekaterina & Polbin, Andrey, 2021, "Bayesian TVP-VARX models with time invariant long-run multipliers," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 101, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2021.105531.
- Lehrer, Steven & Xie, Tian & Zhang, Xinyu, 2021, "Social media sentiment, model uncertainty, and volatility forecasting," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 102, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2021.105556.
- Zhang, Zhikai & He, Mengxi & Zhang, Yaojie & Wang, Yudong, 2021, "Realized skewness and the short-term predictability for aggregate stock market volatility," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 103, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2021.105614.
- Lucey, Brian & Ren, Boru, 2021, "Does news tone help forecast oil?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 104, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2021.105635.
- Cross, Jamie L. & Hou, Chenghan & Trinh, Kelly, 2021, "Returns, volatility and the cryptocurrency bubble of 2017–18," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 104, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2021.105643.
- Casarin, Roberto & Costantini, Mauro & Paradiso, Antonio, 2021, "On the role of dependence in sticky price and sticky information Phillips curve: Modelling and forecasting," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 105, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2021.105644.
- Lourenço, Nuno & Gouveia, Carlos Melo & Rua, António, 2021, "Forecasting tourism with targeted predictors in a data-rich environment," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 96, issue C, pages 445-454, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2020.03.030.
- Frömmel, Michael & Midiliç, Murat, 2021, "Daily currency interventions in an emerging market: Incorporating reserve accumulation to the reaction function," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 97, issue C, pages 461-476, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2020.09.020.
- Mora-Valencia, Andrés & Rodríguez-Raga, Santiago & Vanegas, Esteban, 2021, "Skew index: Descriptive analysis, predictive power, and short-term forecast," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 56, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2020.101356.
- Ouyang, Zi-sheng & Yang, Xi-te & Lai, Yongzeng, 2021, "Systemic financial risk early warning of financial market in China using Attention-LSTM model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 56, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2021.101383.
- Lin, Yu & Yan, Yan & Xu, Jiali & Liao, Ying & Ma, Feng, 2021, "Forecasting stock index price using the CEEMDAN-LSTM model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 57, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2021.101421.
- Figà-Talamanca, Gianna & Focardi, Sergio & Patacca, Marco, 2021, "Regime switches and commonalities of the cryptocurrencies asset class," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 57, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2021.101425.
- Pérez-Rodríguez, Jorge V. & Andrada-Félix, Julián & Rachinger, Heiko, 2021, "Testing the forward volatility unbiasedness hypothesis in exchange rates under long-range dependence," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 57, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2021.101438.
- Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Jawadi, Fredj, 2021, "Does inequality help in forecasting equity premium in a panel of G7 countries?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 57, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2021.101456.
- Shu, Min & Song, Ruiqiang & Zhu, Wei, 2021, "The ‘COVID’ crash of the 2020 U.S. Stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 58, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2021.101497.
- Kim, Jong-Min & Kim, Dong H. & Jung, Hojin, 2021, "Applications of machine learning for corporate bond yield spread forecasting," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 58, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2021.101540.
- Lyu, Yifei & Nie, Jun & Yang, Shu-Kuei X., 2021, "Forecasting US economic growth in downturns using cross-country data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 198, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2020.109668.
- Aguilar, Pablo & Ghirelli, Corinna & Pacce, Matías & Urtasun, Alberto, 2021, "Can news help measure economic sentiment? An application in COVID-19 times," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 199, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2021.109730.
- Qiu, Yue, 2021, "Complete subset least squares support vector regression," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 200, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2021.109737.
- Li, Yiyun & Law, Keith K.F., 2021, "Systematic risk in pairs trading and dynamic parameterization," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 202, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2021.109842.
- Fang, Ming & Taylor, Stephen, 2021, "A machine learning based asset pricing factor model comparison on anomaly portfolios," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 204, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2021.109919.
- Ardia, David & Bluteau, Keven & Kassem, Alaa, 2021, "A century of Economic Policy Uncertainty through the French–Canadian lens," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 205, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2021.109938.
- Du, Zaichao & Pei, Pei, 2021, "A simple and robust counterfactual impact evaluation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 207, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2021.110015.
- Karmakar, Sayar & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan, 2021, "Bitcoin mining activity and volatility dynamics in the power market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 209, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2021.110111.
- Hayashi, Fumio & Tachi, Yuta, 2021, "The nowcast revision analysis extended," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 209, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2021.110112.
- Liu, Laura & Moon, Hyungsik Roger & Schorfheide, Frank, 2021, "Panel forecasts of country-level Covid-19 infections," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 220, issue 1, pages 2-22, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.08.010.
