Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

1. Forecasting

2015

• Chaido Dritsak, 2015, "Box Jenkins Modeling of Greek Stock Prices Data," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, volume 5, issue 3, pages 740-747.
• G. P. Girish & S. Vijayalakshmi, 2015, "Role of Energy Exchanges for Power Trading in India," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, volume 5, issue 3, pages 673-676.
• Samuel Yeboah Asuamah & Joseph Ohene-Manu, 2015, "An Econometric Investigation of Forecasting Premium Fuel," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, volume 5, issue 3, pages 716-724.
• G. P. Girish & P. Sashikala & Bharath Supra & Anitha Acharya, 2015, "Renewable Energy Certifi cate Trading through Power Exchanges in India," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, volume 5, issue 3, pages 805-808.
• S. Vijayalakshmi & G. P. Girish, 2015, "Artificial Neural Networks for Spot Electricity Price Forecasting: A Review," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, volume 5, issue 4, pages 1092-1097.
• Anderson, Kym & Wittwer, Glyn, 2015, "Asia's evolving role in global wine markets," China Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 35, issue C, pages 1-14, DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2015.05.003.
• Becchetti, Leonardo & Ciciretti, Rocco & Hasan, Iftekhar, 2015, "Corporate social responsibility, stakeholder risk, and idiosyncratic volatility," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, volume 35, issue C, pages 297-309, DOI: 10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2015.09.007.
• Elliott, Graham & Gargano, Antonio & Timmermann, Allan, 2015, "Complete subset regressions with large-dimensional sets of predictors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 54, issue C, pages 86-110, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2015.03.004.
• Recchioni, Maria Cristina & Tedeschi, Gabriele & Gallegati, Mauro, 2015, "A calibration procedure for analyzing stock price dynamics in an agent-based framework," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 60, issue C, pages 1-25, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2015.08.003.
• Sévi, Benoît, 2015, "Explaining the convenience yield in the WTI crude oil market using realized volatility and jumps," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 44, issue C, pages 243-251, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2014.10.026.
• Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Gogas, Periklis & Papadimitriou, Theophilos, 2015, "Forecasting the U.S. real house price index," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 45, issue C, pages 259-267, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2014.10.050.
• Gradojevic, Nikola & Lento, Camillo, 2015, "Multiscale analysis of foreign exchange order flows and technical trading profitability," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 47, issue C, pages 156-165, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2015.02.028.
• Todorova, Neda, 2015, "The course of realized volatility in the LME non-ferrous metal market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 51, issue C, pages 1-12, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2015.07.005.
• Sensoy, Ahmet & Aras, Guler & Hacihasanoglu, Erk, 2015, "Predictability dynamics of Islamic and conventional equity markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 31, issue C, pages 222-248, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2014.12.001.
• Buncic, Daniel & Moretto, Carlo, 2015, "Forecasting copper prices with dynamic averaging and selection models," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 33, issue C, pages 1-38, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2015.03.002.
• Dokken, Therese & Angelsen, Arild, 2015, "Forest reliance across poverty groups in Tanzania," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, volume 117, issue C, pages 203-211, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2015.06.006.
• Mayr, Johannes & Ulbricht, Dirk, 2015, "Log versus level in VAR forecasting: 42 million empirical answers—Expect the unexpected," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 126, issue C, pages 40-42, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2014.11.008.
• Wang, Yudong & Zhang, Bing & Diao, Xundi & Wu, Chongfeng, 2015, "Commodity price changes and the predictability of economic policy uncertainty," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 127, issue C, pages 39-42, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2014.12.030.
• Diebold, Francis X. & Shin, Minchul, 2015, "Assessing point forecast accuracy by stochastic loss distance," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 130, issue C, pages 37-38, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2015.02.018.
• Damjanovic, Tatiana & Girdėnas, Šarūnas & Liu, Keqing, 2015, "Stationarity of econometric learning with bounded memory and a predicted state variable," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 130, issue C, pages 93-96, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2015.03.011.
• Xie, Tian, 2015, "Prediction model averaging estimator," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 131, issue C, pages 5-8, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2015.03.027.
• Bekiros, Stelios & Gupta, Rangan & Paccagnini, Alessia, 2015, "Oil price forecastability and economic uncertainty," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 132, issue C, pages 125-128, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2015.04.023.
• Camacho, Maximo & Dal Bianco, Marcos & Martinez-Martin, Jaime, 2015, "Toward a more reliable picture of the economic activity: An application to Argentina," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 132, issue C, pages 129-132, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2015.03.032.
