Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

1. Forecasting

2011

• Jon Faust & Jonathan H. Wright, 2011, "Efficient Prediction of Excess Returns," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 93, issue 2, pages 647-659, May.
• Michael McAleer & Juan-Ángel Jiménez-Martín & Teodosio Pérez-Amaral, 2011, "International Evidence on GFC-robust Forecasts for Risk Management under the Basel Accord," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2011-01.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Juan-Ángel Jiménez-Martín & Michael McAleer & Teodosio Pérez-Amaral, 2011, "Risk Management of Risk under the Basel Accord: Forecasting Value-at-Risk of VIX Futures," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2011-02.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011, "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2011-03.
• Francisco J. Eransus & Alfonso Novales Cinca, 2011, "A statistical test for forecast evaluation under a discrete loss function," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2011-07.
• Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2011, "Modelling and Forecasting Noisy Realized Volatility," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2011-09.
• Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee:, 2011, "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2011-11.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011, "Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2011-15.
• Cathy W. S. Chen & Richard Gerlach & Bruce B. K. Hwang & Michael McAleer, 2011, "Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using Nonlinear Regression Quantiles and the Intra-day Range," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2011-16.
• Massimiliano Caporin & Michael McAleer, 2011, "Ranking Multivariate GARCH Models by Problem Dimension: An Empirical Evaluation," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2011-20.
• Philip Hans Franses & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2011, "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2011-24.
• Paulo Araújo Santos & Juan-Ángel Jiménez-Martín & Michael McAleer & Teodosio Pérez Amaral, 2011, "GFC-Robust Risk Management Under the Basel Accord Using Extreme Value Methodologies," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2011-27.
• Roberto Casarin & Chia-Lin Chang & Juan-Ángel Jiménez-Martín & Michael McAleer & Teodosio Pérez Amaral, 2011, "Risk Management of Risk Under the Basel Accord: A Bayesian Approach to Forecasting Value-at-Risk of VIX Futures," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2011-32.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Lydia González-Serrano & Juan-Ángel Jiménez-Martín, 2011, "Currency Hedging Strategies Using Dynamic Multivariate GARCH," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2011-33.
• Yu-chin Chen & Stephen J. Turnovsky & Eric Zivot, 2011, "Forecasting Inflation using Commodity Price Aggregates," Working Papers, University of Washington, Department of Economics, number UWEC-2011-14, Sep.
• Roxana Halbleib & Valeri Voev, 2011, "Forecasting multivariate volatility using the VARFIMA model on realized covariance cholesky factors," ULB Institutional Repository, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, number 2013/195065, Feb.
• Domenico Ferraro & Ken Rogoff & Barbara Rossi, 2011, "Can oil prices forecast exchange rates?," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1461, May, revised Jan 2015.
• Matthew L. Higgins, 2011, "Advances in Economic Forecasting," Books from Upjohn Press, W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research, number aef, ISBN: ARRAY(0x85f34a70).
• Audrino, Francesco, 2011, "Forecasting correlations during the late-2000s financial crisis: short-run component, long-run component, and structural breaks," Economics Working Paper Series, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, number 1112, Apr.
• Audrino, Francesco & Hu, Yujia, 2011, "Volatility Forecasting: Downside Risk, Jumps and Leverage Effect," Economics Working Paper Series, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, number 1138, Sep.
• Andrea Ghermandi & Paulo A.L.D. Nunes, 2011, "A Global Map of Costal Recreation Values: results from a spatially explicit meta-analysis," Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari", number 2011_08.
• David E. Giles & Hui Feng & Ryan T. Godwin, 2011, "On the Bias of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator for the Two-Parameter Lomax Distribution," Econometrics Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Victoria, number 1104, Apr.
• Vladimir Gligorov & Renate Haupfleisch & Mario Holzner & Katja Korolkova & Monika Natter & Hermine Vidovic, 2011, "Developing Efficient Activation Approaches and Identifying Elements for Regional Cooperation in the Western Balkans," wiiw Research Reports, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw, number 374, Oct.
• Zhihong Chen & Azhar Iqbal & Huiwen Lai, 2011, "Forecasting the probability of US recessions: a Probit and dynamic factor modelling approach," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, volume 44, issue 2, pages 651-672, May, DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-5982.2011.01648.x.
• Elena Angelini & Gonzalo Camba‐Mendez & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Gerhard Rünstler, 2011, "Short‐term forecasts of euro area GDP growth," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 14, issue , pages 25-44, February.
• John Geweke & Gianni Amisano, 2011, "Hierarchical Markov normal mixture models with applications to financial asset returns," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 26, issue 1, pages 1-29, January/F.
