Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

1. Forecasting

2013

• Kenneth Beauchemin, 2013, "A 14-Variable Mixed-Frequency VAR Model," Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, number 493, Dec.
• Matthew Cocci & Marco Del Negro & Stefano Eusepi & Marc Giannoni & Raiden B. Hasegawa & M. Henry Linder & Argia M. Sbordone & Andrea Tambalotti, 2013, "The FRBNY DSGE model," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 647, Oct.
• Mardi Dungey & Jan P. A. M. Jacobs & Jing Tian & Simon van Norden, 2013, "Trend-cycle decomposition: implications from an exact structural identification," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, number 13-22.
• Sergey Tsukhlo, 2013, "Russian Industrial Enterprises (on the Basis of the Surveys) in 2012," Published Papers, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, number 157, revised 2013.
• Alexander Knobel & Sergey Sinelnikov-Murylev & Ilya Sokolov, 2013, "Quality of the Administration of Value-Added Tax in OECD countries and Russia," Working Papers, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, number 0050, revised 2013.
• Huiyu Huang & Tae-Hwy Lee, 2013, "Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using High-Frequency Information," Econometrics, MDPI, volume 1, issue 1, pages 1-14, June.
• Nuno Silva, 2013, "Equity Premia Predictability in the EuroZone," GEMF Working Papers, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra, number 2013-22, Sep.
• J. James Reade & Sachiko Akie, 2013, "Using Forecasting to Detect Corruption in International Football," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2013-005, May.
• Peter Fuleky & Carl, 2013, "Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Samples: The Case of Common Trends," Working Papers, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa, number 2013-5, Apr.
• Peter Fuleky & Carl S. Bonham, 2013, "Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Samples: The Case of Common Trends," Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics, number 201305, Apr.
• Inna Cintina, 2013, "Behind-the-counter, but Over-the-border? The Assessment of the Spillover Effect of Increased Availability of Emergency Contraception in Washington on Neighboring States," Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics, number 201308, May.
• Peter Fuleky & Carl S. Bonham, 2013, "Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Samples: The Case of Common Trends," Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics, number 201316, Aug.
• Camila Epprecht & Dominique Guegan & Álvaro Veiga & Joel Correa da Rosa, 2017, "Variable selection and forecasting via automated methods for linear models: LASSO/adaLASSO and Autometrics," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers), HAL, number halshs-00917797, Oct.
• Anurag Narayan Banerjee & Guillaume Chevillon & Marie Kratz, 2013, "Detecting and Forecasting Large Deviations and Bubbles in a Near-Explosive Random Coefficient Model," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-00870795, Sep.
• Benoit Chèze & Julien Chevallier & Pascal Gastineau, 2013, "Will technological progress be sufficient to stabilize CO2 emissions from air transport in the mid-term ?," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-02489656, Dec.
• Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli & Juan-Pablo Ortega, 2013, "Forecasting US growth during the Great Recession: Is the financial volatility the missing ingredient?," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-04141198.
• Athanassios Petralias & Sotirios Petros & Pródromos Prodromídis, 2013, "Greece in Recession: Economic predictions, mispredictions and policy implications," GreeSE – Hellenic Observatory Papers on Greece and Southeast Europe, Hellenic Observatory, LSE, number 75, Sep.
• Gianni Amisano & Roberta Colavecchio, 2013, "Money Growth and Inflation: evidence from a Markov Switching Bayesian VAR," Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics, number 201304, May.
• Lundbäck, Mattias, 2013, "Resolving the Coordination Problem in Health Care: Limited Responsibility HMO:s," Ratio Working Papers, The Ratio Institute, number 209, Aug.
• Hull, Isaiah, 2013, "Predicting the Spread of Financial Innovations: An Epidemiological Approach," Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), number 279, Oct.
• Bulat Gafarov, 2013, "Do unobserved components models forecast inflation in Russia?," HSE Working papers, National Research University Higher School of Economics, number WP BRP 35/EC/2013.
• Konstantin Fursov & Ian Miles, 2013, "Framing Emerging Nanotechnologies: Steps Towards A Forward-Looking Analysis Of Skills," HSE Working papers, National Research University Higher School of Economics, number WP BRP 15/STI/2013.
• Hiroshi Sakamoto, 2013, "Prediction Of The Prefectural Economy In Japan Using A Stochastic Model," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, volume 0, issue 1, pages 13-24, June.