• Conrad, Christian & Loch, Karin, 2015, "The variance risk premium and fundamental uncertainty," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 132, issue C, pages 56-60, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2015.04.006.
• Dovern, Jonas & Huber, Florian, 2015, "Global prediction of recessions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 133, issue C, pages 81-84, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2015.05.022.
• Belbute, José M. & Pereira, Alfredo M., 2015, "An alternative reference scenario for global CO2 emissions from fuel consumption: An ARFIMA approach," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 136, issue C, pages 108-111, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2015.09.001.
• Delgado, Michael S. & Florax, Raymond J.G.M., 2015, "Difference-in-differences techniques for spatial data: Local autocorrelation and spatial interaction," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 137, issue C, pages 123-126, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2015.10.035.
• Krämer, Walter & Wied, Dominik, 2015, "A simple and focused backtest of value at risk," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 137, issue C, pages 29-31, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2015.10.028.
• Peluso, Stefano & Mira, Antonietta & Muliere, Pietro, 2015, "Reinforced urn processes for credit risk models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 184, issue 1, pages 1-12, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.08.003.
• Calvet, Laurent E. & Czellar, Veronika, 2015, "Through the looking glass: Indirect inference via simple equilibria," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 185, issue 2, pages 343-358, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.11.003.
• Clark, Todd E. & McCracken, Michael W., 2015, "Nested forecast model comparisons: A new approach to testing equal accuracy," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 186, issue 1, pages 160-177, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.06.016.
• Cheng, Xu & Hansen, Bruce E., 2015, "Forecasting with factor-augmented regression: A frequentist model averaging approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 186, issue 2, pages 280-293, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.02.010.
• Kelly, Bryan & Pruitt, Seth, 2015, "The three-pass regression filter: A new approach to forecasting using many predictors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 186, issue 2, pages 294-316, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.02.011.
• Liu, Lily Y. & Patton, Andrew J. & Sheppard, Kevin, 2015, "Does anything beat 5-minute RV? A comparison of realized measures across multiple asset classes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 187, issue 1, pages 293-311, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.02.008.
• Monfort, Alain & Renne, Jean-Paul & Roussellet, Guillaume, 2015, "A Quadratic Kalman Filter," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 187, issue 1, pages 43-56, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.01.003.
• Chang, Chia-Lin & Jiménez-Martín, Juan-Ángel & Maasoumi, Esfandiar & Pérez-Amaral, Teodosio, 2015, "A stochastic dominance approach to financial risk management strategies," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 187, issue 2, pages 472-485, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.02.032.
• Baldovin, Fulvio & Caporin, Massimiliano & Caraglio, Michele & Stella, Attilio L. & Zamparo, Marco, 2015, "Option pricing with non-Gaussian scaling and infinite-state switching volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 187, issue 2, pages 486-497, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.02.033.
• Paolella, Marc S. & Polak, Paweł, 2015, "COMFORT: A common market factor non-Gaussian returns model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 187, issue 2, pages 593-605, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.02.041.
• Duong, Diep & Swanson, Norman R., 2015, "Empirical evidence on the importance of aggregation, asymmetry, and jumps for volatility prediction," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 187, issue 2, pages 606-621, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.02.042.
• Kapetanios, G. & Mitchell, J. & Price, S. & Fawcett, N., 2015, "Generalised density forecast combinations," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 188, issue 1, pages 150-165, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.02.047.
• Koo, Bonsoo & Seo, Myung Hwan, 2015, "Structural-break models under mis-specification: Implications for forecasting," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 188, issue 1, pages 166-181, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.03.046.
• Asai, Manabu & McAleer, Michael, 2015, "Forecasting co-volatilities via factor models with asymmetry and long memory in realized covariance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 189, issue 2, pages 251-262, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.03.020.
• Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2015, "“Effects of removing the trend and the seasonal component on the forecasting performance of artificial neural network techniques”," IREA Working Papers, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, number 201503, Jan, revised Jan 2015.
• Fernando Fernández-Rodríguez & Marta Gómez-Puig & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2015, "“Financial stress transmission in EMU sovereign bond market volatility: a connectedness analysis”," IREA Working Papers, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, number 201508, Jan, revised Jan 2015.
• Fernando Fernández-Rodríguez & Marta Gómez-Puig & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2015, "“Financial stress transmission in EMU sovereign bond market volatility: a connectedness analysis”," IREA Working Papers, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, number 201510, Feb, revised Feb 2015.
• Germán López, 2015, "Forecast Accuracy of Small and Large Scale Dynamic Factor Models in Developing Economies," Working Papers. Serie AD, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie), number 2015-03, Feb.