- Korolev, Ivan, 2021, "Identification and estimation of the SEIRD epidemic model for COVID-19," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 220, issue 1, pages 63-85, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.07.038.
- Perera, Indeewara & Silvapulle, Mervyn J., 2021, "Bootstrap based probability forecasting in multiplicative error models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 221, issue 1, pages 1-24, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.01.022.
- Pathak, Parag A. & Shi, Peng, 2021, "How well do structural demand models work? Counterfactual predictions in school choice," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 222, issue 1, pages 161-195, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.07.031.
- Mogliani, Matteo & Simoni, Anna, 2021, "Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: Estimation, selection, and prediction," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 222, issue 1, pages 833-860, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.07.022.
- Sun, Yuying & Hong, Yongmiao & Lee, Tae-Hwy & Wang, Shouyang & Zhang, Xinyu, 2021, "Time-varying model averaging," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 222, issue 2, pages 974-992, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.02.006.
- Liao, Jun & Zou, Guohua & Gao, Yan & Zhang, Xinyu, 2021, "Model averaging prediction for time series models with a diverging number of parameters," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 223, issue 1, pages 190-221, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.10.004.
- Su, Jiun-Hua, 2021, "Model selection in utility-maximizing binary prediction," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 223, issue 1, pages 96-124, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.07.052.
- Ahsan, Md. Nazmul & Dufour, Jean-Marie, 2021, "Simple estimators and inference for higher-order stochastic volatility models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 224, issue 1, pages 181-197, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2021.03.008.
- Andersen, Torben G. & Varneskov, Rasmus T., 2021, "Consistent inference for predictive regressions in persistent economic systems," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 224, issue 1, pages 215-244, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.04.051.
- Hecq, Alain & Voisin, Elisa, 2021, "Forecasting bubbles with mixed causal-noncausal autoregressive models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, volume 20, issue C, pages 29-45, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosta.2020.03.007.
- Hauzenberger, Niko, 2021, "Flexible Mixture Priors for Large Time-varying Parameter Models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, volume 20, issue C, pages 87-108, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosta.2021.06.001.
- Vázquez, Jesús & Aguilar, Pablo, 2021, "Adaptive learning with term structure information," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 134, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103689.
- Eckert, Florian & Hyndman, Rob J. & Panagiotelis, Anastasios, 2021, "Forecasting Swiss exports using Bayesian forecast reconciliation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, volume 291, issue 2, pages 693-710, DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2020.09.046.
- Florian, Huber & Koop, Gary & Onorante, Luca & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Schreiner, Josef, 2021, "Nowcasting in a Pandemic using Non-Parametric Mixed Frequency VARs," JRC Working Papers in Economics and Finance, Joint Research Centre, European Commission, number 2021-01, Mar.
- Tae-Hwy Lee & Shahnaz Parsaeian & Aman Ullah, 2021, "Efficient Combined Estimation under Structural Breaks," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, number 202107, Jan.
- William A. Barnett & Sohee Park, 2021, "Forecasting Inflation and Output Growth with Credit-Card-Augmented Divisia Monetary Aggregates," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, number 202120, Oct, revised Oct 2021.
- Tae-Hwy Lee & Shahnaz Parsaeian & Aman Ullah, 2022, "Optimal Forecast under Structural Breaks," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, number 202207, Jan.
- Kartikay Gupta & Niladri Chatterjee, 2021, "Stocks Recommendation from Large Datasets Using Important Company and Economic Indicators," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, volume 28, issue 4, pages 667-689, December, DOI: 10.1007/s10690-021-09341-9.
- Luiz Renato Lima & Lucas Lúcio Godeiro & Mohammed Mohsin, 2021, "Time-Varying Dictionary and the Predictive Power of FED Minutes," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 57, issue 1, pages 149-181, January, DOI: 10.1007/s10614-020-10039-9.
- Indranil Ghosh & Manas K. Sanyal & R. K. Jana, 2021, "Co-movement and Dynamic Correlation of Financial and Energy Markets: An Integrated Framework of Nonlinear Dynamics, Wavelet Analysis and DCC-GARCH," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 57, issue 2, pages 503-527, February, DOI: 10.1007/s10614-019-09965-0.
- Athanasios Tsadiras & Maria Pempetzoglou & Iosif Viktoratos, 2021, "Making Predictions of Global Warming Impacts Using a Semantic Web Tool that Simulates Fuzzy Cognitive Maps," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 58, issue 3, pages 715-745, October, DOI: 10.1007/s10614-020-10025-1.