• Beshears, John Leonard & Choi, James J & Fuster, Andreas & Laibson, David I. & Madrian, Brigitte, 2013, "What Goes Up Must Come Down? Experimental Evidence on Intuitive Forecasting," Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics, number 12378032.
• Mariana Balan & Carmen Uzlau & Corina Maria Ene, 2013, "Analysis and forecast of employees’ mobility on the labor market in Romania using Markov chains," Hyperion Economic Journal, Faculty of Economic Sciences, Hyperion University of Bucharest, Romania, volume 1, issue 2, pages 13-25, June.
• Seyed Hossein Iranmanesh & Hamidreza Mostafaei & Shaghayegh Kordnoori, 2013, "The Application of a Grey Markov Model in Forecasting the Errors of EIA’s Projections in Gas Production and Energy Intensity," Hyperion Economic Journal, Faculty of Economic Sciences, Hyperion University of Bucharest, Romania, volume 1, issue 3, pages 9-17, September.
• Weber, Enzo & Zika, Gerd, 2013, "Labour market forecasting : is disaggregation useful?," IAB-Discussion Paper, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], number 201314.
• Hutter, Christian & Weber, Enzo, 2013, "Constructing a new leading indicator for unemployment from a survey among German employment agencies," IAB-Discussion Paper, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], number 201317.
• Vijay Kumar Vishwakarma, 2013, "Forecasting Real Estate Business: Empirical Evidence From The Canadian Market," Global Journal of Business Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, volume 7, issue 3, pages 1-14.
• Hisham Handal Abdelbaki, 2013, "Causality Relationship between Macroeconomic Variables and Stock Market Development: Evidence from Bahrain," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, volume 7, issue 1, pages 69-84.
• Nikola Gradojevic & Camillo Lento, 2013, "Multiscale Analysis of Foreign Exchange Order Flows and Technical Trading Profitability," Working Papers, IESEG School of Management, number 2014-ACF-03, Sep.
• Maria João Ferreira Maia, 2013, "Foresight Exercises as a tool for decision-making: the example of two case studies in health," Enterprise and Work Innovation Studies, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, IET/CICS.NOVA-Interdisciplinary Centre on Social Sciences, Faculty of Science and Technology, volume 9, issue 9, pages 39-66, December.
• Hasan Murat ERTUĞRUL & Uğur SOYTAŞ, 2013, "Sanayi Üretim Endeksinin Durağanlık Özellikleri," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, volume 28, issue 328, pages 51-66.
• Simone Tedeschi & Elena Pisano & Carlo Mazzaferro & Marcello Morciano, 2013, "Modelling Private Wealth Accumulation and Spend-down in the Italian Microsimulation Model CAPP_DYN: A Life-Cycle Approach," International Journal of Microsimulation, International Microsimulation Association, volume 6, issue 2, pages 76-122.
• Ugo Colombine, 2013, "A new equilibrium simulation procedure with discrete choice models," International Journal of Microsimulation, International Microsimulation Association, volume 6, issue 3, pages 25-49.
• Pablo Pincheira, 2013, "Conditional Predictive Ability of Exchange Rates in Long Run Regressions," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, volume 28, issue 2, pages 3-35, October.
• Mr. Olivier J Blanchard & Mr. Daniel Leigh, 2013, "Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2013/001, Jan.
• Mr. Troy D Matheson & Mr. Emil Stavrev, 2013, "The Great Recession and the Inflation Puzzle," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2013/124, May.
• Jakob W. Messner & Achim Zeileis & Jochen Broecker & Georg J. Mayr, 2013, "Improved Probabilistic Wind Power Forecasts with an Inverse Power Curve Transformation and Censored Regression," Working Papers, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck, number 2013-01, Jan.
• Jakob W. Messner & Georg J. Mayr & Achim Zeileis & Daniel S. Wilks, 2013, "Extending Extended Logistic Regression to Effectively Utilize the Ensemble Spread," Working Papers, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck, number 2013-21, Aug.
• David Plavcan & Georg J. Mayr & Achim Zeileis, 2013, "Automatic and Probabilistic Foehn Diagnosis with a Statistical Mixture Model," Working Papers, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck, number 2013-22, Sep.
• Jakob W. Messner & Georg J. Mayr & Daniel S. Wilks & Achim Zeileis, 2013, "Extending Extended Logistic Regression for Ensemble Post-Processing: Extended vs. Separate vs. Ordered vs. Censored," Working Papers, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck, number 2013-32, Oct.