• Coda Moscarola, Flavia & Colombino, Ugo & Figari, Francesco & Locatelli, Marilena, 2015, "Shifting Taxes from Labour to Property: A Simulation under Labour Market Equilibrium," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 8832, Feb.
• Cockx, Bart & Baert, Stijn, 2015, "Contracting Out Mandatory Counselling and Training for Long-Term Unemployed: Private For-Profit or Non-Profit, or Keep It Public?," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 9459, Oct.
• Mihaela SIMIONESCU, 2015, "The Accuracy Of General Government Balance Forecasts In Romania," CES Working Papers, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, volume 7, issue 1, pages 167-178, March.
• Müller-Kademann Christian, 2015, "Internal Validation of Temporal Disaggregation: A Cloud Chamber Approach," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, volume 235, issue 3, pages 298-319, June, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2015-0305.
• Casarin, Roberto & Grassi, Stefano & Ravazzolo, Francesco & van Dijk, Herman K., 2015, "Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The DeCo MATLAB Toolbox," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, volume 68, issue i03, DOI: http://hdl.handle.net/10.18637/jss..
• Eduard Baitinger & Christian Fieberg & Thorsten Poddig & Armin Varmaz, 2015, "Liquidity-driven approach to dynamic asset allocation: evidence from the German stock market," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, volume 29, issue 4, pages 365-379, November, DOI: 10.1007/s11408-015-0257-1.
• Bianca Frogner & Joanne Spetz & Stephen Parente & Shelley Oberlin, 2015, "The demand for health care workers post-ACA," International Journal of Health Economics and Management, Springer, volume 15, issue 1, pages 139-151, March, DOI: 10.1007/s10754-015-9168-y.
• Khaled Makhloufi & Bruno Ventelou & Mohammad Abu-Zaineh, 2015, "Have health insurance reforms in Tunisia attained their intended objectives?," International Journal of Health Economics and Management, Springer, volume 15, issue 1, pages 29-51, March, DOI: 10.1007/s10754-014-9157-6.
• Ana-Maria Fuertes & Elena Kalotychou & Natasa Todorovic, 2015, "Daily volume, intraday and overnight returns for volatility prediction: profitability or accuracy?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, volume 45, issue 2, pages 251-278, August, DOI: 10.1007/s11156-014-0436-6.
• Mihaela Simionescu & Mirela Niculae, 2015, "Modelling and Predicting the Fiscal Pressure Indicator in the European Union," Academic Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, volume 1, issue 1, pages 35-44, March.
• Jing Zeng, 2015, "Combining Country-Specific Forecasts when Forecasting Euro Area Macroeconomic Aggregates," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz, number 2015-11, May.
• Sandra Stankiewicz, 2015, "Forecasting Euro Area Macroeconomic Variables with Bayesian Adaptive Elastic Net," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz, number 2015-12, May.
• Fady Barsoum, 2015, "Point and Density Forecasts Using an Unrestricted Mixed-Frequency VAR Model," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz, number 2015-19, Sep.
• Ayse Kabukcuoglu & Enrique Martínez-García, 2015, "Inflation as a Global Phenomenon—Some Implications for Policy Analysis and Forecasting," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum, number 1520, Oct.
• Stefan Neuwirth, 2015, "Ein Kurzfristindikatormodell für Prognosen der internationalen Konjunktur," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 9, issue 2, pages 31-41, June, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005427569.
• Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Boriss Siliverstovs, 2015, "Think national, forecast local: A case study of 71 German urban housing markets," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 15-372, Feb, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-010385518.
• Boriss Siliverstovs, 2015, "Short-term forecasting with mixed-frequency data: A MIDASSO approach," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 15-375, Mar, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-010399937.
• Boriss Siliverstovs, 2015, "Dissecting the purchasing managers' index," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 15-376, Mar, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-010402982.
• Heiner F. Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth, 2015, "Real-Time Forecasting with a MIDAS VAR," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 15-377, Apr, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-010414894.
• Daniel Kaufmann & Rolf Scheufele, 2015, "Business tendency surveys and macroeconomic fluctuations," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 15-378, Apr, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-010416189.
• Boriss Siliverstovs, 2015, "Dissecting Models' Forecasting Performance," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 15-397, Nov, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-010692101.
• Vékás, Péter & Bajkó, Attila & Maknics, Anita & Tóth, Krisztián, 2015, "A magyar nyugdíjrendszer fenntarthatóságáról
  [On the sustainability of the Hungarian pension system - the long-term effects of demographic trends]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), volume 0, issue 12, pages 1229-1257, DOI: 10.18414/KSZ.2015.12.1229.