• Andrea Carriero & George Kapetanios & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2011, "Forecasting large datasets with Bayesian reduced rank multivariate models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 26, issue 5, pages 735-761, August.
• Roxana Chiriac & Valeri Voev, 2011, "Modelling and forecasting multivariate realized volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 26, issue 6, pages 922-947, September.
• Lucas W. Davis & Lutz Kilian, 2011, "Estimating the effect of a gasoline tax on carbon emissions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 26, issue 7, pages 1187-1214, November.
• Mewael F. Tesfaselassie & Eric Schaling & Sylvester Eijffinger, 2011, "Learning about the Term Structure and Optimal Rules for Inflation Targeting," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 43, issue 8, pages 1685-1706, December, DOI: 10.1111/j.1538-4616.2011.00463.x.
• Ewa Syczewska, 2011, "Assessment of growth for countries of European Union," Working Papers, Department of Applied Econometrics, Warsaw School of Economics, number 59, Dec.
• Marek Teuerle & Piotr Zebrowski & Marcin Magdziarz, 2011, "Multidimensional Levy walk and its scaling limits," HSC Research Reports, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, number HSC/11/06.
• Funke, Michael & Mehrotra, Aaron & Yu, Hao, 2011, "Tracking Chinese CPI inflation in real time," BOFIT Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT), number 35/2011.
• Eickmeier, Sandra & Lemke, Wolfgang & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2011, "Classical time-varying FAVAR models - estimation, forecasting and structural analysis," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2011,04.
• Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2011, "How informative are central bank assessments of macroeconomic risks?," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2011,13.
• Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2011, "Evaluating macroeconomic risk forecasts," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2011,14.
• Knüppel, Malte, 2011, "Evaluating the calibration of multi-step-ahead density forecasts using raw moments," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2011,32.
• Foroni, Claudia & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2011, "U-MIDAS: MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2011,35.
• Catik, A. Nazif & Karaçuka, Mehmet, 2011, "A comparative analysis of alternative univariate time series models in forecasting Turkish inflation," DICE Discussion Papers, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE), number 20.
• Shintani, Mototsugu & Guo, Zi-Yi, 2011, "Finite Sample Performance of Principal Components Estimators for Dynamic Factor Models: Asymptotic vs. Bootstrap Approximations," EconStor Preprints, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 167627.
• Herold, Jörg & Polzin, Kerstin, 2011, "Zeitvarianz und Zeitinvarianz - mathematische Untersuchungen zum Zeitverhalten des Produktlebenszyklus," Jena Contributions to Economic Research, Ernst-Abbe-Hochschule Jena – University of Applied Sciences, Department of Business Administration, number 2011,1.
• Herold, Jörg & Ahrens, Bernd, 2011, "Reversibilität und Irreversibilität: Mathematische Untersuchungen zum Zeitverhalten des Produktlebenszyklus," Jena Contributions to Economic Research, Ernst-Abbe-Hochschule Jena – University of Applied Sciences, Department of Business Administration, number 2011,5.
• Braun, Daniel & Allgeier, Burkhard & Cremers, Heinz, 2011, "Ratingverfahren: Diskriminanzanalyse versus Logistische Regression," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management, number 179.
• Rossen, Anja, 2011, "On the predictive content of nonlinear transformations of lagged autoregression residuals and time series observations," HWWI Research Papers, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI), number 113.
• Falch, Nina Skrove & Nymoen, Ragnar, 2011, "The accuracy of a forecast targeting central bank," Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 2011-6.
• Skrove Falch, Nina & Nymoen, Ragnar, 2011, "The accuracy of a forecast targeting central bank," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, volume 5, pages 1-36, DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2011-.
• Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2011, "The Financial Crisis from a Forecaster’s Perspective," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 5/2011.
• Belke, Ansgar & Gokus, Christian, 2011, "Volatility Patterns of CDS, Bond and Stock Markets Before and During the Financial Crisis – Evidence from Major Financial Institutions," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 243.
• an de Meulen, Philipp & Micheli, Martin & Schmidt, Torsten, 2011, "Forecasting House Prices in Germany," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 294.
• Bauwens, Luc & Hafner, Christian M. & Pierret, Diane, 2011, "Multivariate volatility modeling of electricity futures," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2011-063.
• Orth, Walter, 2011, "Multi-period credit default prediction with time-varying covariates," Discussion Papers in Econometrics and Statistics, University of Cologne, Institute of Econometrics and Statistics, number 3/11.