• Elsy Gómez-Ramos & Francisco Venegas-Martínez, 2013, "A Review of Artificial Neural Networks: How Well Do They Perform in Forecasting Time Series?," Analítika, Analítika - Revista de Análisis Estadístico/Journal of Statistical Analysis, volume 6, issue 2, pages 7-15, Diciembre.
• Carlos A. Medel, 2013, "How informative are in-sample information criteria to forecasting? The case of Chilean GDP," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., volume 50, issue 1, pages 133-161, May.
• Emiliano Magrini & Ayca Donmez, 2013, "Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility and Its Macroeconomic Determinants: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," JRC Research Reports, Joint Research Centre, number JRC84138, Oct.
• Raul Ramos & Jordi Suriñach, 2013, "“A gravity model of migration between ENC and EU”," IREA Working Papers, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, number 201317, Oct, revised Oct 2013.
• Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2013, "“Tourism demand forecasting with different neural networks models”," IREA Working Papers, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, number 201321, Nov, revised Nov 2013.
• Emrah Talas & Fatih Cakmak, 2013, "Turkiye'de Kadinlarin Isgucune Katilimlarinin Kohort Analizi," Istanbul University Econometrics and Statistics e-Journal, Department of Econometrics, Faculty of Economics, Istanbul University, volume 18, issue 1, pages 18-34, May.
• Alessandra Caretta & Sara Flisi & Cecilia Frale & Michele Raitano & Simone Tedeschi, 2013, "T-DYMM : the treasury dynamic microsimulation model of the Italian pension system," Working Papers, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance, number 11, Nov.
• Marco Cacciotti & Cecilia Frale & Serena Teobaldo, 2013, "A new methodology for a quarterly measure of the output gap," Working Papers, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance, number 6, Aug.
• Filippo Maria Pericoli & Roberto Galli & Cecilia Frale & Stefania Pozzuoli, 2013, "Bank lending in a cointegrated VAR model," Working Papers, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance, number 8, Sep.
• O'Donoghue, Cathal & Loughrey, Jason & Morrissey, Karyn, 2013, "Using the EU-SILC to Model the Impact of the Economic Crisis on Inequality," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 7242, Feb.
• Fertig, Michael & Kahanec, Martin, 2013, "Mobility in an Enlarging European Union: Projections of Potential Flows from EU's Eastern Neighbors and Croatia," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 7634, Sep.
• Ramos, Raul & Surinach, Jordi, 2013, "A Gravity Model of Migration between ENC and EU," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 7700, Oct.
• Tetyana Kublikova & Svetlana Stupak, 2013, "Modelling The Development Of The Integration Processes Direction In The Baking Industry," CES Working Papers, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, volume 5, issue 3, pages 398-404, September.
• Staszewska-Bystrova Anna, 2013, "Modified Scheffé’s Prediction Bands," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, volume 233, issue 5-6, pages 680-690, October, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2013-5-608.
• William A. Barnett & Taniya Ghosh, 2013, "Bifurcation Analysis of an Endogenous Growth Model," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, number 201306, Oct, revised Oct 2013.
• Rodolphe Buda, 2013, "SIMUL 3.2: An Econometric Tool for Multidimensional Modelling," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 41, issue 4, pages 517-524, April, DOI: 10.1007/s10614-011-9291-x.
• Laura Andreu & Laurens Swinkels & Liam Tjong-A-Tjoe, 2013, "Can exchange traded funds be used to exploit industry and country momentum?," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, volume 27, issue 2, pages 127-148, June, DOI: 10.1007/s11408-013-0207-8.
• Klaus Weyerstrass & Daniela Grozea-Helmenstein, 2013, "A Macroeconometric Model for Serbia," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, volume 19, issue 2, pages 85-106, May, DOI: 10.1007/s11294-013-9393-4.
• Felix Schindler, 2013, "Predictability and Persistence of the Price Movements of the S&P/Case-Shiller House Price Indices," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, volume 46, issue 1, pages 44-90, January, DOI: 10.1007/s11146-011-9316-1.
• Takafumi Kato, 2013, "Usefulness of the Information Contained in the Prediction Sample for the Spatial Error Model," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, volume 47, issue 1, pages 169-195, July, DOI: 10.1007/s11146-011-9345-9.
• Costas Siriopoulos & Athanasios Fassas, 2013, "Dynamic relations of uncertainty expectations: a conditional assessment of implied volatility indices," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, volume 16, issue 3, pages 233-266, October, DOI: 10.1007/s11147-012-9085-x.