• Vékás, Péter, 2015, "Az egyéni munkaerő-piaci aktivitás becslése mikroszimulációs modellkeretben
  [Estimating individual labor market activity in Hungary in a microsimulation framework]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), volume 0, issue 12, pages 1291-1308, DOI: 10.18414/KSZ.2015.12.1291.
• Kovács, Erzsébet & Vékás, Péter & Rétallér, Orsolya, 2015, "Modellpontok szerepe a nyugdíj-hatásvizsgálatban
  [Model-point grouping in pension impact studies]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), volume 0, issue 12, pages 1328-1342, DOI: 10.18414/KSZ.2015.12.1328.
• Gál, Róbert Iván & Törzsök, Árpád, 2015, "Háztartás-formálódás a MIDAS modellben
  [Household formation in the MIDAS-HU model]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), volume 0, issue 12, pages 1343-1358, DOI: 10.18414/KSZ.2015.12.1343.
• Ron W. NIELSEN, 2015, "Early Warning Signs of the Economic Crisis in Greece: A Warning for Other Countries and Regions," Journal of Economics and Political Economy, KSP Journals, volume 2, issue 4, pages 460-466, December.
• Ron W. NIELSEN, 2015, "Mathematics of Predicting Growth," Turkish Economic Review, KSP Journals, volume 2, issue 4, pages 222-238, December.
• Ron W. NIELSEN, 2015, "The Insecure Future of the World Economic Growth," Journal of Economic and Social Thought, KSP Journals, volume 2, issue 4, pages 242-255, December.
• Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Díaz & Svetlana Makarova, 2015, "Conditional Term Structure of Inflation Forecast Uncertainty: The Copula Approach," Discussion Papers in Economics, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester, number 15/07, May.
• Julius Stakenas, 2015, "Forecasting Lithuanian Inflation," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series, Bank of Lithuania, number 17, Jan.
• Andrejs Bessonovs, 2015, "Suite of Latvia's GDP forecasting models," Working Papers, Latvijas Banka, number 2015/01, Jul.
• Giuseppe Bianchi & Tatiana Cesaroni & Ottavio Ricchi, 2015, "ISBEM: An econometric model for the Italian State Budget Expenditures," Working Papers LuissLab, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, LUISS Guido Carli, number 15120.
• Henzel Steffen R. & Lehmann Robert & Wohlrabe Klaus, 2015, "Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, volume 66, issue 1, pages 71-98, April, DOI: 10.1515/roe-2015-0105.
• Mark C. Greeman & Ben Groom & Ekaterini Panopoulou & Theologos Pantelidis, 2015, "Declining discount rates and the ‘Fisher Effect’: Inflated past, discounted future?," Discussion Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, number 2015_01, Jan, revised Jan 2015.
• Václav Klepáč, 2015, "Default Probability Prediction with Static Merton-D-Vine Copula Model," European Journal of Business Science and Technology, Mendel University in Brno, Faculty of Business and Economics, volume 1, issue 2, pages 104-113, DOI: 10.11118/ejobsat.v1i2.30.
• Radim Gottwald, 2015, "The Forecasting of Spot Exchange Rates Based on the Forward Exchange Rates," MENDELU Working Papers in Business and Economics, Mendel University in Brno, Faculty of Business and Economics, number 2015-52, Apr.
• Kirsten Thompson & Reneé van Eyden & Rangan Gupta, 2015, "Testing the Out-of-Sample Forecasting Ability of a Financial Conditions Index for South Africa," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 51, issue 3, pages 486-501, May, DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2015.1025664.
• Karunanithy Banumathy & Ramachandran Azhagaiah, 2015, "Modelling Stock Market Volatility: Evidence from India," Managing Global Transitions, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, volume 13, issue 1 (Spring, pages 27-41.
• Stelios Bekiros & Rangan Gupta & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015, "Oil Price Forecastability and Economic Uncertainty," Working Papers, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, number 298, Apr, revised Apr 2015.
• Andrea BASTIANIN & Marzio GALEOTTI & Matteo MANERA, 2015, "Forecasting the Oil-Gasoline Price Relationship: Should We Care about the Rockets and the Feathers?," Departmental Working Papers, Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods at Università degli Studi di Milano, number 2015-23, Dec.
• Matthieu Droumaguet & Anders Warne & Tomasz Wozniak, 2015, "Granger Causality and Regime Inference in Bayesian Markov-Switching VARs," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series, The University of Melbourne, number 1191, May.
• Tomasz Wozniak, 2015, "Granger-causal analysis of GARCH models: a Bayesian approach," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series, The University of Melbourne, number 1194, May.