- Oscar Claveria, 2021, "Uncertainty indicators based on expectations of business and consumer surveys," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, volume 48, issue 2, pages 483-505, May, DOI: 10.1007/s10663-020-09479-1.
- Eduard Baitinger & Samuel Flegel, 2021, "The better turbulence index? Forecasting adverse financial markets regimes with persistent homology," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, volume 35, issue 3, pages 277-308, September, DOI: 10.1007/s11408-020-00377-x.
- Alfred Michael Dockery & Mark N. Harris & Nicholas Holyoak & Ranjodh B. Singh, 2021, "A methodology for projecting sparse populations and its application to remote Indigenous communities," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, volume 23, issue 1, pages 37-61, January, DOI: 10.1007/s10109-020-00329-z.
- Niall Newsham & Francisco Rowe, 2021, "Projecting the demographic impact of Syrian migration in a rapidly ageing society, Germany," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, volume 23, issue 2, pages 231-261, April, DOI: 10.1007/s10109-018-00290-y.
- Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Keagile Lesame & Mark E. Wohar, 2021, "High-Frequency Volatility Forecasting of US Housing Markets," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, volume 62, issue 2, pages 283-317, February, DOI: 10.1007/s11146-020-09745-w.
- Qingjing Zhang & Taufiq Choudhry & Jing-Ming Kuo & Xiaoquan Liu, 2021, "Does liquidity drive stock market returns? The role of investor risk aversion," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, volume 57, issue 3, pages 929-958, October, DOI: 10.1007/s11156-021-00966-5.
- Cem Cakmakli & Verda Ozturk, 2021, "Economic Value of Modeling the Joint Distribution of Returns and Volatility: Leverage Timing," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum, number 2110, Jul.
- Magdalena Cornejo, 2021, "Forecasting crop yields through climate variables using mixed frequency data. The case of Argentine soybeans," Económica, Departamento de Economía, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Universidad Nacional de La Plata, volume 67, pages 93-106, January-D.
- Alexander Correa, 2021, "Forecasting Tourist Arrivals to Colombia from Google Trends Search Criteria," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 95, pages 105-134, July-Dece, DOI: 10.17533/udea.le.n95a343462.
- Jamal Bouoiyour, Refk Selmi, 2021, "The financial costs of terrorism: evidence from Germany," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), volume 18, issue 1, pages 87-104, June.
- Muhammad Ejaz & Javed Iqbal, 2021, "Estimation and Forecasting of Industrial Production Index," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, volume 26, issue 1, pages 1-30, Jan-June.
- Boriss Siliverstovs, 2021, "Gauging the Effect of Influential Observations on Measures of Relative Forecast Accuracy in a Post-COVID-19 Era: Application to Nowcasting Euro Area GDP Growth," Working Papers, Latvijas Banka, number 2021/01, Feb.
- Andreï Kostyrka & Dmitry Igorevich Malakhov,, 2021, "The good, the bad, and the asymmetric: Evidence from a new conditional density model," DEM Discussion Paper Series, Department of Economics at the University of Luxembourg, number 21-09.
- Gani Ramadani & Magdalena Petrovska & Vesna Bucevska, 2021, "Evaluation of mixed frequency approaches for tracking near-term economic developments in North Macedonia," Working Papers, National Bank of the Republic of North Macedonia, number 2021-03.
- Martin Baumgaertner & Johannes Zahner, 2021, "Whatever it takes to understand a central banker - Embedding their words using neural networks," MAGKS Papers on Economics, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung), number 202130.
- Erik Heilmann & Janosch Henze & Heike Wetzel, 2021, "Machine learning in energy forecasts with an application to high frequency electricity consumption data," MAGKS Papers on Economics, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung), number 202135.
- Weshah Razzak, 2021, "The Ownership of Oil, Democracy, and Iraq's Past, Present and Future," Discussion Papers, School of Economics and Finance, Massey University, New Zealand, number 2102.
- Yoonseok Lee & Donggyu Sul, 2021, "Depth-Weighted Forecast Combination: Application to COVID-19 Cases," Center for Policy Research Working Papers, Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University, number 238, Feb.
- João Frois Caldeira & Rangan Gupta & Muhammad Tahir Suleman & Hudson S. Torrent, 2021, "Forecasting the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the BRICS: Evidence from a Nonparametric Functional Data Analysis," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 57, issue 15, pages 4312-4329, December, DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2020.1808458.
- Kadir Özen & Dilem Yıldırım, 2021, "Application of Bagging in Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting and Factor Augmentation," ERC Working Papers, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, number 2101, Apr, revised Apr 2021.