• Wolters, Maik H., 2011, "Forecasting under Model Uncertainty," VfS Annual Conference 2011 (Frankfurt, Main): The Order of the World Economy - Lessons from the Crisis, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 48723.
• Wei-bin Zhang, 2011, "Elastic Labour Supply and Home Production in a Monetary Growth Model," Interdisciplinary Description of Complex Systems - scientific journal, Croatian Interdisciplinary Society Provider Homepage: http://indecs.eu, volume 9, issue 2, pages 87-100.
• Christian Kascha & Carsten Trenkler, 2011, "Cointegrated VARMA models and forecasting US interest rates," ECON - Working Papers, Department of Economics - University of Zurich, number 033, Oct.
• Katja Drechsel & Laurent Maurin, 2011, "Flow of conjunctural information and forecast of euro area economic activity," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 30, issue 3, pages 336-354, April.
• Simeon Vosen & Torsten Schmidt, 2011, "Forecasting private consumption: survey‐based indicators vs. Google trends," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 30, issue 6, pages 565-578, September.
• Mauro Costantini & Robert M. Kunst, 2011, "Combining forecasts based on multiple encompassing tests in a macroeconomic core system," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 30, issue 6, pages 579-596, September.
• Eric Girardin & Konstantin A. Kholodilin, 2011, "How helpful are spatial effects in forecasting the growth of Chinese provinces?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 30, issue 7, pages 622-643, November.
• António Rua, 2011, "A wavelet approach for factor‐augmented forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 30, issue 7, pages 666-678, November.
• Giovanni Caggiano & George Kapetanios & Vincent Labhard, 2011, "Are more data always better for factor analysis? Results for the euro area, the six largest euro area countries and the UK," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 30, issue 8, pages 736-752, December.
• Alex Huang, 2011, "Volatility Modeling by Asymmetrical Quadratic Effect with Diminishing Marginal Impact," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 37, issue 3, pages 301-330, March, DOI: 10.1007/s10614-011-9254-2.
• Wei Zhu & Harry Timmermans, 2011, "Modeling pedestrian shopping behavior using principles of bounded rationality: model comparison and validation," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, volume 13, issue 2, pages 101-126, June, DOI: 10.1007/s10109-010-0122-8.
• Kwang-il Choe & Joshua Krausz & Kiseok Nam, 2011, "Technical trading rules for nonlinear dynamics of stock returns: evidence from the G-7 stock markets," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, volume 36, issue 3, pages 323-353, April, DOI: 10.1007/s11156-010-0180-5.
• Derann Hsu & Cheng-Huei Chiao, 2011, "Relative accuracy of analysts’ earnings forecasts over time: a Markov chain analysis," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, volume 37, issue 4, pages 477-507, November, DOI: 10.1007/s11156-010-0214-z.
• Fabian Krüger & Ingmar Nolte, 2011, "Disagreement, Uncertainty and the True Predictive Density," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz, number 2011-43, Sep.
• Boriss Siliverstovs, 2011, "Are GDP revisions predictable?," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 11-281, May, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-006499473.
• Michael McAleer & Juan-à ngel Jiménez-Martín & Teodosio Pérez-Amaral, 2011, "International Evidence on GFC-robust Forecasts for Risk Management under the Basel Accord," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 757, Jan.
• Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2011, "Modelling and Forecasting Noisy Realized Volatility," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 758, Jan.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Juan-à ngel Jiménez-Martín & Michael McAleer & Teodosio Pérez-Amaral, 2011, "Risk Management of Risk under the Basel Accord: Forecasting Value-at-Risk of VIX Futures," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 761, Mar.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011, "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 762, Mar.
• Michael McAleer & Juan-à ngel Jiménez-Martín & Teodosio Pérez-Amaral, 2011, "Has the Basel II Accord Encouraged Risk Management During the 2008-09 Financial Crisis?," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 767, Apr.
• Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2011, "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 771, Apr.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011, "Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 773, May.
• Cathy W. S. Chen & Richard Gerlach & Bruce B. K. Hwang & Michael McAleer, 2011, "Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using Nonlinear Regression Quantiles and the Intra-day Range," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 775, May.
• Michael McAleer & Massimiliano Caporin, 2011, "Ranking Multivariate GARCH Models by Problem Dimension:An Empirical Evaluation," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 778, Jun.
• Michael McAleer & Philip Hans Franses & Chia-Lin Chang, 2011, "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 779, Jun.
• Michael McAleer & Paulo Araújo Santos & Juan-à ngel Jiménez-Martín & Teodosio Pérez Amaral, 2011, "GFC-Robust Risk Management Under the Basel Accord Using Extreme Value Methodologies," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 782, Jul.