• Szabolcs Szentmihályi & Balázs Világi, 2015, "The Phillips curve – history of thought and empirical evidence," Financial and Economic Review, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), volume 14, issue 4, pages 5-38.
• Kascha, Christian & Trenkler, Carsten, 2015, "Forecasting VARs, model selection, and shrinkage," Working Papers, University of Mannheim, Department of Economics, number 15-07.
• Seema Narayan & Russell Smyth, 2015, "The Financial Econometrics of Price Discovery and Predictability," Monash Economics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Economics, number 06-15, Jan.
• Anil Alpman, 2015, "Implementing Rubin's Alternative Multiple Imputation Method for Statistical Matching in Stata," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, number 15008, Jan, DOI: 10.1177/1536867X1601600311.
• Antoine Kornprobst & Raphael Douady, 2015, "A Practical Approach to Financial Crisis Indicators Based on Random Matrices," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, number 15049, Jun.
• Matthieu Garcin & Clément Goulet, 2015, "A fully non-parametric heteroskedastic model," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, number 15086, Sep.
• Matthieu Garcin & Clément Goulet, 2015, "Non-parameteric news impact curve: a variational approach," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, number 15086r, Sep, revised Jul 2016.
• Matthieu Garcin & Clément Goulet, 2015, "Non-parameteric news impact curve: a variational approach," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, number 15086rr, Sep, revised Feb 2017, DOI: 10.1007/s00500-019-04607-x.
• Christoph Bergmeir & Rob J Hyndman & Bonsoo Koo, 2015, "A Note on the Validity of Cross-Validation for Evaluating Time Series Prediction," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 10/15.
• Shanika L Wickramasuriya & George Athanasopoulos & Rob J Hyndman, 2015, "Forecasting hierarchical and grouped time series through trace minimization," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 15/15.
• George Athanasopoulos & Rob J Hyndman & Nikolaos Kourentzes & Fotios Petropoulos, 2015, "Forecasting with Temporal Hierarchies," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 16/15.
• Ahmad Farid Osman & Maxwell L. King, 2015, "A new approach to forecasting based on exponential smoothing with independent regressors," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 2/15.
• Harry Vander Elst, 2015, "FloGARCH : Realizing long memory and asymmetries in returns volatility," Working Paper Research, National Bank of Belgium, number 280, Apr.
• Tomasz Skoczylas, 2015, "Log-volatility enhanced GARCH models for single asset returns," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, volume 46, issue 5, pages 411-432.
• Aleksandra Hałka & Karol Szafranek, 2015, "Whose inflation is it anyway? The inflation spillovers between the euro area and small open economies," NBP Working Papers, Narodowy Bank Polski, number 223.
• Alberto Alesina & Omar Barbiero & Carlo Favero & Francesco Giavazzi & Matteo Paradisi, 2015, "Austerity in 2009-2013," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 20827, Jan.
• Patrick Bajari & Denis Nekipelov & Stephen P. Ryan & Miaoyu Yang, 2015, "Demand Estimation with Machine Learning and Model Combination," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 20955, Feb.
• Hunt Allcott & Judd B. Kessler, 2015, "The Welfare Effects of Nudges: A Case Study of Energy Use Social Comparisons," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 21671, Oct.
• Travkin, A., 2015, "Estimating Pair-Copula Constructions Using Empirical Tail Dependence Functions: an Application to Russian Stock Market," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, volume 25, issue 1, pages 39-55.
• C. GEAY & M. KOUBI & G. de LAGASNERIE, 2015, "Evolution of outpatient healthcare expenditure, a dynamic micro-simulation using the Destinie model," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, number g2015-15.
• Mihaela Simionescu, 2015, "The Accuracy Analysis of Inflation Rate Forecasts in Euro Area," Global Economic Observer, "Nicolae Titulescu" University of Bucharest, Faculty of Economic Sciences;Institute for World Economy of the Romanian Academy, volume 3, issue 1, pages 80-85, May.
• Patrice Ollivaud & Cyrille Schwellnus, 2015, "Does the Post-Crisis Weakness of Global Trade Solely Reflect Weak Demand?," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 1216, May, DOI: 10.1787/5js1qvnff3hk-en.
• Rauf Gönenç & Béatrice Guérard & Isabelle Hassler & Andreas Wörgötter, 2015, "Austria's separate gender roles model was popular in the past, but is becoming a constraint for comprehensive wellbeing," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 1272, Dec, DOI: 10.1787/5jrp2s53tglp-en.
• Volker Ziemann, 2015, "Towards more gender equality in Austria," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 1273, Dec, DOI: 10.1787/5jrp2s4pfbnp-en.
