Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

1. Forecasting

2015

• Daniele Bianchi & Massimo Guidolin & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2015, "Macroeconomic Factors Strike Back: A Bayesian Change-Point Model of Time-Varying Risk Exposures and Premia in the U.S. Cross-Section," Working Papers, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University, number 550.
• Christine Garnier & Elmar Mertens & Edward Nelson, 2015, "Trend Inflation in Advanced Economies," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 11, issue 4, pages 65-136, September.
• Michael Ehrmann, 2015, "Targeting Inflation from Below: How Do Inflation Expectations Behave?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 11, issue 4, pages 213-249, September.
• Geoff Kenny & Thomas Kostka & Federico Masera, 2015, "Can Macroeconomists Forecast Risk? Event-Based Evidence from the Euro-Area SPF," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 11, issue 4, pages 1-46, December.
• Marcin Kolasa & Michal Rubaszek, 2015, "How Frequently Should We Reestimate DSGE Models?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 11, issue 4, pages 279-305, December.
• Dina Frommert, 2015, "Spot On or Way Off? Validating Results of the AVID Microsimulation Model Retrospectively," International Journal of Microsimulation, International Microsimulation Association, volume 8, issue 1, pages 3-32.
• Jessica M. Mc Lay & Roy Lay-Yee & Barry J. Milne & Peter Davis, 2015, "Regression-Style Models for Parameter Estimation in Dynamic Microsimulation: An Empirical Performance Assessment," International Journal of Microsimulation, International Microsimulation Association, volume 8, issue 2, pages 83-127.
• Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2015, "“Effects of removing the trend and the seasonal component on the forecasting performance of artificial neural network techniques”," IREA Working Papers, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, number 201503, Jan, revised Jan 2015.
• Fernando Fernández-Rodríguez & Marta Gómez-Puig & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2015, "“Financial stress transmission in EMU sovereign bond market volatility: a connectedness analysis”," IREA Working Papers, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, number 201508, Jan, revised Jan 2015.
• Fernando Fernández-Rodríguez & Marta Gómez-Puig & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2015, "“Financial stress transmission in EMU sovereign bond market volatility: a connectedness analysis”," IREA Working Papers, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, number 201510, Feb, revised Feb 2015.
• Germán López, 2015, "Forecast Accuracy of Small and Large Scale Dynamic Factor Models in Developing Economies," Working Papers. Serie AD, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie), number 2015-03, Feb.
• Coda Moscarola, Flavia & Colombino, Ugo & Figari, Francesco & Locatelli, Marilena, 2015, "Shifting Taxes from Labour to Property: A Simulation under Labour Market Equilibrium," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 8832, Feb.
• Cockx, Bart & Baert, Stijn, 2015, "Contracting Out Mandatory Counselling and Training for Long-Term Unemployed: Private For-Profit or Non-Profit, or Keep It Public?," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 9459, Oct.
• Mihaela SIMIONESCU, 2015, "The Accuracy Of General Government Balance Forecasts In Romania," CES Working Papers, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, volume 7, issue 1, pages 167-178, March.
• Müller-Kademann Christian, 2015, "Internal Validation of Temporal Disaggregation: A Cloud Chamber Approach," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, volume 235, issue 3, pages 298-319, June, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2015-0305.
• Casarin, Roberto & Grassi, Stefano & Ravazzolo, Francesco & van Dijk, Herman K., 2015, "Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The DeCo MATLAB Toolbox," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, volume 68, issue i03, DOI: http://hdl.handle.net/10.18637/jss..
• Julián Andrada-Félix & Adrian Fernandez-Perez & Fernando Fernández-Rodríguez, 2015, "Fixed income strategies based on the prediction of parameters in the NS model for the Spanish public debt market," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, volume 6, issue 2, pages 207-245, June, DOI: 10.1007/s13209-015-0123-4.
• Caroline Rosentritt & Michael Rembold, 2015, "Steuerung der Leistungsprozesse in mehrstufigen Service-Netzwerken — Fallstudie zur Komplexitätsreduzierung durch Heuristiken am Beispiel der Ersatzteil-Bedarfsprognose," Schmalenbach Journal of Business Research, Springer, volume 67, issue 69, pages 135-149, January, DOI: 10.1007/BF03372938.
• Svetlana Rujin & Torsten Schmidt, 2015, "Zinswende in den USA — Fluch oder Segen für die Konjunktur im Euroraum?," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 95, issue 3, pages 186-191, March, DOI: 10.1007/s10273-015-1804-0.
• Wolfgang Maennig & Christopher Vierhaus, 2015, "Olympiabewerbung 2024: Erfolgsfaktoren aus sozialökonomischer Perspektive," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 95, issue 3, pages 213-219, March, DOI: 10.1007/s10273-015-1808-9.
• Thomas Brenner & Marco Capasso & Matthias Duschl & Koen Frenken & Tania Treibich, 2015, "Causal Relations between Knowledge-Intensive Business Services and Regional Employment Growth," LEM Papers Series, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy, number 2015/27, Dec.