• Michael McAleer & Roberto Casarin & Chia-Lin Chang & Juan-à ngel Jiménez-Martín & Teodosio Pérez-Amaral, 2011, "Risk Management of Risk Under the Basel Accord: A Bayesian Approach to Forecasting Value-at-Risk of VIX Futures," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 784, Jul.
• Meilin Yan & Maximilian J. B. Hall & Paul Turner, 2011, "A Cost-Benefit Analysis of Basel III: Some Evidence from the UK," Discussion Paper Series, Department of Economics, Loughborough University, number 2011_05, Nov, revised Nov 2011.
• James Mitchell & Richard J. Smith & Martin R. Weale, 2011, "Efficient Aggregation of Panel Qualitative Survey Data," Discussion Papers in Economics, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester, number 11/53, Dec.
• Carstensen, Kai & Wohlrabe, Klaus & Ziegler, Christina, 2011, "Predictive ability of business cycle indicators under test: A case study for the Euro area industrial production," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 19953.
• Cecilia Frale & Valentina Raponi, 2011, "Revisions in ocial data and forecasting," Working Papers LuissLab, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, LUISS Guido Carli, number 1194.
• Luc Bauwens & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis & Jeroen V.K. Rombouts, 2011, "A Comparison of Forecasting Procedures for Macroeconomic Series: the Contribution of Structural Break Models," Cahiers de recherche, CIRPEE, number 1104.
• Ivan Savin & Peter Winker, 2011, "Heuristic model selection for leading indicators in Russia and Germany," MAGKS Papers on Economics, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung), number 201101.
• Atrianfar, Hamed & Barakchian, Seyed Mahdi, 2011, "Evaluation of Information Content of Economic Variables for Inflation Forecasting in Iran," Journal of Monetary and Banking Research (فصلنامه پژوهش‌های پولی-بانکی), Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, volume 3, issue 8, pages 1-42, September.
• Babazadeh, Mohammad & Farokhnejad, Farshid & Aghababaei, Mohammad Ebrahim, 2011, "Effects of Changes in the Exchange Rates on the Banks' Profitability in Short-Term and Long Term: VECM Approach," Journal of Monetary and Banking Research (فصلنامه پژوهش‌های پولی-بانکی), Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, volume 4, issue 9, pages 205-225, December.
• Mewael F. Tesfaselassie & Eric Schaling & Sylvester Eijffinger, 2011, "Learning about the Term Structure and Optimal Rules for Inflation Targeting," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 43, issue 8, pages 1685-1706, December, DOI: j.1538-4616.2011.00463.x.
• Yoichi Okita & Wade Pfau & Giang Long, 2011, "A Stochastic Forecast Model for Japan's Population," The Japanese Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 38, issue 2, pages 19-44, DOI: 10.2753/JES1097-203X380202.
• Andrea BASTIANIN & Marzio GALEOTTI & Matteo MANERA, 2011, "Forecast evaluation in call centers: combined forecasts, flexible loss functions and economic criteria," Departmental Working Papers, Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods at Università degli Studi di Milano, number 2011-08, Mar.
• Ágnes Horváth & Csaba Köber & Katalin Szilágyi, 2011, "MPM – The Magyar Nemzeti Bank’s monetary policy model," MNB Bulletin (discontinued), Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), volume 6, issue 2, pages 18-24, June.
• Silvia Muzzioli & Bernard De Baets, 2011, "Assessing the information content of option-based volatility forecasts using fuzzy regression methods," Department of Economics, University of Modena and Reggio E., Faculty of Economics "Marco Biagi", number 0669, Nov.
• Daisuke Ishikawa & Nobutoshi Kitaura & Junji Ueda & Shintaro Nakagawa, 2011, "Structure of the Forward-Looking Model of the Japanese Economy and Simulation Results," Public Policy Review, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan, volume 7, issue 2, pages 385-454, July.
• Rob J Hyndman & Heather Booth & Farah Yasmeen, 2011, "Coherent mortality forecasting: the product-ratio method with functional time series models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 1/11, Feb.
• Jason Ng & Catherine S. Forbes & Gael M. Martin & Brendan P.M. McCabe, 2011, "Non-Parametric Estimation of Forecast Distributions in Non-Gaussian, Non-linear State Space Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 11/11, Aug.
• George Athanasopoulos & Rob J Hyndman, 2011, "The value of feedback in forecasting competitions," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 3/11, Feb.
• Jing Tian & Heather M. Anderson, 2011, "Forecasting Under Strucural Break Uncertainty," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 8/11, Jul.