• Patrice Ollivaud & Cyrille Schwellnus, 2015, "Does the post-crisis weakness of global trade solely reflect weak demand?," OECD Journal: Economic Studies, OECD Publishing, volume 2015, issue 1, pages 269-267, DOI: 10.1787/eco_studies-2015-5jrq9tzbwk.
• Daniela Bragoli & Luca Metelli & Michele Modugno, 2015, "The importance of updating: Evidence from a Brazilian nowcasting model," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, volume 2015, issue 1, pages 5-22, DOI: 10.1787/jbcma-2015-5jrtfl958gmp.
• Maritta Paloviita & Matti Viren, 2015, "What's behind the survey values?: An analysis of individual forecasters' behaviour," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, volume 2014, issue 2, pages 25-43, DOI: 10.1787/jbcma-2014-5jrxqbwckbzv.
• Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber & Josef Schreiner & Marcel Tirpák & Peter Tóth & Julia Wörz, 2015, "Bridging the information gap: small-scale nowcasting models of GDP growth for selected CESEE countries," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 2, pages 56-75.
• Jonas Dovern & Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber, 2015, "Does Joint Modelling of the World Economy Pay Off? Evaluating Global Forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR," Working Papers, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), number 200, Mar.
• Daisuke Nagakura & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2015, "A State Space Approach to Estimating the Integrated Variance under the Existence of Market Microstructure Noise," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, volume 13, issue 1, pages 45-82.
• Piotr Kokoszka & Hong Miao & Xi Zhang, 2015, "Functional Dynamic Factor Model for Intraday Price Curves," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, volume 13, issue 2, pages 456-477.
• Laurent E. Calvet & Veronika Czellar, 2015, "Accurate Methods for Approximate Bayesian Computation Filtering," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, volume 13, issue 4, pages 798-838.
• Dashan Huang & Fuwei Jiang & Jun Tu & Guofu Zhou, 2015, "Investor Sentiment Aligned: A Powerful Predictor of Stock Returns," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, volume 28, issue 3, pages 791-837.
• Raluca Podasca, 2015, "The Role of the Forecast in the Company’s Management," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, volume 0, issue 2, pages 341-348, May.
• Kym Anderson & Glyn Wittwer, 2015, "Asia’s Evolving Role in Global Wine Markets," Departmental Working Papers, The Australian National University, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics, number 2015-07.
• Anna Leszczylowska, 2015, "Microsimulation as an instrument for tax policy analyses," Business and Economic Horizons (BEH), Prague Development Center, volume 11, issue 1, pages 14-27, April.
• Milena Lipovina-Bozovic & Julija Cerovic & Sasa Vujosevic, 2015, "Forecasting inflation in Montenegro using univariate time series models," Business and Economic Horizons (BEH), Prague Development Center, volume 11, issue 1, pages 51-63, April.
• Tomasz Jasinski & Agnieszka Scianowska, 2015, "Security Assessment And Optimization Of Energy Supply (Neural Networks Approach)," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, volume 6, issue 2, pages 129-141, June, DOI: 10.12775/OeC.2015.016.
• Laila Taskeen Qazi & Atta Ur Rahman & Saleem Gul, 2015, "Which Pairs of Stocks should we Trade? Selection of Pairs for Statistical Arbitrage and Pairs Trading in Karachi Stock Exchange," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, volume 54, issue 3, pages 215-244.
• Bentour, El Mostafa, 2015, "A ranking of VAR and structural models in forecasting," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 61502, Jan.
• Vasios, Michalis & Payne, Richard & Nolte, Ingmar, 2015, "Profiting from Mimicking Strategies in Non-Anonymous Markets," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 61710.
• Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo & Mwamba, Muteba, 2015, "A multivariate model for the prediction of stock returns in an emerging market: A comparison of parametric and non-parametric models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 62028, Feb.
• LI, XI HAO & Gallegati, Mauro, 2015, "Stock-Flow Dynamic Projection," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 62047, Jan.
• Berg, Tim Oliver, 2015, "Multivariate Forecasting with BVARs and DSGE Models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 62405, Feb.
• Medel, Carlos & Pincheira, Pablo, 2015, "The Out-of-sample Performance of an Exact Median-Unbiased Estimator for the Near-Unity AR(1) Model," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 62552, Mar.
• Medel, Carlos, 2015, "Inflation Dynamics and the Hybrid Neo Keynesian Phillips Curve: The Case of Chile," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 62609, Mar.