• Terje Skjerpen & Halvor Briseid Storrøsten & Knut Einar Rosendahl & Petter Osmundsen, 2015, "Modelling and forecasting rig rates on the Norwegian Continental Shelf," Discussion Papers, Statistics Norway, Research Department, number 832, Dec.
• Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber & Josef Schreiner & Julia Woerz & Marcel Tirpak & Peter Toth, 2015, "Small-scale nowcasting models of GDP for selected CESEE countries," Working and Discussion Papers, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia, number WP 4/2015, Jun.
• Marian Vavra, 2015, "On a Bootstrap Test for Forecast Evaluations," Working and Discussion Papers, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia, number WP 5/2015, Jun.
• Juraj Hucek & Alexander Karsay & Marian Vavra, 2015, "Short-term Forecasting of Real GDP Using Monthly Data," Working and Discussion Papers, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia, number OP 1/2015, Jul.
• Christopher Gibbs, 2015, "Forecast Combination, Non-linear Dynamics, and the Macroeconomy," Discussion Papers, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales, number 2015-05, Feb.
• Christopher G. Gibbs, 2015, "Overcoming the Forecast Combination Puzzle: Lessons from the Time-Varying Effciency of Phillips Curve Forecasts of U.S. Inflation," Discussion Papers, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales, number 2015-09, Apr.
• Mala Raghavan & Mardi Dungey, 2015, "Should ASEAN-5 monetary policy-makers act pre-emptively against stock market bubbles?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 47, issue 11, pages 1086-1105, March, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.990622.
• Leonardo Becchetti & Rocco Ciciretti & Ambrogio Dalò & Stefano Herzel, 2015, "Socially responsible and conventional investment funds: performance comparison and the global financial crisis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 47, issue 25, pages 2541-2562, May, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1000517.
• Annari De Waal & Rene頖an Eyden & Rangan Gupta, 2015, "Do we need a global VAR model to forecast inflation and output in South Africa?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 47, issue 25, pages 2649-2670, May, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1008769.
• Christian Hutter & Enzo Weber, 2015, "Constructing a new leading indicator for unemployment from a survey among German employment agencies," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 47, issue 33, pages 3540-3558, July, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1018672.
• Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda & Mampho P. Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015, "DSGE model-based forecasting of modelled and nonmodelled inflation variables in South Africa," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 47, issue 3, pages 207-221, January, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.959707.
• Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar, 2015, "Forecasting US real house price returns over 1831-2013: evidence from copula models," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 47, issue 48, pages 5204-5213, October, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1044648.
• Charles Engel & Nelson C. Mark & Kenneth D. West, 2015, "Factor Model Forecasts of Exchange Rates," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 34, issue 1-2, pages 32-55, February, DOI: 10.1080/07474938.2014.944467.
• Monica Billio & Silvio Di Sanzo, 2015, "Granger-causality in Markov switching models," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 42, issue 5, pages 956-966, May, DOI: 10.1080/02664763.2014.993367.
• Francis X. Diebold, 2015, "Comparing Predictive Accuracy, Twenty Years Later: A Personal Perspective on the Use and Abuse of Diebold-Mariano Tests," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 33, issue 1, pages 1-1, January, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2014.983236.
• Malte Knüppel, 2015, "Evaluating the Calibration of Multi-Step-Ahead Density Forecasts Using Raw Moments," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 33, issue 2, pages 270-281, April, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2014.948175.
• Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2015, "Forecasting the Real Price of Oil in a Changing World: A Forecast Combination Approach," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 33, issue 3, pages 338-351, July, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2014.949342.
• Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2015, "Real-Time Forecasting With a Mixed-Frequency VAR," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 33, issue 3, pages 366-380, July, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2014.954707.
• Tae-Hwy Lee & Yundong Tu & Aman Ullah, 2015, "Forecasting Equity Premium: Global Historical Average Versus Local Historical Average and Constraints," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 33, issue 3, pages 393-402, July, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2014.955174.
• Ke Zhu & Wai Keung Li, 2015, "A New Pearson-Type QMLE for Conditionally Heteroscedastic Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 33, issue 4, pages 552-565, October, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2014.977446.
• Selen Baser Andic & Fethi Ogunc, 2015, "Variable Selection for Inflation : A Pseudo Out-of-sample Approach," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1506.
• Hatice Gokce Karasoy & Caglar Yunculer, 2015, "The Explanatory Power and the Forecast Performance of Consumer Confidence Indices for Private Consumption Growth in Turkey," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1519.
• Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2015, "The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting Co-Volatility," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 15-018/III, Feb.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Juan-Ángel Jiménez-Martín & Esfandiar Maasoumi & Michael McAleer & Teodosio Pérez-Amaral, 2015, "A Stochastic Dominance Approach to the Basel III Dilemma: Expected Shortfall or VaR?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 15-056/III, May.
• Francisco Blasques & Siem Jan Koopman & Katarzyna Lasak & André Lucas, 2015, "In-Sample Confidence Bands and Out-of-Sample Forecast Bands for Time-Varying Parameters in Observation Driven Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 15-083/III, Jul.