• Michal Rubaszek & Pawel Skrzypczynski & Grzegorz Koloch, 2011, "Forecasting the Polish zloty with non-linear models," NBP Working Papers, Narodowy Bank Polski, number 81.
• Andrzej Kociecki & Marcin Kolasa & Michal Rubaszek, 2011, "Predictivistic Bayesian Forecasting System," NBP Working Papers, Narodowy Bank Polski, number 87.
• Jan J. J. Groen & Paolo A. Pesenti, 2011, "Commodity Prices, Commodity Currencies, and Global Economic Developments," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "Commodity Prices and Markets".
• Jon Faust & Simon Gilchrist & Jonathan H. Wright & Egon Zakrajsek, 2011, "Credit Spreads as Predictors of Real-Time Economic Activity: A Bayesian Model-Averaging Approach," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 16725, Jan.
• Lieven Baele & Geert Bekaert & Seonghoon Cho & Koen Inghelbrecht & Antonio Moreno, 2011, "Macroeconomic Regimes," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 17090, May.
• Herbert Brücker & Philipp J.H. Schroeder, 2011, "International Migration with Heterogeneous Agents: Theory and Evidence for Germany, 1967-2009," Norface Discussion Paper Series, Norface Research Programme on Migration, Department of Economics, University College London, number 2011027, Dec.
• Bhattacharya, Rudrani & Pandey, Radhika & Veronese, Giovanni, 2011, "Tracking India Growth in Real Time," Working Papers, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy, number 11/90, Jul.
• M. Bachelet & M. Beffy & D. Blanchet, 2011, "Simulating the impact of pension reforms on labour force participation for the 55+: a comparison of three models," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, number g2011-08.
• Dean Foster & Rakesh Vohra, 2011, "Calibration: Respice, Adspice, Prospice," Discussion Papers, Northwestern University, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science, number 1537, May.
• Chris McDonald & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2011, "Evaluating density forecasts: model combination strategies versus the RBNZ," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, number DP2011/03, Aug.
• Diego Moccero & Shingo Watanabe & Boris Cournède, 2011, "What Drives Inflation in the Major OECD Economies?," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 854, Apr, DOI: 10.1787/5kgdx1jgvtf8-en.
• Stéphanie Guichard & Elena Rusticelli, 2011, "A Dynamic Factor Model for World Trade Growth," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 874, May, DOI: 10.1787/5kg9zbvvwqq2-en.
• Cristina Conflitti, 2012, "Measuring Uncertainty and Disagreement in the European Survey of Professional Forecasters," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, volume 2011, issue 2, pages 69-103, DOI: 10.1787/jbcma-2011-5kg0p9zzp26k.
• Christiaan Heij & Dick van Dijk & Patrick J.F. Groenen, 2011, "Forecasting with Leading Indicators by means of the Principal Covariate Index," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, volume 2011, issue 1, pages 73-92, DOI: 10.1787/jbcma-2011-5kgdwlpzs79v.
• Bolos Marcel & Otgon Cristian & Pop Razvan, 2011, "Substantiation Of The Public Debt Sustainability Using Kalman Filter," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, volume 1, issue 2, pages 323-334, December.
• Tiron - Tudor Adriana & Fekete Szilvester & Dragu Ioana - Maria, 2011, "Ifrs Compliance Regarding Information Disclosed By Companies In Consolidated Financial Statements - Case Study On Ias 23 Borrowing Costs Applicability-," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, volume 1, issue special, pages 289-295, July.
• Carlo A. Favero & Andrea Tamoni, 2011, "Demographics and US Stock Market Fluctuations ," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, volume 57, issue 1, pages 25-43, March.
• Jennifer Castle & David Hendry & Nicholas W.P. Fawcett, 2011, "Forecasting breaks and forecasting during breaks," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 535, Feb.
• Valero, Diego & Artís, Manuel & Ayuso, Mercedes & García, Jaime, 2011, "Una propuesta de reforma del sistema de pensiones español basada en un modelo de contribución definida nocional = A Proposal for Reforming the Spanish Pension System Based on a Notional Defined Contribution Model," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, volume 11, issue 1, pages 91-113, June.
• Massimiliano Caporin & Gabriel G. Velo, 2011, "Modeling and forecasting realized range volatility," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno", number 0128, Feb.
• Gian Piero Aielli & Massimiliano Caporin, 2011, "Variance Clustering Improved Dynamic Conditional Correlation MGARCH Estimators," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno", number 0133, May.
• Massimiliano Caporin & Angelo Ranaldo & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2011, "On the Predictability of Stock Prices: A Case for High and Low Prices," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno", number 0136, Jun.