- Jean-David Fermanian & Dominique Guégan, 2021, "Fair learning with bagging," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, number 21034, Nov.
- George Athanasopoulos & Nikolaos Kourentzes, 2021, "On the Evaluation of Hierarchical Forecasts," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 10/21.
- Sium Bodha Hannadige & Jiti Gao & Mervyn J Silvapulle & Param Silvapulle, 2021, "Time Series Forecasting Using a Mixture of Stationary and Nonstationary Predictors," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 6/21.
- David T. Frazier & Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Gael M. Martin & Bonsoo Koo, 2021, "Loss-Based Variational Bayes Prediction," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 8/21.
- Andres Algaba & Samuel Borms & Kris Boudt & Brecht Verbeken, 2021, "Daily news sentiment and monthly surveys: A mixed–frequency dynamic factor model for nowcasting consumer confidence," Working Paper Research, National Bank of Belgium, number 396, Feb.
- Sylwia Radomska, 2021, "Prognozowanie indeksu WIG20 za pomocą sieci neuronowych NARX i metody SVM," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, volume 52, issue 5, pages 457-472.
- Anirban Basu & Noah Hammarlund & Sara Khor & Aasthaa Bansal, 2021, "Understanding Algorithmic Discrimination in Health Economics Through the Lens of Measurement Errors," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 29413, Oct.
- Ali Hortaçsu & Olivia R. Natan & Hayden Parsley & Timothy Schwieg & Kevin R. Williams, 2021, "Organizational Structure and Pricing: Evidence from a Large U.S. Airline," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 29508, Nov.
- Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2021, "Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 29535, Dec.
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- Novikova, T. & Tsyplakov, A., 2021, "Social policy development based on a combination of agent-oriented and inter-industrial approaches," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, volume 52, issue 4, pages 12-36, DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2021-52-4-1.
- Ali Hortaçsu & Olivia R. Natan & Hayden Parsley & Timothy Schwieg & Kevin R. Williams, 2021, "Organizational Structure and Pricing: Evidence from a Large U.S. Airline," Working Papers, NET Institute, number 21-09, Oct.
- Bhattacharya, Rudrani & Bhandari, Bornali & Mundle, Sudipto, 2021, "Nowcasting India's Quarterly GDP Growth: A Factor Augmented Time-Varying Coefficient Regression Model (FA-TVCRM)," Working Papers, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy, number 21/357, Oct.
- Mirjana Miletic, Aleksandar Tomin, Andjelka Djordjevic & Mirjana Miletic & Aleksandar Tomin & Andjelka Djordjevic, 2021, "Interest rate pass-through in Serbia: evidence from individual bank data," Working Papers Bulletin, National Bank of Serbia, number 4, Sep.
- George Kapetanios & Fotis Papailias, 2021, "UK Economic Conditions during the Pandemic: Assessing the Economy using ONS Faster Indicators," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE), number ESCoE DP-2021-10, Aug.
- Alex Botsis & Christoph Gortz & Plutarchos Sakellaris, 2021, "Quantifying Qualitative Survey Data: New Insights on the (Ir)Rationality of Firms' Forecasts," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE), number ESCoE DP-2021-14, Oct.
- Andrew B. Martinez & Jennifer L. Castle & David F. Hendry, 2021, "Smooth Robust Multi-Horizon Forecasts," Economics Papers, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford, number 2021-W01, Jan.
- Victor Yotzov, 2021, "Commodity Market Structure and Risk Factor Analysis in Bulgaria," Godishnik na UNSS, University of National and World Economy, Sofia, Bulgaria, issue 2, pages 1-53–73, December.
- Iva Raycheva, 2021, "Child Poverty among European Countries and Bulgaria’s Place among Them. Statistical Analysis of Convergence," Ikonomiceski i Sotsialni Alternativi, University of National and World Economy, Sofia, Bulgaria, issue 3, pages 37-51, September.
- Kensuke Tanaka, 2021, "Forecasting developing Asian economies during normal times and large external shocks: Approaches and challenges," OECD Development Centre Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 345, May, DOI: 10.1787/5a1c4c48-en.
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- Lidia Vesa & Marcel Ioan Boloş & Claudia Diana Sabău-Popa, 2021, "Inventory Decision In Vuca World Using Economic Logic Quantity," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, volume 1, issue 1, pages 251-267, July.
- Ionuţ Gavriş & Valentin Toader, 2021, "The Probability Of Uncertainty: Romania’S Growth Perspectives," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, volume 1, issue 1, pages 71-81, July.