• Michael S. Delgado & Raymond J.G.M. Florax, 2015, "Difference-in-Differences Techniques for Spatial Data: Local Autocorrelation and Spatial Interaction," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 15-091/VIII, Jul.
• Didier Nibbering & Richard Paap & Michel van der Wel, 2015, "What Do Professional Forecasters Actually Predict?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 15-095/III, Aug, revised 13 Oct 2017.
• Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2015, "Interconnections between Eurozone and US Booms and Busts using a Bayesian Panel Markov-Switching VAR Mode," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 15-111/III, Sep.
• David E. Allen & Michael McAleer & Shelton Peiris & Abhay K. Singh, 2015, "Nonlinear Time Series and Neural-Network Models of Exchange Rates between the US Dollar and Major Currencies," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 15-125/III, Nov.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Juan-Ángel Jiménez-Martín & Esfandiar Maasoumi & Michel McAleer & Teodosio Pérez-Amaral, 2015, "Choosing Expected Shortfall over VaR in Basel III Using Stochastic Dominance," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 15-133/III, Dec.
• Erik Kole & Thijs Markwat & Anne Opschoor & Dick van Dijk, 2015, "Forecasting Value-at-Risk under Temporal and Portfolio Aggregation," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 15-140/III, Jan, revised 19 Apr 2017.
• Baele, L.T.M. & Bekaert, G.R.J. & Cho, S. & Inghelbrecht, K. & Moreno, A., 2015, "Macroeconomic regimes," Other publications TiSEM, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management, number e92a1993-778e-4ce2-b603-6.
• Kajal Lahiri & George Monokroussos & Yongchen Zhao, 2015, "Forecasting Consumption: The Role of Consumer Confidence in Real Time with many Predictors," Working Papers, Towson University, Department of Economics, number 2015-02, Jul, revised Jul 2015.
• Yongchen Zhao, 2015, "Robustness of Forecast Combination in Unstable Environment: A Monte Carlo Study of Advanced Algorithms," Working Papers, Towson University, Department of Economics, number 2015-04, Dec, revised Mar 2020.
• Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2015, "The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting Co-Volatility," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2015-02, Feb.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Juan-Ángel Jiménez-Martín & Esfandiar Maasoumi & Michael McAleer & Teodosio Pérez-Amaral, 2015, "A Stochastic Dominance Approach to the Basel III Dilemma: Expected Shortfall or VaR?," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2015-16, Nov.
• Fernando Fernández-Rodríguez & Marta Gómez-Puig & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2015, "Financial stress transmission in EMU sovereign bond market volatility: A connectedness analysis," Working Papers del Instituto Complutense de Estudios Internacionales, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Instituto Complutense de Estudios Internacionales, number 1501.
• Fernando Fernández-Rodríguez & Marta Gómez-Puig & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2015, "Volatility spillovers in EMU sovereign bond markets," Working Papers del Instituto Complutense de Estudios Internacionales, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Instituto Complutense de Estudios Internacionales, number 1504.
• Stelios D. Bekiros & Rangan Gupta & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015, "Oil price forecastability and economic uncertainty," Open Access publications, School of Economics, University College Dublin, number 10197/7345, Jul.
• Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda & Mampho P. Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015, "DSGE model-based forecasting of modelled and nonmodelled inflation variables in South Africa," Open Access publications, School of Economics, University College Dublin, number 10197/7351.
• Tae-Hwy Lee & Yiyao Wang, 2015, "Finding SPF Percentiles Closest to Greenbook," Working Papers, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics, number 201503, Feb.
• Pedro Isaac Chavez-Lopez & Tae-Hwy Lee, 2015, "Quantile-Covariance Three-Pass Regression Filter," Working Papers, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics, number 202513, Oct.
• Dmytro Pokidin, 2015, "National Bank of Ukraine Econometric Model for the Assessment of Banks' Credit Risk and Support Vector Machine Alternative," Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine, National Bank of Ukraine, issue 234, pages 52-72, DOI: 10.26531/vnbu2015.234.052.
• Yoosoon Chang & Chang Sik Kim & J. Isaac Miller & Joon Y. Park & Sungkeun Park, 2015, "A New Approach to Modeling the Effects of Temperature Fluctuations on Monthly Electricity Demand," Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Missouri, number 1512, Sep.
• Zatul Karamah Ahmad Baharul-Ulum & Ismail Ahmad & Norhana Salamudin & Norzaidi Mohd Daud, 2015, "The Effects of Risk Modelling: Assessing Value-at-Risk Accuracy," Institutions and Economies (formerly known as International Journal of Institutions and Economies), Faculty of Economics and Administration, University of Malaya, volume 7, issue 2, pages 1-29, July.
• Brenner, T. & Capasso, M. & Duschl, M. & Frenken, K. & Treibich, T.G., 2015, "Causal relations between knowledge-intensive business services and regional employment growth," Research Memorandum, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE), number 029, Jan, DOI: 10.26481/umagsb.2015029.
• Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2015, "Macroeconomic uncertainty indices based on nowcast and forecast error distributions," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1477, Jan.
• Majid M. Al-Sadoon, 2015, "Testing subspace Granger causality," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1495, Nov.
• Mihaela Simionescu, 2015, "Forecasts for activity rate on labour market in Romania using econometric models," HOLISTICA Journal of Business and Public Administration, Association Holistic Research Academic (HoRA), volume 6, issue 1, pages 89-101, January-A.
• Mordecai Kurz & M. Motolese & G. Piccillo & H. Hu, 2015, "Monetary Policy with Diverse Private Expectations," Working Papers, Utrecht School of Economics, number 15-03.
• Buncic, Daniel & Gisler, Katja I. M., 2015, "Global Equity Market Volatility Spillovers: A Broader Role for the United States," Economics Working Paper Series, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, number 1508, Mar.
• Buncic, Daniel & Tischhauser, Martin, 2015, "Macroeconomic Factors and Equity Premium Predictability," Economics Working Paper Series, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, number 1522, Oct.
• Aepli, Matthias D. & Frauendorfer, Karl & Fuess, Roland & Paraschiv, Florentina, 2015, "Multivariate Dynamic Copula Models: Parameter Estimation and Forecast Evaluation," Working Papers on Finance, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance, number 1513, Jul.
• Coda Moscarola, Flavia & Colombino, Ugo & Figari, Francesco & Locatelli, Marilena, 2015, "Shifting Taxes from Labour to Property. A Simulation under Labour Market Equilibrium," Department of Economics and Statistics Cognetti de Martiis. Working Papers, University of Turin, number 201501, Jan.
• Mikhail Anufriev & Cars Hommes & Tomasz Makarewicz, 2015, "Simple Forecasting Heuristics that Make us Smart: Evidence from Different Market Experiments," Working Paper Series, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 29, Jul.
• Liya Chu & Xue-Zhong He & Kai Li & Jun Tu, 2015, "Market Sentiment and Paradigm Shifts," Research Paper Series, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney, number 356, Mar.
• Thomas Lundhede & Jette Bredahl Jacobsen & Nick Hanley & Niels Strange & Bo Jellesmark Thorsen, 2015, "Incorporating Outcome Uncertainty and Prior Outcome Beliefs in Stated Preferences," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, volume 91, issue 2, pages 296-316.
• Daniel V. Gordon & Rögnvaldur Hannesson, 2015, "The Norwegian Winter Herring Fishery: A Story of Technological Progress and Stock Collapse," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, volume 91, issue 2, pages 362-385.
• Patrick Doupe, 2015, "The Costs of Error in Setting Reference Rates for Reduced Deforestation," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, volume 91, issue 4, pages 723-738.
• Njindan Iyke , Bernard & Odhiambo, Nicholas M., 2015, "The determinants of long-run real exchange rates in South Africa: a fundamental equilibrium approach," Working Papers, University of South Africa, Department of Economics, number 18979, Jul.
• Roberto Casarin & Federico Bassetti & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2015, "Bayesian Nonparametric Calibration and Combination of Predictive Distributions," Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari", number 2015:04.
• DUMITRESCU, Sorin, 2015, "European Equity Market Return, Volatility And Liquidity Spillover Dynamics During The Eurozone Debt Crisis," Studii Financiare (Financial Studies), Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", volume 19, issue 2, pages 30-50.
• SIMIONESCU, Mihaela, 2015, "Modelling And Predicting The Indirect Taxes In Romania," Studii Financiare (Financial Studies), Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", volume 19, issue 2, pages 67-77.
• Vesna Bucevska, 2015, "Currency Crises in EU Candidate Countries: An Early Warning System Approach," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, volume 62, issue 4, pages 493-510.
• Michael P. Cameron & William Cochrane, 2015, "Using Land-Use Modelling to Statistically Downscale Population Projections to Small Areas," Working Papers in Economics, University of Waikato, number 15/12, Nov.
• Tomasz Skoczylas, 2015, "Bivariate GARCH models for single asset returns," Working Papers, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, number 2015-03.
• Zuzana Brixiova & Qingwei Meng & Mthuli Ncube, 2015, "Can Intra-Regional Trade Act as a Global Shock Absorber in Africa?," World Economics, World Economics, 1 Ivory Square, Plantation Wharf, London, United Kingdom, SW11 3UE, volume 16, issue 3, pages 141-162, July.
• Konstantin Kholodilin, 2015, "Speculative Bubbles in Urban Housing Markets in Germany," ERSA conference papers, European Regional Science Association, number ersa15p67, Oct.
• Peter Huber & Harald Oberhofer & Michael Pfaffermayr, 2015, "Who Creates Jobs? Econometric Modeling and Evidence for Austrian Firm Level Data," Department of Economics Working Papers, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics, number wuwp205, Sep.
• Huber, Peter & Oberhofer, Harald & Pfaffermayr, Michael, 2015, "Who Creates Jobs? Econometric Modeling and Evidence for Austrian Firm Level Data," Department of Economics Working Paper Series, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business, number 205, Sep.