• Alex Huang, 2013, "Value at risk estimation by quantile regression and kernel estimator," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, volume 41, issue 2, pages 225-251, August, DOI: 10.1007/s11156-012-0308-x.
• Yun-Yeong Kim, 2013, "A Test for Trading Time Hypothesis on Weekends under Time Varying Autoregression with Heteroskedasti," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, volume 29, pages 97-118.
• Vadim Dumitrascu & Roxana Arabela Dumitrascu, 2013, "High Speed Economy," Knowledge Horizons - Economics, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, volume 5, issue Special 1, pages 27-30, December.
• Fady Barsoum & Sandra Stankiewicz, 2013, "Forecasting GDP Growth Using Mixed-Frequency Models With Switching Regimes," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz, number 2013-10, May.
• David Iselin & Boriss Siliverstovs, 2013, "Mit Zeitungen Konjunkturprognosen erstellen: Eine Vergleichsstudie für die Schweiz und Deutschland," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 7, issue 3, pages 104-117, September, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005427569.
• David Iselin & Boriss Siliverstovs, 2013, "Using Newspapers for Tracking the Business Cycle," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 13-337, Jan, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-009899599.
• Galasi, Péter & Cseres-Gergely, Zsombor & Bakó, Tamás, 2013, "Az MTA KRTK KTI munkaerő-piaci előrejelző rendszere
  [The Institute of Economics labour-market forecasting system]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), volume 0, issue 2, pages 117-133.
• Chia-Lin Chang & David E. Allen & Michael McAleer & Teodosio Perez Amaral, 2013, "Risk Modelling and Management: An Overview," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 872, Jul.
• Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Adél Bosch & Rangan Gupta & Francois Stofberg, 2013, "The out-of-sample forecasting performance of non-linear models of real exchange rate behaviour: The case of the South African Rand," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), volume 10, issue 1, pages 121-148, April.
• Abdul Jalil Khan & Parvez Azim, 2013, "One-Step-Ahead Forecastability of GARCH (1,1): A Comparative Analysis of USD- and PKR-Based Exchange Rate Volatilities," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, volume 18, issue 1, pages 1-38, Jan-June.
• Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2013, "Forecasting GDP at the regional level with many predictors," Discussion Papers in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 17104, Sep.
• Mark C. Freeman & Ben Groom & Ekaterini Panopoulou & Theologos Pantelidis, 2013, "Declining discount rates and the Fisher Effect: Inflated past, discounted future?," GRI Working Papers, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, number 109, Apr.
• Dimitra Michala & Theoharry Grammatikos & Sara Ferreira Filipe, 2013, "Forecasting distress in European SME portfolios," DEM Discussion Paper Series, Department of Economics at the University of Luxembourg, number 13-2.
• Marco Cacciotti & Cecilia Frale & Serena Teobaldo, 2013, "A new methodology for a quarterly measure of the Output Gap," Working Papers LuissLab, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, LUISS Guido Carli, number 13103.
• Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman, 2013, "Oil and U.S. GDP: A Real-Time Out-of-Sample Examination," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 45, issue 2-3, pages 449-463, March, DOI: jmcb.12009.
• Damjan Pfajfar & Emiliano Santoro, 2013, "News on Inflation and the Epidemiology of Inflation Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 45, issue 6, pages 1045-1067, September.
• Anindya Banerjee & Victor Bystrov & Paul Mizen, 2013, "How Do Anticipated Changes to Short-Term Market Rates Influence Banks' Retail Interest Rates? Evidence from the Four Major Euro Area Economies," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 45, issue 7, pages 1375-1414, October.
• Andrea Bastianin & Marzio Galeotti & Matteo Manera, 2013, "Biofuels and Food Prices: Searching for the Causal Link," Working Papers, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, number 239, Mar, revised Mar 2013.
• Andrea Bastianin & Marzio Galeotti & Matteo Manera, 2013, "Food versus Fuel: Causality and Predictability in Distribution," Working Papers, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, number 241, Mar, revised Mar 2013.
• Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Mampho Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013, "DGSE Model-Based Forecasting of Modeled and Non-Modeled Inflation Variables in South Africa," Working Papers, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, number 259, Nov, revised Nov 2013.
• Marzio GALEOTTI & Andrea BASTIANIN & Matteo MANERA, 2013, "Food versus Fuel: Causality and Predictability in Distribution," Departmental Working Papers, Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods at Università degli Studi di Milano, number 2013-10, Jun.