• Gian Piero Aielli, 2011, "Dynamic Conditional Correlation: On properties and estimation," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno", number 0142, Nov.
• Vesna Bucevska, 2011, "Growth effect of aid and its volatility: An individual country study in South Asian economies," Business and Economic Horizons (BEH), Prague Development Center, volume 4, issue 1, pages 13-26, January.
• Muhammad Arshad Khan & Musleh ud Din, 2011, "A Dynamic Macroeconometric Model of Pakistan’s Economy," PIDE-Working Papers, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, number 2011:69.
• Kun Guo & Wei-Xing Zhou & Si-Wei Cheng & Didier Sornette, 2011, "The US Stock Market Leads the Federal Funds Rate and Treasury Bond Yields," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, volume 6, issue 8, pages 1-9, August, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0022794.
• Wei-Xing Zhou & Guo-Hua Mu & Wei Chen & Didier Sornette, 2011, "Investment Strategies Used as Spectroscopy of Financial Markets Reveal New Stylized Facts," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, volume 6, issue 9, pages 1-9, September, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0024391.
• Marcus Ruge, 2011, "Stimmungen und Erwartungen im System der Märkte : eine Analyse mit DPLS-Modellen = Sentiments and expectations in the system of markets : an analysis with DPLS models," Potsdamer Schriften zu Statistik und Wirtschaft, Universität Potsdam, Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaftliche Fakultät, number 01, Nov.
• Benjamin Kauper & Karl-Kuno Kunze, 2011, "Modellierung von Aktienkursen im Lichte der Komplexitätsforschung," Statistische Diskussionsbeiträge, Universität Potsdam, Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaftliche Fakultät, number 49, Apr.
• NUCU, Anca Elena, 2011, "Managementul riscului de creditare: realizari actuale, analiza critica, sugestii
  [Credit risk management: current achievements, critical analysis, suggestions]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 27932, Jan.
• Iqbal, Javed, 2011, "Forecasting Performance of Alternative Error Correction Models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 29826, Mar, revised 19 Mar 2011.
• Chun, So Yeon & Shapiro, Alexander & Uryasev, Stan, 2011, "Conditional Value-at-Risk and Average Value-at-Risk: Estimation and Asymptotics," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 30132, Apr.
• Bessonovs, Andrejs, 2011, "GDP Modelling with Factor Model: an Impact of Nested Data on Forecasting Accuracy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 30211, Apr.
• Lanne, Markku & Nyberg, Henri & Saarinen, Erkka, 2011, "Forecasting U.S. Macroeconomic and Financial Time Series with Noncausal and Causal AR Models: A Comparison," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 30254, Apr.
• Louzis, Dimitrios P. & Xanthopoulos-Sisinis, Spyros & Refenes, Apostolos P., 2011, "Are realized volatility models good candidates for alternative Value at Risk prediction strategies?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 30364, Apr.
• Korobilis, Dimitris, 2011, "Hierarchical shrinkage priors for dynamic regressions with many predictors," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 30380, Apr.
• Orth, Walter, 2011, "Multi-period credit default prediction with time-varying covariates," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 30507, Mar.
• Filippou, Miltiades & Zervopoulos, Panagiotis, 2011, "Developing a short-term comparative optimization forecasting model for operational units’ strategic planning," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 30766, Apr.
• Tsyplakov, Alexander, 2011, "Evaluating density forecasts: a comment," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 31184, May.
• Wintenberger, Olivier & Cai, Sixiang, 2011, "Parametric inference and forecasting in continuously invertible volatility models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 31767, Jun.
• Tommaso, Proietti & Helmut, Luetkepohl, 2011, "Does the Box-Cox transformation help in forecasting macroeconomic time series?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 32294, Jul.
• Estrada, Fernando & Mutascu, Mihai & Tiwari, Aviral, 2011, "Estabilidad política y tributación
  [Taxation and political stability]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 32414, Jul.
• Kwasnicki, Witold, 2011, "China, India and the future of the global economy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 32558, Jul.
• D'Agostino, Antonello & McQuinn, Kieran & Whelan, Karl, 2011, "Are some forecasters really better than others?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 32938.
• D'Agostino, Antonello & McQuinn, Kieran & O'Brien, Derry, 2011, "Nowcasting Irish GDP," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 32941.
• Albers, Scott & Albers, Andrew L., 2011, "The Golden Mean, the Arab Spring and a 10-step analysis of American economic history," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 33004, Jul.
• Amiri, Arshia & Ventelou, Bruno, 2011, "Forecasting the role of public expenditure in economic growth Using DEA-neural network approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 33955, Sep.