• Peter Reinhard Hansen & Allan Timmermann, 2015, "Equivalence Between Out‐of‐Sample Forecast Comparisons and Wald Statistics," Econometrica, Econometric Society, volume 83, issue , pages 2485-2505, November.
• Raffaella Giacomini, 2015, "Economic theory and forecasting: lessons from the literature," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 18, issue 2, pages 22-41, June.
• Robert M. Sauer, 2015, "Does It Pay For Women To Volunteer?," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, volume 56, issue 2, pages 537-564, May, DOI: 10.1111/iere.12114.
• Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2015, "Bayesian VARs: Specification Choices and Forecast Accuracy," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 30, issue 1, pages 46-73, January.
• Maik H. Wolters, 2015, "Evaluating Point and Density Forecasts of DSGE Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 30, issue 1, pages 74-96, January.
• Wolfgang K. Härdle & Nikolaus Hautsch & Andrija Mihoci, 2015, "Local Adaptive Multiplicative Error Models for High‐Frequency Forecasts," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 30, issue 4, pages 529-550, June.
• Luc Bauwens & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis & Jeroen V.K. Rombouts, 2015, "The Contribution of Structural Break Models to Forecasting Macroeconomic Series," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 30, issue 4, pages 596-620, June.
• Christian Conrad & Karin Loch, 2015, "Anticipating Long‐Term Stock Market Volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 30, issue 7, pages 1090-1114, November.
• Rianne Legerstee & Philip Hans Franses, 2015, "Does Disagreement Amongst Forecasters Have Predictive Value?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 34, issue 4, pages 290-302, July.
• Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy Piger & Howard J. Wall, 2015, "Forecasting National Recessions Using State‐Level Data," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 47, issue 5, pages 847-866, August, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12228.
• Carlos Madeira & Basit Zafar, 2015, "Heterogeneous Inflation Expectations and Learning," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 47, issue 5, pages 867-896, August, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12230.
• Alexandros Gabrielsen & Axel Kirchner & Zhuoshi Liu & Paolo Zagaglia, 2015, "Forecasting Value-At-Risk With Time-Varying Variance, Skewness And Kurtosis In An Exponential Weighted Moving Average Framework," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., volume 10, issue 01, pages 1-29, DOI: 10.1142/S2010495215500050.
• Bernard Njindan Iyke & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2015, "The Determinants of Long-run Real Exchange Rate in South Africa: A Fundamental Equilibrium Approach," Global Economy Journal (GEJ), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., volume 15, issue 3, pages 319-336, September, DOI: 10.1515/GEJ-2015-0015.
• Bidong Liu & Jakub Nowotarski & Tao Hong & Rafal Weron, 2015, "Probabilistic load forecasting via Quantile Regression Averaging on sister forecasts," HSC Research Reports, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, number HSC/15/01, Feb.
• Bidong Liu & Jiali Liu & Tao Hong, 2015, "Sister models for load forecast combination," HSC Research Reports, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, number HSC/15/02, Feb.
• Katarzyna Maciejowska & Rafal Weron, 2015, "Short- and mid-term forecasting of baseload electricity prices in the UK: The impact of intra-day price relationships and market fundamentals," HSC Research Reports, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, number HSC/15/04.
• Jakub Nowotarski & Bidong Liu & Rafal Weron & Tao Hong, 2015, "Improving short term load forecast accuracy via combining sister forecasts," HSC Research Reports, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, number HSC/15/05, May.
• Katarzyna Maciejowska & Jakub Nowotarski, 2015, "A hybrid model for GEFCom2014 probabilistic electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, number HSC/15/06, May.
• Pu Wang & Bidong Liu & Tao Hong, 2015, "Electric load forecasting with recency effect: A big data approach," HSC Research Reports, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, number HSC/15/08, Oct.
• Stephen Chick & Martin Forster & Paolo Pertile, 2015, "A Bayesian Decision-Theoretic Model of Sequential Experimentation with Delayed Response," Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of York, number 15/09, Jun.
• Laura Coroneo & Fabrizio Iacone, 2015, "Comparing predictive accuracy in small samples," Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of York, number 15/15, Sep.
• Laura Coroneo, 2015, "TIPS Liquidity Premium and Quantitative Easing," Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of York, number 15/23, Oct.
• Petar Sorić & Ivana Lolić & Mirjana Čižmešija, 2015, "European economic sentiment indicator: An empirical reappraisal," EFZG Working Papers Series, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb, number 1505, Aug.
• Mario Situm, 2015, "The Relevance of Trend Variables for the Prediction of Corporate Crises and Insolvencies," Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb, volume 18, issue 1, pages 17-49, May.
• Mikosch, Heiner & Neuwirth, Stefan, 2015, "Real-time forecasting with a MIDAS VAR," BOFIT Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT), number 13/2015.
• Porshakov, Alexey & Deryugina, Elena & Ponomarenko, Alexey & Sinyakov, Andrey, 2015, "Nowcasting and short-term forecasting of Russian GDP with a dynamic factor model," BOFIT Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT), number 19/2015.