• Marzio GALEOTTI & Andrea BASTIANIN & Matteo MANERA, 2013, "Biofuels and Food Prices: Searching for the Causal Link," Departmental Working Papers, Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods at Università degli Studi di Milano, number 2013-11, Jun.
• Kei Kawakami, 2013, "Conditional Forecast Selection from Many Forecasts: An Application to the Yen/Dollar Exchange Rate," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series, The University of Melbourne, number 1167.
• Brian Micallef, 2013, "Measuring the effects of structural reforms in Malta: an analysis using the EAGLE model," CBM Working Papers, Central Bank of Malta, number WP/01/2013.
• Chiara Pederzoli & Costanza Torricelli, 2013, "Efficiency and unbiasedness of corn futures markets: New evidence across the financial crisis," Centro Studi di Banca e Finanza (CEFIN) (Center for Studies in Banking and Finance), Universita di Modena e Reggio Emilia, Dipartimento di Economia "Marco Biagi", number 0040, Sep.
• Tomoo Inoue & Atsushi Masuda & Hitoshi Oshige, 2013, "The Contagion of the Greek Fiscal Crisis and Structural Changes in the Euro Sovereign Bond Markets," Public Policy Review, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan, volume 9, issue 1, pages 171-202, January.
• Camila Epprecht & Dominique Guegan & Álvaro Veiga, 2013, "Comparing variable selection techniques for linear regression: LASSO and Autometrics," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, number 13080, Nov.
• Camila Epprecht & Dominique Guegan & Álvaro Veiga & Joel Correa da Rosa, 2013, "Variable selection and forecasting via automated methods for linear models: LASSO/adaLASSO and Autometrics," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, number 13080r, Nov, revised Oct 2017.
• Boonsoo Koo & Myung Hwan Seo, 2013, "Structural-break models under mis-specification: implications for forecasting," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 11/13.
• Boonsoo Koo & Myung Hwan Seo, 2013, "Structural-break models under mis-specification: implications for forecasting," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 8/13.
• McCAUSLAND, William & MARLEY, A. A. J., 2013, "Bayesian inference and model comparison for ramdom choice structures," Cahiers de recherche, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques, number 2013-06.
• William J. McCausland & A.A.J. Marley, 2013, "Bayesian Inference and Model Comparison for Random Choice Structures," Cahiers de recherche, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ, number 07-2013.
• Maritta Paloviita & Matti Viren, 2013, "Are individual survey expectations internally consistent?," NBP Working Papers, Narodowy Bank Polski, number 140.
• Aleksandra Hałka & Jacek Kotłowski, 2013, "Does domestic output gap matter for inflation in a small open economy?," NBP Working Papers, Narodowy Bank Polski, number 152.
• Steven L. Scott & Hal R. Varian, 2015, "Bayesian Variable Selection for Nowcasting Economic Time Series," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "Economic Analysis of the Digital Economy".
• Ulrich Mueller & Mark W. Watson, 2013, "Measuring Uncertainty about Long-Run Prediction," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 18870, Mar.
• Martin M. Andreasen & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Juan Rubio-Ramírez, 2013, "The Pruned State-Space System for Non-Linear DSGE Models: Theory and Empirical Applications," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 18983, Apr.
• Steven L. Scott & Hal R. Varian, 2013, "Bayesian Variable Selection for Nowcasting Economic Time Series," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 19567, Oct.
• Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2013, "Real-Time Forecasting with a Mixed-Frequency VAR," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 19712, Dec.
• T. Deroyon & A. Montaut & P.-A. Pionnier, 2013, "A monthly estimation method of ILO unemployment: a state-space framework," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, number g2013-01.
• Todor Krastevich, 2013, "Predicting Consumer Choices Through Analysis of Interactions in Social Networks," Economic Alternatives, University of National and World Economy, Sofia, Bulgaria, issue 3, pages 24-40, September.
• Kam Leong Szeto, 2013, "Estimating New Zealand’s Output Gap Using a Small Macro Model," Treasury Working Paper Series, New Zealand Treasury, number 13/18, Jul.
• Boriss Siliverstovs, 2013, "Do business tendency surveys help in forecasting employment?: A real-time evidence for Switzerland," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, volume 2013, issue 2, pages 129-151, DOI: 10.1787/jbcma-2013-5k4bxlxjkd32.
• Xin Jin & John M. Maheu, 2013, "Modeling Realized Covariances and Returns," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, volume 11, issue 2, pages 335-369, March.