- Rachel R. Cheti & Bahati Ilembo, 2021, "Vector Autoregressive Approach After First Differencing: A Time Series Analysis Of Inflation And Its Determinants In Tanzania," Oradea Journal of Business and Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, volume 6, issue 2, pages 43-56, September, DOI: http://doi.org/10.47535/1991ojbe128.
- Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2021, "Online estimation of DSGE models," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 24, issue 1, pages 33-58.
- Fred Liu & Lars Stentoft, 2021, "Regulatory Capital and Incentives for Risk Model Choice under Basel 3
[Procyclical Leverage and Value-at-Risk]," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, volume 19, issue 1, pages 53-96. - Apaar Sadhwani & Kay Giesecke & Justin Sirignano, 2021, "Deep Learning for Mortgage Risk
[The Subprime Virus]," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, volume 19, issue 2, pages 313-368. - Giuseppe Buccheri & Fulvio Corsi, 2021, "HARK the SHARK: Realized Volatility Modeling with Measurement Errors and Nonlinear Dependencies," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, volume 19, issue 4, pages 614-649.
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[Stock Returns and Volatility: Pricing the Short-Run and Long-Run Components of Market Risk]," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, volume 19, issue 5, pages 860-909. - Steven Lehrer & Tian Xie & Tao Zeng, 2021, "Does High-Frequency Social Media Data Improve Forecasts of Low-Frequency Consumer Confidence Measures?
[Regression Models with Mixed Sampling Frequencies]," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, volume 19, issue 5, pages 910-933. - Daniele Bianchi & Matthias Büchner & Andrea Tamoni, 2021, "Bond Risk Premiums with Machine Learning
[Quadratic term structure models: Theory and evidence]," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, volume 34, issue 2, pages 1046-1089. - Daniele Bianchi & Matthias Büchner & Tobias Hoogteijling & Andrea Tamoni, 2021, "Corrigendum: Bond Risk Premiums with Machine Learning
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- Valerio Mendoza, Octasiano & Borsi, Mihály Tamás & Comim, Flavio, 2021, "Human capital dynamics in China: Evidence from a club convergence approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 105200, Jan.
- Pincheira, Pablo & Hardy, Nicolas, 2021, "The Mean Squared Prediction Error Paradox," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 107403, Apr.
- VINTU, Denis, 2021, "GDP Modelling and Forecasting Using ARIMA. An Empirical Assessment for Innovative Economy Formation," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 107603, Apr, revised 11 Feb 2021.
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- Andres, Antonio Rodriguez & Otero, Abraham & Amavilah, Voxi Heinrich, 2021, "Using Deep Learning Neural Networks to Predict the Knowledge Economy Index for Developing and Emerging Economies," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 109137, Apr.
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[Modeling and forecasting the number of coronavirus infections in Togo: an ARIMA model approach with R software]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 109893, Sep. - Ogbonna, Ahamuefula & Olubusoye, Olusanya E, 2021, "Tail Risks and Stock Return Predictability: Evidence From Asia-Pacific," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 109922, Apr.
- Adekunle, Wasiu & Bekoe, William & Badmus, Sheriff & Anagun, Michael & Alimi, Wasiu, 2021, "Nexus Between Fiscal Discipline And The Budget Process In Africa: Evidence From Nigeria," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 110061, Oct.
- Barnett, William & Park, Sohee, 2021, "Forecasting Inflation and Output Growth with Credit-Card-Augmented Divisia Monetary Aggregates," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 110298, Oct.
- Boer, Lukas & Pescatori, Andrea & Stuermer, Martin, 2021, "Energy Transition Metals," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 110364, Oct.
- Fantazzini, Dean & Calabrese, Raffaella, 2021, "Crypto-exchanges and Credit Risk: Modelling and Forecasting the Probability of Closure," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 110391.
- Fantazzini, Dean & Pushchelenko, Julia & Mironenkov, Alexey & Kurbatskii, Alexey, 2021, "Forecasting internal migration in Russia using Google Trends: Evidence from Moscow and Saint Petersburg," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 110452.
- Bhadury, Soumya & Ghosh, Saurabh & Gopalakrishnan, Pawan, 2021, "In quest for policy 'silver bullets' towards triggering a v-shaped recovery," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 110905, Dec.
- Degiannakis, Stavros, 2021, "Stock market as a nowcasting indicator for real investment," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 110914, Dec.
- Mestiri, Sami, 2021, "Modelling the volatility of Bitcoin returns using Nonparametric GARCH models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 111116, Dec.
- Korobilis, Dimitris & Shimizu, Kenichi, 2021, "Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 111631, Dec.
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