• Fernald, John & Hsu, Eric & Spiegel, Mark M., 2015, "Is China fudging its figures? Evidence from trading partner data," BOFIT Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT), number 29/2015.
• Grundke, Peter & Pliszka, Kamil, 2015, "A macroeconomic reverse stress test," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 30/2015.
• Baumeister, Christiane & Kilian, Lutz & Lee, Thomas K., 2015, "Inside the crystal ball: New approaches to predicting the gasoline price at the pump," CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS), number 500.
• Baumeister, Christiane & Kilian, Lutz, 2015, "Understanding the decline in the price of oil since June 2014," CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS), number 501.
• Baumeister, Christiane & Kilian, Lutz, 2015, "Forty years of oil price fluctuations: Why the price of oil may still surprise us," CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS), number 525.
• Lázár, Ede, 2015, "Customer Churn Prediction Embedded in an Analytical CRM Model," Proceedings of the ENTRENOVA - ENTerprise REsearch InNOVAtion Conference (2015), Kotor, Montengero, IRENET - Society for Advancing Innovation and Research in Economy, Zagreb, "Proceedings of the ENTRENOVA - ENTerprise REsearch InNOVAtion Conference, Kotor, Montengero, 10-11 September 2015".
• Pierdzioch, Christian & Reitz, Stefan & Ruelke, Jan-Christoph, 2015, "Heteroeneous forecasters and nonlinear expectation formation in US stock market," FinMaP-Working Papers, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents, number 29.
• Lux, Thomas & Segnon, Mawuli & Gupta, Rangan, 2015, "Modeling and forecasting crude oil price volatility: Evidence from historical and recent data," FinMaP-Working Papers, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents, number 31.
• Ghonghadze, Jaba & Lux, Thomas, 2015, "Bringing an elementary agent-based model to the data: Estimation via GMM and an application to forecasting of asset price volatility," FinMaP-Working Papers, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents, number 38.
• Proietti, Tommaso & Marczak, Martyna & Mazzi, Gianluigi, 2015, "EuroMInd-D: A density estimate of monthly gross domestic product for the euro area," Hohenheim Discussion Papers in Business, Economics and Social Sciences, University of Hohenheim, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences, number 03-2015.
• Marczak, Martyna & Proietti, Tommaso & Grassi, Stefano, 2015, "A data-cleaning augmented Kalman filter for robust estimation of state space models," Hohenheim Discussion Papers in Business, Economics and Social Sciences, University of Hohenheim, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences, number 13-2015.
• Müller, Christian, 2015, "Radical uncertainty: Sources, manifestations and implications," Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 2015-41.
• Pierdzioch, Christian & Reitz, Stefan & Ruelke, Jan-Christoph, 2015, "Nonlinear expectation formation in the U.S. stock market: Empirical evidence from the Livingston survey," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 1947 [rev.].
• Schwarzmüller, Tim, 2015, "Model pooling and changes in the informational content of predictors: An empirical investigation for the euro area," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 1982.
• Sarlin, Peter & von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2015, "Optimizing Policymakers' Loss Functions in Crisis Prediction: Before, Within or After?," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 6/2015.
• Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Loose, Brigitte & Zeddies, Götz, 2015, "Die mittelfristige wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in Deutschland für die Jahre 2014 bis 2019," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 3, issue 1, pages 44-48.
• Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Loose, Brigitte & Zeddies, Götz, 2015, "Die mittelfristige wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in Deutschland für die Jahre 2015 bis 2020," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 3, issue 5, pages 224-228.
• Deschermeier, Philipp, 2015, "Die Entwicklung der Bevölkerung Deutschlands bis 2030: Ein Methodenvergleich," IW-Trends – Vierteljahresschrift zur empirischen Wirtschaftsforschung, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, volume 42, issue 2, pages 97-111, DOI: 10.2373/1864-810X.15-02-06.
• Döhrn, Roland & an de Meulen, Philipp, 2015, "Weather, the Forgotten Factor in Business Cycle Analyses," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 539, DOI: 10.4419/86788617.
• Kitlinski, Tobias, 2015, "With or without you: Do financial data help to forecast industrial production?," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 558, DOI: 10.4419/86788639.
• Kitlinski, Tobias & an de Meulen, Philipp, 2015, "The role of targeted predictors for nowcasting GDP with bridge models: Application to the Euro area," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 559, DOI: 10.4419/86788640.
• Schulz, Rainer & Wersing, Martin, 2015, "Forecasting the oil price using house prices," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2015-041.
• Lu, Meng-Jou & Chen, Cathy Yi-Hsuan & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2015, "Copula-based factor model for credit risk analysis," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2015-042.
• Hanslin Grossmann, Sandra & Scheufele, Rolf, 2015, "Foreign PMIs: A reliable indicator for Swiss exports," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 112830.
• Beckers, Benjamin, 2015, "The real-time predictive content of asset price bubbles for macro forecasts," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 112852.