• Ciobanu Dumitru & Vasilescu Maria, 2013, "Advantages and Disadvantages of Using Neural Networks for Predictions," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, volume 0, issue 1, pages 444-449, May.
• Kevin Sheppard & Lily Liu & Andrew J. Patton, 2013, "Does Anything Beat 5-Minute RV? A Comparison of Realized Measures Across Multiple Asset Classes," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 645, Feb.
• Felix Chan, 2013, "Advantages of Non-Normality in Testing Cointegration Rank," Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre Working Paper series, Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre (BCEC), Curtin Business School, number WP1306, Jul.
• García-Gallego, Ana & Mures-Quintana, María-Jesús, 2013, "La muestra de empresas en los modelos de predicción del fracaso: influencia en los resultados de clasificación || The Sample of Firms in Business Failure Prediction Models: Influence on Classification Results," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, volume 15, issue 1, pages 133-150, June.
• Leandro Maciel, 2013, "A Hybrid Fuzzy GJR-GARCH Modeling Approach for Stock Market Volatility Forecasting," Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan, chapter 11, in: Jonathan A. Batten & Peter MacKay & Niklas Wagner, "Advances in Financial Risk Management", DOI: 10.1057/9781137025098_11.
• Rafal Siedlecki & Daniel Papla, 2013, "Forecasting economic crisis using gradient measurement of development and log-logistic function," Business and Economic Horizons (BEH), Prague Development Center, volume 9, issue 3, pages 28-40, October.
• Michael Hanias & Lykourgos Magafas & P. Konstantaki, 2013, "Non Linear Analysis Of S&P Index," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, volume 8, issue 4, pages 125-135, December, DOI: 10.12775/EQUIL.2013.030.
• Pawel M. Kolba & Radoslaw Kotkowski, 2013, "Business Cycles Indicators And Short-Term Forecasts Of Polish Industry Production Index," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, volume 4, issue 3, pages 65-79, September, DOI: 10.12775/OeC.2013.023.
• Pawel M. Kolba & Radoslaw Kotkowski, 2013, "Business Cycle Indicators And Short-Term Forecast Of Polish Industry Production Index," Working Papers, Institute of Economic Research, number 13/2013, Feb, revised May 2013.
• Halkos, George & Kevork, Ilias, 2013, "Forecasting the optimal order quantity in the newsvendor model under a correlated demand," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 44189, Feb.
• Albers, Scott, 2013, "Foundations of the economic and social history of the United States: Apologia," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 44413, Feb.
• Albers, Scott, 2013, "Foundations of the economic and social history of the United States: Metaphysical," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 44417, Feb.
• Lahvicka, Jiri, 2013, "Impact of playoffs on seasonal uncertainty in Czech ice hockey Extraliga," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 44608, Feb.
• Komijani, Akbar & Naderi, Esmaeil & Gandali Alikhani, Nadiya, 2013, "A Hybrid Approach for Forecasting of Oil Prices Volatility," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 44654, Jan.
• Albers, Scott & Albers, Andrew L., 2013, "Does “Okun’s Law” state a Pi:1 ratio? Toward a harmonic interpretation of why Okun’s Law works," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 44843, Mar.
• Tsyplakov, Alexander, 2013, "Evaluation of Probabilistic Forecasts: Proper Scoring Rules and Moments," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 45186, Mar.
• Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2013, "A New Index of Financial Conditions," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 45463, Mar.
• Abounoori, Abbas Ali & Naderi, Esmaeil & Gandali Alikhani, Nadiya & Amiri, Ashkan, 2013, "Financial Time Series Forecasting by Developing a Hybrid Intelligent System," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 45615, Jan.
• Abounoori, Abbas Ali & Naderi, Esmaeil & Gandali Alikhani, Nadiya & Amiri, Ashkan, 2013, "Financial Time Series Forecasting by Developing a Hybrid Intelligent System," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 45860, Jan.
• Sánchez Navarro, Dennis, 2013, "Análisis de elasticidades en el mercado automotor colombiano (2009 - 2011) mediante un modelo logit anidado
  [Analysis Of Elasticity In Colombian Automotive Market (2009 - 2011) Through A Nested Logit Model]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 46043, Feb.
• El Montasser, Ghassen & Boufateh, Talel & Issaoui, Fakhri, 2013, "The seasonal KPSS test when neglecting seasonal dummies: a Monte Carlo analysis," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 46226, Apr.