• Djennad, Abdelmajid & Rigby, Robert & Stasinopoulos, Dimitrios & Voudouris, Vlasios & Eilers, Paul, 2015, "Beyond location and dispersion models: The Generalized Structural Time Series Model with Applications," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 62807, Mar.
• Mehdiyev, Mehdi & Ahmadov, Vugar & Huseynov, Salman & Mammadov, Fuad, 2015, "Ölkə iqtisadiyyatı üzrə göstəricilərin modelləşdirilməsi və proqnozlaşdırılması: problemlər və praktiki çətinliklər
  [Modeling and forecasting of macroeconomic variables of the national economy: problems and practical issues]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 63517, Mar.
• Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015, "Information money fields of cyclic oscillations in nonlinear dynamic economic system," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 63564, Apr.
• Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015, "Information money fields of cyclic oscillations in nonlinear dynamic economic system," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 63565, Apr.
• Henzel, Steffen & Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2015, "Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 63714, Apr.
• Medel, Carlos & Camilleri, Gilmour & Hsu, Hsiang-Ling & Kania, Stefan & Touloumtzoglou, Miltiadis, 2015, "Robustness in Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasting Models: Economics-based Modelling After the Financial Crisis," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 65290, Jun.
• Naser, Hanan & Alaali, Fatema, 2015, "Can Oil Prices Help Predict US Stock Market Returns: An Evidence Using a DMA Approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 65295, Jan, revised 25 Jun 2015.
• Cazotto, Gabriel, 2015, "Oil – The Earth’s blood, a paper on how to recover its critical declining prices by using a hedge vaccine through a leading core of countries termed as VIRUS," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 65370, Jul.
• AMMOURI, Bilel & TOUMI, Hassen & Zitouna, Habib, 2015, "Forecasting Inflation in Tunisia Using Dynamic Factors Model," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 65514, Jul.
• Medel, Carlos A., 2015, "A Critical Review of Posch, J. and F. Rumler (2015), 'Semi-Structural Forecasting of UK Inflation Based on the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve,' Journal of Forecasting 34(2): 145-62," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 65665, Jul.
• Perederiy, Volodymyr, 2015, "Endogenous derivation and forecast of lifetime PDs," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 65679, Jul.
• Bersimis, Sotirios & Degiannakis, Stavros & Georgakellos, Dimitrios, 2015, "Real Time Monitoring of Carbon Monoxide Using Value-at-Risk Measure and Control Charting," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 65865, Jan.
• Zeng, Xiangyu & Zeng, Zhezhao, 2015, "Modeling and Applied Research in Sustainable Development," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 65895, Jul, revised 14 Aug 2015.
• Athanasopoulos, George & Hyndman, Rob J. & Kourentzes, Nikolaos & Petropoulos, Fotios, 2015, "Forecasting with Temporal Hierarchies," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 66362, Aug.
• Qian, Hang, 2015, "Inequality Constrained State Space Models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 66447, Sep.
• Bartolucci, Francesco & Pennoni, Fulvia & Vittadini, Giorgio, 2015, "Causal latent Markov model for the comparison of multiple treatments in observational longitudinal studies," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 66492, Aug.
• Dahem, Ahlem, 2015, "Short term Bayesian inflation forecasting for Tunisia," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 66702, Sep.
• Hännikäinen, Jari, 2015, "Selection of an estimation window in the presence of data revisions and recent structural breaks," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 66759, Sep.
• Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015, "Quantum microeconomics theory," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 66983, Sep.
• Medel, Carlos A., 2015, "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 67081, Oct.
• Fantazzini, Dean & Toktamysova, Zhamal, 2015, "Forecasting German Car Sales Using Google Data and Multivariate Models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 67110.
• Zafar, Raja Fawad & Qayyum, Abdul & Ghouri, Saghir Pervaiz, 2015, "Forecasting Inflation using Functional Time Series Analysis," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 67208, Mar.
• Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015, "Wave function method to forecast foreign currencies exchange rates at ultra high frequency electronic trading in foreign currencies exchange markets," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 67470, Oct.
• Wohlrabe, Klaus & Bührig, Pascal, 2015, "Forecasting Revisions of German Industrial Production," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 67513, Oct.
• Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2015, "Looking into the Black Box of Boosting: The Case of Germany," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 67608, Nov.
• Yeboah Asuamah, Samuel, 2015, "An econometric investigation of forecasting liquefied petroleum gas in Ghana," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 67834, Jul.
• Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Degiannakis, Stavros & Eeckels, Bruno & Filis, George, 2015, "Forecasting Tourist Arrivals Using Origin Country Macroeconomics," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 68062, Nov.
• Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2015, "The role of component-wise boosting for regional economic forecasting," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 68186, Dec, revised 03 Dec 2015.
• Monokroussos, George, 2015, "Nowcasting in Real Time Using Popularity Priors," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 68594, Nov.
• Yılmaz, Engin, 2015, "Forecasting tourist arrivals to Turkey," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 68616, Dec.
• Svetunkov, Ivan & Kourentzes, Nikolaos, 2015, "Complex Exponential Smoothing," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 69394, May.
• Asongu, Simplice A & Nwachukwu, Jacinta C., 2015, "Foreign aid instability and bundled governance dynamics in Africa," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 71783, Dec.
• Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Palaiodimos, George, 2015, "Investments and uncertainty revisited: The case of the US economy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 72083, Jul.
• Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Hassani, Hossein, 2015, "Forecasting implied volatility indices worldwide: A new approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 72084, Sep.
• Gurgul, Henryk & Lach, Łukasz, 2015, "Key sectors after a decade of transformation: Evidence from Poland," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 72739, Jun.
• Matkovskyy, Roman & Bouraoui, Taoufik & Hammami, Helmi, 2015, "Estimation and prediction of an Index of Financial Safety of Tunisia," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 74573, revised 2016.
• Degiannakis, Stavros, 2015, "A Probit Model for the State of the Greek GDP Growth," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 96280.
• Thomas Lux & Mawuli K. Segnon & Rangan Gupta, 2015, "Modeling and Forecasting Crude Oil Price Volatility: Evidence from Historical and Recent Data," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201511, Mar.
• Marcos Álvarez-Díaz & Rangan Gupta, 2015, "Forecasting the US CPI: Does Nonlinearity Matter?," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201512, Mar.
• Stelios Bekiros & Rangan Gupta & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015, "Oil Price Forecastability and Economic Uncertainty," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201518, Mar.
• Mehmet Balcilar & Stelios Bekiros & Rangan Gupta, 2015, "The Role of News-Based Uncertainty Indices in Predicting Oil Markets: A Hybrid Nonparametric Quantile Causality Method," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201522, Apr.
• Rangan Gupta & Kevin Kotze, 2015, "The Role of Oil Prices in the Forecasts of South African Interest Rates: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201531, May.
• Stelios Bekiros & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2015, "A Nonlinear Approach for Predicting Stock Returns and Volatility with the Use of Investor Sentiment Indices," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201536, Jun.
• Stelios Bekiros & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar, 2015, "Incorporating Economic Policy Uncertainty in US Equity Premium Models: A Nonlinear Predictability Analysis," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201545, Jun.
• Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou & Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta, 2015, "The Informational Content of the Term-Spread in Forecasting the U.S. Inflation Rate: A Nonlinear Approach," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201548, Jun.
• Hossein Hassani & Emmanuel Sirimal Silva & Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2015, "Predicting Global Temperature Anomaly: A Definitive Investigation Using an Ensemble of Twelve Competing Forecasting Models," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201561, Aug.
• Giovanni Bonaccolto & Massimiliano Caporin & Rangan Gupta, 2015, "The Dynamic Impact of Uncertainty in Causing and Forecasting the Distribution of Oil Returns and Risk," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201564, Sep.
• Rangan Gupta & Hylton Hollander & Rudi Steinbach, 2015, "Forecasting Output Growth using a DSGE-Based Decomposition of the South African Yield Curve," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201567, Sep.
• Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2015, "South African Stock Returns Predictability using Domestic and Global Economic Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201570, Oct.
• Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2015, "Predicting Stock Returns and Volatility with Investor Sentiment Indices: A Reconsideration using a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201575, Oct.
• Nikolaos Antonakakis & Vassilios Babalos & Clement Kyei, 2015, "Predictability of Sustainable Investments and the Role of Uncertainty: Evidence from a Non-Parametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201576, Oct.
• Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2015, "The Predictability of cay and cayMS for Stock and Housing Returns: A Nonparametric Causality in Quantile Test," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201577, Oct.
• Rangan Gupta & Eric Olson & Mark E. Wohar, 2015, "Forecasting Key US Macroeconomic Variables with a Factor-Augmented Qual VAR," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201585, Nov.
• Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Won Joong Kim & Clement Kyei, 2015, "The Role of Domestic and Global Economic Policy Uncertainties in Predicting Stock Returns and their Volatility for Hong Kong, Malaysia and South Korea: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201586, Nov.
• Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2015, "Forecasting Oil and Stock Returns with a Qual VAR using over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201589, Dec.
• Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2015, "Does Uncertainty Move the Gold Price? New Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201592, Dec.