• Dimpfl, Thomas & Langen, Tobias, 2015, "A Cross-Country Analysis of Unemployment and Bonds with Long-Memory Relations," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 112921.
• von Schweinitz, Gregor & Sarlin, Peter, 2015, "Signaling Crises: How to Get Good Out-of-Sample Performance Out of the Early Warning System," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 112964.
• Dovern, Jonas & Feldkircher, Martin & Huber, Florian, 2015, "Does Joint Modelling of the World Economy Pay Off? Evaluating Multivariate Forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 112999.
• Pirschel, Inske, 2015, "Forecasting Euro Area Recessions in real-time with a mixed-frequency Bayesian VAR," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 113031.
• Krüger, Fabian & Clark, Todd E. & Ravazzolo, Francesco, 2015, "Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts with External Nowcasts," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 113077.
• Schreiber, Sven & Breitung, Jörg, 2015, "Tests Of Non-Causality In A Frequency Band," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 113111.
• Marczak, Martyna & Proietti, Tommaso, 2015, "Outlier Detection in Structural Time Series Models: the Indicator Saturation Approach," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 113137.
• Bonin, Holger & Reuss, Karsten & Stichnoth, Holger, 2015, "Life-cycle incidence of family policy measures in Germany: Evidence from a dynamic microsimulation model," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 15-036.

2014

• Xueting Zhao & J. Burnett, 2014, "Forecasting province-level $${\text {CO}}_{2}$$ CO 2 emissions in China," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, volume 7, issue 3, pages 171-183, October, DOI: 10.1007/s12076-013-0109-4.
• Valentina Raponi & Cecilia Frale, 2014, "Revisions in official data and forecasting," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, volume 23, issue 3, pages 451-472, August, DOI: 10.1007/s10260-014-0262-y.
• Georg Quaas, 2014, "Die volkswirtschaftlichen Effekte einer Umsetzung des Koalitionsvertrages," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 94, issue 3, pages 210-216, March, DOI: 10.1007/s10273-014-1657-y.
• Roland Döhrn, 2014, "Weshalb konjunkturprognostiker regelmäßig den wetterbericht studieren sollten," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 94, issue 7, pages 487-491, July, DOI: 10.1007/s10273-014-1701-y.
• Christian Pierdzioch & Monique B. Reid & Rangan Gupta, 2014, "Inflation Forecasts and Forecaster Herding: Evidence from South African Survey Data," Working Papers, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics, number 21/2014.
• Christian Pierdzioch & Monique B. Reid & Rangan Gupta, 2014, "On the Directional Accuracy of Inflation Forecasts: Evidence from South African Survey Data," Working Papers, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics, number 24/2014.
• Christian Pierdzioch & Monique B. Reid & Rangan Gupta, 2014, "Forecasting the South African Inflation Rate: On Asymmetric Loss and Forecast Rationality," Working Papers, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics, number 26/2014.
• Markus Haavio & Caterina Mendicino & Maria Teresa Punzi, 2014, "Financial and economic downturns in OECD countries," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 21, issue 6, pages 407-412, April, DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.864025.
• Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Nicholas Kilimani & Amandine Nakumuryango & Siobhan Redford, 2014, "Predicting BRICS stock returns using ARFIMA models," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 24, issue 17, pages 1159-1166, September, DOI: 10.1080/09603107.2014.924297.
• John Geweke & Gianni Amisano, 2014, "Analysis of Variance for Bayesian Inference," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 33, issue 1-4, pages 270-288, June, DOI: 10.1080/07474938.2013.807182.
• Knut Are Aastveit & Karsten R. Gerdrup & Anne Sofie Jore & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2014, "Nowcasting GDP in Real Time: A Density Combination Approach," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 32, issue 1, pages 48-68, January, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2013.844155.
• Lucia Alessi & Eric Ghysels & Luca Onorante & Richard Peach & Simon Potter, 2014, "Central Bank Macroeconomic Forecasting During the Global Financial Crisis: The European Central Bank and Federal Reserve Bank of New York Experiences," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 32, issue 4, pages 483-500, October, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2014.959124.
• Rainer Schulz & Martin Wersing & Axel Werwatz, 2014, "Automated valuation modelling: a specification exercise," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 31, issue 2, pages 131-153, June, DOI: 10.1080/09599916.2013.846930.
• Barbara Choroś-Tomczyk & Wolfgang Karl H�rdle & Ludger Overbeck, 2014, "Copula dynamics in CDOs," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 14, issue 9, pages 1573-1585, September, DOI: 10.1080/14697688.2013.847280.
• Sotiris Tsolacos & Chris Brooks & Ogonna Nneji, 2014, "On the Predictive Content of Leading Indicators: The Case of U.S. Real Estate Markets," Journal of Real Estate Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 36, issue 4, pages 541-573, January, DOI: 10.1080/10835547.2014.12091404.
• Jari Hännikäinen, 2014, "Multi-step forecasting in the presence of breaks," Working Papers, Tampere University, Faculty of Management and Business, Economics, number 1494, May.