• Chang, Chia-Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2013, "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 46387, Mar.
• Ermişoğlu, Ergun & Akcelik, Yasin & Oduncu, Arif, 2013, "GDP Growth and Credit Data," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 46613, Mar.
• Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2013, "Sectoral gross value-added forecasts at the regional level: Is there any information gain?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 46765, May.
• Nazarian, Rafik & Gandali Alikhani, Nadiya & Naderi, Esmaeil & Amiri, Ashkan, 2013, "Forecasting Stock Market Volatility: A Forecast Combination Approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 46786, Mar.
• Dicembrino, Claudio & Trovato, Giovanni, 2013, "Structural Breaks, Price and Income Elasticity, and Forecast of the Monthly Italian Electricity Demand," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 47653, Jun.
• Rendón, Stephanie, 2013, "Detección de caídas en mercados financieros mediante análisis multifractal (exponentes locales y puntuales de Hölder): Índice accionario IPC y tipo de cambio USD/MXN
  [Stock crack detection using multifractal analysis (local and pointwise Hölder ex," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 47699, Jan, revised 19 May 2013.
• Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2013, "To the problem of evaluation of market risk of global equity index portfolio in global capital markets," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 47708, Jun, revised 20 Jun 2013.
• Teneng, Dean, 2013, "Outperforming the naïve Random Walk forecast of foreign exchange daily closing prices using Variance Gamma and normal inverse Gaussian Levy processes," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 47851, Jun.
• Arora, Vipin, 2013, "Comparisons of Chinese and Indian Energy Consumption Forecasting Models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 48621, Jul.
• Voineagu, Vergil & Caragea, Nicoleta & Pisica, Silvia, 2013, "Estimating International Migration on the Base of Small Area Techniques," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 48775.
• Chen, Nan-Kuang & Chen, Shiu-Sheng & Chou, Yu-Hsi, 2013, "Further evidence on bear market predictability: The role of the external finance premium," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 49093, Aug.
• Chen, Shiu-Sheng, 2013, "Forecasting Crude Oil Price Movements with Oil-Sensitive Stocks," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 49240, Aug.
• Bystrov, Victor, 2013, "A factor-augemented model of markup on mortgage loans in Poland," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 49683, Sep.
• Barnett, William & Ghosh, Taniya, 2013, "Bifurcation Analysis of an Endogenous Growth Model," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 50131, Sep.
• Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2013, "On the Stratonovich – Kalman - Bucy filtering algorithm application for accurate characterization of financial time series with use of state-space model by central banks," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 50235, Sep.
• Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2013, "On the tracking and replication of hedge fund optimal investment portfolio strategies in global capital markets in presence of nonlinearities, applying Bayesian filters: 1. Stratanovich – Kalman – Bucy filters for Gaussian linear investment returns d," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 51046, Oct.
• Tierney, Heather L.R., 2013, "Forecasting and Tracking Real-Time Data Revisions in Inflation Persistence," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 51398, Nov.
• Dimitris, Korobilis, 2013, "Forecasting with Factor Models: A Bayesian Model Averaging Perspective," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 52724, Jan.
• Bentour, El Mostafa, 2013, "Oil Prices, Drought Periods and Growth Forecasts in Morocco," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 52892, Dec.
• Tierney, Heather L.R., 2013, "Forecasting and Tracking Real-Time Data Revisions in Inflation Persistence," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 53374, Nov, revised Nov 2013.
• Stephensen, Peter & Markeprand, Tobias, 2013, "SBAM: An algorithm for pair matching," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 59580, Oct.
• Fullerton, Thomas M., Jr. & Mukhopadhyay, Somnath, 2013, "Border Region Bridge and Air Transport Predictability," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 59583, Apr, revised 11 Jul 2013.
• Fullerton, Thomas M., Jr. & Ramirez, David A. & Walke, Adam G., 2013, "An Econometric Analysis of Population Change in Arkansas," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 59588, Aug, revised 11 Nov 2013.
• Degiannakis, Stavros & Livada, Alexandra, 2013, "Evaluation of Realized Volatility Predictions from Models with Leptokurtically and Asymmetrically Distributed Forecast Errors," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 67968, Nov.
• Urbina, Jilber, 2013, "Financial Spillovers Across Countries: Measuring shock transmissions," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 75756, Nov.
• Degiannakis, Stavros & Floros, Christos & Dent, Pamela, 2013, "Forecasting Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall using Fractionally Integrated Models of Conditional Volatility: International Evidence," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 80433.