• Onour, Ibrahim & Sergi, Bruno, 2011, "Global food and energy markets: volatility transmission and impulse response effects," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 34079.
• Amiri, Arshia & Bakhshoodeh, Mohamad & Najafi, Bahaeddin, 2011, "Forecasting seasonality in prices of potatoes and onions: challenge between geostatistical models, neuro fuzzy approach and Winter method," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 34093, Oct.
• Tierney, Heather L.R., 2011, "Forecasting and tracking real-time data revisions in inflation persistence," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 34439, Nov.
• Skribans, Valerijs, 2011, "Development of System Dynamic Model of Latvia’s Economic Integration in the EU," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 34565.
• Shepherd, Ben, 2011, "When are adaptive expectations rational? A generalization," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 34644, Oct.
• Louzis, Dimitrios P. & Xanthopoulos-Sisinis, Spyros & Refenes, Apostolos P., 2011, "The role of high frequency intra-daily data, daily range and implied volatility in multi-period Value-at-Risk forecasting," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 35252, Oct.
• Malliaris, A.G. & Malliaris, Mary, 2011, "Are foreign currency markets interdependent? evidence from data mining technologies," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 35261, Nov.
• Guzman, Giselle C., 2011, "The case for higher frequency inflation expectations," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 36656, Jun.
• Francisco, Ramirez, 2011, "Modelos de Estimación de la Brecha de Producto: Aplicación al PIB de la República Dominicana
  [Models for Estimating the Output Gap: Application to the GDP of Dominican Republic]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 38886.
• Skribans, Valerijs, 2011, "Разработка Модели Системной Динамики Для Энергетического Сектора В Латвии
  [Development of system dynamics model for the energy sector in Latvia]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 39251.
• Kasai, Ndahiriwe & Naraidoo, Ruthira, 2011, "Evaluating the forecasting performance of linear and nonlinear monetary policy rules for South Africa," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 40699, Jun.
• Li, Kui-Wai, 2011, "A study on the volatility forecast of the US housing market in the 2008 crisis," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 41033.
• Liu, Xiaochun, 2011, "Modeling the time-varying skewness via decomposition for out-of-sample forecast," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 41248, Aug.
• Lúcio Godeiro, Lucas, 2011, "Previsão para as Exportações Brasileiras de 2011 utilizando modelos estruturais
  [Forecasts for the Brazilian Exports in 2011 using structural models]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 45182, Dec.
• Fantazzini, Dean & Geraskin, Petr, 2011, "Everything You Always Wanted to Know about Log Periodic Power Laws for Bubble Modelling but Were Afraid to Ask," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 47869, Feb.
• CHIKHI, Mohamed, 2011, "Analyse du choc informationnel et de l’hétéroscédasticité conditionnelle dans les flux de trésorerie
  [Analysis of informational shock and conditional heteroscedasticity in cash flows]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 77269, Apr, revised Jun 2011.
• Kasai Ndahiriwe & Ruthira Naraidoo, 2011, "The Opportunistic approach to monetary policy and financial markets," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201103, Feb.
• Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2011, "Macroeconomic Variables and South African Stock Return Predictability," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201107, Mar.
• Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise & Josine Uwilingiye, 2011, "Out-of-Sample Equity Premium Predictability in South Africa: Evidence from a Large Number of Predictors," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201122, Oct.
• Riane de Bruyn & Rangan Gupta & Lardo stander, 2011, "Testing the Monetary Model for Exchange Rate Determination in South Africa: Evidence from 101 Years of Data," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201134, Dec.
• Rangan Gupta & Yuxiang Ye & Christopher Sako, 2011, "Financial Variables and the Out-of-Sample Forecastability of the Growth Rate of Indian Industrial Production," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201135, Dec.
• Boril Šopov & Jakub Seidler, 2011, "Yield Curve Dynamics: Regional Common Factor Model," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2011, issue 2, pages 140-156, DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.393.
• David Havrlant & Roman Hušek, 2011, "Models of Factors Driving the Czech Export," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2011, issue 3, pages 195-215, DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.396.
• Jan Hošek & Luboš Komárek & Martin Motl, 2011, "Měnová politika a cena ropy
  [Monetary Policy and Price of Oil]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2011, issue 1, pages 22-46, DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.770.
• Jiří Trešl, 2011, "Srovnání vybraných metod predikce změn trendu indexu PX
  [Selected Methods of the Prediction of PX Index Trend Reversal]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2011, issue 2, pages 184-204, DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.780.
• Ulrich K. Müller & James H. Stock, 2011, "Forecasts in a Slightly Misspecified Finite Order VAR Model," Working Papers, Princeton University. Economics Department., number 2011-4, Jul.