• Jari Hännikäinen, 2014, "Zero lower bound, unconventional monetary policy and indicator properties of interest rate spreads," Working Papers, Tampere University, Faculty of Management and Business, Economics, number 1495, Jun.
• Jari Hännikäinen, 2014, "The mortgage spread as a predictor of real-time economic activity," Working Papers, Tampere University, Faculty of Management and Business, Economics, number 1496, Sep.
• Raghavan, Mala & Dungey, Mardi, 2014, "Should ASEAN-5 Monetary Policymakers Act Pre-emptively Against Stock Market Bubbles?," Working Papers, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics, number 2014-04, revised 2014.
• Athanasopouolos, George & Poskitt, Don & Vahid, Farshid & Yao, Wenying, 2014, "Forecasting with EC-VARMA models," Working Papers, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics, number 2014-07, Feb, revised 22 Feb 2014.
• Mihaela Simionescu, 2014, "Directional accuracy for inflation and unemployment rate predictions in Romania," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, volume 7, issue 2, pages 129-138, September.
• Ali T. Akarca, 2014, "How Should We Interpret the Outcome of the June 2015 Parliamentary Election in Turkey?," Ekonomi-tek - International Economics Journal, Turkish Economic Association, volume 3, issue 3, pages 1-22, September.
• Brian Blankespoor & Alan Basist & Ariel Dinar & Shlomi Dinar & Harold Houba & Neil Thomas, 2014, "Assessing the Economic and Political Impacts of Climate Change on International River Basins using Surface Wetness in the Zambezi and Mekong Basins," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 14-005/II, Jan.
• Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2014, "Forecasting Co-Volatilities via Factor Models with Asymmetry and Long Memory in Realized Covariance," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 14-037/III, Mar.
• Francine Gresnigt & Erik Kole & Philip Hans Franses, 2014, "Interpreting Financial Market Crashes as Earthquakes: A New early Warning System for Medium Term Crashes," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 14-067/III, Jun.
• Anne Opschoor & Dick van Dijk & Michel van der Wel, 2014, "Improving Density Forecasts and Value-at-Risk Estimates by Combining Densities," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 14-090/III, Jul.
• André Lucas & Xin Zhang, 2014, "Score Driven exponentially Weighted Moving Average and Value-at-Risk Forecasting," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 14-092/IV/DSF77, Jul, revised 09 Sep 2015.
• Francisco Blasques & Siem Jan Koopman & Max Mallee, 2014, "Low Frequency and Weighted Likelihood Solutions for Mixed Frequency Dynamic Factor Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 14-105/III, Aug.
• Francisco Blasques & Siem Jan Koopman & Andre Lucas & Julia Schaumburg, 2014, "Spillover Dynamics for Systemic Risk Measurement using Spatial Financial Time Series Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 14-107/III, Aug.
• Irma Hindrayanto & Siem Jan Koopman & Jasper de Winter, 2014, "Nowcasting and Forecasting Economic Growth in the Euro Area using Principal Components," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 14-113/III, Aug.
• Gerda Claeskens & Jan Magnus & Andrey Vasnev & Wendun Wang, 2014, "The Forecast Combination Puzzle: A Simple Theoretical Explanation," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 14-127/III, Sep.
• Knut Are Aastveit & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2014, "Combined Density Nowcasting in an Uncertain Economic Environment," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 14-152/III, Dec.
• Wilko Bolt & Maria Demertzis & Cees Diks & Cars Hommes & Marco van der Leij, 2014, "Identifying Booms and Busts in House Prices under Heterogeneous Expectations," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 14-157/II, Dec.
• Ehrmann, M. & Pfajfar, D. & Santoro, E., 2014, "Consumer Attitudes and the Epidemiology of Inflation Expectations," Discussion Paper, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research, number 2014-029.
• Ehrmann, M. & Pfajfar, D. & Santoro, E., 2014, "Consumer Attitudes and the Epidemiology of Inflation Expectations," Other publications TiSEM, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management, number 6078d0e3-07af-48a5-9e8b-6.
• Panagiotis ARTELARIS & George KANDYLIS, 2014, "Mapping Poverty At Regional Level In Greece," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, volume 39, pages 131-147.
• Drew Creal & Bernd Schwaab & Siem Jan Koopman & Andr� Lucas, 2014, "Observation-Driven Mixed-Measurement Dynamic Factor Models with an Application to Credit Risk," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 96, issue 5, pages 898-915, December.
• Justin Douglas, 2014, "Deregulation in Australia," Economic Roundup, The Treasury, Australian Government, issue 2, pages 53-78, July.
• Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2014, "Forecasting Co-Volatilities via Factor Models with Asymmetry and Long Memory in Realized Covariance," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2014-05, Mar.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Juan-Ángel Jiménez-Martín & Esfandiar Maasoumi & Teodosio Pérez Amaral, 2014, "A Stochastic Dominance Approach to Financial Risk Management Strategies," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2014-08, revised Apr 2014.