• Degiannakis, Stavros & Floros, Christos, 2013, "Modeling CAC40 Volatility Using Ultra-high Frequency Data," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 80445.
• Degiannakis, Stavros & Livada, Alexandra, 2013, "Realized Volatility or Price Range: Evidence from a discrete simulation of the continuous time diffusion process," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 80449.
• Degiannakis, Stavros & Livada, Alexandra, 2013, "Realized Volatility or Price Range: Evidence from a discrete simulation of the continuous time diffusion process," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 80489.
• CHIKHI, Mohamed & Benguesmi, Tarek, 2013, "تحليل سلوك مبيعات الكهرباء الموجه للقطاع العائلي في ظل وجود التقلبات الموسمية باستخدام نماذج Sarima
  [Analyzing the Cyclical Behavior of Electricity Sales in the Presence of Seasonal Fluctuations Using SARIMA Models]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 84385, Nov, revised 2013.
• Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Adel Bosch & Rangan Gupta & Francois Stofberg, 2013, "The out-of-sample forecasting performance of non-linear models of real exchange rate behaviour: The case of the South African Rand," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201304, Jan.
• Riane de Bruyn & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden, 2013, "Forecasting The Rand-Dollar And Rand-Pound Exchange Rates Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201307, Jan.
• Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar, 2013, "Forecasting Aggregate Retail Sales: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201312, Feb.
• Kirsten Thompson & Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta, 2013, "Identifying a financial conditions index for South Africa," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201333, Jul.
• Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Won Joong Kim & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne, 2013, "Forecasting China’s Foreign Exchange Reserves Using Dynamic Model Averaging: The Role of Macroeconomic Fundamentals, Financial Stress and Economic Uncertainty," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201338, Aug.
• Goodness C. Aye & Pami Dua & Rangan Gupta, 2013, "Forecasting Indian Macroeconomic Variables Using Medium-Scale VAR Models," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201342, Aug.
• Annari de Waal & Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta, 2013, "Do we need a global VAR model to forecast inflation and output in South Africa?," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201346, Aug.
• Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Mampho P. Modise & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2013, "Can Economic Uncertainty, Financial Stress and Consumer Sentiments Predict U.S. Equity Premium?," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201351, Sep.
• Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2013, "Forecasting Real House Price of the U.S.: An Analysis Covering 1890 to 2012," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201362, Oct.
• Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. kanda & Mampho P. Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013, "DSGE Model-Based Forecasting of Modeled and Non-Modeled Inflation Variables in South Africa," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201374, Nov.
• Kirsten Thompson & Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta, 2013, "Testing the Out-of-Sample Forecasting Ability of a Financial Conditions Index for South Africa," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201383, Dec.
• Markéta Arltová & Jitka Langhamrová & Jana Langhamrová, 2013, "Development of Life Expectancy in the Czech Republic in Years 1920-2010 with an Outlook to 2050," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2013, issue 1, pages 125-143, DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.444.
• João Valle e Azevedo, 2013, "Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Low-Frequency Filters," Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department, number w201301.
• Liam Wagner & Ian Ross & John Foster & Ben Hankamer, 2013, "Tracking global fuel supply, CO2 emissions and sustainable development," Energy Economics and Management Group Working Papers, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia, number 7-2013, Aug.
• Sean Langcake & Tim Robinson, 2013, "An Empirical BVAR-DSGE Model of the Australian Economy," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia, number rdp2013-07, Jun.
• Barrera, Carlos, 2013, "El sistema de predicción desagregada: Una evaluación de las proyecciones de inflación 2006-2011," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2013-009, Jul.
• Chang, Jillie & Del Río, Andrea, 2013, "Google Trends: Predicción del nivel de empleo agregado en Perú usando datos en tiempo real, 2005-2011," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2013-015, Dec.
• Nombulelo Gumata & Alain Kabundi & Eliphas Ndou, 2013, "Important channels of transmission of monetary policy shock in South Africa," Working Papers, South African Reserve Bank, number 6021, Dec.
• Sotiris Tsolacos & Chris Brooks & Ogonna Nneji, 2013, "On the Predictive Content of Leading Indicators: The Case of US Real Estate Markets," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, Henley Business School, University of Reading, number icma-dp2013-02, Mar, revised Jun 2013.
• Rantala, Olavi, 2013, "Development of Postal Services Until 2020," ETLA Reports, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy, number 18, Nov.