• Justyna Wróblewska, 2011, "Bayesian Analysis of Weak Form Reduced Rank Structure in VEC Models," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, volume 3, issue 3, pages 169-186, September.
• Ying Chen & Bo Li, 2011, "Forecasting Yield Curves in an Adaptive Framework," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, volume 3, issue 4, pages 237-259, December.
• Francesco Carlucci, 2011, "Un'analisi quantitativa delle politiche di rientro dal disavanzo pubblico in Italia," Moneta e Credito, Economia civile, volume 64, issue 254, pages 135-175.
• João Valle e Azevedo, 2011, "Rational vs. professional forecasts," Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
• Sandra Gomes & P. Jacquinot, 2011, "Structural reforms and macroeconomic performance in the euro area countries: a model-based assessment," Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department, number w201113.
• João Valle e Azevedo & João Tovar Jalles, 2011, "Rational vs. Professional Forecasts," Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department, number w201114.
• Paulo M.M. Rodrigues & Nazarii Salish, 2011, "Modeling and Forecasting Interval Time Series with Threshold Models: An Application to S&P500 Index Returns," Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department, number w201128.
• Paulo Esteves, 2011, "Direct vs bottom-up approach when forecasting GDP: reconciling literature results with institutional practice," Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department, number w201129.
• Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvão, 2011, "Improving Real-time Estimates of Output Gaps and Inflation Trends with Multiple-vintage Models," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 678, Jun.
• Alexey Balaev, 2011, "Modeling multivariate parametric densities of financial returns (in Russian)," Quantile, Quantile, issue 9, pages 39-60, July.
• Alexei Kolokolov, 2011, "Futures hedging: Multivariate GARCH with dynamic conditional correlations (in Russian)," Quantile, Quantile, issue 9, pages 61-75, July.
• Adam E Clements & Christopher A Coleman-Fenn & Daniel R Smith, 2011, "Forecasting Equicorrelation," NCER Working Paper Series, National Centre for Econometric Research, number 72, Apr, revised 29 Aug 2011.
• Armas, Adrián & Vallejos , Lucy & Vega, Marco, 2011, "Indicadores tendenciales de inflación y su relevancia como variables indicativas de política monetaria," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 20, pages 27-56.
• Vladimir Zdorovenin & Jacques Pézier, 2011, "Does Information Content of Option Prices Add Value for Asset Allocation?," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, Henley Business School, University of Reading, number icma-dp2011-03, Jan.
• Seonghoon Cho & Koen Inghelbrecht & Geert Bekaert & Antonio Moreno & Lieven Baele, 2011, "Macroeconomic Regimes," 2011 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 817.
• Mihaela Bratu, 2011, "Uncertainty of USA GDP Forecasts Determined by The Variables Aggregation," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, volume 14, issue 42, pages 25-46, December.
• Xin Jin & John M. Maheu, 2011, "Modelling Realized Covariances and Returns," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 08_11, Jan.
• Dimitris Korobilis, 2011, "Hierarchical Shrinkage Priors for Dynamic Regressions with Many Predictors," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 21_11, Apr.
• Luc Bauwens & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis & Jeroen V.K. Rombouts, 2011, "The Contribution of Structural Break Models to Forecasting Macroeconomic Series," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 38_11, Jul.
• Anatoly Peresetsky & Misak Davtian, 2011, "Russian USE and olympiads as instruments for university admission selection," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), volume 23, issue 3, pages 41-56.
• Oliver Grothe & Julius Schnieders, 2011, "Spatial Dependence in Wind and Optimal Wind Power Allocation: A Copula Based Analysis," EWI Working Papers, Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI), number 2011-5, May.
• G.A. Karathanassis & V.I. Sogiakas, 2011, "The EMU Integration Structure and the Spillover Dynamics Towards the IAS Harmonization," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, volume 26, pages 433-462.
• Kosrow Dehnad, 2011, "Behavioral Finance and Technical Analysis," Journal of Financial Transformation, Capco Institute, volume 32, pages 107-111.
• Peter O'Connor & Qing Yang, 2011, "QSBO as a forecasting tool," NZIER Working Paper, New Zealand Institute of Economic Research, number 2011/5, Oct.
• Matei, Marius, 2011, "Non-Linear Volatility Modeling of Economic and Financial Time Series Using High Frequency Data," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 2, pages 116-141, June.
• Beum-Jo Park, 2011, "Forecasting Volatility in Financial Markets Using a Bivariate Stochastic Volatility Model with Surprising Information," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 3, pages 37-58, September.